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What the markets expect
Corey Heim 55%
Next is Kaden Honeycutt at 51%. Only Kalshi lists this market, so there is no second price to compare.
Odds by venue
Consensus blends each venue’s last price, weighted by how much has traded there. Best Yes price is the cheapest ask across venues, and the payout is what a winning $100 stake returns before fees. Open a row for each venue’s contract name, bid and ask, and how closely their rules match.
Prices come from our regular polls of each venue. Ages are as of when this page was built.
- Kalshi
Outcome
Consensus
Venue prices on a 0–100% scale
Kalshi
Best Yes price
Corey Heim55%55%44¢ bid, 55¢ askpolled, 43s ago55¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $182 (1.82x)Corey Heim55%Kalshi 55%polled, 43s agoBest Yes 55¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $182 (1.82x)
Corey Heim
55%
55%
44¢ bid, 55¢ ask
polled, 43s ago
55¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $182 (1.82x)
Corey Heim
55%
Kalshi 55%polled, 43s agoBest Yes 55¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $182 (1.82x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Corey Heim
- Last price
- 55%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 55¢
- Sell Yes
- 44¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $182 (1.82x)
- Volume
- $17
Kaden Honeycutt51%51%43¢ bid, 51¢ askpolled, 43s ago51¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $196 (1.96x)Kaden Honeycutt51%Kalshi 51%polled, 43s agoBest Yes 51¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $196 (1.96x)
Kaden Honeycutt
51%
51%
43¢ bid, 51¢ ask
polled, 43s ago
51¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $196 (1.96x)
Kaden Honeycutt
51%
Kalshi 51%polled, 43s agoBest Yes 51¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $196 (1.96x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Kaden Honeycutt
- Last price
- 51%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 51¢
- Sell Yes
- 43¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $196 (1.96x)
- Volume
- $87
Chandler Smith49%49%42¢ bid, 49¢ askpolled, 43s ago49¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $204 (2.04x)Chandler Smith49%Kalshi 49%polled, 43s agoBest Yes 49¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $204 (2.04x)
Chandler Smith
49%
49%
42¢ bid, 49¢ ask
polled, 43s ago
49¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $204 (2.04x)
Chandler Smith
49%
Kalshi 49%polled, 43s agoBest Yes 49¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $204 (2.04x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Chandler Smith
- Last price
- 49%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 49¢
- Sell Yes
- 42¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $204 (2.04x)
- Volume
- $42
Layne Riggs46%46%42¢ bid, 50¢ askpolled, 43s ago50¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $200 (2.00x)Layne Riggs46%Kalshi 46%polled, 43s agoBest Yes 50¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $200 (2.00x)
Layne Riggs
46%
46%
42¢ bid, 50¢ ask
polled, 43s ago
50¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $200 (2.00x)
Layne Riggs
46%
Kalshi 46%polled, 43s agoBest Yes 50¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $200 (2.00x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Layne Riggs
- Last price
- 46%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 50¢
- Sell Yes
- 42¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $200 (2.00x)
Christian Eckes45%45%35¢ bid, 55¢ askpolled, 43s ago55¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $182 (1.82x)Christian Eckes45%Kalshi 45%polled, 43s agoBest Yes 55¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $182 (1.82x)
Christian Eckes
45%
45%
35¢ bid, 55¢ ask
polled, 43s ago
55¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $182 (1.82x)
Christian Eckes
45%
Kalshi 45%polled, 43s agoBest Yes 55¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $182 (1.82x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Christian Eckes
- Last price
- 45%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 55¢
- Sell Yes
- 35¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $182 (1.82x)
Ty Majeski45%45%40¢ bid, 45¢ askpolled, 43s ago45¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $222 (2.22x)Ty Majeski45%Kalshi 45%polled, 43s agoBest Yes 45¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $222 (2.22x)
Ty Majeski
45%
45%
40¢ bid, 45¢ ask
polled, 43s ago
45¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $222 (2.22x)
Ty Majeski
45%
Kalshi 45%polled, 43s agoBest Yes 45¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $222 (2.22x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Ty Majeski
- Last price
- 45%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 45¢
- Sell Yes
- 40¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $222 (2.22x)
- Volume
- $28
Grant Enfinger44%44%26¢ bid, 46¢ askpolled, 43s ago46¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $217 (2.17x)Grant Enfinger44%Kalshi 44%polled, 43s agoBest Yes 46¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $217 (2.17x)
Grant Enfinger
44%
44%
26¢ bid, 46¢ ask
polled, 43s ago
46¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $217 (2.17x)
Grant Enfinger
44%
Kalshi 44%polled, 43s agoBest Yes 46¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $217 (2.17x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Grant Enfinger
- Last price
- 44%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 46¢
- Sell Yes
- 26¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $217 (2.17x)
- Volume
- $22
Giovanni Ruggiero40%40%26¢ bid, 44¢ askpolled, 43s ago44¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $227 (2.27x)Giovanni Ruggiero40%Kalshi 40%polled, 43s agoBest Yes 44¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $227 (2.27x)
Giovanni Ruggiero
40%
40%
26¢ bid, 44¢ ask
polled, 43s ago
44¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $227 (2.27x)
Giovanni Ruggiero
40%
Kalshi 40%polled, 43s agoBest Yes 44¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $227 (2.27x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Giovanni Ruggiero
- Last price
- 40%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 44¢
- Sell Yes
- 26¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $227 (2.27x)
- Volume
- $86
Ben Rhodes39%39%28¢ bid, 39¢ askpolled, 43s ago39¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $256 (2.56x)Ben Rhodes39%Kalshi 39%polled, 43s agoBest Yes 39¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $256 (2.56x)
Ben Rhodes
39%
39%
28¢ bid, 39¢ ask
polled, 43s ago
39¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $256 (2.56x)
Ben Rhodes
39%
Kalshi 39%polled, 43s agoBest Yes 39¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $256 (2.56x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Ben Rhodes
- Last price
- 39%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 39¢
- Sell Yes
- 28¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $256 (2.56x)
- Volume
- $20
Corey LaJoie39%39%30¢ bid, 39¢ askpolled, 43s ago39¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $256 (2.56x)Corey LaJoie39%Kalshi 39%polled, 43s agoBest Yes 39¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $256 (2.56x)
Corey LaJoie
39%
39%
30¢ bid, 39¢ ask
polled, 43s ago
39¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $256 (2.56x)
Corey LaJoie
39%
Kalshi 39%polled, 43s agoBest Yes 39¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $256 (2.56x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Corey LaJoie
- Last price
- 39%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 39¢
- Sell Yes
- 30¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $256 (2.56x)
- Volume
- $257
Show 28 more outcomesHide 28 outcomes
Sammy Smith34%34%24¢ bid, 44¢ askpolled, 43s ago44¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $227 (2.27x)Sammy Smith34%Kalshi 34%polled, 43s agoBest Yes 44¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $227 (2.27x)
Sammy Smith
34%
34%
24¢ bid, 44¢ ask
polled, 43s ago
44¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $227 (2.27x)
Sammy Smith
34%
Kalshi 34%polled, 43s agoBest Yes 44¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $227 (2.27x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Sammy Smith
- Last price
- 34%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 44¢
- Sell Yes
- 24¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $227 (2.27x)
Thomas Annunziata33%33%18¢ bid, 35¢ askpolled, 43s ago35¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $286 (2.86x)Thomas Annunziata33%Kalshi 33%polled, 43s agoBest Yes 35¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $286 (2.86x)
Thomas Annunziata
33%
33%
18¢ bid, 35¢ ask
polled, 43s ago
35¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $286 (2.86x)
Thomas Annunziata
33%
Kalshi 33%polled, 43s agoBest Yes 35¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $286 (2.86x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Thomas Annunziata
- Last price
- 33%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 35¢
- Sell Yes
- 18¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $286 (2.86x)
- Volume
- $294
Justin Haley32%32%24¢ bid, 32¢ askpolled, 43s ago32¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $313 (3.13x)Justin Haley32%Kalshi 32%polled, 43s agoBest Yes 32¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $313 (3.13x)
Justin Haley
32%
32%
24¢ bid, 32¢ ask
polled, 43s ago
32¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $313 (3.13x)
Justin Haley
32%
Kalshi 32%polled, 43s agoBest Yes 32¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $313 (3.13x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Justin Haley
- Last price
- 32%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 32¢
- Sell Yes
- 24¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $313 (3.13x)
- Volume
- $114
Jake Garcia31%31%21¢ bid, 41¢ askpolled, 43s ago41¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $244 (2.44x)Jake Garcia31%Kalshi 31%polled, 43s agoBest Yes 41¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $244 (2.44x)
Jake Garcia
31%
31%
21¢ bid, 41¢ ask
polled, 43s ago
41¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $244 (2.44x)
Jake Garcia
31%
Kalshi 31%polled, 43s agoBest Yes 41¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $244 (2.44x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Jake Garcia
- Last price
- 31%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 41¢
- Sell Yes
- 21¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $244 (2.44x)
Landen Lewis29.5%29.5%23¢ bid, 36¢ askpolled, 43s ago36¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $278 (2.78x)Landen Lewis29.5%Kalshi 29.5%polled, 43s agoBest Yes 36¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $278 (2.78x)
Landen Lewis
29.5%
29.5%
23¢ bid, 36¢ ask
polled, 43s ago
36¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $278 (2.78x)
Landen Lewis
29.5%
Kalshi 29.5%polled, 43s agoBest Yes 36¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $278 (2.78x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Landen Lewis
- Last price
- 29.5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 36¢
- Sell Yes
- 23¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $278 (2.78x)
Tony Stewart29%29%28¢ bid, 29¢ askpolled, 43s ago29¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $345 (3.45x)Tony Stewart29%Kalshi 29%polled, 43s agoBest Yes 29¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $345 (3.45x)
Tony Stewart
29%
29%
28¢ bid, 29¢ ask
polled, 43s ago
29¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $345 (3.45x)
Tony Stewart
29%
Kalshi 29%polled, 43s agoBest Yes 29¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $345 (3.45x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Tony Stewart
- Last price
- 29%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 29¢
- Sell Yes
- 28¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $345 (3.45x)
- Volume
- $561
Daniel Hemric28%28%18¢ bid, 38¢ askpolled, 43s ago38¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $263 (2.63x)Daniel Hemric28%Kalshi 28%polled, 43s agoBest Yes 38¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $263 (2.63x)
Daniel Hemric
28%
28%
18¢ bid, 38¢ ask
polled, 43s ago
38¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $263 (2.63x)
Daniel Hemric
28%
Kalshi 28%polled, 43s agoBest Yes 38¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $263 (2.63x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Daniel Hemric
- Last price
- 28%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 38¢
- Sell Yes
- 18¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $263 (2.63x)
Tyler Ankrum28%28%18¢ bid, 38¢ askpolled, 43s ago38¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $263 (2.63x)Tyler Ankrum28%Kalshi 28%polled, 43s agoBest Yes 38¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $263 (2.63x)
Tyler Ankrum
28%
28%
18¢ bid, 38¢ ask
polled, 43s ago
38¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $263 (2.63x)
Tyler Ankrum
28%
Kalshi 28%polled, 43s agoBest Yes 38¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $263 (2.63x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Tyler Ankrum
- Last price
- 28%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 38¢
- Sell Yes
- 18¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $263 (2.63x)
Stewart Friesen26.5%26.5%18¢ bid, 35¢ askpolled, 43s ago35¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $286 (2.86x)Stewart Friesen26.5%Kalshi 26.5%polled, 43s agoBest Yes 35¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $286 (2.86x)
Stewart Friesen
26.5%
26.5%
18¢ bid, 35¢ ask
polled, 43s ago
35¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $286 (2.86x)
Stewart Friesen
26.5%
Kalshi 26.5%polled, 43s agoBest Yes 35¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $286 (2.86x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Stewart Friesen
- Last price
- 26.5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 35¢
- Sell Yes
- 18¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $286 (2.86x)
Austin Green26%26%14¢ bid, 26¢ askpolled, 43s ago26¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $385 (3.85x)Austin Green26%Kalshi 26%polled, 43s agoBest Yes 26¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $385 (3.85x)
Austin Green
26%
26%
14¢ bid, 26¢ ask
polled, 43s ago
26¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $385 (3.85x)
Austin Green
26%
Kalshi 26%polled, 43s agoBest Yes 26¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $385 (3.85x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Austin Green
- Last price
- 26%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 26¢
- Sell Yes
- 14¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $385 (3.85x)
- Volume
- $18
Cole Butcher25%25%12¢ bid, 26¢ askpolled, 43s ago26¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $385 (3.85x)Cole Butcher25%Kalshi 25%polled, 43s agoBest Yes 26¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $385 (3.85x)
Cole Butcher
25%
25%
12¢ bid, 26¢ ask
polled, 43s ago
26¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $385 (3.85x)
Cole Butcher
25%
Kalshi 25%polled, 43s agoBest Yes 26¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $385 (3.85x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Cole Butcher
- Last price
- 25%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 26¢
- Sell Yes
- 12¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $385 (3.85x)
- Volume
- $57
Cory Roper24%24%7¢ bid, 24¢ askpolled, 43s ago24¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $417 (4.17x)Cory Roper24%Kalshi 24%polled, 43s agoBest Yes 24¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $417 (4.17x)
Cory Roper
24%
24%
7¢ bid, 24¢ ask
polled, 43s ago
24¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $417 (4.17x)
Cory Roper
24%
Kalshi 24%polled, 43s agoBest Yes 24¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $417 (4.17x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Cory Roper
- Last price
- 24%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 24¢
- Sell Yes
- 7¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $417 (4.17x)
- Volume
- $4
Andres Perez de Lara22.5%22.5%13¢ bid, 32¢ askpolled, 43s ago32¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $313 (3.13x)Andres Perez de Lara22.5%Kalshi 22.5%polled, 43s agoBest Yes 32¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $313 (3.13x)
Andres Perez de Lara
22.5%
22.5%
13¢ bid, 32¢ ask
polled, 43s ago
32¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $313 (3.13x)
Andres Perez de Lara
22.5%
Kalshi 22.5%polled, 43s agoBest Yes 32¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $313 (3.13x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Andres Perez de Lara
- Last price
- 22.5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 32¢
- Sell Yes
- 13¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $313 (3.13x)
Tanner Gray22%22%12¢ bid, 32¢ askpolled, 43s ago32¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $313 (3.13x)Tanner Gray22%Kalshi 22%polled, 43s agoBest Yes 32¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $313 (3.13x)
Tanner Gray
22%
22%
12¢ bid, 32¢ ask
polled, 43s ago
32¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $313 (3.13x)
Tanner Gray
22%
Kalshi 22%polled, 43s agoBest Yes 32¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $313 (3.13x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Tanner Gray
- Last price
- 22%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 32¢
- Sell Yes
- 12¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $313 (3.13x)
Brenden Queen20.5%20.5%12¢ bid, 29¢ askpolled, 43s ago29¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $345 (3.45x)Brenden Queen20.5%Kalshi 20.5%polled, 43s agoBest Yes 29¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $345 (3.45x)
Brenden Queen
20.5%
20.5%
12¢ bid, 29¢ ask
polled, 43s ago
29¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $345 (3.45x)
Brenden Queen
20.5%
Kalshi 20.5%polled, 43s agoBest Yes 29¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $345 (3.45x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Brenden Queen
- Last price
- 20.5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 29¢
- Sell Yes
- 12¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $345 (3.45x)
Conner Jones17%17%12¢ bid, 22¢ askpolled, 43s ago22¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $455 (4.55x)Conner Jones17%Kalshi 17%polled, 43s agoBest Yes 22¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $455 (4.55x)
Conner Jones
17%
17%
12¢ bid, 22¢ ask
polled, 43s ago
22¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $455 (4.55x)
Conner Jones
17%
Kalshi 17%polled, 43s agoBest Yes 22¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $455 (4.55x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Conner Jones
- Last price
- 17%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 22¢
- Sell Yes
- 12¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $455 (4.55x)
Dawson Sutton15%15%11¢ bid, 19¢ askpolled, 43s ago19¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $526 (5.26x)Dawson Sutton15%Kalshi 15%polled, 43s agoBest Yes 19¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $526 (5.26x)
Dawson Sutton
15%
15%
11¢ bid, 19¢ ask
polled, 43s ago
19¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $526 (5.26x)
Dawson Sutton
15%
Kalshi 15%polled, 43s agoBest Yes 19¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $526 (5.26x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Dawson Sutton
- Last price
- 15%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 19¢
- Sell Yes
- 11¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $526 (5.26x)
Cleetus McFarland12%12%1¢ bid, 12¢ askpolled, 43s ago12¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $833 (8.33x)Cleetus McFarland12%Kalshi 12%polled, 43s agoBest Yes 12¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $833 (8.33x)
Cleetus McFarland
12%
12%
1¢ bid, 12¢ ask
polled, 43s ago
12¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $833 (8.33x)
Cleetus McFarland
12%
Kalshi 12%polled, 43s agoBest Yes 12¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $833 (8.33x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Cleetus McFarland
- Last price
- 12%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 12¢
- Sell Yes
- 1¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $833 (8.33x)
- Volume
- $175
Mini Tyrrell11%11%4¢ bid, 11¢ askpolled, 43s ago11¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $909 (9.09x)Mini Tyrrell11%Kalshi 11%polled, 43s agoBest Yes 11¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $909 (9.09x)
Mini Tyrrell
11%
11%
4¢ bid, 11¢ ask
polled, 43s ago
11¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $909 (9.09x)
Mini Tyrrell
11%
Kalshi 11%polled, 43s agoBest Yes 11¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $909 (9.09x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Mini Tyrrell
- Last price
- 11%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 11¢
- Sell Yes
- 4¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $909 (9.09x)
- Volume
- $150
Spencer Boyd11%11%3¢ bid, 11¢ askpolled, 43s ago11¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $909 (9.09x)Spencer Boyd11%Kalshi 11%polled, 43s agoBest Yes 11¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $909 (9.09x)
Spencer Boyd
11%
11%
3¢ bid, 11¢ ask
polled, 43s ago
11¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $909 (9.09x)
Spencer Boyd
11%
Kalshi 11%polled, 43s agoBest Yes 11¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $909 (9.09x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Spencer Boyd
- Last price
- 11%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 11¢
- Sell Yes
- 3¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $909 (9.09x)
- Volume
- $318
Kris Wright8%8%1¢ bid, 15¢ askpolled, 43s ago15¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $667 (6.67x)Kris Wright8%Kalshi 8%polled, 43s agoBest Yes 15¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $667 (6.67x)
Kris Wright
8%
8%
1¢ bid, 15¢ ask
polled, 43s ago
15¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $667 (6.67x)
Kris Wright
8%
Kalshi 8%polled, 43s agoBest Yes 15¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $667 (6.67x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Kris Wright
- Last price
- 8%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 15¢
- Sell Yes
- 1¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $667 (6.67x)
Timmy Hill8%8%— bid, 15¢ askpolled, 43s ago15¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $667 (6.67x)Timmy Hill8%Kalshi 8%polled, 43s agoBest Yes 15¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $667 (6.67x)
Timmy Hill
8%
8%
— bid, 15¢ ask
polled, 43s ago
15¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $667 (6.67x)
Timmy Hill
8%
Kalshi 8%polled, 43s agoBest Yes 15¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $667 (6.67x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Timmy Hill
- Last price
- 8%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 15¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $667 (6.67x)
- Volume
- $500
Frankie Muniz6%6%1¢ bid, 11¢ askpolled, 43s ago11¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $909 (9.09x)Frankie Muniz6%Kalshi 6%polled, 43s agoBest Yes 11¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $909 (9.09x)
Frankie Muniz
6%
6%
1¢ bid, 11¢ ask
polled, 43s ago
11¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $909 (9.09x)
Frankie Muniz
6%
Kalshi 6%polled, 43s agoBest Yes 11¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $909 (9.09x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Frankie Muniz
- Last price
- 6%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 11¢
- Sell Yes
- 1¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $909 (9.09x)
Jason M White6%6%1¢ bid, 11¢ askpolled, 43s ago11¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $909 (9.09x)Jason M White6%Kalshi 6%polled, 43s agoBest Yes 11¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $909 (9.09x)
Jason M White
6%
6%
1¢ bid, 11¢ ask
polled, 43s ago
11¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $909 (9.09x)
Jason M White
6%
Kalshi 6%polled, 43s agoBest Yes 11¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $909 (9.09x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Jason M White
- Last price
- 6%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 11¢
- Sell Yes
- 1¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $909 (9.09x)
Bryan Dauzat3%3%— bid, 10¢ askpolled, 43s ago10¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $1,000 (10.0x)Bryan Dauzat3%Kalshi 3%polled, 43s agoBest Yes 10¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,000 (10.0x)
Bryan Dauzat
3%
3%
— bid, 10¢ ask
polled, 43s ago
10¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $1,000 (10.0x)
Bryan Dauzat
3%
Kalshi 3%polled, 43s agoBest Yes 10¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,000 (10.0x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Bryan Dauzat
- Last price
- 3%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 10¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,000 (10.0x)
- Volume
- $200
Clay Greenfield3%3%— bid, 10¢ askpolled, 43s ago10¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $1,000 (10.0x)Clay Greenfield3%Kalshi 3%polled, 43s agoBest Yes 10¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,000 (10.0x)
Clay Greenfield
3%
3%
— bid, 10¢ ask
polled, 43s ago
10¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $1,000 (10.0x)
Clay Greenfield
3%
Kalshi 3%polled, 43s agoBest Yes 10¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,000 (10.0x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Clay Greenfield
- Last price
- 3%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 10¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,000 (10.0x)
- Volume
- $200
Josh Reaume3%3%1¢ bid, 10¢ askpolled, 43s ago10¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $1,000 (10.0x)Josh Reaume3%Kalshi 3%polled, 43s agoBest Yes 10¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,000 (10.0x)
Josh Reaume
3%
3%
1¢ bid, 10¢ ask
polled, 43s ago
10¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $1,000 (10.0x)
Josh Reaume
3%
Kalshi 3%polled, 43s agoBest Yes 10¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,000 (10.0x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Josh Reaume
- Last price
- 3%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 10¢
- Sell Yes
- 1¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,000 (10.0x)
- Volume
- $205
Norm Benning1%1%— bid, 10¢ askpolled, 43s ago10¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $1,000 (10.0x)Norm Benning1%Kalshi 1%polled, 43s agoBest Yes 10¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,000 (10.0x)
Norm Benning
1%
1%
— bid, 10¢ ask
polled, 43s ago
10¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $1,000 (10.0x)
Norm Benning
1%
Kalshi 1%polled, 43s agoBest Yes 10¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,000 (10.0x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Norm Benning
- Last price
- 1%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 10¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,000 (10.0x)
- Volume
- $200
Who resolves this market
- Kalshi resolves via:
- Kalshi (CFTC-regulated exchange), source: the Governing League
How the odds have moved
The top 3 outcomes on both venues, with the consensus between them. Hover for exact values.
- Corey Heim
- Kaden Honeycutt
- Chandler Smith
Order books
Each venue’s resting orders for the selected outcome’s Yes contract, side by side. Top of book streams live; depth refreshes every 15 seconds.
What your stake buys
Enter a stake to see where it buys the most after fees, using each venue’s live order book.
$
Buy
Loading both order books…
Buys at the asks resting now (taker orders), cheapest after fees first, from order-book snapshots up to 15 seconds old. Fees: Kalshi 0.07 × price × (1 − price) per share, rounded up to the cent; Polymarket 0.05 × price × (1 − price) per share (sports rate). Fee calculator. Estimates only, not advice.
About this market
Live prediction market odds for "NASCAR Love's RV Stop 225: Top 10 Finishers". Corey Heim leads at 55%. Next is Kaden Honeycutt at 51%. $4K has traded across 38 outcomes on Kalshi. The market is expected to resolve by Oct 31, 2026.
Questions
What does the consensus price mean?
It is the price of a Yes contract that pays $1 if the outcome happens. A 14¢ price means traders put the chance near 14%. Where two venues list the same outcome, we blend their last prices, weighting the venue with more trading volume more heavily (neither counts for less than a quarter). When only one outcome can win, each venue’s prices add up to a little over 100% (its margin); the fair chance removes that margin so the outcomes add up to exactly 100%.
How is the payout worked out?
A Yes contract pays $1 if it wins, so at the best ask a $100 stake buys 100 ÷ ask contracts. At 18¢ that is about 555 contracts, paying $556 (5.56x) if Yes happens. Venue fees and price slippage on larger orders are not included.
Why do the venues show different prices?
Each venue has its own traders, fees and order book. Contracts can also settle on slightly different terms, which is why each row lists how closely the rules match.
Is a price gap an arbitrage?
Only when you can buy Yes on one venue below what someone pays for Yes on the other, after fees, and both contracts settle the same way. We show the executable bid and ask so you can check.
How fresh are these prices?
Venue prices refresh every few minutes, and the order book and live quotes stream continuously. Each venue’s card shows when we last observed it.
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