The Prediction Markets

Miss Universe 2026: Second Place

Closes
Nov 25, 2026, in 20 days
Traded
$11K
Venues
Polymarket
Prices updated
5 h ago
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What the markets expect

Costa Rica 14.7%

Next is Serbia at 14.6%. Only Polymarket lists this market, so there is no second price to compare.

Odds by venue

Consensus blends each venue’s last price, weighted by how much has traded there. Best Yes price is the cheapest ask across venues, and the payout is what a winning $100 stake returns before fees. Open a row for each venue’s contract name, bid and ask, and how closely their rules match.

Prices come from our regular polls of each venue, the oldest 5 h ago. Ages are as of when this page was built.

  • Polymarket
Costa Rica
14.7%
Polymarket 14.7%polled, 5 h agoBest Yes 29¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $345 (3.45x)
Polymarket
Contract
Costa Rica
Last price
14.7%
As of
Polled 5 h ago
Buy Yes
29¢
Sell Yes
0.3¢
$100 on Yes pays
$345 (3.45x)
Volume
$91
Trade this on Polymarket
Serbia
14.6%
Polymarket 14.6%polled, 5 h agoBest Yes 29¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $345 (3.45x)
Polymarket
Contract
Serbia
Last price
14.6%
As of
Polled 5 h ago
Buy Yes
29¢
Sell Yes
0.2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$345 (3.45x)
Volume
$10
Trade this on Polymarket
China
10.5%
Polymarket 10.5%polled, 5 h agoBest Yes 13.9¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $719 (7.19x)
Polymarket
Contract
China
Last price
10.5%
As of
Polled 5 h ago
Buy Yes
13.9¢
Sell Yes
7.1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$719 (7.19x)
Volume
$268
Trade this on Polymarket
USA
9.5%
Polymarket 9.5%polled, 5 h agoBest Yes 11¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $909 (9.09x)
Polymarket
Contract
USA
Last price
9.5%
As of
Polled 5 h ago
Buy Yes
11¢
Sell Yes
8¢
$100 on Yes pays
$909 (9.09x)
Volume
$288
Trade this on Polymarket
Zimbabwe
7.6%
Polymarket 7.6%polled, 5 h agoBest Yes 9.1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,099 (11.0x)
Polymarket
Contract
Zimbabwe
Last price
7.6%
As of
Polled 5 h ago
Buy Yes
9.1¢
Sell Yes
6¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,099 (11.0x)
Volume
$90
Trade this on Polymarket
Cambodia
7.5%
Polymarket 7.5%polled, 5 h agoBest Yes 13.9¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $719 (7.19x)
Polymarket
Contract
Cambodia
Last price
7.5%
As of
Polled 5 h ago
Buy Yes
13.9¢
Sell Yes
1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$719 (7.19x)
Volume
$66
Trade this on Polymarket
Portugal
7.1%
Polymarket 7.1%polled, 5 h agoBest Yes 12.2¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $820 (8.20x)
Polymarket
Contract
Portugal
Last price
7.1%
As of
Polled 5 h ago
Buy Yes
12.2¢
Sell Yes
1.9¢
$100 on Yes pays
$820 (8.20x)
Volume
$30
Trade this on Polymarket
Aruba
6.7%
Polymarket 6.7%polled, 5 h agoBest Yes 11.4¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $877 (8.77x)
Polymarket
Contract
Aruba
Last price
6.7%
As of
Polled 5 h ago
Buy Yes
11.4¢
Sell Yes
1.9¢
$100 on Yes pays
$877 (8.77x)
Volume
$10
Trade this on Polymarket
India
6.5%
Polymarket 6.5%polled, 5 h agoBest Yes 6.5¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,538 (15.4x)
Polymarket
Contract
India
Last price
6.5%
As of
Polled 5 h ago
Buy Yes
6.5¢
Sell Yes
6.4¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,538 (15.4x)
Volume
$25
Trade this on Polymarket
Puerto Rico
6.1%
Polymarket 6.1%polled, 5 h agoBest Yes 8.9¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,124 (11.2x)
Polymarket
Contract
Puerto Rico
Last price
6.1%
As of
Polled 5 h ago
Buy Yes
8.9¢
Sell Yes
3.3¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,124 (11.2x)
Volume
$803
Trade this on Polymarket
Show 37 more outcomes
Chile
5.5%
Polymarket 5.5%polled, 5 h agoBest Yes 9¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,111 (11.1x)
Polymarket
Contract
Chile
Last price
5.5%
As of
Polled 5 h ago
Buy Yes
9¢
Sell Yes
2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,111 (11.1x)
Volume
$276
Trade this on Polymarket
Argentina
5.4%
Polymarket 5.4%polled, 5 h agoBest Yes 10.5¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $952 (9.52x)
Polymarket
Contract
Argentina
Last price
5.4%
As of
Polled 5 h ago
Buy Yes
10.5¢
Sell Yes
0.3¢
$100 on Yes pays
$952 (9.52x)
Volume
$242
Trade this on Polymarket
El Salvador
5.4%
Polymarket 5.4%polled, 5 h agoBest Yes 10.6¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $943 (9.43x)
Polymarket
Contract
El Salvador
Last price
5.4%
As of
Polled 5 h ago
Buy Yes
10.6¢
Sell Yes
0.2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$943 (9.43x)
Volume
$50
Trade this on Polymarket
Peru
5.3%
Polymarket 5.3%polled, 5 h agoBest Yes 10.3¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $971 (9.71x)
Polymarket
Contract
Peru
Last price
5.3%
As of
Polled 5 h ago
Buy Yes
10.3¢
Sell Yes
0.2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$971 (9.71x)
Volume
$300
Trade this on Polymarket
Cameroon
5.1%
Polymarket 5.1%polled, 5 h agoBest Yes 10¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,000 (10.0x)
Polymarket
Contract
Cameroon
Last price
5.1%
As of
Polled 5 h ago
Buy Yes
10¢
Sell Yes
0.2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,000 (10.0x)
Volume
$80
Trade this on Polymarket
Nepal
5.1%
Polymarket 5.1%polled, 5 h agoBest Yes 6.5¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,538 (15.4x)
Polymarket
Contract
Nepal
Last price
5.1%
As of
Polled 5 h ago
Buy Yes
6.5¢
Sell Yes
3.6¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,538 (15.4x)
Volume
$50
Trade this on Polymarket
Curaçao
5%
Polymarket 5%polled, 5 h agoBest Yes 9¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,111 (11.1x)
Polymarket
Contract
Curaçao
Last price
5%
As of
Polled 5 h ago
Buy Yes
9¢
Sell Yes
1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,111 (11.1x)
Volume
$86
Trade this on Polymarket
Japan
5%
Polymarket 5%polled, 5 h agoBest Yes 7¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,429 (14.3x)
Polymarket
Contract
Japan
Last price
5%
As of
Polled 5 h ago
Buy Yes
7¢
Sell Yes
3¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,429 (14.3x)
Volume
$958
Trade this on Polymarket
South Africa
5%
Polymarket 5%polled, 5 h agoBest Yes 10¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,000 (10.0x)
Polymarket
Contract
South Africa
Last price
5%
As of
Polled 5 h ago
Buy Yes
10¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$1,000 (10.0x)
Volume
$136
Trade this on Polymarket
France
4.6%
Polymarket 4.6%polled, 5 h agoBest Yes 8.1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,235 (12.3x)
Polymarket
Contract
France
Last price
4.6%
As of
Polled 5 h ago
Buy Yes
8.1¢
Sell Yes
1.1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,235 (12.3x)
Volume
$122
Trade this on Polymarket
Guadeloupe
4.6%
Polymarket 4.6%polled, 5 h agoBest Yes 8.9¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,124 (11.2x)
Polymarket
Contract
Guadeloupe
Last price
4.6%
As of
Polled 5 h ago
Buy Yes
8.9¢
Sell Yes
0.2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,124 (11.2x)
Volume
$76
Trade this on Polymarket
Venezuela
4.5%
Polymarket 4.5%polled, 5 h agoBest Yes 8¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,250 (12.5x)
Polymarket
Contract
Venezuela
Last price
4.5%
As of
Polled 5 h ago
Buy Yes
8¢
Sell Yes
1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,250 (12.5x)
Volume
$483
Trade this on Polymarket
Nicaragua
4.4%
Polymarket 4.4%polled, 5 h agoBest Yes 7.7¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,299 (13.0x)
Polymarket
Contract
Nicaragua
Last price
4.4%
As of
Polled 5 h ago
Buy Yes
7.7¢
Sell Yes
1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,299 (13.0x)
Volume
$89
Trade this on Polymarket
Dominican Republic
4.1%
Polymarket 4.1%polled, 5 h agoBest Yes 7.8¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,282 (12.8x)
Polymarket
Contract
Dominican Republic
Last price
4.1%
As of
Polled 5 h ago
Buy Yes
7.8¢
Sell Yes
0.3¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,282 (12.8x)
Volume
$138
Trade this on Polymarket
Colombia
4%
Polymarket 4%polled, 5 h agoBest Yes 5¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)
Polymarket
Contract
Colombia
Last price
4%
As of
Polled 5 h ago
Buy Yes
5¢
Sell Yes
3¢
$100 on Yes pays
$2,000 (20.0x)
Volume
$715
Trade this on Polymarket
Namibia
4%
Polymarket 4%polled, 5 h agoBest Yes 5¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)
Polymarket
Contract
Namibia
Last price
4%
As of
Polled 5 h ago
Buy Yes
5¢
Sell Yes
3¢
$100 on Yes pays
$2,000 (20.0x)
Volume
$496
Trade this on Polymarket
Nigeria
4%
Polymarket 4%polled, 5 h agoBest Yes 8¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,250 (12.5x)
Polymarket
Contract
Nigeria
Last price
4%
As of
Polled 5 h ago
Buy Yes
8¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$1,250 (12.5x)
Volume
$88
Trade this on Polymarket
Trinidad and Tobago
4%
Polymarket 4%polled, 5 h agoBest Yes 8¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,250 (12.5x)
Polymarket
Contract
Trinidad and Tobago
Last price
4%
As of
Polled 5 h ago
Buy Yes
8¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$1,250 (12.5x)
Volume
$161
Trade this on Polymarket
Bolivia
3.7%
Polymarket 3.7%polled, 5 h agoBest Yes 7¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,429 (14.3x)
Polymarket
Contract
Bolivia
Last price
3.7%
As of
Polled 5 h ago
Buy Yes
7¢
Sell Yes
0.3¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,429 (14.3x)
Volume
$10
Trade this on Polymarket
Pakistan
3.7%
Polymarket 3.7%polled, 5 h agoBest Yes 7¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,429 (14.3x)
Polymarket
Contract
Pakistan
Last price
3.7%
As of
Polled 5 h ago
Buy Yes
7¢
Sell Yes
0.3¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,429 (14.3x)
Volume
$60
Trade this on Polymarket
Mexico
3.6%
Polymarket 3.6%polled, 5 h agoBest Yes 6.8¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,471 (14.7x)
Polymarket
Contract
Mexico
Last price
3.6%
As of
Polled 5 h ago
Buy Yes
6.8¢
Sell Yes
0.3¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,471 (14.7x)
Volume
$47
Trade this on Polymarket
Guatemala
3.5%
Polymarket 3.5%polled, 5 h agoBest Yes 6.7¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,493 (14.9x)
Polymarket
Contract
Guatemala
Last price
3.5%
As of
Polled 5 h ago
Buy Yes
6.7¢
Sell Yes
0.3¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,493 (14.9x)
Volume
$51
Trade this on Polymarket
Egypt
3.4%
Polymarket 3.4%polled, 5 h agoBest Yes 6.4¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,563 (15.6x)
Polymarket
Contract
Egypt
Last price
3.4%
As of
Polled 5 h ago
Buy Yes
6.4¢
Sell Yes
0.4¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,563 (15.6x)
Volume
$190
Trade this on Polymarket
Netherlands
3.3%
Polymarket 3.3%polled, 5 h agoBest Yes 6.3¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,587 (15.9x)
Polymarket
Contract
Netherlands
Last price
3.3%
As of
Polled 5 h ago
Buy Yes
6.3¢
Sell Yes
0.3¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,587 (15.9x)
Volume
$111
Trade this on Polymarket
Spain
3%
Polymarket 3%polled, 5 h agoBest Yes 3.8¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $2,632 (26.3x)
Polymarket
Contract
Spain
Last price
3%
As of
Polled 5 h ago
Buy Yes
3.8¢
Sell Yes
2.2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$2,632 (26.3x)
Volume
$627
Trade this on Polymarket
Russia
2.7%
Polymarket 2.7%polled, 5 h agoBest Yes 5¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)
Polymarket
Contract
Russia
Last price
2.7%
As of
Polled 5 h ago
Buy Yes
5¢
Sell Yes
0.3¢
$100 on Yes pays
$2,000 (20.0x)
Volume
$86
Trade this on Polymarket
Jamaica
2.1%
Polymarket 2.1%polled, 5 h agoBest Yes 3.8¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $2,632 (26.3x)
Polymarket
Contract
Jamaica
Last price
2.1%
As of
Polled 5 h ago
Buy Yes
3.8¢
Sell Yes
0.3¢
$100 on Yes pays
$2,632 (26.3x)
Volume
$512
Trade this on Polymarket
Brazil
1.7%
Polymarket 1.7%polled, 5 h agoBest Yes 3¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $3,333 (33.3x)
Polymarket
Contract
Brazil
Last price
1.7%
As of
Polled 5 h ago
Buy Yes
3¢
Sell Yes
0.3¢
$100 on Yes pays
$3,333 (33.3x)
Volume
$328
Trade this on Polymarket
Canada
1.7%
Polymarket 1.7%polled, 5 h agoBest Yes 3¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $3,333 (33.3x)
Polymarket
Contract
Canada
Last price
1.7%
As of
Polled 5 h ago
Buy Yes
3¢
Sell Yes
0.3¢
$100 on Yes pays
$3,333 (33.3x)
Volume
$51
Trade this on Polymarket
Malta
1.7%
Polymarket 1.7%polled, 5 h agoBest Yes 3¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $3,333 (33.3x)
Polymarket
Contract
Malta
Last price
1.7%
As of
Polled 5 h ago
Buy Yes
3¢
Sell Yes
0.3¢
$100 on Yes pays
$3,333 (33.3x)
Volume
$110
Trade this on Polymarket
Ecuador
1.2%
Polymarket 1.2%polled, 5 h agoBest Yes 2.1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $4,762 (47.6x)
Polymarket
Contract
Ecuador
Last price
1.2%
As of
Polled 5 h ago
Buy Yes
2.1¢
Sell Yes
0.3¢
$100 on Yes pays
$4,762 (47.6x)
Volume
$216
Trade this on Polymarket
Australia
0.6%
Polymarket 0.6%polled, 5 h agoBest Yes 1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Polymarket
Contract
Australia
Last price
0.6%
As of
Polled 5 h ago
Buy Yes
1¢
Sell Yes
0.1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$10,000 (100x)
Volume
$10
Trade this on Polymarket
Croatia
0.6%
Polymarket 0.6%polled, 5 h agoBest Yes 1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Polymarket
Contract
Croatia
Last price
0.6%
As of
Polled 5 h ago
Buy Yes
1¢
Sell Yes
0.1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$10,000 (100x)
Volume
$70
Trade this on Polymarket
Cuba
0.6%
Polymarket 0.6%polled, 5 h agoBest Yes 1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Polymarket
Contract
Cuba
Last price
0.6%
As of
Polled 5 h ago
Buy Yes
1¢
Sell Yes
0.1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$10,000 (100x)
Volume
$943
Trade this on Polymarket
Finland
0.6%
Polymarket 0.6%polled, 5 h agoBest Yes 1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Polymarket
Contract
Finland
Last price
0.6%
As of
Polled 5 h ago
Buy Yes
1¢
Sell Yes
0.1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$10,000 (100x)
Volume
$150
Trade this on Polymarket
Haiti
0.6%
Polymarket 0.6%polled, 5 h agoBest Yes 1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Polymarket
Contract
Haiti
Last price
0.6%
As of
Polled 5 h ago
Buy Yes
1¢
Sell Yes
0.1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$10,000 (100x)
Volume
$10
Trade this on Polymarket
Philippines
0.6%
Polymarket 0.6%polled, 5 h agoBest Yes 1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Polymarket
Contract
Philippines
Last price
0.6%
As of
Polled 5 h ago
Buy Yes
1¢
Sell Yes
0.1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$10,000 (100x)
Volume
$791
Trade this on Polymarket

Who resolves this market

Polymarket
Polymarket resolves via:
UMA optimistic oracle

How the odds have moved

The top 3 outcomes on both venues, with the consensus between them. Hover for exact values.

  • Costa Rica
  • Serbia
  • China

Order books

Each venue’s resting orders for the selected outcome’s Yes contract, side by side. Top of book streams live; depth refreshes every 15 seconds.

Top of book

Connecting
Best bid
—
Spread
—
Best ask
—

Waiting for the first live quote…

Depth · top 8 levels

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Recent trades

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What your stake buys

Enter a stake to see where it buys the most after fees, using each venue’s live order book.

$
Buy

Loading both order books…

Buys at the asks resting now (taker orders), cheapest after fees first, from order-book snapshots up to 15 seconds old. Fees: Kalshi 0.07 × price × (1 − price) per share, rounded up to the cent; Polymarket 0.05 × price × (1 − price) per share (other / general rate). Fee calculator. Estimates only, not advice.

About this market

Live prediction market odds for "Miss Universe 2026: Second Place". Costa Rica leads at 14.7%. Next is Serbia at 14.6%. $11K has traded across 47 outcomes on Polymarket. The market is expected to resolve by Nov 25, 2026.

The Miss Universe 2026 competition is scheduled to be held in Puerto Rico on November 24, 2026. You can find more information about that here: https://www.missuniverse.com/ This market will resolve to the country represented by the contestant ranked second in the Miss Universe 2026 competition, according to the ranking below. Contestants will be ranked according to their official competition ranking. If two or more contestants share the same ranking, ties will be broken alphabetically by the English name of the country they represent. This market will resolve according to the country ranked second under this ranking. If the result of this competition isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on official results as reported by the Miss Universe Organization.

Questions

What does the consensus price mean?

It is the price of a Yes contract that pays $1 if the outcome happens. A 14¢ price means traders put the chance near 14%. Where two venues list the same outcome, we blend their last prices, weighting the venue with more trading volume more heavily (neither counts for less than a quarter). When only one outcome can win, each venue’s prices add up to a little over 100% (its margin); the fair chance removes that margin so the outcomes add up to exactly 100%.

How is the payout worked out?

A Yes contract pays $1 if it wins, so at the best ask a $100 stake buys 100 ÷ ask contracts. At 18¢ that is about 555 contracts, paying $556 (5.56x) if Yes happens. Venue fees and price slippage on larger orders are not included.

Why do the venues show different prices?

Each venue has its own traders, fees and order book. Contracts can also settle on slightly different terms, which is why each row lists how closely the rules match.

Is a price gap an arbitrage?

Only when you can buy Yes on one venue below what someone pays for Yes on the other, after fees, and both contracts settle the same way. We show the executable bid and ask so you can check.

How fresh are these prices?

Venue prices refresh every few minutes, and the order book and live quotes stream continuously. Each venue’s card shows when we last observed it.

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