The Prediction Markets

Mobis Phoebus vs. Seoul Thunders

LiveKickoff In play now; prices move fast
Traded
$36K
Venues
Polymarket, Kalshi
Prices updated
just now
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What the markets expect

Seoul Thunders (-3.5) 79%

Next is Samsung Thunders at 76%. The venues list this event, but none of their outcomes are matched yet, so prices are shown separately.

Odds by venue

Consensus blends each venue’s last price, weighted by how much has traded there. Best Yes price is the cheapest ask across venues, and the payout is what a winning $100 stake returns before fees. Open a row for each venue’s contract name, bid and ask, and how closely their rules match.

Prices come from our regular polls of each venue. Ages are as of when this page was built.

  • Polymarket
  • Kalshi
Seoul Thunders (-3.5)
79%
Polymarket 79%polled, 35s ago
Polymarket
Contract
Seoul Thunders (-3.5)
Last price
79%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
—
Sell Yes
58¢
Volume
$910
Trade this on Polymarket
Samsung Thunders
76%
Kalshi 76%polled, 35s agoBest Yes 83¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $120 (1.20x)
Kalshi
Contract
Samsung Thunders
Last price
76%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
83¢
Sell Yes
76¢
$100 on Yes pays
$120 (1.20x)
Volume
$14K
Trade this on Kalshi
O/U 169.5
50%
Polymarket 50%polled, 35s ago
Polymarket
Contract
O/U 169.5
Last price
50%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
—
Sell Yes
—
Volume
$1K
Trade this on Polymarket
Mobis Phoebus vs. Seoul Thunders
26.5%
Polymarket 26.5%polled, 35s agoBest Yes 28¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $357 (3.57x)
Polymarket
Contract
Mobis Phoebus vs. Seoul Thunders
Last price
26.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
28¢
Sell Yes
25¢
$100 on Yes pays
$357 (3.57x)
Volume
$1K
Trade this on Polymarket
Mobis Phoebus
22%
Kalshi 22%polled, 35s agoBest Yes 22¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $455 (4.55x)
Kalshi
Contract
Mobis Phoebus
Last price
22%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
22¢
Sell Yes
19¢
$100 on Yes pays
$455 (4.55x)
Volume
$18K
Trade this on Kalshi

Who resolves this market

Polymarket
Polymarket resolves via:
UMA optimistic oracle, source: kbl.or.kr
Kalshi
Kalshi resolves via:
Kalshi (CFTC-regulated exchange), source: Flashscore, Sofascore

How the odds have moved

The top 3 outcomes on both venues, with the consensus between them. Hover for exact values.

  • Seoul Thunders (-3.5)
  • Samsung Thunders
  • O/U 169.5

Order books

Each venue’s resting orders for the selected outcome’s Yes contract, side by side. Top of book streams live; depth refreshes every 15 seconds.

Top of book

Connecting
Best bid
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Spread
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Best ask
—

Waiting for the first live quote…

Depth · top 8 levels

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Recent trades

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Kalshi

Kalshi doesn’t list Seoul Thunders (-3.5) for this event.

What your stake buys

Enter a stake to see where it buys the most after fees, using each venue’s live order book.

$
Buy

Loading both order books…

Buys at the asks resting now (taker orders), cheapest after fees first, from order-book snapshots up to 15 seconds old. Fees: Kalshi 0.07 × price × (1 − price) per share, rounded up to the cent; Polymarket 0.05 × price × (1 − price) per share (sports rate). Fee calculator. Estimates only, not advice.

About this market

Live prediction market odds for "Mobis Phoebus vs. Seoul Thunders". Seoul Thunders (-3.5) leads at 79%. Next is Samsung Thunders at 76%. $36K has traded across 5 outcomes on Kalshi and Polymarket. The market is expected to resolve by Oct 24, 2026.

In the upcoming KBL game, scheduled for October 24 at 3:30AM ET: If the Mobis Phoebus win, the market will resolve to "Mobis Phoebus". If the Seoul Thunders win, the market will resolve to "Seoul Thunders". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. The result will be determined based on the final score including any overtime periods.

Questions

What does the consensus price mean?

It is the price of a Yes contract that pays $1 if the outcome happens. A 14¢ price means traders put the chance near 14%. Where two venues list the same outcome, we blend their last prices, weighting the venue with more trading volume more heavily (neither counts for less than a quarter). When only one outcome can win, each venue’s prices add up to a little over 100% (its margin); the fair chance removes that margin so the outcomes add up to exactly 100%.

How is the payout worked out?

A Yes contract pays $1 if it wins, so at the best ask a $100 stake buys 100 ÷ ask contracts. At 18¢ that is about 555 contracts, paying $556 (5.56x) if Yes happens. Venue fees and price slippage on larger orders are not included.

Why do the venues show different prices?

Each venue has its own traders, fees and order book. Contracts can also settle on slightly different terms, which is why each row lists how closely the rules match.

Is a price gap an arbitrage?

Only when you can buy Yes on one venue below what someone pays for Yes on the other, after fees, and both contracts settle the same way. We show the executable bid and ask so you can check.

How fresh are these prices?

Venue prices refresh every few minutes, and the order book and live quotes stream continuously. Each venue’s card shows when we last observed it.

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