The Prediction Markets

MLB Postseason: World Series MVP

Closes
Nov 16, 2026, in 23 days
Traded
$24K
Venues
Polymarket
Prices updated
just now
Share

What the markets expect

William Contreras 12.3%

Next is Jackson Chourio at 11.2%. Only Polymarket lists this market, so there is no second price to compare.

William Contreras 12.3%Jackson Chourio 11.2%Jonathan Aranda 9.8%Junior Caminero 8.6%Yandy Díaz 8.1%52 others 50%

Odds by venue

Fair chance strips out each venue’s built-in margin (its prices add up to more than 100%), then blends the venues by how much has traded there, so the outcomes add up to 100%. Best Yes price is the cheapest ask across venues, and the payout is what a winning $100 stake returns before fees. Open a row for each venue’s contract name, bid and ask, and how closely their rules match.

Prices come from our regular polls of each venue. Ages are as of when this page was built.

  • Polymarket
William Contreras
12.3%
Polymarket 14.6%(12.3% fair)polled, 18s agoBest Yes 16.5¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $606 (6.06x)
Polymarket
Contract
William Contreras
Last price
14.6%
Fair, margin removed
12.3%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
16.5¢
Sell Yes
12.7¢
$100 on Yes pays
$606 (6.06x)
Volume
$2K
Trade this on Polymarket
Jackson Chourio
11.2%
Polymarket 13.3%(11.2% fair)polled, 18s agoBest Yes 14.4¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $694 (6.94x)
Polymarket
Contract
Jackson Chourio
Last price
13.3%
Fair, margin removed
11.2%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
14.4¢
Sell Yes
12.2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$694 (6.94x)
Volume
$997
Trade this on Polymarket
Jonathan Aranda
9.8%
Polymarket 11.7%(9.8% fair)polled, 18s agoBest Yes 23.1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $433 (4.33x)
Polymarket
Contract
Jonathan Aranda
Last price
11.7%
Fair, margin removed
9.8%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
23.1¢
Sell Yes
0.2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$433 (4.33x)
Volume
$45
Trade this on Polymarket
Junior Caminero
8.6%
Polymarket 10.3%(8.6% fair)polled, 18s agoBest Yes 10.8¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $926 (9.26x)
Polymarket
Contract
Junior Caminero
Last price
10.3%
Fair, margin removed
8.6%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
10.8¢
Sell Yes
9.7¢
$100 on Yes pays
$926 (9.26x)
Volume
$304
Trade this on Polymarket
Yandy Díaz
8.1%
Polymarket 9.7%(8.1% fair)polled, 18s agoBest Yes 11.3¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $885 (8.85x)
Polymarket
Contract
Yandy Díaz
Last price
9.7%
Fair, margin removed
8.1%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
11.3¢
Sell Yes
8¢
$100 on Yes pays
$885 (8.85x)
Volume
$334
Trade this on Polymarket
Jacob Misiorowski
7.2%
Polymarket 8.5%(7.1% fair)polled, 18s agoBest Yes 8.9¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,124 (11.2x)
Polymarket
Contract
Jacob Misiorowski
Last price
8.5%
Fair, margin removed
7.1%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
8.9¢
Sell Yes
8.1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,124 (11.2x)
Volume
$6K
Trade this on Polymarket
Brice Turang
6.8%
Polymarket 8.1%(6.8% fair)polled, 18s agoBest Yes 9.8¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,020 (10.2x)
Polymarket
Contract
Brice Turang
Last price
8.1%
Fair, margin removed
6.8%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
9.8¢
Sell Yes
6.3¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,020 (10.2x)
Volume
$550
Trade this on Polymarket
Drew Rasmussen
5.6%
Polymarket 6.7%(5.6% fair)polled, 18s agoBest Yes 8¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,250 (12.5x)
Polymarket
Contract
Drew Rasmussen
Last price
6.7%
Fair, margin removed
5.6%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
8¢
Sell Yes
5.3¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,250 (12.5x)
Volume
$80
Trade this on Polymarket
José Ramírez
3.5%
Polymarket 4.2%(3.5% fair)polled, 18s agoBest Yes 8.4¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,190 (11.9x)
Polymarket
Contract
José Ramírez
Last price
4.2%
Fair, margin removed
3.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
8.4¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$1,190 (11.9x)
Volume
$459
Trade this on Polymarket
Munetaka Murakami
3%
Polymarket 3.5%(2.9% fair)polled, 18s agoBest Yes 6.9¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,449 (14.5x)
Polymarket
Contract
Munetaka Murakami
Last price
3.5%
Fair, margin removed
2.9%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
6.9¢
Sell Yes
0.1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,449 (14.5x)
Volume
$311
Trade this on Polymarket
Show 47 more outcomes
Parker Messick
2.9%
Polymarket 3.5%(2.9% fair)polled, 18s agoBest Yes 6.9¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,449 (14.5x)
Polymarket
Contract
Parker Messick
Last price
3.5%
Fair, margin removed
2.9%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
6.9¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$1,449 (14.5x)
Volume
$192
Trade this on Polymarket
Chandler Simpson
2.5%
Polymarket 3%polled, 18s agoBest Yes 5.8¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,724 (17.2x)
Polymarket
Contract
Chandler Simpson
Last price
3%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
5.8¢
Sell Yes
0.2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,724 (17.2x)
Volume
$110
Trade this on Polymarket
Jose Altuve
2%
Polymarket 2.4%polled, 18s agoBest Yes 4.6¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $2,174 (21.7x)
Polymarket
Contract
Jose Altuve
Last price
2.4%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
4.6¢
Sell Yes
0.2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$2,174 (21.7x)
Volume
$370
Trade this on Polymarket
Tanner Bibee
1.9%
Polymarket 2.2%polled, 18s agoBest Yes 4.4¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $2,273 (22.7x)
Polymarket
Contract
Tanner Bibee
Last price
2.2%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
4.4¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$2,273 (22.7x)
Volume
$451
Trade this on Polymarket
Ranger Suarez
1.2%
Polymarket 1.4%polled, 18s agoBest Yes 2.8¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $3,571 (35.7x)
Polymarket
Contract
Ranger Suarez
Last price
1.4%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
2.8¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$3,571 (35.7x)
Volume
$554
Trade this on Polymarket
Tyler Glasnow
1.2%
Polymarket 1.5%polled, 18s agoBest Yes 2.7¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $3,704 (37.0x)
Polymarket
Contract
Tyler Glasnow
Last price
1.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
2.7¢
Sell Yes
0.2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$3,704 (37.0x)
Volume
$240
Trade this on Polymarket
Wilyer Abreu
1%
Polymarket 1.2%polled, 18s agoBest Yes 2.1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $4,762 (47.6x)
Polymarket
Contract
Wilyer Abreu
Last price
1.2%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
2.1¢
Sell Yes
0.2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$4,762 (47.6x)
Volume
$645
Trade this on Polymarket
Nick Martinez
0.7%
Polymarket 0.8%polled, 18s agoBest Yes 1.4¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $7,143 (71.4x)
Polymarket
Contract
Nick Martinez
Last price
0.8%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
1.4¢
Sell Yes
0.2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$7,143 (71.4x)
Volume
$206
Trade this on Polymarket
Colson Montgomery
0.6%
Polymarket 0.7%polled, 18s agoBest Yes 1.1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $9,091 (90.9x)
Polymarket
Contract
Colson Montgomery
Last price
0.7%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
1.1¢
Sell Yes
0.2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$9,091 (90.9x)
Volume
$560
Trade this on Polymarket
Sam Antonacci
0.6%
Polymarket 0.7%polled, 18s agoBest Yes 1.4¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $7,143 (71.4x)
Polymarket
Contract
Sam Antonacci
Last price
0.7%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
1.4¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$7,143 (71.4x)
Volume
$491
Trade this on Polymarket
Blake Snell
0.5%
Polymarket 0.6%polled, 18s agoBest Yes 1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Polymarket
Contract
Blake Snell
Last price
0.6%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
1¢
Sell Yes
0.2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$10,000 (100x)
Volume
$210
Trade this on Polymarket
Kyle Tucker
0.5%
Polymarket 0.6%polled, 18s agoBest Yes 1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Polymarket
Contract
Kyle Tucker
Last price
0.6%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
1¢
Sell Yes
0.2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$10,000 (100x)
Volume
$899
Trade this on Polymarket
Travis Bazzana
0.5%
Polymarket 0.6%polled, 18s agoBest Yes 1.2¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $8,333 (83.3x)
Polymarket
Contract
Travis Bazzana
Last price
0.6%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
1.2¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$8,333 (83.3x)
Volume
$434
Trade this on Polymarket
Cody Bellinger
0.4%
Polymarket 0.5%polled, 18s agoBest Yes 1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Polymarket
Contract
Cody Bellinger
Last price
0.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
1¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$10,000 (100x)
Volume
$469
Trade this on Polymarket
Freddie Freeman
0.4%
Polymarket 0.5%polled, 18s agoBest Yes 1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Polymarket
Contract
Freddie Freeman
Last price
0.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
1¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$10,000 (100x)
Volume
$75
Trade this on Polymarket
Miguel Vargas
0.4%
Polymarket 0.5%polled, 18s agoBest Yes 1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Polymarket
Contract
Miguel Vargas
Last price
0.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
1¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$10,000 (100x)
Volume
$384
Trade this on Polymarket
Mookie Betts
0.4%
Polymarket 0.5%polled, 18s agoBest Yes 1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Polymarket
Contract
Mookie Betts
Last price
0.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
1¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$10,000 (100x)
Volume
$155
Trade this on Polymarket
Seiya Suzuki
0.4%
Polymarket 0.5%polled, 18s agoBest Yes 1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Polymarket
Contract
Seiya Suzuki
Last price
0.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
1¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$10,000 (100x)
Volume
$83
Trade this on Polymarket
Sonny Gray
0.4%
Polymarket 0.5%polled, 18s agoBest Yes 1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Polymarket
Contract
Sonny Gray
Last price
0.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
1¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$10,000 (100x)
Volume
$83
Trade this on Polymarket
Tarik Skubal
0.4%
Polymarket 0.5%polled, 18s agoBest Yes 1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Polymarket
Contract
Tarik Skubal
Last price
0.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
1¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$10,000 (100x)
Volume
$133
Trade this on Polymarket
Yoshinobu Yamamoto
0.4%
Polymarket 0.5%polled, 18s agoBest Yes 1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Polymarket
Contract
Yoshinobu Yamamoto
Last price
0.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
1¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$10,000 (100x)
Volume
$413
Trade this on Polymarket
Aaron Judge
0.3%
Polymarket 0.4%polled, 18s agoBest Yes 0.7¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $14,286 (143x)
Polymarket
Contract
Aaron Judge
Last price
0.4%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
0.7¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$14,286 (143x)
Volume
$109
Trade this on Polymarket
Fernando Tatis Jr.
0.3%
Polymarket 0.3%polled, 18s agoBest Yes 0.6¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $16,667 (167x)
Polymarket
Contract
Fernando Tatis Jr.
Last price
0.3%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
0.6¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$16,667 (167x)
Volume
$123
Trade this on Polymarket
Gerrit Cole
0.3%
Polymarket 0.4%polled, 18s agoBest Yes 0.7¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $14,286 (143x)
Polymarket
Contract
Gerrit Cole
Last price
0.4%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
0.7¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$14,286 (143x)
Volume
$103
Trade this on Polymarket
Manny Machado
0.3%
Polymarket 0.3%polled, 18s agoBest Yes 0.6¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $16,667 (167x)
Polymarket
Contract
Manny Machado
Last price
0.3%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
0.6¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$16,667 (167x)
Volume
$83
Trade this on Polymarket
Alex Bregman
0.2%
Polymarket 0.3%polled, 18s agoBest Yes 0.5¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $20,000 (200x)
Polymarket
Contract
Alex Bregman
Last price
0.3%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
0.5¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$20,000 (200x)
Volume
$55
Trade this on Polymarket
Bryce Harper
0.2%
Polymarket 0.2%polled, 18s agoBest Yes 0.4¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $25,000 (250x)
Polymarket
Contract
Bryce Harper
Last price
0.2%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
0.4¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$25,000 (250x)
Volume
$83
Trade this on Polymarket
Isaac Paredes
0.2%
Polymarket 0.3%polled, 18s agoBest Yes 0.4¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $25,000 (250x)
Polymarket
Contract
Isaac Paredes
Last price
0.3%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
0.4¢
Sell Yes
0.1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$25,000 (250x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Max Fried
0.2%
Polymarket 0.3%polled, 18s agoBest Yes 0.5¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $20,000 (200x)
Polymarket
Contract
Max Fried
Last price
0.3%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
0.5¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$20,000 (200x)
Volume
$270
Trade this on Polymarket
Michael Harris II
0.2%
Polymarket 0.3%polled, 18s agoBest Yes 0.5¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $20,000 (200x)
Polymarket
Contract
Michael Harris II
Last price
0.3%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
0.5¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$20,000 (200x)
Volume
$103
Trade this on Polymarket
Pete Crow-Armstrong
0.2%
Polymarket 0.2%polled, 18s agoBest Yes 0.4¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $25,000 (250x)
Polymarket
Contract
Pete Crow-Armstrong
Last price
0.2%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
0.4¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$25,000 (250x)
Volume
$55
Trade this on Polymarket
Shohei Ohtani
0.2%
Polymarket 0.3%polled, 18s agoBest Yes 0.5¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $20,000 (200x)
Polymarket
Contract
Shohei Ohtani
Last price
0.3%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
0.5¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$20,000 (200x)
Volume
$3K
Trade this on Polymarket
Shota Imanaga
0.2%
Polymarket 0.3%polled, 18s agoBest Yes 0.5¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $20,000 (200x)
Polymarket
Contract
Shota Imanaga
Last price
0.3%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
0.5¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$20,000 (200x)
Volume
$83
Trade this on Polymarket
Trea Turner
0.2%
Polymarket 0.3%polled, 18s agoBest Yes 0.5¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $20,000 (200x)
Polymarket
Contract
Trea Turner
Last price
0.3%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
0.5¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$20,000 (200x)
Volume
$83
Trade this on Polymarket
William Contreras
0.2%
Polymarket 0.2%polled, 18s agoBest Yes 0.4¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $25,000 (250x)
Polymarket
Contract
Willson Contreras
Last price
0.2%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
0.4¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$25,000 (250x)
Volume
$83
Trade this on Polymarket
Yordan Alvarez
0.2%
Polymarket 0.2%polled, 18s agoBest Yes 0.4¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $25,000 (250x)
Polymarket
Contract
Yordan Alvarez
Last price
0.2%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
0.4¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$25,000 (250x)
Volume
$55
Trade this on Polymarket
Zack Wheeler
0.2%
Polymarket 0.2%polled, 18s agoBest Yes 0.3¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $33,333 (333x)
Polymarket
Contract
Zack Wheeler
Last price
0.2%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
0.3¢
Sell Yes
0.1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$33,333 (333x)
Volume
$110
Trade this on Polymarket
Cam Schlittler
0.1%
Polymarket 0.2%polled, 18s agoBest Yes 0.3¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $33,333 (333x)
Polymarket
Contract
Cam Schlittler
Last price
0.2%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
0.3¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$33,333 (333x)
Volume
$183
Trade this on Polymarket
Chris Sale
0.1%
Polymarket 0.2%polled, 18s agoBest Yes 0.3¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $33,333 (333x)
Polymarket
Contract
Chris Sale
Last price
0.2%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
0.3¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$33,333 (333x)
Volume
$33
Trade this on Polymarket
Christian Walker
0.1%
Polymarket 0.2%polled, 18s agoBest Yes 0.3¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $33,333 (333x)
Polymarket
Contract
Christian Walker
Last price
0.2%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
0.3¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$33,333 (333x)
Volume
$83
Trade this on Polymarket
Drake Baldwin
0.1%
Polymarket 0.2%polled, 18s agoBest Yes 0.3¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $33,333 (333x)
Polymarket
Contract
Drake Baldwin
Last price
0.2%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
0.3¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$33,333 (333x)
Volume
$83
Trade this on Polymarket
Hunter Brown
0.1%
Polymarket 0.2%polled, 18s agoBest Yes 0.3¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $33,333 (333x)
Polymarket
Contract
Hunter Brown
Last price
0.2%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
0.3¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$33,333 (333x)
Volume
$83
Trade this on Polymarket
Jarren Duran
0.1%
Polymarket 0.2%polled, 18s agoBest Yes 0.3¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $33,333 (333x)
Polymarket
Contract
Jarren Duran
Last price
0.2%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
0.3¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$33,333 (333x)
Volume
$83
Trade this on Polymarket
Jeremy Peña
0.1%
Polymarket 0.2%polled, 18s agoBest Yes 0.3¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $33,333 (333x)
Polymarket
Contract
Jeremy Peña
Last price
0.2%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
0.3¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$33,333 (333x)
Volume
$501
Trade this on Polymarket
Kyle Schwarber
0.1%
Polymarket 0.2%polled, 18s agoBest Yes 0.3¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $33,333 (333x)
Polymarket
Contract
Kyle Schwarber
Last price
0.2%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
0.3¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$33,333 (333x)
Volume
$83
Trade this on Polymarket
Matt Olson
0.1%
Polymarket 0.2%polled, 18s agoBest Yes 0.2¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $50,000 (500x)
Polymarket
Contract
Matt Olson
Last price
0.2%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
0.2¢
Sell Yes
0.1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$50,000 (500x)
Volume
$150
Trade this on Polymarket
Peter Lambert
0.1%
Polymarket 0.2%polled, 18s agoBest Yes 0.3¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $33,333 (333x)
Polymarket
Contract
Peter Lambert
Last price
0.2%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
0.3¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$33,333 (333x)
Volume
$83
Trade this on Polymarket

Who resolves this market

Polymarket
Polymarket resolves via:
UMA optimistic oracle

How the odds have moved

The top 3 outcomes on both venues, with the consensus between them. Hover for exact values.

  • William Contreras
  • Jackson Chourio
  • Jonathan Aranda

Order books

Each venue’s resting orders for the selected outcome’s Yes contract, side by side. Top of book streams live; depth refreshes every 15 seconds.

Top of book

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Best bid
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Spread
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Best ask
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Depth · top 8 levels

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Recent trades

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What your stake buys

Enter a stake to see where it buys the most after fees, using each venue’s live order book.

$
Buy

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Buys at the asks resting now (taker orders), cheapest after fees first, from order-book snapshots up to 15 seconds old. Fees: Kalshi 0.07 × price × (1 − price) per share, rounded up to the cent; Polymarket 0.05 × price × (1 − price) per share (sports rate). Fee calculator. Estimates only, not advice.

About this market

Live prediction market odds for "MLB Postseason: World Series MVP". William Contreras leads at 12.3%. Next is Jackson Chourio at 11.2%. $24K has traded across 57 outcomes on Polymarket. The market is expected to resolve by Nov 16, 2026.

This market will resolve to the player who wins the Willie Mays World Series MVP Award for the 2026 World Series. If the winner is not a listed player, the "Other" market will resolve to "Yes". If more than one player is named the winner of the award, each listed player's market, including those of the co-winners, will resolve to "No" and the "Other" market will resolve to "Yes". If the 2026 World Series is cancelled, or no winner of the award is announced by November 15, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, each listed player's market will resolve to "No" and the "Other" market will resolve to "Yes". The resolution source for this market will be official information from MLB; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Questions

What does the consensus price mean?

It is the price of a Yes contract that pays $1 if the outcome happens. A 14¢ price means traders put the chance near 14%. Where two venues list the same outcome, we blend their last prices, weighting the venue with more trading volume more heavily (neither counts for less than a quarter). When only one outcome can win, each venue’s prices add up to a little over 100% (its margin); the fair chance removes that margin so the outcomes add up to exactly 100%.

How is the payout worked out?

A Yes contract pays $1 if it wins, so at the best ask a $100 stake buys 100 ÷ ask contracts. At 18¢ that is about 555 contracts, paying $556 (5.56x) if Yes happens. Venue fees and price slippage on larger orders are not included.

Why do the venues show different prices?

Each venue has its own traders, fees and order book. Contracts can also settle on slightly different terms, which is why each row lists how closely the rules match.

Is a price gap an arbitrage?

Only when you can buy Yes on one venue below what someone pays for Yes on the other, after fees, and both contracts settle the same way. We show the executable bid and ask so you can check.

How fresh are these prices?

Venue prices refresh every few minutes, and the order book and live quotes stream continuously. Each venue’s card shows when we last observed it.

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