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Best ask
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Waiting for the first live quote…
What the markets expect
Above $2.299 99%
Next is Above $2.199 at 97.5%. Only Kalshi lists this market, so there is no second price to compare.
Odds by venue
Consensus blends each venue’s last price, weighted by how much has traded there. Best Yes price is the cheapest ask across venues, and the payout is what a winning $100 stake returns before fees. Open a row for each venue’s contract name, bid and ask, and how closely their rules match.
Prices come from our regular polls of each venue, the oldest 6 min ago. Ages are as of when this page was built.
- Kalshi
Outcome
Consensus
Venue prices on a 0–100% scale
Kalshi
Best Yes price
Above $2.29999%99%95¢ bid, 99¢ askpolled, 6 min ago99¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $101 (1.01x)Above $2.29999%Kalshi 99%polled, 6 min agoBest Yes 99¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $101 (1.01x)
Above $2.299
99%
99%
95¢ bid, 99¢ ask
polled, 6 min ago
99¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $101 (1.01x)
Above $2.299
99%
Kalshi 99%polled, 6 min agoBest Yes 99¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $101 (1.01x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Above $2.299
- Last price
- 99%
- As of
- Polled 6 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 99¢
- Sell Yes
- 95¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $101 (1.01x)
- Volume
- $10
Above $2.19997.5%97.5%95¢ bid, — askpolled, 6 min agoNo askAbove $2.19997.5%Kalshi 97.5%polled, 6 min ago
Above $2.199
97.5%
97.5%
95¢ bid, — ask
polled, 6 min ago
No ask
Above $2.199
97.5%
Kalshi 97.5%polled, 6 min ago
Kalshi
- Contract
- Above $2.199
- Last price
- 97.5%
- As of
- Polled 6 min ago
- Buy Yes
- —
- Sell Yes
- 95¢
Above $2.39996%96%94¢ bid, 99¢ askpolled, 6 min ago99¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $101 (1.01x)Above $2.39996%Kalshi 96%polled, 6 min agoBest Yes 99¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $101 (1.01x)
Above $2.399
96%
96%
94¢ bid, 99¢ ask
polled, 6 min ago
99¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $101 (1.01x)
Above $2.399
96%
Kalshi 96%polled, 6 min agoBest Yes 99¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $101 (1.01x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Above $2.399
- Last price
- 96%
- As of
- Polled 6 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 99¢
- Sell Yes
- 94¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $101 (1.01x)
- Volume
- $1
Above $0.99995.5%95.5%91¢ bid, — askpolled, 6 min agoNo askAbove $0.99995.5%Kalshi 95.5%polled, 6 min ago
Above $0.999
95.5%
95.5%
91¢ bid, — ask
polled, 6 min ago
No ask
Above $0.999
95.5%
Kalshi 95.5%polled, 6 min ago
Kalshi
- Contract
- Above $0.999
- Last price
- 95.5%
- As of
- Polled 6 min ago
- Buy Yes
- —
- Sell Yes
- 91¢
Above $1.09995.5%95.5%91¢ bid, — askpolled, 6 min agoNo askAbove $1.09995.5%Kalshi 95.5%polled, 6 min ago
Above $1.099
95.5%
95.5%
91¢ bid, — ask
polled, 6 min ago
No ask
Above $1.099
95.5%
Kalshi 95.5%polled, 6 min ago
Kalshi
- Contract
- Above $1.099
- Last price
- 95.5%
- As of
- Polled 6 min ago
- Buy Yes
- —
- Sell Yes
- 91¢
Above $1.19995.5%95.5%91¢ bid, — askpolled, 6 min agoNo askAbove $1.19995.5%Kalshi 95.5%polled, 6 min ago
Above $1.199
95.5%
95.5%
91¢ bid, — ask
polled, 6 min ago
No ask
Above $1.199
95.5%
Kalshi 95.5%polled, 6 min ago
Kalshi
- Contract
- Above $1.199
- Last price
- 95.5%
- As of
- Polled 6 min ago
- Buy Yes
- —
- Sell Yes
- 91¢
Above $1.29995.5%95.5%91¢ bid, — askpolled, 6 min agoNo askAbove $1.29995.5%Kalshi 95.5%polled, 6 min ago
Above $1.299
95.5%
95.5%
91¢ bid, — ask
polled, 6 min ago
No ask
Above $1.299
95.5%
Kalshi 95.5%polled, 6 min ago
Kalshi
- Contract
- Above $1.299
- Last price
- 95.5%
- As of
- Polled 6 min ago
- Buy Yes
- —
- Sell Yes
- 91¢
Above $1.39995.5%95.5%91¢ bid, — askpolled, 6 min agoNo askAbove $1.39995.5%Kalshi 95.5%polled, 6 min ago
Above $1.399
95.5%
95.5%
91¢ bid, — ask
polled, 6 min ago
No ask
Above $1.399
95.5%
Kalshi 95.5%polled, 6 min ago
Kalshi
- Contract
- Above $1.399
- Last price
- 95.5%
- As of
- Polled 6 min ago
- Buy Yes
- —
- Sell Yes
- 91¢
Above $1.49995.5%95.5%91¢ bid, — askpolled, 6 min agoNo askAbove $1.49995.5%Kalshi 95.5%polled, 6 min ago
Above $1.499
95.5%
95.5%
91¢ bid, — ask
polled, 6 min ago
No ask
Above $1.499
95.5%
Kalshi 95.5%polled, 6 min ago
Kalshi
- Contract
- Above $1.499
- Last price
- 95.5%
- As of
- Polled 6 min ago
- Buy Yes
- —
- Sell Yes
- 91¢
Above $1.59995.5%95.5%91¢ bid, — askpolled, 6 min agoNo askAbove $1.59995.5%Kalshi 95.5%polled, 6 min ago
Above $1.599
95.5%
95.5%
91¢ bid, — ask
polled, 6 min ago
No ask
Above $1.599
95.5%
Kalshi 95.5%polled, 6 min ago
Kalshi
- Contract
- Above $1.599
- Last price
- 95.5%
- As of
- Polled 6 min ago
- Buy Yes
- —
- Sell Yes
- 91¢
Show 30 more outcomesHide 30 outcomes
Above $1.69995.5%95.5%91¢ bid, — askpolled, 6 min agoNo askAbove $1.69995.5%Kalshi 95.5%polled, 6 min ago
Above $1.699
95.5%
95.5%
91¢ bid, — ask
polled, 6 min ago
No ask
Above $1.699
95.5%
Kalshi 95.5%polled, 6 min ago
Kalshi
- Contract
- Above $1.699
- Last price
- 95.5%
- As of
- Polled 6 min ago
- Buy Yes
- —
- Sell Yes
- 91¢
Above $1.79995.5%95.5%91¢ bid, — askpolled, 6 min agoNo askAbove $1.79995.5%Kalshi 95.5%polled, 6 min ago
Above $1.799
95.5%
95.5%
91¢ bid, — ask
polled, 6 min ago
No ask
Above $1.799
95.5%
Kalshi 95.5%polled, 6 min ago
Kalshi
- Contract
- Above $1.799
- Last price
- 95.5%
- As of
- Polled 6 min ago
- Buy Yes
- —
- Sell Yes
- 91¢
Above $1.89995.5%95.5%91¢ bid, — askpolled, 6 min agoNo askAbove $1.89995.5%Kalshi 95.5%polled, 6 min ago
Above $1.899
95.5%
95.5%
91¢ bid, — ask
polled, 6 min ago
No ask
Above $1.899
95.5%
Kalshi 95.5%polled, 6 min ago
Kalshi
- Contract
- Above $1.899
- Last price
- 95.5%
- As of
- Polled 6 min ago
- Buy Yes
- —
- Sell Yes
- 91¢
Above $1.99995.5%95.5%91¢ bid, — askpolled, 6 min agoNo askAbove $1.99995.5%Kalshi 95.5%polled, 6 min ago
Above $1.999
95.5%
95.5%
91¢ bid, — ask
polled, 6 min ago
No ask
Above $1.999
95.5%
Kalshi 95.5%polled, 6 min ago
Kalshi
- Contract
- Above $1.999
- Last price
- 95.5%
- As of
- Polled 6 min ago
- Buy Yes
- —
- Sell Yes
- 91¢
Above $2.09995%95%90¢ bid, — askpolled, 6 min agoNo askAbove $2.09995%Kalshi 95%polled, 6 min ago
Above $2.099
95%
95%
90¢ bid, — ask
polled, 6 min ago
No ask
Above $2.099
95%
Kalshi 95%polled, 6 min ago
Above $2.49994%94%94¢ bid, 98¢ askpolled, 6 min ago98¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $102 (1.02x)Above $2.49994%Kalshi 94%polled, 6 min agoBest Yes 98¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $102 (1.02x)
Above $2.499
94%
94%
94¢ bid, 98¢ ask
polled, 6 min ago
98¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $102 (1.02x)
Above $2.499
94%
Kalshi 94%polled, 6 min agoBest Yes 98¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $102 (1.02x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Above $2.499
- Last price
- 94%
- As of
- Polled 6 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 98¢
- Sell Yes
- 94¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $102 (1.02x)
- Volume
- $13
Above $2.59994%94%94¢ bid, 97¢ askpolled, 6 min ago97¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $103 (1.03x)Above $2.59994%Kalshi 94%polled, 6 min agoBest Yes 97¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $103 (1.03x)
Above $2.599
94%
94%
94¢ bid, 97¢ ask
polled, 6 min ago
97¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $103 (1.03x)
Above $2.599
94%
Kalshi 94%polled, 6 min agoBest Yes 97¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $103 (1.03x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Above $2.599
- Last price
- 94%
- As of
- Polled 6 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 97¢
- Sell Yes
- 94¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $103 (1.03x)
- Volume
- $3
Above $2.69994%94%92¢ bid, 95¢ askpolled, 6 min ago95¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $105 (1.05x)Above $2.69994%Kalshi 94%polled, 6 min agoBest Yes 95¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $105 (1.05x)
Above $2.699
94%
94%
92¢ bid, 95¢ ask
polled, 6 min ago
95¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $105 (1.05x)
Above $2.699
94%
Kalshi 94%polled, 6 min agoBest Yes 95¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $105 (1.05x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Above $2.699
- Last price
- 94%
- As of
- Polled 6 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 95¢
- Sell Yes
- 92¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $105 (1.05x)
- Volume
- $193
Above $2.79986%86%86¢ bid, 91¢ askpolled, 6 min ago91¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $110 (1.10x)Above $2.79986%Kalshi 86%polled, 6 min agoBest Yes 91¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $110 (1.10x)
Above $2.799
86%
86%
86¢ bid, 91¢ ask
polled, 6 min ago
91¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $110 (1.10x)
Above $2.799
86%
Kalshi 86%polled, 6 min agoBest Yes 91¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $110 (1.10x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Above $2.799
- Last price
- 86%
- As of
- Polled 6 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 91¢
- Sell Yes
- 86¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $110 (1.10x)
- Volume
- $113
Above $2.89982%82%81¢ bid, 83¢ askpolled, 6 min ago83¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $120 (1.20x)Above $2.89982%Kalshi 82%polled, 6 min agoBest Yes 83¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $120 (1.20x)
Above $2.899
82%
82%
81¢ bid, 83¢ ask
polled, 6 min ago
83¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $120 (1.20x)
Above $2.899
82%
Kalshi 82%polled, 6 min agoBest Yes 83¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $120 (1.20x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Above $2.899
- Last price
- 82%
- As of
- Polled 6 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 83¢
- Sell Yes
- 81¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $120 (1.20x)
- Volume
- $51
Above $2.99975%75%74¢ bid, 75¢ askpolled, 6 min ago75¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $133 (1.33x)Above $2.99975%Kalshi 75%polled, 6 min agoBest Yes 75¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $133 (1.33x)
Above $2.999
75%
75%
74¢ bid, 75¢ ask
polled, 6 min ago
75¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $133 (1.33x)
Above $2.999
75%
Kalshi 75%polled, 6 min agoBest Yes 75¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $133 (1.33x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Above $2.999
- Last price
- 75%
- As of
- Polled 6 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 75¢
- Sell Yes
- 74¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $133 (1.33x)
- Volume
- $96
Above $3.09967%67%67¢ bid, 74¢ askpolled, 6 min ago74¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $135 (1.35x)Above $3.09967%Kalshi 67%polled, 6 min agoBest Yes 74¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $135 (1.35x)
Above $3.099
67%
67%
67¢ bid, 74¢ ask
polled, 6 min ago
74¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $135 (1.35x)
Above $3.099
67%
Kalshi 67%polled, 6 min agoBest Yes 74¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $135 (1.35x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Above $3.099
- Last price
- 67%
- As of
- Polled 6 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 74¢
- Sell Yes
- 67¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $135 (1.35x)
- Volume
- $34
Above $3.19964%64%64¢ bid, 66¢ askpolled, 6 min ago66¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $152 (1.52x)Above $3.19964%Kalshi 64%polled, 6 min agoBest Yes 66¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $152 (1.52x)
Above $3.199
64%
64%
64¢ bid, 66¢ ask
polled, 6 min ago
66¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $152 (1.52x)
Above $3.199
64%
Kalshi 64%polled, 6 min agoBest Yes 66¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $152 (1.52x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Above $3.199
- Last price
- 64%
- As of
- Polled 6 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 66¢
- Sell Yes
- 64¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $152 (1.52x)
- Volume
- $124
Above $3.29954%54%50¢ bid, 54¢ askpolled, 6 min ago54¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $185 (1.85x)Above $3.29954%Kalshi 54%polled, 6 min agoBest Yes 54¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $185 (1.85x)
Above $3.299
54%
54%
50¢ bid, 54¢ ask
polled, 6 min ago
54¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $185 (1.85x)
Above $3.299
54%
Kalshi 54%polled, 6 min agoBest Yes 54¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $185 (1.85x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Above $3.299
- Last price
- 54%
- As of
- Polled 6 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 54¢
- Sell Yes
- 50¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $185 (1.85x)
- Volume
- $134
Above $3.39942.5%42.5%41¢ bid, 44¢ askpolled, 6 min ago44¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $227 (2.27x)Above $3.39942.5%Kalshi 42.5%polled, 6 min agoBest Yes 44¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $227 (2.27x)
Above $3.399
42.5%
42.5%
41¢ bid, 44¢ ask
polled, 6 min ago
44¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $227 (2.27x)
Above $3.399
42.5%
Kalshi 42.5%polled, 6 min agoBest Yes 44¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $227 (2.27x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Above $3.399
- Last price
- 42.5%
- As of
- Polled 6 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 44¢
- Sell Yes
- 41¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $227 (2.27x)
Above $3.49932%32%32¢ bid, 33¢ askpolled, 6 min ago33¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $303 (3.03x)Above $3.49932%Kalshi 32%polled, 6 min agoBest Yes 33¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $303 (3.03x)
Above $3.499
32%
32%
32¢ bid, 33¢ ask
polled, 6 min ago
33¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $303 (3.03x)
Above $3.499
32%
Kalshi 32%polled, 6 min agoBest Yes 33¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $303 (3.03x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Above $3.499
- Last price
- 32%
- As of
- Polled 6 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 33¢
- Sell Yes
- 32¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $303 (3.03x)
- Volume
- $610
Above $3.69928%28%21¢ bid, 28¢ askpolled, 6 min ago28¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $357 (3.57x)Above $3.69928%Kalshi 28%polled, 6 min agoBest Yes 28¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $357 (3.57x)
Above $3.699
28%
28%
21¢ bid, 28¢ ask
polled, 6 min ago
28¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $357 (3.57x)
Above $3.699
28%
Kalshi 28%polled, 6 min agoBest Yes 28¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $357 (3.57x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Above $3.699
- Last price
- 28%
- As of
- Polled 6 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 28¢
- Sell Yes
- 21¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $357 (3.57x)
- Volume
- $28
Above $3.59927.5%27.5%26¢ bid, 29¢ askpolled, 6 min ago29¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $345 (3.45x)Above $3.59927.5%Kalshi 27.5%polled, 6 min agoBest Yes 29¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $345 (3.45x)
Above $3.599
27.5%
27.5%
26¢ bid, 29¢ ask
polled, 6 min ago
29¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $345 (3.45x)
Above $3.599
27.5%
Kalshi 27.5%polled, 6 min agoBest Yes 29¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $345 (3.45x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Above $3.599
- Last price
- 27.5%
- As of
- Polled 6 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 29¢
- Sell Yes
- 26¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $345 (3.45x)
Above $3.79919.5%19.5%16¢ bid, 23¢ askpolled, 6 min ago23¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $435 (4.35x)Above $3.79919.5%Kalshi 19.5%polled, 6 min agoBest Yes 23¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $435 (4.35x)
Above $3.799
19.5%
19.5%
16¢ bid, 23¢ ask
polled, 6 min ago
23¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $435 (4.35x)
Above $3.799
19.5%
Kalshi 19.5%polled, 6 min agoBest Yes 23¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $435 (4.35x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Above $3.799
- Last price
- 19.5%
- As of
- Polled 6 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 23¢
- Sell Yes
- 16¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $435 (4.35x)
Above $3.99916%16%9¢ bid, 16¢ askpolled, 6 min ago16¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $625 (6.25x)Above $3.99916%Kalshi 16%polled, 6 min agoBest Yes 16¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $625 (6.25x)
Above $3.999
16%
16%
9¢ bid, 16¢ ask
polled, 6 min ago
16¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $625 (6.25x)
Above $3.999
16%
Kalshi 16%polled, 6 min agoBest Yes 16¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $625 (6.25x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Above $3.999
- Last price
- 16%
- As of
- Polled 6 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 16¢
- Sell Yes
- 9¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $625 (6.25x)
- Volume
- $2
Above $3.89915.5%15.5%12¢ bid, 19¢ askpolled, 6 min ago19¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $526 (5.26x)Above $3.89915.5%Kalshi 15.5%polled, 6 min agoBest Yes 19¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $526 (5.26x)
Above $3.899
15.5%
15.5%
12¢ bid, 19¢ ask
polled, 6 min ago
19¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $526 (5.26x)
Above $3.899
15.5%
Kalshi 15.5%polled, 6 min agoBest Yes 19¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $526 (5.26x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Above $3.899
- Last price
- 15.5%
- As of
- Polled 6 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 19¢
- Sell Yes
- 12¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $526 (5.26x)
Above $4.0999.5%9.5%6¢ bid, 13¢ askpolled, 6 min ago13¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $769 (7.69x)Above $4.0999.5%Kalshi 9.5%polled, 6 min agoBest Yes 13¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $769 (7.69x)
Above $4.099
9.5%
9.5%
6¢ bid, 13¢ ask
polled, 6 min ago
13¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $769 (7.69x)
Above $4.099
9.5%
Kalshi 9.5%polled, 6 min agoBest Yes 13¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $769 (7.69x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Above $4.099
- Last price
- 9.5%
- As of
- Polled 6 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 13¢
- Sell Yes
- 6¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $769 (7.69x)
Above $4.8999%9%— bid, 9¢ askpolled, 6 min ago9¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $1,111 (11.1x)Above $4.8999%Kalshi 9%polled, 6 min agoBest Yes 9¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,111 (11.1x)
Above $4.899
9%
9%
— bid, 9¢ ask
polled, 6 min ago
9¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $1,111 (11.1x)
Above $4.899
9%
Kalshi 9%polled, 6 min agoBest Yes 9¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,111 (11.1x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Above $4.899
- Last price
- 9%
- As of
- Polled 6 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 9¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,111 (11.1x)
- Volume
- $6
Above $4.1998%8%6¢ bid, 10¢ askpolled, 6 min ago10¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $1,000 (10.0x)Above $4.1998%Kalshi 8%polled, 6 min agoBest Yes 10¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,000 (10.0x)
Above $4.199
8%
8%
6¢ bid, 10¢ ask
polled, 6 min ago
10¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $1,000 (10.0x)
Above $4.199
8%
Kalshi 8%polled, 6 min agoBest Yes 10¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,000 (10.0x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Above $4.199
- Last price
- 8%
- As of
- Polled 6 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 10¢
- Sell Yes
- 6¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,000 (10.0x)
Above $4.2996%6%4¢ bid, 8¢ askpolled, 6 min ago8¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $1,250 (12.5x)Above $4.2996%Kalshi 6%polled, 6 min agoBest Yes 8¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,250 (12.5x)
Above $4.299
6%
6%
4¢ bid, 8¢ ask
polled, 6 min ago
8¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $1,250 (12.5x)
Above $4.299
6%
Kalshi 6%polled, 6 min agoBest Yes 8¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,250 (12.5x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Above $4.299
- Last price
- 6%
- As of
- Polled 6 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 8¢
- Sell Yes
- 4¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,250 (12.5x)
Above $4.3995%5%3¢ bid, 7¢ askpolled, 6 min ago7¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $1,429 (14.3x)Above $4.3995%Kalshi 5%polled, 6 min agoBest Yes 7¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,429 (14.3x)
Above $4.399
5%
5%
3¢ bid, 7¢ ask
polled, 6 min ago
7¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $1,429 (14.3x)
Above $4.399
5%
Kalshi 5%polled, 6 min agoBest Yes 7¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,429 (14.3x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Above $4.399
- Last price
- 5%
- As of
- Polled 6 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 7¢
- Sell Yes
- 3¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,429 (14.3x)
Above $4.7995%5%— bid, 10¢ askpolled, 6 min ago10¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $1,000 (10.0x)Above $4.7995%Kalshi 5%polled, 6 min agoBest Yes 10¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,000 (10.0x)
Above $4.799
5%
5%
— bid, 10¢ ask
polled, 6 min ago
10¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $1,000 (10.0x)
Above $4.799
5%
Kalshi 5%polled, 6 min agoBest Yes 10¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,000 (10.0x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Above $4.799
- Last price
- 5%
- As of
- Polled 6 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 10¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,000 (10.0x)
Above $4.4994%4%2¢ bid, 6¢ askpolled, 6 min ago6¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $1,667 (16.7x)Above $4.4994%Kalshi 4%polled, 6 min agoBest Yes 6¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,667 (16.7x)
Above $4.499
4%
4%
2¢ bid, 6¢ ask
polled, 6 min ago
6¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $1,667 (16.7x)
Above $4.499
4%
Kalshi 4%polled, 6 min agoBest Yes 6¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,667 (16.7x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Above $4.499
- Last price
- 4%
- As of
- Polled 6 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 6¢
- Sell Yes
- 2¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,667 (16.7x)
Above $4.5993%3%1¢ bid, 5¢ askpolled, 6 min ago5¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)Above $4.5993%Kalshi 3%polled, 6 min agoBest Yes 5¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)
Above $4.599
3%
3%
1¢ bid, 5¢ ask
polled, 6 min ago
5¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)
Above $4.599
3%
Kalshi 3%polled, 6 min agoBest Yes 5¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Above $4.599
- Last price
- 3%
- As of
- Polled 6 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 5¢
- Sell Yes
- 1¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $2,000 (20.0x)
Above $4.6993%3%1¢ bid, 5¢ askpolled, 6 min ago5¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)Above $4.6993%Kalshi 3%polled, 6 min agoBest Yes 5¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)
Above $4.699
3%
3%
1¢ bid, 5¢ ask
polled, 6 min ago
5¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)
Above $4.699
3%
Kalshi 3%polled, 6 min agoBest Yes 5¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Above $4.699
- Last price
- 3%
- As of
- Polled 6 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 5¢
- Sell Yes
- 1¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $2,000 (20.0x)
Who resolves this market
- Kalshi resolves via:
- Kalshi (CFTC-regulated exchange), source: Pyth - NATGAS
How the odds have moved
The top 3 outcomes on both venues, with the consensus between them. Hover for exact values.
- Above $2.299
- Above $2.199
- Above $2.399
Order books
Each venue’s resting orders for the selected outcome’s Yes contract, side by side. Top of book streams live; depth refreshes every 15 seconds.
What your stake buys
Enter a stake to see where it buys the most after fees, using each venue’s live order book.
$
Buy
Loading both order books…
Buys at the asks resting now (taker orders), cheapest after fees first, from order-book snapshots up to 15 seconds old. Fees: Kalshi 0.07 × price × (1 − price) per share, rounded up to the cent; Polymarket 0.05 × price × (1 − price) per share (other / general rate). Fee calculator. Estimates only, not advice.
About this market
Live prediction market odds for "Natural gas price on Nov 30, 2026 at 5:00 PM EST?". Above $2.299 leads at 99%. Next is Above $2.199 at 97.5%. $1K has traded across 40 outcomes on Kalshi. The market is expected to resolve by Nov 30, 2026.
Questions
What does the consensus price mean?
It is the price of a Yes contract that pays $1 if the outcome happens. A 14¢ price means traders put the chance near 14%. Where two venues list the same outcome, we blend their last prices, weighting the venue with more trading volume more heavily (neither counts for less than a quarter). When only one outcome can win, each venue’s prices add up to a little over 100% (its margin); the fair chance removes that margin so the outcomes add up to exactly 100%.
How is the payout worked out?
A Yes contract pays $1 if it wins, so at the best ask a $100 stake buys 100 ÷ ask contracts. At 18¢ that is about 555 contracts, paying $556 (5.56x) if Yes happens. Venue fees and price slippage on larger orders are not included.
Why do the venues show different prices?
Each venue has its own traders, fees and order book. Contracts can also settle on slightly different terms, which is why each row lists how closely the rules match.
Is a price gap an arbitrage?
Only when you can buy Yes on one venue below what someone pays for Yes on the other, after fees, and both contracts settle the same way. We show the executable bid and ask so you can check.
How fresh are these prices?
Venue prices refresh every few minutes, and the order book and live quotes stream continuously. Each venue’s card shows when we last observed it.
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