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What the markets expect
Cam Schlittler 51%
Next is Junior Caminero at 49.5%. Only Polymarket lists this market, so there is no second price to compare.
Odds by venue
Consensus blends each venue’s last price, weighted by how much has traded there. Best Yes price is the cheapest ask across venues, and the payout is what a winning $100 stake returns before fees. Open a row for each venue’s contract name, bid and ask, and how closely their rules match.
Prices come from our regular polls of each venue, the oldest 2 h ago. Ages are as of when this page was built.
- Polymarket
Outcome
Consensus
Venue prices on a 0–100% scale
Polymarket
Best Yes price
Cam Schlittler51%51%20¢ bid, 82¢ askpolled, 2 h ago82¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $122 (1.22x)Cam Schlittler51%Polymarket 51%polled, 2 h agoBest Yes 82¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $122 (1.22x)
Cam Schlittler
51%
51%
20¢ bid, 82¢ ask
polled, 2 h ago
82¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $122 (1.22x)
Cam Schlittler
51%
Polymarket 51%polled, 2 h agoBest Yes 82¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $122 (1.22x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Cam Schlittler
- Last price
- 51%
- As of
- Polled 2 h ago
- Buy Yes
- 82¢
- Sell Yes
- 20¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $122 (1.22x)
- Volume
- $2K
Junior Caminero49.5%49.5%— bid, 99¢ askpolled, 2 h ago99¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $101 (1.01x)Junior Caminero49.5%Polymarket 49.5%polled, 2 h agoBest Yes 99¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $101 (1.01x)
Junior Caminero
49.5%
49.5%
— bid, 99¢ ask
polled, 2 h ago
99¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $101 (1.01x)
Junior Caminero
49.5%
Polymarket 49.5%polled, 2 h agoBest Yes 99¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $101 (1.01x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Junior Caminero
- Last price
- 49.5%
- As of
- Polled 2 h ago
- Buy Yes
- 99¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $101 (1.01x)
Yordan Alvarez49.5%49.5%— bid, 99¢ askpolled, 2 h ago99¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $101 (1.01x)Yordan Alvarez49.5%Polymarket 49.5%polled, 2 h agoBest Yes 99¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $101 (1.01x)
Yordan Alvarez
49.5%
49.5%
— bid, 99¢ ask
polled, 2 h ago
99¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $101 (1.01x)
Yordan Alvarez
49.5%
Polymarket 49.5%polled, 2 h agoBest Yes 99¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $101 (1.01x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Yordan Alvarez
- Last price
- 49.5%
- As of
- Polled 2 h ago
- Buy Yes
- 99¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $101 (1.01x)
Shohei Ohtani47%47%11¢ bid, 83¢ askpolled, 2 h ago83¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $120 (1.20x)Shohei Ohtani47%Polymarket 47%polled, 2 h agoBest Yes 83¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $120 (1.20x)
Shohei Ohtani
47%
47%
11¢ bid, 83¢ ask
polled, 2 h ago
83¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $120 (1.20x)
Shohei Ohtani
47%
Polymarket 47%polled, 2 h agoBest Yes 83¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $120 (1.20x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Shohei Ohtani
- Last price
- 47%
- As of
- Polled 2 h ago
- Buy Yes
- 83¢
- Sell Yes
- 11¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $120 (1.20x)
- Volume
- $3K
Matt Olson20.5%20.5%12¢ bid, 29¢ askpolled, 2 h ago29¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $345 (3.45x)Matt Olson20.5%Polymarket 20.5%polled, 2 h agoBest Yes 29¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $345 (3.45x)
Matt Olson
20.5%
20.5%
12¢ bid, 29¢ ask
polled, 2 h ago
29¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $345 (3.45x)
Matt Olson
20.5%
Polymarket 20.5%polled, 2 h agoBest Yes 29¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $345 (3.45x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Matt Olson
- Last price
- 20.5%
- As of
- Polled 2 h ago
- Buy Yes
- 29¢
- Sell Yes
- 12¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $345 (3.45x)
- Volume
- $2K
Bryan Woo15%15%11¢ bid, 19¢ askpolled, 2 h ago19¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $526 (5.26x)Bryan Woo15%Polymarket 15%polled, 2 h agoBest Yes 19¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $526 (5.26x)
Bryan Woo
15%
15%
11¢ bid, 19¢ ask
polled, 2 h ago
19¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $526 (5.26x)
Bryan Woo
15%
Polymarket 15%polled, 2 h agoBest Yes 19¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $526 (5.26x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Bryan Woo
- Last price
- 15%
- As of
- Polled 2 h ago
- Buy Yes
- 19¢
- Sell Yes
- 11¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $526 (5.26x)
- Volume
- $4K
Jazz Chisholm13%13%11¢ bid, 15¢ askpolled, 2 h ago15¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $667 (6.67x)Jazz Chisholm13%Polymarket 13%polled, 2 h agoBest Yes 15¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $667 (6.67x)
Jazz Chisholm
13%
13%
11¢ bid, 15¢ ask
polled, 2 h ago
15¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $667 (6.67x)
Jazz Chisholm
13%
Polymarket 13%polled, 2 h agoBest Yes 15¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $667 (6.67x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Jazz Chisholm
- Last price
- 13%
- As of
- Polled 2 h ago
- Buy Yes
- 15¢
- Sell Yes
- 11¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $667 (6.67x)
- Volume
- $4K
Ben Rice12.5%12.5%10¢ bid, 15¢ askpolled, 2 h ago15¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $667 (6.67x)Ben Rice12.5%Polymarket 12.5%polled, 2 h agoBest Yes 15¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $667 (6.67x)
Ben Rice
12.5%
12.5%
10¢ bid, 15¢ ask
polled, 2 h ago
15¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $667 (6.67x)
Ben Rice
12.5%
Polymarket 12.5%polled, 2 h agoBest Yes 15¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $667 (6.67x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Ben Rice
- Last price
- 12.5%
- As of
- Polled 2 h ago
- Buy Yes
- 15¢
- Sell Yes
- 10¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $667 (6.67x)
- Volume
- $2K
Christian Yelich12.5%12.5%10¢ bid, 15¢ askpolled, 2 h ago15¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $667 (6.67x)Christian Yelich12.5%Polymarket 12.5%polled, 2 h agoBest Yes 15¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $667 (6.67x)
Christian Yelich
12.5%
12.5%
10¢ bid, 15¢ ask
polled, 2 h ago
15¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $667 (6.67x)
Christian Yelich
12.5%
Polymarket 12.5%polled, 2 h agoBest Yes 15¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $667 (6.67x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Christian Yelich
- Last price
- 12.5%
- As of
- Polled 2 h ago
- Buy Yes
- 15¢
- Sell Yes
- 10¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $667 (6.67x)
- Volume
- $4K
Aaron Judge7.5%7.5%— bid, 15¢ askpolled, 2 h ago15¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $667 (6.67x)Aaron Judge7.5%Polymarket 7.5%polled, 2 h agoBest Yes 15¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $667 (6.67x)
Aaron Judge
7.5%
7.5%
— bid, 15¢ ask
polled, 2 h ago
15¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $667 (6.67x)
Aaron Judge
7.5%
Polymarket 7.5%polled, 2 h agoBest Yes 15¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $667 (6.67x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Aaron Judge
- Last price
- 7.5%
- As of
- Polled 2 h ago
- Buy Yes
- 15¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $667 (6.67x)
Show 20 more outcomesHide 20 outcomes
Bobby Witt Jr.7.5%7.5%— bid, 15¢ askpolled, 2 h ago15¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $667 (6.67x)Bobby Witt Jr.7.5%Polymarket 7.5%polled, 2 h agoBest Yes 15¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $667 (6.67x)
Bobby Witt Jr.
7.5%
7.5%
— bid, 15¢ ask
polled, 2 h ago
15¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $667 (6.67x)
Bobby Witt Jr.
7.5%
Polymarket 7.5%polled, 2 h agoBest Yes 15¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $667 (6.67x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Bobby Witt Jr.
- Last price
- 7.5%
- As of
- Polled 2 h ago
- Buy Yes
- 15¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $667 (6.67x)
Brice Turang7.5%7.5%— bid, 15¢ askpolled, 2 h ago15¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $667 (6.67x)Brice Turang7.5%Polymarket 7.5%polled, 2 h agoBest Yes 15¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $667 (6.67x)
Brice Turang
7.5%
7.5%
— bid, 15¢ ask
polled, 2 h ago
15¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $667 (6.67x)
Brice Turang
7.5%
Polymarket 7.5%polled, 2 h agoBest Yes 15¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $667 (6.67x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Brice Turang
- Last price
- 7.5%
- As of
- Polled 2 h ago
- Buy Yes
- 15¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $667 (6.67x)
Bryce Harper7.5%7.5%— bid, 15¢ askpolled, 2 h ago15¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $667 (6.67x)Bryce Harper7.5%Polymarket 7.5%polled, 2 h agoBest Yes 15¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $667 (6.67x)
Bryce Harper
7.5%
7.5%
— bid, 15¢ ask
polled, 2 h ago
15¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $667 (6.67x)
Bryce Harper
7.5%
Polymarket 7.5%polled, 2 h agoBest Yes 15¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $667 (6.67x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Bryce Harper
- Last price
- 7.5%
- As of
- Polled 2 h ago
- Buy Yes
- 15¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $667 (6.67x)
- Volume
- $559
Cal Raleigh7.5%7.5%— bid, 15¢ askpolled, 2 h ago15¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $667 (6.67x)Cal Raleigh7.5%Polymarket 7.5%polled, 2 h agoBest Yes 15¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $667 (6.67x)
Cal Raleigh
7.5%
7.5%
— bid, 15¢ ask
polled, 2 h ago
15¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $667 (6.67x)
Cal Raleigh
7.5%
Polymarket 7.5%polled, 2 h agoBest Yes 15¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $667 (6.67x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Cal Raleigh
- Last price
- 7.5%
- As of
- Polled 2 h ago
- Buy Yes
- 15¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $667 (6.67x)
Chris Sale7.5%7.5%— bid, 15¢ askpolled, 2 h ago15¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $667 (6.67x)Chris Sale7.5%Polymarket 7.5%polled, 2 h agoBest Yes 15¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $667 (6.67x)
Chris Sale
7.5%
7.5%
— bid, 15¢ ask
polled, 2 h ago
15¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $667 (6.67x)
Chris Sale
7.5%
Polymarket 7.5%polled, 2 h agoBest Yes 15¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $667 (6.67x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Chris Sale
- Last price
- 7.5%
- As of
- Polled 2 h ago
- Buy Yes
- 15¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $667 (6.67x)
Elly De La Cruz7.5%7.5%— bid, 15¢ askpolled, 2 h ago15¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $667 (6.67x)Elly De La Cruz7.5%Polymarket 7.5%polled, 2 h agoBest Yes 15¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $667 (6.67x)
Elly De La Cruz
7.5%
7.5%
— bid, 15¢ ask
polled, 2 h ago
15¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $667 (6.67x)
Elly De La Cruz
7.5%
Polymarket 7.5%polled, 2 h agoBest Yes 15¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $667 (6.67x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Elly De La Cruz
- Last price
- 7.5%
- As of
- Polled 2 h ago
- Buy Yes
- 15¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $667 (6.67x)
Francisco Lindor7.5%7.5%— bid, 15¢ askpolled, 2 h ago15¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $667 (6.67x)Francisco Lindor7.5%Polymarket 7.5%polled, 2 h agoBest Yes 15¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $667 (6.67x)
Francisco Lindor
7.5%
7.5%
— bid, 15¢ ask
polled, 2 h ago
15¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $667 (6.67x)
Francisco Lindor
7.5%
Polymarket 7.5%polled, 2 h agoBest Yes 15¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $667 (6.67x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Francisco Lindor
- Last price
- 7.5%
- As of
- Polled 2 h ago
- Buy Yes
- 15¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $667 (6.67x)
Jordan Walker7.5%7.5%— bid, 15¢ askpolled, 2 h ago15¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $667 (6.67x)Jordan Walker7.5%Polymarket 7.5%polled, 2 h agoBest Yes 15¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $667 (6.67x)
Jordan Walker
7.5%
7.5%
— bid, 15¢ ask
polled, 2 h ago
15¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $667 (6.67x)
Jordan Walker
7.5%
Polymarket 7.5%polled, 2 h agoBest Yes 15¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $667 (6.67x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Jordan Walker
- Last price
- 7.5%
- As of
- Polled 2 h ago
- Buy Yes
- 15¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $667 (6.67x)
Juan Soto7.5%7.5%— bid, 15¢ askpolled, 2 h ago15¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $667 (6.67x)Juan Soto7.5%Polymarket 7.5%polled, 2 h agoBest Yes 15¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $667 (6.67x)
Juan Soto
7.5%
7.5%
— bid, 15¢ ask
polled, 2 h ago
15¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $667 (6.67x)
Juan Soto
7.5%
Polymarket 7.5%polled, 2 h agoBest Yes 15¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $667 (6.67x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Juan Soto
- Last price
- 7.5%
- As of
- Polled 2 h ago
- Buy Yes
- 15¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $667 (6.67x)
Julio Rodriguez7.5%7.5%— bid, 15¢ askpolled, 2 h ago15¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $667 (6.67x)Julio Rodriguez7.5%Polymarket 7.5%polled, 2 h agoBest Yes 15¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $667 (6.67x)
Julio Rodriguez
7.5%
7.5%
— bid, 15¢ ask
polled, 2 h ago
15¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $667 (6.67x)
Julio Rodriguez
7.5%
Polymarket 7.5%polled, 2 h agoBest Yes 15¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $667 (6.67x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Julio Rodriguez
- Last price
- 7.5%
- As of
- Polled 2 h ago
- Buy Yes
- 15¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $667 (6.67x)
Kyle Schwarber7.5%7.5%— bid, 15¢ askpolled, 2 h ago15¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $667 (6.67x)Kyle Schwarber7.5%Polymarket 7.5%polled, 2 h agoBest Yes 15¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $667 (6.67x)
Kyle Schwarber
7.5%
7.5%
— bid, 15¢ ask
polled, 2 h ago
15¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $667 (6.67x)
Kyle Schwarber
7.5%
Polymarket 7.5%polled, 2 h agoBest Yes 15¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $667 (6.67x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Kyle Schwarber
- Last price
- 7.5%
- As of
- Polled 2 h ago
- Buy Yes
- 15¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $667 (6.67x)
Mason Miller7.5%7.5%— bid, 15¢ askpolled, 2 h ago15¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $667 (6.67x)Mason Miller7.5%Polymarket 7.5%polled, 2 h agoBest Yes 15¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $667 (6.67x)
Mason Miller
7.5%
7.5%
— bid, 15¢ ask
polled, 2 h ago
15¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $667 (6.67x)
Mason Miller
7.5%
Polymarket 7.5%polled, 2 h agoBest Yes 15¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $667 (6.67x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Mason Miller
- Last price
- 7.5%
- As of
- Polled 2 h ago
- Buy Yes
- 15¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $667 (6.67x)
Mike Trout7.5%7.5%— bid, 15¢ askpolled, 2 h ago15¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $667 (6.67x)Mike Trout7.5%Polymarket 7.5%polled, 2 h agoBest Yes 15¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $667 (6.67x)
Mike Trout
7.5%
7.5%
— bid, 15¢ ask
polled, 2 h ago
15¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $667 (6.67x)
Mike Trout
7.5%
Polymarket 7.5%polled, 2 h agoBest Yes 15¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $667 (6.67x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Mike Trout
- Last price
- 7.5%
- As of
- Polled 2 h ago
- Buy Yes
- 15¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $667 (6.67x)
Munetaka Murakami7.5%7.5%— bid, 15¢ askpolled, 2 h ago15¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $667 (6.67x)Munetaka Murakami7.5%Polymarket 7.5%polled, 2 h agoBest Yes 15¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $667 (6.67x)
Munetaka Murakami
7.5%
7.5%
— bid, 15¢ ask
polled, 2 h ago
15¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $667 (6.67x)
Munetaka Murakami
7.5%
Polymarket 7.5%polled, 2 h agoBest Yes 15¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $667 (6.67x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Munetaka Murakami
- Last price
- 7.5%
- As of
- Polled 2 h ago
- Buy Yes
- 15¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $667 (6.67x)
Nick Kurtz7.5%7.5%— bid, 15¢ askpolled, 2 h ago15¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $667 (6.67x)Nick Kurtz7.5%Polymarket 7.5%polled, 2 h agoBest Yes 15¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $667 (6.67x)
Nick Kurtz
7.5%
7.5%
— bid, 15¢ ask
polled, 2 h ago
15¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $667 (6.67x)
Nick Kurtz
7.5%
Polymarket 7.5%polled, 2 h agoBest Yes 15¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $667 (6.67x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Nick Kurtz
- Last price
- 7.5%
- As of
- Polled 2 h ago
- Buy Yes
- 15¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $667 (6.67x)
Paul Skenes7.5%7.5%— bid, 15¢ askpolled, 2 h ago15¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $667 (6.67x)Paul Skenes7.5%Polymarket 7.5%polled, 2 h agoBest Yes 15¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $667 (6.67x)
Paul Skenes
7.5%
7.5%
— bid, 15¢ ask
polled, 2 h ago
15¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $667 (6.67x)
Paul Skenes
7.5%
Polymarket 7.5%polled, 2 h agoBest Yes 15¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $667 (6.67x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Paul Skenes
- Last price
- 7.5%
- As of
- Polled 2 h ago
- Buy Yes
- 15¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $667 (6.67x)
Roman Anthony7.5%7.5%— bid, 15¢ askpolled, 2 h ago15¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $667 (6.67x)Roman Anthony7.5%Polymarket 7.5%polled, 2 h agoBest Yes 15¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $667 (6.67x)
Roman Anthony
7.5%
7.5%
— bid, 15¢ ask
polled, 2 h ago
15¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $667 (6.67x)
Roman Anthony
7.5%
Polymarket 7.5%polled, 2 h agoBest Yes 15¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $667 (6.67x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Roman Anthony
- Last price
- 7.5%
- As of
- Polled 2 h ago
- Buy Yes
- 15¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $667 (6.67x)
Ronald Acuña Jr.7.5%7.5%— bid, 15¢ askpolled, 2 h ago15¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $667 (6.67x)Ronald Acuña Jr.7.5%Polymarket 7.5%polled, 2 h agoBest Yes 15¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $667 (6.67x)
Ronald Acuña Jr.
7.5%
7.5%
— bid, 15¢ ask
polled, 2 h ago
15¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $667 (6.67x)
Ronald Acuña Jr.
7.5%
Polymarket 7.5%polled, 2 h agoBest Yes 15¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $667 (6.67x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Ronald Acuña Jr.
- Last price
- 7.5%
- As of
- Polled 2 h ago
- Buy Yes
- 15¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $667 (6.67x)
Tarik Skubal7.5%7.5%— bid, 15¢ askpolled, 2 h ago15¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $667 (6.67x)Tarik Skubal7.5%Polymarket 7.5%polled, 2 h agoBest Yes 15¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $667 (6.67x)
Tarik Skubal
7.5%
7.5%
— bid, 15¢ ask
polled, 2 h ago
15¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $667 (6.67x)
Tarik Skubal
7.5%
Polymarket 7.5%polled, 2 h agoBest Yes 15¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $667 (6.67x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Tarik Skubal
- Last price
- 7.5%
- As of
- Polled 2 h ago
- Buy Yes
- 15¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $667 (6.67x)
Vladimir Guerrero Jr.7.5%7.5%— bid, 15¢ askpolled, 2 h ago15¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $667 (6.67x)Vladimir Guerrero Jr.7.5%Polymarket 7.5%polled, 2 h agoBest Yes 15¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $667 (6.67x)
Vladimir Guerrero Jr.
7.5%
7.5%
— bid, 15¢ ask
polled, 2 h ago
15¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $667 (6.67x)
Vladimir Guerrero Jr.
7.5%
Polymarket 7.5%polled, 2 h agoBest Yes 15¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $667 (6.67x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Vladimir Guerrero Jr.
- Last price
- 7.5%
- As of
- Polled 2 h ago
- Buy Yes
- 15¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $667 (6.67x)
Who resolves this market
- Polymarket resolves via:
- UMA optimistic oracle
How the odds have moved
The top 3 outcomes on both venues, with the consensus between them. Hover for exact values.
- Cam Schlittler
- Junior Caminero
- Yordan Alvarez
Order books
Each venue’s resting orders for the selected outcome’s Yes contract, side by side. Top of book streams live; depth refreshes every 15 seconds.
What your stake buys
Enter a stake to see where it buys the most after fees, using each venue’s live order book.
$
Buy
Loading both order books…
Buys at the asks resting now (taker orders), cheapest after fees first, from order-book snapshots up to 15 seconds old. Fees: Kalshi 0.07 × price × (1 − price) per share, rounded up to the cent; Polymarket 0.05 × price × (1 − price) per share (sports rate). Fee calculator. Estimates only, not advice.
About this market
Live prediction market odds for "MLB The Show 27: Cover Athlete". Cam Schlittler leads at 51%. Next is Junior Caminero at 49.5%. $22K has traded across 30 outcomes on Polymarket. The market is expected to resolve by Apr 1, 2027.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed player is announced as the cover athlete of Sony Interactive’s MLB The Show 27, or if the player is explicitly depicted on the cover. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Only explicit depictions of the player or their likeness (including but not limited to: a player’s face, a clear depiction in uniform including logo and/or number) will be considered for this market’s resolution. All editions (e.g. standard, deluxe, bundle) of the game for console platforms slated for release by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET will count toward this market’s resolution. If MLB The Show 27 does not release, or it cannot be determined if a listed player is included on the cover by April 15, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”. The primary resolution source will be an official announcement from Sony Interactive and/or the player; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Questions
What does the consensus price mean?
It is the price of a Yes contract that pays $1 if the outcome happens. A 14¢ price means traders put the chance near 14%. Where two venues list the same outcome, we blend their last prices, weighting the venue with more trading volume more heavily (neither counts for less than a quarter). When only one outcome can win, each venue’s prices add up to a little over 100% (its margin); the fair chance removes that margin so the outcomes add up to exactly 100%.
How is the payout worked out?
A Yes contract pays $1 if it wins, so at the best ask a $100 stake buys 100 ÷ ask contracts. At 18¢ that is about 555 contracts, paying $556 (5.56x) if Yes happens. Venue fees and price slippage on larger orders are not included.
Why do the venues show different prices?
Each venue has its own traders, fees and order book. Contracts can also settle on slightly different terms, which is why each row lists how closely the rules match.
Is a price gap an arbitrage?
Only when you can buy Yes on one venue below what someone pays for Yes on the other, after fees, and both contracts settle the same way. We show the executable bid and ask so you can check.
How fresh are these prices?
Venue prices refresh every few minutes, and the order book and live quotes stream continuously. Each venue’s card shows when we last observed it.
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