The Prediction Markets

Murray St. vs South Dakota St.: Spread

Starts in 2 h 4 minKickoff
Traded
$16K
Venues
Polymarket, Kalshi
Prices updated
just now
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What the markets expect

South Dakota St. wins by over 40.5 points 83.5%

Next is South Dakota St. wins by over 40.5 points at 82.5%. The venues list this event, but none of their outcomes are matched yet, so prices are shown separately.

Odds by venue

Consensus blends each venue’s last price, weighted by how much has traded there. Best Yes price is the cheapest ask across venues, and the payout is what a winning $100 stake returns before fees. Open a row for each venue’s contract name, bid and ask, and how closely their rules match.

Prices come from our regular polls of each venue. Ages are as of when this page was built.

  • Polymarket
  • Kalshi
South Dakota St. wins by over 40.5 points
83.5%
Kalshi 83.5%polled, 43s agoBest Yes 98¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $102 (1.02x)
Kalshi
Contract
South Dakota St. wins by over 16.5 points
Last price
83.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
98¢
Sell Yes
69¢
$100 on Yes pays
$102 (1.02x)
Trade this on Kalshi
South Dakota St. wins by over 40.5 points
82.5%
Kalshi 82.5%polled, 43s agoBest Yes 98¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $102 (1.02x)
Kalshi
Contract
South Dakota St. wins by over 20.5 points
Last price
82.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
98¢
Sell Yes
67¢
$100 on Yes pays
$102 (1.02x)
Trade this on Kalshi
South Dakota St. wins by over 40.5 points
80%
Kalshi 80%polled, 43s agoBest Yes 98¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $102 (1.02x)
Kalshi
Contract
South Dakota St. wins by over 24.5 points
Last price
80%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
98¢
Sell Yes
62¢
$100 on Yes pays
$102 (1.02x)
Trade this on Kalshi
South Dakota St. wins by over 40.5 points
78%
Kalshi 78%polled, 43s agoBest Yes 98¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $102 (1.02x)
Kalshi
Contract
South Dakota St. wins by over 28.5 points
Last price
78%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
98¢
Sell Yes
58¢
$100 on Yes pays
$102 (1.02x)
Trade this on Kalshi
South Dakota St. wins by over 40.5 points
76%
Kalshi 76%polled, 43s agoBest Yes 76¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $132 (1.32x)
Kalshi
Contract
South Dakota St. wins by over 32.5 points
Last price
76%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
76¢
Sell Yes
67¢
$100 on Yes pays
$132 (1.32x)
Volume
$1
Trade this on Kalshi
South Dakota St. wins by over 40.5 points
60%
Kalshi 60%polled, 43s agoBest Yes 66¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $152 (1.52x)
Kalshi
Contract
South Dakota St. wins by over 36.5 points
Last price
60%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
66¢
Sell Yes
60¢
$100 on Yes pays
$152 (1.52x)
Volume
$16
Trade this on Kalshi
O/U 55.5
57.3%
Polymarket 55%polled, 43s agoPolymarket 59.5%polled, 43s agoBest Yes 58¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $172 (1.72x)
Polymarket
Contract
O/U 55.5
Last price
55%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
58¢
Sell Yes
52¢
$100 on Yes pays
$172 (1.72x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Polymarket
Contract
O/U 55.5
Last price
59.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
77¢
Sell Yes
42¢
$100 on Yes pays
$130 (1.30x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Spread: South Dakota (-1.5)
54.5%
Polymarket 54.5%polled, 43s agoBest Yes 63¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $159 (1.59x)
Polymarket
Contract
Spread: South Dakota (-1.5)
Last price
54.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
63¢
Sell Yes
46¢
$100 on Yes pays
$159 (1.59x)
Trade this on Polymarket
O/U 53.5
54.3%
Polymarket 50.5%polled, 43s agoPolymarket 58%polled, 43s agoBest Yes 74¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $135 (1.35x)
Polymarket
Contract
O/U 53.5
Last price
50.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
99¢
Sell Yes
2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$101 (1.01x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Polymarket
Contract
O/U 53.5
Last price
58%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
74¢
Sell Yes
42¢
$100 on Yes pays
$135 (1.35x)
Trade this on Polymarket
South Dakota St. wins by over 40.5 points
53%
Kalshi 53%polled, 43s agoBest Yes 57¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $175 (1.75x)
Kalshi
Contract
South Dakota St. wins by over 40.5 points
Last price
53%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
57¢
Sell Yes
53¢
$100 on Yes pays
$175 (1.75x)
Volume
$11K
Trade this on Kalshi
Show 37 more outcomes
O/U 49.5
50.2%
Polymarket 50.5%polled, 43s agoPolymarket 50%polled, 43s agoBest Yes 99¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $101 (1.01x)
Polymarket
Contract
O/U 49.5
Last price
50.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
99¢
Sell Yes
2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$101 (1.01x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Polymarket
Contract
O/U 49.5
Last price
50%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
99¢
Sell Yes
1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$101 (1.01x)
Trade this on Polymarket
O/U 51.5
50.2%
Polymarket 50.5%polled, 43s agoPolymarket 50%polled, 43s agoBest Yes 99¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $101 (1.01x)
Polymarket
Contract
O/U 51.5
Last price
50.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
99¢
Sell Yes
2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$101 (1.01x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Polymarket
Contract
O/U 51.5
Last price
50%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
99¢
Sell Yes
1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$101 (1.01x)
Trade this on Polymarket
2H Moneyline
50%
Polymarket 50%polled, 43s agoPolymarket 50%polled, 43s ago
Polymarket
Contract
2H Moneyline
Last price
50%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
—
Sell Yes
—
Trade this on Polymarket
Polymarket
Contract
2H Moneyline
Last price
50%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
—
Sell Yes
—
Trade this on Polymarket
Spread: South Dakota State (-1.5)
50%
Polymarket 50%polled, 43s ago
Polymarket
Contract
Spread: South Dakota State (-1.5)
Last price
50%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
—
Sell Yes
—
Trade this on Polymarket
Spread: South Dakota State (-3.5)
50%
Polymarket 50%polled, 43s ago
Polymarket
Contract
Spread: South Dakota State (-3.5)
Last price
50%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
—
Sell Yes
—
Trade this on Polymarket
Spread: South Dakota State (-5.5)
50%
Polymarket 50%polled, 43s ago
Polymarket
Contract
Spread: South Dakota State (-5.5)
Last price
50%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
—
Sell Yes
—
Trade this on Polymarket
Spread: South Dakota State (-7.5)
50%
Polymarket 50%polled, 43s ago
Polymarket
Contract
Spread: South Dakota State (-7.5)
Last price
50%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
—
Sell Yes
—
Trade this on Polymarket
Spread: South Dakota State (-10.5)
50%
Polymarket 50%polled, 43s ago
Polymarket
Contract
Spread: South Dakota State (-10.5)
Last price
50%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
—
Sell Yes
—
Trade this on Polymarket
Spread: South Dakota State (-14.5)
50%
Polymarket 50%polled, 43s ago
Polymarket
Contract
Spread: South Dakota State (-14.5)
Last price
50%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
—
Sell Yes
—
Trade this on Polymarket
Spread: Murray State (-1.5)
49.5%
Polymarket 49.5%polled, 43s agoBest Yes 99¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $101 (1.01x)
Polymarket
Contract
Spread: Murray State (-1.5)
Last price
49.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
99¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$101 (1.01x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Spread: Murray State (-3.5)
49.5%
Polymarket 49.5%polled, 43s agoBest Yes 99¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $101 (1.01x)
Polymarket
Contract
Spread: Murray State (-3.5)
Last price
49.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
99¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$101 (1.01x)
Volume
$10
Trade this on Polymarket
Spread: Murray State (-7.5)
49.5%
Polymarket 49.5%polled, 43s agoBest Yes 99¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $101 (1.01x)
Polymarket
Contract
Spread: Murray State (-7.5)
Last price
49.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
99¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$101 (1.01x)
Volume
$10
Trade this on Polymarket
Spread: Murray State (-10.5)
49.5%
Polymarket 49.5%polled, 43s agoBest Yes 99¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $101 (1.01x)
Polymarket
Contract
Spread: Murray State (-10.5)
Last price
49.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
99¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$101 (1.01x)
Volume
$10
Trade this on Polymarket
Spread: Murray State (-14.5)
49.5%
Polymarket 49.5%polled, 43s agoBest Yes 99¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $101 (1.01x)
Polymarket
Contract
Spread: Murray State (-14.5)
Last price
49.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
99¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$101 (1.01x)
Volume
$10
Trade this on Polymarket
Spread: North Dakota (-7.5)
49.5%
Polymarket 49.5%polled, 43s agoBest Yes 99¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $101 (1.01x)
Polymarket
Contract
Spread: North Dakota (-7.5)
Last price
49.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
99¢
Sell Yes
1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$101 (1.01x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Spread: North Dakota (-10.5)
49.5%
Polymarket 49.5%polled, 43s agoBest Yes 99¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $101 (1.01x)
Polymarket
Contract
Spread: North Dakota (-10.5)
Last price
49.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
99¢
Sell Yes
7¢
$100 on Yes pays
$101 (1.01x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Spread: North Dakota (-14.5)
49.5%
Polymarket 49.5%polled, 43s agoBest Yes 99¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $101 (1.01x)
Polymarket
Contract
Spread: North Dakota (-14.5)
Last price
49.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
99¢
Sell Yes
1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$101 (1.01x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Spread: Murray State (-5.5)
49%
Polymarket 49%polled, 43s agoBest Yes 98¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $102 (1.02x)
Polymarket
Contract
Spread: Murray State (-5.5)
Last price
49%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
98¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$102 (1.02x)
Volume
$10
Trade this on Polymarket
Spread: North Dakota (-3.5)
49%
Polymarket 49%polled, 43s agoBest Yes 98¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $102 (1.02x)
Polymarket
Contract
Spread: North Dakota (-3.5)
Last price
49%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
98¢
Sell Yes
1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$102 (1.02x)
Trade this on Polymarket
North Dakota vs. South Dakota
45.5%
Polymarket 45.5%polled, 43s agoBest Yes 46¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $217 (2.17x)
Polymarket
Contract
North Dakota vs. South Dakota
Last price
45.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
46¢
Sell Yes
45¢
$100 on Yes pays
$217 (2.17x)
Volume
$2K
Trade this on Polymarket
O/U 59.5
45.3%
Polymarket 49.5%polled, 43s agoPolymarket 41%polled, 43s agoBest Yes 45¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $222 (2.22x)
Polymarket
Contract
O/U 59.5
Last price
49.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
98¢
Sell Yes
1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$102 (1.02x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Polymarket
Contract
O/U 59.5
Last price
41%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
45¢
Sell Yes
37¢
$100 on Yes pays
$222 (2.22x)
Volume
$4
Trade this on Polymarket
Spread: South Dakota (-3.5)
45%
Polymarket 45%polled, 43s agoBest Yes 47¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $213 (2.13x)
Polymarket
Contract
Spread: South Dakota (-3.5)
Last price
45%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
47¢
Sell Yes
43¢
$100 on Yes pays
$213 (2.13x)
Trade this on Polymarket
O/U 61.5
43%
Polymarket 49.5%polled, 43s agoPolymarket 36.5%polled, 43s agoBest Yes 54¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $185 (1.85x)
Polymarket
Contract
O/U 61.5
Last price
49.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
98¢
Sell Yes
1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$102 (1.02x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Polymarket
Contract
O/U 61.5
Last price
36.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
54¢
Sell Yes
19¢
$100 on Yes pays
$185 (1.85x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Spread: North Dakota (-1.5)
42.5%
Polymarket 42.5%polled, 43s agoBest Yes 46¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $217 (2.17x)
Polymarket
Contract
Spread: North Dakota (-1.5)
Last price
42.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
46¢
Sell Yes
39¢
$100 on Yes pays
$217 (2.17x)
Trade this on Polymarket
South Dakota St. wins by over 40.5 points
42%
Kalshi 42%polled, 43s agoBest Yes 42¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $238 (2.38x)
Kalshi
Contract
South Dakota St. wins by over 48.5 points
Last price
42%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
42¢
Sell Yes
31¢
$100 on Yes pays
$238 (2.38x)
Volume
$140
Trade this on Kalshi
South Dakota St. wins by over 40.5 points
40%
Kalshi 40%polled, 43s agoBest Yes 68¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $147 (1.47x)
Kalshi
Contract
South Dakota St. wins by over 60.5 points
Last price
40%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
68¢
Sell Yes
12¢
$100 on Yes pays
$147 (1.47x)
Trade this on Kalshi
South Dakota St. wins by over 40.5 points
40%
Kalshi 40%polled, 43s agoBest Yes 40¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $250 (2.50x)
Kalshi
Contract
South Dakota St. wins by over 44.5 points
Last price
40%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
40¢
Sell Yes
30¢
$100 on Yes pays
$250 (2.50x)
Volume
$1K
Trade this on Kalshi
Spread: South Dakota (-14.5)
39%
Polymarket 39%polled, 43s agoBest Yes 77¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $130 (1.30x)
Polymarket
Contract
Spread: South Dakota (-14.5)
Last price
39%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
77¢
Sell Yes
1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$130 (1.30x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Spread: South Dakota (-10.5)
38%
Polymarket 38%polled, 43s agoBest Yes 76¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $132 (1.32x)
Polymarket
Contract
Spread: South Dakota (-10.5)
Last price
38%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
76¢
Sell Yes
1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$132 (1.32x)
Trade this on Polymarket
South Dakota St. wins by over 40.5 points
36%
Kalshi 36%polled, 43s agoBest Yes 66¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $152 (1.52x)
Kalshi
Contract
South Dakota St. wins by over 56.5 points
Last price
36%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
66¢
Sell Yes
6¢
$100 on Yes pays
$152 (1.52x)
Trade this on Kalshi
O/U 57.5
35.8%
Polymarket 26.5%polled, 43s agoPolymarket 45%polled, 43s agoBest Yes 46¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $217 (2.17x)
Polymarket
Contract
O/U 57.5
Last price
26.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
50¢
Sell Yes
3¢
$100 on Yes pays
$200 (2.00x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Polymarket
Contract
O/U 57.5
Last price
45%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
46¢
Sell Yes
44¢
$100 on Yes pays
$217 (2.17x)
Volume
$258
Trade this on Polymarket
Spread: South Dakota (-7.5)
33.5%
Polymarket 33.5%polled, 43s agoBest Yes 41¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $244 (2.44x)
Polymarket
Contract
Spread: South Dakota (-7.5)
Last price
33.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
41¢
Sell Yes
26¢
$100 on Yes pays
$244 (2.44x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Spread: North Dakota (-5.5)
27.5%
Polymarket 27.5%polled, 43s agoBest Yes 54¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $185 (1.85x)
Polymarket
Contract
Spread: North Dakota (-5.5)
Last price
27.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
54¢
Sell Yes
1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$185 (1.85x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Spread: South Dakota (-5.5)
27.5%
Polymarket 27.5%polled, 43s agoBest Yes 53¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $189 (1.89x)
Polymarket
Contract
Spread: South Dakota (-5.5)
Last price
27.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
53¢
Sell Yes
2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$189 (1.89x)
Trade this on Polymarket
South Dakota St. wins by over 40.5 points
26.5%
Kalshi 26.5%polled, 43s agoBest Yes 48¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $208 (2.08x)
Kalshi
Contract
South Dakota St. wins by over 64.5 points
Last price
26.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
48¢
Sell Yes
5¢
$100 on Yes pays
$208 (2.08x)
Trade this on Kalshi
South Dakota St. wins by over 40.5 points
24.5%
Kalshi 24.5%polled, 43s agoBest Yes 44¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $227 (2.27x)
Kalshi
Contract
South Dakota St. wins by over 52.5 points
Last price
24.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
44¢
Sell Yes
5¢
$100 on Yes pays
$227 (2.27x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Murray State vs. South Dakota State
1.3%
Polymarket 1.3%polled, 43s agoBest Yes 1.7¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $5,882 (58.8x)
Polymarket
Contract
Murray State vs. South Dakota State
Last price
1.3%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
1.7¢
Sell Yes
0.9¢
$100 on Yes pays
$5,882 (58.8x)
Volume
$1K
Trade this on Polymarket

Who resolves this market

Polymarket
Polymarket resolves via:
UMA optimistic oracle, source: ncaa.com
Kalshi
Kalshi resolves via:
Kalshi (CFTC-regulated exchange), source: ESPN, Kalshi using information originating from the NCAA

How the odds have moved

The top 3 outcomes on both venues, with the consensus between them. Hover for exact values.

  • South Dakota St. wins by over 40.5 points
  • South Dakota St. wins by over 40.5 points
  • South Dakota St. wins by over 40.5 points

Order books

Each venue’s resting orders for the selected outcome’s Yes contract, side by side. Top of book streams live; depth refreshes every 15 seconds.

Polymarket

Polymarket doesn’t list South Dakota St. wins by over 40.5 points for this event.

Kalshi

Open on Kalshi ↗

Top of book

Connecting
Best bid
—
Spread
—
Best ask
—

Waiting for the first live quote…

Depth · top 8 levels

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Recent trades

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What your stake buys

Enter a stake to see where it buys the most after fees, using each venue’s live order book.

$
Buy

Loading both order books…

Buys at the asks resting now (taker orders), cheapest after fees first, from order-book snapshots up to 15 seconds old. Fees: Kalshi 0.07 × price × (1 − price) per share, rounded up to the cent; Polymarket 0.05 × price × (1 − price) per share (sports rate). Fee calculator. Estimates only, not advice.

About this market

Live prediction market odds for "Murray St. vs South Dakota St.: Spread". South Dakota St. wins by over 40.5 points leads at 83.5%. Next is South Dakota St. wins by over 40.5 points at 82.5%. $16K has traded across 47 outcomes on Kalshi and Polymarket. The market is expected to resolve by Oct 26, 2026.

Questions

What does the consensus price mean?

It is the price of a Yes contract that pays $1 if the outcome happens. A 14¢ price means traders put the chance near 14%. Where two venues list the same outcome, we blend their last prices, weighting the venue with more trading volume more heavily (neither counts for less than a quarter). When only one outcome can win, each venue’s prices add up to a little over 100% (its margin); the fair chance removes that margin so the outcomes add up to exactly 100%.

How is the payout worked out?

A Yes contract pays $1 if it wins, so at the best ask a $100 stake buys 100 ÷ ask contracts. At 18¢ that is about 555 contracts, paying $556 (5.56x) if Yes happens. Venue fees and price slippage on larger orders are not included.

Why do the venues show different prices?

Each venue has its own traders, fees and order book. Contracts can also settle on slightly different terms, which is why each row lists how closely the rules match.

Is a price gap an arbitrage?

Only when you can buy Yes on one venue below what someone pays for Yes on the other, after fees, and both contracts settle the same way. We show the executable bid and ask so you can check.

How fresh are these prices?

Venue prices refresh every few minutes, and the order book and live quotes stream continuously. Each venue’s card shows when we last observed it.

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