The Prediction Markets

MLS: 2026 Defender of the Year

Closes
Nov 12, 2026, in 19 days
Traded
$921K
Venues
Polymarket
Prices updated
just now
Share

What the markets expect

Joakim Nilsson 14.7%

Next is Rodrigues at 5.6%. Only Polymarket lists this market, so there is no second price to compare.

Joakim Nilsson 14.7%Rodrigues 5.6%Walker Zimmerman 5.5%Robert Voloder 4.7%Adilson Malanda 4.4%55 others 65.1%

Odds by venue

Fair chance strips out each venue’s built-in margin (its prices add up to more than 100%), then blends the venues by how much has traded there, so the outcomes add up to 100%. Best Yes price is the cheapest ask across venues, and the payout is what a winning $100 stake returns before fees. Open a row for each venue’s contract name, bid and ask, and how closely their rules match.

Prices come from our regular polls of each venue. Ages are as of when this page was built.

  • Polymarket
Joakim Nilsson
14.7%
Polymarket 12.6%(14.7% fair)polled, 50s agoBest Yes 13.2¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $758 (7.58x)
Polymarket
Contract
Joakim Nilsson
Last price
12.6%
Fair, margin removed
14.7%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
13.2¢
Sell Yes
12¢
$100 on Yes pays
$758 (7.58x)
Volume
$2K
Trade this on Polymarket
Rodrigues
5.6%
Polymarket 4.9%(5.6% fair)polled, 50s agoBest Yes 7.7¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,299 (13.0x)
Polymarket
Contract
Rodrigues
Last price
4.9%
Fair, margin removed
5.6%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
7.7¢
Sell Yes
2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,299 (13.0x)
Volume
$24K
Trade this on Polymarket
Walker Zimmerman
5.5%
Polymarket 4.8%(5.5% fair)polled, 50s agoBest Yes 8.8¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,136 (11.4x)
Polymarket
Contract
Walker Zimmerman
Last price
4.8%
Fair, margin removed
5.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
8.8¢
Sell Yes
0.7¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,136 (11.4x)
Volume
$2K
Trade this on Polymarket
Robert Voloder
4.7%
Polymarket 4.1%(4.7% fair)polled, 50s agoBest Yes 8¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,250 (12.5x)
Polymarket
Contract
Robert Voloder
Last price
4.1%
Fair, margin removed
4.7%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
8¢
Sell Yes
0.1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,250 (12.5x)
Volume
$547
Trade this on Polymarket
Adilson Malanda
4.4%
Polymarket 3.8%(4.4% fair)polled, 50s agoBest Yes 6.9¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,449 (14.5x)
Polymarket
Contract
Adilson Malanda
Last price
3.8%
Fair, margin removed
4.4%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
6.9¢
Sell Yes
0.6¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,449 (14.5x)
Volume
$350
Trade this on Polymarket
Joel Waterman
4.4%
Polymarket 3.8%(4.4% fair)polled, 50s agoBest Yes 6.7¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,493 (14.9x)
Polymarket
Contract
Joel Waterman
Last price
3.8%
Fair, margin removed
4.4%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
6.7¢
Sell Yes
0.8¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,493 (14.9x)
Volume
$333
Trade this on Polymarket
Birk Risa
3.8%
Polymarket 3.3%(3.8% fair)polled, 50s agoBest Yes 5.9¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,695 (16.9x)
Polymarket
Contract
Birk Risa
Last price
3.3%
Fair, margin removed
3.8%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
5.9¢
Sell Yes
0.7¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,695 (16.9x)
Volume
$162
Trade this on Polymarket
Nkosi Tafari
3.5%
Polymarket 3.1%(3.6% fair)polled, 50s agoBest Yes 5.5¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,818 (18.2x)
Polymarket
Contract
Nkosi Tafari
Last price
3.1%
Fair, margin removed
3.6%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
5.5¢
Sell Yes
0.6¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,818 (18.2x)
Volume
$274
Trade this on Polymarket
Dave Romney
3.4%
Polymarket 2.9%polled, 50s agoBest Yes 5¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)
Polymarket
Contract
Dave Romney
Last price
2.9%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
5¢
Sell Yes
0.8¢
$100 on Yes pays
$2,000 (20.0x)
Volume
$221
Trade this on Polymarket
Tomás Avilés
3.3%
Polymarket 2.9%polled, 50s agoBest Yes 5.2¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,923 (19.2x)
Polymarket
Contract
Tomás Avilés
Last price
2.9%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
5.2¢
Sell Yes
0.5¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,923 (19.2x)
Volume
$397
Trade this on Polymarket
Show 50 more outcomes
Micael
3%
Polymarket 2.6%polled, 50s agoBest Yes 4.6¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $2,174 (21.7x)
Polymarket
Contract
Micael
Last price
2.6%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
4.6¢
Sell Yes
0.6¢
$100 on Yes pays
$2,174 (21.7x)
Volume
$390
Trade this on Polymarket
Zac McGraw
3%
Polymarket 2.6%polled, 50s agoBest Yes 4.4¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $2,273 (22.7x)
Polymarket
Contract
Zac McGraw
Last price
2.6%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
4.4¢
Sell Yes
0.8¢
$100 on Yes pays
$2,273 (22.7x)
Volume
$92K
Trade this on Polymarket
David Brekalo
2.7%
Polymarket 2.3%polled, 50s agoBest Yes 3.5¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $2,857 (28.6x)
Polymarket
Contract
David Brekalo
Last price
2.3%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
3.5¢
Sell Yes
1.1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$2,857 (28.6x)
Volume
$388K
Trade this on Polymarket
Jackson Ragen
2.4%
Polymarket 2.1%polled, 50s agoBest Yes 3.6¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $2,778 (27.8x)
Polymarket
Contract
Jackson Ragen
Last price
2.1%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
3.6¢
Sell Yes
0.6¢
$100 on Yes pays
$2,778 (27.8x)
Volume
$13K
Trade this on Polymarket
Tristan Blackmon
2.1%
Polymarket 1.9%polled, 50s agoBest Yes 3.5¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $2,857 (28.6x)
Polymarket
Contract
Tristan Blackmon
Last price
1.9%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
3.5¢
Sell Yes
0.2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$2,857 (28.6x)
Volume
$696
Trade this on Polymarket
Mauricio Pineda
1.9%
Polymarket 1.6%polled, 50s agoBest Yes 2.9¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $3,448 (34.5x)
Polymarket
Contract
Mauricio Pineda
Last price
1.6%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
2.9¢
Sell Yes
0.3¢
$100 on Yes pays
$3,448 (34.5x)
Volume
$304
Trade this on Polymarket
Michael Boxall
1.6%
Polymarket 1.4%polled, 50s agoBest Yes 2.2¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $4,545 (45.5x)
Polymarket
Contract
Michael Boxall
Last price
1.4%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
2.2¢
Sell Yes
0.5¢
$100 on Yes pays
$4,545 (45.5x)
Volume
$271
Trade this on Polymarket
Dany Rosero
1.5%
Polymarket 1.3%polled, 50s agoBest Yes 1.6¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $6,250 (62.5x)
Polymarket
Contract
Dany Rosero
Last price
1.3%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
1.6¢
Sell Yes
0.9¢
$100 on Yes pays
$6,250 (62.5x)
Volume
$5K
Trade this on Polymarket
Gabriele Corbo
1.5%
Polymarket 1.3%polled, 50s agoBest Yes 1.8¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $5,556 (55.6x)
Polymarket
Contract
Gabriele Corbo
Last price
1.3%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
1.8¢
Sell Yes
0.7¢
$100 on Yes pays
$5,556 (55.6x)
Volume
$4K
Trade this on Polymarket
Tim Parker
1.5%
Polymarket 1.3%polled, 50s agoBest Yes 1.7¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $5,882 (58.8x)
Polymarket
Contract
Tim Parker
Last price
1.3%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
1.7¢
Sell Yes
0.8¢
$100 on Yes pays
$5,882 (58.8x)
Volume
$446
Trade this on Polymarket
Andreas Maxsø
1.3%
Polymarket 1.1%polled, 50s agoBest Yes 1.7¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $5,882 (58.8x)
Polymarket
Contract
Andreas Maxsø
Last price
1.1%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
1.7¢
Sell Yes
0.5¢
$100 on Yes pays
$5,882 (58.8x)
Volume
$308
Trade this on Polymarket
Carlos Terán
1.3%
Polymarket 1.1%polled, 50s agoBest Yes 1.6¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $6,250 (62.5x)
Polymarket
Contract
Carlos Terán
Last price
1.1%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
1.6¢
Sell Yes
0.6¢
$100 on Yes pays
$6,250 (62.5x)
Volume
$231
Trade this on Polymarket
Jack Maher
1.3%
Polymarket 1.1%polled, 50s agoBest Yes 1.7¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $5,882 (58.8x)
Polymarket
Contract
Jack Maher
Last price
1.1%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
1.7¢
Sell Yes
0.5¢
$100 on Yes pays
$5,882 (58.8x)
Volume
$288
Trade this on Polymarket
Andrés Reyes
1.2%
Polymarket 1.1%polled, 50s agoBest Yes 1.6¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $6,250 (62.5x)
Polymarket
Contract
Andrés Reyes
Last price
1.1%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
1.6¢
Sell Yes
0.5¢
$100 on Yes pays
$6,250 (62.5x)
Volume
$3K
Trade this on Polymarket
Oleksandr Svatok
1.2%
Polymarket 1%polled, 50s agoBest Yes 1.5¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $6,667 (66.7x)
Polymarket
Contract
Oleksandr Svatok
Last price
1%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
1.5¢
Sell Yes
0.5¢
$100 on Yes pays
$6,667 (66.7x)
Volume
$366
Trade this on Polymarket
Yevhen Cheberko
1.1%
Polymarket 1%polled, 50s agoBest Yes 1.4¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $7,143 (71.4x)
Polymarket
Contract
Yevhen Cheberko
Last price
1%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
1.4¢
Sell Yes
0.5¢
$100 on Yes pays
$7,143 (71.4x)
Volume
$294
Trade this on Polymarket
Aaron Long
1%
Polymarket 0.9%polled, 50s agoBest Yes 1.6¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $6,250 (62.5x)
Polymarket
Contract
Aaron Long
Last price
0.9%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
1.6¢
Sell Yes
0.2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$6,250 (62.5x)
Volume
$537
Trade this on Polymarket
Daniel Munie
1%
Polymarket 0.9%polled, 50s agoBest Yes 1.4¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $7,143 (71.4x)
Polymarket
Contract
Daniel Munie
Last price
0.9%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
1.4¢
Sell Yes
0.3¢
$100 on Yes pays
$7,143 (71.4x)
Volume
$388
Trade this on Polymarket
Jakob Glesnes
1%
Polymarket 0.9%polled, 50s agoBest Yes 0.9¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $11,111 (111x)
Polymarket
Contract
Jakob Glesnes
Last price
0.9%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
0.9¢
Sell Yes
0.8¢
$100 on Yes pays
$11,111 (111x)
Volume
$347K
Trade this on Polymarket
Lucas Bartlett
1%
Polymarket 0.9%polled, 50s agoBest Yes 1.1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $9,091 (90.9x)
Polymarket
Contract
Lucas Bartlett
Last price
0.9%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
1.1¢
Sell Yes
0.7¢
$100 on Yes pays
$9,091 (90.9x)
Volume
$9K
Trade this on Polymarket
Eddie Segura
0.9%
Polymarket 0.8%polled, 50s agoBest Yes 1.3¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $7,692 (76.9x)
Polymarket
Contract
Eddie Segura
Last price
0.8%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
1.3¢
Sell Yes
0.3¢
$100 on Yes pays
$7,692 (76.9x)
Volume
$273
Trade this on Polymarket
Kamal Miller
0.9%
Polymarket 0.8%polled, 50s agoBest Yes 1.1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $9,091 (90.9x)
Polymarket
Contract
Kamal Miller
Last price
0.8%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
1.1¢
Sell Yes
0.5¢
$100 on Yes pays
$9,091 (90.9x)
Volume
$342
Trade this on Polymarket
Lalas Abubakar
0.9%
Polymarket 0.8%polled, 50s agoBest Yes 1.1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $9,091 (90.9x)
Polymarket
Contract
Lalas Abubakar
Last price
0.8%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
1.1¢
Sell Yes
0.5¢
$100 on Yes pays
$9,091 (90.9x)
Volume
$233
Trade this on Polymarket
Marcelo Silva
0.9%
Polymarket 0.8%polled, 50s agoBest Yes 1.3¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $7,692 (76.9x)
Polymarket
Contract
Marcelo Silva
Last price
0.8%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
1.3¢
Sell Yes
0.3¢
$100 on Yes pays
$7,692 (76.9x)
Volume
$243
Trade this on Polymarket
Andrew Privett
0.8%
Polymarket 0.7%polled, 50s agoBest Yes 0.9¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $11,111 (111x)
Polymarket
Contract
Andrew Privett
Last price
0.7%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
0.9¢
Sell Yes
0.4¢
$100 on Yes pays
$11,111 (111x)
Volume
$479
Trade this on Polymarket
Brendan Hines-Ike
0.8%
Polymarket 0.7%polled, 50s agoBest Yes 1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Polymarket
Contract
Brendan Hines-Ike
Last price
0.7%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
1¢
Sell Yes
0.4¢
$100 on Yes pays
$10,000 (100x)
Volume
$368
Trade this on Polymarket
Miles Robinson
0.8%
Polymarket 0.7%polled, 50s agoBest Yes 1.2¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $8,333 (83.3x)
Polymarket
Contract
Miles Robinson
Last price
0.7%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
1.2¢
Sell Yes
0.2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$8,333 (83.3x)
Volume
$288
Trade this on Polymarket
Ranko Veselinović
0.8%
Polymarket 0.7%polled, 50s agoBest Yes 1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Polymarket
Contract
Ranko Veselinović
Last price
0.7%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
1¢
Sell Yes
0.3¢
$100 on Yes pays
$10,000 (100x)
Volume
$256
Trade this on Polymarket
Kevin Long
0.6%
Polymarket 0.5%polled, 50s agoBest Yes 0.7¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $14,286 (143x)
Polymarket
Contract
Kevin Long
Last price
0.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
0.7¢
Sell Yes
0.3¢
$100 on Yes pays
$14,286 (143x)
Volume
$289
Trade this on Polymarket
Christopher McVey
0.5%
Polymarket 0.4%polled, 50s agoBest Yes 0.6¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $16,667 (167x)
Polymarket
Contract
Christopher McVey
Last price
0.4%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
0.6¢
Sell Yes
0.2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$16,667 (167x)
Volume
$221
Trade this on Polymarket
Donovan Pines
0.5%
Polymarket 0.5%polled, 50s agoBest Yes 0.7¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $14,286 (143x)
Polymarket
Contract
Donovan Pines
Last price
0.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
0.7¢
Sell Yes
0.2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$14,286 (143x)
Volume
$322
Trade this on Polymarket
Erik Sviatchenko
0.5%
Polymarket 0.4%polled, 50s agoBest Yes 0.6¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $16,667 (167x)
Polymarket
Contract
Erik Sviatchenko
Last price
0.4%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
0.6¢
Sell Yes
0.2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$16,667 (167x)
Volume
$271
Trade this on Polymarket
Henry Kessler
0.5%
Polymarket 0.4%polled, 50s agoBest Yes 0.6¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $16,667 (167x)
Polymarket
Contract
Henry Kessler
Last price
0.4%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
0.6¢
Sell Yes
0.2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$16,667 (167x)
Volume
$227
Trade this on Polymarket
Miguel Tapias
0.5%
Polymarket 0.4%polled, 50s agoBest Yes 0.5¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $20,000 (200x)
Polymarket
Contract
Miguel Tapias
Last price
0.4%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
0.5¢
Sell Yes
0.3¢
$100 on Yes pays
$20,000 (200x)
Volume
$8K
Trade this on Polymarket
Matt Miazga
0.4%
Polymarket 0.4%polled, 50s agoBest Yes 0.5¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $20,000 (200x)
Polymarket
Contract
Matt Miazga
Last price
0.4%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
0.5¢
Sell Yes
0.2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$20,000 (200x)
Volume
$372
Trade this on Polymarket
Maximiliano Falcón
0.4%
Polymarket 0.4%polled, 50s agoBest Yes 0.5¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $20,000 (200x)
Polymarket
Contract
Maximiliano Falcón
Last price
0.4%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
0.5¢
Sell Yes
0.2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$20,000 (200x)
Volume
$238
Trade this on Polymarket
Enea Mihaj
0.3%
Polymarket 0.3%polled, 50s agoBest Yes 0.4¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $25,000 (250x)
Polymarket
Contract
Enea Mihaj
Last price
0.3%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
0.4¢
Sell Yes
0.1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$25,000 (250x)
Volume
$363
Trade this on Polymarket
Jack Elliott
0.3%
Polymarket 0.3%polled, 50s agoBest Yes 0.4¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $25,000 (250x)
Polymarket
Contract
Jack Elliott
Last price
0.3%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
0.4¢
Sell Yes
0.1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$25,000 (250x)
Volume
$240
Trade this on Polymarket
Jalen Neal
0.3%
Polymarket 0.3%polled, 50s agoBest Yes 0.5¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $20,000 (200x)
Polymarket
Contract
Jalen Neal
Last price
0.3%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
0.5¢
Sell Yes
0.1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$20,000 (200x)
Volume
$238
Trade this on Polymarket
Rudy Camacho
0.3%
Polymarket 0.3%polled, 50s agoBest Yes 0.4¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $25,000 (250x)
Polymarket
Contract
Rudy Camacho
Last price
0.3%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
0.4¢
Sell Yes
0.1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$25,000 (250x)
Volume
$457
Trade this on Polymarket
Stian Gregersen
0.3%
Polymarket 0.3%polled, 50s agoBest Yes 0.4¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $25,000 (250x)
Polymarket
Contract
Stian Gregersen
Last price
0.3%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
0.4¢
Sell Yes
0.1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$25,000 (250x)
Volume
$258
Trade this on Polymarket
Thiago Martins
0.3%
Polymarket 0.3%polled, 50s agoBest Yes 0.4¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $25,000 (250x)
Polymarket
Contract
Thiago Martins
Last price
0.3%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
0.4¢
Sell Yes
0.1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$25,000 (250x)
Volume
$251
Trade this on Polymarket
Yeimar Gómez Andrade
0.3%
Polymarket 0.3%polled, 50s agoBest Yes 0.4¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $25,000 (250x)
Polymarket
Contract
Yeimar Gómez Andrade
Last price
0.3%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
0.4¢
Sell Yes
0.1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$25,000 (250x)
Volume
$324
Trade this on Polymarket
Justen Glad
0.2%
Polymarket 0.2%polled, 50s agoBest Yes 0.2¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $50,000 (500x)
Polymarket
Contract
Justen Glad
Last price
0.2%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
0.2¢
Sell Yes
0.1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$50,000 (500x)
Volume
$240
Trade this on Polymarket
Noah Eile
0.2%
Polymarket 0.2%polled, 50s agoBest Yes 0.2¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $50,000 (500x)
Polymarket
Contract
Noah Eile
Last price
0.2%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
0.2¢
Sell Yes
0.1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$50,000 (500x)
Volume
$269
Trade this on Polymarket
Robin Jansson
0.2%
Polymarket 0.2%polled, 50s agoBest Yes 0.2¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $50,000 (500x)
Polymarket
Contract
Robin Jansson
Last price
0.2%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
0.2¢
Sell Yes
0.1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$50,000 (500x)
Volume
$5K
Trade this on Polymarket
Sean Nealis
0.2%
Polymarket 0.2%polled, 50s agoBest Yes 0.2¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $50,000 (500x)
Polymarket
Contract
Sean Nealis
Last price
0.2%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
0.2¢
Sell Yes
0.1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$50,000 (500x)
Volume
$304
Trade this on Polymarket
Sebastien Ibeagha
0.2%
Polymarket 0.2%polled, 50s agoBest Yes 0.3¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $33,333 (333x)
Polymarket
Contract
Sebastien Ibeagha
Last price
0.2%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
0.3¢
Sell Yes
0.1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$33,333 (333x)
Volume
$335
Trade this on Polymarket
Sigurd Rosted
0.2%
Polymarket 0.2%polled, 50s agoBest Yes 0.3¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $33,333 (333x)
Polymarket
Contract
Sigurd Rosted
Last price
0.2%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
0.3¢
Sell Yes
0.1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$33,333 (333x)
Volume
$443
Trade this on Polymarket
Maya Yoshida
0.1%
Polymarket 0.1%polled, 50s agoBest Yes 0.2¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $50,000 (500x)
Polymarket
Contract
Maya Yoshida
Last price
0.1%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
0.2¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$50,000 (500x)
Volume
$3K
Trade this on Polymarket

Who resolves this market

Polymarket
Polymarket resolves via:
UMA optimistic oracle

How the odds have moved

The top 3 outcomes on both venues, with the consensus between them. Hover for exact values.

  • Joakim Nilsson
  • Rodrigues
  • Walker Zimmerman

Order books

Each venue’s resting orders for the selected outcome’s Yes contract, side by side. Top of book streams live; depth refreshes every 15 seconds.

Top of book

Connecting
Best bid
—
Spread
—
Best ask
—

Waiting for the first live quote…

Depth · top 8 levels

Loading snapshot…

Recent trades

Loading…

What your stake buys

Enter a stake to see where it buys the most after fees, using each venue’s live order book.

$
Buy

Loading both order books…

Buys at the asks resting now (taker orders), cheapest after fees first, from order-book snapshots up to 15 seconds old. Fees: Kalshi 0.07 × price × (1 − price) per share, rounded up to the cent; Polymarket 0.05 × price × (1 − price) per share (sports rate). Fee calculator. Estimates only, not advice.

About this market

Live prediction market odds for "MLS: 2026 Defender of the Year". Joakim Nilsson leads at 14.7%. Next is Rodrigues at 5.6%. $921K has traded across 60 outcomes on Polymarket. The market is expected to resolve by Nov 12, 2026.

This market will resolve to the player who wins the 2026 MLS Defender of the Year award. In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by MLS rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically. If the 2026 MLS season is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026 ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Major League Soccer; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Questions

What does the consensus price mean?

It is the price of a Yes contract that pays $1 if the outcome happens. A 14¢ price means traders put the chance near 14%. Where two venues list the same outcome, we blend their last prices, weighting the venue with more trading volume more heavily (neither counts for less than a quarter). When only one outcome can win, each venue’s prices add up to a little over 100% (its margin); the fair chance removes that margin so the outcomes add up to exactly 100%.

How is the payout worked out?

A Yes contract pays $1 if it wins, so at the best ask a $100 stake buys 100 ÷ ask contracts. At 18¢ that is about 555 contracts, paying $556 (5.56x) if Yes happens. Venue fees and price slippage on larger orders are not included.

Why do the venues show different prices?

Each venue has its own traders, fees and order book. Contracts can also settle on slightly different terms, which is why each row lists how closely the rules match.

Is a price gap an arbitrage?

Only when you can buy Yes on one venue below what someone pays for Yes on the other, after fees, and both contracts settle the same way. We show the executable bid and ask so you can check.

How fresh are these prices?

Venue prices refresh every few minutes, and the order book and live quotes stream continuously. Each venue’s card shows when we last observed it.

See all sports markets