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What the markets expect
Corey Heim 31%
Next is Giovanni Ruggiero at 27%. Only Kalshi lists this market, so there is no second price to compare.
Odds by venue
Consensus blends each venue’s last price, weighted by how much has traded there. Best Yes price is the cheapest ask across venues, and the payout is what a winning $100 stake returns before fees. Open a row for each venue’s contract name, bid and ask, and how closely their rules match.
Prices come from our regular polls of each venue. Ages are as of when this page was built.
- Kalshi
Outcome
Consensus
Venue prices on a 0–100% scale
Kalshi
Best Yes price
Corey Heim31%31%25¢ bid, 32¢ askpolled, 55s ago32¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $313 (3.13x)Corey Heim31%Kalshi 31%polled, 55s agoBest Yes 32¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $313 (3.13x)
Corey Heim
31%
31%
25¢ bid, 32¢ ask
polled, 55s ago
32¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $313 (3.13x)
Corey Heim
31%
Kalshi 31%polled, 55s agoBest Yes 32¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $313 (3.13x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Corey Heim
- Last price
- 31%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 32¢
- Sell Yes
- 25¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $313 (3.13x)
- Volume
- $20
Giovanni Ruggiero27%27%15¢ bid, 27¢ askpolled, 55s ago27¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $370 (3.70x)Giovanni Ruggiero27%Kalshi 27%polled, 55s agoBest Yes 27¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $370 (3.70x)
Giovanni Ruggiero
27%
27%
15¢ bid, 27¢ ask
polled, 55s ago
27¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $370 (3.70x)
Giovanni Ruggiero
27%
Kalshi 27%polled, 55s agoBest Yes 27¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $370 (3.70x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Giovanni Ruggiero
- Last price
- 27%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 27¢
- Sell Yes
- 15¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $370 (3.70x)
- Volume
- $439
Kaden Honeycutt27%27%18¢ bid, 27¢ askpolled, 55s ago27¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $370 (3.70x)Kaden Honeycutt27%Kalshi 27%polled, 55s agoBest Yes 27¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $370 (3.70x)
Kaden Honeycutt
27%
27%
18¢ bid, 27¢ ask
polled, 55s ago
27¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $370 (3.70x)
Kaden Honeycutt
27%
Kalshi 27%polled, 55s agoBest Yes 27¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $370 (3.70x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Kaden Honeycutt
- Last price
- 27%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 27¢
- Sell Yes
- 18¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $370 (3.70x)
- Volume
- $68
Layne Riggs23.5%23.5%18¢ bid, 29¢ askpolled, 55s ago29¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $345 (3.45x)Layne Riggs23.5%Kalshi 23.5%polled, 55s agoBest Yes 29¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $345 (3.45x)
Layne Riggs
23.5%
23.5%
18¢ bid, 29¢ ask
polled, 55s ago
29¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $345 (3.45x)
Layne Riggs
23.5%
Kalshi 23.5%polled, 55s agoBest Yes 29¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $345 (3.45x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Layne Riggs
- Last price
- 23.5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 29¢
- Sell Yes
- 18¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $345 (3.45x)
Chandler Smith23%23%14¢ bid, 23¢ askpolled, 55s ago23¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $435 (4.35x)Chandler Smith23%Kalshi 23%polled, 55s agoBest Yes 23¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $435 (4.35x)
Chandler Smith
23%
23%
14¢ bid, 23¢ ask
polled, 55s ago
23¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $435 (4.35x)
Chandler Smith
23%
Kalshi 23%polled, 55s agoBest Yes 23¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $435 (4.35x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Chandler Smith
- Last price
- 23%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 23¢
- Sell Yes
- 14¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $435 (4.35x)
- Volume
- $17
Christian Eckes21%21%13¢ bid, 21¢ askpolled, 55s ago21¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $476 (4.76x)Christian Eckes21%Kalshi 21%polled, 55s agoBest Yes 21¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $476 (4.76x)
Christian Eckes
21%
21%
13¢ bid, 21¢ ask
polled, 55s ago
21¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $476 (4.76x)
Christian Eckes
21%
Kalshi 21%polled, 55s agoBest Yes 21¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $476 (4.76x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Christian Eckes
- Last price
- 21%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 21¢
- Sell Yes
- 13¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $476 (4.76x)
- Volume
- $7
Ty Majeski21%21%20¢ bid, 21¢ askpolled, 55s ago21¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $476 (4.76x)Ty Majeski21%Kalshi 21%polled, 55s agoBest Yes 21¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $476 (4.76x)
Ty Majeski
21%
21%
20¢ bid, 21¢ ask
polled, 55s ago
21¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $476 (4.76x)
Ty Majeski
21%
Kalshi 21%polled, 55s agoBest Yes 21¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $476 (4.76x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Ty Majeski
- Last price
- 21%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 21¢
- Sell Yes
- 20¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $476 (4.76x)
- Volume
- $18
Grant Enfinger18%18%8¢ bid, 18¢ askpolled, 55s ago18¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $556 (5.56x)Grant Enfinger18%Kalshi 18%polled, 55s agoBest Yes 18¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $556 (5.56x)
Grant Enfinger
18%
18%
8¢ bid, 18¢ ask
polled, 55s ago
18¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $556 (5.56x)
Grant Enfinger
18%
Kalshi 18%polled, 55s agoBest Yes 18¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $556 (5.56x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Grant Enfinger
- Last price
- 18%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 18¢
- Sell Yes
- 8¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $556 (5.56x)
- Volume
- $23
Ben Rhodes17%17%9¢ bid, 17¢ askpolled, 55s ago17¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $588 (5.88x)Ben Rhodes17%Kalshi 17%polled, 55s agoBest Yes 17¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $588 (5.88x)
Ben Rhodes
17%
17%
9¢ bid, 17¢ ask
polled, 55s ago
17¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $588 (5.88x)
Ben Rhodes
17%
Kalshi 17%polled, 55s agoBest Yes 17¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $588 (5.88x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Ben Rhodes
- Last price
- 17%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 17¢
- Sell Yes
- 9¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $588 (5.88x)
Justin Haley14%14%7¢ bid, 14¢ askpolled, 55s ago14¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $714 (7.14x)Justin Haley14%Kalshi 14%polled, 55s agoBest Yes 14¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $714 (7.14x)
Justin Haley
14%
14%
7¢ bid, 14¢ ask
polled, 55s ago
14¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $714 (7.14x)
Justin Haley
14%
Kalshi 14%polled, 55s agoBest Yes 14¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $714 (7.14x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Justin Haley
- Last price
- 14%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 14¢
- Sell Yes
- 7¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $714 (7.14x)
- Volume
- $362
Show 28 more outcomesHide 28 outcomes
Jake Garcia12.5%12.5%12¢ bid, 13¢ askpolled, 55s ago13¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $769 (7.69x)Jake Garcia12.5%Kalshi 12.5%polled, 55s agoBest Yes 13¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $769 (7.69x)
Jake Garcia
12.5%
12.5%
12¢ bid, 13¢ ask
polled, 55s ago
13¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $769 (7.69x)
Jake Garcia
12.5%
Kalshi 12.5%polled, 55s agoBest Yes 13¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $769 (7.69x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Jake Garcia
- Last price
- 12.5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 13¢
- Sell Yes
- 12¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $769 (7.69x)
Landen Lewis12.5%12.5%12¢ bid, 13¢ askpolled, 55s ago13¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $769 (7.69x)Landen Lewis12.5%Kalshi 12.5%polled, 55s agoBest Yes 13¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $769 (7.69x)
Landen Lewis
12.5%
12.5%
12¢ bid, 13¢ ask
polled, 55s ago
13¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $769 (7.69x)
Landen Lewis
12.5%
Kalshi 12.5%polled, 55s agoBest Yes 13¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $769 (7.69x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Landen Lewis
- Last price
- 12.5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 13¢
- Sell Yes
- 12¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $769 (7.69x)
Sammy Smith11.5%11.5%9¢ bid, 14¢ askpolled, 55s ago14¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $714 (7.14x)Sammy Smith11.5%Kalshi 11.5%polled, 55s agoBest Yes 14¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $714 (7.14x)
Sammy Smith
11.5%
11.5%
9¢ bid, 14¢ ask
polled, 55s ago
14¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $714 (7.14x)
Sammy Smith
11.5%
Kalshi 11.5%polled, 55s agoBest Yes 14¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $714 (7.14x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Sammy Smith
- Last price
- 11.5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 14¢
- Sell Yes
- 9¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $714 (7.14x)
Tyler Ankrum10.5%10.5%10¢ bid, 11¢ askpolled, 55s ago11¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $909 (9.09x)Tyler Ankrum10.5%Kalshi 10.5%polled, 55s agoBest Yes 11¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $909 (9.09x)
Tyler Ankrum
10.5%
10.5%
10¢ bid, 11¢ ask
polled, 55s ago
11¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $909 (9.09x)
Tyler Ankrum
10.5%
Kalshi 10.5%polled, 55s agoBest Yes 11¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $909 (9.09x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Tyler Ankrum
- Last price
- 10.5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 11¢
- Sell Yes
- 10¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $909 (9.09x)
Thomas Annunziata10%10%9¢ bid, 10¢ askpolled, 55s ago10¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $1,000 (10.0x)Thomas Annunziata10%Kalshi 10%polled, 55s agoBest Yes 10¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,000 (10.0x)
Thomas Annunziata
10%
10%
9¢ bid, 10¢ ask
polled, 55s ago
10¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $1,000 (10.0x)
Thomas Annunziata
10%
Kalshi 10%polled, 55s agoBest Yes 10¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,000 (10.0x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Thomas Annunziata
- Last price
- 10%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 10¢
- Sell Yes
- 9¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,000 (10.0x)
- Volume
- $235
Corey LaJoie8.5%8.5%2¢ bid, 15¢ askpolled, 55s ago15¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $667 (6.67x)Corey LaJoie8.5%Kalshi 8.5%polled, 55s agoBest Yes 15¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $667 (6.67x)
Corey LaJoie
8.5%
8.5%
2¢ bid, 15¢ ask
polled, 55s ago
15¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $667 (6.67x)
Corey LaJoie
8.5%
Kalshi 8.5%polled, 55s agoBest Yes 15¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $667 (6.67x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Corey LaJoie
- Last price
- 8.5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 15¢
- Sell Yes
- 2¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $667 (6.67x)
Daniel Hemric8%8%4¢ bid, 12¢ askpolled, 55s ago12¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $833 (8.33x)Daniel Hemric8%Kalshi 8%polled, 55s agoBest Yes 12¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $833 (8.33x)
Daniel Hemric
8%
8%
4¢ bid, 12¢ ask
polled, 55s ago
12¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $833 (8.33x)
Daniel Hemric
8%
Kalshi 8%polled, 55s agoBest Yes 12¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $833 (8.33x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Daniel Hemric
- Last price
- 8%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 12¢
- Sell Yes
- 4¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $833 (8.33x)
Tony Stewart8%8%3¢ bid, 8¢ askpolled, 55s ago8¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $1,250 (12.5x)Tony Stewart8%Kalshi 8%polled, 55s agoBest Yes 8¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,250 (12.5x)
Tony Stewart
8%
8%
3¢ bid, 8¢ ask
polled, 55s ago
8¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $1,250 (12.5x)
Tony Stewart
8%
Kalshi 8%polled, 55s agoBest Yes 8¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,250 (12.5x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Tony Stewart
- Last price
- 8%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 8¢
- Sell Yes
- 3¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,250 (12.5x)
- Volume
- $308
Stewart Friesen7.5%7.5%4¢ bid, 11¢ askpolled, 55s ago11¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $909 (9.09x)Stewart Friesen7.5%Kalshi 7.5%polled, 55s agoBest Yes 11¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $909 (9.09x)
Stewart Friesen
7.5%
7.5%
4¢ bid, 11¢ ask
polled, 55s ago
11¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $909 (9.09x)
Stewart Friesen
7.5%
Kalshi 7.5%polled, 55s agoBest Yes 11¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $909 (9.09x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Stewart Friesen
- Last price
- 7.5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 11¢
- Sell Yes
- 4¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $909 (9.09x)
Brenden Queen6%6%— bid, 6¢ askpolled, 55s ago6¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $1,667 (16.7x)Brenden Queen6%Kalshi 6%polled, 55s agoBest Yes 6¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,667 (16.7x)
Brenden Queen
6%
6%
— bid, 6¢ ask
polled, 55s ago
6¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $1,667 (16.7x)
Brenden Queen
6%
Kalshi 6%polled, 55s agoBest Yes 6¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,667 (16.7x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Brenden Queen
- Last price
- 6%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 6¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,667 (16.7x)
Andres Perez de Lara5.5%5.5%1¢ bid, 10¢ askpolled, 55s ago10¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $1,000 (10.0x)Andres Perez de Lara5.5%Kalshi 5.5%polled, 55s agoBest Yes 10¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,000 (10.0x)
Andres Perez de Lara
5.5%
5.5%
1¢ bid, 10¢ ask
polled, 55s ago
10¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $1,000 (10.0x)
Andres Perez de Lara
5.5%
Kalshi 5.5%polled, 55s agoBest Yes 10¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,000 (10.0x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Andres Perez de Lara
- Last price
- 5.5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 10¢
- Sell Yes
- 1¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,000 (10.0x)
Cleetus McFarland5%5%— bid, 5¢ askpolled, 55s ago5¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)Cleetus McFarland5%Kalshi 5%polled, 55s agoBest Yes 5¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)
Cleetus McFarland
5%
5%
— bid, 5¢ ask
polled, 55s ago
5¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)
Cleetus McFarland
5%
Kalshi 5%polled, 55s agoBest Yes 5¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Cleetus McFarland
- Last price
- 5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 5¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $2,000 (20.0x)
- Volume
- $364
Cole Butcher5%5%— bid, 10¢ askpolled, 55s ago10¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $1,000 (10.0x)Cole Butcher5%Kalshi 5%polled, 55s agoBest Yes 10¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,000 (10.0x)
Cole Butcher
5%
5%
— bid, 10¢ ask
polled, 55s ago
10¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $1,000 (10.0x)
Cole Butcher
5%
Kalshi 5%polled, 55s agoBest Yes 10¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,000 (10.0x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Cole Butcher
- Last price
- 5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 10¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,000 (10.0x)
Spencer Boyd5%5%1¢ bid, 9¢ askpolled, 55s ago9¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $1,111 (11.1x)Spencer Boyd5%Kalshi 5%polled, 55s agoBest Yes 9¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,111 (11.1x)
Spencer Boyd
5%
5%
1¢ bid, 9¢ ask
polled, 55s ago
9¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $1,111 (11.1x)
Spencer Boyd
5%
Kalshi 5%polled, 55s agoBest Yes 9¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,111 (11.1x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Spencer Boyd
- Last price
- 5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 9¢
- Sell Yes
- 1¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,111 (11.1x)
Conner Jones4.5%4.5%1¢ bid, 8¢ askpolled, 55s ago8¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $1,250 (12.5x)Conner Jones4.5%Kalshi 4.5%polled, 55s agoBest Yes 8¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,250 (12.5x)
Conner Jones
4.5%
4.5%
1¢ bid, 8¢ ask
polled, 55s ago
8¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $1,250 (12.5x)
Conner Jones
4.5%
Kalshi 4.5%polled, 55s agoBest Yes 8¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,250 (12.5x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Conner Jones
- Last price
- 4.5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 8¢
- Sell Yes
- 1¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,250 (12.5x)
Cory Roper4.5%4.5%— bid, 9¢ askpolled, 55s ago9¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $1,111 (11.1x)Cory Roper4.5%Kalshi 4.5%polled, 55s agoBest Yes 9¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,111 (11.1x)
Cory Roper
4.5%
4.5%
— bid, 9¢ ask
polled, 55s ago
9¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $1,111 (11.1x)
Cory Roper
4.5%
Kalshi 4.5%polled, 55s agoBest Yes 9¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,111 (11.1x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Cory Roper
- Last price
- 4.5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 9¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,111 (11.1x)
Tanner Gray4.5%4.5%— bid, 9¢ askpolled, 55s ago9¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $1,111 (11.1x)Tanner Gray4.5%Kalshi 4.5%polled, 55s agoBest Yes 9¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,111 (11.1x)
Tanner Gray
4.5%
4.5%
— bid, 9¢ ask
polled, 55s ago
9¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $1,111 (11.1x)
Tanner Gray
4.5%
Kalshi 4.5%polled, 55s agoBest Yes 9¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,111 (11.1x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Tanner Gray
- Last price
- 4.5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 9¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,111 (11.1x)
Timmy Hill4.5%4.5%1¢ bid, 8¢ askpolled, 55s ago8¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $1,250 (12.5x)Timmy Hill4.5%Kalshi 4.5%polled, 55s agoBest Yes 8¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,250 (12.5x)
Timmy Hill
4.5%
4.5%
1¢ bid, 8¢ ask
polled, 55s ago
8¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $1,250 (12.5x)
Timmy Hill
4.5%
Kalshi 4.5%polled, 55s agoBest Yes 8¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,250 (12.5x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Timmy Hill
- Last price
- 4.5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 8¢
- Sell Yes
- 1¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,250 (12.5x)
Austin Green4%4%— bid, 8¢ askpolled, 55s ago8¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $1,250 (12.5x)Austin Green4%Kalshi 4%polled, 55s agoBest Yes 8¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,250 (12.5x)
Austin Green
4%
4%
— bid, 8¢ ask
polled, 55s ago
8¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $1,250 (12.5x)
Austin Green
4%
Kalshi 4%polled, 55s agoBest Yes 8¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,250 (12.5x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Austin Green
- Last price
- 4%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 8¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,250 (12.5x)
Clay Greenfield4%4%— bid, 8¢ askpolled, 55s ago8¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $1,250 (12.5x)Clay Greenfield4%Kalshi 4%polled, 55s agoBest Yes 8¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,250 (12.5x)
Clay Greenfield
4%
4%
— bid, 8¢ ask
polled, 55s ago
8¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $1,250 (12.5x)
Clay Greenfield
4%
Kalshi 4%polled, 55s agoBest Yes 8¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,250 (12.5x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Clay Greenfield
- Last price
- 4%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 8¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,250 (12.5x)
Bryan Dauzat3.5%3.5%— bid, 7¢ askpolled, 55s ago7¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $1,429 (14.3x)Bryan Dauzat3.5%Kalshi 3.5%polled, 55s agoBest Yes 7¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,429 (14.3x)
Bryan Dauzat
3.5%
3.5%
— bid, 7¢ ask
polled, 55s ago
7¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $1,429 (14.3x)
Bryan Dauzat
3.5%
Kalshi 3.5%polled, 55s agoBest Yes 7¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,429 (14.3x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Bryan Dauzat
- Last price
- 3.5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 7¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,429 (14.3x)
Jason M White3.5%3.5%— bid, 7¢ askpolled, 55s ago7¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $1,429 (14.3x)Jason M White3.5%Kalshi 3.5%polled, 55s agoBest Yes 7¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,429 (14.3x)
Jason M White
3.5%
3.5%
— bid, 7¢ ask
polled, 55s ago
7¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $1,429 (14.3x)
Jason M White
3.5%
Kalshi 3.5%polled, 55s agoBest Yes 7¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,429 (14.3x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Jason M White
- Last price
- 3.5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 7¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,429 (14.3x)
Kris Wright3.5%3.5%— bid, 7¢ askpolled, 55s ago7¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $1,429 (14.3x)Kris Wright3.5%Kalshi 3.5%polled, 55s agoBest Yes 7¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,429 (14.3x)
Kris Wright
3.5%
3.5%
— bid, 7¢ ask
polled, 55s ago
7¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $1,429 (14.3x)
Kris Wright
3.5%
Kalshi 3.5%polled, 55s agoBest Yes 7¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,429 (14.3x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Kris Wright
- Last price
- 3.5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 7¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,429 (14.3x)
Mini Tyrrell3.5%3.5%— bid, 7¢ askpolled, 55s ago7¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $1,429 (14.3x)Mini Tyrrell3.5%Kalshi 3.5%polled, 55s agoBest Yes 7¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,429 (14.3x)
Mini Tyrrell
3.5%
3.5%
— bid, 7¢ ask
polled, 55s ago
7¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $1,429 (14.3x)
Mini Tyrrell
3.5%
Kalshi 3.5%polled, 55s agoBest Yes 7¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,429 (14.3x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Mini Tyrrell
- Last price
- 3.5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 7¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,429 (14.3x)
Dawson Sutton3%3%— bid, 6¢ askpolled, 55s ago6¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $1,667 (16.7x)Dawson Sutton3%Kalshi 3%polled, 55s agoBest Yes 6¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,667 (16.7x)
Dawson Sutton
3%
3%
— bid, 6¢ ask
polled, 55s ago
6¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $1,667 (16.7x)
Dawson Sutton
3%
Kalshi 3%polled, 55s agoBest Yes 6¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,667 (16.7x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Dawson Sutton
- Last price
- 3%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 6¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,667 (16.7x)
Norm Benning3%3%— bid, 6¢ askpolled, 55s ago6¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $1,667 (16.7x)Norm Benning3%Kalshi 3%polled, 55s agoBest Yes 6¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,667 (16.7x)
Norm Benning
3%
3%
— bid, 6¢ ask
polled, 55s ago
6¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $1,667 (16.7x)
Norm Benning
3%
Kalshi 3%polled, 55s agoBest Yes 6¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,667 (16.7x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Norm Benning
- Last price
- 3%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 6¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,667 (16.7x)
Frankie Muniz2%2%— bid, 4¢ askpolled, 55s ago4¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)Frankie Muniz2%Kalshi 2%polled, 55s agoBest Yes 4¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)
Frankie Muniz
2%
2%
— bid, 4¢ ask
polled, 55s ago
4¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)
Frankie Muniz
2%
Kalshi 2%polled, 55s agoBest Yes 4¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Frankie Muniz
- Last price
- 2%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 4¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $2,500 (25.0x)
Josh Reaume1.5%1.5%1¢ bid, 2¢ askpolled, 55s ago2¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)Josh Reaume1.5%Kalshi 1.5%polled, 55s agoBest Yes 2¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Josh Reaume
1.5%
1.5%
1¢ bid, 2¢ ask
polled, 55s ago
2¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Josh Reaume
1.5%
Kalshi 1.5%polled, 55s agoBest Yes 2¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Josh Reaume
- Last price
- 1.5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 2¢
- Sell Yes
- 1¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $5,000 (50.0x)
Who resolves this market
- Kalshi resolves via:
- Kalshi (CFTC-regulated exchange), source: the Governing League
How the odds have moved
The top 3 outcomes on both venues, with the consensus between them. Hover for exact values.
- Corey Heim
- Giovanni Ruggiero
- Kaden Honeycutt
Order books
Each venue’s resting orders for the selected outcome’s Yes contract, side by side. Top of book streams live; depth refreshes every 15 seconds.
What your stake buys
Enter a stake to see where it buys the most after fees, using each venue’s live order book.
$
Buy
Loading both order books…
Buys at the asks resting now (taker orders), cheapest after fees first, from order-book snapshots up to 15 seconds old. Fees: Kalshi 0.07 × price × (1 − price) per share, rounded up to the cent; Polymarket 0.05 × price × (1 − price) per share (sports rate). Fee calculator. Estimates only, not advice.
About this market
Live prediction market odds for "NASCAR Love's RV Stop 225: Top 3 Finishers". Corey Heim leads at 31%. Next is Giovanni Ruggiero at 27%. $2K has traded across 38 outcomes on Kalshi. The market is expected to resolve by Oct 31, 2026.
Questions
What does the consensus price mean?
It is the price of a Yes contract that pays $1 if the outcome happens. A 14¢ price means traders put the chance near 14%. Where two venues list the same outcome, we blend their last prices, weighting the venue with more trading volume more heavily (neither counts for less than a quarter). When only one outcome can win, each venue’s prices add up to a little over 100% (its margin); the fair chance removes that margin so the outcomes add up to exactly 100%.
How is the payout worked out?
A Yes contract pays $1 if it wins, so at the best ask a $100 stake buys 100 ÷ ask contracts. At 18¢ that is about 555 contracts, paying $556 (5.56x) if Yes happens. Venue fees and price slippage on larger orders are not included.
Why do the venues show different prices?
Each venue has its own traders, fees and order book. Contracts can also settle on slightly different terms, which is why each row lists how closely the rules match.
Is a price gap an arbitrage?
Only when you can buy Yes on one venue below what someone pays for Yes on the other, after fees, and both contracts settle the same way. We show the executable bid and ask so you can check.
How fresh are these prices?
Venue prices refresh every few minutes, and the order book and live quotes stream continuously. Each venue’s card shows when we last observed it.
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