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Best ask
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Waiting for the first live quote…
What the markets expect
30,500 to 30,999.99 10.5%
Next is 33,000.01 or above at 10.5%. Only Kalshi lists this market, so there is no second price to compare.
Odds by venue
Fair chance strips out each venue’s built-in margin (its prices add up to more than 100%), then blends the venues by how much has traded there, so the outcomes add up to 100%. Best Yes price is the cheapest ask across venues, and the payout is what a winning $100 stake returns before fees. Open a row for each venue’s contract name, bid and ask, and how closely their rules match.
Prices come from our regular polls of each venue, the oldest 3 h ago. Ages are as of when this page was built.
- Kalshi
Outcome
Fair chance
Venue prices on a 0–100% scale
Kalshi
Best Yes price
30,500 to 30,999.9910.5%11%10.5% fair10¢ bid, 11¢ askpolled, 3 h ago11¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $909 (9.09x)30,500 to 30,999.9910.5%Kalshi 11%(10.5% fair)polled, 3 h agoBest Yes 11¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $909 (9.09x)
30,500 to 30,999.99
10.5%
11%
10.5% fair
10¢ bid, 11¢ ask
polled, 3 h ago
11¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $909 (9.09x)
30,500 to 30,999.99
10.5%
Kalshi 11%(10.5% fair)polled, 3 h agoBest Yes 11¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $909 (9.09x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- 30,500 to 30,999.99
- Last price
- 11%
- Fair, margin removed
- 10.5%
- As of
- Polled 3 h ago
- Buy Yes
- 11¢
- Sell Yes
- 10¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $909 (9.09x)
- Volume
- $161K
33,000.01 or above10.5%11%10.5% fair11¢ bid, 13¢ askpolled, 3 h ago13¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $769 (7.69x)33,000.01 or above10.5%Kalshi 11%(10.5% fair)polled, 3 h agoBest Yes 13¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $769 (7.69x)
33,000.01 or above
10.5%
11%
10.5% fair
11¢ bid, 13¢ ask
polled, 3 h ago
13¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $769 (7.69x)
33,000.01 or above
10.5%
Kalshi 11%(10.5% fair)polled, 3 h agoBest Yes 13¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $769 (7.69x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- 33,000.01 or above
- Last price
- 11%
- Fair, margin removed
- 10.5%
- As of
- Polled 3 h ago
- Buy Yes
- 13¢
- Sell Yes
- 11¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $769 (7.69x)
- Volume
- $512K
30,000 to 30,499.998.6%9%9¢ bid, 10¢ askpolled, 3 h ago10¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $1,000 (10.0x)30,000 to 30,499.998.6%Kalshi 9%polled, 3 h agoBest Yes 10¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,000 (10.0x)
30,000 to 30,499.99
8.6%
9%
9¢ bid, 10¢ ask
polled, 3 h ago
10¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $1,000 (10.0x)
30,000 to 30,499.99
8.6%
Kalshi 9%polled, 3 h agoBest Yes 10¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,000 (10.0x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- 30,000 to 30,499.99
- Last price
- 9%
- As of
- Polled 3 h ago
- Buy Yes
- 10¢
- Sell Yes
- 9¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,000 (10.0x)
- Volume
- $155K
29,500 to 29,999.997.6%8%7¢ bid, 8¢ askpolled, 3 h ago8¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $1,250 (12.5x)29,500 to 29,999.997.6%Kalshi 8%polled, 3 h agoBest Yes 8¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,250 (12.5x)
29,500 to 29,999.99
7.6%
8%
7¢ bid, 8¢ ask
polled, 3 h ago
8¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $1,250 (12.5x)
29,500 to 29,999.99
7.6%
Kalshi 8%polled, 3 h agoBest Yes 8¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,250 (12.5x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- 29,500 to 29,999.99
- Last price
- 8%
- As of
- Polled 3 h ago
- Buy Yes
- 8¢
- Sell Yes
- 7¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,250 (12.5x)
- Volume
- $171K
31,000 to 31,499.997.6%8%8¢ bid, 9¢ askpolled, 3 h ago9¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $1,111 (11.1x)31,000 to 31,499.997.6%Kalshi 8%polled, 3 h agoBest Yes 9¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,111 (11.1x)
31,000 to 31,499.99
7.6%
8%
8¢ bid, 9¢ ask
polled, 3 h ago
9¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $1,111 (11.1x)
31,000 to 31,499.99
7.6%
Kalshi 8%polled, 3 h agoBest Yes 9¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,111 (11.1x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- 31,000 to 31,499.99
- Last price
- 8%
- As of
- Polled 3 h ago
- Buy Yes
- 9¢
- Sell Yes
- 8¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,111 (11.1x)
- Volume
- $161K
31,500 to 31,999.996.7%7%6¢ bid, 7¢ askpolled, 3 h ago7¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $1,429 (14.3x)31,500 to 31,999.996.7%Kalshi 7%polled, 3 h agoBest Yes 7¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,429 (14.3x)
31,500 to 31,999.99
6.7%
7%
6¢ bid, 7¢ ask
polled, 3 h ago
7¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $1,429 (14.3x)
31,500 to 31,999.99
6.7%
Kalshi 7%polled, 3 h agoBest Yes 7¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,429 (14.3x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- 31,500 to 31,999.99
- Last price
- 7%
- As of
- Polled 3 h ago
- Buy Yes
- 7¢
- Sell Yes
- 6¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,429 (14.3x)
- Volume
- $162K
29,000 to 29,499.995.7%6%6¢ bid, 7¢ askpolled, 3 h ago7¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $1,429 (14.3x)29,000 to 29,499.995.7%Kalshi 6%polled, 3 h agoBest Yes 7¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,429 (14.3x)
29,000 to 29,499.99
5.7%
6%
6¢ bid, 7¢ ask
polled, 3 h ago
7¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $1,429 (14.3x)
29,000 to 29,499.99
5.7%
Kalshi 6%polled, 3 h agoBest Yes 7¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,429 (14.3x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- 29,000 to 29,499.99
- Last price
- 6%
- As of
- Polled 3 h ago
- Buy Yes
- 7¢
- Sell Yes
- 6¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,429 (14.3x)
- Volume
- $133K
28,500 to 28,999.994.8%5%4¢ bid, 5¢ askpolled, 3 h ago5¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)28,500 to 28,999.994.8%Kalshi 5%polled, 3 h agoBest Yes 5¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)
28,500 to 28,999.99
4.8%
5%
4¢ bid, 5¢ ask
polled, 3 h ago
5¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)
28,500 to 28,999.99
4.8%
Kalshi 5%polled, 3 h agoBest Yes 5¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- 28,500 to 28,999.99
- Last price
- 5%
- As of
- Polled 3 h ago
- Buy Yes
- 5¢
- Sell Yes
- 4¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $2,000 (20.0x)
- Volume
- $115K
28,000 to 28,499.993.8%4%3¢ bid, 4¢ askpolled, 3 h ago4¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)28,000 to 28,499.993.8%Kalshi 4%polled, 3 h agoBest Yes 4¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)
28,000 to 28,499.99
3.8%
4%
3¢ bid, 4¢ ask
polled, 3 h ago
4¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)
28,000 to 28,499.99
3.8%
Kalshi 4%polled, 3 h agoBest Yes 4¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- 28,000 to 28,499.99
- Last price
- 4%
- As of
- Polled 3 h ago
- Buy Yes
- 4¢
- Sell Yes
- 3¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $2,500 (25.0x)
- Volume
- $116K
32,000 to 32,499.993.8%4%4¢ bid, 5¢ askpolled, 3 h ago5¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)32,000 to 32,499.993.8%Kalshi 4%polled, 3 h agoBest Yes 5¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)
32,000 to 32,499.99
3.8%
4%
4¢ bid, 5¢ ask
polled, 3 h ago
5¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)
32,000 to 32,499.99
3.8%
Kalshi 4%polled, 3 h agoBest Yes 5¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- 32,000 to 32,499.99
- Last price
- 4%
- As of
- Polled 3 h ago
- Buy Yes
- 5¢
- Sell Yes
- 4¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $2,000 (20.0x)
- Volume
- $182K
Show 20 more outcomesHide 20 outcomes
27,000 to 27,499.992.9%3%1¢ bid, 3¢ askpolled, 3 h ago3¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $3,333 (33.3x)27,000 to 27,499.992.9%Kalshi 3%polled, 3 h agoBest Yes 3¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $3,333 (33.3x)
27,000 to 27,499.99
2.9%
3%
1¢ bid, 3¢ ask
polled, 3 h ago
3¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $3,333 (33.3x)
27,000 to 27,499.99
2.9%
Kalshi 3%polled, 3 h agoBest Yes 3¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $3,333 (33.3x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- 27,000 to 27,499.99
- Last price
- 3%
- As of
- Polled 3 h ago
- Buy Yes
- 3¢
- Sell Yes
- 1¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $3,333 (33.3x)
- Volume
- $113K
27,500 to 27,999.992.9%3%3¢ bid, 4¢ askpolled, 3 h ago4¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)27,500 to 27,999.992.9%Kalshi 3%polled, 3 h agoBest Yes 4¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)
27,500 to 27,999.99
2.9%
3%
3¢ bid, 4¢ ask
polled, 3 h ago
4¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)
27,500 to 27,999.99
2.9%
Kalshi 3%polled, 3 h agoBest Yes 4¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- 27,500 to 27,999.99
- Last price
- 3%
- As of
- Polled 3 h ago
- Buy Yes
- 4¢
- Sell Yes
- 3¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $2,500 (25.0x)
- Volume
- $84K
32,500 to 33,0002.9%3%3¢ bid, 4¢ askpolled, 3 h ago4¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)32,500 to 33,0002.9%Kalshi 3%polled, 3 h agoBest Yes 4¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)
32,500 to 33,000
2.9%
3%
3¢ bid, 4¢ ask
polled, 3 h ago
4¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)
32,500 to 33,000
2.9%
Kalshi 3%polled, 3 h agoBest Yes 4¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- 32,500 to 33,000
- Last price
- 3%
- As of
- Polled 3 h ago
- Buy Yes
- 4¢
- Sell Yes
- 3¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $2,500 (25.0x)
- Volume
- $195K
18,999.99 or below1.9%2%1¢ bid, 2¢ askpolled, 3 h ago2¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)18,999.99 or below1.9%Kalshi 2%polled, 3 h agoBest Yes 2¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
18,999.99 or below
1.9%
2%
1¢ bid, 2¢ ask
polled, 3 h ago
2¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
18,999.99 or below
1.9%
Kalshi 2%polled, 3 h agoBest Yes 2¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- 18,999.99 or below
- Last price
- 2%
- As of
- Polled 3 h ago
- Buy Yes
- 2¢
- Sell Yes
- 1¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $5,000 (50.0x)
- Volume
- $1.3M
24,500 to 24,999.991.9%2%1¢ bid, 2¢ askpolled, 3 h ago2¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)24,500 to 24,999.991.9%Kalshi 2%polled, 3 h agoBest Yes 2¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
24,500 to 24,999.99
1.9%
2%
1¢ bid, 2¢ ask
polled, 3 h ago
2¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
24,500 to 24,999.99
1.9%
Kalshi 2%polled, 3 h agoBest Yes 2¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- 24,500 to 24,999.99
- Last price
- 2%
- As of
- Polled 3 h ago
- Buy Yes
- 2¢
- Sell Yes
- 1¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $5,000 (50.0x)
- Volume
- $139K
25,000 to 25,499.991.9%2%1¢ bid, 2¢ askpolled, 3 h ago2¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)25,000 to 25,499.991.9%Kalshi 2%polled, 3 h agoBest Yes 2¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
25,000 to 25,499.99
1.9%
2%
1¢ bid, 2¢ ask
polled, 3 h ago
2¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
25,000 to 25,499.99
1.9%
Kalshi 2%polled, 3 h agoBest Yes 2¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- 25,000 to 25,499.99
- Last price
- 2%
- As of
- Polled 3 h ago
- Buy Yes
- 2¢
- Sell Yes
- 1¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $5,000 (50.0x)
- Volume
- $103K
25,500 to 25,999.991.9%2%1¢ bid, 2¢ askpolled, 3 h ago2¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)25,500 to 25,999.991.9%Kalshi 2%polled, 3 h agoBest Yes 2¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
25,500 to 25,999.99
1.9%
2%
1¢ bid, 2¢ ask
polled, 3 h ago
2¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
25,500 to 25,999.99
1.9%
Kalshi 2%polled, 3 h agoBest Yes 2¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- 25,500 to 25,999.99
- Last price
- 2%
- As of
- Polled 3 h ago
- Buy Yes
- 2¢
- Sell Yes
- 1¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $5,000 (50.0x)
- Volume
- $129K
26,000 to 26,499.991.9%2%1¢ bid, 2¢ askpolled, 3 h ago2¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)26,000 to 26,499.991.9%Kalshi 2%polled, 3 h agoBest Yes 2¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
26,000 to 26,499.99
1.9%
2%
1¢ bid, 2¢ ask
polled, 3 h ago
2¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
26,000 to 26,499.99
1.9%
Kalshi 2%polled, 3 h agoBest Yes 2¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- 26,000 to 26,499.99
- Last price
- 2%
- As of
- Polled 3 h ago
- Buy Yes
- 2¢
- Sell Yes
- 1¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $5,000 (50.0x)
- Volume
- $108K
26,500 to 26,999.991.9%2%1¢ bid, 2¢ askpolled, 3 h ago2¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)26,500 to 26,999.991.9%Kalshi 2%polled, 3 h agoBest Yes 2¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
26,500 to 26,999.99
1.9%
2%
1¢ bid, 2¢ ask
polled, 3 h ago
2¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
26,500 to 26,999.99
1.9%
Kalshi 2%polled, 3 h agoBest Yes 2¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- 26,500 to 26,999.99
- Last price
- 2%
- As of
- Polled 3 h ago
- Buy Yes
- 2¢
- Sell Yes
- 1¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $5,000 (50.0x)
- Volume
- $97K
19,000 to 19,499.991%1%— bid, 1¢ askpolled, 3 h ago1¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $10,000 (100x)19,000 to 19,499.991%Kalshi 1%polled, 3 h agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
19,000 to 19,499.99
1%
1%
— bid, 1¢ ask
polled, 3 h ago
1¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $10,000 (100x)
19,000 to 19,499.99
1%
Kalshi 1%polled, 3 h agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- 19,000 to 19,499.99
- Last price
- 1%
- As of
- Polled 3 h ago
- Buy Yes
- 1¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $10,000 (100x)
- Volume
- $82K
19,500 to 19,999.991%1%— bid, 1¢ askpolled, 3 h ago1¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $10,000 (100x)19,500 to 19,999.991%Kalshi 1%polled, 3 h agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
19,500 to 19,999.99
1%
1%
— bid, 1¢ ask
polled, 3 h ago
1¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $10,000 (100x)
19,500 to 19,999.99
1%
Kalshi 1%polled, 3 h agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- 19,500 to 19,999.99
- Last price
- 1%
- As of
- Polled 3 h ago
- Buy Yes
- 1¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $10,000 (100x)
- Volume
- $70K
20,000 to 20,499.991%1%— bid, 1¢ askpolled, 3 h ago1¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $10,000 (100x)20,000 to 20,499.991%Kalshi 1%polled, 3 h agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
20,000 to 20,499.99
1%
1%
— bid, 1¢ ask
polled, 3 h ago
1¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $10,000 (100x)
20,000 to 20,499.99
1%
Kalshi 1%polled, 3 h agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- 20,000 to 20,499.99
- Last price
- 1%
- As of
- Polled 3 h ago
- Buy Yes
- 1¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $10,000 (100x)
- Volume
- $36K
20,500 to 20,999.991%1%— bid, 1¢ askpolled, 3 h ago1¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $10,000 (100x)20,500 to 20,999.991%Kalshi 1%polled, 3 h agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
20,500 to 20,999.99
1%
1%
— bid, 1¢ ask
polled, 3 h ago
1¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $10,000 (100x)
20,500 to 20,999.99
1%
Kalshi 1%polled, 3 h agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- 20,500 to 20,999.99
- Last price
- 1%
- As of
- Polled 3 h ago
- Buy Yes
- 1¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $10,000 (100x)
- Volume
- $67K
21,000 to 21,499.990.9%1%— bid, 1¢ askpolled, 3 h ago1¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $10,000 (100x)21,000 to 21,499.990.9%Kalshi 1%polled, 3 h agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
21,000 to 21,499.99
0.9%
1%
— bid, 1¢ ask
polled, 3 h ago
1¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $10,000 (100x)
21,000 to 21,499.99
0.9%
Kalshi 1%polled, 3 h agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- 21,000 to 21,499.99
- Last price
- 1%
- As of
- Polled 3 h ago
- Buy Yes
- 1¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $10,000 (100x)
- Volume
- $77K
21,500 to 21,999.990.9%1%— bid, 1¢ askpolled, 3 h ago1¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $10,000 (100x)21,500 to 21,999.990.9%Kalshi 1%polled, 3 h agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
21,500 to 21,999.99
0.9%
1%
— bid, 1¢ ask
polled, 3 h ago
1¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $10,000 (100x)
21,500 to 21,999.99
0.9%
Kalshi 1%polled, 3 h agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- 21,500 to 21,999.99
- Last price
- 1%
- As of
- Polled 3 h ago
- Buy Yes
- 1¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $10,000 (100x)
- Volume
- $68K
22,000 to 22,499.990.9%1%— bid, 1¢ askpolled, 3 h ago1¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $10,000 (100x)22,000 to 22,499.990.9%Kalshi 1%polled, 3 h agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
22,000 to 22,499.99
0.9%
1%
— bid, 1¢ ask
polled, 3 h ago
1¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $10,000 (100x)
22,000 to 22,499.99
0.9%
Kalshi 1%polled, 3 h agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- 22,000 to 22,499.99
- Last price
- 1%
- As of
- Polled 3 h ago
- Buy Yes
- 1¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $10,000 (100x)
- Volume
- $71K
22,500 to 22,999.990.9%1%— bid, 1¢ askpolled, 3 h ago1¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $10,000 (100x)22,500 to 22,999.990.9%Kalshi 1%polled, 3 h agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
22,500 to 22,999.99
0.9%
1%
— bid, 1¢ ask
polled, 3 h ago
1¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $10,000 (100x)
22,500 to 22,999.99
0.9%
Kalshi 1%polled, 3 h agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- 22,500 to 22,999.99
- Last price
- 1%
- As of
- Polled 3 h ago
- Buy Yes
- 1¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $10,000 (100x)
- Volume
- $77K
23,000 to 23,499.990.9%1%— bid, 1¢ askpolled, 3 h ago1¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $10,000 (100x)23,000 to 23,499.990.9%Kalshi 1%polled, 3 h agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
23,000 to 23,499.99
0.9%
1%
— bid, 1¢ ask
polled, 3 h ago
1¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $10,000 (100x)
23,000 to 23,499.99
0.9%
Kalshi 1%polled, 3 h agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- 23,000 to 23,499.99
- Last price
- 1%
- As of
- Polled 3 h ago
- Buy Yes
- 1¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $10,000 (100x)
- Volume
- $79K
23,500 to 23,999.990.9%1%— bid, 1¢ askpolled, 3 h ago1¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $10,000 (100x)23,500 to 23,999.990.9%Kalshi 1%polled, 3 h agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
23,500 to 23,999.99
0.9%
1%
— bid, 1¢ ask
polled, 3 h ago
1¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $10,000 (100x)
23,500 to 23,999.99
0.9%
Kalshi 1%polled, 3 h agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- 23,500 to 23,999.99
- Last price
- 1%
- As of
- Polled 3 h ago
- Buy Yes
- 1¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $10,000 (100x)
- Volume
- $67K
24,000 to 24,499.990.9%1%— bid, 1¢ askpolled, 3 h ago1¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $10,000 (100x)24,000 to 24,499.990.9%Kalshi 1%polled, 3 h agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
24,000 to 24,499.99
0.9%
1%
— bid, 1¢ ask
polled, 3 h ago
1¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $10,000 (100x)
24,000 to 24,499.99
0.9%
Kalshi 1%polled, 3 h agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- 24,000 to 24,499.99
- Last price
- 1%
- As of
- Polled 3 h ago
- Buy Yes
- 1¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $10,000 (100x)
- Volume
- $106K
Who resolves this market
- Kalshi resolves via:
- Kalshi (CFTC-regulated exchange), source: For example, Google Finance
How the odds have moved
The top 3 outcomes on both venues, with the consensus between them. Hover for exact values.
- 30,500 to 30,999.99
- 33,000.01 or above
- 30,000 to 30,499.99
Order books
Each venue’s resting orders for the selected outcome’s Yes contract, side by side. Top of book streams live; depth refreshes every 15 seconds.
What your stake buys
Enter a stake to see where it buys the most after fees, using each venue’s live order book.
$
Buy
Loading both order books…
Buys at the asks resting now (taker orders), cheapest after fees first, from order-book snapshots up to 15 seconds old. Fees: Kalshi 0.035 × price × (1 − price) per share, rounded up to the cent; Polymarket 0.05 × price × (1 − price) per share (economics rate). Fee calculator. Estimates only, not advice.
About this market
Live prediction market odds for "Nasdaq-100 close price end of 2026?". 30,500 to 30,999.99 leads at 10.5%. Next is 33,000.01 or above at 10.5%. $4.9M has traded across 30 outcomes on Kalshi. The market is expected to resolve by Dec 31, 2026.
Questions
What does the consensus price mean?
It is the price of a Yes contract that pays $1 if the outcome happens. A 14¢ price means traders put the chance near 14%. Where two venues list the same outcome, we blend their last prices, weighting the venue with more trading volume more heavily (neither counts for less than a quarter). When only one outcome can win, each venue’s prices add up to a little over 100% (its margin); the fair chance removes that margin so the outcomes add up to exactly 100%.
How is the payout worked out?
A Yes contract pays $1 if it wins, so at the best ask a $100 stake buys 100 ÷ ask contracts. At 18¢ that is about 555 contracts, paying $556 (5.56x) if Yes happens. Venue fees and price slippage on larger orders are not included.
Why do the venues show different prices?
Each venue has its own traders, fees and order book. Contracts can also settle on slightly different terms, which is why each row lists how closely the rules match.
Is a price gap an arbitrage?
Only when you can buy Yes on one venue below what someone pays for Yes on the other, after fees, and both contracts settle the same way. We show the executable bid and ask so you can check.
How fresh are these prices?
Venue prices refresh every few minutes, and the order book and live quotes stream continuously. Each venue’s card shows when we last observed it.
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