Combined depth · both venues
Loading both order books…
What the markets expect
Jacob Misiorowski 73.4%
Next is Chris Sale at 0.7%. Polymarket and Kalshi agree within 1 point on each matched outcome.
Odds by venue
Fair chance strips out each venue’s built-in margin (its prices add up to more than 100%), then blends the venues by how much has traded there, so the outcomes add up to 100%. Best Yes price is the cheapest ask across venues, and the payout is what a winning $100 stake returns before fees. Open a row for each venue’s contract name, bid and ask, and how closely their rules match.
1 of 70 prices are live from the exchange feeds; the rest come from our regular price polls, the oldest 1 min ago. Ages are as of when this page was built.
- Polymarket
- Kalshi
Outcome
Fair chance
Venue prices on a 0–100% scale
Polymarket
Kalshi
Best Yes price
Jacob Misiorowski73.4%98.6%80% fair98¢ bid, 99.1¢ askpolled, 1 min ago99%68.7% fair98¢ bid, 99¢ asklive, just now99¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $101 (1.01x)Jacob Misiorowski73.4%Polymarket 98.6%(80% fair)polled, 1 min agoKalshi 99%(68.7% fair)live, just nowBest Yes 99¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $101 (1.01x)
Jacob Misiorowski
73.4%
98.6%
80% fair
98¢ bid, 99.1¢ ask
polled, 1 min ago
99%
68.7% fair
98¢ bid, 99¢ ask
live, just now
99¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $101 (1.01x)
Jacob Misiorowski
73.4%
Polymarket 98.6%(80% fair)polled, 1 min agoKalshi 99%(68.7% fair)live, just nowBest Yes 99¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $101 (1.01x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Jacob Misiorowski
- Last price
- 98.6%
- Fair, margin removed
- 80%
- As of
- Polled 1 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 99.1¢
- Sell Yes
- 98¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $101 (1.01x)
- Volume
- $36K
Kalshi
- Contract
- Jacob Misiorowski
- Price
- 99%
- Fair, margin removed
- 68.7%
- As of
- Live feed, just now
- Buy Yes
- 99¢
- Sell Yes
- 98¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $101 (1.01x)
- Volume
- $540K
Partial parity
Payoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences below the table.
No arbitrage: the best bid elsewhere is 98¢, at or below the cheapest ask of 99¢.
Chris Sale0.7%0.6%0.3¢ bid, 0.9¢ askpolled, 1 min ago1%— bid, 1¢ askpolled, 43s ago0.9¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $11,111 (111x)Chris Sale0.7%Polymarket 0.6%polled, 1 min agoKalshi 1%polled, 43s agoBest Yes 0.9¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $11,111 (111x)
Chris Sale
0.7%
0.6%
0.3¢ bid, 0.9¢ ask
polled, 1 min ago
1%
— bid, 1¢ ask
polled, 43s ago
0.9¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $11,111 (111x)
Chris Sale
0.7%
Polymarket 0.6%polled, 1 min agoKalshi 1%polled, 43s agoBest Yes 0.9¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $11,111 (111x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Chris Sale
- Last price
- 0.6%
- As of
- Polled 1 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 0.9¢
- Sell Yes
- 0.3¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $11,111 (111x)
- Volume
- $15K
Kalshi
- Contract
- Chris Sale
- Last price
- 1%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 1¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $10,000 (100x)
- Volume
- $193K
Partial parity
Payoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences below the table.
No arbitrage: the best bid elsewhere is 0.3¢, at or below the cheapest ask of 1¢.
Shohei Ohtani0.7%0.7%0.2¢ bid, 1.1¢ askpolled, 1 min ago1%— bid, 1¢ askpolled, 43s ago1¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $10,000 (100x)Shohei Ohtani0.7%Polymarket 0.7%polled, 1 min agoKalshi 1%polled, 43s agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Shohei Ohtani
0.7%
0.7%
0.2¢ bid, 1.1¢ ask
polled, 1 min ago
1%
— bid, 1¢ ask
polled, 43s ago
1¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Shohei Ohtani
0.7%
Polymarket 0.7%polled, 1 min agoKalshi 1%polled, 43s agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Shohei Ohtani
- Last price
- 0.7%
- As of
- Polled 1 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 1.1¢
- Sell Yes
- 0.2¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $9,091 (90.9x)
- Volume
- $25K
Kalshi
- Contract
- Shohei Ohtani
- Last price
- 1%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 1¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $10,000 (100x)
- Volume
- $500K
Partial parity
Payoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences below the table.
No arbitrage: the best bid elsewhere is 0.2¢, at or below the cheapest ask of 1¢.
Yoshinobu Yamamoto0.7%1%0.4¢ bid, 1.6¢ askpolled, 1 min ago1%— bid, 1¢ askpolled, 43s ago1¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $10,000 (100x)Yoshinobu Yamamoto0.7%Polymarket 1%polled, 1 min agoKalshi 1%polled, 43s agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Yoshinobu Yamamoto
0.7%
1%
0.4¢ bid, 1.6¢ ask
polled, 1 min ago
1%
— bid, 1¢ ask
polled, 43s ago
1¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Yoshinobu Yamamoto
0.7%
Polymarket 1%polled, 1 min agoKalshi 1%polled, 43s agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Yoshinobu Yamamoto
- Last price
- 1%
- As of
- Polled 1 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 1.6¢
- Sell Yes
- 0.4¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $6,250 (62.5x)
- Volume
- $14K
Kalshi
- Contract
- Yoshinobu Yamamoto
- Last price
- 1%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 1¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $10,000 (100x)
- Volume
- $206K
Partial parity
Payoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences below the table.
No arbitrage: the best bid elsewhere is 0.4¢, at or below the cheapest ask of 1¢.
Aaron Nola0.7%Not listed1%— bid, 1¢ askpolled, 43s ago1¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $10,000 (100x)Aaron Nola0.7%Kalshi 1%polled, 43s agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Aaron Nola
0.7%
Not listed
1%
— bid, 1¢ ask
polled, 43s ago
1¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Aaron Nola
0.7%
Kalshi 1%polled, 43s agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Aaron Nola
- Last price
- 1%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 1¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $10,000 (100x)
- Volume
- $538
Andrew Abbott0.7%Not listed1%— bid, 1¢ askpolled, 43s ago1¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $10,000 (100x)Andrew Abbott0.7%Kalshi 1%polled, 43s agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Andrew Abbott
0.7%
Not listed
1%
— bid, 1¢ ask
polled, 43s ago
1¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Andrew Abbott
0.7%
Kalshi 1%polled, 43s agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Andrew Abbott
- Last price
- 1%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 1¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $10,000 (100x)
- Volume
- $4K
Brady Singer0.7%Not listed1%— bid, 1¢ askpolled, 43s ago1¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $10,000 (100x)Brady Singer0.7%Kalshi 1%polled, 43s agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Brady Singer
0.7%
Not listed
1%
— bid, 1¢ ask
polled, 43s ago
1¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Brady Singer
0.7%
Kalshi 1%polled, 43s agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Brady Singer
- Last price
- 1%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 1¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $10,000 (100x)
- Volume
- $1
Bryce Elder0.7%Not listed1%— bid, 1¢ askpolled, 43s ago1¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $10,000 (100x)Bryce Elder0.7%Kalshi 1%polled, 43s agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Bryce Elder
0.7%
Not listed
1%
— bid, 1¢ ask
polled, 43s ago
1¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Bryce Elder
0.7%
Kalshi 1%polled, 43s agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Bryce Elder
- Last price
- 1%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 1¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $10,000 (100x)
- Volume
- $39K
Bubba Chandler0.7%Not listed1%— bid, 1¢ askpolled, 43s ago1¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $10,000 (100x)Bubba Chandler0.7%Kalshi 1%polled, 43s agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Bubba Chandler
0.7%
Not listed
1%
— bid, 1¢ ask
polled, 43s ago
1¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Bubba Chandler
0.7%
Kalshi 1%polled, 43s agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Bubba Chandler
- Last price
- 1%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 1¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $10,000 (100x)
- Volume
- $6K
Cade Horton0.7%Not listed1%— bid, 1¢ askpolled, 43s ago1¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $10,000 (100x)Cade Horton0.7%Kalshi 1%polled, 43s agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Cade Horton
0.7%
Not listed
1%
— bid, 1¢ ask
polled, 43s ago
1¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Cade Horton
0.7%
Kalshi 1%polled, 43s agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Cade Horton
- Last price
- 1%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 1¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $10,000 (100x)
- Volume
- $25K
Show 37 more outcomesHide 37 outcomes
David Peterson0.7%Not listed1%— bid, 1¢ askpolled, 43s ago1¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $10,000 (100x)David Peterson0.7%Kalshi 1%polled, 43s agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
David Peterson
0.7%
Not listed
1%
— bid, 1¢ ask
polled, 43s ago
1¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $10,000 (100x)
David Peterson
0.7%
Kalshi 1%polled, 43s agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- David Peterson
- Last price
- 1%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 1¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $10,000 (100x)
- Volume
- $4
Edward Cabrera0.7%Not listed1%— bid, 1¢ askpolled, 43s ago1¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $10,000 (100x)Edward Cabrera0.7%Kalshi 1%polled, 43s agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Edward Cabrera
0.7%
Not listed
1%
— bid, 1¢ ask
polled, 43s ago
1¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Edward Cabrera
0.7%
Kalshi 1%polled, 43s agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Edward Cabrera
- Last price
- 1%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 1¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $10,000 (100x)
- Volume
- $17K
Hurston Waldrep0.7%Not listed1%— bid, 1¢ askpolled, 43s ago1¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $10,000 (100x)Hurston Waldrep0.7%Kalshi 1%polled, 43s agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Hurston Waldrep
0.7%
Not listed
1%
— bid, 1¢ ask
polled, 43s ago
1¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Hurston Waldrep
0.7%
Kalshi 1%polled, 43s agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Hurston Waldrep
- Last price
- 1%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 1¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $10,000 (100x)
- Volume
- $492
Jared Jones0.7%Not listed1%— bid, 1¢ askpolled, 43s ago1¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $10,000 (100x)Jared Jones0.7%Kalshi 1%polled, 43s agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Jared Jones
0.7%
Not listed
1%
— bid, 1¢ ask
polled, 43s ago
1¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Jared Jones
0.7%
Kalshi 1%polled, 43s agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Jared Jones
- Last price
- 1%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 1¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $10,000 (100x)
- Volume
- $1
Jhoan Duran0.7%Not listed1%— bid, 1¢ askpolled, 43s ago1¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $10,000 (100x)Jhoan Duran0.7%Kalshi 1%polled, 43s agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Jhoan Duran
0.7%
Not listed
1%
— bid, 1¢ ask
polled, 43s ago
1¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Jhoan Duran
0.7%
Kalshi 1%polled, 43s agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Jhoan Duran
- Last price
- 1%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 1¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $10,000 (100x)
- Volume
- $167
Joe Musgrove0.7%Not listed1%— bid, 1¢ askpolled, 43s ago1¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $10,000 (100x)Joe Musgrove0.7%Kalshi 1%polled, 43s agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Joe Musgrove
0.7%
Not listed
1%
— bid, 1¢ ask
polled, 43s ago
1¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Joe Musgrove
0.7%
Kalshi 1%polled, 43s agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Joe Musgrove
- Last price
- 1%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 1¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $10,000 (100x)
- Volume
- $1
Kodai Senga0.7%Not listed1%— bid, 1¢ askpolled, 43s ago1¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $10,000 (100x)Kodai Senga0.7%Kalshi 1%polled, 43s agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kodai Senga
0.7%
Not listed
1%
— bid, 1¢ ask
polled, 43s ago
1¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kodai Senga
0.7%
Kalshi 1%polled, 43s agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Kodai Senga
- Last price
- 1%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 1¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $10,000 (100x)
- Volume
- $11K
Kyle Harrison0.7%Not listed1%— bid, 1¢ askpolled, 43s ago1¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $10,000 (100x)Kyle Harrison0.7%Kalshi 1%polled, 43s agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kyle Harrison
0.7%
Not listed
1%
— bid, 1¢ ask
polled, 43s ago
1¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kyle Harrison
0.7%
Kalshi 1%polled, 43s agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Kyle Harrison
- Last price
- 1%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 1¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $10,000 (100x)
- Volume
- $50K
Matthew Boyd0.7%Not listed1%— bid, 1¢ askpolled, 43s ago1¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $10,000 (100x)Matthew Boyd0.7%Kalshi 1%polled, 43s agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Matthew Boyd
0.7%
Not listed
1%
— bid, 1¢ ask
polled, 43s ago
1¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Matthew Boyd
0.7%
Kalshi 1%polled, 43s agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Matthew Boyd
- Last price
- 1%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 1¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $10,000 (100x)
- Volume
- $2K
Mitch KellerKalshi: “Merrill Kelly”0.7%Not listed1%— bid, 1¢ askpolled, 43s ago1¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $10,000 (100x)Mitch Keller0.7%Kalshi 1%polled, 43s agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Mitch Keller
Kalshi: “Merrill Kelly”
0.7%
Not listed
1%
— bid, 1¢ ask
polled, 43s ago
1¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Mitch Keller
0.7%
Kalshi 1%polled, 43s agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Merrill Kelly
- Last price
- 1%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 1¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $10,000 (100x)
- Volume
- $1
Quinn Priester0.7%Not listed1%— bid, 1¢ askpolled, 43s ago1¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $10,000 (100x)Quinn Priester0.7%Kalshi 1%polled, 43s agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Quinn Priester
0.7%
Not listed
1%
— bid, 1¢ ask
polled, 43s ago
1¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Quinn Priester
0.7%
Kalshi 1%polled, 43s agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Quinn Priester
- Last price
- 1%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 1¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $10,000 (100x)
- Volume
- $103
Robbie Ray0.7%Not listed1%— bid, 1¢ askpolled, 43s ago1¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $10,000 (100x)Robbie Ray0.7%Kalshi 1%polled, 43s agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Robbie Ray
0.7%
Not listed
1%
— bid, 1¢ ask
polled, 43s ago
1¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Robbie Ray
0.7%
Kalshi 1%polled, 43s agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Robbie Ray
- Last price
- 1%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 1¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $10,000 (100x)
- Volume
- $4K
Roki Sasaki0.7%Not listed1%— bid, 1¢ askpolled, 43s ago1¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $10,000 (100x)Roki Sasaki0.7%Kalshi 1%polled, 43s agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Roki Sasaki
0.7%
Not listed
1%
— bid, 1¢ ask
polled, 43s ago
1¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Roki Sasaki
0.7%
Kalshi 1%polled, 43s agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Roki Sasaki
- Last price
- 1%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 1¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $10,000 (100x)
- Volume
- $8K
Sandy Alcantara0.7%Not listed1%— bid, 1¢ askpolled, 43s ago1¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $10,000 (100x)Sandy Alcantara0.7%Kalshi 1%polled, 43s agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Sandy Alcantara
0.7%
Not listed
1%
— bid, 1¢ ask
polled, 43s ago
1¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Sandy Alcantara
0.7%
Kalshi 1%polled, 43s agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Sandy Alcantara
- Last price
- 1%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 1¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $10,000 (100x)
- Volume
- $50K
Sean Manaea0.7%Not listed1%— bid, 1¢ askpolled, 43s ago1¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $10,000 (100x)Sean Manaea0.7%Kalshi 1%polled, 43s agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Sean Manaea
0.7%
Not listed
1%
— bid, 1¢ ask
polled, 43s ago
1¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Sean Manaea
0.7%
Kalshi 1%polled, 43s agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Sean Manaea
- Last price
- 1%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 1¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $10,000 (100x)
- Volume
- $1
Shota Imanaga0.7%Not listed1%— bid, 1¢ askpolled, 43s ago1¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $10,000 (100x)Shota Imanaga0.7%Kalshi 1%polled, 43s agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Shota Imanaga
0.7%
Not listed
1%
— bid, 1¢ ask
polled, 43s ago
1¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Shota Imanaga
0.7%
Kalshi 1%polled, 43s agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Shota Imanaga
- Last price
- 1%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 1¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $10,000 (100x)
- Volume
- $35K
Tie/Co-Winners0.7%Not listed1%— bid, 1¢ askpolled, 43s ago1¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $10,000 (100x)Tie/Co-Winners0.7%Kalshi 1%polled, 43s agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Tie/Co-Winners
0.7%
Not listed
1%
— bid, 1¢ ask
polled, 43s ago
1¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Tie/Co-Winners
0.7%
Kalshi 1%polled, 43s agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Tie/Co-Winners
- Last price
- 1%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 1¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $10,000 (100x)
- Volume
- $3K
Cristopher Sanchez0.6%0.5%0.1¢ bid, 0.8¢ askpolled, 1 min ago1%— bid, 1¢ askpolled, 43s ago0.8¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $12,500 (125x)Cristopher Sanchez0.6%Polymarket 0.5%polled, 1 min agoKalshi 1%polled, 43s agoBest Yes 0.8¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $12,500 (125x)
Cristopher Sanchez
0.6%
0.5%
0.1¢ bid, 0.8¢ ask
polled, 1 min ago
1%
— bid, 1¢ ask
polled, 43s ago
0.8¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $12,500 (125x)
Cristopher Sanchez
0.6%
Polymarket 0.5%polled, 1 min agoKalshi 1%polled, 43s agoBest Yes 0.8¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $12,500 (125x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Cristopher Sanchez
- Last price
- 0.5%
- As of
- Polled 1 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 0.8¢
- Sell Yes
- 0.1¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $12,500 (125x)
- Volume
- $58K
Kalshi
- Contract
- Cristopher Sanchez
- Last price
- 1%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 1¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $10,000 (100x)
- Volume
- $348K
Partial parity
Payoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences below the table.
No arbitrage: the best bid elsewhere is 0.1¢, at or below the cheapest ask of 1¢.
Hunter Greene0.6%0.1%— bid, 0.1¢ askpolled, 1 min ago1%— bid, 1¢ askpolled, 43s ago0.1¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $100,000 (1000x)Hunter Greene0.6%Polymarket 0.1%polled, 1 min agoKalshi 1%polled, 43s agoBest Yes 0.1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $100,000 (1000x)
Hunter Greene
0.6%
0.1%
— bid, 0.1¢ ask
polled, 1 min ago
1%
— bid, 1¢ ask
polled, 43s ago
0.1¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $100,000 (1000x)
Hunter Greene
0.6%
Polymarket 0.1%polled, 1 min agoKalshi 1%polled, 43s agoBest Yes 0.1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $100,000 (1000x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Hunter Greene
- Last price
- 0.1%
- As of
- Polled 1 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 0.1¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $100,000 (1000x)
- Volume
- $1K
Kalshi
- Contract
- Hunter Greene
- Last price
- 1%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 1¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $10,000 (100x)
- Volume
- $6K
Partial parity
Payoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences below the table.
Jesus Luzardo0.6%0.1%— bid, 0.1¢ askpolled, 1 min ago1%— bid, 1¢ askpolled, 43s ago0.1¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $100,000 (1000x)Jesus Luzardo0.6%Polymarket 0.1%polled, 1 min agoKalshi 1%polled, 43s agoBest Yes 0.1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $100,000 (1000x)
Jesus Luzardo
0.6%
0.1%
— bid, 0.1¢ ask
polled, 1 min ago
1%
— bid, 1¢ ask
polled, 43s ago
0.1¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $100,000 (1000x)
Jesus Luzardo
0.6%
Polymarket 0.1%polled, 1 min agoKalshi 1%polled, 43s agoBest Yes 0.1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $100,000 (1000x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Jesus Luzardo
- Last price
- 0.1%
- As of
- Polled 1 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 0.1¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $100,000 (1000x)
- Volume
- $2K
Kalshi
- Contract
- Jesus Luzardo
- Last price
- 1%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 1¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $10,000 (100x)
- Volume
- $88K
Partial parity
Payoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences below the table.
Logan Webb0.6%0.1%— bid, 0.1¢ askpolled, 1 min ago1%— bid, 1¢ askpolled, 43s ago0.1¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $100,000 (1000x)Logan Webb0.6%Polymarket 0.1%polled, 1 min agoKalshi 1%polled, 43s agoBest Yes 0.1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $100,000 (1000x)
Logan Webb
0.6%
0.1%
— bid, 0.1¢ ask
polled, 1 min ago
1%
— bid, 1¢ ask
polled, 43s ago
0.1¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $100,000 (1000x)
Logan Webb
0.6%
Polymarket 0.1%polled, 1 min agoKalshi 1%polled, 43s agoBest Yes 0.1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $100,000 (1000x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Logan Webb
- Last price
- 0.1%
- As of
- Polled 1 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 0.1¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $100,000 (1000x)
- Volume
- $1K
Kalshi
- Contract
- Logan Webb
- Last price
- 1%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 1¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $10,000 (100x)
- Volume
- $42K
Partial parity
Payoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences below the table.
Nick Lodolo0.6%0.1%— bid, 0.1¢ askpolled, 1 min ago1%— bid, 1¢ askpolled, 43s ago0.1¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $100,000 (1000x)Nick Lodolo0.6%Polymarket 0.1%polled, 1 min agoKalshi 1%polled, 43s agoBest Yes 0.1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $100,000 (1000x)
Nick Lodolo
0.6%
0.1%
— bid, 0.1¢ ask
polled, 1 min ago
1%
— bid, 1¢ ask
polled, 43s ago
0.1¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $100,000 (1000x)
Nick Lodolo
0.6%
Polymarket 0.1%polled, 1 min agoKalshi 1%polled, 43s agoBest Yes 0.1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $100,000 (1000x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Nick Lodolo
- Last price
- 0.1%
- As of
- Polled 1 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 0.1¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $100,000 (1000x)
- Volume
- $799
Kalshi
- Contract
- Nick Lodolo
- Last price
- 1%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 1¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $10,000 (100x)
- Volume
- $2K
Partial parity
Payoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences below the table.
Paul Skenes0.6%0.2%— bid, 0.3¢ askpolled, 1 min ago1%— bid, 1¢ askpolled, 43s ago0.3¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $33,333 (333x)Paul Skenes0.6%Polymarket 0.2%polled, 1 min agoKalshi 1%polled, 43s agoBest Yes 0.3¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $33,333 (333x)
Paul Skenes
0.6%
0.2%
— bid, 0.3¢ ask
polled, 1 min ago
1%
— bid, 1¢ ask
polled, 43s ago
0.3¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $33,333 (333x)
Paul Skenes
0.6%
Polymarket 0.2%polled, 1 min agoKalshi 1%polled, 43s agoBest Yes 0.3¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $33,333 (333x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Paul Skenes
- Last price
- 0.2%
- As of
- Polled 1 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 0.3¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $33,333 (333x)
- Volume
- $31K
Kalshi
- Contract
- Paul Skenes
- Last price
- 1%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 1¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $10,000 (100x)
- Volume
- $225K
Partial parity
Payoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences below the table.
Spencer Strider0.6%0.1%— bid, 0.1¢ askpolled, 1 min ago1%— bid, 1¢ askpolled, 43s ago0.1¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $100,000 (1000x)Spencer Strider0.6%Polymarket 0.1%polled, 1 min agoKalshi 1%polled, 43s agoBest Yes 0.1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $100,000 (1000x)
Spencer Strider
0.6%
0.1%
— bid, 0.1¢ ask
polled, 1 min ago
1%
— bid, 1¢ ask
polled, 43s ago
0.1¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $100,000 (1000x)
Spencer Strider
0.6%
Polymarket 0.1%polled, 1 min agoKalshi 1%polled, 43s agoBest Yes 0.1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $100,000 (1000x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Spencer Strider
- Last price
- 0.1%
- As of
- Polled 1 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 0.1¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $100,000 (1000x)
- Volume
- $751
Kalshi
- Contract
- Spencer Strider
- Last price
- 1%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 1¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $10,000 (100x)
- Volume
- $10K
Partial parity
Payoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences below the table.
Tyler Glasnow0.6%0.1%— bid, 0.1¢ askpolled, 1 min ago1%— bid, 1¢ askpolled, 43s ago0.1¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $100,000 (1000x)Tyler Glasnow0.6%Polymarket 0.1%polled, 1 min agoKalshi 1%polled, 43s agoBest Yes 0.1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $100,000 (1000x)
Tyler Glasnow
0.6%
0.1%
— bid, 0.1¢ ask
polled, 1 min ago
1%
— bid, 1¢ ask
polled, 43s ago
0.1¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $100,000 (1000x)
Tyler Glasnow
0.6%
Polymarket 0.1%polled, 1 min agoKalshi 1%polled, 43s agoBest Yes 0.1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $100,000 (1000x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Tyler Glasnow
- Last price
- 0.1%
- As of
- Polled 1 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 0.1¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $100,000 (1000x)
- Volume
- $2K
Kalshi
- Contract
- Tyler Glasnow
- Last price
- 1%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 1¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $10,000 (100x)
- Volume
- $50K
Partial parity
Payoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences below the table.
Zack Wheeler0.6%0.1%— bid, 0.1¢ askpolled, 1 min ago1%— bid, 1¢ askpolled, 43s ago0.1¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $100,000 (1000x)Zack Wheeler0.6%Polymarket 0.1%polled, 1 min agoKalshi 1%polled, 43s agoBest Yes 0.1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $100,000 (1000x)
Zack Wheeler
0.6%
0.1%
— bid, 0.1¢ ask
polled, 1 min ago
1%
— bid, 1¢ ask
polled, 43s ago
0.1¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $100,000 (1000x)
Zack Wheeler
0.6%
Polymarket 0.1%polled, 1 min agoKalshi 1%polled, 43s agoBest Yes 0.1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $100,000 (1000x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Zack Wheeler
- Last price
- 0.1%
- As of
- Polled 1 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 0.1¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $100,000 (1000x)
- Volume
- $8K
Kalshi
- Contract
- Zack Wheeler
- Last price
- 1%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 1¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $10,000 (100x)
- Volume
- $247K
Partial parity
Payoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences below the table.
Mason Miller0.5%0.1%— bid, 0.1¢ askpolled, 1 min ago1%— bid, 1¢ askpolled, 43s ago0.1¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $100,000 (1000x)Mason Miller0.5%Polymarket 0.1%polled, 1 min agoKalshi 1%polled, 43s agoBest Yes 0.1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $100,000 (1000x)
Mason Miller
0.5%
0.1%
— bid, 0.1¢ ask
polled, 1 min ago
1%
— bid, 1¢ ask
polled, 43s ago
0.1¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $100,000 (1000x)
Mason Miller
0.5%
Polymarket 0.1%polled, 1 min agoKalshi 1%polled, 43s agoBest Yes 0.1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $100,000 (1000x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Mason Miller
- Last price
- 0.1%
- As of
- Polled 1 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 0.1¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $100,000 (1000x)
- Volume
- $3K
Kalshi
- Contract
- Mason Miller
- Last price
- 1%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 1¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $10,000 (100x)
- Volume
- $419K
Partial parity
Payoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences below the table.
Mitch Keller0.5%0.1%— bid, 0.1¢ askpolled, 1 min ago1%— bid, 1¢ askpolled, 43s ago0.1¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $100,000 (1000x)Mitch Keller0.5%Polymarket 0.1%polled, 1 min agoKalshi 1%polled, 43s agoBest Yes 0.1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $100,000 (1000x)
Mitch Keller
0.5%
0.1%
— bid, 0.1¢ ask
polled, 1 min ago
1%
— bid, 1¢ ask
polled, 43s ago
0.1¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $100,000 (1000x)
Mitch Keller
0.5%
Polymarket 0.1%polled, 1 min agoKalshi 1%polled, 43s agoBest Yes 0.1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $100,000 (1000x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Mitch Keller
- Last price
- 0.1%
- As of
- Polled 1 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 0.1¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $100,000 (1000x)
- Volume
- $658
Kalshi
- Contract
- Mitch Keller
- Last price
- 1%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 1¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $10,000 (100x)
- Volume
- $1K
Partial parity
Payoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences below the table.
Blake Snell0.4%0.1%— bid, 0.1¢ askpolled, 1 min ago1%— bid, 1¢ askpolled, 43s ago0.1¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $100,000 (1000x)Blake Snell0.4%Polymarket 0.1%polled, 1 min agoKalshi 1%polled, 43s agoBest Yes 0.1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $100,000 (1000x)
Blake Snell
0.4%
0.1%
— bid, 0.1¢ ask
polled, 1 min ago
1%
— bid, 1¢ ask
polled, 43s ago
0.1¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $100,000 (1000x)
Blake Snell
0.4%
Polymarket 0.1%polled, 1 min agoKalshi 1%polled, 43s agoBest Yes 0.1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $100,000 (1000x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Blake Snell
- Last price
- 0.1%
- As of
- Polled 1 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 0.1¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $100,000 (1000x)
- Volume
- $1K
Kalshi
- Contract
- Blake Snell
- Last price
- 1%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 1¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $10,000 (100x)
- Volume
- $988
Partial parity
Payoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences below the table.
Chase Burns0.4%0.1%— bid, 0.1¢ askpolled, 1 min ago1%— bid, 1¢ askpolled, 43s ago0.1¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $100,000 (1000x)Chase Burns0.4%Polymarket 0.1%polled, 1 min agoKalshi 1%polled, 43s agoBest Yes 0.1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $100,000 (1000x)
Chase Burns
0.4%
0.1%
— bid, 0.1¢ ask
polled, 1 min ago
1%
— bid, 1¢ ask
polled, 43s ago
0.1¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $100,000 (1000x)
Chase Burns
0.4%
Polymarket 0.1%polled, 1 min agoKalshi 1%polled, 43s agoBest Yes 0.1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $100,000 (1000x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Chase Burns
- Last price
- 0.1%
- As of
- Polled 1 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 0.1¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $100,000 (1000x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Chase Burns
- Last price
- 1%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 1¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $10,000 (100x)
- Volume
- $151K
Partial parity
Payoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences below the table.
Brandon Woodruff0.2%0.1%— bid, 0.1¢ askpolled, 1 min ago1%— bid, 1¢ askpolled, 43s ago0.1¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $100,000 (1000x)Brandon Woodruff0.2%Polymarket 0.1%polled, 1 min agoKalshi 1%polled, 43s agoBest Yes 0.1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $100,000 (1000x)
Brandon Woodruff
0.2%
0.1%
— bid, 0.1¢ ask
polled, 1 min ago
1%
— bid, 1¢ ask
polled, 43s ago
0.1¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $100,000 (1000x)
Brandon Woodruff
0.2%
Polymarket 0.1%polled, 1 min agoKalshi 1%polled, 43s agoBest Yes 0.1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $100,000 (1000x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Brandon Woodruff
- Last price
- 0.1%
- As of
- Polled 1 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 0.1¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $100,000 (1000x)
- Volume
- $108K
Kalshi
- Contract
- Brandon Woodruff
- Last price
- 1%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 1¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $10,000 (100x)
- Volume
- $3K
Partial parity
Payoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences below the table.
Eury Perez0.2%0.1%— bid, 0.1¢ askpolled, 1 min ago1%— bid, 1¢ askpolled, 43s ago0.1¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $100,000 (1000x)Eury Perez0.2%Polymarket 0.1%polled, 1 min agoKalshi 1%polled, 43s agoBest Yes 0.1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $100,000 (1000x)
Eury Perez
0.2%
0.1%
— bid, 0.1¢ ask
polled, 1 min ago
1%
— bid, 1¢ ask
polled, 43s ago
0.1¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $100,000 (1000x)
Eury Perez
0.2%
Polymarket 0.1%polled, 1 min agoKalshi 1%polled, 43s agoBest Yes 0.1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $100,000 (1000x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Eury Perez
- Last price
- 0.1%
- As of
- Polled 1 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 0.1¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $100,000 (1000x)
- Volume
- $96K
Kalshi
- Contract
- Eury Perez
- Last price
- 1%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 1¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $10,000 (100x)
- Volume
- $8K
Partial parity
Payoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences below the table.
Freddy Peralta0.2%0.1%— bid, 0.2¢ askpolled, 1 min ago1%— bid, 1¢ askpolled, 43s ago0.2¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $50,000 (500x)Freddy Peralta0.2%Polymarket 0.1%polled, 1 min agoKalshi 1%polled, 43s agoBest Yes 0.2¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $50,000 (500x)
Freddy Peralta
0.2%
0.1%
— bid, 0.2¢ ask
polled, 1 min ago
1%
— bid, 1¢ ask
polled, 43s ago
0.2¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $50,000 (500x)
Freddy Peralta
0.2%
Polymarket 0.1%polled, 1 min agoKalshi 1%polled, 43s agoBest Yes 0.2¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $50,000 (500x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Freddy Peralta
- Last price
- 0.1%
- As of
- Polled 1 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 0.2¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $50,000 (500x)
- Volume
- $113K
Kalshi
- Contract
- Freddy Peralta
- Last price
- 1%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 1¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $10,000 (100x)
- Volume
- $10K
Partial parity
Payoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences below the table.
Nick Pivetta0.2%0.1%— bid, 0.1¢ askpolled, 1 min ago1%— bid, 1¢ askpolled, 43s ago0.1¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $100,000 (1000x)Nick Pivetta0.2%Polymarket 0.1%polled, 1 min agoKalshi 1%polled, 43s agoBest Yes 0.1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $100,000 (1000x)
Nick Pivetta
0.2%
0.1%
— bid, 0.1¢ ask
polled, 1 min ago
1%
— bid, 1¢ ask
polled, 43s ago
0.1¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $100,000 (1000x)
Nick Pivetta
0.2%
Polymarket 0.1%polled, 1 min agoKalshi 1%polled, 43s agoBest Yes 0.1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $100,000 (1000x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Nick Pivetta
- Last price
- 0.1%
- As of
- Polled 1 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 0.1¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $100,000 (1000x)
- Volume
- $1K
Kalshi
- Contract
- Nick Pivetta
- Last price
- 1%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 1¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $10,000 (100x)
- Volume
- $172
Partial parity
Payoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences below the table.
Nolan McLean0.2%0.1%— bid, 0.1¢ askpolled, 1 min ago1%— bid, 1¢ askpolled, 43s ago0.1¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $100,000 (1000x)Nolan McLean0.2%Polymarket 0.1%polled, 1 min agoKalshi 1%polled, 43s agoBest Yes 0.1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $100,000 (1000x)
Nolan McLean
0.2%
0.1%
— bid, 0.1¢ ask
polled, 1 min ago
1%
— bid, 1¢ ask
polled, 43s ago
0.1¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $100,000 (1000x)
Nolan McLean
0.2%
Polymarket 0.1%polled, 1 min agoKalshi 1%polled, 43s agoBest Yes 0.1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $100,000 (1000x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Nolan McLean
- Last price
- 0.1%
- As of
- Polled 1 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 0.1¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $100,000 (1000x)
- Volume
- $587K
Kalshi
- Contract
- Nolan McLean
- Last price
- 1%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 1¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $10,000 (100x)
- Volume
- $68K
Partial parity
Payoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences below the table.
Spencer Schwellenbach0.2%0.1%— bid, 0.1¢ askpolled, 1 min ago1%— bid, 1¢ askpolled, 43s ago0.1¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $100,000 (1000x)Spencer Schwellenbach0.2%Polymarket 0.1%polled, 1 min agoKalshi 1%polled, 43s agoBest Yes 0.1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $100,000 (1000x)
Spencer Schwellenbach
0.2%
0.1%
— bid, 0.1¢ ask
polled, 1 min ago
1%
— bid, 1¢ ask
polled, 43s ago
0.1¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $100,000 (1000x)
Spencer Schwellenbach
0.2%
Polymarket 0.1%polled, 1 min agoKalshi 1%polled, 43s agoBest Yes 0.1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $100,000 (1000x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Spencer Schwellenbach
- Last price
- 0.1%
- As of
- Polled 1 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 0.1¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $100,000 (1000x)
- Volume
- $619
Kalshi
- Contract
- Spencer Schwellenbach
- Last price
- 1%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 1¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $10,000 (100x)
- Volume
- $166
Partial parity
Payoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences below the table.
Michael King0%0.1%— bid, 0.1¢ askpolled, 1 min agoNot listed0.1¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $100,000 (1000x)Michael King0%Polymarket 0.1%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 0.1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $100,000 (1000x)
Michael King
0%
0.1%
— bid, 0.1¢ ask
polled, 1 min ago
Not listed
0.1¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $100,000 (1000x)
Michael King
0%
Polymarket 0.1%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 0.1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $100,000 (1000x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Michael King
- Last price
- 0.1%
- As of
- Polled 1 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 0.1¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $100,000 (1000x)
- Volume
- $2K
No cross-venue arbitrage right now: on every matched outcome, the best bid on one venue is at or below the cheapest ask on the other. Find markets with open spreads
Mostly the same bet: 4 differences
Where they differ
- Both settle on the official league/organizer result for the named season; Kalshi's season is the ticker edition (KXNBA-27 = 2026-27) and Polymarket's is stated in the title or slug.
- Season cancelled or not completed: Kalshi resolves per its rules (typically a fair price); Polymarket resolves to 'Other' or 50-50 depending on the event.
- Polymarket lists placeholders ('Other', 'Team A') and closes eliminated outcomes early; only live named outcomes are linked.
- Awards: Kalshi and Polymarket both settle on the official award announcement; ties or shared awards are handled differently (Kalshi per contract rules, Polymarket split).
- Polymarket resolves via:
- UMA optimistic oracle
- Kalshi resolves via:
- Kalshi (CFTC-regulated exchange), source: the Governing League
Show full rule comparisonHide full rule comparison
- Both settle on the official league/organizer result for the named season; Kalshi's season is the ticker edition (KXNBA-27 = 2026-27) and Polymarket's is stated in the title or slug.
- Season cancelled or not completed: Kalshi resolves per its rules (typically a fair price); Polymarket resolves to 'Other' or 50-50 depending on the event.
- Polymarket lists placeholders ('Other', 'Team A') and closes eliminated outcomes early; only live named outcomes are linked.
- Awards: Kalshi and Polymarket both settle on the official award announcement; ties or shared awards are handled differently (Kalshi per contract rules, Polymarket split).
- Trading closes Nov 12, 2026, 12:00 AM UTC on Polymarket and Dec 8, 2026, 3:00 PM UTC on Kalshi.
Summarized from each venue’s published rules; the venue’s own rules page is the final word.
How the odds have moved
The top 3 outcomes on both venues, with the consensus between them. Hover for exact values.
- Jacob Misiorowski
- Chris Sale
- Shohei Ohtani
Live prices for Jacob Misiorowski
What it costs to buy Yes, what you would get selling it, and the last trade on each exchange, updating as orders change. Hover a status for timing details.
Order books
Each venue’s resting orders for the selected outcome’s Yes contract, side by side. Top of book streams live; depth refreshes every 15 seconds.
Polymarket
Open on Polymarket ↗Top of book
ConnectingBest bid
—
Spread
—
Best ask
—
Waiting for the first live quote…
Depth · top 8 levels
Loading snapshot…Recent trades
Loading…Kalshi
Open on Kalshi ↗Top of book
ConnectingBest bid
—
Spread
—
Best ask
—
Waiting for the first live quote…
Depth · top 8 levels
Loading snapshot…Recent trades
Loading…What your stake buys
Enter a stake to see where it buys the most after fees, using each venue’s live order book.
$
Buy
Loading both order books…
Buys at the asks resting now (taker orders), cheapest after fees first, from order-book snapshots up to 15 seconds old. Fees: Kalshi 0.07 × price × (1 − price) per share, rounded up to the cent; Polymarket 0.05 × price × (1 − price) per share (sports rate). Fee calculator. Estimates only, not advice.
About this market
Live prediction market odds for "MLB: 2026 NL Cy Young Winner". Jacob Misiorowski leads at 73.4%. Next is Chris Sale at 0.7%. $4.5M has traded across 47 outcomes on Kalshi and Polymarket. The market is expected to resolve by Nov 12, 2026.
This market will resolve to the player who wins the 2026 National League Cy Young Award. In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by MLB rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically. If the 2026 MLB season is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Major League Baseball; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Questions
What does the consensus price mean?
It is the price of a Yes contract that pays $1 if the outcome happens. A 14¢ price means traders put the chance near 14%. Where two venues list the same outcome, we blend their last prices, weighting the venue with more trading volume more heavily (neither counts for less than a quarter). When only one outcome can win, each venue’s prices add up to a little over 100% (its margin); the fair chance removes that margin so the outcomes add up to exactly 100%.
How is the payout worked out?
A Yes contract pays $1 if it wins, so at the best ask a $100 stake buys 100 ÷ ask contracts. At 18¢ that is about 555 contracts, paying $556 (5.56x) if Yes happens. Venue fees and price slippage on larger orders are not included.
Why do the venues show different prices?
Each venue has its own traders, fees and order book. Contracts can also settle on slightly different terms, which is why each row lists how closely the rules match.
Is a price gap an arbitrage?
Only when you can buy Yes on one venue below what someone pays for Yes on the other, after fees, and both contracts settle the same way. We show the executable bid and ask so you can check.
How fresh are these prices?
Venue prices refresh every few minutes, and the order book and live quotes stream continuously. Each venue’s card shows when we last observed it.
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