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What the markets expect
Montreal Alouettes wins by over 3.5 points 46%
Next is Montreal Alouettes wins by over 6.5 points at 34.5%. Only Kalshi lists this market, so there is no second price to compare.
Odds by venue
Consensus blends each venue’s last price, weighted by how much has traded there. Best Yes price is the cheapest ask across venues, and the payout is what a winning $100 stake returns before fees. Open a row for each venue’s contract name, bid and ask, and how closely their rules match.
Prices come from our regular polls of each venue, the oldest 4 min ago. Ages are as of when this page was built.
- Kalshi
Outcome
Consensus
Venue prices on a 0–100% scale
Kalshi
Best Yes price
Montreal Alouettes wins by over 3.5 points46%46%45¢ bid, 46¢ askpolled, 4 min ago46¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $217 (2.17x)Montreal Alouettes wins by over 3.5 points46%Kalshi 46%polled, 4 min agoBest Yes 46¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $217 (2.17x)
Montreal Alouettes wins by over 3.5 points
46%
46%
45¢ bid, 46¢ ask
polled, 4 min ago
46¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $217 (2.17x)
Montreal Alouettes wins by over 3.5 points
46%
Kalshi 46%polled, 4 min agoBest Yes 46¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $217 (2.17x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Montreal Alouettes wins by over 3.5 points
- Last price
- 46%
- As of
- Polled 4 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 46¢
- Sell Yes
- 45¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $217 (2.17x)
- Volume
- $4K
Montreal Alouettes wins by over 6.5 points34.5%34.5%31¢ bid, 38¢ askpolled, 4 min ago38¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $263 (2.63x)Montreal Alouettes wins by over 6.5 points34.5%Kalshi 34.5%polled, 4 min agoBest Yes 38¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $263 (2.63x)
Montreal Alouettes wins by over 6.5 points
34.5%
34.5%
31¢ bid, 38¢ ask
polled, 4 min ago
38¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $263 (2.63x)
Montreal Alouettes wins by over 6.5 points
34.5%
Kalshi 34.5%polled, 4 min agoBest Yes 38¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $263 (2.63x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Montreal Alouettes wins by over 6.5 points
- Last price
- 34.5%
- As of
- Polled 4 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 38¢
- Sell Yes
- 31¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $263 (2.63x)
Montreal Alouettes wins by over 7.5 points30.5%30.5%27¢ bid, 34¢ askpolled, 4 min ago34¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $294 (2.94x)Montreal Alouettes wins by over 7.5 points30.5%Kalshi 30.5%polled, 4 min agoBest Yes 34¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $294 (2.94x)
Montreal Alouettes wins by over 7.5 points
30.5%
30.5%
27¢ bid, 34¢ ask
polled, 4 min ago
34¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $294 (2.94x)
Montreal Alouettes wins by over 7.5 points
30.5%
Kalshi 30.5%polled, 4 min agoBest Yes 34¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $294 (2.94x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Montreal Alouettes wins by over 7.5 points
- Last price
- 30.5%
- As of
- Polled 4 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 34¢
- Sell Yes
- 27¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $294 (2.94x)
Toronto Argonauts wins by over 3.5 points30%30%26¢ bid, 34¢ askpolled, 4 min ago34¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $294 (2.94x)Toronto Argonauts wins by over 3.5 points30%Kalshi 30%polled, 4 min agoBest Yes 34¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $294 (2.94x)
Toronto Argonauts wins by over 3.5 points
30%
30%
26¢ bid, 34¢ ask
polled, 4 min ago
34¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $294 (2.94x)
Toronto Argonauts wins by over 3.5 points
30%
Kalshi 30%polled, 4 min agoBest Yes 34¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $294 (2.94x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Toronto Argonauts wins by over 3.5 points
- Last price
- 30%
- As of
- Polled 4 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 34¢
- Sell Yes
- 26¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $294 (2.94x)
Toronto Argonauts wins by over 6.5 points24%24%20¢ bid, 28¢ askpolled, 4 min ago28¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $357 (3.57x)Toronto Argonauts wins by over 6.5 points24%Kalshi 24%polled, 4 min agoBest Yes 28¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $357 (3.57x)
Toronto Argonauts wins by over 6.5 points
24%
24%
20¢ bid, 28¢ ask
polled, 4 min ago
28¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $357 (3.57x)
Toronto Argonauts wins by over 6.5 points
24%
Kalshi 24%polled, 4 min agoBest Yes 28¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $357 (3.57x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Toronto Argonauts wins by over 6.5 points
- Last price
- 24%
- As of
- Polled 4 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 28¢
- Sell Yes
- 20¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $357 (3.57x)
Toronto Argonauts wins by over 7.5 points21%21%17¢ bid, 25¢ askpolled, 4 min ago25¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $400 (4.00x)Toronto Argonauts wins by over 7.5 points21%Kalshi 21%polled, 4 min agoBest Yes 25¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $400 (4.00x)
Toronto Argonauts wins by over 7.5 points
21%
21%
17¢ bid, 25¢ ask
polled, 4 min ago
25¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $400 (4.00x)
Toronto Argonauts wins by over 7.5 points
21%
Kalshi 21%polled, 4 min agoBest Yes 25¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $400 (4.00x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Toronto Argonauts wins by over 7.5 points
- Last price
- 21%
- As of
- Polled 4 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 25¢
- Sell Yes
- 17¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $400 (4.00x)
Montreal Alouettes wins by over 13.5 points20%20%18¢ bid, 22¢ askpolled, 4 min ago22¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $455 (4.55x)Montreal Alouettes wins by over 13.5 points20%Kalshi 20%polled, 4 min agoBest Yes 22¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $455 (4.55x)
Montreal Alouettes wins by over 13.5 points
20%
20%
18¢ bid, 22¢ ask
polled, 4 min ago
22¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $455 (4.55x)
Montreal Alouettes wins by over 13.5 points
20%
Kalshi 20%polled, 4 min agoBest Yes 22¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $455 (4.55x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Montreal Alouettes wins by over 13.5 points
- Last price
- 20%
- As of
- Polled 4 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 22¢
- Sell Yes
- 18¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $455 (4.55x)
Toronto Argonauts wins by over 13.5 points13%13%9¢ bid, 17¢ askpolled, 4 min ago17¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $588 (5.88x)Toronto Argonauts wins by over 13.5 points13%Kalshi 13%polled, 4 min agoBest Yes 17¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $588 (5.88x)
Toronto Argonauts wins by over 13.5 points
13%
13%
9¢ bid, 17¢ ask
polled, 4 min ago
17¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $588 (5.88x)
Toronto Argonauts wins by over 13.5 points
13%
Kalshi 13%polled, 4 min agoBest Yes 17¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $588 (5.88x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Toronto Argonauts wins by over 13.5 points
- Last price
- 13%
- As of
- Polled 4 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 17¢
- Sell Yes
- 9¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $588 (5.88x)
Montreal Alouettes wins by over 20.5 points8.5%8.5%5¢ bid, 12¢ askpolled, 4 min ago12¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $833 (8.33x)Montreal Alouettes wins by over 20.5 points8.5%Kalshi 8.5%polled, 4 min agoBest Yes 12¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $833 (8.33x)
Montreal Alouettes wins by over 20.5 points
8.5%
8.5%
5¢ bid, 12¢ ask
polled, 4 min ago
12¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $833 (8.33x)
Montreal Alouettes wins by over 20.5 points
8.5%
Kalshi 8.5%polled, 4 min agoBest Yes 12¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $833 (8.33x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Montreal Alouettes wins by over 20.5 points
- Last price
- 8.5%
- As of
- Polled 4 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 12¢
- Sell Yes
- 5¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $833 (8.33x)
Toronto Argonauts wins by over 20.5 points6%6%3¢ bid, 9¢ askpolled, 4 min ago9¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $1,111 (11.1x)Toronto Argonauts wins by over 20.5 points6%Kalshi 6%polled, 4 min agoBest Yes 9¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,111 (11.1x)
Toronto Argonauts wins by over 20.5 points
6%
6%
3¢ bid, 9¢ ask
polled, 4 min ago
9¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $1,111 (11.1x)
Toronto Argonauts wins by over 20.5 points
6%
Kalshi 6%polled, 4 min agoBest Yes 9¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,111 (11.1x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Toronto Argonauts wins by over 20.5 points
- Last price
- 6%
- As of
- Polled 4 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 9¢
- Sell Yes
- 3¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,111 (11.1x)
Who resolves this market
How the odds have moved
The top 3 outcomes on both venues, with the consensus between them. Hover for exact values.
- Montreal Alouettes wins by over 3.5 points
- Montreal Alouettes wins by over 6.5 points
- Montreal Alouettes wins by over 7.5 points
Order books
Each venue’s resting orders for the selected outcome’s Yes contract, side by side. Top of book streams live; depth refreshes every 15 seconds.
What your stake buys
Enter a stake to see where it buys the most after fees, using each venue’s live order book.
$
Buy
Loading both order books…
Buys at the asks resting now (taker orders), cheapest after fees first, from order-book snapshots up to 15 seconds old. Fees: Kalshi 0.07 × price × (1 − price) per share, rounded up to the cent; Polymarket 0.05 × price × (1 − price) per share (sports rate). Fee calculator. Estimates only, not advice.
About this market
Live prediction market odds for "Montreal Alouettes vs Toronto Argonauts: Spread". Montreal Alouettes wins by over 3.5 points leads at 46%. Next is Montreal Alouettes wins by over 6.5 points at 34.5%. $4K has traded across 10 outcomes on Kalshi. The market is expected to resolve by Oct 30, 2026.
Questions
What does the consensus price mean?
It is the price of a Yes contract that pays $1 if the outcome happens. A 14¢ price means traders put the chance near 14%. Where two venues list the same outcome, we blend their last prices, weighting the venue with more trading volume more heavily (neither counts for less than a quarter). When only one outcome can win, each venue’s prices add up to a little over 100% (its margin); the fair chance removes that margin so the outcomes add up to exactly 100%.
How is the payout worked out?
A Yes contract pays $1 if it wins, so at the best ask a $100 stake buys 100 ÷ ask contracts. At 18¢ that is about 555 contracts, paying $556 (5.56x) if Yes happens. Venue fees and price slippage on larger orders are not included.
Why do the venues show different prices?
Each venue has its own traders, fees and order book. Contracts can also settle on slightly different terms, which is why each row lists how closely the rules match.
Is a price gap an arbitrage?
Only when you can buy Yes on one venue below what someone pays for Yes on the other, after fees, and both contracts settle the same way. We show the executable bid and ask so you can check.
How fresh are these prices?
Venue prices refresh every few minutes, and the order book and live quotes stream continuously. Each venue’s card shows when we last observed it.
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