The Prediction Markets

Natus Vincere vs. CGN Esports

LiveKickoff In play now; prices move fast
Traded
$30K
Venues
Polymarket, Kalshi
Prices updated
1 min ago
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What the markets expect

Map 1 Winner 100%

Next is CGN Esports at 90.5%. The venues differ most on CGN Esports (Polymarket 81%, Kalshi 85%), a 4.0-point gap.

Odds by venue

Consensus blends each venue’s last price, weighted by how much has traded there. Best Yes price is the cheapest ask across venues, and the payout is what a winning $100 stake returns before fees. Open a row for each venue’s contract name, bid and ask, and how closely their rules match.

Prices come from our regular polls of each venue, the oldest 1 min ago. Ages are as of when this page was built.

  • Polymarket
  • Kalshi
Map 1 Winner
100%
Polymarket 100%polled, 1 min ago
Polymarket
Contract
Map 1 Winner
Last price
100%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
—
Sell Yes
99.9¢
Volume
$4K
Trade this on Polymarket
CGN Esports
90.5%
Polymarket 90.5%polled, 1 min ago
Polymarket
Contract
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: CGN Esports (-2.5) vs Natus Vincere (+2.5)
Last price
90.5%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
—
Sell Yes
81¢
Trade this on Polymarket
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5
90.5%
Polymarket 90.5%polled, 1 min ago
Polymarket
Contract
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5
Last price
90.5%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
—
Sell Yes
81¢
Trade this on Polymarket
CGN Esports
82%
Polymarket 81%polled, 1 min agoKalshi 85%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 82¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $122 (1.22x)
Polymarket
Contract
Match Winner
Last price
81%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
82¢
Sell Yes
80¢
$100 on Yes pays
$122 (1.22x)
Volume
$19K
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
CGN Esports
Last price
85%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
85¢
Sell Yes
79¢
$100 on Yes pays
$118 (1.18x)
Volume
$2K
Trade this on Kalshi
Partial parity

Payoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences below the table.

No arbitrage: the best bid elsewhere is 79¢, at or below the cheapest ask of 82¢.

Map 2 Winner
76%
Polymarket 76%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 86¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $116 (1.16x)
Polymarket
Contract
Map 2 Winner
Last price
76%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
86¢
Sell Yes
66¢
$100 on Yes pays
$116 (1.16x)
Trade this on Polymarket
CGN Esports
75.5%
Polymarket 75.5%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 89¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $112 (1.12x)
Polymarket
Contract
Map Handicap: CGN (-1.5) vs Natus Vincere (+1.5)
Last price
75.5%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
89¢
Sell Yes
62¢
$100 on Yes pays
$112 (1.12x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5
51.5%
Polymarket 51.5%polled, 1 min ago
Polymarket
Contract
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5
Last price
51.5%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
—
Sell Yes
—
Trade this on Polymarket
CGN Esports
50%
Polymarket 50%polled, 1 min ago
Polymarket
Contract
Map 3 Rounds Handicap: CGN Esports (-2.5) vs Natus Vincere (+2.5)
Last price
50%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
—
Sell Yes
—
Trade this on Polymarket
CGN Esports
50%
Polymarket 50%polled, 1 min ago
Polymarket
Contract
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: CGN Esports (-2.5) vs Natus Vincere (+2.5)
Last price
50%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
—
Sell Yes
—
Trade this on Polymarket
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5
50%
Polymarket 50%polled, 1 min ago
Polymarket
Contract
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5
Last price
50%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
—
Sell Yes
—
Trade this on Polymarket
Show 3 more outcomes
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5
50%
Polymarket 50%polled, 1 min ago
Polymarket
Contract
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 20.5
Last price
50%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
—
Sell Yes
—
Trade this on Polymarket
O/U 2.5 Games
24.5%
Polymarket 24.5%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 38¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $263 (2.63x)
Polymarket
Contract
O/U 2.5 Games
Last price
24.5%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
38¢
Sell Yes
11¢
$100 on Yes pays
$263 (2.63x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Natus Vincere
17%
Kalshi 17%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 17¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $588 (5.88x)
Kalshi
Contract
Natus Vincere
Last price
17%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
17¢
Sell Yes
15¢
$100 on Yes pays
$588 (5.88x)
Volume
$5K
Trade this on Kalshi

No cross-venue arbitrage right now: on every matched outcome, the best bid on one venue is at or below the cheapest ask on the other. Find markets with open spreads

Mostly the same bet: two differences

Where they differ

  • If the game is postponed: Kalshi resolves to a fair price if the game does not start within 48 hours of the scheduled time; Polymarket stays open until the game is played and resolves 50-50 only if it is cancelled with no make-up.
  • Trading closes at different times: Oct 23, 2026, 3:00 PM UTC on Polymarket and Oct 25, 2026, 8:00 AM UTC on Kalshi.
Polymarket
Polymarket resolves via:
UMA optimistic oracle, source: twitch.tv
Kalshi
Kalshi resolves via:
Kalshi (CFTC-regulated exchange), source: Valorant, Gamers World, BO3
Show full rule comparison
  • If the game is postponed: Kalshi resolves to a fair price if the game does not start within 48 hours of the scheduled time; Polymarket stays open until the game is played and resolves 50-50 only if it is cancelled with no make-up.
  • Trading closes Oct 23, 2026, 3:00 PM UTC on Polymarket and Oct 25, 2026, 8:00 AM UTC on Kalshi.

Summarized from each venue’s published rules; the venue’s own rules page is the final word.

How the odds have moved

The top 3 outcomes on both venues, with the consensus between them. Hover for exact values.

  • Map 1 Winner
  • CGN Esports
  • Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5

Order books

Each venue’s resting orders for the selected outcome’s Yes contract, side by side. Top of book streams live; depth refreshes every 15 seconds.

Polymarket

Open on Polymarket ↗

Top of book

Connecting
Best bid
—
Spread
—
Best ask
—

Waiting for the first live quote…

Depth · top 8 levels

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Recent trades

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Kalshi

Kalshi doesn’t list Map 1 Winner for this event.

What your stake buys

Enter a stake to see where it buys the most after fees, using each venue’s live order book.

$
Buy

Loading both order books…

Buys at the asks resting now (taker orders), cheapest after fees first, from order-book snapshots up to 15 seconds old. Fees: Kalshi 0.07 × price × (1 − price) per share, rounded up to the cent; Polymarket 0.05 × price × (1 − price) per share (sports rate). Fee calculator. Estimates only, not advice.

About this market

Live prediction market odds for "Natus Vincere vs. CGN Esports". Map 1 Winner leads at 100%. Next is CGN Esports at 90.5%. $30K has traded across 13 outcomes on Polymarket and Kalshi. The market is expected to resolve by Oct 25, 2026.

Questions

What does the consensus price mean?

It is the price of a Yes contract that pays $1 if the outcome happens. A 14¢ price means traders put the chance near 14%. Where two venues list the same outcome, we blend their last prices, weighting the venue with more trading volume more heavily (neither counts for less than a quarter). When only one outcome can win, each venue’s prices add up to a little over 100% (its margin); the fair chance removes that margin so the outcomes add up to exactly 100%.

How is the payout worked out?

A Yes contract pays $1 if it wins, so at the best ask a $100 stake buys 100 ÷ ask contracts. At 18¢ that is about 555 contracts, paying $556 (5.56x) if Yes happens. Venue fees and price slippage on larger orders are not included.

Why do the venues show different prices?

Each venue has its own traders, fees and order book. Contracts can also settle on slightly different terms, which is why each row lists how closely the rules match.

Is a price gap an arbitrage?

Only when you can buy Yes on one venue below what someone pays for Yes on the other, after fees, and both contracts settle the same way. We show the executable bid and ask so you can check.

How fresh are these prices?

Venue prices refresh every few minutes, and the order book and live quotes stream continuously. Each venue’s card shows when we last observed it.

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