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What the markets expect
Over 209.5 points 94%
Next is Over 211.5 points at 93%. Only Kalshi lists this market, so there is no second price to compare.
Odds by venue
Consensus blends each venue’s last price, weighted by how much has traded there. Best Yes price is the cheapest ask across venues, and the payout is what a winning $100 stake returns before fees. Open a row for each venue’s contract name, bid and ask, and how closely their rules match.
Prices come from our regular polls of each venue. Ages are as of when this page was built.
- Kalshi
Outcome
Consensus
Venue prices on a 0–100% scale
Kalshi
Best Yes price
Over 209.5 points94%94%93¢ bid, 94¢ askpolled, 45s ago94¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $106 (1.06x)Over 209.5 points94%Kalshi 94%polled, 45s agoBest Yes 94¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $106 (1.06x)
Over 209.5 points
94%
94%
93¢ bid, 94¢ ask
polled, 45s ago
94¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $106 (1.06x)
Over 209.5 points
94%
Kalshi 94%polled, 45s agoBest Yes 94¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $106 (1.06x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Over 209.5 points
- Last price
- 94%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 94¢
- Sell Yes
- 93¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $106 (1.06x)
- Volume
- $540
Over 211.5 points93%93%91¢ bid, 93¢ askpolled, 45s ago93¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $108 (1.08x)Over 211.5 points93%Kalshi 93%polled, 45s agoBest Yes 93¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $108 (1.08x)
Over 211.5 points
93%
93%
91¢ bid, 93¢ ask
polled, 45s ago
93¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $108 (1.08x)
Over 211.5 points
93%
Kalshi 93%polled, 45s agoBest Yes 93¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $108 (1.08x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Over 211.5 points
- Last price
- 93%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 93¢
- Sell Yes
- 91¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $108 (1.08x)
- Volume
- $4
Over 213.5 points89.5%89.5%88¢ bid, 91¢ askpolled, 45s ago91¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $110 (1.10x)Over 213.5 points89.5%Kalshi 89.5%polled, 45s agoBest Yes 91¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $110 (1.10x)
Over 213.5 points
89.5%
89.5%
88¢ bid, 91¢ ask
polled, 45s ago
91¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $110 (1.10x)
Over 213.5 points
89.5%
Kalshi 89.5%polled, 45s agoBest Yes 91¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $110 (1.10x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Over 213.5 points
- Last price
- 89.5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 91¢
- Sell Yes
- 88¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $110 (1.10x)
Over 215.5 points89%89%86¢ bid, 89¢ askpolled, 45s ago89¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $112 (1.12x)Over 215.5 points89%Kalshi 89%polled, 45s agoBest Yes 89¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $112 (1.12x)
Over 215.5 points
89%
89%
86¢ bid, 89¢ ask
polled, 45s ago
89¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $112 (1.12x)
Over 215.5 points
89%
Kalshi 89%polled, 45s agoBest Yes 89¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $112 (1.12x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Over 215.5 points
- Last price
- 89%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 89¢
- Sell Yes
- 86¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $112 (1.12x)
Over 217.5 points84.5%84.5%83¢ bid, 86¢ askpolled, 45s ago86¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $116 (1.16x)Over 217.5 points84.5%Kalshi 84.5%polled, 45s agoBest Yes 86¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $116 (1.16x)
Over 217.5 points
84.5%
84.5%
83¢ bid, 86¢ ask
polled, 45s ago
86¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $116 (1.16x)
Over 217.5 points
84.5%
Kalshi 84.5%polled, 45s agoBest Yes 86¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $116 (1.16x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Over 217.5 points
- Last price
- 84.5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 86¢
- Sell Yes
- 83¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $116 (1.16x)
Over 219.5 points83%83%80¢ bid, 83¢ askpolled, 45s ago83¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $120 (1.20x)Over 219.5 points83%Kalshi 83%polled, 45s agoBest Yes 83¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $120 (1.20x)
Over 219.5 points
83%
83%
80¢ bid, 83¢ ask
polled, 45s ago
83¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $120 (1.20x)
Over 219.5 points
83%
Kalshi 83%polled, 45s agoBest Yes 83¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $120 (1.20x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Over 219.5 points
- Last price
- 83%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 83¢
- Sell Yes
- 80¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $120 (1.20x)
- Volume
- $1
Over 221.5 points80%80%77¢ bid, 80¢ askpolled, 45s ago80¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $125 (1.25x)Over 221.5 points80%Kalshi 80%polled, 45s agoBest Yes 80¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $125 (1.25x)
Over 221.5 points
80%
80%
77¢ bid, 80¢ ask
polled, 45s ago
80¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $125 (1.25x)
Over 221.5 points
80%
Kalshi 80%polled, 45s agoBest Yes 80¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $125 (1.25x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Over 221.5 points
- Last price
- 80%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 80¢
- Sell Yes
- 77¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $125 (1.25x)
- Volume
- $3
Over 223.5 points72%72%72¢ bid, 75¢ askpolled, 45s ago75¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $133 (1.33x)Over 223.5 points72%Kalshi 72%polled, 45s agoBest Yes 75¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $133 (1.33x)
Over 223.5 points
72%
72%
72¢ bid, 75¢ ask
polled, 45s ago
75¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $133 (1.33x)
Over 223.5 points
72%
Kalshi 72%polled, 45s agoBest Yes 75¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $133 (1.33x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Over 223.5 points
- Last price
- 72%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 75¢
- Sell Yes
- 72¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $133 (1.33x)
- Volume
- $4
Over 225.5 points72%72%69¢ bid, 72¢ askpolled, 45s ago72¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $139 (1.39x)Over 225.5 points72%Kalshi 72%polled, 45s agoBest Yes 72¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $139 (1.39x)
Over 225.5 points
72%
72%
69¢ bid, 72¢ ask
polled, 45s ago
72¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $139 (1.39x)
Over 225.5 points
72%
Kalshi 72%polled, 45s agoBest Yes 72¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $139 (1.39x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Over 225.5 points
- Last price
- 72%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 72¢
- Sell Yes
- 69¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $139 (1.39x)
- Volume
- $32
Over 227.5 points68%68%67¢ bid, 68¢ askpolled, 45s ago68¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $147 (1.47x)Over 227.5 points68%Kalshi 68%polled, 45s agoBest Yes 68¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $147 (1.47x)
Over 227.5 points
68%
68%
67¢ bid, 68¢ ask
polled, 45s ago
68¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $147 (1.47x)
Over 227.5 points
68%
Kalshi 68%polled, 45s agoBest Yes 68¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $147 (1.47x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Over 227.5 points
- Last price
- 68%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 68¢
- Sell Yes
- 67¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $147 (1.47x)
- Volume
- $79
Show 19 more outcomesHide 19 outcomes
Over 229.5 points63%63%61¢ bid, 63¢ askpolled, 45s ago63¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $159 (1.59x)Over 229.5 points63%Kalshi 63%polled, 45s agoBest Yes 63¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $159 (1.59x)
Over 229.5 points
63%
63%
61¢ bid, 63¢ ask
polled, 45s ago
63¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $159 (1.59x)
Over 229.5 points
63%
Kalshi 63%polled, 45s agoBest Yes 63¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $159 (1.59x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Over 229.5 points
- Last price
- 63%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 63¢
- Sell Yes
- 61¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $159 (1.59x)
- Volume
- $14
Over 231.5 points58%58%57¢ bid, 59¢ askpolled, 45s ago59¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $169 (1.69x)Over 231.5 points58%Kalshi 58%polled, 45s agoBest Yes 59¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $169 (1.69x)
Over 231.5 points
58%
58%
57¢ bid, 59¢ ask
polled, 45s ago
59¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $169 (1.69x)
Over 231.5 points
58%
Kalshi 58%polled, 45s agoBest Yes 59¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $169 (1.69x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Over 231.5 points
- Last price
- 58%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 59¢
- Sell Yes
- 57¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $169 (1.69x)
Over 233.5 points52%52%52¢ bid, 54¢ askpolled, 45s ago54¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $185 (1.85x)Over 233.5 points52%Kalshi 52%polled, 45s agoBest Yes 54¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $185 (1.85x)
Over 233.5 points
52%
52%
52¢ bid, 54¢ ask
polled, 45s ago
54¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $185 (1.85x)
Over 233.5 points
52%
Kalshi 52%polled, 45s agoBest Yes 54¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $185 (1.85x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Over 233.5 points
- Last price
- 52%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 54¢
- Sell Yes
- 52¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $185 (1.85x)
Over 235.5 points47%47%47¢ bid, 48¢ askpolled, 45s ago48¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $208 (2.08x)Over 235.5 points47%Kalshi 47%polled, 45s agoBest Yes 48¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $208 (2.08x)
Over 235.5 points
47%
47%
47¢ bid, 48¢ ask
polled, 45s ago
48¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $208 (2.08x)
Over 235.5 points
47%
Kalshi 47%polled, 45s agoBest Yes 48¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $208 (2.08x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Over 235.5 points
- Last price
- 47%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 48¢
- Sell Yes
- 47¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $208 (2.08x)
- Volume
- $42K
Over 237.5 points43%43%43¢ bid, 44¢ askpolled, 45s ago44¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $227 (2.27x)Over 237.5 points43%Kalshi 43%polled, 45s agoBest Yes 44¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $227 (2.27x)
Over 237.5 points
43%
43%
43¢ bid, 44¢ ask
polled, 45s ago
44¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $227 (2.27x)
Over 237.5 points
43%
Kalshi 43%polled, 45s agoBest Yes 44¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $227 (2.27x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Over 237.5 points
- Last price
- 43%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 44¢
- Sell Yes
- 43¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $227 (2.27x)
- Volume
- $58K
Over 239.5 points40%40%40¢ bid, 41¢ askpolled, 45s ago41¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $244 (2.44x)Over 239.5 points40%Kalshi 40%polled, 45s agoBest Yes 41¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $244 (2.44x)
Over 239.5 points
40%
40%
40¢ bid, 41¢ ask
polled, 45s ago
41¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $244 (2.44x)
Over 239.5 points
40%
Kalshi 40%polled, 45s agoBest Yes 41¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $244 (2.44x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Over 239.5 points
- Last price
- 40%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 41¢
- Sell Yes
- 40¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $244 (2.44x)
- Volume
- $10K
Over 241.5 points36%36%36¢ bid, 38¢ askpolled, 45s ago38¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $263 (2.63x)Over 241.5 points36%Kalshi 36%polled, 45s agoBest Yes 38¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $263 (2.63x)
Over 241.5 points
36%
36%
36¢ bid, 38¢ ask
polled, 45s ago
38¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $263 (2.63x)
Over 241.5 points
36%
Kalshi 36%polled, 45s agoBest Yes 38¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $263 (2.63x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Over 241.5 points
- Last price
- 36%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 38¢
- Sell Yes
- 36¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $263 (2.63x)
- Volume
- $0
Over 243.5 points33%33%31¢ bid, 34¢ askpolled, 45s ago34¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $294 (2.94x)Over 243.5 points33%Kalshi 33%polled, 45s agoBest Yes 34¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $294 (2.94x)
Over 243.5 points
33%
33%
31¢ bid, 34¢ ask
polled, 45s ago
34¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $294 (2.94x)
Over 243.5 points
33%
Kalshi 33%polled, 45s agoBest Yes 34¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $294 (2.94x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Over 243.5 points
- Last price
- 33%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 34¢
- Sell Yes
- 31¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $294 (2.94x)
- Volume
- $29
Over 245.5 points29.5%29.5%29¢ bid, 30¢ askpolled, 45s ago30¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $333 (3.33x)Over 245.5 points29.5%Kalshi 29.5%polled, 45s agoBest Yes 30¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $333 (3.33x)
Over 245.5 points
29.5%
29.5%
29¢ bid, 30¢ ask
polled, 45s ago
30¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $333 (3.33x)
Over 245.5 points
29.5%
Kalshi 29.5%polled, 45s agoBest Yes 30¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $333 (3.33x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Over 245.5 points
- Last price
- 29.5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 30¢
- Sell Yes
- 29¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $333 (3.33x)
Over 247.5 points26%26%26¢ bid, 27¢ askpolled, 45s ago27¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $370 (3.70x)Over 247.5 points26%Kalshi 26%polled, 45s agoBest Yes 27¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $370 (3.70x)
Over 247.5 points
26%
26%
26¢ bid, 27¢ ask
polled, 45s ago
27¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $370 (3.70x)
Over 247.5 points
26%
Kalshi 26%polled, 45s agoBest Yes 27¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $370 (3.70x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Over 247.5 points
- Last price
- 26%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 27¢
- Sell Yes
- 26¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $370 (3.70x)
- Volume
- $100
Over 249.5 points23%23%22¢ bid, 24¢ askpolled, 45s ago24¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $417 (4.17x)Over 249.5 points23%Kalshi 23%polled, 45s agoBest Yes 24¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $417 (4.17x)
Over 249.5 points
23%
23%
22¢ bid, 24¢ ask
polled, 45s ago
24¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $417 (4.17x)
Over 249.5 points
23%
Kalshi 23%polled, 45s agoBest Yes 24¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $417 (4.17x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Over 249.5 points
- Last price
- 23%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 24¢
- Sell Yes
- 22¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $417 (4.17x)
Over 251.5 points19.5%19.5%19¢ bid, 20¢ askpolled, 45s ago20¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $500 (5.00x)Over 251.5 points19.5%Kalshi 19.5%polled, 45s agoBest Yes 20¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $500 (5.00x)
Over 251.5 points
19.5%
19.5%
19¢ bid, 20¢ ask
polled, 45s ago
20¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $500 (5.00x)
Over 251.5 points
19.5%
Kalshi 19.5%polled, 45s agoBest Yes 20¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $500 (5.00x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Over 251.5 points
- Last price
- 19.5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 20¢
- Sell Yes
- 19¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $500 (5.00x)
Over 253.5 points16.5%16.5%15¢ bid, 18¢ askpolled, 45s ago18¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $556 (5.56x)Over 253.5 points16.5%Kalshi 16.5%polled, 45s agoBest Yes 18¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $556 (5.56x)
Over 253.5 points
16.5%
16.5%
15¢ bid, 18¢ ask
polled, 45s ago
18¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $556 (5.56x)
Over 253.5 points
16.5%
Kalshi 16.5%polled, 45s agoBest Yes 18¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $556 (5.56x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Over 253.5 points
- Last price
- 16.5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 18¢
- Sell Yes
- 15¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $556 (5.56x)
Over 255.5 points15%15%12¢ bid, 15¢ askpolled, 45s ago15¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $667 (6.67x)Over 255.5 points15%Kalshi 15%polled, 45s agoBest Yes 15¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $667 (6.67x)
Over 255.5 points
15%
15%
12¢ bid, 15¢ ask
polled, 45s ago
15¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $667 (6.67x)
Over 255.5 points
15%
Kalshi 15%polled, 45s agoBest Yes 15¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $667 (6.67x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Over 255.5 points
- Last price
- 15%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 15¢
- Sell Yes
- 12¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $667 (6.67x)
Over 257.5 points12.5%12.5%12¢ bid, 13¢ askpolled, 45s ago13¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $769 (7.69x)Over 257.5 points12.5%Kalshi 12.5%polled, 45s agoBest Yes 13¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $769 (7.69x)
Over 257.5 points
12.5%
12.5%
12¢ bid, 13¢ ask
polled, 45s ago
13¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $769 (7.69x)
Over 257.5 points
12.5%
Kalshi 12.5%polled, 45s agoBest Yes 13¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $769 (7.69x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Over 257.5 points
- Last price
- 12.5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 13¢
- Sell Yes
- 12¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $769 (7.69x)
Over 259.5 points10%10%10¢ bid, 11¢ askpolled, 45s ago11¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $909 (9.09x)Over 259.5 points10%Kalshi 10%polled, 45s agoBest Yes 11¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $909 (9.09x)
Over 259.5 points
10%
10%
10¢ bid, 11¢ ask
polled, 45s ago
11¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $909 (9.09x)
Over 259.5 points
10%
Kalshi 10%polled, 45s agoBest Yes 11¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $909 (9.09x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Over 259.5 points
- Last price
- 10%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 11¢
- Sell Yes
- 10¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $909 (9.09x)
- Volume
- $342
Over 261.5 points8%8%6¢ bid, 10¢ askpolled, 45s ago10¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $1,000 (10.0x)Over 261.5 points8%Kalshi 8%polled, 45s agoBest Yes 10¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,000 (10.0x)
Over 261.5 points
8%
8%
6¢ bid, 10¢ ask
polled, 45s ago
10¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $1,000 (10.0x)
Over 261.5 points
8%
Kalshi 8%polled, 45s agoBest Yes 10¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,000 (10.0x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Over 261.5 points
- Last price
- 8%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 10¢
- Sell Yes
- 6¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,000 (10.0x)
Over 263.5 points7.5%7.5%6¢ bid, 9¢ askpolled, 45s ago9¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $1,111 (11.1x)Over 263.5 points7.5%Kalshi 7.5%polled, 45s agoBest Yes 9¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,111 (11.1x)
Over 263.5 points
7.5%
7.5%
6¢ bid, 9¢ ask
polled, 45s ago
9¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $1,111 (11.1x)
Over 263.5 points
7.5%
Kalshi 7.5%polled, 45s agoBest Yes 9¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,111 (11.1x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Over 263.5 points
- Last price
- 7.5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 9¢
- Sell Yes
- 6¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,111 (11.1x)
Over 265.5 points6%6%4¢ bid, 7¢ askpolled, 45s ago7¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $1,429 (14.3x)Over 265.5 points6%Kalshi 6%polled, 45s agoBest Yes 7¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,429 (14.3x)
Over 265.5 points
6%
6%
4¢ bid, 7¢ ask
polled, 45s ago
7¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $1,429 (14.3x)
Over 265.5 points
6%
Kalshi 6%polled, 45s agoBest Yes 7¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,429 (14.3x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Over 265.5 points
- Last price
- 6%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 7¢
- Sell Yes
- 4¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,429 (14.3x)
- Volume
- $188
Who resolves this market
- Kalshi resolves via:
- Kalshi (CFTC-regulated exchange), source: the Governing League, ESPN
How the odds have moved
The top 3 outcomes on both venues, with the consensus between them. Hover for exact values.
- Over 209.5 points
- Over 211.5 points
- Over 213.5 points
Order books
Each venue’s resting orders for the selected outcome’s Yes contract, side by side. Top of book streams live; depth refreshes every 15 seconds.
What your stake buys
Enter a stake to see where it buys the most after fees, using each venue’s live order book.
$
Buy
Loading both order books…
Buys at the asks resting now (taker orders), cheapest after fees first, from order-book snapshots up to 15 seconds old. Fees: Kalshi 0.07 × price × (1 − price) per share, rounded up to the cent; Polymarket 0.05 × price × (1 − price) per share (sports rate). Fee calculator. Estimates only, not advice.
About this market
Live prediction market odds for "Minnesota vs Orlando: Total Points". Over 209.5 points leads at 94%. Next is Over 211.5 points at 93%. $113K has traded across 29 outcomes on Kalshi. The market is expected to resolve by Oct 25, 2026.
Questions
What does the consensus price mean?
It is the price of a Yes contract that pays $1 if the outcome happens. A 14¢ price means traders put the chance near 14%. Where two venues list the same outcome, we blend their last prices, weighting the venue with more trading volume more heavily (neither counts for less than a quarter). When only one outcome can win, each venue’s prices add up to a little over 100% (its margin); the fair chance removes that margin so the outcomes add up to exactly 100%.
How is the payout worked out?
A Yes contract pays $1 if it wins, so at the best ask a $100 stake buys 100 ÷ ask contracts. At 18¢ that is about 555 contracts, paying $556 (5.56x) if Yes happens. Venue fees and price slippage on larger orders are not included.
Why do the venues show different prices?
Each venue has its own traders, fees and order book. Contracts can also settle on slightly different terms, which is why each row lists how closely the rules match.
Is a price gap an arbitrage?
Only when you can buy Yes on one venue below what someone pays for Yes on the other, after fees, and both contracts settle the same way. We show the executable bid and ask so you can check.
How fresh are these prices?
Venue prices refresh every few minutes, and the order book and live quotes stream continuously. Each venue’s card shows when we last observed it.
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