The Prediction Markets

Natural gas price on October 30, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT?

Closes
Oct 30, 2026, in 7 days
Traded
$47K
Venues
Kalshi
Prices updated
just now
Share

What the markets expect

Above $0.999 99.5%

Next is Above $1.099 at 99.5%. Only Kalshi lists this market, so there is no second price to compare.

Odds by venue

Consensus blends each venue’s last price, weighted by how much has traded there. Best Yes price is the cheapest ask across venues, and the payout is what a winning $100 stake returns before fees. Open a row for each venue’s contract name, bid and ask, and how closely their rules match.

Prices come from our regular polls of each venue. Ages are as of when this page was built.

  • Kalshi
Above $0.999
99.5%
Kalshi 99.5%polled, 30s ago
Kalshi
Contract
Above $0.999
Last price
99.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
—
Sell Yes
99¢
Trade this on Kalshi
Above $1.099
99.5%
Kalshi 99.5%polled, 30s ago
Kalshi
Contract
Above $1.099
Last price
99.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
—
Sell Yes
99¢
Trade this on Kalshi
Above $1.199
99.5%
Kalshi 99.5%polled, 30s ago
Kalshi
Contract
Above $1.199
Last price
99.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
—
Sell Yes
99¢
Trade this on Kalshi
Above $1.299
99.5%
Kalshi 99.5%polled, 30s ago
Kalshi
Contract
Above $1.299
Last price
99.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
—
Sell Yes
99¢
Trade this on Kalshi
Above $1.399
99.5%
Kalshi 99.5%polled, 30s ago
Kalshi
Contract
Above $1.399
Last price
99.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
—
Sell Yes
99¢
Trade this on Kalshi
Above $1.499
99.5%
Kalshi 99.5%polled, 30s ago
Kalshi
Contract
Above $1.499
Last price
99.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
—
Sell Yes
99¢
Trade this on Kalshi
Above $1.599
99.5%
Kalshi 99.5%polled, 30s ago
Kalshi
Contract
Above $1.599
Last price
99.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
—
Sell Yes
99¢
Trade this on Kalshi
Above $1.699
99.5%
Kalshi 99.5%polled, 30s ago
Kalshi
Contract
Above $1.699
Last price
99.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
—
Sell Yes
99¢
Trade this on Kalshi
Above $1.799
99.5%
Kalshi 99.5%polled, 30s ago
Kalshi
Contract
Above $1.799
Last price
99.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
—
Sell Yes
99¢
Trade this on Kalshi
Above $1.899
99.5%
Kalshi 99.5%polled, 30s ago
Kalshi
Contract
Above $1.899
Last price
99.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
—
Sell Yes
99¢
Trade this on Kalshi
Show 40 more outcomes
Above $1.999
99.5%
Kalshi 99.5%polled, 30s ago
Kalshi
Contract
Above $1.999
Last price
99.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
—
Sell Yes
99¢
Trade this on Kalshi
Above $2.099
99.5%
Kalshi 99.5%polled, 30s ago
Kalshi
Contract
Above $2.099
Last price
99.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
—
Sell Yes
99¢
Trade this on Kalshi
Above $2.199
99.5%
Kalshi 99.5%polled, 30s ago
Kalshi
Contract
Above $2.199
Last price
99.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
—
Sell Yes
99¢
Trade this on Kalshi
Above $2.399
98%
Kalshi 98%polled, 30s ago
Kalshi
Contract
Above $2.399
Last price
98%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
—
Sell Yes
95¢
Volume
$60
Trade this on Kalshi
Above $2.299
95%
Kalshi 95%polled, 30s ago
Kalshi
Contract
Above $2.299
Last price
95%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
—
Sell Yes
95¢
Volume
$141
Trade this on Kalshi
Above $2.499
95%
Kalshi 95%polled, 30s ago
Kalshi
Contract
Above $2.499
Last price
95%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
—
Sell Yes
95¢
Volume
$488
Trade this on Kalshi
Above $2.599
94%
Kalshi 94%polled, 30s ago
Kalshi
Contract
Above $2.599
Last price
94%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
—
Sell Yes
94¢
Volume
$1K
Trade this on Kalshi
Above $2.899
94%
Kalshi 94%polled, 30s agoBest Yes 97¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $103 (1.03x)
Kalshi
Contract
Above $2.899
Last price
94%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
97¢
Sell Yes
85¢
$100 on Yes pays
$103 (1.03x)
Volume
$565
Trade this on Kalshi
Above $2.799
93%
Kalshi 93%polled, 30s agoBest Yes 99¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $101 (1.01x)
Kalshi
Contract
Above $2.799
Last price
93%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
99¢
Sell Yes
87¢
$100 on Yes pays
$101 (1.01x)
Volume
$611
Trade this on Kalshi
Above $2.699
92%
Kalshi 92%polled, 30s ago
Kalshi
Contract
Above $2.699
Last price
92%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
—
Sell Yes
92¢
Volume
$960
Trade this on Kalshi
Above $2.999
87%
Kalshi 87%polled, 30s agoBest Yes 88¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $114 (1.14x)
Kalshi
Contract
Above $2.999
Last price
87%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
88¢
Sell Yes
72¢
$100 on Yes pays
$114 (1.14x)
Volume
$1K
Trade this on Kalshi
Above $3.099
77%
Kalshi 77%polled, 30s agoBest Yes 77¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $130 (1.30x)
Kalshi
Contract
Above $3.099
Last price
77%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
77¢
Sell Yes
54¢
$100 on Yes pays
$130 (1.30x)
Volume
$4K
Trade this on Kalshi
Above $3.199
53%
Kalshi 53%polled, 30s agoBest Yes 58¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $172 (1.72x)
Kalshi
Contract
Above $3.199
Last price
53%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
58¢
Sell Yes
47¢
$100 on Yes pays
$172 (1.72x)
Volume
$16K
Trade this on Kalshi
Above $3.299
38%
Kalshi 38%polled, 30s agoBest Yes 51¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $196 (1.96x)
Kalshi
Contract
Above $3.299
Last price
38%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
51¢
Sell Yes
36¢
$100 on Yes pays
$196 (1.96x)
Volume
$16K
Trade this on Kalshi
Above $3.499
31%
Kalshi 31%polled, 30s agoBest Yes 42¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $238 (2.38x)
Kalshi
Contract
Above $3.499
Last price
31%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
42¢
Sell Yes
12¢
$100 on Yes pays
$238 (2.38x)
Volume
$624
Trade this on Kalshi
Above $3.699
27%
Kalshi 27%polled, 30s agoBest Yes 30¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $333 (3.33x)
Kalshi
Contract
Above $3.699
Last price
27%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
30¢
Sell Yes
3¢
$100 on Yes pays
$333 (3.33x)
Volume
$259
Trade this on Kalshi
Above $3.399
17%
Kalshi 17%polled, 30s agoBest Yes 42¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $238 (2.38x)
Kalshi
Contract
Above $3.399
Last price
17%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
42¢
Sell Yes
14¢
$100 on Yes pays
$238 (2.38x)
Volume
$1K
Trade this on Kalshi
Above $3.799
16%
Kalshi 16%polled, 30s agoBest Yes 23¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $435 (4.35x)
Kalshi
Contract
Above $3.799
Last price
16%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
23¢
Sell Yes
1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$435 (4.35x)
Volume
$694
Trade this on Kalshi
Above $3.599
14%
Kalshi 14%polled, 30s agoBest Yes 33¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $303 (3.03x)
Kalshi
Contract
Above $3.599
Last price
14%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
33¢
Sell Yes
11¢
$100 on Yes pays
$303 (3.03x)
Volume
$969
Trade this on Kalshi
Above $3.899
11%
Kalshi 11%polled, 30s agoBest Yes 11¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $909 (9.09x)
Kalshi
Contract
Above $3.899
Last price
11%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
11¢
Sell Yes
1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$909 (9.09x)
Volume
$320
Trade this on Kalshi
Above $4.099
11%
Kalshi 11%polled, 30s agoBest Yes 11¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $909 (9.09x)
Kalshi
Contract
Above $4.099
Last price
11%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
11¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$909 (9.09x)
Volume
$221
Trade this on Kalshi
Above $4.399
11%
Kalshi 11%polled, 30s agoBest Yes 11¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $909 (9.09x)
Kalshi
Contract
Above $4.399
Last price
11%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
11¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$909 (9.09x)
Volume
$317
Trade this on Kalshi
Above $4.199
10%
Kalshi 10%polled, 30s agoBest Yes 10¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,000 (10.0x)
Kalshi
Contract
Above $4.199
Last price
10%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
10¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$1,000 (10.0x)
Volume
$234
Trade this on Kalshi
Above $4.299
10%
Kalshi 10%polled, 30s agoBest Yes 10¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,000 (10.0x)
Kalshi
Contract
Above $4.299
Last price
10%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
10¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$1,000 (10.0x)
Volume
$120
Trade this on Kalshi
Above $4.499
10%
Kalshi 10%polled, 30s agoBest Yes 10¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,000 (10.0x)
Kalshi
Contract
Above $4.499
Last price
10%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
10¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$1,000 (10.0x)
Volume
$131
Trade this on Kalshi
Above $4.599
10%
Kalshi 10%polled, 30s agoBest Yes 10¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,000 (10.0x)
Kalshi
Contract
Above $4.599
Last price
10%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
10¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$1,000 (10.0x)
Volume
$197
Trade this on Kalshi
Above $4.699
10%
Kalshi 10%polled, 30s agoBest Yes 10¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,000 (10.0x)
Kalshi
Contract
Above $4.699
Last price
10%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
10¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$1,000 (10.0x)
Volume
$193
Trade this on Kalshi
Above $4.799
10%
Kalshi 10%polled, 30s agoBest Yes 10¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,000 (10.0x)
Kalshi
Contract
Above $4.799
Last price
10%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
10¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$1,000 (10.0x)
Volume
$30
Trade this on Kalshi
Above $4.899
9%
Kalshi 9%polled, 30s agoBest Yes 9¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,111 (11.1x)
Kalshi
Contract
Above $4.899
Last price
9%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
9¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$1,111 (11.1x)
Volume
$219
Trade this on Kalshi
Above $3.999
6%
Kalshi 6%polled, 30s agoBest Yes 11¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $909 (9.09x)
Kalshi
Contract
Above $3.999
Last price
6%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
11¢
Sell Yes
1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$909 (9.09x)
Volume
$557
Trade this on Kalshi
Above $4.999
4.5%
Kalshi 4.5%polled, 30s agoBest Yes 9¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,111 (11.1x)
Kalshi
Contract
Above $4.999
Last price
4.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
9¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$1,111 (11.1x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Above $5.099
4.5%
Kalshi 4.5%polled, 30s agoBest Yes 9¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,111 (11.1x)
Kalshi
Contract
Above $5.099
Last price
4.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
9¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$1,111 (11.1x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Above $5.199
0.5%
Kalshi 0.5%polled, 30s agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
Contract
Above $5.199
Last price
0.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
1¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$10,000 (100x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Above $5.299
0.5%
Kalshi 0.5%polled, 30s agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
Contract
Above $5.299
Last price
0.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
1¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$10,000 (100x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Above $5.399
0.5%
Kalshi 0.5%polled, 30s agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
Contract
Above $5.399
Last price
0.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
1¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$10,000 (100x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Above $5.499
0.5%
Kalshi 0.5%polled, 30s agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
Contract
Above $5.499
Last price
0.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
1¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$10,000 (100x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Above $5.599
0.5%
Kalshi 0.5%polled, 30s agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
Contract
Above $5.599
Last price
0.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
1¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$10,000 (100x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Above $5.699
0.5%
Kalshi 0.5%polled, 30s agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
Contract
Above $5.699
Last price
0.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
1¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$10,000 (100x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Above $5.799
0.5%
Kalshi 0.5%polled, 30s agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
Contract
Above $5.799
Last price
0.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
1¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$10,000 (100x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Above $5.899
0.5%
Kalshi 0.5%polled, 30s agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
Contract
Above $5.899
Last price
0.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
1¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$10,000 (100x)
Trade this on Kalshi

Who resolves this market

Kalshi
Kalshi resolves via:
Kalshi (CFTC-regulated exchange), source: Pyth - NATGAS

How the odds have moved

The top 3 outcomes on both venues, with the consensus between them. Hover for exact values.

  • Above $0.999
  • Above $1.099
  • Above $1.199

Order books

Each venue’s resting orders for the selected outcome’s Yes contract, side by side. Top of book streams live; depth refreshes every 15 seconds.

Kalshi

Open on Kalshi ↗

Top of book

Connecting
Best bid
—
Spread
—
Best ask
—

Waiting for the first live quote…

Depth · top 8 levels

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Recent trades

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What your stake buys

Enter a stake to see where it buys the most after fees, using each venue’s live order book.

$
Buy

Loading both order books…

Buys at the asks resting now (taker orders), cheapest after fees first, from order-book snapshots up to 15 seconds old. Fees: Kalshi 0.07 × price × (1 − price) per share, rounded up to the cent; Polymarket 0.05 × price × (1 − price) per share (other / general rate). Fee calculator. Estimates only, not advice.

About this market

Live prediction market odds for "Natural gas price on October 30, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT?". Above $0.999 leads at 99.5%. Next is Above $1.099 at 99.5%. $47K has traded across 50 outcomes on Kalshi. The market is expected to resolve by Oct 30, 2026.

Questions

What does the consensus price mean?

It is the price of a Yes contract that pays $1 if the outcome happens. A 14¢ price means traders put the chance near 14%. Where two venues list the same outcome, we blend their last prices, weighting the venue with more trading volume more heavily (neither counts for less than a quarter). When only one outcome can win, each venue’s prices add up to a little over 100% (its margin); the fair chance removes that margin so the outcomes add up to exactly 100%.

How is the payout worked out?

A Yes contract pays $1 if it wins, so at the best ask a $100 stake buys 100 ÷ ask contracts. At 18¢ that is about 555 contracts, paying $556 (5.56x) if Yes happens. Venue fees and price slippage on larger orders are not included.

Why do the venues show different prices?

Each venue has its own traders, fees and order book. Contracts can also settle on slightly different terms, which is why each row lists how closely the rules match.

Is a price gap an arbitrage?

Only when you can buy Yes on one venue below what someone pays for Yes on the other, after fees, and both contracts settle the same way. We show the executable bid and ask so you can check.

How fresh are these prices?

Venue prices refresh every few minutes, and the order book and live quotes stream continuously. Each venue’s card shows when we last observed it.

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