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What the markets expect
Aruba 25.9%
Next is Cambodia at 25.5%. Only Polymarket lists this market, so there is no second price to compare.
Odds by venue
Consensus blends each venue’s last price, weighted by how much has traded there. Best Yes price is the cheapest ask across venues, and the payout is what a winning $100 stake returns before fees. Open a row for each venue’s contract name, bid and ask, and how closely their rules match.
Prices come from our regular polls of each venue, the oldest 13 min ago. Ages are as of when this page was built.
- Polymarket
Outcome
Consensus
Venue prices on a 0–100% scale
Polymarket
Best Yes price
Aruba25.9%25.9%0.2¢ bid, 51.5¢ askpolled, 13 min ago51.5¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $194 (1.94x)Aruba25.9%Polymarket 25.9%polled, 13 min agoBest Yes 51.5¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $194 (1.94x)
Aruba
25.9%
25.9%
0.2¢ bid, 51.5¢ ask
polled, 13 min ago
51.5¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $194 (1.94x)
Aruba
25.9%
Polymarket 25.9%polled, 13 min agoBest Yes 51.5¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $194 (1.94x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Aruba
- Last price
- 25.9%
- As of
- Polled 13 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 51.5¢
- Sell Yes
- 0.2¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $194 (1.94x)
- Volume
- $60
Cambodia25.5%25.5%— bid, 51¢ askpolled, 13 min ago51¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $196 (1.96x)Cambodia25.5%Polymarket 25.5%polled, 13 min agoBest Yes 51¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $196 (1.96x)
Cambodia
25.5%
25.5%
— bid, 51¢ ask
polled, 13 min ago
51¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $196 (1.96x)
Cambodia
25.5%
Polymarket 25.5%polled, 13 min agoBest Yes 51¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $196 (1.96x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Cambodia
- Last price
- 25.5%
- As of
- Polled 13 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 51¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $196 (1.96x)
- Volume
- $27
Cameroon25.5%25.5%— bid, 51¢ askpolled, 13 min ago51¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $196 (1.96x)Cameroon25.5%Polymarket 25.5%polled, 13 min agoBest Yes 51¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $196 (1.96x)
Cameroon
25.5%
25.5%
— bid, 51¢ ask
polled, 13 min ago
51¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $196 (1.96x)
Cameroon
25.5%
Polymarket 25.5%polled, 13 min agoBest Yes 51¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $196 (1.96x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Cameroon
- Last price
- 25.5%
- As of
- Polled 13 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 51¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $196 (1.96x)
- Volume
- $34
Pakistan24.5%24.5%— bid, 49¢ askpolled, 13 min ago49¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $204 (2.04x)Pakistan24.5%Polymarket 24.5%polled, 13 min agoBest Yes 49¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $204 (2.04x)
Pakistan
24.5%
24.5%
— bid, 49¢ ask
polled, 13 min ago
49¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $204 (2.04x)
Pakistan
24.5%
Polymarket 24.5%polled, 13 min agoBest Yes 49¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $204 (2.04x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Pakistan
- Last price
- 24.5%
- As of
- Polled 13 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 49¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $204 (2.04x)
- Volume
- $27
Guatemala23.5%23.5%— bid, 47¢ askpolled, 13 min ago47¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $213 (2.13x)Guatemala23.5%Polymarket 23.5%polled, 13 min agoBest Yes 47¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $213 (2.13x)
Guatemala
23.5%
23.5%
— bid, 47¢ ask
polled, 13 min ago
47¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $213 (2.13x)
Guatemala
23.5%
Polymarket 23.5%polled, 13 min agoBest Yes 47¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $213 (2.13x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Guatemala
- Last price
- 23.5%
- As of
- Polled 13 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 47¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $213 (2.13x)
- Volume
- $60
Netherlands23%23%— bid, 46¢ askpolled, 13 min ago46¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $217 (2.17x)Netherlands23%Polymarket 23%polled, 13 min agoBest Yes 46¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $217 (2.17x)
Netherlands
23%
23%
— bid, 46¢ ask
polled, 13 min ago
46¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $217 (2.17x)
Netherlands
23%
Polymarket 23%polled, 13 min agoBest Yes 46¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $217 (2.17x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Netherlands
- Last price
- 23%
- As of
- Polled 13 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 46¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $217 (2.17x)
- Volume
- $60
Bolivia18%18%5¢ bid, 31¢ askpolled, 13 min ago31¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $323 (3.23x)Bolivia18%Polymarket 18%polled, 13 min agoBest Yes 31¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $323 (3.23x)
Bolivia
18%
18%
5¢ bid, 31¢ ask
polled, 13 min ago
31¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $323 (3.23x)
Bolivia
18%
Polymarket 18%polled, 13 min agoBest Yes 31¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $323 (3.23x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Bolivia
- Last price
- 18%
- As of
- Polled 13 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 31¢
- Sell Yes
- 5¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $323 (3.23x)
- Volume
- $278
Ecuador17%17%— bid, 34¢ askpolled, 13 min ago34¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $294 (2.94x)Ecuador17%Polymarket 17%polled, 13 min agoBest Yes 34¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $294 (2.94x)
Ecuador
17%
17%
— bid, 34¢ ask
polled, 13 min ago
34¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $294 (2.94x)
Ecuador
17%
Polymarket 17%polled, 13 min agoBest Yes 34¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $294 (2.94x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Ecuador
- Last price
- 17%
- As of
- Polled 13 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 34¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $294 (2.94x)
- Volume
- $53
Curaçao16%16%— bid, 32¢ askpolled, 13 min ago32¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $313 (3.13x)Curaçao16%Polymarket 16%polled, 13 min agoBest Yes 32¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $313 (3.13x)
Curaçao
16%
16%
— bid, 32¢ ask
polled, 13 min ago
32¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $313 (3.13x)
Curaçao
16%
Polymarket 16%polled, 13 min agoBest Yes 32¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $313 (3.13x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Curaçao
- Last price
- 16%
- As of
- Polled 13 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 32¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $313 (3.13x)
- Volume
- $27
Peru16%16%1¢ bid, 32¢ askpolled, 13 min ago32¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $313 (3.13x)Peru16%Polymarket 16%polled, 13 min agoBest Yes 32¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $313 (3.13x)
Peru
16%
16%
1¢ bid, 32¢ ask
polled, 13 min ago
32¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $313 (3.13x)
Peru
16%
Polymarket 16%polled, 13 min agoBest Yes 32¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $313 (3.13x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Peru
- Last price
- 16%
- As of
- Polled 13 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 32¢
- Sell Yes
- 1¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $313 (3.13x)
- Volume
- $46
Show 37 more outcomesHide 37 outcomes
Colombia11.5%11.5%10¢ bid, 13¢ askpolled, 13 min ago13¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $769 (7.69x)Colombia11.5%Polymarket 11.5%polled, 13 min agoBest Yes 13¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $769 (7.69x)
Colombia
11.5%
11.5%
10¢ bid, 13¢ ask
polled, 13 min ago
13¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $769 (7.69x)
Colombia
11.5%
Polymarket 11.5%polled, 13 min agoBest Yes 13¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $769 (7.69x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Colombia
- Last price
- 11.5%
- As of
- Polled 13 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 13¢
- Sell Yes
- 10¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $769 (7.69x)
- Volume
- $313
Puerto Rico8%8%7¢ bid, 9¢ askpolled, 13 min ago9¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $1,111 (11.1x)Puerto Rico8%Polymarket 8%polled, 13 min agoBest Yes 9¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,111 (11.1x)
Puerto Rico
8%
8%
7¢ bid, 9¢ ask
polled, 13 min ago
9¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $1,111 (11.1x)
Puerto Rico
8%
Polymarket 8%polled, 13 min agoBest Yes 9¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,111 (11.1x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Puerto Rico
- Last price
- 8%
- As of
- Polled 13 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 9¢
- Sell Yes
- 7¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,111 (11.1x)
- Volume
- $532
Venezuela7.5%7.5%5¢ bid, 10¢ askpolled, 13 min ago10¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $1,000 (10.0x)Venezuela7.5%Polymarket 7.5%polled, 13 min agoBest Yes 10¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,000 (10.0x)
Venezuela
7.5%
7.5%
5¢ bid, 10¢ ask
polled, 13 min ago
10¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $1,000 (10.0x)
Venezuela
7.5%
Polymarket 7.5%polled, 13 min agoBest Yes 10¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,000 (10.0x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Venezuela
- Last price
- 7.5%
- As of
- Polled 13 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 10¢
- Sell Yes
- 5¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,000 (10.0x)
- Volume
- $148
Malta7.5%7.5%4.1¢ bid, 10.8¢ askpolled, 13 min ago10.8¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $926 (9.26x)Malta7.5%Polymarket 7.5%polled, 13 min agoBest Yes 10.8¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $926 (9.26x)
Malta
7.5%
7.5%
4.1¢ bid, 10.8¢ ask
polled, 13 min ago
10.8¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $926 (9.26x)
Malta
7.5%
Polymarket 7.5%polled, 13 min agoBest Yes 10.8¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $926 (9.26x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Malta
- Last price
- 7.5%
- As of
- Polled 13 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 10.8¢
- Sell Yes
- 4.1¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $926 (9.26x)
- Volume
- $85
South Africa6.6%6.6%3.4¢ bid, 9.8¢ askpolled, 13 min ago9.8¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $1,020 (10.2x)South Africa6.6%Polymarket 6.6%polled, 13 min agoBest Yes 9.8¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,020 (10.2x)
South Africa
6.6%
6.6%
3.4¢ bid, 9.8¢ ask
polled, 13 min ago
9.8¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $1,020 (10.2x)
South Africa
6.6%
Polymarket 6.6%polled, 13 min agoBest Yes 9.8¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,020 (10.2x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- South Africa
- Last price
- 6.6%
- As of
- Polled 13 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 9.8¢
- Sell Yes
- 3.4¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,020 (10.2x)
- Volume
- $89
Egypt6.6%6.6%4.3¢ bid, 8.8¢ askpolled, 13 min ago8.8¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $1,136 (11.4x)Egypt6.6%Polymarket 6.6%polled, 13 min agoBest Yes 8.8¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,136 (11.4x)
Egypt
6.6%
6.6%
4.3¢ bid, 8.8¢ ask
polled, 13 min ago
8.8¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $1,136 (11.4x)
Egypt
6.6%
Polymarket 6.6%polled, 13 min agoBest Yes 8.8¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,136 (11.4x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Egypt
- Last price
- 6.6%
- As of
- Polled 13 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 8.8¢
- Sell Yes
- 4.3¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,136 (11.4x)
- Volume
- $154
Zimbabwe6.5%6.5%2¢ bid, 11¢ askpolled, 13 min ago11¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $909 (9.09x)Zimbabwe6.5%Polymarket 6.5%polled, 13 min agoBest Yes 11¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $909 (9.09x)
Zimbabwe
6.5%
6.5%
2¢ bid, 11¢ ask
polled, 13 min ago
11¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $909 (9.09x)
Zimbabwe
6.5%
Polymarket 6.5%polled, 13 min agoBest Yes 11¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $909 (9.09x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Zimbabwe
- Last price
- 6.5%
- As of
- Polled 13 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 11¢
- Sell Yes
- 2¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $909 (9.09x)
- Volume
- $270
Jamaica6.3%6.3%3.1¢ bid, 9.5¢ askpolled, 13 min ago9.5¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $1,053 (10.5x)Jamaica6.3%Polymarket 6.3%polled, 13 min agoBest Yes 9.5¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,053 (10.5x)
Jamaica
6.3%
6.3%
3.1¢ bid, 9.5¢ ask
polled, 13 min ago
9.5¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $1,053 (10.5x)
Jamaica
6.3%
Polymarket 6.3%polled, 13 min agoBest Yes 9.5¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,053 (10.5x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Jamaica
- Last price
- 6.3%
- As of
- Polled 13 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 9.5¢
- Sell Yes
- 3.1¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,053 (10.5x)
- Volume
- $60
El Salvador6%6%0.2¢ bid, 11.8¢ askpolled, 13 min ago11.8¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $847 (8.47x)El Salvador6%Polymarket 6%polled, 13 min agoBest Yes 11.8¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $847 (8.47x)
El Salvador
6%
6%
0.2¢ bid, 11.8¢ ask
polled, 13 min ago
11.8¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $847 (8.47x)
El Salvador
6%
Polymarket 6%polled, 13 min agoBest Yes 11.8¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $847 (8.47x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- El Salvador
- Last price
- 6%
- As of
- Polled 13 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 11.8¢
- Sell Yes
- 0.2¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $847 (8.47x)
- Volume
- $60
Nigeria5.6%5.6%3.2¢ bid, 8¢ askpolled, 13 min ago8¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $1,250 (12.5x)Nigeria5.6%Polymarket 5.6%polled, 13 min agoBest Yes 8¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,250 (12.5x)
Nigeria
5.6%
5.6%
3.2¢ bid, 8¢ ask
polled, 13 min ago
8¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $1,250 (12.5x)
Nigeria
5.6%
Polymarket 5.6%polled, 13 min agoBest Yes 8¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,250 (12.5x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Nigeria
- Last price
- 5.6%
- As of
- Polled 13 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 8¢
- Sell Yes
- 3.2¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,250 (12.5x)
- Volume
- $55
USA5.5%5.5%2.1¢ bid, 8.9¢ askpolled, 13 min ago8.9¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $1,124 (11.2x)USA5.5%Polymarket 5.5%polled, 13 min agoBest Yes 8.9¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,124 (11.2x)
USA
5.5%
5.5%
2.1¢ bid, 8.9¢ ask
polled, 13 min ago
8.9¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $1,124 (11.2x)
USA
5.5%
Polymarket 5.5%polled, 13 min agoBest Yes 8.9¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,124 (11.2x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- USA
- Last price
- 5.5%
- As of
- Polled 13 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 8.9¢
- Sell Yes
- 2.1¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,124 (11.2x)
- Volume
- $176
Mexico5.1%5.1%1.6¢ bid, 8.6¢ askpolled, 13 min ago8.6¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $1,163 (11.6x)Mexico5.1%Polymarket 5.1%polled, 13 min agoBest Yes 8.6¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,163 (11.6x)
Mexico
5.1%
5.1%
1.6¢ bid, 8.6¢ ask
polled, 13 min ago
8.6¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $1,163 (11.6x)
Mexico
5.1%
Polymarket 5.1%polled, 13 min agoBest Yes 8.6¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,163 (11.6x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Mexico
- Last price
- 5.1%
- As of
- Polled 13 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 8.6¢
- Sell Yes
- 1.6¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,163 (11.6x)
- Volume
- $60
Brazil5%5%1¢ bid, 9¢ askpolled, 13 min ago9¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $1,111 (11.1x)Brazil5%Polymarket 5%polled, 13 min agoBest Yes 9¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,111 (11.1x)
Brazil
5%
5%
1¢ bid, 9¢ ask
polled, 13 min ago
9¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $1,111 (11.1x)
Brazil
5%
Polymarket 5%polled, 13 min agoBest Yes 9¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,111 (11.1x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Brazil
- Last price
- 5%
- As of
- Polled 13 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 9¢
- Sell Yes
- 1¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,111 (11.1x)
- Volume
- $388
Russia5%5%0.2¢ bid, 9.8¢ askpolled, 13 min ago9.8¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $1,020 (10.2x)Russia5%Polymarket 5%polled, 13 min agoBest Yes 9.8¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,020 (10.2x)
Russia
5%
5%
0.2¢ bid, 9.8¢ ask
polled, 13 min ago
9.8¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $1,020 (10.2x)
Russia
5%
Polymarket 5%polled, 13 min agoBest Yes 9.8¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,020 (10.2x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Russia
- Last price
- 5%
- As of
- Polled 13 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 9.8¢
- Sell Yes
- 0.2¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,020 (10.2x)
- Volume
- $168
Canada4.7%4.7%1¢ bid, 8.4¢ askpolled, 13 min ago8.4¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $1,190 (11.9x)Canada4.7%Polymarket 4.7%polled, 13 min agoBest Yes 8.4¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,190 (11.9x)
Canada
4.7%
4.7%
1¢ bid, 8.4¢ ask
polled, 13 min ago
8.4¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $1,190 (11.9x)
Canada
4.7%
Polymarket 4.7%polled, 13 min agoBest Yes 8.4¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,190 (11.9x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Canada
- Last price
- 4.7%
- As of
- Polled 13 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 8.4¢
- Sell Yes
- 1¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,190 (11.9x)
- Volume
- $60
Chile4.5%4.5%1¢ bid, 8¢ askpolled, 13 min ago8¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $1,250 (12.5x)Chile4.5%Polymarket 4.5%polled, 13 min agoBest Yes 8¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,250 (12.5x)
Chile
4.5%
4.5%
1¢ bid, 8¢ ask
polled, 13 min ago
8¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $1,250 (12.5x)
Chile
4.5%
Polymarket 4.5%polled, 13 min agoBest Yes 8¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,250 (12.5x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Chile
- Last price
- 4.5%
- As of
- Polled 13 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 8¢
- Sell Yes
- 1¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,250 (12.5x)
- Volume
- $143
Guadeloupe4.5%4.5%1¢ bid, 8¢ askpolled, 13 min ago8¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $1,250 (12.5x)Guadeloupe4.5%Polymarket 4.5%polled, 13 min agoBest Yes 8¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,250 (12.5x)
Guadeloupe
4.5%
4.5%
1¢ bid, 8¢ ask
polled, 13 min ago
8¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $1,250 (12.5x)
Guadeloupe
4.5%
Polymarket 4.5%polled, 13 min agoBest Yes 8¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,250 (12.5x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Guadeloupe
- Last price
- 4.5%
- As of
- Polled 13 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 8¢
- Sell Yes
- 1¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,250 (12.5x)
- Volume
- $64
Philippines4.5%4.5%1¢ bid, 8¢ askpolled, 13 min ago8¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $1,250 (12.5x)Philippines4.5%Polymarket 4.5%polled, 13 min agoBest Yes 8¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,250 (12.5x)
Philippines
4.5%
4.5%
1¢ bid, 8¢ ask
polled, 13 min ago
8¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $1,250 (12.5x)
Philippines
4.5%
Polymarket 4.5%polled, 13 min agoBest Yes 8¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,250 (12.5x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Philippines
- Last price
- 4.5%
- As of
- Polled 13 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 8¢
- Sell Yes
- 1¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,250 (12.5x)
- Volume
- $209
Spain4.5%4.5%1¢ bid, 8¢ askpolled, 13 min ago8¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $1,250 (12.5x)Spain4.5%Polymarket 4.5%polled, 13 min agoBest Yes 8¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,250 (12.5x)
Spain
4.5%
4.5%
1¢ bid, 8¢ ask
polled, 13 min ago
8¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $1,250 (12.5x)
Spain
4.5%
Polymarket 4.5%polled, 13 min agoBest Yes 8¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,250 (12.5x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Spain
- Last price
- 4.5%
- As of
- Polled 13 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 8¢
- Sell Yes
- 1¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,250 (12.5x)
- Volume
- $185
Croatia4%4%— bid, 8¢ askpolled, 13 min ago8¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $1,250 (12.5x)Croatia4%Polymarket 4%polled, 13 min agoBest Yes 8¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,250 (12.5x)
Croatia
4%
4%
— bid, 8¢ ask
polled, 13 min ago
8¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $1,250 (12.5x)
Croatia
4%
Polymarket 4%polled, 13 min agoBest Yes 8¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,250 (12.5x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Croatia
- Last price
- 4%
- As of
- Polled 13 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 8¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,250 (12.5x)
- Volume
- $51
France4%4%1¢ bid, 7¢ askpolled, 13 min ago7¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $1,429 (14.3x)France4%Polymarket 4%polled, 13 min agoBest Yes 7¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,429 (14.3x)
France
4%
4%
1¢ bid, 7¢ ask
polled, 13 min ago
7¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $1,429 (14.3x)
France
4%
Polymarket 4%polled, 13 min agoBest Yes 7¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,429 (14.3x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- France
- Last price
- 4%
- As of
- Polled 13 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 7¢
- Sell Yes
- 1¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,429 (14.3x)
- Volume
- $34
Portugal4%4%— bid, 8¢ askpolled, 13 min ago8¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $1,250 (12.5x)Portugal4%Polymarket 4%polled, 13 min agoBest Yes 8¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,250 (12.5x)
Portugal
4%
4%
— bid, 8¢ ask
polled, 13 min ago
8¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $1,250 (12.5x)
Portugal
4%
Polymarket 4%polled, 13 min agoBest Yes 8¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,250 (12.5x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Portugal
- Last price
- 4%
- As of
- Polled 13 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 8¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,250 (12.5x)
- Volume
- $80
Cuba3.9%3.9%1¢ bid, 6.8¢ askpolled, 13 min ago6.8¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $1,471 (14.7x)Cuba3.9%Polymarket 3.9%polled, 13 min agoBest Yes 6.8¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,471 (14.7x)
Cuba
3.9%
3.9%
1¢ bid, 6.8¢ ask
polled, 13 min ago
6.8¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $1,471 (14.7x)
Cuba
3.9%
Polymarket 3.9%polled, 13 min agoBest Yes 6.8¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,471 (14.7x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Cuba
- Last price
- 3.9%
- As of
- Polled 13 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 6.8¢
- Sell Yes
- 1¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,471 (14.7x)
- Volume
- $117
Finland3.4%3.4%0.3¢ bid, 6.5¢ askpolled, 13 min ago6.5¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $1,538 (15.4x)Finland3.4%Polymarket 3.4%polled, 13 min agoBest Yes 6.5¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,538 (15.4x)
Finland
3.4%
3.4%
0.3¢ bid, 6.5¢ ask
polled, 13 min ago
6.5¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $1,538 (15.4x)
Finland
3.4%
Polymarket 3.4%polled, 13 min agoBest Yes 6.5¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,538 (15.4x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Finland
- Last price
- 3.4%
- As of
- Polled 13 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 6.5¢
- Sell Yes
- 0.3¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,538 (15.4x)
- Volume
- $69
Costa Rica3.4%3.4%0.4¢ bid, 6.3¢ askpolled, 13 min ago6.3¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $1,587 (15.9x)Costa Rica3.4%Polymarket 3.4%polled, 13 min agoBest Yes 6.3¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,587 (15.9x)
Costa Rica
3.4%
3.4%
0.4¢ bid, 6.3¢ ask
polled, 13 min ago
6.3¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $1,587 (15.9x)
Costa Rica
3.4%
Polymarket 3.4%polled, 13 min agoBest Yes 6.3¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,587 (15.9x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Costa Rica
- Last price
- 3.4%
- As of
- Polled 13 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 6.3¢
- Sell Yes
- 0.4¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,587 (15.9x)
- Volume
- $307
Australia3.3%3.3%0.3¢ bid, 6.3¢ askpolled, 13 min ago6.3¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $1,587 (15.9x)Australia3.3%Polymarket 3.3%polled, 13 min agoBest Yes 6.3¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,587 (15.9x)
Australia
3.3%
3.3%
0.3¢ bid, 6.3¢ ask
polled, 13 min ago
6.3¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $1,587 (15.9x)
Australia
3.3%
Polymarket 3.3%polled, 13 min agoBest Yes 6.3¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,587 (15.9x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Australia
- Last price
- 3.3%
- As of
- Polled 13 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 6.3¢
- Sell Yes
- 0.3¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,587 (15.9x)
- Volume
- $152
Namibia3.3%3.3%0.3¢ bid, 6.3¢ askpolled, 13 min ago6.3¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $1,587 (15.9x)Namibia3.3%Polymarket 3.3%polled, 13 min agoBest Yes 6.3¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,587 (15.9x)
Namibia
3.3%
3.3%
0.3¢ bid, 6.3¢ ask
polled, 13 min ago
6.3¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $1,587 (15.9x)
Namibia
3.3%
Polymarket 3.3%polled, 13 min agoBest Yes 6.3¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,587 (15.9x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Namibia
- Last price
- 3.3%
- As of
- Polled 13 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 6.3¢
- Sell Yes
- 0.3¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,587 (15.9x)
- Volume
- $60
Nepal3.3%3.3%0.3¢ bid, 6.3¢ askpolled, 13 min ago6.3¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $1,587 (15.9x)Nepal3.3%Polymarket 3.3%polled, 13 min agoBest Yes 6.3¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,587 (15.9x)
Nepal
3.3%
3.3%
0.3¢ bid, 6.3¢ ask
polled, 13 min ago
6.3¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $1,587 (15.9x)
Nepal
3.3%
Polymarket 3.3%polled, 13 min agoBest Yes 6.3¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,587 (15.9x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Nepal
- Last price
- 3.3%
- As of
- Polled 13 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 6.3¢
- Sell Yes
- 0.3¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,587 (15.9x)
- Volume
- $60
Dominican Republic3.2%3.2%0.2¢ bid, 6.2¢ askpolled, 13 min ago6.2¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $1,613 (16.1x)Dominican Republic3.2%Polymarket 3.2%polled, 13 min agoBest Yes 6.2¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,613 (16.1x)
Dominican Republic
3.2%
3.2%
0.2¢ bid, 6.2¢ ask
polled, 13 min ago
6.2¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $1,613 (16.1x)
Dominican Republic
3.2%
Polymarket 3.2%polled, 13 min agoBest Yes 6.2¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,613 (16.1x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Dominican Republic
- Last price
- 3.2%
- As of
- Polled 13 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 6.2¢
- Sell Yes
- 0.2¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,613 (16.1x)
- Volume
- $66
Haiti3.2%3.2%0.2¢ bid, 6.2¢ askpolled, 13 min ago6.2¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $1,613 (16.1x)Haiti3.2%Polymarket 3.2%polled, 13 min agoBest Yes 6.2¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,613 (16.1x)
Haiti
3.2%
3.2%
0.2¢ bid, 6.2¢ ask
polled, 13 min ago
6.2¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $1,613 (16.1x)
Haiti
3.2%
Polymarket 3.2%polled, 13 min agoBest Yes 6.2¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,613 (16.1x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Haiti
- Last price
- 3.2%
- As of
- Polled 13 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 6.2¢
- Sell Yes
- 0.2¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,613 (16.1x)
- Volume
- $110
Trinidad and Tobago3.2%3.2%0.2¢ bid, 6.2¢ askpolled, 13 min ago6.2¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $1,613 (16.1x)Trinidad and Tobago3.2%Polymarket 3.2%polled, 13 min agoBest Yes 6.2¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,613 (16.1x)
Trinidad and Tobago
3.2%
3.2%
0.2¢ bid, 6.2¢ ask
polled, 13 min ago
6.2¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $1,613 (16.1x)
Trinidad and Tobago
3.2%
Polymarket 3.2%polled, 13 min agoBest Yes 6.2¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,613 (16.1x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Trinidad and Tobago
- Last price
- 3.2%
- As of
- Polled 13 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 6.2¢
- Sell Yes
- 0.2¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,613 (16.1x)
- Volume
- $186
Japan3%3%0.3¢ bid, 5.6¢ askpolled, 13 min ago5.6¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $1,786 (17.9x)Japan3%Polymarket 3%polled, 13 min agoBest Yes 5.6¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,786 (17.9x)
Japan
3%
3%
0.3¢ bid, 5.6¢ ask
polled, 13 min ago
5.6¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $1,786 (17.9x)
Japan
3%
Polymarket 3%polled, 13 min agoBest Yes 5.6¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,786 (17.9x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Japan
- Last price
- 3%
- As of
- Polled 13 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 5.6¢
- Sell Yes
- 0.3¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,786 (17.9x)
- Volume
- $191
Nicaragua2.9%2.9%0.2¢ bid, 5.6¢ askpolled, 13 min ago5.6¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $1,786 (17.9x)Nicaragua2.9%Polymarket 2.9%polled, 13 min agoBest Yes 5.6¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,786 (17.9x)
Nicaragua
2.9%
2.9%
0.2¢ bid, 5.6¢ ask
polled, 13 min ago
5.6¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $1,786 (17.9x)
Nicaragua
2.9%
Polymarket 2.9%polled, 13 min agoBest Yes 5.6¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,786 (17.9x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Nicaragua
- Last price
- 2.9%
- As of
- Polled 13 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 5.6¢
- Sell Yes
- 0.2¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,786 (17.9x)
- Volume
- $90
Serbia1.6%1.6%0.3¢ bid, 2.9¢ askpolled, 13 min ago2.9¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $3,448 (34.5x)Serbia1.6%Polymarket 1.6%polled, 13 min agoBest Yes 2.9¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $3,448 (34.5x)
Serbia
1.6%
1.6%
0.3¢ bid, 2.9¢ ask
polled, 13 min ago
2.9¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $3,448 (34.5x)
Serbia
1.6%
Polymarket 1.6%polled, 13 min agoBest Yes 2.9¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $3,448 (34.5x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Serbia
- Last price
- 1.6%
- As of
- Polled 13 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 2.9¢
- Sell Yes
- 0.3¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $3,448 (34.5x)
- Volume
- $161
Argentina1.2%1.2%0.3¢ bid, 2¢ askpolled, 13 min ago2¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)Argentina1.2%Polymarket 1.2%polled, 13 min agoBest Yes 2¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Argentina
1.2%
1.2%
0.3¢ bid, 2¢ ask
polled, 13 min ago
2¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Argentina
1.2%
Polymarket 1.2%polled, 13 min agoBest Yes 2¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Argentina
- Last price
- 1.2%
- As of
- Polled 13 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 2¢
- Sell Yes
- 0.3¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $5,000 (50.0x)
- Volume
- $60
China1.2%1.2%0.3¢ bid, 2¢ askpolled, 13 min ago2¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)China1.2%Polymarket 1.2%polled, 13 min agoBest Yes 2¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
China
1.2%
1.2%
0.3¢ bid, 2¢ ask
polled, 13 min ago
2¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
China
1.2%
Polymarket 1.2%polled, 13 min agoBest Yes 2¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- China
- Last price
- 1.2%
- As of
- Polled 13 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 2¢
- Sell Yes
- 0.3¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $5,000 (50.0x)
- Volume
- $60
India0.6%0.6%0.1¢ bid, 1¢ askpolled, 13 min ago1¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $10,000 (100x)India0.6%Polymarket 0.6%polled, 13 min agoBest Yes 1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
India
0.6%
0.6%
0.1¢ bid, 1¢ ask
polled, 13 min ago
1¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $10,000 (100x)
India
0.6%
Polymarket 0.6%polled, 13 min agoBest Yes 1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- India
- Last price
- 0.6%
- As of
- Polled 13 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 1¢
- Sell Yes
- 0.1¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $10,000 (100x)
- Volume
- $90
Who resolves this market
- Polymarket resolves via:
- UMA optimistic oracle
How the odds have moved
The top 3 outcomes on both venues, with the consensus between them. Hover for exact values.
- Aruba
- Cambodia
- Cameroon
Order books
Each venue’s resting orders for the selected outcome’s Yes contract, side by side. Top of book streams live; depth refreshes every 15 seconds.
What your stake buys
Enter a stake to see where it buys the most after fees, using each venue’s live order book.
$
Buy
Loading both order books…
Buys at the asks resting now (taker orders), cheapest after fees first, from order-book snapshots up to 15 seconds old. Fees: Kalshi 0.07 × price × (1 − price) per share, rounded up to the cent; Polymarket 0.05 × price × (1 − price) per share (other / general rate). Fee calculator. Estimates only, not advice.
About this market
Live prediction market odds for "Miss Universe 2026: Third Place". Aruba leads at 25.9%. Next is Cambodia at 25.5%. $6K has traded across 47 outcomes on Polymarket. The market is expected to resolve by Nov 25, 2026.
The Miss Universe 2026 competition is scheduled to be held in Puerto Rico on November 24, 2026. You can find more information about that here: https://www.missuniverse.com/ This market will resolve to the country represented by the contestant ranked third in the Miss Universe 2026 competition, according to the ranking below. Contestants will be ranked according to their official competition ranking. If two or more contestants share the same ranking, ties will be broken alphabetically by the English name of the country they represent. This market will resolve according to the country ranked third under this ranking. If the result of this competition isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on official results as reported by the Miss Universe Organization.
Questions
What does the consensus price mean?
It is the price of a Yes contract that pays $1 if the outcome happens. A 14¢ price means traders put the chance near 14%. Where two venues list the same outcome, we blend their last prices, weighting the venue with more trading volume more heavily (neither counts for less than a quarter). When only one outcome can win, each venue’s prices add up to a little over 100% (its margin); the fair chance removes that margin so the outcomes add up to exactly 100%.
How is the payout worked out?
A Yes contract pays $1 if it wins, so at the best ask a $100 stake buys 100 ÷ ask contracts. At 18¢ that is about 555 contracts, paying $556 (5.56x) if Yes happens. Venue fees and price slippage on larger orders are not included.
Why do the venues show different prices?
Each venue has its own traders, fees and order book. Contracts can also settle on slightly different terms, which is why each row lists how closely the rules match.
Is a price gap an arbitrage?
Only when you can buy Yes on one venue below what someone pays for Yes on the other, after fees, and both contracts settle the same way. We show the executable bid and ask so you can check.
How fresh are these prices?
Venue prices refresh every few minutes, and the order book and live quotes stream continuously. Each venue’s card shows when we last observed it.
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