Top of book
ConnectingBest bid
—
Spread
—
Best ask
—
Waiting for the first live quote…
What the markets expect
Kevin McGonigle 95.3%
Next is Parker Messick at 2.7%. Only Polymarket lists this market, so there is no second price to compare.
Odds by venue
Fair chance strips out each venue’s built-in margin (its prices add up to more than 100%), then blends the venues by how much has traded there, so the outcomes add up to 100%. Best Yes price is the cheapest ask across venues, and the payout is what a winning $100 stake returns before fees. Open a row for each venue’s contract name, bid and ask, and how closely their rules match.
Prices come from our regular polls of each venue, the oldest 1 min ago. Ages are as of when this page was built.
- Polymarket
Outcome
Fair chance
Venue prices on a 0–100% scale
Polymarket
Best Yes price
Kevin McGonigle95.3%93.8%95.3% fair93.6¢ bid, 94¢ askpolled, 1 min ago94¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $106 (1.06x)Kevin McGonigle95.3%Polymarket 93.8%(95.3% fair)polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 94¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $106 (1.06x)
Kevin McGonigle
95.3%
93.8%
95.3% fair
93.6¢ bid, 94¢ ask
polled, 1 min ago
94¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $106 (1.06x)
Kevin McGonigle
95.3%
Polymarket 93.8%(95.3% fair)polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 94¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $106 (1.06x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Kevin McGonigle
- Last price
- 93.8%
- Fair, margin removed
- 95.3%
- As of
- Polled 1 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 94¢
- Sell Yes
- 93.6¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $106 (1.06x)
- Volume
- $70K
Parker Messick2.7%2.7%1¢ bid, 4.3¢ askpolled, 1 min ago4.3¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $2,326 (23.3x)Parker Messick2.7%Polymarket 2.7%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 4.3¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $2,326 (23.3x)
Parker Messick
2.7%
2.7%
1¢ bid, 4.3¢ ask
polled, 1 min ago
4.3¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $2,326 (23.3x)
Parker Messick
2.7%
Polymarket 2.7%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 4.3¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $2,326 (23.3x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Parker Messick
- Last price
- 2.7%
- As of
- Polled 1 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 4.3¢
- Sell Yes
- 1¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $2,326 (23.3x)
- Volume
- $11K
Munetaka Murakami0.9%0.9%0.5¢ bid, 1.2¢ askpolled, 1 min ago1.2¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $8,333 (83.3x)Munetaka Murakami0.9%Polymarket 0.9%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 1.2¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $8,333 (83.3x)
Munetaka Murakami
0.9%
0.9%
0.5¢ bid, 1.2¢ ask
polled, 1 min ago
1.2¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $8,333 (83.3x)
Munetaka Murakami
0.9%
Polymarket 0.9%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 1.2¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $8,333 (83.3x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Munetaka Murakami
- Last price
- 0.9%
- As of
- Polled 1 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 1.2¢
- Sell Yes
- 0.5¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $8,333 (83.3x)
- Volume
- $64K
Brice Matthews0.1%0.1%— bid, 0.1¢ askpolled, 1 min ago0.1¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $100,000 (1000x)Brice Matthews0.1%Polymarket 0.1%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 0.1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $100,000 (1000x)
Brice Matthews
0.1%
0.1%
— bid, 0.1¢ ask
polled, 1 min ago
0.1¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $100,000 (1000x)
Brice Matthews
0.1%
Polymarket 0.1%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 0.1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $100,000 (1000x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Brice Matthews
- Last price
- 0.1%
- As of
- Polled 1 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 0.1¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $100,000 (1000x)
- Volume
- $141K
Carlos Lagrange0.1%0.1%— bid, 0.1¢ askpolled, 1 min ago0.1¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $100,000 (1000x)Carlos Lagrange0.1%Polymarket 0.1%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 0.1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $100,000 (1000x)
Carlos Lagrange
0.1%
0.1%
— bid, 0.1¢ ask
polled, 1 min ago
0.1¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $100,000 (1000x)
Carlos Lagrange
0.1%
Polymarket 0.1%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 0.1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $100,000 (1000x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Carlos Lagrange
- Last price
- 0.1%
- As of
- Polled 1 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 0.1¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $100,000 (1000x)
- Volume
- $66K
Carson Williams0.1%0.1%— bid, 0.1¢ askpolled, 1 min ago0.1¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $100,000 (1000x)Carson Williams0.1%Polymarket 0.1%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 0.1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $100,000 (1000x)
Carson Williams
0.1%
0.1%
— bid, 0.1¢ ask
polled, 1 min ago
0.1¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $100,000 (1000x)
Carson Williams
0.1%
Polymarket 0.1%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 0.1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $100,000 (1000x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Carson Williams
- Last price
- 0.1%
- As of
- Polled 1 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 0.1¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $100,000 (1000x)
- Volume
- $431K
Carter Jensen0.1%0.1%— bid, 0.1¢ askpolled, 1 min ago0.1¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $100,000 (1000x)Carter Jensen0.1%Polymarket 0.1%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 0.1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $100,000 (1000x)
Carter Jensen
0.1%
0.1%
— bid, 0.1¢ ask
polled, 1 min ago
0.1¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $100,000 (1000x)
Carter Jensen
0.1%
Polymarket 0.1%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 0.1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $100,000 (1000x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Carter Jensen
- Last price
- 0.1%
- As of
- Polled 1 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 0.1¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $100,000 (1000x)
- Volume
- $95K
Chase DeLauter0.1%0.1%— bid, 0.1¢ askpolled, 1 min ago0.1¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $100,000 (1000x)Chase DeLauter0.1%Polymarket 0.1%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 0.1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $100,000 (1000x)
Chase DeLauter
0.1%
0.1%
— bid, 0.1¢ ask
polled, 1 min ago
0.1¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $100,000 (1000x)
Chase DeLauter
0.1%
Polymarket 0.1%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 0.1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $100,000 (1000x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Chase DeLauter
- Last price
- 0.1%
- As of
- Polled 1 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 0.1¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $100,000 (1000x)
- Volume
- $5K
Colt Emerson0.1%0.1%— bid, 0.1¢ askpolled, 1 min ago0.1¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $100,000 (1000x)Colt Emerson0.1%Polymarket 0.1%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 0.1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $100,000 (1000x)
Colt Emerson
0.1%
0.1%
— bid, 0.1¢ ask
polled, 1 min ago
0.1¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $100,000 (1000x)
Colt Emerson
0.1%
Polymarket 0.1%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 0.1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $100,000 (1000x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Colt Emerson
- Last price
- 0.1%
- As of
- Polled 1 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 0.1¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $100,000 (1000x)
- Volume
- $3K
Connelly Early0.1%0.1%— bid, 0.1¢ askpolled, 1 min ago0.1¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $100,000 (1000x)Connelly Early0.1%Polymarket 0.1%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 0.1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $100,000 (1000x)
Connelly Early
0.1%
0.1%
— bid, 0.1¢ ask
polled, 1 min ago
0.1¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $100,000 (1000x)
Connelly Early
0.1%
Polymarket 0.1%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 0.1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $100,000 (1000x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Connelly Early
- Last price
- 0.1%
- As of
- Polled 1 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 0.1¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $100,000 (1000x)
- Volume
- $72K
Show 15 more outcomesHide 15 outcomes
Dylan Beavers0.1%0.1%— bid, 0.1¢ askpolled, 1 min ago0.1¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $100,000 (1000x)Dylan Beavers0.1%Polymarket 0.1%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 0.1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $100,000 (1000x)
Dylan Beavers
0.1%
0.1%
— bid, 0.1¢ ask
polled, 1 min ago
0.1¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $100,000 (1000x)
Dylan Beavers
0.1%
Polymarket 0.1%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 0.1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $100,000 (1000x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Dylan Beavers
- Last price
- 0.1%
- As of
- Polled 1 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 0.1¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $100,000 (1000x)
- Volume
- $1K
Gage Jump0.1%0.1%— bid, 0.1¢ askpolled, 1 min ago0.1¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $100,000 (1000x)Gage Jump0.1%Polymarket 0.1%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 0.1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $100,000 (1000x)
Gage Jump
0.1%
0.1%
— bid, 0.1¢ ask
polled, 1 min ago
0.1¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $100,000 (1000x)
Gage Jump
0.1%
Polymarket 0.1%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 0.1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $100,000 (1000x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Gage Jump
- Last price
- 0.1%
- As of
- Polled 1 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 0.1¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $100,000 (1000x)
- Volume
- $5
George Lombard Jr.0.1%0.1%— bid, 0.1¢ askpolled, 1 min ago0.1¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $100,000 (1000x)George Lombard Jr.0.1%Polymarket 0.1%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 0.1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $100,000 (1000x)
George Lombard Jr.
0.1%
0.1%
— bid, 0.1¢ ask
polled, 1 min ago
0.1¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $100,000 (1000x)
George Lombard Jr.
0.1%
Polymarket 0.1%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 0.1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $100,000 (1000x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- George Lombard Jr.
- Last price
- 0.1%
- As of
- Polled 1 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 0.1¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $100,000 (1000x)
- Volume
- $231
Kazuma Okamoto0.1%0.1%— bid, 0.1¢ askpolled, 1 min ago0.1¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $100,000 (1000x)Kazuma Okamoto0.1%Polymarket 0.1%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 0.1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $100,000 (1000x)
Kazuma Okamoto
0.1%
0.1%
— bid, 0.1¢ ask
polled, 1 min ago
0.1¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $100,000 (1000x)
Kazuma Okamoto
0.1%
Polymarket 0.1%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 0.1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $100,000 (1000x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Kazuma Okamoto
- Last price
- 0.1%
- As of
- Polled 1 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 0.1¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $100,000 (1000x)
- Volume
- $231K
Leo De Vries0%0.1%— bid, 0.1¢ askpolled, 1 min ago0.1¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $100,000 (1000x)Leo De Vries0%Polymarket 0.1%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 0.1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $100,000 (1000x)
Leo De Vries
0%
0.1%
— bid, 0.1¢ ask
polled, 1 min ago
0.1¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $100,000 (1000x)
Leo De Vries
0%
Polymarket 0.1%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 0.1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $100,000 (1000x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Leo De Vries
- Last price
- 0.1%
- As of
- Polled 1 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 0.1¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $100,000 (1000x)
- Volume
- $112K
Max Clark0%0.1%— bid, 0.1¢ askpolled, 1 min ago0.1¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $100,000 (1000x)Max Clark0%Polymarket 0.1%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 0.1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $100,000 (1000x)
Max Clark
0%
0.1%
— bid, 0.1¢ ask
polled, 1 min ago
0.1¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $100,000 (1000x)
Max Clark
0%
Polymarket 0.1%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 0.1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $100,000 (1000x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Max Clark
- Last price
- 0.1%
- As of
- Polled 1 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 0.1¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $100,000 (1000x)
- Volume
- $63K
Payton Tolle0%0.1%— bid, 0.1¢ askpolled, 1 min ago0.1¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $100,000 (1000x)Payton Tolle0%Polymarket 0.1%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 0.1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $100,000 (1000x)
Payton Tolle
0%
0.1%
— bid, 0.1¢ ask
polled, 1 min ago
0.1¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $100,000 (1000x)
Payton Tolle
0%
Polymarket 0.1%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 0.1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $100,000 (1000x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Payton Tolle
- Last price
- 0.1%
- As of
- Polled 1 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 0.1¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $100,000 (1000x)
- Volume
- $196K
Sam Antonacci0%0.1%— bid, 0.1¢ askpolled, 1 min ago0.1¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $100,000 (1000x)Sam Antonacci0%Polymarket 0.1%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 0.1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $100,000 (1000x)
Sam Antonacci
0%
0.1%
— bid, 0.1¢ ask
polled, 1 min ago
0.1¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $100,000 (1000x)
Sam Antonacci
0%
Polymarket 0.1%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 0.1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $100,000 (1000x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Sam Antonacci
- Last price
- 0.1%
- As of
- Polled 1 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 0.1¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $100,000 (1000x)
- Volume
- $231
Samuel Basallo0%0.1%— bid, 0.1¢ askpolled, 1 min ago0.1¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $100,000 (1000x)Samuel Basallo0%Polymarket 0.1%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 0.1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $100,000 (1000x)
Samuel Basallo
0%
0.1%
— bid, 0.1¢ ask
polled, 1 min ago
0.1¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $100,000 (1000x)
Samuel Basallo
0%
Polymarket 0.1%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 0.1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $100,000 (1000x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Samuel Basallo
- Last price
- 0.1%
- As of
- Polled 1 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 0.1¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $100,000 (1000x)
- Volume
- $2K
Spencer Jones0%0.1%— bid, 0.1¢ askpolled, 1 min ago0.1¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $100,000 (1000x)Spencer Jones0%Polymarket 0.1%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 0.1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $100,000 (1000x)
Spencer Jones
0%
0.1%
— bid, 0.1¢ ask
polled, 1 min ago
0.1¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $100,000 (1000x)
Spencer Jones
0%
Polymarket 0.1%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 0.1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $100,000 (1000x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Spencer Jones
- Last price
- 0.1%
- As of
- Polled 1 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 0.1¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $100,000 (1000x)
- Volume
- $38K
Tatsuya Imai0%0.1%— bid, 0.1¢ askpolled, 1 min ago0.1¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $100,000 (1000x)Tatsuya Imai0%Polymarket 0.1%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 0.1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $100,000 (1000x)
Tatsuya Imai
0%
0.1%
— bid, 0.1¢ ask
polled, 1 min ago
0.1¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $100,000 (1000x)
Tatsuya Imai
0%
Polymarket 0.1%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 0.1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $100,000 (1000x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Tatsuya Imai
- Last price
- 0.1%
- As of
- Polled 1 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 0.1¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $100,000 (1000x)
- Volume
- $833
Travis Bazzana0%0.1%— bid, 0.1¢ askpolled, 1 min ago0.1¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $100,000 (1000x)Travis Bazzana0%Polymarket 0.1%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 0.1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $100,000 (1000x)
Travis Bazzana
0%
0.1%
— bid, 0.1¢ ask
polled, 1 min ago
0.1¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $100,000 (1000x)
Travis Bazzana
0%
Polymarket 0.1%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 0.1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $100,000 (1000x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Travis Bazzana
- Last price
- 0.1%
- As of
- Polled 1 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 0.1¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $100,000 (1000x)
- Volume
- $6K
Trey Yesavage0%0.1%— bid, 0.1¢ askpolled, 1 min ago0.1¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $100,000 (1000x)Trey Yesavage0%Polymarket 0.1%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 0.1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $100,000 (1000x)
Trey Yesavage
0%
0.1%
— bid, 0.1¢ ask
polled, 1 min ago
0.1¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $100,000 (1000x)
Trey Yesavage
0%
Polymarket 0.1%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 0.1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $100,000 (1000x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Trey Yesavage
- Last price
- 0.1%
- As of
- Polled 1 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 0.1¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $100,000 (1000x)
- Volume
- $4K
Tristan Peters0%0.1%— bid, 0.1¢ askpolled, 1 min ago0.1¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $100,000 (1000x)Tristan Peters0%Polymarket 0.1%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 0.1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $100,000 (1000x)
Tristan Peters
0%
0.1%
— bid, 0.1¢ ask
polled, 1 min ago
0.1¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $100,000 (1000x)
Tristan Peters
0%
Polymarket 0.1%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 0.1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $100,000 (1000x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Tristan Peters
- Last price
- 0.1%
- As of
- Polled 1 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 0.1¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $100,000 (1000x)
- Volume
- $361
Walker Jenkins0%0.1%— bid, 0.1¢ askpolled, 1 min ago0.1¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $100,000 (1000x)Walker Jenkins0%Polymarket 0.1%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 0.1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $100,000 (1000x)
Walker Jenkins
0%
0.1%
— bid, 0.1¢ ask
polled, 1 min ago
0.1¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $100,000 (1000x)
Walker Jenkins
0%
Polymarket 0.1%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 0.1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $100,000 (1000x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Walker Jenkins
- Last price
- 0.1%
- As of
- Polled 1 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 0.1¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $100,000 (1000x)
- Volume
- $64K
Who resolves this market
- Polymarket resolves via:
- UMA optimistic oracle
How the odds have moved
The top 3 outcomes on both venues, with the consensus between them. Hover for exact values.
- Kevin McGonigle
- Parker Messick
- Munetaka Murakami
Order books
Each venue’s resting orders for the selected outcome’s Yes contract, side by side. Top of book streams live; depth refreshes every 15 seconds.
What your stake buys
Enter a stake to see where it buys the most after fees, using each venue’s live order book.
$
Buy
Loading both order books…
Buys at the asks resting now (taker orders), cheapest after fees first, from order-book snapshots up to 15 seconds old. Fees: Kalshi 0.07 × price × (1 − price) per share, rounded up to the cent; Polymarket 0.05 × price × (1 − price) per share (sports rate). Fee calculator. Estimates only, not advice.
About this market
Live prediction market odds for "MLB: AL Rookie of the Year". Kevin McGonigle leads at 95.3%. Next is Parker Messick at 2.7%. $1.7M has traded across 25 outcomes on Polymarket. The market is expected to resolve by Dec 19, 2026.
This market will resolve to the player who wins the 2026 American League Rookie of the Year award for the 2026 MLB Season. In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by MLB rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically. If the 2026 MLB season is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Major League Baseball; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Questions
What does the consensus price mean?
It is the price of a Yes contract that pays $1 if the outcome happens. A 14¢ price means traders put the chance near 14%. Where two venues list the same outcome, we blend their last prices, weighting the venue with more trading volume more heavily (neither counts for less than a quarter). When only one outcome can win, each venue’s prices add up to a little over 100% (its margin); the fair chance removes that margin so the outcomes add up to exactly 100%.
How is the payout worked out?
A Yes contract pays $1 if it wins, so at the best ask a $100 stake buys 100 ÷ ask contracts. At 18¢ that is about 555 contracts, paying $556 (5.56x) if Yes happens. Venue fees and price slippage on larger orders are not included.
Why do the venues show different prices?
Each venue has its own traders, fees and order book. Contracts can also settle on slightly different terms, which is why each row lists how closely the rules match.
Is a price gap an arbitrage?
Only when you can buy Yes on one venue below what someone pays for Yes on the other, after fees, and both contracts settle the same way. We show the executable bid and ask so you can check.
How fresh are these prices?
Venue prices refresh every few minutes, and the order book and live quotes stream continuously. Each venue’s card shows when we last observed it.
More sports markets
See all sports markets- F1 Drivers' ChampionKimi Antonelli98.3%$204.6M traded
- 2027 Pro Football ChampionSan Francisco16%$195.9M traded
- Pro Baseball ChampionMilwaukee63.7%$133.9M traded
- College Football National Championship WinnerGeorgia16%$63.8M traded
- 2027 Pro Basketball ChampionOklahoma City25%$45.1M traded
- MVP Winner?Josh Allen28%$36.7M traded