The Prediction Markets

MLB: 2026 AL Gold Glove Winners

Closes
Jan 1, 2027, in 2 months
Traded
$30K
Venues
Polymarket
Prices updated
just now
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What the markets expect

Dillon Dingler 96.4%

Next is Ceddanne Rafaela at 90%. Only Polymarket lists this market, so there is no second price to compare.

Odds by venue

Consensus blends each venue’s last price, weighted by how much has traded there. Best Yes price is the cheapest ask across venues, and the payout is what a winning $100 stake returns before fees. Open a row for each venue’s contract name, bid and ask, and how closely their rules match.

Prices come from our regular polls of each venue. Ages are as of when this page was built.

  • Polymarket
Dillon Dingler
96.4%
Polymarket 96.4%polled, 26s agoBest Yes 97.9¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $102 (1.02x)
Polymarket
Contract
Dillon Dingler
Last price
96.4%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
97.9¢
Sell Yes
94.8¢
$100 on Yes pays
$102 (1.02x)
Volume
$180
Trade this on Polymarket
Ceddanne Rafaela
90%
Polymarket 90%polled, 26s agoBest Yes 99.9¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $100 (1.00x)
Polymarket
Contract
Ceddanne Rafaela
Last price
90%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
99.9¢
Sell Yes
80¢
$100 on Yes pays
$100 (1.00x)
Volume
$203
Trade this on Polymarket
Wilyer Abreu
88.5%
Polymarket 88.5%polled, 26s agoBest Yes 92¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $109 (1.09x)
Polymarket
Contract
Wilyer Abreu
Last price
88.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
92¢
Sell Yes
85¢
$100 on Yes pays
$109 (1.09x)
Volume
$588
Trade this on Polymarket
Caleb Durbin
87%
Polymarket 87%polled, 26s agoBest Yes 88¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $114 (1.14x)
Polymarket
Contract
Caleb Durbin
Last price
87%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
88¢
Sell Yes
86¢
$100 on Yes pays
$114 (1.14x)
Volume
$221
Trade this on Polymarket
Cody Bellinger
85.5%
Polymarket 85.5%polled, 26s agoBest Yes 86¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $116 (1.16x)
Polymarket
Contract
Cody Bellinger
Last price
85.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
86¢
Sell Yes
85¢
$100 on Yes pays
$116 (1.16x)
Volume
$2K
Trade this on Polymarket
Bobby Witt Jr.
74.5%
Polymarket 74.5%polled, 26s agoBest Yes 75¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $133 (1.33x)
Polymarket
Contract
Bobby Witt Jr.
Last price
74.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
75¢
Sell Yes
74¢
$100 on Yes pays
$133 (1.33x)
Volume
$529
Trade this on Polymarket
Ezequiel Duran
69.9%
Polymarket 69.9%polled, 26s agoBest Yes 89.9¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $111 (1.11x)
Polymarket
Contract
Ezequiel Duran
Last price
69.9%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
89.9¢
Sell Yes
49.9¢
$100 on Yes pays
$111 (1.11x)
Volume
$281
Trade this on Polymarket
Tanner Bibee
61.5%
Polymarket 61.5%polled, 26s agoBest Yes 73¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $137 (1.37x)
Polymarket
Contract
Tanner Bibee
Last price
61.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
73¢
Sell Yes
50¢
$100 on Yes pays
$137 (1.37x)
Volume
$527
Trade this on Polymarket
Christian Walker
52.5%
Polymarket 52.5%polled, 26s agoBest Yes 67.9¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $147 (1.47x)
Polymarket
Contract
Christian Walker
Last price
52.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
67.9¢
Sell Yes
37¢
$100 on Yes pays
$147 (1.47x)
Volume
$2K
Trade this on Polymarket
Chase Meidroth
44%
Polymarket 44%polled, 26s agoBest Yes 56¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $179 (1.79x)
Polymarket
Contract
Chase Meidroth
Last price
44%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
56¢
Sell Yes
32¢
$100 on Yes pays
$179 (1.79x)
Volume
$1K
Trade this on Polymarket
Show 15 more outcomes
Vladimir Guerrero Jr.
39.5%
Polymarket 39.5%polled, 26s agoBest Yes 46¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $217 (2.17x)
Polymarket
Contract
Vladimir Guerrero Jr.
Last price
39.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
46¢
Sell Yes
33¢
$100 on Yes pays
$217 (2.17x)
Volume
$422
Trade this on Polymarket
Michael Massey
31%
Polymarket 31%polled, 26s agoBest Yes 51¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $196 (1.96x)
Polymarket
Contract
Michael Massey
Last price
31%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
51¢
Sell Yes
11¢
$100 on Yes pays
$196 (1.96x)
Volume
$101
Trade this on Polymarket
Taylor Walls
30.5%
Polymarket 30.5%polled, 26s agoBest Yes 51¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $196 (1.96x)
Polymarket
Contract
Taylor Walls
Last price
30.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
51¢
Sell Yes
10¢
$100 on Yes pays
$196 (1.96x)
Volume
$2K
Trade this on Polymarket
Cole Young
25.5%
Polymarket 25.5%polled, 26s agoBest Yes 26¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $385 (3.85x)
Polymarket
Contract
Cole Young
Last price
25.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
26¢
Sell Yes
25¢
$100 on Yes pays
$385 (3.85x)
Volume
$1K
Trade this on Polymarket
Jacob deGrom
24.5%
Polymarket 24.5%polled, 26s agoBest Yes 25¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $400 (4.00x)
Polymarket
Contract
Jacob deGrom
Last price
24.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
25¢
Sell Yes
24¢
$100 on Yes pays
$400 (4.00x)
Volume
$148
Trade this on Polymarket
Zach McKinstry
20%
Polymarket 20%polled, 26s agoBest Yes 29¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $345 (3.45x)
Polymarket
Contract
Zach McKinstry
Last price
20%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
29¢
Sell Yes
11¢
$100 on Yes pays
$345 (3.45x)
Volume
$2K
Trade this on Polymarket
Nick Loftin
15.5%
Polymarket 15.5%polled, 26s agoBest Yes 19¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $526 (5.26x)
Polymarket
Contract
Nick Loftin
Last price
15.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
19¢
Sell Yes
12¢
$100 on Yes pays
$526 (5.26x)
Volume
$43
Trade this on Polymarket
Angel Martínez
12.5%
Polymarket 12.5%polled, 26s agoBest Yes 24¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $417 (4.17x)
Polymarket
Contract
Andrés Giménez
Last price
12.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
24¢
Sell Yes
1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$417 (4.17x)
Volume
$21
Trade this on Polymarket
Chandler Simpson
11%
Polymarket 11%polled, 26s agoBest Yes 14¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $714 (7.14x)
Polymarket
Contract
Chandler Simpson
Last price
11%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
14¢
Sell Yes
8¢
$100 on Yes pays
$714 (7.14x)
Volume
$282
Trade this on Polymarket
Austin Wells
9%
Polymarket 9%polled, 26s agoBest Yes 16¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $625 (6.25x)
Polymarket
Contract
Austin Wells
Last price
9%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
16¢
Sell Yes
2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$625 (6.25x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Cam Smith
8.5%
Polymarket 8.5%polled, 26s agoBest Yes 10¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,000 (10.0x)
Polymarket
Contract
Cam Smith
Last price
8.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
10¢
Sell Yes
7¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,000 (10.0x)
Volume
$395
Trade this on Polymarket
Steven Kwan
7.6%
Polymarket 7.6%polled, 26s agoBest Yes 15¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $667 (6.67x)
Polymarket
Contract
Steven Kwan
Last price
7.6%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
15¢
Sell Yes
0.2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$667 (6.67x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Brandon Valenzuela
7.5%
Polymarket 7.5%polled, 26s agoBest Yes 8¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,250 (12.5x)
Polymarket
Contract
Brandon Valenzuela
Last price
7.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
8¢
Sell Yes
7¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,250 (12.5x)
Volume
$410
Trade this on Polymarket
Nathan Lukes
5%
Polymarket 5%polled, 26s agoBest Yes 8¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,250 (12.5x)
Polymarket
Contract
Nathan Lukes
Last price
5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
8¢
Sell Yes
2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,250 (12.5x)
Volume
$21
Trade this on Polymarket
Evan Carter
4.1%
Polymarket 4.1%polled, 26s agoBest Yes 6.6¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,515 (15.2x)
Polymarket
Contract
Evan Carter
Last price
4.1%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
6.6¢
Sell Yes
1.5¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,515 (15.2x)
Volume
$342
Trade this on Polymarket

Who resolves this market

Polymarket
Polymarket resolves via:
UMA optimistic oracle

How the odds have moved

The top 3 outcomes on both venues, with the consensus between them. Hover for exact values.

  • Dillon Dingler
  • Ceddanne Rafaela
  • Wilyer Abreu

Order books

Each venue’s resting orders for the selected outcome’s Yes contract, side by side. Top of book streams live; depth refreshes every 15 seconds.

Top of book

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Best bid
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Spread
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Best ask
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Depth · top 8 levels

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Recent trades

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What your stake buys

Enter a stake to see where it buys the most after fees, using each venue’s live order book.

$
Buy

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Buys at the asks resting now (taker orders), cheapest after fees first, from order-book snapshots up to 15 seconds old. Fees: Kalshi 0.07 × price × (1 − price) per share, rounded up to the cent; Polymarket 0.05 × price × (1 − price) per share (sports rate). Fee calculator. Estimates only, not advice.

About this market

Live prediction market odds for "MLB: 2026 AL Gold Glove Winners". Dillon Dingler leads at 96.4%. Next is Ceddanne Rafaela at 90%. $30K has traded across 25 outcomes on Polymarket. The market is expected to resolve by Jan 1, 2027.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed player wins a 2026 Rawlings Gold Glove Award for the American League at any position, including the utility award. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No”. If no official 2026 American League Rawlings Gold Glove Award winners are announced by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Rawlings and Major League Baseball; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Questions

What does the consensus price mean?

It is the price of a Yes contract that pays $1 if the outcome happens. A 14¢ price means traders put the chance near 14%. Where two venues list the same outcome, we blend their last prices, weighting the venue with more trading volume more heavily (neither counts for less than a quarter). When only one outcome can win, each venue’s prices add up to a little over 100% (its margin); the fair chance removes that margin so the outcomes add up to exactly 100%.

How is the payout worked out?

A Yes contract pays $1 if it wins, so at the best ask a $100 stake buys 100 ÷ ask contracts. At 18¢ that is about 555 contracts, paying $556 (5.56x) if Yes happens. Venue fees and price slippage on larger orders are not included.

Why do the venues show different prices?

Each venue has its own traders, fees and order book. Contracts can also settle on slightly different terms, which is why each row lists how closely the rules match.

Is a price gap an arbitrage?

Only when you can buy Yes on one venue below what someone pays for Yes on the other, after fees, and both contracts settle the same way. We show the executable bid and ask so you can check.

How fresh are these prices?

Venue prices refresh every few minutes, and the order book and live quotes stream continuously. Each venue’s card shows when we last observed it.

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