The Prediction Markets

NASCAR O'Reilly Auto Parts Series Champion

Closes
Nov 9, 2026, in 17 days
Traded
$379K
Venues
Polymarket, Kalshi
Prices updated
3 h ago
Share

What the markets expect

Kaden Honeycutt 58.5%

Next is Jesse Love at 57.5%. The venues differ most on Corey Day (Polymarket 5.4%, Kalshi 10%), a 4.6-point gap.

Odds by venue

Consensus blends each venue’s last price, weighted by how much has traded there. Best Yes price is the cheapest ask across venues, and the payout is what a winning $100 stake returns before fees. Open a row for each venue’s contract name, bid and ask, and how closely their rules match.

Prices come from our regular polls of each venue, the oldest 3 h ago. Ages are as of when this page was built.

  • Polymarket
  • Kalshi
Kaden Honeycutt
58.5%
Polymarket 58.5%polled, 3 h agoBest Yes 60¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $167 (1.67x)
Polymarket
Contract
Kaden Honeycutt
Last price
58.5%
As of
Polled 3 h ago
Buy Yes
60¢
Sell Yes
57¢
$100 on Yes pays
$167 (1.67x)
Volume
$2K
Trade this on Polymarket
Jesse Love
57.5%
Polymarket 58.9%polled, 3 h agoKalshi 57%polled, 3 h agoBest Yes 58¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $172 (1.72x)
Polymarket
Contract
Jesse Love
Last price
58.9%
As of
Polled 3 h ago
Buy Yes
63¢
Sell Yes
54.8¢
$100 on Yes pays
$159 (1.59x)
Volume
$2K
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Jesse Love
Last price
57%
As of
Polled 3 h ago
Buy Yes
58¢
Sell Yes
51¢
$100 on Yes pays
$172 (1.72x)
Volume
$29K
Trade this on Kalshi
Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Prices on these venues are 3 h old, too old to show an executable spread.

Kyle Larson
30.3%
Polymarket 30.3%polled, 3 h agoBest Yes 34.3¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $292 (2.92x)
Polymarket
Contract
Kyle Larson
Last price
30.3%
As of
Polled 3 h ago
Buy Yes
34.3¢
Sell Yes
26.2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$292 (2.92x)
Volume
$5K
Trade this on Polymarket
Justin Allgaier
29.5%
Polymarket 31%polled, 3 h agoKalshi 29%polled, 3 h agoBest Yes 30¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $333 (3.33x)
Polymarket
Contract
Justin Allgaier
Last price
31%
As of
Polled 3 h ago
Buy Yes
33¢
Sell Yes
29¢
$100 on Yes pays
$303 (3.03x)
Volume
$10K
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Justin Allgaier
Last price
29%
As of
Polled 3 h ago
Buy Yes
30¢
Sell Yes
25¢
$100 on Yes pays
$333 (3.33x)
Volume
$53K
Trade this on Kalshi
Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Prices on these venues are 3 h old, too old to show an executable spread.

Layne Riggs
28%
Polymarket 28%polled, 3 h agoBest Yes 29¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $345 (3.45x)
Polymarket
Contract
Layne Riggs
Last price
28%
As of
Polled 3 h ago
Buy Yes
29¢
Sell Yes
27¢
$100 on Yes pays
$345 (3.45x)
Volume
$4K
Trade this on Polymarket
Christopher Bell
26.2%
Polymarket 26.2%polled, 3 h agoBest Yes 28.5¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $351 (3.51x)
Polymarket
Contract
Christopher Bell
Last price
26.2%
As of
Polled 3 h ago
Buy Yes
28.5¢
Sell Yes
23.9¢
$100 on Yes pays
$351 (3.51x)
Volume
$3K
Trade this on Polymarket
Denny Hamlin
14.5%
Polymarket 14.5%polled, 3 h agoBest Yes 15¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $667 (6.67x)
Polymarket
Contract
Denny Hamlin
Last price
14.5%
As of
Polled 3 h ago
Buy Yes
15¢
Sell Yes
14¢
$100 on Yes pays
$667 (6.67x)
Volume
$25K
Trade this on Polymarket
Chase Briscoe
12.5%
Polymarket 12.5%polled, 3 h agoBest Yes 15¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $667 (6.67x)
Polymarket
Contract
Chase Briscoe
Last price
12.5%
As of
Polled 3 h ago
Buy Yes
15¢
Sell Yes
10¢
$100 on Yes pays
$667 (6.67x)
Volume
$840
Trade this on Polymarket
Ryan Blaney
12.2%
Polymarket 12.2%polled, 3 h agoBest Yes 14.5¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $690 (6.90x)
Polymarket
Contract
Ryan Blaney
Last price
12.2%
As of
Polled 3 h ago
Buy Yes
14.5¢
Sell Yes
9.9¢
$100 on Yes pays
$690 (6.90x)
Volume
$12K
Trade this on Polymarket
Corey Day
8.9%
Polymarket 5.4%polled, 3 h agoKalshi 10%polled, 3 h agoBest Yes 7.8¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,282 (12.8x)
Polymarket
Contract
Corey Day
Last price
5.4%
As of
Polled 3 h ago
Buy Yes
7.8¢
Sell Yes
3¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,282 (12.8x)
Volume
$625
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Corey Day
Last price
10%
As of
Polled 3 h ago
Buy Yes
10¢
Sell Yes
6¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,000 (10.0x)
Volume
$21K
Trade this on Kalshi
Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Prices on these venues are 3 h old, too old to show an executable spread.

Show 55 more outcomes
Joey Logano
5.7%
Polymarket 5.7%polled, 3 h agoBest Yes 7.4¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,351 (13.5x)
Polymarket
Contract
Joey Logano
Last price
5.7%
As of
Polled 3 h ago
Buy Yes
7.4¢
Sell Yes
4¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,351 (13.5x)
Volume
$3K
Trade this on Polymarket
Christian Eckes
4.6%
Polymarket 4.6%polled, 3 h agoBest Yes 8.7¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,149 (11.5x)
Polymarket
Contract
Christian Eckes
Last price
4.6%
As of
Polled 3 h ago
Buy Yes
8.7¢
Sell Yes
0.5¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,149 (11.5x)
Volume
$241
Trade this on Polymarket
Sam Mayer
4%
Polymarket 3.8%polled, 3 h agoKalshi 4%polled, 3 h agoBest Yes 4¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)
Polymarket
Contract
Sam Mayer
Last price
3.8%
As of
Polled 3 h ago
Buy Yes
7.2¢
Sell Yes
0.4¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,389 (13.9x)
Volume
$190
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Sam Mayer
Last price
4%
As of
Polled 3 h ago
Buy Yes
4¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$2,500 (25.0x)
Volume
$9K
Trade this on Kalshi
Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Prices on these venues are 3 h old, too old to show an executable spread.

Daniel Hemric
3.7%
Polymarket 3.7%polled, 3 h agoBest Yes 6.7¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,493 (14.9x)
Polymarket
Contract
Daniel Hemric
Last price
3.7%
As of
Polled 3 h ago
Buy Yes
6.7¢
Sell Yes
0.7¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,493 (14.9x)
Volume
$164
Trade this on Polymarket
Tyler Ankrum
3.6%
Polymarket 3.6%polled, 3 h agoBest Yes 6.5¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,538 (15.4x)
Polymarket
Contract
Tyler Ankrum
Last price
3.6%
As of
Polled 3 h ago
Buy Yes
6.5¢
Sell Yes
0.6¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,538 (15.4x)
Volume
$70
Trade this on Polymarket
Grant Enfinger
3.4%
Polymarket 3.4%polled, 3 h agoBest Yes 6.3¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,587 (15.9x)
Polymarket
Contract
Grant Enfinger
Last price
3.4%
As of
Polled 3 h ago
Buy Yes
6.3¢
Sell Yes
0.5¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,587 (15.9x)
Volume
$365
Trade this on Polymarket
Chandler Smith
3.2%
Polymarket 3.2%polled, 3 h agoBest Yes 5.5¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,818 (18.2x)
Polymarket
Contract
Chandler Smith
Last price
3.2%
As of
Polled 3 h ago
Buy Yes
5.5¢
Sell Yes
0.8¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,818 (18.2x)
Volume
$449
Trade this on Polymarket
Sheldon Creed
3%
Polymarket 2.8%polled, 3 h agoKalshi 3%polled, 3 h agoBest Yes 5¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)
Polymarket
Contract
Sheldon Creed
Last price
2.8%
As of
Polled 3 h ago
Buy Yes
5¢
Sell Yes
0.6¢
$100 on Yes pays
$2,000 (20.0x)
Volume
$7K
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Sheldon Creed
Last price
3%
As of
Polled 3 h ago
Buy Yes
5¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$2,000 (20.0x)
Volume
$31K
Trade this on Kalshi
Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Prices on these venues are 3 h old, too old to show an executable spread.

Tyler Reddick
2.4%
Polymarket 2.4%polled, 3 h agoBest Yes 3.9¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $2,564 (25.6x)
Polymarket
Contract
Tyler Reddick
Last price
2.4%
As of
Polled 3 h ago
Buy Yes
3.9¢
Sell Yes
0.8¢
$100 on Yes pays
$2,564 (25.6x)
Volume
$7K
Trade this on Polymarket
Ty Majeski
2.2%
Polymarket 2.2%polled, 3 h agoBest Yes 3.8¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $2,632 (26.3x)
Polymarket
Contract
Ty Majeski
Last price
2.2%
As of
Polled 3 h ago
Buy Yes
3.8¢
Sell Yes
0.5¢
$100 on Yes pays
$2,632 (26.3x)
Volume
$388
Trade this on Polymarket
Ben Rhodes
2.1%
Polymarket 2.1%polled, 3 h agoBest Yes 3.7¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $2,703 (27.0x)
Polymarket
Contract
Ben Rhodes
Last price
2.1%
As of
Polled 3 h ago
Buy Yes
3.7¢
Sell Yes
0.5¢
$100 on Yes pays
$2,703 (27.0x)
Volume
$98
Trade this on Polymarket
Taylor Gray
1.9%
Polymarket 1.4%polled, 3 h agoKalshi 2%polled, 3 h agoBest Yes 2¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Polymarket
Contract
Taylor Gray
Last price
1.4%
As of
Polled 3 h ago
Buy Yes
2.6¢
Sell Yes
0.2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$3,846 (38.5x)
Volume
$192
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Taylor Gray
Last price
2%
As of
Polled 3 h ago
Buy Yes
2¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$5,000 (50.0x)
Volume
$7K
Trade this on Kalshi
Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Prices on these venues are 3 h old, too old to show an executable spread.

Austin Hill
1.8%
Polymarket 1%polled, 3 h agoKalshi 2%polled, 3 h agoBest Yes 1.8¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $5,556 (55.6x)
Polymarket
Contract
Austin Hill
Last price
1%
As of
Polled 3 h ago
Buy Yes
1.8¢
Sell Yes
0.2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$5,556 (55.6x)
Volume
$192
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Austin Hill
Last price
2%
As of
Polled 3 h ago
Buy Yes
2¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$5,000 (50.0x)
Volume
$17K
Trade this on Kalshi
Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Prices on these venues are 3 h old, too old to show an executable spread.

Carson Kvapil
1.8%
Polymarket 4%polled, 3 h agoKalshi 1%polled, 3 h agoBest Yes 3¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $3,333 (33.3x)
Polymarket
Contract
Carson Kvapil
Last price
4%
As of
Polled 3 h ago
Buy Yes
7¢
Sell Yes
1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,429 (14.3x)
Volume
$2K
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Carson Kvapil
Last price
1%
As of
Polled 3 h ago
Buy Yes
3¢
Sell Yes
1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$3,333 (33.3x)
Volume
$32K
Trade this on Kalshi
Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Prices on these venues are 3 h old, too old to show an executable spread.

Giovanni Ruggiero
1.7%
Polymarket 3.7%polled, 3 h agoKalshi 1%polled, 3 h agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Polymarket
Contract
Giovanni Ruggiero
Last price
3.7%
As of
Polled 3 h ago
Buy Yes
6.7¢
Sell Yes
0.7¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,493 (14.9x)
Volume
$160
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Giovanni Ruggiero
Last price
1%
As of
Polled 3 h ago
Buy Yes
1¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$10,000 (100x)
Volume
$3K
Trade this on Kalshi
Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Prices on these venues are 3 h old, too old to show an executable spread.

Bubba Wallace
1.5%
Polymarket 1.5%polled, 3 h agoBest Yes 2.6¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $3,846 (38.5x)
Polymarket
Contract
Bubba Wallace
Last price
1.5%
As of
Polled 3 h ago
Buy Yes
2.6¢
Sell Yes
0.3¢
$100 on Yes pays
$3,846 (38.5x)
Volume
$1K
Trade this on Polymarket
Parker Retzlaff
1.4%
Polymarket 2.7%polled, 3 h agoKalshi 1%polled, 3 h agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Polymarket
Contract
Parker Retzlaff
Last price
2.7%
As of
Polled 3 h ago
Buy Yes
4.7¢
Sell Yes
0.6¢
$100 on Yes pays
$2,128 (21.3x)
Volume
$205
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Parker Retzlaff
Last price
1%
As of
Polled 3 h ago
Buy Yes
1¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$10,000 (100x)
Volume
$4K
Trade this on Kalshi
Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Prices on these venues are 3 h old, too old to show an executable spread.

Carson Hocevar
1.2%
Polymarket 1.2%polled, 3 h agoBest Yes 2.1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $4,762 (47.6x)
Polymarket
Contract
Carson Hocevar
Last price
1.2%
As of
Polled 3 h ago
Buy Yes
2.1¢
Sell Yes
0.3¢
$100 on Yes pays
$4,762 (47.6x)
Volume
$2K
Trade this on Polymarket
Sammy Smith
1.2%
Polymarket 1.6%polled, 3 h agoKalshi 1%polled, 3 h agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Polymarket
Contract
Sammy Smith
Last price
1.6%
As of
Polled 3 h ago
Buy Yes
3¢
Sell Yes
0.2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$3,333 (33.3x)
Volume
$126
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Sammy Smith
Last price
1%
As of
Polled 3 h ago
Buy Yes
1¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$10,000 (100x)
Volume
$7K
Trade this on Kalshi
Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Prices on these venues are 3 h old, too old to show an executable spread.

Brandon Jones
1%
Polymarket 1%polled, 3 h agoKalshi 1%polled, 3 h agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Polymarket
Contract
Brandon Jones
Last price
1%
As of
Polled 3 h ago
Buy Yes
1.7¢
Sell Yes
0.3¢
$100 on Yes pays
$5,882 (58.8x)
Volume
$169
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Brandon Jones
Last price
1%
As of
Polled 3 h ago
Buy Yes
1¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$10,000 (100x)
Volume
$7K
Trade this on Kalshi
Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Prices on these venues are 3 h old, too old to show an executable spread.

Anthony Alfredo
1%
Kalshi 1%polled, 3 h agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
Contract
Anthony Alfredo
Last price
1%
As of
Polled 3 h ago
Buy Yes
1¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$10,000 (100x)
Volume
$6K
Trade this on Kalshi
Austin Green
1%
Kalshi 1%polled, 3 h agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
Contract
Austin Green
Last price
1%
As of
Polled 3 h ago
Buy Yes
1¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$10,000 (100x)
Volume
$5K
Trade this on Kalshi
Blaine Perkins
1%
Kalshi 1%polled, 3 h agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
Contract
Blaine Perkins
Last price
1%
As of
Polled 3 h ago
Buy Yes
1¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$10,000 (100x)
Volume
$96
Trade this on Kalshi
Brennan Poole
1%
Kalshi 1%polled, 3 h agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
Contract
Brennan Poole
Last price
1%
As of
Polled 3 h ago
Buy Yes
1¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$10,000 (100x)
Volume
$35
Trade this on Kalshi
Brent Crews
1%
Kalshi 1%polled, 3 h agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
Contract
Brent Crews
Last price
1%
As of
Polled 3 h ago
Buy Yes
1¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$10,000 (100x)
Volume
$14K
Trade this on Kalshi
Chad Finchum
1%
Kalshi 1%polled, 3 h agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
Contract
Chad Finchum
Last price
1%
As of
Polled 3 h ago
Buy Yes
1¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$10,000 (100x)
Volume
$2
Trade this on Kalshi
Cody Ware
1%
Kalshi 1%polled, 3 h agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
Contract
Cody Ware
Last price
1%
As of
Polled 3 h ago
Buy Yes
1¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$10,000 (100x)
Volume
$2
Trade this on Kalshi
Dawson Cram
1%
Kalshi 1%polled, 3 h agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
Contract
Dawson Cram
Last price
1%
As of
Polled 3 h ago
Buy Yes
1¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$10,000 (100x)
Volume
$2
Trade this on Kalshi
Dean Thompson
1%
Kalshi 1%polled, 3 h agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
Contract
Dean Thompson
Last price
1%
As of
Polled 3 h ago
Buy Yes
1¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$10,000 (100x)
Volume
$2
Trade this on Kalshi
Garrett Smithley
1%
Kalshi 1%polled, 3 h agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
Contract
Garrett Smithley
Last price
1%
As of
Polled 3 h ago
Buy Yes
1¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$10,000 (100x)
Volume
$562
Trade this on Kalshi
Harrison Burton
1%
Kalshi 1%polled, 3 h agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
Contract
Harrison Burton
Last price
1%
As of
Polled 3 h ago
Buy Yes
1¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$10,000 (100x)
Volume
$3K
Trade this on Kalshi
Jeb Burton
1%
Kalshi 1%polled, 3 h agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
Contract
Jeb Burton
Last price
1%
As of
Polled 3 h ago
Buy Yes
1¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$10,000 (100x)
Volume
$2K
Trade this on Kalshi
Jeremy Clements
1%
Kalshi 1%polled, 3 h agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
Contract
Jeremy Clements
Last price
1%
As of
Polled 3 h ago
Buy Yes
1¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$10,000 (100x)
Volume
$201
Trade this on Kalshi
Joey Gase
1%
Kalshi 1%polled, 3 h agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
Contract
Joey Gase
Last price
1%
As of
Polled 3 h ago
Buy Yes
1¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$10,000 (100x)
Volume
$34
Trade this on Kalshi
Josh Bilicki
1%
Kalshi 1%polled, 3 h agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
Contract
Josh Bilicki
Last price
1%
As of
Polled 3 h ago
Buy Yes
1¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$10,000 (100x)
Volume
$469
Trade this on Kalshi
Josh Williams
1%
Kalshi 1%polled, 3 h agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
Contract
Josh Williams
Last price
1%
As of
Polled 3 h ago
Buy Yes
1¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$10,000 (100x)
Volume
$34
Trade this on Kalshi
Kyle Sieg
1%
Kalshi 1%polled, 3 h agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
Contract
Kyle Sieg
Last price
1%
As of
Polled 3 h ago
Buy Yes
1¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$10,000 (100x)
Volume
$34
Trade this on Kalshi
Lavar Scott
1%
Kalshi 1%polled, 3 h agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
Contract
Lavar Scott
Last price
1%
As of
Polled 3 h ago
Buy Yes
1¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$10,000 (100x)
Volume
$34
Trade this on Kalshi
Luke Fenhaus
1%
Kalshi 1%polled, 3 h agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
Contract
Luke Fenhaus
Last price
1%
As of
Polled 3 h ago
Buy Yes
1¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$10,000 (100x)
Volume
$188
Trade this on Kalshi
Mason Maggio
1%
Kalshi 1%polled, 3 h agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
Contract
Mason Maggio
Last price
1%
As of
Polled 3 h ago
Buy Yes
1¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$10,000 (100x)
Volume
$34
Trade this on Kalshi
Nicholas Sanchez
1%
Kalshi 1%polled, 3 h agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
Contract
Nicholas Sanchez
Last price
1%
As of
Polled 3 h ago
Buy Yes
1¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$10,000 (100x)
Volume
$4K
Trade this on Kalshi
Nick Leitz
1%
Kalshi 1%polled, 3 h agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
Contract
Nick Leitz
Last price
1%
As of
Polled 3 h ago
Buy Yes
1¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$10,000 (100x)
Volume
$20
Trade this on Kalshi
Patrick Staropoli
1%
Kalshi 1%polled, 3 h agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
Contract
Patrick Staropoli
Last price
1%
As of
Polled 3 h ago
Buy Yes
1¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$10,000 (100x)
Volume
$2
Trade this on Kalshi
Ross Chastain
1%
Kalshi 1%polled, 3 h agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
Contract
Ross Chastain
Last price
1%
As of
Polled 3 h ago
Buy Yes
1¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$10,000 (100x)
Volume
$9K
Trade this on Kalshi
Ryan Ellis
1%
Kalshi 1%polled, 3 h agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
Contract
Ryan Ellis
Last price
1%
As of
Polled 3 h ago
Buy Yes
1¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$10,000 (100x)
Volume
$168
Trade this on Kalshi
Ryan Sieg
1%
Kalshi 1%polled, 3 h agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
Contract
Ryan Sieg
Last price
1%
As of
Polled 3 h ago
Buy Yes
1¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$10,000 (100x)
Volume
$2K
Trade this on Kalshi
William Sawalich
1%
Kalshi 1%polled, 3 h agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
Contract
William Sawalich
Last price
1%
As of
Polled 3 h ago
Buy Yes
1¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$10,000 (100x)
Volume
$7K
Trade this on Kalshi
Rajah Caruth
1%
Polymarket 0.8%polled, 3 h agoKalshi 1%polled, 3 h agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Polymarket
Contract
Rajah Caruth
Last price
0.8%
As of
Polled 3 h ago
Buy Yes
1.4¢
Sell Yes
0.2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$7,143 (71.4x)
Volume
$202
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Rajah Caruth
Last price
1%
As of
Polled 3 h ago
Buy Yes
1¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$10,000 (100x)
Volume
$7K
Trade this on Kalshi
Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Prices on these venues are 3 h old, too old to show an executable spread.

Ty Gibbs
0.7%
Polymarket 0.7%polled, 3 h agoBest Yes 1.1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $9,091 (90.9x)
Polymarket
Contract
Ty Gibbs
Last price
0.7%
As of
Polled 3 h ago
Buy Yes
1.1¢
Sell Yes
0.2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$9,091 (90.9x)
Volume
$711
Trade this on Polymarket
Chase Elliott
0.5%
Polymarket 0.5%polled, 3 h agoBest Yes 0.7¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $14,286 (143x)
Polymarket
Contract
Chase Elliott
Last price
0.5%
As of
Polled 3 h ago
Buy Yes
0.7¢
Sell Yes
0.2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$14,286 (143x)
Volume
$457
Trade this on Polymarket
Ryan Preece
0.4%
Polymarket 0.4%polled, 3 h agoBest Yes 0.5¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $20,000 (200x)
Polymarket
Contract
Ryan Preece
Last price
0.4%
As of
Polled 3 h ago
Buy Yes
0.5¢
Sell Yes
0.2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$20,000 (200x)
Volume
$527
Trade this on Polymarket
William Byron
0.3%
Polymarket 0.3%polled, 3 h agoBest Yes 0.4¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $25,000 (250x)
Polymarket
Contract
William Byron
Last price
0.3%
As of
Polled 3 h ago
Buy Yes
0.4¢
Sell Yes
0.2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$25,000 (250x)
Volume
$517
Trade this on Polymarket
Daniel Suarez
0.3%
Polymarket 0.3%polled, 3 h agoBest Yes 0.4¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $25,000 (250x)
Polymarket
Contract
Daniel Suarez
Last price
0.3%
As of
Polled 3 h ago
Buy Yes
0.4¢
Sell Yes
0.1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$25,000 (250x)
Volume
$416
Trade this on Polymarket
Austin Cindric
0.2%
Polymarket 0.2%polled, 3 h agoBest Yes 0.3¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $33,333 (333x)
Polymarket
Contract
Austin Cindric
Last price
0.2%
As of
Polled 3 h ago
Buy Yes
0.3¢
Sell Yes
0.1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$33,333 (333x)
Volume
$595
Trade this on Polymarket
Chris Buescher
0.2%
Polymarket 0.2%polled, 3 h agoBest Yes 0.2¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $50,000 (500x)
Polymarket
Contract
Chris Buescher
Last price
0.2%
As of
Polled 3 h ago
Buy Yes
0.2¢
Sell Yes
0.1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$50,000 (500x)
Volume
$419
Trade this on Polymarket

Venue prices are 3 h old, so we are not showing a cross-venue spread. Check each venue for current prices. Find markets with fresh spreads

Mostly the same bet: one difference

Where they differ

  • Trading closes at different times: Nov 8, 2026, 11:59 PM UTC on Polymarket and Nov 9, 2026, 3:00 PM UTC on Kalshi.
Polymarket
Polymarket resolves via:
UMA optimistic oracle, source: nascar.com
Kalshi
Kalshi resolves via:
Kalshi (CFTC-regulated exchange), source: ESPN, Fox Sports, the Governing League
Show full rule comparison
  • Trading closes Nov 8, 2026, 11:59 PM UTC on Polymarket and Nov 9, 2026, 3:00 PM UTC on Kalshi.

Summarized from each venue’s published rules; the venue’s own rules page is the final word.

How the odds have moved

The top 3 outcomes on both venues, with the consensus between them. Hover for exact values.

  • Kaden Honeycutt
  • Jesse Love
  • Kyle Larson

Order books

Each venue’s resting orders for the selected outcome’s Yes contract, side by side. Top of book streams live; depth refreshes every 15 seconds.

Polymarket

Open on Polymarket ↗

Top of book

Connecting
Best bid
—
Spread
—
Best ask
—

Waiting for the first live quote…

Depth · top 8 levels

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Recent trades

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Kalshi

Kalshi doesn’t list Kaden Honeycutt for this event.

What your stake buys

Enter a stake to see where it buys the most after fees, using each venue’s live order book.

$
Buy

Loading both order books…

Buys at the asks resting now (taker orders), cheapest after fees first, from order-book snapshots up to 15 seconds old. Fees: Kalshi 0.07 × price × (1 − price) per share, rounded up to the cent; Polymarket 0.05 × price × (1 − price) per share (sports rate). Fee calculator. Estimates only, not advice.

About this market

Live prediction market odds for "NASCAR O'Reilly Auto Parts Series Champion". Kaden Honeycutt leads at 58.5%. Next is Jesse Love at 57.5%. $379K has traded across 65 outcomes on Kalshi and Polymarket. The market is expected to resolve by Nov 9, 2026.

Questions

What does the consensus price mean?

It is the price of a Yes contract that pays $1 if the outcome happens. A 14¢ price means traders put the chance near 14%. Where two venues list the same outcome, we blend their last prices, weighting the venue with more trading volume more heavily (neither counts for less than a quarter). When only one outcome can win, each venue’s prices add up to a little over 100% (its margin); the fair chance removes that margin so the outcomes add up to exactly 100%.

How is the payout worked out?

A Yes contract pays $1 if it wins, so at the best ask a $100 stake buys 100 ÷ ask contracts. At 18¢ that is about 555 contracts, paying $556 (5.56x) if Yes happens. Venue fees and price slippage on larger orders are not included.

Why do the venues show different prices?

Each venue has its own traders, fees and order book. Contracts can also settle on slightly different terms, which is why each row lists how closely the rules match.

Is a price gap an arbitrage?

Only when you can buy Yes on one venue below what someone pays for Yes on the other, after fees, and both contracts settle the same way. We show the executable bid and ask so you can check.

How fresh are these prices?

Venue prices refresh every few minutes, and the order book and live quotes stream continuously. Each venue’s card shows when we last observed it.

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