The Prediction Markets

MLB: AL Comeback Player of the Year

Closes
Dec 19, 2026, in 57 days
Traded
$7K
Venues
Polymarket
Prices updated
4 min ago
Share

What the markets expect

Yordan Alvarez 94.7%

Next is Anthony Volpe at 1.2%. Only Polymarket lists this market, so there is no second price to compare.

Yordan Alvarez 94.7%Anthony Volpe 1.2%Mike Trout 1%Jonathan India 0.9%Gerrit Cole 0.8%5 others 1.4%

Odds by venue

Fair chance strips out each venue’s built-in margin (its prices add up to more than 100%), then blends the venues by how much has traded there, so the outcomes add up to 100%. Best Yes price is the cheapest ask across venues, and the payout is what a winning $100 stake returns before fees. Open a row for each venue’s contract name, bid and ask, and how closely their rules match.

Prices come from our regular polls of each venue, the oldest 4 min ago. Ages are as of when this page was built.

  • Polymarket
Yordan Alvarez
94.7%
Polymarket 96.3%(94.7% fair)polled, 4 min agoBest Yes 97.8¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $102 (1.02x)
Polymarket
Contract
Yordan Alvarez
Last price
96.3%
Fair, margin removed
94.7%
As of
Polled 4 min ago
Buy Yes
97.8¢
Sell Yes
94.7¢
$100 on Yes pays
$102 (1.02x)
Volume
$6K
Trade this on Polymarket
Anthony Volpe
1.2%
Polymarket 1.3%polled, 4 min agoBest Yes 1.9¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $5,263 (52.6x)
Polymarket
Contract
Anthony Volpe
Last price
1.3%
As of
Polled 4 min ago
Buy Yes
1.9¢
Sell Yes
0.6¢
$100 on Yes pays
$5,263 (52.6x)
Volume
$88
Trade this on Polymarket
Mike Trout
1%
Polymarket 1%polled, 4 min agoBest Yes 1.8¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $5,556 (55.6x)
Polymarket
Contract
Mike Trout
Last price
1%
As of
Polled 4 min ago
Buy Yes
1.8¢
Sell Yes
0.2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$5,556 (55.6x)
Volume
$170
Trade this on Polymarket
Jonathan India
0.9%
Polymarket 1%polled, 4 min agoBest Yes 1.6¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $6,250 (62.5x)
Polymarket
Contract
Jonathan India
Last price
1%
As of
Polled 4 min ago
Buy Yes
1.6¢
Sell Yes
0.3¢
$100 on Yes pays
$6,250 (62.5x)
Volume
$311
Trade this on Polymarket
Gerrit Cole
0.8%
Polymarket 0.8%polled, 4 min agoBest Yes 1.5¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $6,667 (66.7x)
Polymarket
Contract
Gerrit Cole
Last price
0.8%
As of
Polled 4 min ago
Buy Yes
1.5¢
Sell Yes
0.1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$6,667 (66.7x)
Volume
$429
Trade this on Polymarket
Kristian Campbell
0.4%
Polymarket 0.4%polled, 4 min agoBest Yes 0.6¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $16,667 (167x)
Polymarket
Contract
Kristian Campbell
Last price
0.4%
As of
Polled 4 min ago
Buy Yes
0.6¢
Sell Yes
0.2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$16,667 (167x)
Volume
$71
Trade this on Polymarket
Adley Rutschman
0.3%
Polymarket 0.3%polled, 4 min agoBest Yes 0.5¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $20,000 (200x)
Polymarket
Contract
Adley Rutschman
Last price
0.3%
As of
Polled 4 min ago
Buy Yes
0.5¢
Sell Yes
0.1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$20,000 (200x)
Volume
$88
Trade this on Polymarket
Anthony Santander
0.3%
Polymarket 0.3%polled, 4 min agoBest Yes 0.4¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $25,000 (250x)
Polymarket
Contract
Anthony Santander
Last price
0.3%
As of
Polled 4 min ago
Buy Yes
0.4¢
Sell Yes
0.1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$25,000 (250x)
Volume
$230
Trade this on Polymarket
Royce Lewis
0.2%
Polymarket 0.3%polled, 4 min agoBest Yes 0.4¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $25,000 (250x)
Polymarket
Contract
Royce Lewis
Last price
0.3%
As of
Polled 4 min ago
Buy Yes
0.4¢
Sell Yes
0.1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$25,000 (250x)
Volume
$151
Trade this on Polymarket
Zack Gelof
0.2%
Polymarket 0.2%polled, 4 min agoBest Yes 0.3¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $33,333 (333x)
Polymarket
Contract
Zack Gelof
Last price
0.2%
As of
Polled 4 min ago
Buy Yes
0.3¢
Sell Yes
0.1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$33,333 (333x)
Volume
$234
Trade this on Polymarket

Who resolves this market

Polymarket
Polymarket resolves via:
UMA optimistic oracle

How the odds have moved

The top 3 outcomes on both venues, with the consensus between them. Hover for exact values.

  • Yordan Alvarez
  • Anthony Volpe
  • Mike Trout

Order books

Each venue’s resting orders for the selected outcome’s Yes contract, side by side. Top of book streams live; depth refreshes every 15 seconds.

Polymarket

Open on Polymarket ↗

Top of book

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Best ask
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Depth · top 8 levels

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Recent trades

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What your stake buys

Enter a stake to see where it buys the most after fees, using each venue’s live order book.

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Buy

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Buys at the asks resting now (taker orders), cheapest after fees first, from order-book snapshots up to 15 seconds old. Fees: Kalshi 0.07 × price × (1 − price) per share, rounded up to the cent; Polymarket 0.05 × price × (1 − price) per share (sports rate). Fee calculator. Estimates only, not advice.

About this market

Live prediction market odds for "MLB: AL Comeback Player of the Year". Yordan Alvarez leads at 94.7%. Next is Anthony Volpe at 1.2%. $7K has traded across 10 outcomes on Polymarket. The market is expected to resolve by Dec 19, 2026.

This market will resolve to the player who wins the 2026 American League Comeback Player of the Year award for the 2026 MLB Season. In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by MLB rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically. If the 2026 MLB season is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Major League Baseball; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Questions

What does the consensus price mean?

It is the price of a Yes contract that pays $1 if the outcome happens. A 14¢ price means traders put the chance near 14%. Where two venues list the same outcome, we blend their last prices, weighting the venue with more trading volume more heavily (neither counts for less than a quarter). When only one outcome can win, each venue’s prices add up to a little over 100% (its margin); the fair chance removes that margin so the outcomes add up to exactly 100%.

How is the payout worked out?

A Yes contract pays $1 if it wins, so at the best ask a $100 stake buys 100 ÷ ask contracts. At 18¢ that is about 555 contracts, paying $556 (5.56x) if Yes happens. Venue fees and price slippage on larger orders are not included.

Why do the venues show different prices?

Each venue has its own traders, fees and order book. Contracts can also settle on slightly different terms, which is why each row lists how closely the rules match.

Is a price gap an arbitrage?

Only when you can buy Yes on one venue below what someone pays for Yes on the other, after fees, and both contracts settle the same way. We show the executable bid and ask so you can check.

How fresh are these prices?

Venue prices refresh every few minutes, and the order book and live quotes stream continuously. Each venue’s card shows when we last observed it.

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