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What the markets expect
Minnesota wins by over 1.5 points 52%
Next is Minnesota wins by over 2.5 points at 48%. Only Kalshi lists this market, so there is no second price to compare.
Odds by venue
Consensus blends each venue’s last price, weighted by how much has traded there. Best Yes price is the cheapest ask across venues, and the payout is what a winning $100 stake returns before fees. Open a row for each venue’s contract name, bid and ask, and how closely their rules match.
Prices come from our regular polls of each venue. Ages are as of when this page was built.
- Kalshi
Outcome
Consensus
Venue prices on a 0–100% scale
Kalshi
Best Yes price
Minnesota wins by over 1.5 points52%52%50¢ bid, 52¢ askpolled, 33s ago52¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $192 (1.92x)Minnesota wins by over 1.5 points52%Kalshi 52%polled, 33s agoBest Yes 52¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $192 (1.92x)
Minnesota wins by over 1.5 points
52%
52%
50¢ bid, 52¢ ask
polled, 33s ago
52¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $192 (1.92x)
Minnesota wins by over 1.5 points
52%
Kalshi 52%polled, 33s agoBest Yes 52¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $192 (1.92x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Minnesota wins by over 1.5 points
- Last price
- 52%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 52¢
- Sell Yes
- 50¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $192 (1.92x)
- Volume
- $5K
Minnesota wins by over 2.5 points48%48%47¢ bid, 48¢ askpolled, 33s ago48¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $208 (2.08x)Minnesota wins by over 2.5 points48%Kalshi 48%polled, 33s agoBest Yes 48¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $208 (2.08x)
Minnesota wins by over 2.5 points
48%
48%
47¢ bid, 48¢ ask
polled, 33s ago
48¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $208 (2.08x)
Minnesota wins by over 2.5 points
48%
Kalshi 48%polled, 33s agoBest Yes 48¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $208 (2.08x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Minnesota wins by over 2.5 points
- Last price
- 48%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 48¢
- Sell Yes
- 47¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $208 (2.08x)
- Volume
- $4K
Minnesota wins by over 3.5 points45%45%44¢ bid, 45¢ askpolled, 33s ago45¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $222 (2.22x)Minnesota wins by over 3.5 points45%Kalshi 45%polled, 33s agoBest Yes 45¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $222 (2.22x)
Minnesota wins by over 3.5 points
45%
45%
44¢ bid, 45¢ ask
polled, 33s ago
45¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $222 (2.22x)
Minnesota wins by over 3.5 points
45%
Kalshi 45%polled, 33s agoBest Yes 45¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $222 (2.22x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Minnesota wins by over 3.5 points
- Last price
- 45%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 45¢
- Sell Yes
- 44¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $222 (2.22x)
- Volume
- $837
Orlando wins by over 1.5 points44%44%43¢ bid, 45¢ askpolled, 33s ago45¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $222 (2.22x)Orlando wins by over 1.5 points44%Kalshi 44%polled, 33s agoBest Yes 45¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $222 (2.22x)
Orlando wins by over 1.5 points
44%
44%
43¢ bid, 45¢ ask
polled, 33s ago
45¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $222 (2.22x)
Orlando wins by over 1.5 points
44%
Kalshi 44%polled, 33s agoBest Yes 45¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $222 (2.22x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Orlando wins by over 1.5 points
- Last price
- 44%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 45¢
- Sell Yes
- 43¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $222 (2.22x)
- Volume
- $328
Minnesota wins by over 4.5 points42%42%41¢ bid, 42¢ askpolled, 33s ago42¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $238 (2.38x)Minnesota wins by over 4.5 points42%Kalshi 42%polled, 33s agoBest Yes 42¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $238 (2.38x)
Minnesota wins by over 4.5 points
42%
42%
41¢ bid, 42¢ ask
polled, 33s ago
42¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $238 (2.38x)
Minnesota wins by over 4.5 points
42%
Kalshi 42%polled, 33s agoBest Yes 42¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $238 (2.38x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Minnesota wins by over 4.5 points
- Last price
- 42%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 42¢
- Sell Yes
- 41¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $238 (2.38x)
- Volume
- $614
Orlando wins by over 2.5 points40%40%40¢ bid, 41¢ askpolled, 33s ago41¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $244 (2.44x)Orlando wins by over 2.5 points40%Kalshi 40%polled, 33s agoBest Yes 41¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $244 (2.44x)
Orlando wins by over 2.5 points
40%
40%
40¢ bid, 41¢ ask
polled, 33s ago
41¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $244 (2.44x)
Orlando wins by over 2.5 points
40%
Kalshi 40%polled, 33s agoBest Yes 41¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $244 (2.44x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Orlando wins by over 2.5 points
- Last price
- 40%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 41¢
- Sell Yes
- 40¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $244 (2.44x)
- Volume
- $67
Minnesota wins by over 5.5 points39%39%37¢ bid, 39¢ askpolled, 33s ago39¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $256 (2.56x)Minnesota wins by over 5.5 points39%Kalshi 39%polled, 33s agoBest Yes 39¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $256 (2.56x)
Minnesota wins by over 5.5 points
39%
39%
37¢ bid, 39¢ ask
polled, 33s ago
39¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $256 (2.56x)
Minnesota wins by over 5.5 points
39%
Kalshi 39%polled, 33s agoBest Yes 39¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $256 (2.56x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Minnesota wins by over 5.5 points
- Last price
- 39%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 39¢
- Sell Yes
- 37¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $256 (2.56x)
- Volume
- $215
Minnesota wins by over 6.5 points38%38%36¢ bid, 38¢ askpolled, 33s ago38¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $263 (2.63x)Minnesota wins by over 6.5 points38%Kalshi 38%polled, 33s agoBest Yes 38¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $263 (2.63x)
Minnesota wins by over 6.5 points
38%
38%
36¢ bid, 38¢ ask
polled, 33s ago
38¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $263 (2.63x)
Minnesota wins by over 6.5 points
38%
Kalshi 38%polled, 33s agoBest Yes 38¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $263 (2.63x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Minnesota wins by over 6.5 points
- Last price
- 38%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 38¢
- Sell Yes
- 36¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $263 (2.63x)
- Volume
- $456
Orlando wins by over 3.5 points36%36%36¢ bid, 38¢ askpolled, 33s ago38¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $263 (2.63x)Orlando wins by over 3.5 points36%Kalshi 36%polled, 33s agoBest Yes 38¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $263 (2.63x)
Orlando wins by over 3.5 points
36%
36%
36¢ bid, 38¢ ask
polled, 33s ago
38¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $263 (2.63x)
Orlando wins by over 3.5 points
36%
Kalshi 36%polled, 33s agoBest Yes 38¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $263 (2.63x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Orlando wins by over 3.5 points
- Last price
- 36%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 38¢
- Sell Yes
- 36¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $263 (2.63x)
- Volume
- $270
Orlando wins by over 4.5 points34.5%34.5%33¢ bid, 36¢ askpolled, 33s ago36¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $278 (2.78x)Orlando wins by over 4.5 points34.5%Kalshi 34.5%polled, 33s agoBest Yes 36¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $278 (2.78x)
Orlando wins by over 4.5 points
34.5%
34.5%
33¢ bid, 36¢ ask
polled, 33s ago
36¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $278 (2.78x)
Orlando wins by over 4.5 points
34.5%
Kalshi 34.5%polled, 33s agoBest Yes 36¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $278 (2.78x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Orlando wins by over 4.5 points
- Last price
- 34.5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 36¢
- Sell Yes
- 33¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $278 (2.78x)
Show 23 more outcomesHide 23 outcomes
Minnesota wins by over 7.5 points33%33%32¢ bid, 34¢ askpolled, 33s ago34¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $294 (2.94x)Minnesota wins by over 7.5 points33%Kalshi 33%polled, 33s agoBest Yes 34¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $294 (2.94x)
Minnesota wins by over 7.5 points
33%
33%
32¢ bid, 34¢ ask
polled, 33s ago
34¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $294 (2.94x)
Minnesota wins by over 7.5 points
33%
Kalshi 33%polled, 33s agoBest Yes 34¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $294 (2.94x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Minnesota wins by over 7.5 points
- Last price
- 33%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 34¢
- Sell Yes
- 32¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $294 (2.94x)
- Volume
- $376
Orlando wins by over 5.5 points32.5%32.5%31¢ bid, 34¢ askpolled, 33s ago34¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $294 (2.94x)Orlando wins by over 5.5 points32.5%Kalshi 32.5%polled, 33s agoBest Yes 34¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $294 (2.94x)
Orlando wins by over 5.5 points
32.5%
32.5%
31¢ bid, 34¢ ask
polled, 33s ago
34¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $294 (2.94x)
Orlando wins by over 5.5 points
32.5%
Kalshi 32.5%polled, 33s agoBest Yes 34¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $294 (2.94x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Orlando wins by over 5.5 points
- Last price
- 32.5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 34¢
- Sell Yes
- 31¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $294 (2.94x)
Orlando wins by over 6.5 points31%31%27¢ bid, 31¢ askpolled, 33s ago31¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $323 (3.23x)Orlando wins by over 6.5 points31%Kalshi 31%polled, 33s agoBest Yes 31¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $323 (3.23x)
Orlando wins by over 6.5 points
31%
31%
27¢ bid, 31¢ ask
polled, 33s ago
31¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $323 (3.23x)
Orlando wins by over 6.5 points
31%
Kalshi 31%polled, 33s agoBest Yes 31¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $323 (3.23x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Orlando wins by over 6.5 points
- Last price
- 31%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 31¢
- Sell Yes
- 27¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $323 (3.23x)
- Volume
- $31
Minnesota wins by over 9.5 points29%29%26¢ bid, 29¢ askpolled, 33s ago29¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $345 (3.45x)Minnesota wins by over 9.5 points29%Kalshi 29%polled, 33s agoBest Yes 29¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $345 (3.45x)
Minnesota wins by over 9.5 points
29%
29%
26¢ bid, 29¢ ask
polled, 33s ago
29¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $345 (3.45x)
Minnesota wins by over 9.5 points
29%
Kalshi 29%polled, 33s agoBest Yes 29¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $345 (3.45x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Minnesota wins by over 9.5 points
- Last price
- 29%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 29¢
- Sell Yes
- 26¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $345 (3.45x)
- Volume
- $1K
Orlando wins by over 8.5 points24.5%24.5%23¢ bid, 26¢ askpolled, 33s ago26¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $385 (3.85x)Orlando wins by over 8.5 points24.5%Kalshi 24.5%polled, 33s agoBest Yes 26¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $385 (3.85x)
Orlando wins by over 8.5 points
24.5%
24.5%
23¢ bid, 26¢ ask
polled, 33s ago
26¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $385 (3.85x)
Orlando wins by over 8.5 points
24.5%
Kalshi 24.5%polled, 33s agoBest Yes 26¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $385 (3.85x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Orlando wins by over 8.5 points
- Last price
- 24.5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 26¢
- Sell Yes
- 23¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $385 (3.85x)
Minnesota wins by over 11.5 points24%24%22¢ bid, 25¢ askpolled, 33s ago25¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $400 (4.00x)Minnesota wins by over 11.5 points24%Kalshi 24%polled, 33s agoBest Yes 25¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $400 (4.00x)
Minnesota wins by over 11.5 points
24%
24%
22¢ bid, 25¢ ask
polled, 33s ago
25¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $400 (4.00x)
Minnesota wins by over 11.5 points
24%
Kalshi 24%polled, 33s agoBest Yes 25¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $400 (4.00x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Minnesota wins by over 11.5 points
- Last price
- 24%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 25¢
- Sell Yes
- 22¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $400 (4.00x)
- Volume
- $898
Minnesota wins by over 13.5 points18%18%18¢ bid, 20¢ askpolled, 33s ago20¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $500 (5.00x)Minnesota wins by over 13.5 points18%Kalshi 18%polled, 33s agoBest Yes 20¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $500 (5.00x)
Minnesota wins by over 13.5 points
18%
18%
18¢ bid, 20¢ ask
polled, 33s ago
20¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $500 (5.00x)
Minnesota wins by over 13.5 points
18%
Kalshi 18%polled, 33s agoBest Yes 20¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $500 (5.00x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Minnesota wins by over 13.5 points
- Last price
- 18%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 20¢
- Sell Yes
- 18¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $500 (5.00x)
- Volume
- $640
Minnesota wins by over 15.5 points17%17%14¢ bid, 17¢ askpolled, 33s ago17¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $588 (5.88x)Minnesota wins by over 15.5 points17%Kalshi 17%polled, 33s agoBest Yes 17¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $588 (5.88x)
Minnesota wins by over 15.5 points
17%
17%
14¢ bid, 17¢ ask
polled, 33s ago
17¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $588 (5.88x)
Minnesota wins by over 15.5 points
17%
Kalshi 17%polled, 33s agoBest Yes 17¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $588 (5.88x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Minnesota wins by over 15.5 points
- Last price
- 17%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 17¢
- Sell Yes
- 14¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $588 (5.88x)
- Volume
- $451
Orlando wins by over 10.5 points17%17%17¢ bid, 20¢ askpolled, 33s ago20¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $500 (5.00x)Orlando wins by over 10.5 points17%Kalshi 17%polled, 33s agoBest Yes 20¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $500 (5.00x)
Orlando wins by over 10.5 points
17%
17%
17¢ bid, 20¢ ask
polled, 33s ago
20¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $500 (5.00x)
Orlando wins by over 10.5 points
17%
Kalshi 17%polled, 33s agoBest Yes 20¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $500 (5.00x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Orlando wins by over 10.5 points
- Last price
- 17%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 20¢
- Sell Yes
- 17¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $500 (5.00x)
- Volume
- $320
Orlando wins by over 12.5 points15.5%15.5%14¢ bid, 17¢ askpolled, 33s ago17¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $588 (5.88x)Orlando wins by over 12.5 points15.5%Kalshi 15.5%polled, 33s agoBest Yes 17¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $588 (5.88x)
Orlando wins by over 12.5 points
15.5%
15.5%
14¢ bid, 17¢ ask
polled, 33s ago
17¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $588 (5.88x)
Orlando wins by over 12.5 points
15.5%
Kalshi 15.5%polled, 33s agoBest Yes 17¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $588 (5.88x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Orlando wins by over 12.5 points
- Last price
- 15.5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 17¢
- Sell Yes
- 14¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $588 (5.88x)
Orlando wins by over 14.5 points12%12%10¢ bid, 14¢ askpolled, 33s ago14¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $714 (7.14x)Orlando wins by over 14.5 points12%Kalshi 12%polled, 33s agoBest Yes 14¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $714 (7.14x)
Orlando wins by over 14.5 points
12%
12%
10¢ bid, 14¢ ask
polled, 33s ago
14¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $714 (7.14x)
Orlando wins by over 14.5 points
12%
Kalshi 12%polled, 33s agoBest Yes 14¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $714 (7.14x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Orlando wins by over 14.5 points
- Last price
- 12%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 14¢
- Sell Yes
- 10¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $714 (7.14x)
Minnesota wins by over 17.5 points11%11%9¢ bid, 13¢ askpolled, 33s ago13¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $769 (7.69x)Minnesota wins by over 17.5 points11%Kalshi 11%polled, 33s agoBest Yes 13¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $769 (7.69x)
Minnesota wins by over 17.5 points
11%
11%
9¢ bid, 13¢ ask
polled, 33s ago
13¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $769 (7.69x)
Minnesota wins by over 17.5 points
11%
Kalshi 11%polled, 33s agoBest Yes 13¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $769 (7.69x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Minnesota wins by over 17.5 points
- Last price
- 11%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 13¢
- Sell Yes
- 9¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $769 (7.69x)
Minnesota wins by over 19.5 points10%10%8¢ bid, 11¢ askpolled, 33s ago11¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $909 (9.09x)Minnesota wins by over 19.5 points10%Kalshi 10%polled, 33s agoBest Yes 11¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $909 (9.09x)
Minnesota wins by over 19.5 points
10%
10%
8¢ bid, 11¢ ask
polled, 33s ago
11¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $909 (9.09x)
Minnesota wins by over 19.5 points
10%
Kalshi 10%polled, 33s agoBest Yes 11¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $909 (9.09x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Minnesota wins by over 19.5 points
- Last price
- 10%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 11¢
- Sell Yes
- 8¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $909 (9.09x)
- Volume
- $328
Orlando wins by over 16.5 points9.5%9.5%8¢ bid, 11¢ askpolled, 33s ago11¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $909 (9.09x)Orlando wins by over 16.5 points9.5%Kalshi 9.5%polled, 33s agoBest Yes 11¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $909 (9.09x)
Orlando wins by over 16.5 points
9.5%
9.5%
8¢ bid, 11¢ ask
polled, 33s ago
11¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $909 (9.09x)
Orlando wins by over 16.5 points
9.5%
Kalshi 9.5%polled, 33s agoBest Yes 11¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $909 (9.09x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Orlando wins by over 16.5 points
- Last price
- 9.5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 11¢
- Sell Yes
- 8¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $909 (9.09x)
Orlando wins by over 18.5 points8%8%7¢ bid, 9¢ askpolled, 33s ago9¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $1,111 (11.1x)Orlando wins by over 18.5 points8%Kalshi 8%polled, 33s agoBest Yes 9¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,111 (11.1x)
Orlando wins by over 18.5 points
8%
8%
7¢ bid, 9¢ ask
polled, 33s ago
9¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $1,111 (11.1x)
Orlando wins by over 18.5 points
8%
Kalshi 8%polled, 33s agoBest Yes 9¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,111 (11.1x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Orlando wins by over 18.5 points
- Last price
- 8%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 9¢
- Sell Yes
- 7¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,111 (11.1x)
Minnesota wins by over 21.5 points7%7%6¢ bid, 7¢ askpolled, 33s ago7¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $1,429 (14.3x)Minnesota wins by over 21.5 points7%Kalshi 7%polled, 33s agoBest Yes 7¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,429 (14.3x)
Minnesota wins by over 21.5 points
7%
7%
6¢ bid, 7¢ ask
polled, 33s ago
7¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $1,429 (14.3x)
Minnesota wins by over 21.5 points
7%
Kalshi 7%polled, 33s agoBest Yes 7¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,429 (14.3x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Minnesota wins by over 21.5 points
- Last price
- 7%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 7¢
- Sell Yes
- 6¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,429 (14.3x)
- Volume
- $519
Minnesota wins by over 23.5 points5%5%4¢ bid, 6¢ askpolled, 33s ago6¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $1,667 (16.7x)Minnesota wins by over 23.5 points5%Kalshi 5%polled, 33s agoBest Yes 6¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,667 (16.7x)
Minnesota wins by over 23.5 points
5%
5%
4¢ bid, 6¢ ask
polled, 33s ago
6¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $1,667 (16.7x)
Minnesota wins by over 23.5 points
5%
Kalshi 5%polled, 33s agoBest Yes 6¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,667 (16.7x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Minnesota wins by over 23.5 points
- Last price
- 5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 6¢
- Sell Yes
- 4¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,667 (16.7x)
Orlando wins by over 20.5 points5%5%5¢ bid, 6¢ askpolled, 33s ago6¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $1,667 (16.7x)Orlando wins by over 20.5 points5%Kalshi 5%polled, 33s agoBest Yes 6¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,667 (16.7x)
Orlando wins by over 20.5 points
5%
5%
5¢ bid, 6¢ ask
polled, 33s ago
6¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $1,667 (16.7x)
Orlando wins by over 20.5 points
5%
Kalshi 5%polled, 33s agoBest Yes 6¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,667 (16.7x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Orlando wins by over 20.5 points
- Last price
- 5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 6¢
- Sell Yes
- 5¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,667 (16.7x)
- Volume
- $253
Orlando wins by over 22.5 points4.5%4.5%3¢ bid, 6¢ askpolled, 33s ago6¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $1,667 (16.7x)Orlando wins by over 22.5 points4.5%Kalshi 4.5%polled, 33s agoBest Yes 6¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,667 (16.7x)
Orlando wins by over 22.5 points
4.5%
4.5%
3¢ bid, 6¢ ask
polled, 33s ago
6¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $1,667 (16.7x)
Orlando wins by over 22.5 points
4.5%
Kalshi 4.5%polled, 33s agoBest Yes 6¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,667 (16.7x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Orlando wins by over 22.5 points
- Last price
- 4.5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 6¢
- Sell Yes
- 3¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,667 (16.7x)
Minnesota wins by over 25.5 points3.5%3.5%2¢ bid, 5¢ askpolled, 33s ago5¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)Minnesota wins by over 25.5 points3.5%Kalshi 3.5%polled, 33s agoBest Yes 5¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)
Minnesota wins by over 25.5 points
3.5%
3.5%
2¢ bid, 5¢ ask
polled, 33s ago
5¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)
Minnesota wins by over 25.5 points
3.5%
Kalshi 3.5%polled, 33s agoBest Yes 5¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Minnesota wins by over 25.5 points
- Last price
- 3.5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 5¢
- Sell Yes
- 2¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $2,000 (20.0x)
Orlando wins by over 24.5 points3.5%3.5%2¢ bid, 5¢ askpolled, 33s ago5¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)Orlando wins by over 24.5 points3.5%Kalshi 3.5%polled, 33s agoBest Yes 5¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)
Orlando wins by over 24.5 points
3.5%
3.5%
2¢ bid, 5¢ ask
polled, 33s ago
5¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)
Orlando wins by over 24.5 points
3.5%
Kalshi 3.5%polled, 33s agoBest Yes 5¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Orlando wins by over 24.5 points
- Last price
- 3.5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 5¢
- Sell Yes
- 2¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $2,000 (20.0x)
Minnesota wins by over 27.5 points3%3%2¢ bid, 4¢ askpolled, 33s ago4¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)Minnesota wins by over 27.5 points3%Kalshi 3%polled, 33s agoBest Yes 4¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)
Minnesota wins by over 27.5 points
3%
3%
2¢ bid, 4¢ ask
polled, 33s ago
4¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)
Minnesota wins by over 27.5 points
3%
Kalshi 3%polled, 33s agoBest Yes 4¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Minnesota wins by over 27.5 points
- Last price
- 3%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 4¢
- Sell Yes
- 2¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $2,500 (25.0x)
Orlando wins by over 26.5 points3%3%2¢ bid, 4¢ askpolled, 33s ago4¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)Orlando wins by over 26.5 points3%Kalshi 3%polled, 33s agoBest Yes 4¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)
Orlando wins by over 26.5 points
3%
3%
2¢ bid, 4¢ ask
polled, 33s ago
4¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)
Orlando wins by over 26.5 points
3%
Kalshi 3%polled, 33s agoBest Yes 4¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Orlando wins by over 26.5 points
- Last price
- 3%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 4¢
- Sell Yes
- 2¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $2,500 (25.0x)
Who resolves this market
- Kalshi resolves via:
- Kalshi (CFTC-regulated exchange), source: the Governing League, ESPN
How the odds have moved
The top 3 outcomes on both venues, with the consensus between them. Hover for exact values.
- Minnesota wins by over 1.5 points
- Minnesota wins by over 2.5 points
- Minnesota wins by over 3.5 points
Order books
Each venue’s resting orders for the selected outcome’s Yes contract, side by side. Top of book streams live; depth refreshes every 15 seconds.
What your stake buys
Enter a stake to see where it buys the most after fees, using each venue’s live order book.
$
Buy
Loading both order books…
Buys at the asks resting now (taker orders), cheapest after fees first, from order-book snapshots up to 15 seconds old. Fees: Kalshi 0.07 × price × (1 − price) per share, rounded up to the cent; Polymarket 0.05 × price × (1 − price) per share (sports rate). Fee calculator. Estimates only, not advice.
About this market
Live prediction market odds for "Minnesota vs Orlando: Spread". Minnesota wins by over 1.5 points leads at 52%. Next is Minnesota wins by over 2.5 points at 48%. $16K has traded across 33 outcomes on Kalshi. The market is expected to resolve by Oct 25, 2026.
Questions
What does the consensus price mean?
It is the price of a Yes contract that pays $1 if the outcome happens. A 14¢ price means traders put the chance near 14%. Where two venues list the same outcome, we blend their last prices, weighting the venue with more trading volume more heavily (neither counts for less than a quarter). When only one outcome can win, each venue’s prices add up to a little over 100% (its margin); the fair chance removes that margin so the outcomes add up to exactly 100%.
How is the payout worked out?
A Yes contract pays $1 if it wins, so at the best ask a $100 stake buys 100 ÷ ask contracts. At 18¢ that is about 555 contracts, paying $556 (5.56x) if Yes happens. Venue fees and price slippage on larger orders are not included.
Why do the venues show different prices?
Each venue has its own traders, fees and order book. Contracts can also settle on slightly different terms, which is why each row lists how closely the rules match.
Is a price gap an arbitrage?
Only when you can buy Yes on one venue below what someone pays for Yes on the other, after fees, and both contracts settle the same way. We show the executable bid and ask so you can check.
How fresh are these prices?
Venue prices refresh every few minutes, and the order book and live quotes stream continuously. Each venue’s card shows when we last observed it.
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