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Trading ended on Sep 10, 2026. The prices below are the last ones before it closed and no longer update. Browse open markets
Odds by venue
Consensus blends each venue’s last price, weighted by how much has traded there. Best Yes price is the cheapest ask across venues, and the payout is what a winning $100 stake returns before fees. Open a row for each venue’s contract name, bid and ask, and how closely their rules match.
Prices come from our regular polls of each venue, the oldest 126 days ago. Ages are as of when this page was built.
- Kalshi
Outcome
Consensus
Venue prices on a 0–100% scale
Kalshi
Best Yes price
Casemiro92%92%93¢ bid, 98¢ askpolled, 3024 h ago98¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $102 (1.02x)Casemiro92%Kalshi 92%polled, 3024 h agoBest Yes 98¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $102 (1.02x)
Casemiro
92%
92%
93¢ bid, 98¢ ask
polled, 3024 h ago
98¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $102 (1.02x)
Casemiro
92%
Kalshi 92%polled, 3024 h agoBest Yes 98¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $102 (1.02x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Casemiro
- Last price
- 92%
- As of
- Polled 126 d ago
- Buy Yes
- 98¢
- Sell Yes
- 93¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $102 (1.02x)
- Volume
- $3K
Robert Lewandowski80%80%— bid, 80¢ askpolled, 3024 h ago80¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $125 (1.25x)Robert Lewandowski80%Kalshi 80%polled, 3024 h agoBest Yes 80¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $125 (1.25x)
Robert Lewandowski
80%
80%
— bid, 80¢ ask
polled, 3024 h ago
80¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $125 (1.25x)
Robert Lewandowski
80%
Kalshi 80%polled, 3024 h agoBest Yes 80¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $125 (1.25x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Robert Lewandowski
- Last price
- 80%
- As of
- Polled 126 d ago
- Buy Yes
- 80¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $125 (1.25x)
- Volume
- $10K
Neymar29%29%20¢ bid, 30¢ askpolled, 3024 h ago30¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $333 (3.33x)Neymar29%Kalshi 29%polled, 3024 h agoBest Yes 30¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $333 (3.33x)
Neymar
29%
29%
20¢ bid, 30¢ ask
polled, 3024 h ago
30¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $333 (3.33x)
Neymar
29%
Kalshi 29%polled, 3024 h agoBest Yes 30¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $333 (3.33x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Neymar
- Last price
- 29%
- As of
- Polled 126 d ago
- Buy Yes
- 30¢
- Sell Yes
- 20¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $333 (3.33x)
- Volume
- $243
Mohamed Salah26%26%28¢ bid, 34¢ askpolled, 3024 h ago34¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $294 (2.94x)Mohamed Salah26%Kalshi 26%polled, 3024 h agoBest Yes 34¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $294 (2.94x)
Mohamed Salah
26%
26%
28¢ bid, 34¢ ask
polled, 3024 h ago
34¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $294 (2.94x)
Mohamed Salah
26%
Kalshi 26%polled, 3024 h agoBest Yes 34¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $294 (2.94x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Mohamed Salah
- Last price
- 26%
- As of
- Polled 126 d ago
- Buy Yes
- 34¢
- Sell Yes
- 28¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $294 (2.94x)
- Volume
- $1K
Francesco Acerbi20.5%20.5%15¢ bid, 26¢ askpolled, 3024 h ago26¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $385 (3.85x)Francesco Acerbi20.5%Kalshi 20.5%polled, 3024 h agoBest Yes 26¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $385 (3.85x)
Francesco Acerbi
20.5%
20.5%
15¢ bid, 26¢ ask
polled, 3024 h ago
26¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $385 (3.85x)
Francesco Acerbi
20.5%
Kalshi 20.5%polled, 3024 h agoBest Yes 26¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $385 (3.85x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Francesco Acerbi
- Last price
- 20.5%
- As of
- Polled 126 d ago
- Buy Yes
- 26¢
- Sell Yes
- 15¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $385 (3.85x)
Lucas Moura20%20%16¢ bid, 25¢ askpolled, 3024 h ago25¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $400 (4.00x)Lucas Moura20%Kalshi 20%polled, 3024 h agoBest Yes 25¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $400 (4.00x)
Lucas Moura
20%
20%
16¢ bid, 25¢ ask
polled, 3024 h ago
25¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $400 (4.00x)
Lucas Moura
20%
Kalshi 20%polled, 3024 h agoBest Yes 25¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $400 (4.00x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Lucas Moura
- Last price
- 20%
- As of
- Polled 126 d ago
- Buy Yes
- 25¢
- Sell Yes
- 16¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $400 (4.00x)
- Volume
- $205
Luka Modric16%16%6¢ bid, 16¢ askpolled, 3024 h ago16¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $625 (6.25x)Luka Modric16%Kalshi 16%polled, 3024 h agoBest Yes 16¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $625 (6.25x)
Luka Modric
16%
16%
6¢ bid, 16¢ ask
polled, 3024 h ago
16¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $625 (6.25x)
Luka Modric
16%
Kalshi 16%polled, 3024 h agoBest Yes 16¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $625 (6.25x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Luka Modric
- Last price
- 16%
- As of
- Polled 126 d ago
- Buy Yes
- 16¢
- Sell Yes
- 6¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $625 (6.25x)
- Volume
- $12
Angel Di Maria15%15%6¢ bid, 16¢ askpolled, 3024 h ago16¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $625 (6.25x)Angel Di Maria15%Kalshi 15%polled, 3024 h agoBest Yes 16¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $625 (6.25x)
Angel Di Maria
15%
15%
6¢ bid, 16¢ ask
polled, 3024 h ago
16¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $625 (6.25x)
Angel Di Maria
15%
Kalshi 15%polled, 3024 h agoBest Yes 16¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $625 (6.25x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Angel Di Maria
- Last price
- 15%
- As of
- Polled 126 d ago
- Buy Yes
- 16¢
- Sell Yes
- 6¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $625 (6.25x)
- Volume
- $13
Cristiano Ronaldo15%15%10¢ bid, 20¢ askpolled, 3024 h ago20¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $500 (5.00x)Cristiano Ronaldo15%Kalshi 15%polled, 3024 h agoBest Yes 20¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $500 (5.00x)
Cristiano Ronaldo
15%
15%
10¢ bid, 20¢ ask
polled, 3024 h ago
20¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $500 (5.00x)
Cristiano Ronaldo
15%
Kalshi 15%polled, 3024 h agoBest Yes 20¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $500 (5.00x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Cristiano Ronaldo
- Last price
- 15%
- As of
- Polled 126 d ago
- Buy Yes
- 20¢
- Sell Yes
- 10¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $500 (5.00x)
- Volume
- $264
Sergio Ramos15%15%12¢ bid, 21¢ askpolled, 3024 h ago21¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $476 (4.76x)Sergio Ramos15%Kalshi 15%polled, 3024 h agoBest Yes 21¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $476 (4.76x)
Sergio Ramos
15%
15%
12¢ bid, 21¢ ask
polled, 3024 h ago
21¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $476 (4.76x)
Sergio Ramos
15%
Kalshi 15%polled, 3024 h agoBest Yes 21¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $476 (4.76x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Sergio Ramos
- Last price
- 15%
- As of
- Polled 126 d ago
- Buy Yes
- 21¢
- Sell Yes
- 12¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $476 (4.76x)
- Volume
- $125
Show 6 more outcomesHide 6 outcomes
Karim Benzema10.5%10.5%5¢ bid, 16¢ askpolled, 3024 h ago16¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $625 (6.25x)Karim Benzema10.5%Kalshi 10.5%polled, 3024 h agoBest Yes 16¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $625 (6.25x)
Karim Benzema
10.5%
10.5%
5¢ bid, 16¢ ask
polled, 3024 h ago
16¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $625 (6.25x)
Karim Benzema
10.5%
Kalshi 10.5%polled, 3024 h agoBest Yes 16¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $625 (6.25x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Karim Benzema
- Last price
- 10.5%
- As of
- Polled 126 d ago
- Buy Yes
- 16¢
- Sell Yes
- 5¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $625 (6.25x)
Keylor Navas10.5%10.5%5¢ bid, 16¢ askpolled, 3024 h ago16¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $625 (6.25x)Keylor Navas10.5%Kalshi 10.5%polled, 3024 h agoBest Yes 16¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $625 (6.25x)
Keylor Navas
10.5%
10.5%
5¢ bid, 16¢ ask
polled, 3024 h ago
16¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $625 (6.25x)
Keylor Navas
10.5%
Kalshi 10.5%polled, 3024 h agoBest Yes 16¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $625 (6.25x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Keylor Navas
- Last price
- 10.5%
- As of
- Polled 126 d ago
- Buy Yes
- 16¢
- Sell Yes
- 5¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $625 (6.25x)
Yann Sommer10.5%10.5%5¢ bid, 16¢ askpolled, 3024 h ago16¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $625 (6.25x)Yann Sommer10.5%Kalshi 10.5%polled, 3024 h agoBest Yes 16¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $625 (6.25x)
Yann Sommer
10.5%
10.5%
5¢ bid, 16¢ ask
polled, 3024 h ago
16¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $625 (6.25x)
Yann Sommer
10.5%
Kalshi 10.5%polled, 3024 h agoBest Yes 16¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $625 (6.25x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Yann Sommer
- Last price
- 10.5%
- As of
- Polled 126 d ago
- Buy Yes
- 16¢
- Sell Yes
- 5¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $625 (6.25x)
Manuel Neuer10%10%— bid, 10¢ askpolled, 3024 h ago10¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $1,000 (10.0x)Manuel Neuer10%Kalshi 10%polled, 3024 h agoBest Yes 10¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,000 (10.0x)
Manuel Neuer
10%
10%
— bid, 10¢ ask
polled, 3024 h ago
10¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $1,000 (10.0x)
Manuel Neuer
10%
Kalshi 10%polled, 3024 h agoBest Yes 10¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,000 (10.0x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Manuel Neuer
- Last price
- 10%
- As of
- Polled 126 d ago
- Buy Yes
- 10¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,000 (10.0x)
- Volume
- $1K
Harry Kane5.5%5.5%— bid, 11¢ askpolled, 3024 h ago11¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $909 (9.09x)Harry Kane5.5%Kalshi 5.5%polled, 3024 h agoBest Yes 11¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $909 (9.09x)
Harry Kane
5.5%
5.5%
— bid, 11¢ ask
polled, 3024 h ago
11¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $909 (9.09x)
Harry Kane
5.5%
Kalshi 5.5%polled, 3024 h agoBest Yes 11¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $909 (9.09x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Harry Kane
- Last price
- 5.5%
- As of
- Polled 126 d ago
- Buy Yes
- 11¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $909 (9.09x)
Henrikh Mkhitaryan2%2%2¢ bid, 5¢ askpolled, 3024 h ago5¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)Henrikh Mkhitaryan2%Kalshi 2%polled, 3024 h agoBest Yes 5¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)
Henrikh Mkhitaryan
2%
2%
2¢ bid, 5¢ ask
polled, 3024 h ago
5¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)
Henrikh Mkhitaryan
2%
Kalshi 2%polled, 3024 h agoBest Yes 5¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Henrikh Mkhitaryan
- Last price
- 2%
- As of
- Polled 126 d ago
- Buy Yes
- 5¢
- Sell Yes
- 2¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $2,000 (20.0x)
- Volume
- $2K
Who resolves this market
- Kalshi resolves via:
- Kalshi (CFTC-regulated exchange), source: Sky Sports, The Athletic, BBC Sport
How the odds have moved
The top 3 outcomes on both venues, with the consensus between them. Hover for exact values.
- Casemiro
- Robert Lewandowski
- Neymar
Order books
Each venue’s resting orders for the selected outcome’s Yes contract, side by side. Top of book streams live; depth refreshes every 15 seconds.
What your stake buys
Enter a stake to see where it buys the most after fees, using each venue’s live order book.
$
Buy
Loading both order books…
Buys at the asks resting now (taker orders), cheapest after fees first, from order-book snapshots up to 15 seconds old. Fees: Kalshi 0.07 × price × (1 − price) per share, rounded up to the cent; Polymarket 0.05 × price × (1 − price) per share (sports rate). Fee calculator. Estimates only, not advice.
About this market
Final prediction market prices for "MLS: Players to Join". Casemiro last traded at 92%. Next is Robert Lewandowski at 80%. $18K has traded across 16 outcomes on Kalshi. The market closed on Sep 10, 2026.
Questions
What does the consensus price mean?
It is the price of a Yes contract that pays $1 if the outcome happens. A 14¢ price means traders put the chance near 14%. Where two venues list the same outcome, we blend their last prices, weighting the venue with more trading volume more heavily (neither counts for less than a quarter). When only one outcome can win, each venue’s prices add up to a little over 100% (its margin); the fair chance removes that margin so the outcomes add up to exactly 100%.
How is the payout worked out?
A Yes contract pays $1 if it wins, so at the best ask a $100 stake buys 100 ÷ ask contracts. At 18¢ that is about 555 contracts, paying $556 (5.56x) if Yes happens. Venue fees and price slippage on larger orders are not included.
Why do the venues show different prices?
Each venue has its own traders, fees and order book. Contracts can also settle on slightly different terms, which is why each row lists how closely the rules match.
Is a price gap an arbitrage?
Only when you can buy Yes on one venue below what someone pays for Yes on the other, after fees, and both contracts settle the same way. We show the executable bid and ask so you can check.
How fresh are these prices?
Venue prices refresh every few minutes, and the order book and live quotes stream continuously. Each venue’s card shows when we last observed it.
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