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What the markets expect
Philippines 14%
Next is Puerto Rico at 11.5%. Only Polymarket lists this market, so there is no second price to compare.
Odds by venue
Consensus blends each venue’s last price, weighted by how much has traded there. Best Yes price is the cheapest ask across venues, and the payout is what a winning $100 stake returns before fees. Open a row for each venue’s contract name, bid and ask, and how closely their rules match.
Prices come from our regular polls of each venue, the oldest 4 h ago. Ages are as of when this page was built.
- Polymarket
Outcome
Consensus
Venue prices on a 0–100% scale
Polymarket
Best Yes price
Philippines14%14%11¢ bid, 17¢ askpolled, 4 h ago17¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $588 (5.88x)Philippines14%Polymarket 14%polled, 4 h agoBest Yes 17¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $588 (5.88x)
Philippines
14%
14%
11¢ bid, 17¢ ask
polled, 4 h ago
17¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $588 (5.88x)
Philippines
14%
Polymarket 14%polled, 4 h agoBest Yes 17¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $588 (5.88x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Philippines
- Last price
- 14%
- As of
- Polled 4 h ago
- Buy Yes
- 17¢
- Sell Yes
- 11¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $588 (5.88x)
- Volume
- $2K
Puerto Rico11.5%11.5%11¢ bid, 12¢ askpolled, 4 h ago12¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $833 (8.33x)Puerto Rico11.5%Polymarket 11.5%polled, 4 h agoBest Yes 12¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $833 (8.33x)
Puerto Rico
11.5%
11.5%
11¢ bid, 12¢ ask
polled, 4 h ago
12¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $833 (8.33x)
Puerto Rico
11.5%
Polymarket 11.5%polled, 4 h agoBest Yes 12¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $833 (8.33x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Puerto Rico
- Last price
- 11.5%
- As of
- Polled 4 h ago
- Buy Yes
- 12¢
- Sell Yes
- 11¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $833 (8.33x)
- Volume
- $463
Jamaica7.8%7.8%2.8¢ bid, 12.7¢ askpolled, 4 h ago12.7¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $787 (7.87x)Jamaica7.8%Polymarket 7.8%polled, 4 h agoBest Yes 12.7¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $787 (7.87x)
Jamaica
7.8%
7.8%
2.8¢ bid, 12.7¢ ask
polled, 4 h ago
12.7¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $787 (7.87x)
Jamaica
7.8%
Polymarket 7.8%polled, 4 h agoBest Yes 12.7¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $787 (7.87x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Jamaica
- Last price
- 7.8%
- As of
- Polled 4 h ago
- Buy Yes
- 12.7¢
- Sell Yes
- 2.8¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $787 (7.87x)
- Volume
- $101
Egypt6.7%6.7%0.2¢ bid, 13.1¢ askpolled, 4 h ago13.1¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $763 (7.63x)Egypt6.7%Polymarket 6.7%polled, 4 h agoBest Yes 13.1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $763 (7.63x)
Egypt
6.7%
6.7%
0.2¢ bid, 13.1¢ ask
polled, 4 h ago
13.1¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $763 (7.63x)
Egypt
6.7%
Polymarket 6.7%polled, 4 h agoBest Yes 13.1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $763 (7.63x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Egypt
- Last price
- 6.7%
- As of
- Polled 4 h ago
- Buy Yes
- 13.1¢
- Sell Yes
- 0.2¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $763 (7.63x)
- Volume
- $132
Chile6.5%6.5%6¢ bid, 7¢ askpolled, 4 h ago7¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $1,429 (14.3x)Chile6.5%Polymarket 6.5%polled, 4 h agoBest Yes 7¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,429 (14.3x)
Chile
6.5%
6.5%
6¢ bid, 7¢ ask
polled, 4 h ago
7¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $1,429 (14.3x)
Chile
6.5%
Polymarket 6.5%polled, 4 h agoBest Yes 7¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,429 (14.3x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Chile
- Last price
- 6.5%
- As of
- Polled 4 h ago
- Buy Yes
- 7¢
- Sell Yes
- 6¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,429 (14.3x)
- Volume
- $577
France6.5%6.5%3¢ bid, 10¢ askpolled, 4 h ago10¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $1,000 (10.0x)France6.5%Polymarket 6.5%polled, 4 h agoBest Yes 10¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,000 (10.0x)
France
6.5%
6.5%
3¢ bid, 10¢ ask
polled, 4 h ago
10¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $1,000 (10.0x)
France
6.5%
Polymarket 6.5%polled, 4 h agoBest Yes 10¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,000 (10.0x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- France
- Last price
- 6.5%
- As of
- Polled 4 h ago
- Buy Yes
- 10¢
- Sell Yes
- 3¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,000 (10.0x)
- Volume
- $383
Russia6.5%6.5%1¢ bid, 11.9¢ askpolled, 4 h ago11.9¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $840 (8.40x)Russia6.5%Polymarket 6.5%polled, 4 h agoBest Yes 11.9¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $840 (8.40x)
Russia
6.5%
6.5%
1¢ bid, 11.9¢ ask
polled, 4 h ago
11.9¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $840 (8.40x)
Russia
6.5%
Polymarket 6.5%polled, 4 h agoBest Yes 11.9¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $840 (8.40x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Russia
- Last price
- 6.5%
- As of
- Polled 4 h ago
- Buy Yes
- 11.9¢
- Sell Yes
- 1¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $840 (8.40x)
- Volume
- $9
Venezuela6.2%6.2%1.6¢ bid, 10.8¢ askpolled, 4 h ago10.8¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $926 (9.26x)Venezuela6.2%Polymarket 6.2%polled, 4 h agoBest Yes 10.8¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $926 (9.26x)
Venezuela
6.2%
6.2%
1.6¢ bid, 10.8¢ ask
polled, 4 h ago
10.8¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $926 (9.26x)
Venezuela
6.2%
Polymarket 6.2%polled, 4 h agoBest Yes 10.8¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $926 (9.26x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Venezuela
- Last price
- 6.2%
- As of
- Polled 4 h ago
- Buy Yes
- 10.8¢
- Sell Yes
- 1.6¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $926 (9.26x)
- Volume
- $879
Bolivia6.2%6.2%0.4¢ bid, 11.9¢ askpolled, 4 h ago11.9¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $840 (8.40x)Bolivia6.2%Polymarket 6.2%polled, 4 h agoBest Yes 11.9¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $840 (8.40x)
Bolivia
6.2%
6.2%
0.4¢ bid, 11.9¢ ask
polled, 4 h ago
11.9¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $840 (8.40x)
Bolivia
6.2%
Polymarket 6.2%polled, 4 h agoBest Yes 11.9¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $840 (8.40x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Bolivia
- Last price
- 6.2%
- As of
- Polled 4 h ago
- Buy Yes
- 11.9¢
- Sell Yes
- 0.4¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $840 (8.40x)
- Volume
- $54
Netherlands6.1%6.1%0.2¢ bid, 11.9¢ askpolled, 4 h ago11.9¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $840 (8.40x)Netherlands6.1%Polymarket 6.1%polled, 4 h agoBest Yes 11.9¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $840 (8.40x)
Netherlands
6.1%
6.1%
0.2¢ bid, 11.9¢ ask
polled, 4 h ago
11.9¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $840 (8.40x)
Netherlands
6.1%
Polymarket 6.1%polled, 4 h agoBest Yes 11.9¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $840 (8.40x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Netherlands
- Last price
- 6.1%
- As of
- Polled 4 h ago
- Buy Yes
- 11.9¢
- Sell Yes
- 0.2¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $840 (8.40x)
- Volume
- $142
Show 37 more outcomesHide 37 outcomes
Trinidad and Tobago6.1%6.1%0.2¢ bid, 11.9¢ askpolled, 4 h ago11.9¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $840 (8.40x)Trinidad and Tobago6.1%Polymarket 6.1%polled, 4 h agoBest Yes 11.9¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $840 (8.40x)
Trinidad and Tobago
6.1%
6.1%
0.2¢ bid, 11.9¢ ask
polled, 4 h ago
11.9¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $840 (8.40x)
Trinidad and Tobago
6.1%
Polymarket 6.1%polled, 4 h agoBest Yes 11.9¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $840 (8.40x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Trinidad and Tobago
- Last price
- 6.1%
- As of
- Polled 4 h ago
- Buy Yes
- 11.9¢
- Sell Yes
- 0.2¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $840 (8.40x)
- Volume
- $9
Costa Rica6%6%0.2¢ bid, 11.8¢ askpolled, 4 h ago11.8¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $847 (8.47x)Costa Rica6%Polymarket 6%polled, 4 h agoBest Yes 11.8¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $847 (8.47x)
Costa Rica
6%
6%
0.2¢ bid, 11.8¢ ask
polled, 4 h ago
11.8¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $847 (8.47x)
Costa Rica
6%
Polymarket 6%polled, 4 h agoBest Yes 11.8¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $847 (8.47x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Costa Rica
- Last price
- 6%
- As of
- Polled 4 h ago
- Buy Yes
- 11.8¢
- Sell Yes
- 0.2¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $847 (8.47x)
- Volume
- $29
Spain6%6%5¢ bid, 7¢ askpolled, 4 h ago7¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $1,429 (14.3x)Spain6%Polymarket 6%polled, 4 h agoBest Yes 7¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,429 (14.3x)
Spain
6%
6%
5¢ bid, 7¢ ask
polled, 4 h ago
7¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $1,429 (14.3x)
Spain
6%
Polymarket 6%polled, 4 h agoBest Yes 7¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,429 (14.3x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Spain
- Last price
- 6%
- As of
- Polled 4 h ago
- Buy Yes
- 7¢
- Sell Yes
- 5¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,429 (14.3x)
- Volume
- $58
Portugal5.9%5.9%0.9¢ bid, 10.9¢ askpolled, 4 h ago10.9¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $917 (9.17x)Portugal5.9%Polymarket 5.9%polled, 4 h agoBest Yes 10.9¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $917 (9.17x)
Portugal
5.9%
5.9%
0.9¢ bid, 10.9¢ ask
polled, 4 h ago
10.9¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $917 (9.17x)
Portugal
5.9%
Polymarket 5.9%polled, 4 h agoBest Yes 10.9¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $917 (9.17x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Portugal
- Last price
- 5.9%
- As of
- Polled 4 h ago
- Buy Yes
- 10.9¢
- Sell Yes
- 0.9¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $917 (9.17x)
- Volume
- $12
South Africa5.5%5.5%2¢ bid, 9¢ askpolled, 4 h ago9¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $1,111 (11.1x)South Africa5.5%Polymarket 5.5%polled, 4 h agoBest Yes 9¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,111 (11.1x)
South Africa
5.5%
5.5%
2¢ bid, 9¢ ask
polled, 4 h ago
9¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $1,111 (11.1x)
South Africa
5.5%
Polymarket 5.5%polled, 4 h agoBest Yes 9¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,111 (11.1x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- South Africa
- Last price
- 5.5%
- As of
- Polled 4 h ago
- Buy Yes
- 9¢
- Sell Yes
- 2¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,111 (11.1x)
- Volume
- $9
Zimbabwe5.2%5.2%0.5¢ bid, 9.9¢ askpolled, 4 h ago9.9¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $1,010 (10.1x)Zimbabwe5.2%Polymarket 5.2%polled, 4 h agoBest Yes 9.9¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,010 (10.1x)
Zimbabwe
5.2%
5.2%
0.5¢ bid, 9.9¢ ask
polled, 4 h ago
9.9¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $1,010 (10.1x)
Zimbabwe
5.2%
Polymarket 5.2%polled, 4 h agoBest Yes 9.9¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,010 (10.1x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Zimbabwe
- Last price
- 5.2%
- As of
- Polled 4 h ago
- Buy Yes
- 9.9¢
- Sell Yes
- 0.5¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,010 (10.1x)
- Volume
- $12
Curaçao5.1%5.1%0.2¢ bid, 9.9¢ askpolled, 4 h ago9.9¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $1,010 (10.1x)Curaçao5.1%Polymarket 5.1%polled, 4 h agoBest Yes 9.9¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,010 (10.1x)
Curaçao
5.1%
5.1%
0.2¢ bid, 9.9¢ ask
polled, 4 h ago
9.9¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $1,010 (10.1x)
Curaçao
5.1%
Polymarket 5.1%polled, 4 h agoBest Yes 9.9¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,010 (10.1x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Curaçao
- Last price
- 5.1%
- As of
- Polled 4 h ago
- Buy Yes
- 9.9¢
- Sell Yes
- 0.2¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,010 (10.1x)
- Volume
- $69
Guatemala4.8%4.8%1¢ bid, 8.5¢ askpolled, 4 h ago8.5¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $1,176 (11.8x)Guatemala4.8%Polymarket 4.8%polled, 4 h agoBest Yes 8.5¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,176 (11.8x)
Guatemala
4.8%
4.8%
1¢ bid, 8.5¢ ask
polled, 4 h ago
8.5¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $1,176 (11.8x)
Guatemala
4.8%
Polymarket 4.8%polled, 4 h agoBest Yes 8.5¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,176 (11.8x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Guatemala
- Last price
- 4.8%
- As of
- Polled 4 h ago
- Buy Yes
- 8.5¢
- Sell Yes
- 1¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,176 (11.8x)
- Volume
- $99
Mexico4.8%4.8%1¢ bid, 8.5¢ askpolled, 4 h ago8.5¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $1,176 (11.8x)Mexico4.8%Polymarket 4.8%polled, 4 h agoBest Yes 8.5¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,176 (11.8x)
Mexico
4.8%
4.8%
1¢ bid, 8.5¢ ask
polled, 4 h ago
8.5¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $1,176 (11.8x)
Mexico
4.8%
Polymarket 4.8%polled, 4 h agoBest Yes 8.5¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,176 (11.8x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Mexico
- Last price
- 4.8%
- As of
- Polled 4 h ago
- Buy Yes
- 8.5¢
- Sell Yes
- 1¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,176 (11.8x)
- Volume
- $90
Serbia4.7%4.7%1¢ bid, 8.3¢ askpolled, 4 h ago8.3¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $1,205 (12.0x)Serbia4.7%Polymarket 4.7%polled, 4 h agoBest Yes 8.3¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,205 (12.0x)
Serbia
4.7%
4.7%
1¢ bid, 8.3¢ ask
polled, 4 h ago
8.3¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $1,205 (12.0x)
Serbia
4.7%
Polymarket 4.7%polled, 4 h agoBest Yes 8.3¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,205 (12.0x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Serbia
- Last price
- 4.7%
- As of
- Polled 4 h ago
- Buy Yes
- 8.3¢
- Sell Yes
- 1¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,205 (12.0x)
- Volume
- $143
Aruba4.5%4.5%1¢ bid, 8¢ askpolled, 4 h ago8¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $1,250 (12.5x)Aruba4.5%Polymarket 4.5%polled, 4 h agoBest Yes 8¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,250 (12.5x)
Aruba
4.5%
4.5%
1¢ bid, 8¢ ask
polled, 4 h ago
8¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $1,250 (12.5x)
Aruba
4.5%
Polymarket 4.5%polled, 4 h agoBest Yes 8¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,250 (12.5x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Aruba
- Last price
- 4.5%
- As of
- Polled 4 h ago
- Buy Yes
- 8¢
- Sell Yes
- 1¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,250 (12.5x)
- Volume
- $9
Croatia4.5%4.5%— bid, 9¢ askpolled, 4 h ago9¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $1,111 (11.1x)Croatia4.5%Polymarket 4.5%polled, 4 h agoBest Yes 9¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,111 (11.1x)
Croatia
4.5%
4.5%
— bid, 9¢ ask
polled, 4 h ago
9¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $1,111 (11.1x)
Croatia
4.5%
Polymarket 4.5%polled, 4 h agoBest Yes 9¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,111 (11.1x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Croatia
- Last price
- 4.5%
- As of
- Polled 4 h ago
- Buy Yes
- 9¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,111 (11.1x)
- Volume
- $9
Cuba4.5%4.5%2¢ bid, 7¢ askpolled, 4 h ago7¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $1,429 (14.3x)Cuba4.5%Polymarket 4.5%polled, 4 h agoBest Yes 7¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,429 (14.3x)
Cuba
4.5%
4.5%
2¢ bid, 7¢ ask
polled, 4 h ago
7¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $1,429 (14.3x)
Cuba
4.5%
Polymarket 4.5%polled, 4 h agoBest Yes 7¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,429 (14.3x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Cuba
- Last price
- 4.5%
- As of
- Polled 4 h ago
- Buy Yes
- 7¢
- Sell Yes
- 2¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,429 (14.3x)
- Volume
- $166
Dominican Republic4.5%4.5%2¢ bid, 7¢ askpolled, 4 h ago7¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $1,429 (14.3x)Dominican Republic4.5%Polymarket 4.5%polled, 4 h agoBest Yes 7¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,429 (14.3x)
Dominican Republic
4.5%
4.5%
2¢ bid, 7¢ ask
polled, 4 h ago
7¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $1,429 (14.3x)
Dominican Republic
4.5%
Polymarket 4.5%polled, 4 h agoBest Yes 7¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,429 (14.3x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Dominican Republic
- Last price
- 4.5%
- As of
- Polled 4 h ago
- Buy Yes
- 7¢
- Sell Yes
- 2¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,429 (14.3x)
- Volume
- $69
Guadeloupe4.5%4.5%1¢ bid, 8¢ askpolled, 4 h ago8¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $1,250 (12.5x)Guadeloupe4.5%Polymarket 4.5%polled, 4 h agoBest Yes 8¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,250 (12.5x)
Guadeloupe
4.5%
4.5%
1¢ bid, 8¢ ask
polled, 4 h ago
8¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $1,250 (12.5x)
Guadeloupe
4.5%
Polymarket 4.5%polled, 4 h agoBest Yes 8¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,250 (12.5x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Guadeloupe
- Last price
- 4.5%
- As of
- Polled 4 h ago
- Buy Yes
- 8¢
- Sell Yes
- 1¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,250 (12.5x)
- Volume
- $9
Argentina4.5%4.5%1¢ bid, 7.9¢ askpolled, 4 h ago7.9¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $1,266 (12.7x)Argentina4.5%Polymarket 4.5%polled, 4 h agoBest Yes 7.9¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,266 (12.7x)
Argentina
4.5%
4.5%
1¢ bid, 7.9¢ ask
polled, 4 h ago
7.9¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $1,266 (12.7x)
Argentina
4.5%
Polymarket 4.5%polled, 4 h agoBest Yes 7.9¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,266 (12.7x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Argentina
- Last price
- 4.5%
- As of
- Polled 4 h ago
- Buy Yes
- 7.9¢
- Sell Yes
- 1¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,266 (12.7x)
- Volume
- $28
Canada4.4%4.4%0.2¢ bid, 8.6¢ askpolled, 4 h ago8.6¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $1,163 (11.6x)Canada4.4%Polymarket 4.4%polled, 4 h agoBest Yes 8.6¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,163 (11.6x)
Canada
4.4%
4.4%
0.2¢ bid, 8.6¢ ask
polled, 4 h ago
8.6¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $1,163 (11.6x)
Canada
4.4%
Polymarket 4.4%polled, 4 h agoBest Yes 8.6¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,163 (11.6x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Canada
- Last price
- 4.4%
- As of
- Polled 4 h ago
- Buy Yes
- 8.6¢
- Sell Yes
- 0.2¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,163 (11.6x)
- Volume
- $83
Peru4.3%4.3%1.1¢ bid, 7.5¢ askpolled, 4 h ago7.5¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $1,333 (13.3x)Peru4.3%Polymarket 4.3%polled, 4 h agoBest Yes 7.5¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,333 (13.3x)
Peru
4.3%
4.3%
1.1¢ bid, 7.5¢ ask
polled, 4 h ago
7.5¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $1,333 (13.3x)
Peru
4.3%
Polymarket 4.3%polled, 4 h agoBest Yes 7.5¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,333 (13.3x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Peru
- Last price
- 4.3%
- As of
- Polled 4 h ago
- Buy Yes
- 7.5¢
- Sell Yes
- 1.1¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,333 (13.3x)
- Volume
- $213
Namibia4.3%4.3%0.2¢ bid, 8.3¢ askpolled, 4 h ago8.3¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $1,205 (12.0x)Namibia4.3%Polymarket 4.3%polled, 4 h agoBest Yes 8.3¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,205 (12.0x)
Namibia
4.3%
4.3%
0.2¢ bid, 8.3¢ ask
polled, 4 h ago
8.3¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $1,205 (12.0x)
Namibia
4.3%
Polymarket 4.3%polled, 4 h agoBest Yes 8.3¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,205 (12.0x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Namibia
- Last price
- 4.3%
- As of
- Polled 4 h ago
- Buy Yes
- 8.3¢
- Sell Yes
- 0.2¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,205 (12.0x)
- Volume
- $9
Haiti4.1%4.1%0.3¢ bid, 7.8¢ askpolled, 4 h ago7.8¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $1,282 (12.8x)Haiti4.1%Polymarket 4.1%polled, 4 h agoBest Yes 7.8¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,282 (12.8x)
Haiti
4.1%
4.1%
0.3¢ bid, 7.8¢ ask
polled, 4 h ago
7.8¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $1,282 (12.8x)
Haiti
4.1%
Polymarket 4.1%polled, 4 h agoBest Yes 7.8¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,282 (12.8x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Haiti
- Last price
- 4.1%
- As of
- Polled 4 h ago
- Buy Yes
- 7.8¢
- Sell Yes
- 0.3¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,282 (12.8x)
- Volume
- $189
Malta4.1%4.1%0.2¢ bid, 7.9¢ askpolled, 4 h ago7.9¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $1,266 (12.7x)Malta4.1%Polymarket 4.1%polled, 4 h agoBest Yes 7.9¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,266 (12.7x)
Malta
4.1%
4.1%
0.2¢ bid, 7.9¢ ask
polled, 4 h ago
7.9¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $1,266 (12.7x)
Malta
4.1%
Polymarket 4.1%polled, 4 h agoBest Yes 7.9¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,266 (12.7x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Malta
- Last price
- 4.1%
- As of
- Polled 4 h ago
- Buy Yes
- 7.9¢
- Sell Yes
- 0.2¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,266 (12.7x)
- Volume
- $117
Nicaragua4.1%4.1%0.2¢ bid, 7.9¢ askpolled, 4 h ago7.9¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $1,266 (12.7x)Nicaragua4.1%Polymarket 4.1%polled, 4 h agoBest Yes 7.9¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,266 (12.7x)
Nicaragua
4.1%
4.1%
0.2¢ bid, 7.9¢ ask
polled, 4 h ago
7.9¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $1,266 (12.7x)
Nicaragua
4.1%
Polymarket 4.1%polled, 4 h agoBest Yes 7.9¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,266 (12.7x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Nicaragua
- Last price
- 4.1%
- As of
- Polled 4 h ago
- Buy Yes
- 7.9¢
- Sell Yes
- 0.2¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,266 (12.7x)
- Volume
- $22
Cameroon4%4%1¢ bid, 7¢ askpolled, 4 h ago7¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $1,429 (14.3x)Cameroon4%Polymarket 4%polled, 4 h agoBest Yes 7¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,429 (14.3x)
Cameroon
4%
4%
1¢ bid, 7¢ ask
polled, 4 h ago
7¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $1,429 (14.3x)
Cameroon
4%
Polymarket 4%polled, 4 h agoBest Yes 7¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,429 (14.3x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Cameroon
- Last price
- 4%
- As of
- Polled 4 h ago
- Buy Yes
- 7¢
- Sell Yes
- 1¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,429 (14.3x)
- Volume
- $140
Finland4%4%1¢ bid, 7¢ askpolled, 4 h ago7¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $1,429 (14.3x)Finland4%Polymarket 4%polled, 4 h agoBest Yes 7¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,429 (14.3x)
Finland
4%
4%
1¢ bid, 7¢ ask
polled, 4 h ago
7¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $1,429 (14.3x)
Finland
4%
Polymarket 4%polled, 4 h agoBest Yes 7¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,429 (14.3x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Finland
- Last price
- 4%
- As of
- Polled 4 h ago
- Buy Yes
- 7¢
- Sell Yes
- 1¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,429 (14.3x)
- Volume
- $133
USA4%4%2¢ bid, 6¢ askpolled, 4 h ago6¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $1,667 (16.7x)USA4%Polymarket 4%polled, 4 h agoBest Yes 6¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,667 (16.7x)
USA
4%
4%
2¢ bid, 6¢ ask
polled, 4 h ago
6¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $1,667 (16.7x)
USA
4%
Polymarket 4%polled, 4 h agoBest Yes 6¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,667 (16.7x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- USA
- Last price
- 4%
- As of
- Polled 4 h ago
- Buy Yes
- 6¢
- Sell Yes
- 2¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,667 (16.7x)
- Volume
- $129
Nepal3.6%3.6%1.4¢ bid, 5.7¢ askpolled, 4 h ago5.7¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $1,754 (17.5x)Nepal3.6%Polymarket 3.6%polled, 4 h agoBest Yes 5.7¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,754 (17.5x)
Nepal
3.6%
3.6%
1.4¢ bid, 5.7¢ ask
polled, 4 h ago
5.7¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $1,754 (17.5x)
Nepal
3.6%
Polymarket 3.6%polled, 4 h agoBest Yes 5.7¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,754 (17.5x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Nepal
- Last price
- 3.6%
- As of
- Polled 4 h ago
- Buy Yes
- 5.7¢
- Sell Yes
- 1.4¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,754 (17.5x)
- Volume
- $132
China3.5%3.5%3¢ bid, 4¢ askpolled, 4 h ago4¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)China3.5%Polymarket 3.5%polled, 4 h agoBest Yes 4¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)
China
3.5%
3.5%
3¢ bid, 4¢ ask
polled, 4 h ago
4¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)
China
3.5%
Polymarket 3.5%polled, 4 h agoBest Yes 4¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- China
- Last price
- 3.5%
- As of
- Polled 4 h ago
- Buy Yes
- 4¢
- Sell Yes
- 3¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $2,500 (25.0x)
- Volume
- $100
El Salvador3.5%3.5%1¢ bid, 6¢ askpolled, 4 h ago6¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $1,667 (16.7x)El Salvador3.5%Polymarket 3.5%polled, 4 h agoBest Yes 6¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,667 (16.7x)
El Salvador
3.5%
3.5%
1¢ bid, 6¢ ask
polled, 4 h ago
6¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $1,667 (16.7x)
El Salvador
3.5%
Polymarket 3.5%polled, 4 h agoBest Yes 6¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,667 (16.7x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- El Salvador
- Last price
- 3.5%
- As of
- Polled 4 h ago
- Buy Yes
- 6¢
- Sell Yes
- 1¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,667 (16.7x)
- Volume
- $22
Brazil3.5%3.5%1¢ bid, 5.9¢ askpolled, 4 h ago5.9¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $1,695 (16.9x)Brazil3.5%Polymarket 3.5%polled, 4 h agoBest Yes 5.9¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,695 (16.9x)
Brazil
3.5%
3.5%
1¢ bid, 5.9¢ ask
polled, 4 h ago
5.9¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $1,695 (16.9x)
Brazil
3.5%
Polymarket 3.5%polled, 4 h agoBest Yes 5.9¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,695 (16.9x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Brazil
- Last price
- 3.5%
- As of
- Polled 4 h ago
- Buy Yes
- 5.9¢
- Sell Yes
- 1¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,695 (16.9x)
- Volume
- $469
Colombia3.5%3.5%1¢ bid, 5.9¢ askpolled, 4 h ago5.9¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $1,695 (16.9x)Colombia3.5%Polymarket 3.5%polled, 4 h agoBest Yes 5.9¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,695 (16.9x)
Colombia
3.5%
3.5%
1¢ bid, 5.9¢ ask
polled, 4 h ago
5.9¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $1,695 (16.9x)
Colombia
3.5%
Polymarket 3.5%polled, 4 h agoBest Yes 5.9¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,695 (16.9x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Colombia
- Last price
- 3.5%
- As of
- Polled 4 h ago
- Buy Yes
- 5.9¢
- Sell Yes
- 1¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,695 (16.9x)
- Volume
- $639
Pakistan3.3%3.3%0.3¢ bid, 6.3¢ askpolled, 4 h ago6.3¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $1,587 (15.9x)Pakistan3.3%Polymarket 3.3%polled, 4 h agoBest Yes 6.3¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,587 (15.9x)
Pakistan
3.3%
3.3%
0.3¢ bid, 6.3¢ ask
polled, 4 h ago
6.3¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $1,587 (15.9x)
Pakistan
3.3%
Polymarket 3.3%polled, 4 h agoBest Yes 6.3¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,587 (15.9x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Pakistan
- Last price
- 3.3%
- As of
- Polled 4 h ago
- Buy Yes
- 6.3¢
- Sell Yes
- 0.3¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,587 (15.9x)
- Volume
- $204
India3.2%3.2%0.3¢ bid, 6.1¢ askpolled, 4 h ago6.1¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $1,639 (16.4x)India3.2%Polymarket 3.2%polled, 4 h agoBest Yes 6.1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,639 (16.4x)
India
3.2%
3.2%
0.3¢ bid, 6.1¢ ask
polled, 4 h ago
6.1¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $1,639 (16.4x)
India
3.2%
Polymarket 3.2%polled, 4 h agoBest Yes 6.1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,639 (16.4x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- India
- Last price
- 3.2%
- As of
- Polled 4 h ago
- Buy Yes
- 6.1¢
- Sell Yes
- 0.3¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,639 (16.4x)
- Volume
- $69
Australia3.2%3.2%0.3¢ bid, 6¢ askpolled, 4 h ago6¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $1,667 (16.7x)Australia3.2%Polymarket 3.2%polled, 4 h agoBest Yes 6¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,667 (16.7x)
Australia
3.2%
3.2%
0.3¢ bid, 6¢ ask
polled, 4 h ago
6¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $1,667 (16.7x)
Australia
3.2%
Polymarket 3.2%polled, 4 h agoBest Yes 6¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,667 (16.7x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Australia
- Last price
- 3.2%
- As of
- Polled 4 h ago
- Buy Yes
- 6¢
- Sell Yes
- 0.3¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,667 (16.7x)
- Volume
- $51
Nigeria3.2%3.2%0.3¢ bid, 6¢ askpolled, 4 h ago6¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $1,667 (16.7x)Nigeria3.2%Polymarket 3.2%polled, 4 h agoBest Yes 6¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,667 (16.7x)
Nigeria
3.2%
3.2%
0.3¢ bid, 6¢ ask
polled, 4 h ago
6¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $1,667 (16.7x)
Nigeria
3.2%
Polymarket 3.2%polled, 4 h agoBest Yes 6¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,667 (16.7x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Nigeria
- Last price
- 3.2%
- As of
- Polled 4 h ago
- Buy Yes
- 6¢
- Sell Yes
- 0.3¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,667 (16.7x)
- Volume
- $213
Japan3%3%1¢ bid, 5¢ askpolled, 4 h ago5¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)Japan3%Polymarket 3%polled, 4 h agoBest Yes 5¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)
Japan
3%
3%
1¢ bid, 5¢ ask
polled, 4 h ago
5¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)
Japan
3%
Polymarket 3%polled, 4 h agoBest Yes 5¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Japan
- Last price
- 3%
- As of
- Polled 4 h ago
- Buy Yes
- 5¢
- Sell Yes
- 1¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $2,000 (20.0x)
- Volume
- $140
Cambodia1.1%1.1%0.3¢ bid, 1.9¢ askpolled, 4 h ago1.9¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $5,263 (52.6x)Cambodia1.1%Polymarket 1.1%polled, 4 h agoBest Yes 1.9¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $5,263 (52.6x)
Cambodia
1.1%
1.1%
0.3¢ bid, 1.9¢ ask
polled, 4 h ago
1.9¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $5,263 (52.6x)
Cambodia
1.1%
Polymarket 1.1%polled, 4 h agoBest Yes 1.9¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $5,263 (52.6x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Cambodia
- Last price
- 1.1%
- As of
- Polled 4 h ago
- Buy Yes
- 1.9¢
- Sell Yes
- 0.3¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $5,263 (52.6x)
- Volume
- $129
Ecuador0.6%0.6%0.1¢ bid, 1¢ askpolled, 4 h ago1¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $10,000 (100x)Ecuador0.6%Polymarket 0.6%polled, 4 h agoBest Yes 1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Ecuador
0.6%
0.6%
0.1¢ bid, 1¢ ask
polled, 4 h ago
1¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Ecuador
0.6%
Polymarket 0.6%polled, 4 h agoBest Yes 1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Ecuador
- Last price
- 0.6%
- As of
- Polled 4 h ago
- Buy Yes
- 1¢
- Sell Yes
- 0.1¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $10,000 (100x)
- Volume
- $124
Who resolves this market
- Polymarket resolves via:
- UMA optimistic oracle
How the odds have moved
The top 3 outcomes on both venues, with the consensus between them. Hover for exact values.
- Philippines
- Puerto Rico
- Jamaica
Order books
Each venue’s resting orders for the selected outcome’s Yes contract, side by side. Top of book streams live; depth refreshes every 15 seconds.
What your stake buys
Enter a stake to see where it buys the most after fees, using each venue’s live order book.
$
Buy
Loading both order books…
Buys at the asks resting now (taker orders), cheapest after fees first, from order-book snapshots up to 15 seconds old. Fees: Kalshi 0.07 × price × (1 − price) per share, rounded up to the cent; Polymarket 0.05 × price × (1 − price) per share (other / general rate). Fee calculator. Estimates only, not advice.
About this market
Live prediction market odds for "Miss Universe 2026 Winner?". Philippines leads at 14%. Next is Puerto Rico at 11.5%. $9K has traded across 47 outcomes on Polymarket. The market is expected to resolve by Nov 25, 2026.
The Miss Universe 2026 competition is scheduled to be held in Puerto Rico on November 24, 2026. You can find more information about that here: https://www.missuniverse.com/ This market will resolve to the country represented by the contestant ranked first in the Miss Universe 2026 competition, according to the ranking below. Contestants will be ranked according to their official competition ranking. If two or more contestants share the same ranking, ties will be broken alphabetically by the English name of the country they represent. This market will resolve according to the country ranked first under this ranking. If the result of this competition isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on official results as reported by the Miss Universe Organization.
Questions
What does the consensus price mean?
It is the price of a Yes contract that pays $1 if the outcome happens. A 14¢ price means traders put the chance near 14%. Where two venues list the same outcome, we blend their last prices, weighting the venue with more trading volume more heavily (neither counts for less than a quarter). When only one outcome can win, each venue’s prices add up to a little over 100% (its margin); the fair chance removes that margin so the outcomes add up to exactly 100%.
How is the payout worked out?
A Yes contract pays $1 if it wins, so at the best ask a $100 stake buys 100 ÷ ask contracts. At 18¢ that is about 555 contracts, paying $556 (5.56x) if Yes happens. Venue fees and price slippage on larger orders are not included.
Why do the venues show different prices?
Each venue has its own traders, fees and order book. Contracts can also settle on slightly different terms, which is why each row lists how closely the rules match.
Is a price gap an arbitrage?
Only when you can buy Yes on one venue below what someone pays for Yes on the other, after fees, and both contracts settle the same way. We show the executable bid and ask so you can check.
How fresh are these prices?
Venue prices refresh every few minutes, and the order book and live quotes stream continuously. Each venue’s card shows when we last observed it.
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