The Prediction Markets

Minnesota vs Orlando: 1st Half Spread

Closes
Oct 25, 2026, in 2 days
Traded
$4K
Venues
Kalshi
Prices updated
just now
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What the markets expect

Minnesota wins by over 1.5 points 45%

Next is Orlando wins by over 1.5 points at 44%. Only Kalshi lists this market, so there is no second price to compare.

Odds by venue

Consensus blends each venue’s last price, weighted by how much has traded there. Best Yes price is the cheapest ask across venues, and the payout is what a winning $100 stake returns before fees. Open a row for each venue’s contract name, bid and ask, and how closely their rules match.

Prices come from our regular polls of each venue. Ages are as of when this page was built.

  • Kalshi
Minnesota wins by over 1.5 points
45%
Kalshi 45%polled, 35s agoBest Yes 45¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $222 (2.22x)
Kalshi
Contract
Minnesota wins by over 1.5 points
Last price
45%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
45¢
Sell Yes
44¢
$100 on Yes pays
$222 (2.22x)
Volume
$4K
Trade this on Kalshi
Orlando wins by over 1.5 points
44%
Kalshi 44%polled, 35s agoBest Yes 45¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $222 (2.22x)
Kalshi
Contract
Orlando wins by over 1.5 points
Last price
44%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
45¢
Sell Yes
43¢
$100 on Yes pays
$222 (2.22x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Orlando wins by over 2.5 points
41%
Kalshi 41%polled, 35s agoBest Yes 42¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $238 (2.38x)
Kalshi
Contract
Orlando wins by over 2.5 points
Last price
41%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
42¢
Sell Yes
40¢
$100 on Yes pays
$238 (2.38x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Minnesota wins by over 3.5 points
39%
Kalshi 39%polled, 35s agoBest Yes 39¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $256 (2.56x)
Kalshi
Contract
Minnesota wins by over 3.5 points
Last price
39%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
39¢
Sell Yes
35¢
$100 on Yes pays
$256 (2.56x)
Volume
$49
Trade this on Kalshi
Orlando wins by over 4.5 points
34%
Kalshi 34%polled, 35s agoBest Yes 36¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $278 (2.78x)
Kalshi
Contract
Orlando wins by over 4.5 points
Last price
34%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
36¢
Sell Yes
32¢
$100 on Yes pays
$278 (2.78x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Minnesota wins by over 5.5 points
31%
Kalshi 31%polled, 35s agoBest Yes 31¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $323 (3.23x)
Kalshi
Contract
Minnesota wins by over 5.5 points
Last price
31%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
31¢
Sell Yes
29¢
$100 on Yes pays
$323 (3.23x)
Volume
$92
Trade this on Kalshi
Orlando wins by over 6.5 points
27%
Kalshi 27%polled, 35s agoBest Yes 29¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $345 (3.45x)
Kalshi
Contract
Orlando wins by over 6.5 points
Last price
27%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
29¢
Sell Yes
25¢
$100 on Yes pays
$345 (3.45x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Minnesota wins by over 7.5 points
24%
Kalshi 24%polled, 35s agoBest Yes 26¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $385 (3.85x)
Kalshi
Contract
Minnesota wins by over 7.5 points
Last price
24%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
26¢
Sell Yes
22¢
$100 on Yes pays
$385 (3.85x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Minnesota wins by over 9.5 points
20%
Kalshi 20%polled, 35s agoBest Yes 20¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $500 (5.00x)
Kalshi
Contract
Minnesota wins by over 9.5 points
Last price
20%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
20¢
Sell Yes
16¢
$100 on Yes pays
$500 (5.00x)
Volume
$132
Trade this on Kalshi
Orlando wins by over 8.5 points
19.5%
Kalshi 19.5%polled, 35s agoBest Yes 23¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $435 (4.35x)
Kalshi
Contract
Orlando wins by over 8.5 points
Last price
19.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
23¢
Sell Yes
16¢
$100 on Yes pays
$435 (4.35x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Show 9 more outcomes
Orlando wins by over 10.5 points
14.5%
Kalshi 14.5%polled, 35s agoBest Yes 18¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $556 (5.56x)
Kalshi
Contract
Orlando wins by over 10.5 points
Last price
14.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
18¢
Sell Yes
11¢
$100 on Yes pays
$556 (5.56x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Minnesota wins by over 11.5 points
14%
Kalshi 14%polled, 35s agoBest Yes 14¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $714 (7.14x)
Kalshi
Contract
Minnesota wins by over 11.5 points
Last price
14%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
14¢
Sell Yes
10¢
$100 on Yes pays
$714 (7.14x)
Volume
$131
Trade this on Kalshi
Orlando wins by over 12.5 points
12.5%
Kalshi 12.5%polled, 35s agoBest Yes 15¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $667 (6.67x)
Kalshi
Contract
Orlando wins by over 12.5 points
Last price
12.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
15¢
Sell Yes
10¢
$100 on Yes pays
$667 (6.67x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Minnesota wins by over 13.5 points
9.5%
Kalshi 9.5%polled, 35s agoBest Yes 12¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $833 (8.33x)
Kalshi
Contract
Minnesota wins by over 13.5 points
Last price
9.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
12¢
Sell Yes
7¢
$100 on Yes pays
$833 (8.33x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Orlando wins by over 14.5 points
9.5%
Kalshi 9.5%polled, 35s agoBest Yes 12¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $833 (8.33x)
Kalshi
Contract
Orlando wins by over 14.5 points
Last price
9.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
12¢
Sell Yes
7¢
$100 on Yes pays
$833 (8.33x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Minnesota wins by over 15.5 points
7%
Kalshi 7%polled, 35s agoBest Yes 9¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,111 (11.1x)
Kalshi
Contract
Minnesota wins by over 15.5 points
Last price
7%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
9¢
Sell Yes
5¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,111 (11.1x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Orlando wins by over 16.5 points
6.5%
Kalshi 6.5%polled, 35s agoBest Yes 10¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,000 (10.0x)
Kalshi
Contract
Orlando wins by over 16.5 points
Last price
6.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
10¢
Sell Yes
3¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,000 (10.0x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Minnesota wins by over 17.5 points
5.5%
Kalshi 5.5%polled, 35s agoBest Yes 8¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,250 (12.5x)
Kalshi
Contract
Minnesota wins by over 17.5 points
Last price
5.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
8¢
Sell Yes
3¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,250 (12.5x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Minnesota wins by over 19.5 points
3.5%
Kalshi 3.5%polled, 35s agoBest Yes 5¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)
Kalshi
Contract
Minnesota wins by over 19.5 points
Last price
3.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
5¢
Sell Yes
2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$2,000 (20.0x)
Trade this on Kalshi

Who resolves this market

Kalshi
Kalshi resolves via:
Kalshi (CFTC-regulated exchange), source: the Governing League, ESPN

How the odds have moved

The top 3 outcomes on both venues, with the consensus between them. Hover for exact values.

  • Minnesota wins by over 1.5 points
  • Orlando wins by over 1.5 points
  • Orlando wins by over 2.5 points

Order books

Each venue’s resting orders for the selected outcome’s Yes contract, side by side. Top of book streams live; depth refreshes every 15 seconds.

Kalshi

Open on Kalshi ↗

Top of book

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Best bid
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Spread
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Best ask
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Depth · top 8 levels

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Recent trades

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What your stake buys

Enter a stake to see where it buys the most after fees, using each venue’s live order book.

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Buy

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Buys at the asks resting now (taker orders), cheapest after fees first, from order-book snapshots up to 15 seconds old. Fees: Kalshi 0.07 × price × (1 − price) per share, rounded up to the cent; Polymarket 0.05 × price × (1 − price) per share (sports rate). Fee calculator. Estimates only, not advice.

About this market

Live prediction market odds for "Minnesota vs Orlando: 1st Half Spread". Minnesota wins by over 1.5 points leads at 45%. Next is Orlando wins by over 1.5 points at 44%. $4K has traded across 19 outcomes on Kalshi. The market is expected to resolve by Oct 25, 2026.

Questions

What does the consensus price mean?

It is the price of a Yes contract that pays $1 if the outcome happens. A 14¢ price means traders put the chance near 14%. Where two venues list the same outcome, we blend their last prices, weighting the venue with more trading volume more heavily (neither counts for less than a quarter). When only one outcome can win, each venue’s prices add up to a little over 100% (its margin); the fair chance removes that margin so the outcomes add up to exactly 100%.

How is the payout worked out?

A Yes contract pays $1 if it wins, so at the best ask a $100 stake buys 100 ÷ ask contracts. At 18¢ that is about 555 contracts, paying $556 (5.56x) if Yes happens. Venue fees and price slippage on larger orders are not included.

Why do the venues show different prices?

Each venue has its own traders, fees and order book. Contracts can also settle on slightly different terms, which is why each row lists how closely the rules match.

Is a price gap an arbitrage?

Only when you can buy Yes on one venue below what someone pays for Yes on the other, after fees, and both contracts settle the same way. We show the executable bid and ask so you can check.

How fresh are these prices?

Venue prices refresh every few minutes, and the order book and live quotes stream continuously. Each venue’s card shows when we last observed it.

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