The Prediction Markets

Minnesota vs Orlando

Starts in 25 hKickoff
Traded
$136K
Venues
Polymarket, Kalshi
Prices updated
just now
Share

What the markets expect

O/U 223.5 79.5%

Next is O/U 226.5 at 74%. The venues differ most on Minnesota (Polymarket 53.5%, Kalshi 55%), a 1.5-point gap.

Odds by venue

Consensus blends each venue’s last price, weighted by how much has traded there. Best Yes price is the cheapest ask across venues, and the payout is what a winning $100 stake returns before fees. Open a row for each venue’s contract name, bid and ask, and how closely their rules match.

Prices come from our regular polls of each venue. Ages are as of when this page was built.

  • Polymarket
  • Kalshi
O/U 223.5
79.5%
Polymarket 79.5%polled, 40s agoBest Yes 81¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $123 (1.23x)
Polymarket
Contract
O/U 223.5
Last price
79.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
81¢
Sell Yes
78¢
$100 on Yes pays
$123 (1.23x)
Trade this on Polymarket
O/U 226.5
74%
Polymarket 74%polled, 40s agoBest Yes 77¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $130 (1.30x)
Polymarket
Contract
O/U 226.5
Last price
74%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
77¢
Sell Yes
71¢
$100 on Yes pays
$130 (1.30x)
Trade this on Polymarket
O/U 229.5
68%
Polymarket 68%polled, 40s agoBest Yes 69¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $145 (1.45x)
Polymarket
Contract
O/U 229.5
Last price
68%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
69¢
Sell Yes
67¢
$100 on Yes pays
$145 (1.45x)
Trade this on Polymarket
O/U 232.5
62%
Polymarket 62%polled, 40s agoBest Yes 64¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $156 (1.56x)
Polymarket
Contract
O/U 232.5
Last price
62%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
64¢
Sell Yes
60¢
$100 on Yes pays
$156 (1.56x)
Trade this on Polymarket
O/U 234.5
57.5%
Polymarket 57.5%polled, 40s agoBest Yes 59¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $169 (1.69x)
Polymarket
Contract
O/U 234.5
Last price
57.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
59¢
Sell Yes
56¢
$100 on Yes pays
$169 (1.69x)
Trade this on Polymarket
O/U 235.5
55%
Polymarket 55%polled, 40s agoBest Yes 56¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $179 (1.79x)
Polymarket
Contract
O/U 235.5
Last price
55%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
56¢
Sell Yes
54¢
$100 on Yes pays
$179 (1.79x)
Volume
$26
Trade this on Polymarket
Minnesota
54.6%
Polymarket 53.5%polled, 40s agoKalshi 55%polled, 40s agoBest Yes 54¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $185 (1.85x)
Polymarket
Contract
Timberwolves vs. Magic
Last price
53.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
54¢
Sell Yes
53¢
$100 on Yes pays
$185 (1.85x)
Volume
$21K
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Minnesota
Last price
55%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
55¢
Sell Yes
54¢
$100 on Yes pays
$182 (1.82x)
Volume
$90K
Trade this on Kalshi
Partial parity

Payoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences below the table.

No arbitrage: the best bid elsewhere is 54¢, at or below the cheapest ask of 54¢.

Anthony Edwards: Rebounds O/U 4.5
53.5%
Polymarket 53.5%polled, 40s agoBest Yes 97¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $103 (1.03x)
Polymarket
Contract
Anthony Edwards: Rebounds O/U 4.5
Last price
53.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
97¢
Sell Yes
10¢
$100 on Yes pays
$103 (1.03x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Desmond Bane: Points O/U 18.5
53.5%
Polymarket 53.5%polled, 40s agoBest Yes 97¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $103 (1.03x)
Polymarket
Contract
Desmond Bane: Points O/U 18.5
Last price
53.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
97¢
Sell Yes
10¢
$100 on Yes pays
$103 (1.03x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Desmond Bane: Rebounds O/U 4.5
53.5%
Polymarket 53.5%polled, 40s agoBest Yes 97¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $103 (1.03x)
Polymarket
Contract
Desmond Bane: Rebounds O/U 4.5
Last price
53.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
97¢
Sell Yes
10¢
$100 on Yes pays
$103 (1.03x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Show 38 more outcomes
Franz Wagner: Points O/U 20.5
53.5%
Polymarket 53.5%polled, 40s agoBest Yes 97¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $103 (1.03x)
Polymarket
Contract
Franz Wagner: Points O/U 20.5
Last price
53.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
97¢
Sell Yes
10¢
$100 on Yes pays
$103 (1.03x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Jaden McDaniels: Assists O/U 2.5
53.5%
Polymarket 53.5%polled, 40s agoBest Yes 97¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $103 (1.03x)
Polymarket
Contract
Jaden McDaniels: Assists O/U 2.5
Last price
53.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
97¢
Sell Yes
10¢
$100 on Yes pays
$103 (1.03x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Jaden McDaniels: Points O/U 15.5
53.5%
Polymarket 53.5%polled, 40s agoBest Yes 97¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $103 (1.03x)
Polymarket
Contract
Jaden McDaniels: Points O/U 15.5
Last price
53.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
97¢
Sell Yes
10¢
$100 on Yes pays
$103 (1.03x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Jaden McDaniels: Rebounds O/U 4.5
53.5%
Polymarket 53.5%polled, 40s agoBest Yes 97¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $103 (1.03x)
Polymarket
Contract
Jaden McDaniels: Rebounds O/U 4.5
Last price
53.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
97¢
Sell Yes
10¢
$100 on Yes pays
$103 (1.03x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Paolo Banchero: Points O/U 22.5
53.5%
Polymarket 53.5%polled, 40s agoBest Yes 97¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $103 (1.03x)
Polymarket
Contract
Paolo Banchero: Points O/U 22.5
Last price
53.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
97¢
Sell Yes
10¢
$100 on Yes pays
$103 (1.03x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Paolo Banchero: Rebounds O/U 8.5
53.5%
Polymarket 53.5%polled, 40s agoBest Yes 97¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $103 (1.03x)
Polymarket
Contract
Paolo Banchero: Rebounds O/U 8.5
Last price
53.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
97¢
Sell Yes
10¢
$100 on Yes pays
$103 (1.03x)
Trade this on Polymarket
LaMelo Ball: Assists O/U 8.5
53%
Polymarket 53%polled, 40s agoBest Yes 96¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $104 (1.04x)
Polymarket
Contract
LaMelo Ball: Assists O/U 8.5
Last price
53%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
96¢
Sell Yes
10¢
$100 on Yes pays
$104 (1.04x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Spread: Timberwolves (-1.5)
51.5%
Polymarket 51.5%polled, 40s agoBest Yes 52¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $192 (1.92x)
Polymarket
Contract
Spread: Timberwolves (-1.5)
Last price
51.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
52¢
Sell Yes
51¢
$100 on Yes pays
$192 (1.92x)
Volume
$196
Trade this on Polymarket
O/U 237.5
50.5%
Polymarket 50.5%polled, 40s agoBest Yes 51¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $196 (1.96x)
Polymarket
Contract
O/U 237.5
Last price
50.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
51¢
Sell Yes
50¢
$100 on Yes pays
$196 (1.96x)
Volume
$5K
Trade this on Polymarket
Odd/Even Score
50%
Polymarket 50%polled, 40s agoBest Yes 97¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $103 (1.03x)
Polymarket
Contract
Odd/Even Score
Last price
50%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
97¢
Sell Yes
3¢
$100 on Yes pays
$103 (1.03x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Team to Score First
50%
Polymarket 50%polled, 40s agoBest Yes 97¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $103 (1.03x)
Polymarket
Contract
Team to Score First
Last price
50%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
97¢
Sell Yes
3¢
$100 on Yes pays
$103 (1.03x)
Trade this on Polymarket
O/U 238.5
47.5%
Polymarket 47.5%polled, 40s agoBest Yes 48¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $208 (2.08x)
Polymarket
Contract
O/U 238.5
Last price
47.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
48¢
Sell Yes
47¢
$100 on Yes pays
$208 (2.08x)
Volume
$10K
Trade this on Polymarket
Orlando
46%
Kalshi 46%polled, 40s agoBest Yes 46¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $217 (2.17x)
Kalshi
Contract
Orlando
Last price
46%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
46¢
Sell Yes
45¢
$100 on Yes pays
$217 (2.17x)
Volume
$10K
Trade this on Kalshi
O/U 239.5
45.5%
Polymarket 45.5%polled, 40s agoBest Yes 46¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $217 (2.17x)
Polymarket
Contract
O/U 239.5
Last price
45.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
46¢
Sell Yes
45¢
$100 on Yes pays
$217 (2.17x)
Volume
$133
Trade this on Polymarket
Spread: Magic (-1.5)
44%
Polymarket 44%polled, 40s agoBest Yes 45¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $222 (2.22x)
Polymarket
Contract
Spread: Magic (-1.5)
Last price
44%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
45¢
Sell Yes
43¢
$100 on Yes pays
$222 (2.22x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Spread: Timberwolves (-3.5)
43.5%
Polymarket 43.5%polled, 40s agoBest Yes 44¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $227 (2.27x)
Polymarket
Contract
Spread: Timberwolves (-3.5)
Last price
43.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
44¢
Sell Yes
43¢
$100 on Yes pays
$227 (2.27x)
Trade this on Polymarket
O/U 240.5
43%
Polymarket 43%polled, 40s agoBest Yes 44¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $227 (2.27x)
Polymarket
Contract
O/U 240.5
Last price
43%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
44¢
Sell Yes
42¢
$100 on Yes pays
$227 (2.27x)
Volume
$327
Trade this on Polymarket
Spread -4.5
41%
Polymarket 41%polled, 40s agoBest Yes 42¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $238 (2.38x)
Polymarket
Contract
Spread -4.5
Last price
41%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
42¢
Sell Yes
40¢
$100 on Yes pays
$238 (2.38x)
Volume
$45
Trade this on Polymarket
O/U 242.5
39.5%
Polymarket 39.5%polled, 40s agoBest Yes 41¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $244 (2.44x)
Polymarket
Contract
O/U 242.5
Last price
39.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
41¢
Sell Yes
38¢
$100 on Yes pays
$244 (2.44x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Spread: Magic (-3.5)
37.5%
Polymarket 37.5%polled, 40s agoBest Yes 39¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $256 (2.56x)
Polymarket
Contract
Spread: Magic (-3.5)
Last price
37.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
39¢
Sell Yes
36¢
$100 on Yes pays
$256 (2.56x)
Trade this on Polymarket
LaMelo Ball: Points O/U 19.5
36.5%
Polymarket 36.5%polled, 40s agoBest Yes 52¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $192 (1.92x)
Polymarket
Contract
LaMelo Ball: Points O/U 19.5
Last price
36.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
52¢
Sell Yes
21¢
$100 on Yes pays
$192 (1.92x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Anthony Edwards: Points O/U 29.5
35.5%
Polymarket 35.5%polled, 40s agoBest Yes 52¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $192 (1.92x)
Polymarket
Contract
Anthony Edwards: Points O/U 29.5
Last price
35.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
52¢
Sell Yes
19¢
$100 on Yes pays
$192 (1.92x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Spread: Timberwolves (-6.5)
35.5%
Polymarket 35.5%polled, 40s agoBest Yes 37¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $270 (2.70x)
Polymarket
Contract
Spread: Timberwolves (-6.5)
Last price
35.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
37¢
Sell Yes
34¢
$100 on Yes pays
$270 (2.70x)
Trade this on Polymarket
LaMelo Ball: Rebounds O/U 4.5
34.5%
Polymarket 34.5%polled, 40s agoBest Yes 59¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $169 (1.69x)
Polymarket
Contract
LaMelo Ball: Rebounds O/U 4.5
Last price
34.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
59¢
Sell Yes
10¢
$100 on Yes pays
$169 (1.69x)
Trade this on Polymarket
O/U 245.5
33%
Polymarket 33%polled, 40s agoBest Yes 35¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $286 (2.86x)
Polymarket
Contract
O/U 245.5
Last price
33%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
35¢
Sell Yes
31¢
$100 on Yes pays
$286 (2.86x)
Volume
$7
Trade this on Polymarket
Franz Wagner: Rebounds O/U 5.5
32.5%
Polymarket 32.5%polled, 40s agoBest Yes 49¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $204 (2.04x)
Polymarket
Contract
Franz Wagner: Rebounds O/U 5.5
Last price
32.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
49¢
Sell Yes
16¢
$100 on Yes pays
$204 (2.04x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Paolo Banchero: Assists O/U 5.5
32%
Polymarket 32%polled, 40s agoBest Yes 49¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $204 (2.04x)
Polymarket
Contract
Paolo Banchero: Assists O/U 5.5
Last price
32%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
49¢
Sell Yes
15¢
$100 on Yes pays
$204 (2.04x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Anthony Edwards: Assists O/U 3.5
30.5%
Polymarket 30.5%polled, 40s agoBest Yes 47¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $213 (2.13x)
Polymarket
Contract
Anthony Edwards: Assists O/U 3.5
Last price
30.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
47¢
Sell Yes
14¢
$100 on Yes pays
$213 (2.13x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Franz Wagner: Assists O/U 5.5
30.5%
Polymarket 30.5%polled, 40s agoBest Yes 46¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $217 (2.17x)
Polymarket
Contract
Franz Wagner: Assists O/U 5.5
Last price
30.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
46¢
Sell Yes
15¢
$100 on Yes pays
$217 (2.17x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Desmond Bane: Assists O/U 3.5
30%
Polymarket 30%polled, 40s agoBest Yes 50¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $200 (2.00x)
Polymarket
Contract
Desmond Bane: Assists O/U 3.5
Last price
30%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
50¢
Sell Yes
10¢
$100 on Yes pays
$200 (2.00x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Spread: Magic (-6.5)
29%
Polymarket 29%polled, 40s agoBest Yes 30¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $333 (3.33x)
Polymarket
Contract
Spread: Magic (-6.5)
Last price
29%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
30¢
Sell Yes
28¢
$100 on Yes pays
$333 (3.33x)
Trade this on Polymarket
O/U 248.5
27.5%
Polymarket 27.5%polled, 40s agoBest Yes 30¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $333 (3.33x)
Polymarket
Contract
O/U 248.5
Last price
27.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
30¢
Sell Yes
25¢
$100 on Yes pays
$333 (3.33x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Spread: Timberwolves (-9.5)
27%
Polymarket 27%polled, 40s agoBest Yes 28¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $357 (3.57x)
Polymarket
Contract
Spread: Timberwolves (-9.5)
Last price
27%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
28¢
Sell Yes
26¢
$100 on Yes pays
$357 (3.57x)
Trade this on Polymarket
O/U 251.5
22.5%
Polymarket 22.5%polled, 40s agoBest Yes 24¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $417 (4.17x)
Polymarket
Contract
O/U 251.5
Last price
22.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
24¢
Sell Yes
21¢
$100 on Yes pays
$417 (4.17x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Spread: Magic (-9.5)
22%
Polymarket 22%polled, 40s agoBest Yes 24¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $417 (4.17x)
Polymarket
Contract
Spread: Magic (-9.5)
Last price
22%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
24¢
Sell Yes
20¢
$100 on Yes pays
$417 (4.17x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Spread: Timberwolves (-12.5)
20%
Polymarket 20%polled, 40s agoBest Yes 22¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $455 (4.55x)
Polymarket
Contract
Spread: Timberwolves (-12.5)
Last price
20%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
22¢
Sell Yes
18¢
$100 on Yes pays
$455 (4.55x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Spread: Magic (-12.5)
15%
Polymarket 15%polled, 40s agoBest Yes 16¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $625 (6.25x)
Polymarket
Contract
Spread: Magic (-12.5)
Last price
15%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
16¢
Sell Yes
14¢
$100 on Yes pays
$625 (6.25x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Spread -15.5
14%
Polymarket 14%polled, 40s agoBest Yes 15¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $667 (6.67x)
Polymarket
Contract
Spread -15.5
Last price
14%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
15¢
Sell Yes
13¢
$100 on Yes pays
$667 (6.67x)
Trade this on Polymarket

No cross-venue arbitrage right now: on every matched outcome, the best bid on one venue is at or below the cheapest ask on the other. Find markets with open spreads

Same bet: both pay the winner of the game

Ties: both venues pay 50/50.

Only differs in an edge case

  • If the game is postponed: Kalshi resolves to a fair price if the game does not start within 48 hours of the scheduled time; Polymarket stays open until the game is played and resolves 50-50 only if it is cancelled with no make-up.
Polymarket
Polymarket resolves via:
UMA optimistic oracle, source: nba.com
Kalshi
Kalshi resolves via:
Kalshi (CFTC-regulated exchange), source: the Governing League, ESPN
Show full rule comparison
  • If the game is postponed: Kalshi resolves to a fair price if the game does not start within 48 hours of the scheduled time; Polymarket stays open until the game is played and resolves 50-50 only if it is cancelled with no make-up.
  • Ties: both venues pay 50/50.
  • Trading closes Oct 23, 2026, 11:00 PM UTC on Polymarket and Oct 25, 2026, 11:00 PM UTC on Kalshi.

Summarized from each venue’s published rules; the venue’s own rules page is the final word.

How the odds have moved

The top 3 outcomes on both venues, with the consensus between them. Hover for exact values.

  • O/U 223.5
  • O/U 226.5
  • O/U 229.5

Order books

Each venue’s resting orders for the selected outcome’s Yes contract, side by side. Top of book streams live; depth refreshes every 15 seconds.

Polymarket

Open on Polymarket ↗

Top of book

Connecting
Best bid
—
Spread
—
Best ask
—

Waiting for the first live quote…

Depth · top 8 levels

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Recent trades

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Kalshi

Kalshi doesn’t list O/U 223.5 for this event.

What your stake buys

Enter a stake to see where it buys the most after fees, using each venue’s live order book.

$
Buy

Loading both order books…

Buys at the asks resting now (taker orders), cheapest after fees first, from order-book snapshots up to 15 seconds old. Fees: Kalshi 0.07 × price × (1 − price) per share, rounded up to the cent; Polymarket 0.05 × price × (1 − price) per share (sports rate). Fee calculator. Estimates only, not advice.

About this market

Live prediction market odds for "Minnesota vs Orlando". O/U 223.5 leads at 79.5%. Next is O/U 226.5 at 74%. $136K has traded across 48 outcomes on Kalshi and Polymarket. The market is expected to resolve by Oct 25, 2026.

Questions

What does the consensus price mean?

It is the price of a Yes contract that pays $1 if the outcome happens. A 14¢ price means traders put the chance near 14%. Where two venues list the same outcome, we blend their last prices, weighting the venue with more trading volume more heavily (neither counts for less than a quarter). When only one outcome can win, each venue’s prices add up to a little over 100% (its margin); the fair chance removes that margin so the outcomes add up to exactly 100%.

How is the payout worked out?

A Yes contract pays $1 if it wins, so at the best ask a $100 stake buys 100 ÷ ask contracts. At 18¢ that is about 555 contracts, paying $556 (5.56x) if Yes happens. Venue fees and price slippage on larger orders are not included.

Why do the venues show different prices?

Each venue has its own traders, fees and order book. Contracts can also settle on slightly different terms, which is why each row lists how closely the rules match.

Is a price gap an arbitrage?

Only when you can buy Yes on one venue below what someone pays for Yes on the other, after fees, and both contracts settle the same way. We show the executable bid and ask so you can check.

How fresh are these prices?

Venue prices refresh every few minutes, and the order book and live quotes stream continuously. Each venue’s card shows when we last observed it.

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