Top of book
ConnectingBest bid
—
Spread
—
Best ask
—
Waiting for the first live quote…
What the markets expect
Pete Crow-Armstrong 99%
Next is Shohei Ohtani at 97%. Only Kalshi lists this market, so there is no second price to compare.
Odds by venue
Consensus blends each venue’s last price, weighted by how much has traded there. Best Yes price is the cheapest ask across venues, and the payout is what a winning $100 stake returns before fees. Open a row for each venue’s contract name, bid and ask, and how closely their rules match.
Prices come from our regular polls of each venue. Ages are as of when this page was built.
- Kalshi
Outcome
Consensus
Venue prices on a 0–100% scale
Kalshi
Best Yes price
Pete Crow-Armstrong99%99%75¢ bid, — askpolled, 59s agoNo askPete Crow-Armstrong99%Kalshi 99%polled, 59s ago
Pete Crow-Armstrong
99%
99%
75¢ bid, — ask
polled, 59s ago
No ask
Pete Crow-Armstrong
99%
Kalshi 99%polled, 59s ago
Kalshi
- Contract
- Pete Crow-Armstrong
- Last price
- 99%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- —
- Sell Yes
- 75¢
- Volume
- $1K
Shohei Ohtani97%97%70¢ bid, — askpolled, 59s agoNo askShohei Ohtani97%Kalshi 97%polled, 59s ago
Shohei Ohtani
97%
97%
70¢ bid, — ask
polled, 59s ago
No ask
Shohei Ohtani
97%
Kalshi 97%polled, 59s ago
Kalshi
- Contract
- Shohei Ohtani
- Last price
- 97%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- —
- Sell Yes
- 70¢
- Volume
- $5K
Jacob Misiorowski75%75%— bid, 75¢ askpolled, 59s ago75¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $133 (1.33x)Jacob Misiorowski75%Kalshi 75%polled, 59s agoBest Yes 75¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $133 (1.33x)
Jacob Misiorowski
75%
75%
— bid, 75¢ ask
polled, 59s ago
75¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $133 (1.33x)
Jacob Misiorowski
75%
Kalshi 75%polled, 59s agoBest Yes 75¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $133 (1.33x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Jacob Misiorowski
- Last price
- 75%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 75¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $133 (1.33x)
- Volume
- $1K
Bo Bichette50%50%No order bookpolled, 59s agoNo askBo Bichette50%Kalshi 50%polled, 59s ago
Bo Bichette
50%
50%
No order book
polled, 59s ago
No ask
Bo Bichette
50%
Kalshi 50%polled, 59s ago
Christian Yelich50%50%No order bookpolled, 59s agoNo askChristian Yelich50%Kalshi 50%polled, 59s ago
Christian Yelich
50%
50%
No order book
polled, 59s ago
No ask
Christian Yelich
50%
Kalshi 50%polled, 59s ago
Kalshi
- Contract
- Christian Yelich
- Last price
- 50%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- —
- Sell Yes
- —
Drake Baldwin50%50%No order bookpolled, 59s agoNo askDrake Baldwin50%Kalshi 50%polled, 59s ago
Drake Baldwin
50%
50%
No order book
polled, 59s ago
No ask
Drake Baldwin
50%
Kalshi 50%polled, 59s ago
Freddie Freeman50%50%No order bookpolled, 59s agoNo askFreddie Freeman50%Kalshi 50%polled, 59s ago
Freddie Freeman
50%
50%
No order book
polled, 59s ago
No ask
Freddie Freeman
50%
Kalshi 50%polled, 59s ago
Geraldo Perdomo50%50%No order bookpolled, 59s agoNo askGeraldo Perdomo50%Kalshi 50%polled, 59s ago
Geraldo Perdomo
50%
50%
No order book
polled, 59s ago
No ask
Geraldo Perdomo
50%
Kalshi 50%polled, 59s ago
Jackson Merrill50%50%No order bookpolled, 59s agoNo askJackson Merrill50%Kalshi 50%polled, 59s ago
Jackson Merrill
50%
50%
No order book
polled, 59s ago
No ask
Jackson Merrill
50%
Kalshi 50%polled, 59s ago
Ketel Marte50%50%No order bookpolled, 59s agoNo askKetel Marte50%Kalshi 50%polled, 59s ago
Ketel Marte
50%
50%
No order book
polled, 59s ago
No ask
Ketel Marte
50%
Kalshi 50%polled, 59s ago
Show 21 more outcomesHide 21 outcomes
Kyle Tucker50%50%No order bookpolled, 59s agoNo askKyle Tucker50%Kalshi 50%polled, 59s ago
Kyle Tucker
50%
50%
No order book
polled, 59s ago
No ask
Kyle Tucker
50%
Kalshi 50%polled, 59s ago
Luis Robert50%50%No order bookpolled, 59s agoNo askLuis Robert50%Kalshi 50%polled, 59s ago
Luis Robert
50%
50%
No order book
polled, 59s ago
No ask
Luis Robert
50%
Kalshi 50%polled, 59s ago
Max Muncy (LAD)50%50%No order bookpolled, 59s agoNo askMax Muncy (LAD)50%Kalshi 50%polled, 59s ago
Max Muncy (LAD)
50%
50%
No order book
polled, 59s ago
No ask
Max Muncy (LAD)
50%
Kalshi 50%polled, 59s ago
Michael Busch50%50%No order bookpolled, 59s agoNo askMichael Busch50%Kalshi 50%polled, 59s ago
Michael Busch
50%
50%
No order book
polled, 59s ago
No ask
Michael Busch
50%
Kalshi 50%polled, 59s ago
Michael Harris50%50%No order bookpolled, 59s agoNo askMichael Harris50%Kalshi 50%polled, 59s ago
Michael Harris
50%
50%
No order book
polled, 59s ago
No ask
Michael Harris
50%
Kalshi 50%polled, 59s ago
Nico Hoerner50%50%No order bookpolled, 59s agoNo askNico Hoerner50%Kalshi 50%polled, 59s ago
Nico Hoerner
50%
50%
No order book
polled, 59s ago
No ask
Nico Hoerner
50%
Kalshi 50%polled, 59s ago
Oneil Cruz50%50%No order bookpolled, 59s agoNo askOneil Cruz50%Kalshi 50%polled, 59s ago
Oneil Cruz
50%
50%
No order book
polled, 59s ago
No ask
Oneil Cruz
50%
Kalshi 50%polled, 59s ago
Paul Skenes50%50%No order bookpolled, 59s agoNo askPaul Skenes50%Kalshi 50%polled, 59s ago
Paul Skenes
50%
50%
No order book
polled, 59s ago
No ask
Paul Skenes
50%
Kalshi 50%polled, 59s ago
Ronald Acuña Jr.50%50%No order bookpolled, 59s agoNo askRonald Acuña Jr.50%Kalshi 50%polled, 59s ago
Ronald Acuña Jr.
50%
50%
No order book
polled, 59s ago
No ask
Ronald Acuña Jr.
50%
Kalshi 50%polled, 59s ago
Kalshi
- Contract
- Ronald Acuña Jr.
- Last price
- 50%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- —
- Sell Yes
- —
Willy Adames50%50%No order bookpolled, 59s agoNo askWilly Adames50%Kalshi 50%polled, 59s ago
Willy Adames
50%
50%
No order book
polled, 59s ago
No ask
Willy Adames
50%
Kalshi 50%polled, 59s ago
Kyle Schwarber11%11%— bid, 75¢ askpolled, 59s ago75¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $133 (1.33x)Kyle Schwarber11%Kalshi 11%polled, 59s agoBest Yes 75¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $133 (1.33x)
Kyle Schwarber
11%
11%
— bid, 75¢ ask
polled, 59s ago
75¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $133 (1.33x)
Kyle Schwarber
11%
Kalshi 11%polled, 59s agoBest Yes 75¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $133 (1.33x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Kyle Schwarber
- Last price
- 11%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 75¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $133 (1.33x)
- Volume
- $3K
Matt Olson9%9%— bid, 75¢ askpolled, 59s ago75¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $133 (1.33x)Matt Olson9%Kalshi 9%polled, 59s agoBest Yes 75¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $133 (1.33x)
Matt Olson
9%
9%
— bid, 75¢ ask
polled, 59s ago
75¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $133 (1.33x)
Matt Olson
9%
Kalshi 9%polled, 59s agoBest Yes 75¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $133 (1.33x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Matt Olson
- Last price
- 9%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 75¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $133 (1.33x)
- Volume
- $3K
Brice Turang6%6%— bid, 25¢ askpolled, 59s ago25¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $400 (4.00x)Brice Turang6%Kalshi 6%polled, 59s agoBest Yes 25¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $400 (4.00x)
Brice Turang
6%
6%
— bid, 25¢ ask
polled, 59s ago
25¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $400 (4.00x)
Brice Turang
6%
Kalshi 6%polled, 59s agoBest Yes 25¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $400 (4.00x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Brice Turang
- Last price
- 6%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 25¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $400 (4.00x)
- Volume
- $612
Bryce Harper5%5%No order bookpolled, 59s agoNo askBryce Harper5%Kalshi 5%polled, 59s ago
Bryce Harper
5%
5%
No order book
polled, 59s ago
No ask
Bryce Harper
5%
Kalshi 5%polled, 59s ago
Kalshi
- Contract
- Bryce Harper
- Last price
- 5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- —
- Sell Yes
- —
- Volume
- $94
Jackson Chourio5%5%— bid, 25¢ askpolled, 59s ago25¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $400 (4.00x)Jackson Chourio5%Kalshi 5%polled, 59s agoBest Yes 25¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $400 (4.00x)
Jackson Chourio
5%
5%
— bid, 25¢ ask
polled, 59s ago
25¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $400 (4.00x)
Jackson Chourio
5%
Kalshi 5%polled, 59s agoBest Yes 25¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $400 (4.00x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Jackson Chourio
- Last price
- 5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 25¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $400 (4.00x)
- Volume
- $698
Fernando Tatis Jr.4%4%— bid, 25¢ askpolled, 59s ago25¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $400 (4.00x)Fernando Tatis Jr.4%Kalshi 4%polled, 59s agoBest Yes 25¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $400 (4.00x)
Fernando Tatis Jr.
4%
4%
— bid, 25¢ ask
polled, 59s ago
25¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $400 (4.00x)
Fernando Tatis Jr.
4%
Kalshi 4%polled, 59s agoBest Yes 25¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $400 (4.00x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Fernando Tatis Jr.
- Last price
- 4%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 25¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $400 (4.00x)
- Volume
- $203
Corbin Carroll3%3%— bid, 25¢ askpolled, 59s ago25¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $400 (4.00x)Corbin Carroll3%Kalshi 3%polled, 59s agoBest Yes 25¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $400 (4.00x)
Corbin Carroll
3%
3%
— bid, 25¢ ask
polled, 59s ago
25¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $400 (4.00x)
Corbin Carroll
3%
Kalshi 3%polled, 59s agoBest Yes 25¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $400 (4.00x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Corbin Carroll
- Last price
- 3%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 25¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $400 (4.00x)
- Volume
- $1K
Elly De La Cruz3%3%— bid, 99¢ askpolled, 59s ago99¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $101 (1.01x)Elly De La Cruz3%Kalshi 3%polled, 59s agoBest Yes 99¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $101 (1.01x)
Elly De La Cruz
3%
3%
— bid, 99¢ ask
polled, 59s ago
99¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $101 (1.01x)
Elly De La Cruz
3%
Kalshi 3%polled, 59s agoBest Yes 99¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $101 (1.01x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Elly De La Cruz
- Last price
- 3%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 99¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $101 (1.01x)
- Volume
- $5K
James Wood3%3%— bid, 25¢ askpolled, 59s ago25¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $400 (4.00x)James Wood3%Kalshi 3%polled, 59s agoBest Yes 25¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $400 (4.00x)
James Wood
3%
3%
— bid, 25¢ ask
polled, 59s ago
25¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $400 (4.00x)
James Wood
3%
Kalshi 3%polled, 59s agoBest Yes 25¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $400 (4.00x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- James Wood
- Last price
- 3%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 25¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $400 (4.00x)
- Volume
- $2K
Jordan Walker3%3%— bid, 25¢ askpolled, 59s ago25¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $400 (4.00x)Jordan Walker3%Kalshi 3%polled, 59s agoBest Yes 25¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $400 (4.00x)
Jordan Walker
3%
3%
— bid, 25¢ ask
polled, 59s ago
25¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $400 (4.00x)
Jordan Walker
3%
Kalshi 3%polled, 59s agoBest Yes 25¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $400 (4.00x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Jordan Walker
- Last price
- 3%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 25¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $400 (4.00x)
- Volume
- $281
Juan Soto2%2%2¢ bid, 25¢ askpolled, 59s ago25¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $400 (4.00x)Juan Soto2%Kalshi 2%polled, 59s agoBest Yes 25¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $400 (4.00x)
Juan Soto
2%
2%
2¢ bid, 25¢ ask
polled, 59s ago
25¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $400 (4.00x)
Juan Soto
2%
Kalshi 2%polled, 59s agoBest Yes 25¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $400 (4.00x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Juan Soto
- Last price
- 2%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 25¢
- Sell Yes
- 2¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $400 (4.00x)
- Volume
- $1K
Who resolves this market
- Kalshi resolves via:
- Kalshi (CFTC-regulated exchange), source: ESPN, the Governing League
How the odds have moved
The top 3 outcomes on both venues, with the consensus between them. Hover for exact values.
- Pete Crow-Armstrong
- Shohei Ohtani
- Jacob Misiorowski
Order books
Each venue’s resting orders for the selected outcome’s Yes contract, side by side. Top of book streams live; depth refreshes every 15 seconds.
What your stake buys
Enter a stake to see where it buys the most after fees, using each venue’s live order book.
$
Buy
Loading both order books…
Buys at the asks resting now (taker orders), cheapest after fees first, from order-book snapshots up to 15 seconds old. Fees: Kalshi 0.07 × price × (1 − price) per share, rounded up to the cent; Polymarket 0.05 × price × (1 − price) per share (sports rate). Fee calculator. Estimates only, not advice.
About this market
Live prediction market odds for "National League MVP Finalists". Pete Crow-Armstrong leads at 99%. Next is Shohei Ohtani at 97%. $26K has traded across 31 outcomes on Kalshi. The market is expected to resolve by Dec 8, 2026.
Questions
What does the consensus price mean?
It is the price of a Yes contract that pays $1 if the outcome happens. A 14¢ price means traders put the chance near 14%. Where two venues list the same outcome, we blend their last prices, weighting the venue with more trading volume more heavily (neither counts for less than a quarter). When only one outcome can win, each venue’s prices add up to a little over 100% (its margin); the fair chance removes that margin so the outcomes add up to exactly 100%.
How is the payout worked out?
A Yes contract pays $1 if it wins, so at the best ask a $100 stake buys 100 ÷ ask contracts. At 18¢ that is about 555 contracts, paying $556 (5.56x) if Yes happens. Venue fees and price slippage on larger orders are not included.
Why do the venues show different prices?
Each venue has its own traders, fees and order book. Contracts can also settle on slightly different terms, which is why each row lists how closely the rules match.
Is a price gap an arbitrage?
Only when you can buy Yes on one venue below what someone pays for Yes on the other, after fees, and both contracts settle the same way. We show the executable bid and ask so you can check.
How fresh are these prices?
Venue prices refresh every few minutes, and the order book and live quotes stream continuously. Each venue’s card shows when we last observed it.
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