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What the markets expect
29,000 to 29,099.99 20.9%
Next is 29,100 to 29,199.99 at 19.3%. Only Kalshi lists this market, so there is no second price to compare.
Odds by venue
Fair chance strips out each venue’s built-in margin (its prices add up to more than 100%), then blends the venues by how much has traded there, so the outcomes add up to 100%. Best Yes price is the cheapest ask across venues, and the payout is what a winning $100 stake returns before fees. Open a row for each venue’s contract name, bid and ask, and how closely their rules match.
Prices come from our regular polls of each venue, the oldest 59 min ago. Ages are as of when this page was built.
- Kalshi
Outcome
Fair chance
Venue prices on a 0–100% scale
Kalshi
Best Yes price
29,000 to 29,099.9920.9%25%20.9% fair23¢ bid, 26¢ askpolled, 59 min ago26¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $385 (3.85x)29,000 to 29,099.9920.9%Kalshi 25%(20.9% fair)polled, 59 min agoBest Yes 26¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $385 (3.85x)
29,000 to 29,099.99
20.9%
25%
20.9% fair
23¢ bid, 26¢ ask
polled, 59 min ago
26¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $385 (3.85x)
29,000 to 29,099.99
20.9%
Kalshi 25%(20.9% fair)polled, 59 min agoBest Yes 26¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $385 (3.85x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- 29,000 to 29,099.99
- Last price
- 25%
- Fair, margin removed
- 20.9%
- As of
- Polled 59 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 26¢
- Sell Yes
- 23¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $385 (3.85x)
- Volume
- $16
29,100 to 29,199.9919.3%23%19.2% fair23¢ bid, 25¢ askpolled, 59 min ago25¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $400 (4.00x)29,100 to 29,199.9919.3%Kalshi 23%(19.2% fair)polled, 59 min agoBest Yes 25¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $400 (4.00x)
29,100 to 29,199.99
19.3%
23%
19.2% fair
23¢ bid, 25¢ ask
polled, 59 min ago
25¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $400 (4.00x)
29,100 to 29,199.99
19.3%
Kalshi 23%(19.2% fair)polled, 59 min agoBest Yes 25¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $400 (4.00x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- 29,100 to 29,199.99
- Last price
- 23%
- Fair, margin removed
- 19.2%
- As of
- Polled 59 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 25¢
- Sell Yes
- 23¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $400 (4.00x)
- Volume
- $4
28,900 to 28,999.9911.7%14%11.7% fair13¢ bid, 17¢ askpolled, 59 min ago17¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $588 (5.88x)28,900 to 28,999.9911.7%Kalshi 14%(11.7% fair)polled, 59 min agoBest Yes 17¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $588 (5.88x)
28,900 to 28,999.99
11.7%
14%
11.7% fair
13¢ bid, 17¢ ask
polled, 59 min ago
17¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $588 (5.88x)
28,900 to 28,999.99
11.7%
Kalshi 14%(11.7% fair)polled, 59 min agoBest Yes 17¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $588 (5.88x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- 28,900 to 28,999.99
- Last price
- 14%
- Fair, margin removed
- 11.7%
- As of
- Polled 59 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 17¢
- Sell Yes
- 13¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $588 (5.88x)
- Volume
- $77
29,200 to 29,299.9910.1%12%10% fair12¢ bid, 17¢ askpolled, 59 min ago17¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $588 (5.88x)29,200 to 29,299.9910.1%Kalshi 12%(10% fair)polled, 59 min agoBest Yes 17¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $588 (5.88x)
29,200 to 29,299.99
10.1%
12%
10% fair
12¢ bid, 17¢ ask
polled, 59 min ago
17¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $588 (5.88x)
29,200 to 29,299.99
10.1%
Kalshi 12%(10% fair)polled, 59 min agoBest Yes 17¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $588 (5.88x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- 29,200 to 29,299.99
- Last price
- 12%
- Fair, margin removed
- 10%
- As of
- Polled 59 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 17¢
- Sell Yes
- 12¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $588 (5.88x)
- Volume
- $4
28,800 to 28,899.998.4%10%8.4% fair6¢ bid, 11¢ askpolled, 59 min ago11¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $909 (9.09x)28,800 to 28,899.998.4%Kalshi 10%(8.4% fair)polled, 59 min agoBest Yes 11¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $909 (9.09x)
28,800 to 28,899.99
8.4%
10%
8.4% fair
6¢ bid, 11¢ ask
polled, 59 min ago
11¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $909 (9.09x)
28,800 to 28,899.99
8.4%
Kalshi 10%(8.4% fair)polled, 59 min agoBest Yes 11¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $909 (9.09x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- 28,800 to 28,899.99
- Last price
- 10%
- Fair, margin removed
- 8.4%
- As of
- Polled 59 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 11¢
- Sell Yes
- 6¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $909 (9.09x)
- Volume
- $14
28,700 to 28,799.995.9%7%5.9% fair3¢ bid, 7¢ askpolled, 59 min ago7¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $1,429 (14.3x)28,700 to 28,799.995.9%Kalshi 7%(5.9% fair)polled, 59 min agoBest Yes 7¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,429 (14.3x)
28,700 to 28,799.99
5.9%
7%
5.9% fair
3¢ bid, 7¢ ask
polled, 59 min ago
7¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $1,429 (14.3x)
28,700 to 28,799.99
5.9%
Kalshi 7%(5.9% fair)polled, 59 min agoBest Yes 7¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,429 (14.3x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- 28,700 to 28,799.99
- Last price
- 7%
- Fair, margin removed
- 5.9%
- As of
- Polled 59 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 7¢
- Sell Yes
- 3¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,429 (14.3x)
- Volume
- $4
29,300 to 29,399.995.9%7%5.9% fair3¢ bid, 7¢ askpolled, 59 min ago7¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $1,429 (14.3x)29,300 to 29,399.995.9%Kalshi 7%(5.9% fair)polled, 59 min agoBest Yes 7¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,429 (14.3x)
29,300 to 29,399.99
5.9%
7%
5.9% fair
3¢ bid, 7¢ ask
polled, 59 min ago
7¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $1,429 (14.3x)
29,300 to 29,399.99
5.9%
Kalshi 7%(5.9% fair)polled, 59 min agoBest Yes 7¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,429 (14.3x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- 29,300 to 29,399.99
- Last price
- 7%
- Fair, margin removed
- 5.9%
- As of
- Polled 59 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 7¢
- Sell Yes
- 3¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,429 (14.3x)
- Volume
- $14
28,600 to 28,699.992.9%3.5%2.9% fair3¢ bid, 4¢ askpolled, 59 min ago4¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)28,600 to 28,699.992.9%Kalshi 3.5%(2.9% fair)polled, 59 min agoBest Yes 4¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)
28,600 to 28,699.99
2.9%
3.5%
2.9% fair
3¢ bid, 4¢ ask
polled, 59 min ago
4¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)
28,600 to 28,699.99
2.9%
Kalshi 3.5%(2.9% fair)polled, 59 min agoBest Yes 4¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- 28,600 to 28,699.99
- Last price
- 3.5%
- Fair, margin removed
- 2.9%
- As of
- Polled 59 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 4¢
- Sell Yes
- 3¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $2,500 (25.0x)
29,400 to 29,499.992.9%3.5%2.9% fair3¢ bid, 4¢ askpolled, 59 min ago4¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)29,400 to 29,499.992.9%Kalshi 3.5%(2.9% fair)polled, 59 min agoBest Yes 4¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)
29,400 to 29,499.99
2.9%
3.5%
2.9% fair
3¢ bid, 4¢ ask
polled, 59 min ago
4¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)
29,400 to 29,499.99
2.9%
Kalshi 3.5%(2.9% fair)polled, 59 min agoBest Yes 4¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- 29,400 to 29,499.99
- Last price
- 3.5%
- Fair, margin removed
- 2.9%
- As of
- Polled 59 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 4¢
- Sell Yes
- 3¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $2,500 (25.0x)
29,600 to 29,699.991.3%1.5%— bid, 3¢ askpolled, 59 min ago3¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $3,333 (33.3x)29,600 to 29,699.991.3%Kalshi 1.5%polled, 59 min agoBest Yes 3¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $3,333 (33.3x)
29,600 to 29,699.99
1.3%
1.5%
— bid, 3¢ ask
polled, 59 min ago
3¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $3,333 (33.3x)
29,600 to 29,699.99
1.3%
Kalshi 1.5%polled, 59 min agoBest Yes 3¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $3,333 (33.3x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- 29,600 to 29,699.99
- Last price
- 1.5%
- As of
- Polled 59 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 3¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $3,333 (33.3x)
Show 20 more outcomesHide 20 outcomes
28,499.99 or below0.9%1%— bid, 1¢ askpolled, 59 min ago1¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $10,000 (100x)28,499.99 or below0.9%Kalshi 1%polled, 59 min agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
28,499.99 or below
0.9%
1%
— bid, 1¢ ask
polled, 59 min ago
1¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $10,000 (100x)
28,499.99 or below
0.9%
Kalshi 1%polled, 59 min agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- 28,499.99 or below
- Last price
- 1%
- As of
- Polled 59 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 1¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $10,000 (100x)
- Volume
- $802
28,500 to 28,599.990.9%1%— bid, 1¢ askpolled, 59 min ago1¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $10,000 (100x)28,500 to 28,599.990.9%Kalshi 1%polled, 59 min agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
28,500 to 28,599.99
0.9%
1%
— bid, 1¢ ask
polled, 59 min ago
1¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $10,000 (100x)
28,500 to 28,599.99
0.9%
Kalshi 1%polled, 59 min agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- 28,500 to 28,599.99
- Last price
- 1%
- As of
- Polled 59 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 1¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $10,000 (100x)
- Volume
- $1
29,500 to 29,599.990.9%1%— bid, 3¢ askpolled, 59 min ago3¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $3,333 (33.3x)29,500 to 29,599.990.9%Kalshi 1%polled, 59 min agoBest Yes 3¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $3,333 (33.3x)
29,500 to 29,599.99
0.9%
1%
— bid, 3¢ ask
polled, 59 min ago
3¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $3,333 (33.3x)
29,500 to 29,599.99
0.9%
Kalshi 1%polled, 59 min agoBest Yes 3¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $3,333 (33.3x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- 29,500 to 29,599.99
- Last price
- 1%
- As of
- Polled 59 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 3¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $3,333 (33.3x)
- Volume
- $50
29,700 to 29,799.990.8%1%— bid, 1¢ askpolled, 59 min ago1¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $10,000 (100x)29,700 to 29,799.990.8%Kalshi 1%polled, 59 min agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
29,700 to 29,799.99
0.8%
1%
— bid, 1¢ ask
polled, 59 min ago
1¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $10,000 (100x)
29,700 to 29,799.99
0.8%
Kalshi 1%polled, 59 min agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- 29,700 to 29,799.99
- Last price
- 1%
- As of
- Polled 59 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 1¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $10,000 (100x)
- Volume
- $9
29,900 to 29,999.990.8%1%— bid, 1¢ askpolled, 59 min ago1¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $10,000 (100x)29,900 to 29,999.990.8%Kalshi 1%polled, 59 min agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
29,900 to 29,999.99
0.8%
1%
— bid, 1¢ ask
polled, 59 min ago
1¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $10,000 (100x)
29,900 to 29,999.99
0.8%
Kalshi 1%polled, 59 min agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- 29,900 to 29,999.99
- Last price
- 1%
- As of
- Polled 59 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 1¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $10,000 (100x)
- Volume
- $2
30,500 to 30,599.990.8%1%— bid, 1¢ askpolled, 59 min ago1¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $10,000 (100x)30,500 to 30,599.990.8%Kalshi 1%polled, 59 min agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
30,500 to 30,599.99
0.8%
1%
— bid, 1¢ ask
polled, 59 min ago
1¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $10,000 (100x)
30,500 to 30,599.99
0.8%
Kalshi 1%polled, 59 min agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- 30,500 to 30,599.99
- Last price
- 1%
- As of
- Polled 59 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 1¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $10,000 (100x)
- Volume
- $4
29,800 to 29,899.990.4%0.5%— bid, 1¢ askpolled, 59 min ago1¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $10,000 (100x)29,800 to 29,899.990.4%Kalshi 0.5%polled, 59 min agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
29,800 to 29,899.99
0.4%
0.5%
— bid, 1¢ ask
polled, 59 min ago
1¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $10,000 (100x)
29,800 to 29,899.99
0.4%
Kalshi 0.5%polled, 59 min agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- 29,800 to 29,899.99
- Last price
- 0.5%
- As of
- Polled 59 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 1¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $10,000 (100x)
30,000 to 30,099.990.4%0.5%— bid, 1¢ askpolled, 59 min ago1¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $10,000 (100x)30,000 to 30,099.990.4%Kalshi 0.5%polled, 59 min agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
30,000 to 30,099.99
0.4%
0.5%
— bid, 1¢ ask
polled, 59 min ago
1¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $10,000 (100x)
30,000 to 30,099.99
0.4%
Kalshi 0.5%polled, 59 min agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- 30,000 to 30,099.99
- Last price
- 0.5%
- As of
- Polled 59 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 1¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $10,000 (100x)
30,100 to 30,199.990.4%0.5%— bid, 1¢ askpolled, 59 min ago1¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $10,000 (100x)30,100 to 30,199.990.4%Kalshi 0.5%polled, 59 min agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
30,100 to 30,199.99
0.4%
0.5%
— bid, 1¢ ask
polled, 59 min ago
1¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $10,000 (100x)
30,100 to 30,199.99
0.4%
Kalshi 0.5%polled, 59 min agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- 30,100 to 30,199.99
- Last price
- 0.5%
- As of
- Polled 59 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 1¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $10,000 (100x)
30,200 to 30,299.990.4%0.5%— bid, 1¢ askpolled, 59 min ago1¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $10,000 (100x)30,200 to 30,299.990.4%Kalshi 0.5%polled, 59 min agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
30,200 to 30,299.99
0.4%
0.5%
— bid, 1¢ ask
polled, 59 min ago
1¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $10,000 (100x)
30,200 to 30,299.99
0.4%
Kalshi 0.5%polled, 59 min agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- 30,200 to 30,299.99
- Last price
- 0.5%
- As of
- Polled 59 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 1¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $10,000 (100x)
30,300 to 30,399.990.4%0.5%— bid, 1¢ askpolled, 59 min ago1¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $10,000 (100x)30,300 to 30,399.990.4%Kalshi 0.5%polled, 59 min agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
30,300 to 30,399.99
0.4%
0.5%
— bid, 1¢ ask
polled, 59 min ago
1¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $10,000 (100x)
30,300 to 30,399.99
0.4%
Kalshi 0.5%polled, 59 min agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- 30,300 to 30,399.99
- Last price
- 0.5%
- As of
- Polled 59 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 1¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $10,000 (100x)
30,400 to 30,499.990.4%0.5%— bid, 1¢ askpolled, 59 min ago1¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $10,000 (100x)30,400 to 30,499.990.4%Kalshi 0.5%polled, 59 min agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
30,400 to 30,499.99
0.4%
0.5%
— bid, 1¢ ask
polled, 59 min ago
1¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $10,000 (100x)
30,400 to 30,499.99
0.4%
Kalshi 0.5%polled, 59 min agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- 30,400 to 30,499.99
- Last price
- 0.5%
- As of
- Polled 59 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 1¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $10,000 (100x)
30,600 to 30,699.990.4%0.5%— bid, 1¢ askpolled, 59 min ago1¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $10,000 (100x)30,600 to 30,699.990.4%Kalshi 0.5%polled, 59 min agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
30,600 to 30,699.99
0.4%
0.5%
— bid, 1¢ ask
polled, 59 min ago
1¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $10,000 (100x)
30,600 to 30,699.99
0.4%
Kalshi 0.5%polled, 59 min agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- 30,600 to 30,699.99
- Last price
- 0.5%
- As of
- Polled 59 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 1¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $10,000 (100x)
30,700 to 30,799.990.4%0.5%— bid, 1¢ askpolled, 59 min ago1¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $10,000 (100x)30,700 to 30,799.990.4%Kalshi 0.5%polled, 59 min agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
30,700 to 30,799.99
0.4%
0.5%
— bid, 1¢ ask
polled, 59 min ago
1¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $10,000 (100x)
30,700 to 30,799.99
0.4%
Kalshi 0.5%polled, 59 min agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- 30,700 to 30,799.99
- Last price
- 0.5%
- As of
- Polled 59 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 1¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $10,000 (100x)
30,800 to 30,899.990.4%0.5%— bid, 1¢ askpolled, 59 min ago1¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $10,000 (100x)30,800 to 30,899.990.4%Kalshi 0.5%polled, 59 min agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
30,800 to 30,899.99
0.4%
0.5%
— bid, 1¢ ask
polled, 59 min ago
1¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $10,000 (100x)
30,800 to 30,899.99
0.4%
Kalshi 0.5%polled, 59 min agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- 30,800 to 30,899.99
- Last price
- 0.5%
- As of
- Polled 59 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 1¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $10,000 (100x)
30,900 to 30,999.990.4%0.5%— bid, 1¢ askpolled, 59 min ago1¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $10,000 (100x)30,900 to 30,999.990.4%Kalshi 0.5%polled, 59 min agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
30,900 to 30,999.99
0.4%
0.5%
— bid, 1¢ ask
polled, 59 min ago
1¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $10,000 (100x)
30,900 to 30,999.99
0.4%
Kalshi 0.5%polled, 59 min agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- 30,900 to 30,999.99
- Last price
- 0.5%
- As of
- Polled 59 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 1¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $10,000 (100x)
31,000 to 31,099.990.4%0.5%— bid, 1¢ askpolled, 59 min ago1¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $10,000 (100x)31,000 to 31,099.990.4%Kalshi 0.5%polled, 59 min agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
31,000 to 31,099.99
0.4%
0.5%
— bid, 1¢ ask
polled, 59 min ago
1¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $10,000 (100x)
31,000 to 31,099.99
0.4%
Kalshi 0.5%polled, 59 min agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- 31,000 to 31,099.99
- Last price
- 0.5%
- As of
- Polled 59 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 1¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $10,000 (100x)
31,100 to 31,199.990.4%0.5%— bid, 1¢ askpolled, 59 min ago1¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $10,000 (100x)31,100 to 31,199.990.4%Kalshi 0.5%polled, 59 min agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
31,100 to 31,199.99
0.4%
0.5%
— bid, 1¢ ask
polled, 59 min ago
1¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $10,000 (100x)
31,100 to 31,199.99
0.4%
Kalshi 0.5%polled, 59 min agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- 31,100 to 31,199.99
- Last price
- 0.5%
- As of
- Polled 59 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 1¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $10,000 (100x)
31,200 to 31,299.990.4%0.5%— bid, 1¢ askpolled, 59 min ago1¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $10,000 (100x)31,200 to 31,299.990.4%Kalshi 0.5%polled, 59 min agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
31,200 to 31,299.99
0.4%
0.5%
— bid, 1¢ ask
polled, 59 min ago
1¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $10,000 (100x)
31,200 to 31,299.99
0.4%
Kalshi 0.5%polled, 59 min agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- 31,200 to 31,299.99
- Last price
- 0.5%
- As of
- Polled 59 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 1¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $10,000 (100x)
31,300 or above0.4%0.5%— bid, 1¢ askpolled, 59 min ago1¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $10,000 (100x)31,300 or above0.4%Kalshi 0.5%polled, 59 min agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
31,300 or above
0.4%
0.5%
— bid, 1¢ ask
polled, 59 min ago
1¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $10,000 (100x)
31,300 or above
0.4%
Kalshi 0.5%polled, 59 min agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- 31,300 or above
- Last price
- 0.5%
- As of
- Polled 59 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 1¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $10,000 (100x)
Who resolves this market
- Kalshi resolves via:
- Kalshi (CFTC-regulated exchange), source: For example, Google Finance
How the odds have moved
The top 3 outcomes on both venues, with the consensus between them. Hover for exact values.
- 29,000 to 29,099.99
- 29,100 to 29,199.99
- 28,900 to 28,999.99
Order books
Each venue’s resting orders for the selected outcome’s Yes contract, side by side. Top of book streams live; depth refreshes every 15 seconds.
What your stake buys
Enter a stake to see where it buys the most after fees, using each venue’s live order book.
$
Buy
Loading both order books…
Buys at the asks resting now (taker orders), cheapest after fees first, from order-book snapshots up to 15 seconds old. Fees: Kalshi 0.035 × price × (1 − price) per share, rounded up to the cent; Polymarket 0.05 × price × (1 − price) per share (economics rate). Fee calculator. Estimates only, not advice.
About this market
Live prediction market odds for "Nasdaq-100 price range on Oct 23, 2026 at 4pm EDT?". 29,000 to 29,099.99 leads at 20.9%. Next is 29,100 to 29,199.99 at 19.3%. $1K has traded across 30 outcomes on Kalshi. The market is expected to resolve by Oct 23, 2026.
Questions
What does the consensus price mean?
It is the price of a Yes contract that pays $1 if the outcome happens. A 14¢ price means traders put the chance near 14%. Where two venues list the same outcome, we blend their last prices, weighting the venue with more trading volume more heavily (neither counts for less than a quarter). When only one outcome can win, each venue’s prices add up to a little over 100% (its margin); the fair chance removes that margin so the outcomes add up to exactly 100%.
How is the payout worked out?
A Yes contract pays $1 if it wins, so at the best ask a $100 stake buys 100 ÷ ask contracts. At 18¢ that is about 555 contracts, paying $556 (5.56x) if Yes happens. Venue fees and price slippage on larger orders are not included.
Why do the venues show different prices?
Each venue has its own traders, fees and order book. Contracts can also settle on slightly different terms, which is why each row lists how closely the rules match.
Is a price gap an arbitrage?
Only when you can buy Yes on one venue below what someone pays for Yes on the other, after fees, and both contracts settle the same way. We show the executable bid and ask so you can check.
How fresh are these prices?
Venue prices refresh every few minutes, and the order book and live quotes stream continuously. Each venue’s card shows when we last observed it.
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