The Prediction Markets

Minnesota vs Orlando: Double Double

Closes
Oct 25, 2026, in 1 day
Traded
$1K
Venues
Kalshi
Prices updated
1 h ago
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What the markets expect

LaMelo Ball 48%

Next is Nikola Vučević at 47.5%. Only Kalshi lists this market, so there is no second price to compare.

Odds by venue

Consensus blends each venue’s last price, weighted by how much has traded there. Best Yes price is the cheapest ask across venues, and the payout is what a winning $100 stake returns before fees. Open a row for each venue’s contract name, bid and ask, and how closely their rules match.

Prices come from our regular polls of each venue, the oldest 1 h ago. Ages are as of when this page was built.

  • Kalshi
LaMelo Ball
48%
Kalshi 48%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 59¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $169 (1.69x)
Kalshi
Contract
LaMelo Ball
Last price
48%
As of
Polled 1 h ago
Buy Yes
59¢
Sell Yes
16¢
$100 on Yes pays
$169 (1.69x)
Volume
$482
Trade this on Kalshi
Nikola Vučević
47.5%
Kalshi 47.5%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 94¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $106 (1.06x)
Kalshi
Contract
Nikola Vučević
Last price
47.5%
As of
Polled 1 h ago
Buy Yes
94¢
Sell Yes
1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$106 (1.06x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Paolo Banchero
43%
Kalshi 43%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 64¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $156 (1.56x)
Kalshi
Contract
Paolo Banchero
Last price
43%
As of
Polled 1 h ago
Buy Yes
64¢
Sell Yes
24¢
$100 on Yes pays
$156 (1.56x)
Volume
$57
Trade this on Kalshi
Rudy Gobert
32%
Kalshi 32%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 32¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $313 (3.13x)
Kalshi
Contract
Rudy Gobert
Last price
32%
As of
Polled 1 h ago
Buy Yes
32¢
Sell Yes
24¢
$100 on Yes pays
$313 (3.13x)
Volume
$688
Trade this on Kalshi
Wendell Carter Jr.
17%
Kalshi 17%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 29¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $345 (3.45x)
Kalshi
Contract
Wendell Carter Jr.
Last price
17%
As of
Polled 1 h ago
Buy Yes
29¢
Sell Yes
12¢
$100 on Yes pays
$345 (3.45x)
Volume
$20
Trade this on Kalshi

Who resolves this market

Kalshi
Kalshi resolves via:
Kalshi (CFTC-regulated exchange), source: the Governing League, ESPN

How the odds have moved

The top 3 outcomes on both venues, with the consensus between them. Hover for exact values.

  • LaMelo Ball
  • Nikola Vučević
  • Paolo Banchero

Order books

Each venue’s resting orders for the selected outcome’s Yes contract, side by side. Top of book streams live; depth refreshes every 15 seconds.

Kalshi

Open on Kalshi ↗

Top of book

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Best ask
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Depth · top 8 levels

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Recent trades

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What your stake buys

Enter a stake to see where it buys the most after fees, using each venue’s live order book.

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Buy

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Buys at the asks resting now (taker orders), cheapest after fees first, from order-book snapshots up to 15 seconds old. Fees: Kalshi 0.07 × price × (1 − price) per share, rounded up to the cent; Polymarket 0.05 × price × (1 − price) per share (sports rate). Fee calculator. Estimates only, not advice.

About this market

Live prediction market odds for "Minnesota vs Orlando: Double Double". LaMelo Ball leads at 48%. Next is Nikola Vučević at 47.5%. $1K has traded across 5 outcomes on Kalshi. The market is expected to resolve by Oct 25, 2026.

Questions

What does the consensus price mean?

It is the price of a Yes contract that pays $1 if the outcome happens. A 14¢ price means traders put the chance near 14%. Where two venues list the same outcome, we blend their last prices, weighting the venue with more trading volume more heavily (neither counts for less than a quarter). When only one outcome can win, each venue’s prices add up to a little over 100% (its margin); the fair chance removes that margin so the outcomes add up to exactly 100%.

How is the payout worked out?

A Yes contract pays $1 if it wins, so at the best ask a $100 stake buys 100 ÷ ask contracts. At 18¢ that is about 555 contracts, paying $556 (5.56x) if Yes happens. Venue fees and price slippage on larger orders are not included.

Why do the venues show different prices?

Each venue has its own traders, fees and order book. Contracts can also settle on slightly different terms, which is why each row lists how closely the rules match.

Is a price gap an arbitrage?

Only when you can buy Yes on one venue below what someone pays for Yes on the other, after fees, and both contracts settle the same way. We show the executable bid and ask so you can check.

How fresh are these prices?

Venue prices refresh every few minutes, and the order book and live quotes stream continuously. Each venue’s card shows when we last observed it.

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