The Prediction Markets

MLB Postseason: Strikeout Leader

Closes
Nov 16, 2026, in 23 days
Traded
$9K
Venues
Polymarket
Prices updated
just now
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What the markets expect

Drew Rasmussen 43.9%

Next is Gavin Williams at 42.4%. Only Polymarket lists this market, so there is no second price to compare.

Drew Rasmussen 43.9%Gavin Williams 42.4%Jacob Misiorowski 5%Dustin May 4.6%Ian Seymour 2.7%Freddy Peralta 1.4%

Odds by venue

Fair chance strips out each venue’s built-in margin (its prices add up to more than 100%), then blends the venues by how much has traded there, so the outcomes add up to 100%. Best Yes price is the cheapest ask across venues, and the payout is what a winning $100 stake returns before fees. Open a row for each venue’s contract name, bid and ask, and how closely their rules match.

Prices come from our regular polls of each venue. Ages are as of when this page was built.

  • Polymarket
Drew Rasmussen
43.9%
Polymarket 39.9%(43.9% fair)polled, 19s agoBest Yes 50.4¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $198 (1.98x)
Polymarket
Contract
Drew Rasmussen
Last price
39.9%
Fair, margin removed
43.9%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
50.4¢
Sell Yes
29.4¢
$100 on Yes pays
$198 (1.98x)
Volume
$362
Trade this on Polymarket
Gavin Williams
42.4%
Polymarket 38.5%(42.4% fair)polled, 19s agoBest Yes 47¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $213 (2.13x)
Polymarket
Contract
Gavin Williams
Last price
38.5%
Fair, margin removed
42.4%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
47¢
Sell Yes
30¢
$100 on Yes pays
$213 (2.13x)
Volume
$2K
Trade this on Polymarket
Jacob Misiorowski
5%
Polymarket 4.5%polled, 19s agoBest Yes 8.7¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,149 (11.5x)
Polymarket
Contract
Jacob Misiorowski
Last price
4.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
8.7¢
Sell Yes
0.3¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,149 (11.5x)
Volume
$603
Trade this on Polymarket
Dustin May
4.6%
Polymarket 4.2%polled, 19s agoBest Yes 8.1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,235 (12.3x)
Polymarket
Contract
Dustin May
Last price
4.2%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
8.1¢
Sell Yes
0.2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,235 (12.3x)
Volume
$269
Trade this on Polymarket
Ian Seymour
2.7%
Polymarket 2.5%polled, 19s agoBest Yes 4¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)
Polymarket
Contract
Ian Seymour
Last price
2.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
4¢
Sell Yes
1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$2,500 (25.0x)
Volume
$131
Trade this on Polymarket
Freddy Peralta
1.4%
Polymarket 1.3%polled, 19s agoBest Yes 2¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Polymarket
Contract
Freddy Peralta
Last price
1.3%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
2¢
Sell Yes
0.6¢
$100 on Yes pays
$5,000 (50.0x)
Volume
$70
Trade this on Polymarket

Who resolves this market

Polymarket
Polymarket resolves via:
UMA optimistic oracle

How the odds have moved

The top 3 outcomes on both venues, with the consensus between them. Hover for exact values.

  • Drew Rasmussen
  • Gavin Williams
  • Jacob Misiorowski

Order books

Each venue’s resting orders for the selected outcome’s Yes contract, side by side. Top of book streams live; depth refreshes every 15 seconds.

Polymarket

Open on Polymarket ↗

Top of book

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Depth · top 8 levels

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Recent trades

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What your stake buys

Enter a stake to see where it buys the most after fees, using each venue’s live order book.

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Buy

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Buys at the asks resting now (taker orders), cheapest after fees first, from order-book snapshots up to 15 seconds old. Fees: Kalshi 0.07 × price × (1 − price) per share, rounded up to the cent; Polymarket 0.05 × price × (1 − price) per share (sports rate). Fee calculator. Estimates only, not advice.

About this market

Live prediction market odds for "MLB Postseason: Strikeout Leader". Drew Rasmussen leads at 43.9%. Next is Gavin Williams at 42.4%. $9K has traded across 6 outcomes on Polymarket. The market is expected to resolve by Nov 16, 2026.

This market will resolve in favor of the pitcher that finishes the 2026 MLB Postseason with the most strikeouts. In the event of a tie for the most strikeouts, this market will resolve in favor of the tied pitcher with the higher strikeouts per nine innings across the 2026 MLB Postseason. If a tie still persists, each tied pitcher's market will resolve to "No" and the "Other" market will resolve to "Yes". Only strikeouts in 2026 MLB Postseason games will count toward this market. The 2026 MLB Postseason comprises the Wild Card Series, the Division Series, the League Championship Series, and the World Series. Regular season games, exhibition games, and any tiebreaker or "Game 163" will not be considered part of the 2026 MLB Postseason. The "Other" market will resolve to "Yes" if the pitcher who leads is not among the listed pitchers. If the 2026 MLB Postseason is cancelled, or the World Series has not concluded by November 15, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, every named pitcher's market will resolve to "No" and the "Other" market will resolve to "Yes". The resolution source for this market will be official information from MLB; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Questions

What does the consensus price mean?

It is the price of a Yes contract that pays $1 if the outcome happens. A 14¢ price means traders put the chance near 14%. Where two venues list the same outcome, we blend their last prices, weighting the venue with more trading volume more heavily (neither counts for less than a quarter). When only one outcome can win, each venue’s prices add up to a little over 100% (its margin); the fair chance removes that margin so the outcomes add up to exactly 100%.

How is the payout worked out?

A Yes contract pays $1 if it wins, so at the best ask a $100 stake buys 100 ÷ ask contracts. At 18¢ that is about 555 contracts, paying $556 (5.56x) if Yes happens. Venue fees and price slippage on larger orders are not included.

Why do the venues show different prices?

Each venue has its own traders, fees and order book. Contracts can also settle on slightly different terms, which is why each row lists how closely the rules match.

Is a price gap an arbitrage?

Only when you can buy Yes on one venue below what someone pays for Yes on the other, after fees, and both contracts settle the same way. We show the executable bid and ask so you can check.

How fresh are these prices?

Venue prices refresh every few minutes, and the order book and live quotes stream continuously. Each venue’s card shows when we last observed it.

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