The Prediction Markets

Natural gas price on October 09, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT?

Closed
Oct 9, 2026
Traded
$72K
Venues
Kalshi
Share

This market has closed

Trading ended on Oct 9, 2026. The prices below are the last ones before it closed and no longer update. Browse open markets

Odds by venue

Consensus blends each venue’s last price, weighted by how much has traded there. Best Yes price is the cheapest ask across venues, and the payout is what a winning $100 stake returns before fees. Open a row for each venue’s contract name, bid and ask, and how closely their rules match.

Prices come from our regular polls of each venue, the oldest 15 days ago. Ages are as of when this page was built.

  • Kalshi
Above $0.999
99.5%
Kalshi 99.5%polled, 368 h ago
Kalshi
Contract
Above $0.999
Last price
99.5%
As of
Polled 15 d ago
Buy Yes
—
Sell Yes
99¢
Trade this on Kalshi
Above $1.099
99.5%
Kalshi 99.5%polled, 368 h ago
Kalshi
Contract
Above $1.099
Last price
99.5%
As of
Polled 15 d ago
Buy Yes
—
Sell Yes
99¢
Trade this on Kalshi
Above $1.199
99.5%
Kalshi 99.5%polled, 368 h ago
Kalshi
Contract
Above $1.199
Last price
99.5%
As of
Polled 15 d ago
Buy Yes
—
Sell Yes
99¢
Trade this on Kalshi
Above $1.299
99.5%
Kalshi 99.5%polled, 368 h ago
Kalshi
Contract
Above $1.299
Last price
99.5%
As of
Polled 15 d ago
Buy Yes
—
Sell Yes
99¢
Trade this on Kalshi
Above $1.399
99.5%
Kalshi 99.5%polled, 368 h ago
Kalshi
Contract
Above $1.399
Last price
99.5%
As of
Polled 15 d ago
Buy Yes
—
Sell Yes
99¢
Trade this on Kalshi
Above $1.499
99.5%
Kalshi 99.5%polled, 368 h ago
Kalshi
Contract
Above $1.499
Last price
99.5%
As of
Polled 15 d ago
Buy Yes
—
Sell Yes
99¢
Trade this on Kalshi
Above $1.599
99.5%
Kalshi 99.5%polled, 368 h ago
Kalshi
Contract
Above $1.599
Last price
99.5%
As of
Polled 15 d ago
Buy Yes
—
Sell Yes
99¢
Trade this on Kalshi
Above $1.699
99.5%
Kalshi 99.5%polled, 368 h ago
Kalshi
Contract
Above $1.699
Last price
99.5%
As of
Polled 15 d ago
Buy Yes
—
Sell Yes
99¢
Trade this on Kalshi
Above $1.799
99.5%
Kalshi 99.5%polled, 368 h ago
Kalshi
Contract
Above $1.799
Last price
99.5%
As of
Polled 15 d ago
Buy Yes
—
Sell Yes
99¢
Trade this on Kalshi
Above $1.899
99.5%
Kalshi 99.5%polled, 368 h ago
Kalshi
Contract
Above $1.899
Last price
99.5%
As of
Polled 15 d ago
Buy Yes
—
Sell Yes
99¢
Trade this on Kalshi
Show 30 more outcomes
Above $1.999
99.5%
Kalshi 99.5%polled, 368 h ago
Kalshi
Contract
Above $1.999
Last price
99.5%
As of
Polled 15 d ago
Buy Yes
—
Sell Yes
99¢
Trade this on Kalshi
Above $2.099
99.5%
Kalshi 99.5%polled, 368 h ago
Kalshi
Contract
Above $2.099
Last price
99.5%
As of
Polled 15 d ago
Buy Yes
—
Sell Yes
99¢
Trade this on Kalshi
Above $2.299
99.5%
Kalshi 99.5%polled, 368 h ago
Kalshi
Contract
Above $2.299
Last price
99.5%
As of
Polled 15 d ago
Buy Yes
—
Sell Yes
99¢
Trade this on Kalshi
Above $2.199
99%
Kalshi 99%polled, 368 h ago
Kalshi
Contract
Above $2.199
Last price
99%
As of
Polled 15 d ago
Buy Yes
—
Sell Yes
99¢
Volume
$843
Trade this on Kalshi
Above $2.599
98.5%
Kalshi 98.5%polled, 368 h ago
Kalshi
Contract
Above $2.599
Last price
98.5%
As of
Polled 15 d ago
Buy Yes
—
Sell Yes
97¢
Trade this on Kalshi
Above $2.699
98.5%
Kalshi 98.5%polled, 368 h ago
Kalshi
Contract
Above $2.699
Last price
98.5%
As of
Polled 15 d ago
Buy Yes
—
Sell Yes
97¢
Trade this on Kalshi
Above $2.399
98%
Kalshi 98%polled, 368 h ago
Kalshi
Contract
Above $2.399
Last price
98%
As of
Polled 15 d ago
Buy Yes
—
Sell Yes
99¢
Volume
$50
Trade this on Kalshi
Above $2.999
98%
Kalshi 98%polled, 368 h agoBest Yes 99¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $101 (1.01x)
Kalshi
Contract
Above $2.999
Last price
98%
As of
Polled 15 d ago
Buy Yes
99¢
Sell Yes
97¢
$100 on Yes pays
$101 (1.01x)
Volume
$16K
Trade this on Kalshi
Above $2.499
97%
Kalshi 97%polled, 368 h ago
Kalshi
Contract
Above $2.499
Last price
97%
As of
Polled 15 d ago
Buy Yes
—
Sell Yes
99¢
Volume
$100
Trade this on Kalshi
Above $2.799
94%
Kalshi 94%polled, 368 h ago
Kalshi
Contract
Above $2.799
Last price
94%
As of
Polled 15 d ago
Buy Yes
—
Sell Yes
97¢
Volume
$221
Trade this on Kalshi
Above $3.099
93%
Kalshi 93%polled, 368 h agoBest Yes 99¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $101 (1.01x)
Kalshi
Contract
Above $3.099
Last price
93%
As of
Polled 15 d ago
Buy Yes
99¢
Sell Yes
95¢
$100 on Yes pays
$101 (1.01x)
Volume
$12K
Trade this on Kalshi
Above $2.899
90%
Kalshi 90%polled, 368 h ago
Kalshi
Contract
Above $2.899
Last price
90%
As of
Polled 15 d ago
Buy Yes
—
Sell Yes
97¢
Volume
$7K
Trade this on Kalshi
Above $3.199
85%
Kalshi 85%polled, 368 h agoBest Yes 87¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $115 (1.15x)
Kalshi
Contract
Above $3.199
Last price
85%
As of
Polled 15 d ago
Buy Yes
87¢
Sell Yes
86¢
$100 on Yes pays
$115 (1.15x)
Volume
$13K
Trade this on Kalshi
Above $3.299
75%
Kalshi 75%polled, 368 h agoBest Yes 72¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $139 (1.39x)
Kalshi
Contract
Above $3.299
Last price
75%
As of
Polled 15 d ago
Buy Yes
72¢
Sell Yes
67¢
$100 on Yes pays
$139 (1.39x)
Volume
$12K
Trade this on Kalshi
Above $3.399
51%
Kalshi 51%polled, 368 h agoBest Yes 48¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $208 (2.08x)
Kalshi
Contract
Above $3.399
Last price
51%
As of
Polled 15 d ago
Buy Yes
48¢
Sell Yes
47¢
$100 on Yes pays
$208 (2.08x)
Volume
$10K
Trade this on Kalshi
Above $3.499
18%
Kalshi 18%polled, 368 h agoBest Yes 23¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $435 (4.35x)
Kalshi
Contract
Above $3.499
Last price
18%
As of
Polled 15 d ago
Buy Yes
23¢
Sell Yes
16¢
$100 on Yes pays
$435 (4.35x)
Volume
$345
Trade this on Kalshi
Above $3.599
10%
Kalshi 10%polled, 368 h agoBest Yes 11¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $909 (9.09x)
Kalshi
Contract
Above $3.599
Last price
10%
As of
Polled 15 d ago
Buy Yes
11¢
Sell Yes
1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$909 (9.09x)
Volume
$200
Trade this on Kalshi
Above $4.199
5%
Kalshi 5%polled, 368 h agoBest Yes 10¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,000 (10.0x)
Kalshi
Contract
Above $4.199
Last price
5%
As of
Polled 15 d ago
Buy Yes
10¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$1,000 (10.0x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Above $3.799
4%
Kalshi 4%polled, 368 h agoBest Yes 8¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,250 (12.5x)
Kalshi
Contract
Above $3.799
Last price
4%
As of
Polled 15 d ago
Buy Yes
8¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$1,250 (12.5x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Above $4.299
4%
Kalshi 4%polled, 368 h agoBest Yes 8¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,250 (12.5x)
Kalshi
Contract
Above $4.299
Last price
4%
As of
Polled 15 d ago
Buy Yes
8¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$1,250 (12.5x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Above $4.399
4%
Kalshi 4%polled, 368 h agoBest Yes 8¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,250 (12.5x)
Kalshi
Contract
Above $4.399
Last price
4%
As of
Polled 15 d ago
Buy Yes
8¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$1,250 (12.5x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Above $4.499
4%
Kalshi 4%polled, 368 h agoBest Yes 8¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,250 (12.5x)
Kalshi
Contract
Above $4.499
Last price
4%
As of
Polled 15 d ago
Buy Yes
8¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$1,250 (12.5x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Above $3.899
3.5%
Kalshi 3.5%polled, 368 h agoBest Yes 7¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,429 (14.3x)
Kalshi
Contract
Above $3.899
Last price
3.5%
As of
Polled 15 d ago
Buy Yes
7¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$1,429 (14.3x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Above $3.999
3.5%
Kalshi 3.5%polled, 368 h agoBest Yes 7¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,429 (14.3x)
Kalshi
Contract
Above $3.999
Last price
3.5%
As of
Polled 15 d ago
Buy Yes
7¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$1,429 (14.3x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Above $4.099
3.5%
Kalshi 3.5%polled, 368 h agoBest Yes 7¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,429 (14.3x)
Kalshi
Contract
Above $4.099
Last price
3.5%
As of
Polled 15 d ago
Buy Yes
7¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$1,429 (14.3x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Above $3.699
1%
Kalshi 1%polled, 368 h agoBest Yes 10¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,000 (10.0x)
Kalshi
Contract
Above $3.699
Last price
1%
As of
Polled 15 d ago
Buy Yes
10¢
Sell Yes
1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,000 (10.0x)
Volume
$50
Trade this on Kalshi
Above $4.599
0.5%
Kalshi 0.5%polled, 368 h agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
Contract
Above $4.599
Last price
0.5%
As of
Polled 15 d ago
Buy Yes
1¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$10,000 (100x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Above $4.699
0.5%
Kalshi 0.5%polled, 368 h agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
Contract
Above $4.699
Last price
0.5%
As of
Polled 15 d ago
Buy Yes
1¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$10,000 (100x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Above $4.799
0.5%
Kalshi 0.5%polled, 368 h agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
Contract
Above $4.799
Last price
0.5%
As of
Polled 15 d ago
Buy Yes
1¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$10,000 (100x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Above $4.899
0.5%
Kalshi 0.5%polled, 368 h agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
Contract
Above $4.899
Last price
0.5%
As of
Polled 15 d ago
Buy Yes
1¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$10,000 (100x)
Trade this on Kalshi

Who resolves this market

Kalshi
Kalshi resolves via:
Kalshi (CFTC-regulated exchange), source: Pyth - NATGAS

How the odds have moved

The top 3 outcomes on both venues, with the consensus between them. Hover for exact values.

  • Above $0.999
  • Above $1.099
  • Above $1.199

Order books

Each venue’s resting orders for the selected outcome’s Yes contract, side by side. Top of book streams live; depth refreshes every 15 seconds.

Kalshi

Open on Kalshi ↗

Top of book

Connecting
Best bid
—
Spread
—
Best ask
—

Waiting for the first live quote…

Depth · top 8 levels

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Recent trades

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What your stake buys

Enter a stake to see where it buys the most after fees, using each venue’s live order book.

$
Buy

Loading both order books…

Buys at the asks resting now (taker orders), cheapest after fees first, from order-book snapshots up to 15 seconds old. Fees: Kalshi 0.07 × price × (1 − price) per share, rounded up to the cent; Polymarket 0.05 × price × (1 − price) per share (other / general rate). Fee calculator. Estimates only, not advice.

About this market

Final prediction market prices for "Natural gas price on October 09, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT?". Above $0.999 last traded at 99.5%. Next is Above $1.099 at 99.5%. $72K has traded across 40 outcomes on Kalshi. The market closed on Oct 9, 2026.

Questions

What does the consensus price mean?

It is the price of a Yes contract that pays $1 if the outcome happens. A 14¢ price means traders put the chance near 14%. Where two venues list the same outcome, we blend their last prices, weighting the venue with more trading volume more heavily (neither counts for less than a quarter). When only one outcome can win, each venue’s prices add up to a little over 100% (its margin); the fair chance removes that margin so the outcomes add up to exactly 100%.

How is the payout worked out?

A Yes contract pays $1 if it wins, so at the best ask a $100 stake buys 100 ÷ ask contracts. At 18¢ that is about 555 contracts, paying $556 (5.56x) if Yes happens. Venue fees and price slippage on larger orders are not included.

Why do the venues show different prices?

Each venue has its own traders, fees and order book. Contracts can also settle on slightly different terms, which is why each row lists how closely the rules match.

Is a price gap an arbitrage?

Only when you can buy Yes on one venue below what someone pays for Yes on the other, after fees, and both contracts settle the same way. We show the executable bid and ask so you can check.

How fresh are these prices?

Venue prices refresh every few minutes, and the order book and live quotes stream continuously. Each venue’s card shows when we last observed it.

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