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Best ask
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What the markets expect
Aprilia Racing 99%
Next is Marc Marquez at 77%. The venues list this event, but none of their outcomes are matched yet, so prices are shown separately.
Odds by venue
Consensus blends each venue’s last price, weighted by how much has traded there. Best Yes price is the cheapest ask across venues, and the payout is what a winning $100 stake returns before fees. Open a row for each venue’s contract name, bid and ask, and how closely their rules match.
Prices come from our regular polls of each venue, the oldest 18 min ago. Ages are as of when this page was built.
- Polymarket
- Kalshi
Outcome
Consensus
Venue prices on a 0–100% scale
Polymarket
Kalshi
Best Yes price
Aprilia Racing99%Not listed99%94¢ bid, 99¢ askpolled, 18 min ago99¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $101 (1.01x)Aprilia Racing99%Kalshi 99%polled, 18 min agoBest Yes 99¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $101 (1.01x)
Aprilia Racing
99%
Not listed
99%
94¢ bid, 99¢ ask
polled, 18 min ago
99¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $101 (1.01x)
Aprilia Racing
99%
Kalshi 99%polled, 18 min agoBest Yes 99¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $101 (1.01x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Aprilia Racing
- Last price
- 99%
- As of
- Polled 18 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 99¢
- Sell Yes
- 94¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $101 (1.01x)
- Volume
- $9K
Marc Marquez77%77%74¢ bid, 80¢ askpolled, 18 min agoNot listed80¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $125 (1.25x)Marc Marquez77%Polymarket 77%polled, 18 min agoBest Yes 80¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $125 (1.25x)
Marc Marquez
77%
77%
74¢ bid, 80¢ ask
polled, 18 min ago
Not listed
80¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $125 (1.25x)
Marc Marquez
77%
Polymarket 77%polled, 18 min agoBest Yes 80¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $125 (1.25x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Marc Marquez
- Last price
- 77%
- As of
- Polled 18 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 80¢
- Sell Yes
- 74¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $125 (1.25x)
- Volume
- $7K
Jorge Martin21.5%21.5%20¢ bid, 23¢ askpolled, 18 min agoNot listed23¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $435 (4.35x)Jorge Martin21.5%Polymarket 21.5%polled, 18 min agoBest Yes 23¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $435 (4.35x)
Jorge Martin
21.5%
21.5%
20¢ bid, 23¢ ask
polled, 18 min ago
Not listed
23¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $435 (4.35x)
Jorge Martin
21.5%
Polymarket 21.5%polled, 18 min agoBest Yes 23¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $435 (4.35x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Jorge Martin
- Last price
- 21.5%
- As of
- Polled 18 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 23¢
- Sell Yes
- 20¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $435 (4.35x)
- Volume
- $6K
Marco Bezzecchi3.2%3.2%0.9¢ bid, 5.5¢ askpolled, 18 min agoNot listed5.5¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $1,818 (18.2x)Marco Bezzecchi3.2%Polymarket 3.2%polled, 18 min agoBest Yes 5.5¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,818 (18.2x)
Marco Bezzecchi
3.2%
3.2%
0.9¢ bid, 5.5¢ ask
polled, 18 min ago
Not listed
5.5¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $1,818 (18.2x)
Marco Bezzecchi
3.2%
Polymarket 3.2%polled, 18 min agoBest Yes 5.5¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,818 (18.2x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Marco Bezzecchi
- Last price
- 3.2%
- As of
- Polled 18 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 5.5¢
- Sell Yes
- 0.9¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,818 (18.2x)
- Volume
- $3K
BK8 Gresini Racing MotoGP2%Not listed2%— bid, 2¢ askpolled, 18 min ago2¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)BK8 Gresini Racing MotoGP2%Kalshi 2%polled, 18 min agoBest Yes 2¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
BK8 Gresini Racing MotoGP
2%
Not listed
2%
— bid, 2¢ ask
polled, 18 min ago
2¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
BK8 Gresini Racing MotoGP
2%
Kalshi 2%polled, 18 min agoBest Yes 2¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- BK8 Gresini Racing MotoGP
- Last price
- 2%
- As of
- Polled 18 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 2¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $5,000 (50.0x)
- Volume
- $97
Ducati Lenovo Team2%Not listed2%— bid, 6¢ askpolled, 18 min ago6¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $1,667 (16.7x)Ducati Lenovo Team2%Kalshi 2%polled, 18 min agoBest Yes 6¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,667 (16.7x)
Ducati Lenovo Team
2%
Not listed
2%
— bid, 6¢ ask
polled, 18 min ago
6¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $1,667 (16.7x)
Ducati Lenovo Team
2%
Kalshi 2%polled, 18 min agoBest Yes 6¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,667 (16.7x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Ducati Lenovo Team
- Last price
- 2%
- As of
- Polled 18 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 6¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,667 (16.7x)
- Volume
- $4K
Monster Energy Yamaha MotoGP2%Not listed2%— bid, 2¢ askpolled, 18 min ago2¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)Monster Energy Yamaha MotoGP2%Kalshi 2%polled, 18 min agoBest Yes 2¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Monster Energy Yamaha MotoGP
2%
Not listed
2%
— bid, 2¢ ask
polled, 18 min ago
2¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Monster Energy Yamaha MotoGP
2%
Kalshi 2%polled, 18 min agoBest Yes 2¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Monster Energy Yamaha MotoGP
- Last price
- 2%
- As of
- Polled 18 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 2¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $5,000 (50.0x)
- Volume
- $83
Pertamina Enduro VR46 Racing Team2%Not listed2%— bid, 2¢ askpolled, 18 min ago2¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)Pertamina Enduro VR46 Racing Team2%Kalshi 2%polled, 18 min agoBest Yes 2¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Pertamina Enduro VR46 Racing Team
2%
Not listed
2%
— bid, 2¢ ask
polled, 18 min ago
2¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Pertamina Enduro VR46 Racing Team
2%
Kalshi 2%polled, 18 min agoBest Yes 2¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Pertamina Enduro VR46 Racing Team
- Last price
- 2%
- As of
- Polled 18 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 2¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $5,000 (50.0x)
- Volume
- $721
Red Bull KTM Factory Racing2%Not listed2%— bid, 2¢ askpolled, 18 min ago2¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)Red Bull KTM Factory Racing2%Kalshi 2%polled, 18 min agoBest Yes 2¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Red Bull KTM Factory Racing
2%
Not listed
2%
— bid, 2¢ ask
polled, 18 min ago
2¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Red Bull KTM Factory Racing
2%
Kalshi 2%polled, 18 min agoBest Yes 2¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Red Bull KTM Factory Racing
- Last price
- 2%
- As of
- Polled 18 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 2¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $5,000 (50.0x)
- Volume
- $166
Red Bull KTM Factory RacingKalshi: “Red Bull KTM Tech3”2%Not listed2%— bid, 2¢ askpolled, 18 min ago2¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)Red Bull KTM Factory Racing2%Kalshi 2%polled, 18 min agoBest Yes 2¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Red Bull KTM Factory Racing
Kalshi: “Red Bull KTM Tech3”
2%
Not listed
2%
— bid, 2¢ ask
polled, 18 min ago
2¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Red Bull KTM Factory Racing
2%
Kalshi 2%polled, 18 min agoBest Yes 2¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Red Bull KTM Tech3
- Last price
- 2%
- As of
- Polled 18 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 2¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $5,000 (50.0x)
- Volume
- $286
Show 9 more outcomesHide 9 outcomes
Honda HRC Castrol1%Not listed1%— bid, 2¢ askpolled, 18 min ago2¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)Honda HRC Castrol1%Kalshi 1%polled, 18 min agoBest Yes 2¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Honda HRC Castrol
1%
Not listed
1%
— bid, 2¢ ask
polled, 18 min ago
2¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Honda HRC Castrol
1%
Kalshi 1%polled, 18 min agoBest Yes 2¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Honda HRC Castrol
- Last price
- 1%
- As of
- Polled 18 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 2¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $5,000 (50.0x)
- Volume
- $50
LCR Honda1%Not listed1%— bid, 2¢ askpolled, 18 min ago2¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)LCR Honda1%Kalshi 1%polled, 18 min agoBest Yes 2¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
LCR Honda
1%
Not listed
1%
— bid, 2¢ ask
polled, 18 min ago
2¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
LCR Honda
1%
Kalshi 1%polled, 18 min agoBest Yes 2¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- LCR Honda
- Last price
- 1%
- As of
- Polled 18 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 2¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $5,000 (50.0x)
- Volume
- $50
Prima Pramac Yamaha MotoGP1%Not listed1%— bid, 2¢ askpolled, 18 min ago2¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)Prima Pramac Yamaha MotoGP1%Kalshi 1%polled, 18 min agoBest Yes 2¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Prima Pramac Yamaha MotoGP
1%
Not listed
1%
— bid, 2¢ ask
polled, 18 min ago
2¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Prima Pramac Yamaha MotoGP
1%
Kalshi 1%polled, 18 min agoBest Yes 2¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Prima Pramac Yamaha MotoGP
- Last price
- 1%
- As of
- Polled 18 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 2¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $5,000 (50.0x)
- Volume
- $50
Trackhouse Racing1%Not listed1%— bid, 5¢ askpolled, 18 min ago5¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)Trackhouse Racing1%Kalshi 1%polled, 18 min agoBest Yes 5¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)
Trackhouse Racing
1%
Not listed
1%
— bid, 5¢ ask
polled, 18 min ago
5¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)
Trackhouse Racing
1%
Kalshi 1%polled, 18 min agoBest Yes 5¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Trackhouse Racing
- Last price
- 1%
- As of
- Polled 18 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 5¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $2,000 (20.0x)
- Volume
- $5K
Fabio Di Giannantonio0.2%0.2%0.1¢ bid, 0.2¢ askpolled, 18 min agoNot listed0.2¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $50,000 (500x)Fabio Di Giannantonio0.2%Polymarket 0.2%polled, 18 min agoBest Yes 0.2¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $50,000 (500x)
Fabio Di Giannantonio
0.2%
0.2%
0.1¢ bid, 0.2¢ ask
polled, 18 min ago
Not listed
0.2¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $50,000 (500x)
Fabio Di Giannantonio
0.2%
Polymarket 0.2%polled, 18 min agoBest Yes 0.2¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $50,000 (500x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Fabio Di Giannantonio
- Last price
- 0.2%
- As of
- Polled 18 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 0.2¢
- Sell Yes
- 0.1¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $50,000 (500x)
- Volume
- $2K
Ai Ogura0.1%0.1%— bid, 0.1¢ askpolled, 18 min agoNot listed0.1¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $100,000 (1000x)Ai Ogura0.1%Polymarket 0.1%polled, 18 min agoBest Yes 0.1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $100,000 (1000x)
Ai Ogura
0.1%
0.1%
— bid, 0.1¢ ask
polled, 18 min ago
Not listed
0.1¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $100,000 (1000x)
Ai Ogura
0.1%
Polymarket 0.1%polled, 18 min agoBest Yes 0.1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $100,000 (1000x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Ai Ogura
- Last price
- 0.1%
- As of
- Polled 18 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 0.1¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $100,000 (1000x)
- Volume
- $800
Alex Marquez0.1%0.1%— bid, 0.1¢ askpolled, 18 min agoNot listed0.1¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $100,000 (1000x)Alex Marquez0.1%Polymarket 0.1%polled, 18 min agoBest Yes 0.1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $100,000 (1000x)
Alex Marquez
0.1%
0.1%
— bid, 0.1¢ ask
polled, 18 min ago
Not listed
0.1¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $100,000 (1000x)
Alex Marquez
0.1%
Polymarket 0.1%polled, 18 min agoBest Yes 0.1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $100,000 (1000x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Alex Marquez
- Last price
- 0.1%
- As of
- Polled 18 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 0.1¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $100,000 (1000x)
- Volume
- $294
Pedro Acosta0.1%0.1%— bid, 0.1¢ askpolled, 18 min agoNot listed0.1¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $100,000 (1000x)Pedro Acosta0.1%Polymarket 0.1%polled, 18 min agoBest Yes 0.1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $100,000 (1000x)
Pedro Acosta
0.1%
0.1%
— bid, 0.1¢ ask
polled, 18 min ago
Not listed
0.1¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $100,000 (1000x)
Pedro Acosta
0.1%
Polymarket 0.1%polled, 18 min agoBest Yes 0.1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $100,000 (1000x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Pedro Acosta
- Last price
- 0.1%
- As of
- Polled 18 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 0.1¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $100,000 (1000x)
- Volume
- $193
Raul Fernandez0.1%0.1%— bid, 0.1¢ askpolled, 18 min agoNot listed0.1¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $100,000 (1000x)Raul Fernandez0.1%Polymarket 0.1%polled, 18 min agoBest Yes 0.1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $100,000 (1000x)
Raul Fernandez
0.1%
0.1%
— bid, 0.1¢ ask
polled, 18 min ago
Not listed
0.1¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $100,000 (1000x)
Raul Fernandez
0.1%
Polymarket 0.1%polled, 18 min agoBest Yes 0.1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $100,000 (1000x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Raul Fernandez
- Last price
- 0.1%
- As of
- Polled 18 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 0.1¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $100,000 (1000x)
- Volume
- $371
Who resolves this market
- Polymarket resolves via:
- UMA optimistic oracle, source: motogp.com
- Kalshi resolves via:
- Kalshi (CFTC-regulated exchange), source: MotoGP, ESPN, Fox Sports
How the odds have moved
The top 3 outcomes on both venues, with the consensus between them. Hover for exact values.
- Aprilia Racing
- Marc Marquez
- Jorge Martin
Order books
Each venue’s resting orders for the selected outcome’s Yes contract, side by side. Top of book streams live; depth refreshes every 15 seconds.
Polymarket
Polymarket doesn’t list Aprilia Racing for this event.
What your stake buys
Enter a stake to see where it buys the most after fees, using each venue’s live order book.
$
Buy
Loading both order books…
Buys at the asks resting now (taker orders), cheapest after fees first, from order-book snapshots up to 15 seconds old. Fees: Kalshi 0.07 × price × (1 − price) per share, rounded up to the cent; Polymarket 0.05 × price × (1 − price) per share (sports rate). Fee calculator. Estimates only, not advice.
About this market
Live prediction market odds for "MotoGP Teams' World Champion". Aprilia Racing leads at 99%. Next is Marc Marquez at 77%. $46K has traded across 19 outcomes on Polymarket and Kalshi. The market is expected to resolve by Dec 14, 2026.
Questions
What does the consensus price mean?
It is the price of a Yes contract that pays $1 if the outcome happens. A 14¢ price means traders put the chance near 14%. Where two venues list the same outcome, we blend their last prices, weighting the venue with more trading volume more heavily (neither counts for less than a quarter). When only one outcome can win, each venue’s prices add up to a little over 100% (its margin); the fair chance removes that margin so the outcomes add up to exactly 100%.
How is the payout worked out?
A Yes contract pays $1 if it wins, so at the best ask a $100 stake buys 100 ÷ ask contracts. At 18¢ that is about 555 contracts, paying $556 (5.56x) if Yes happens. Venue fees and price slippage on larger orders are not included.
Why do the venues show different prices?
Each venue has its own traders, fees and order book. Contracts can also settle on slightly different terms, which is why each row lists how closely the rules match.
Is a price gap an arbitrage?
Only when you can buy Yes on one venue below what someone pays for Yes on the other, after fees, and both contracts settle the same way. We show the executable bid and ask so you can check.
How fresh are these prices?
Venue prices refresh every few minutes, and the order book and live quotes stream continuously. Each venue’s card shows when we last observed it.
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