The Prediction Markets

NBA: 2026-27 Coach of the Year

Closes
Jul 1, 2027, in 8 months
Traded
$109K
Venues
Polymarket, Kalshi
Prices updated
just now
Share

What the markets expect

Pro Basketball Coach of the Year: Will Hardy 8.2%

Next is Chris Finch at 6.8%. The venues differ most on Darko Rajaković (Polymarket 11.8%, Kalshi 5%), a 6.8-point gap.

Pro Basketball Coach of the Year: Will Hardy 8.2%Chris Finch 6.8%Sean Sweeney 6.3%Rick Carlisle 5.5%Erik Spoelstra 4.8%25 others 68.4%

Odds by venue

Fair chance strips out each venue’s built-in margin (its prices add up to more than 100%), then blends the venues by how much has traded there, so the outcomes add up to 100%. Best Yes price is the cheapest ask across venues, and the payout is what a winning $100 stake returns before fees. Open a row for each venue’s contract name, bid and ask, and how closely their rules match.

Prices come from our regular polls of each venue. Ages are as of when this page was built.

  • Polymarket
  • Kalshi
Pro Basketball Coach of the Year: Will Hardy
8.2%
Polymarket 10.9%(6% fair)polled, 44s agoKalshi 11%(9.2% fair)polled, 44s agoBest Yes 11.9¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $840 (8.40x)
Polymarket
Contract
Will Hardy
Last price
10.9%
Fair, margin removed
6%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
11.9¢
Sell Yes
9.8¢
$100 on Yes pays
$840 (8.40x)
Volume
$243
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Pro Basketball Coach of the Year: Will Hardy
Last price
11%
Fair, margin removed
9.2%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
14¢
Sell Yes
8¢
$100 on Yes pays
$714 (7.14x)
Volume
$9K
Trade this on Kalshi
Partial parity

Payoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences below the table.

No arbitrage: the best bid elsewhere is 8¢, at or below the cheapest ask of 11.9¢.

Chris Finch
6.8%
Polymarket 5.2%(2.9% fair)polled, 44s agoKalshi 10%(8.4% fair)polled, 44s agoBest Yes 10¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,000 (10.0x)
Polymarket
Contract
Chris Finch
Last price
5.2%
Fair, margin removed
2.9%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
10¢
Sell Yes
0.3¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,000 (10.0x)
Volume
$102
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Chris Finch
Last price
10%
Fair, margin removed
8.4%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
10¢
Sell Yes
4¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,000 (10.0x)
Volume
$2K
Trade this on Kalshi
Partial parity

Payoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences below the table.

No arbitrage: the best bid elsewhere is 4¢, at or below the cheapest ask of 10¢.

Sean SweeneyArb
6.3%
Polymarket 5.7%(3.1% fair)polled, 44s agoKalshi 9%(7.5% fair)polled, 44s agoBest Yes 7.9¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,266 (12.7x)
Polymarket
Contract
Sean Sweeney
Last price
5.7%
Fair, margin removed
3.1%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
7.9¢
Sell Yes
3.4¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,266 (12.7x)
Volume
$554
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Sean Sweeney
Last price
9%
Fair, margin removed
7.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
9¢
Sell Yes
8¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,111 (11.1x)
Volume
$7K
Trade this on Kalshi
Partial parity

Payoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences below the table.

Buying on Polymarket at 7.9¢ and selling on Kalshi at 8¢ nets 10 bps before fees.

Rick Carlisle
5.5%
Polymarket 8.5%(4.7% fair)polled, 44s agoKalshi 7%(5.9% fair)polled, 44s agoBest Yes 7¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,429 (14.3x)
Polymarket
Contract
Rick Carlisle
Last price
8.5%
Fair, margin removed
4.7%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
10.1¢
Sell Yes
6.8¢
$100 on Yes pays
$990 (9.90x)
Volume
$464
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Rick Carlisle
Last price
7%
Fair, margin removed
5.9%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
7¢
Sell Yes
3¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,429 (14.3x)
Volume
$3K
Trade this on Kalshi
Partial parity

Payoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences below the table.

No arbitrage: the best bid elsewhere is 6.8¢, at or below the cheapest ask of 7¢.

Erik Spoelstra
4.8%
Polymarket 8.1%(4.5% fair)polled, 44s agoKalshi 6%(5% fair)polled, 44s agoBest Yes 6¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,667 (16.7x)
Polymarket
Contract
Erik Spoelstra
Last price
8.1%
Fair, margin removed
4.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
10.3¢
Sell Yes
5.9¢
$100 on Yes pays
$971 (9.71x)
Volume
$41
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Erik Spoelstra
Last price
6%
Fair, margin removed
5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
6¢
Sell Yes
5¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,667 (16.7x)
Volume
$3K
Trade this on Kalshi
Partial parity

Payoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences below the table.

No arbitrage: the best bid elsewhere is 5.9¢, at or below the cheapest ask of 6¢.

Joe Mazzulla
4.8%
Polymarket 8.5%(4.7% fair)polled, 44s agoKalshi 6%(5% fair)polled, 44s agoBest Yes 7¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,429 (14.3x)
Polymarket
Contract
Joe Mazzulla
Last price
8.5%
Fair, margin removed
4.7%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
16.8¢
Sell Yes
0.1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$595 (5.95x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Joe Mazzulla
Last price
6%
Fair, margin removed
5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
7¢
Sell Yes
2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,429 (14.3x)
Volume
$9K
Trade this on Kalshi
Partial parity

Payoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences below the table.

No arbitrage: the best bid elsewhere is 0.1¢, at or below the cheapest ask of 7¢.

Darko RajakovićArb
4.7%
Polymarket 11.8%(6.6% fair)polled, 44s agoKalshi 5%(4.2% fair)polled, 44s agoBest Yes 10¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,000 (10.0x)
Polymarket
Contract
Darko Rajakovic
Last price
11.8%
Fair, margin removed
6.6%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
12.5¢
Sell Yes
11.1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$800 (8.00x)
Volume
$61
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Darko Rajaković
Last price
5%
Fair, margin removed
4.2%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
10¢
Sell Yes
5¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,000 (10.0x)
Volume
$1K
Trade this on Kalshi
Partial parity

Payoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences below the table.

Buying on Kalshi at 10¢ and selling on Polymarket at 11.1¢ nets 110 bps before fees.

Nick Nurse
4.6%
Polymarket 7.2%(4% fair)polled, 44s agoKalshi 6%(5% fair)polled, 44s agoBest Yes 6¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,667 (16.7x)
Polymarket
Contract
Nick Nurse
Last price
7.2%
Fair, margin removed
4%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
9.4¢
Sell Yes
5¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,064 (10.6x)
Volume
$382
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Nick Nurse
Last price
6%
Fair, margin removed
5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
6¢
Sell Yes
1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,667 (16.7x)
Volume
$996
Trade this on Kalshi
Partial parity

Payoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences below the table.

No arbitrage: the best bid elsewhere is 5¢, at or below the cheapest ask of 6¢.

Ime UdokaArb
4%
Polymarket 7.1%(3.9% fair)polled, 44s agoKalshi 5%(4.2% fair)polled, 44s agoBest Yes 5¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)
Polymarket
Contract
Ime Udoka
Last price
7.1%
Fair, margin removed
3.9%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
7.1¢
Sell Yes
7¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,408 (14.1x)
Volume
$21
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Ime Udoka
Last price
5%
Fair, margin removed
4.2%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
5¢
Sell Yes
3¢
$100 on Yes pays
$2,000 (20.0x)
Volume
$3K
Trade this on Kalshi
Partial parity

Payoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences below the table.

Buying on Kalshi at 5¢ and selling on Polymarket at 7¢ nets 200 bps before fees.

Micah Nori
4%
Polymarket 4%(2.2% fair)polled, 44s agoKalshi 7%(5.9% fair)polled, 44s agoBest Yes 7¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,429 (14.3x)
Polymarket
Contract
Micah Nori
Last price
4%
Fair, margin removed
2.2%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
7¢
Sell Yes
1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,429 (14.3x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Micah Nori
Last price
7%
Fair, margin removed
5.9%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
7¢
Sell Yes
3¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,429 (14.3x)
Volume
$2K
Trade this on Kalshi
Partial parity

Payoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences below the table.

No arbitrage: the best bid elsewhere is 3¢, at or below the cheapest ask of 7¢.

Show 20 more outcomes
J.B. BickerstaffArb
3.7%
Polymarket 9.3%(5.1% fair)polled, 44s agoKalshi 4%(3.3% fair)polled, 44s agoBest Yes 4¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)
Polymarket
Contract
J.B. Bickerstaff
Last price
9.3%
Fair, margin removed
5.1%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
12.1¢
Sell Yes
6.4¢
$100 on Yes pays
$826 (8.26x)
Volume
$321
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
J.B. Bickerstaff
Last price
4%
Fair, margin removed
3.3%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
4¢
Sell Yes
3¢
$100 on Yes pays
$2,500 (25.0x)
Volume
$8K
Trade this on Kalshi
Partial parity

Payoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences below the table.

Buying on Kalshi at 4¢ and selling on Polymarket at 6.4¢ nets 240 bps before fees.

Mike BrownArb
3.5%
Polymarket 7.6%(4.2% fair)polled, 44s agoKalshi 4%(3.3% fair)polled, 44s agoBest Yes 4¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)
Polymarket
Contract
Mike Brown
Last price
7.6%
Fair, margin removed
4.2%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
10¢
Sell Yes
5.2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,000 (10.0x)
Volume
$440
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Mike Brown
Last price
4%
Fair, margin removed
3.3%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
4¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$2,500 (25.0x)
Volume
$3K
Trade this on Kalshi
Partial parity

Payoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences below the table.

Buying on Kalshi at 4¢ and selling on Polymarket at 5.2¢ nets 120 bps before fees.

JJ Redick
3.1%
Polymarket 4%(2.2% fair)polled, 44s agoKalshi 5%(4.2% fair)polled, 44s agoBest Yes 5¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)
Polymarket
Contract
JJ Redick
Last price
4%
Fair, margin removed
2.2%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
7¢
Sell Yes
1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,429 (14.3x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
JJ Redick
Last price
5%
Fair, margin removed
4.2%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
5¢
Sell Yes
4¢
$100 on Yes pays
$2,000 (20.0x)
Volume
$9K
Trade this on Kalshi
Partial parity

Payoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences below the table.

No arbitrage: the best bid elsewhere is 4¢, at or below the cheapest ask of 7¢.

Quin Snyder
3.1%
Polymarket 6.9%(3.8% fair)polled, 44s agoKalshi 3%polled, 44s agoBest Yes 3¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $3,333 (33.3x)
Polymarket
Contract
Quin Snyder
Last price
6.9%
Fair, margin removed
3.8%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
13.7¢
Sell Yes
0.1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$730 (7.30x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Quin Snyder
Last price
3%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
3¢
Sell Yes
2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$3,333 (33.3x)
Volume
$9K
Trade this on Kalshi
Partial parity

Payoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences below the table.

No arbitrage: the best bid elsewhere is 0.1¢, at or below the cheapest ask of 3¢.

Mitch Johnson
2.9%
Polymarket 6.1%(3.4% fair)polled, 44s agoKalshi 3%polled, 44s agoBest Yes 4¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)
Polymarket
Contract
Mitch Johnson
Last price
6.1%
Fair, margin removed
3.4%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
10.9¢
Sell Yes
1.2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$917 (9.17x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Mitch Johnson
Last price
3%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
4¢
Sell Yes
2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$2,500 (25.0x)
Volume
$8K
Trade this on Kalshi
Partial parity

Payoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences below the table.

No arbitrage: the best bid elsewhere is 1.2¢, at or below the cheapest ask of 4¢.

Mark Daigneault
2.8%
Polymarket 5.6%(3.1% fair)polled, 44s agoKalshi 3%polled, 44s agoBest Yes 3¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $3,333 (33.3x)
Polymarket
Contract
Mark Daigneault
Last price
5.6%
Fair, margin removed
3.1%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
10¢
Sell Yes
1.2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,000 (10.0x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Mark Daigneault
Last price
3%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
3¢
Sell Yes
1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$3,333 (33.3x)
Volume
$1K
Trade this on Kalshi
Partial parity

Payoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences below the table.

No arbitrage: the best bid elsewhere is 1.2¢, at or below the cheapest ask of 3¢.

Tuomas Iisalo
2.6%
Polymarket 5.4%(3% fair)polled, 44s agoKalshi 3%polled, 44s agoBest Yes 3¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $3,333 (33.3x)
Polymarket
Contract
Tuomas Iisalo
Last price
5.4%
Fair, margin removed
3%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
9.8¢
Sell Yes
1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,020 (10.2x)
Volume
$80
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Tuomas Iisalo
Last price
3%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
3¢
Sell Yes
2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$3,333 (33.3x)
Volume
$8K
Trade this on Kalshi
Partial parity

Payoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences below the table.

No arbitrage: the best bid elsewhere is 1¢, at or below the cheapest ask of 3¢.

Charles Lee
2.5%
Polymarket 4.6%(2.5% fair)polled, 44s agoKalshi 3%polled, 44s agoBest Yes 3¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $3,333 (33.3x)
Polymarket
Contract
Charles Lee
Last price
4.6%
Fair, margin removed
2.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
9¢
Sell Yes
0.1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,111 (11.1x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Charles Lee
Last price
3%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
3¢
Sell Yes
2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$3,333 (33.3x)
Volume
$9K
Trade this on Kalshi
Partial parity

Payoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences below the table.

No arbitrage: the best bid elsewhere is 0.1¢, at or below the cheapest ask of 3¢.

Brian Keefe
2.2%
Polymarket 3.5%(1.9% fair)polled, 44s agoKalshi 3%polled, 44s agoBest Yes 3¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $3,333 (33.3x)
Polymarket
Contract
Brian Keefe
Last price
3.5%
Fair, margin removed
1.9%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
6¢
Sell Yes
1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,667 (16.7x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Brian Keefe
Last price
3%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
3¢
Sell Yes
1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$3,333 (33.3x)
Volume
$3K
Trade this on Kalshi
Partial parity

Payoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences below the table.

No arbitrage: the best bid elsewhere is 1¢, at or below the cheapest ask of 3¢.

Tyronn LueArb
2.2%
Polymarket 6.4%(3.6% fair)polled, 44s agoKalshi 1%polled, 44s agoBest Yes 2¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Polymarket
Contract
Tyronn Lue
Last price
6.4%
Fair, margin removed
3.6%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
7.8¢
Sell Yes
5¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,282 (12.8x)
Volume
$68
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Tyronn Lue
Last price
1%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
2¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$5,000 (50.0x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Partial parity

Payoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences below the table.

Buying on Kalshi at 2¢ and selling on Polymarket at 5¢ nets 300 bps before fees.

Jordi Fernández
2.1%
Polymarket 4.8%(2.7% fair)polled, 44s agoKalshi 2%polled, 44s agoBest Yes 2¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Polymarket
Contract
Jordi Fernandez
Last price
4.8%
Fair, margin removed
2.7%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
9.5¢
Sell Yes
0.1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,053 (10.5x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Jordi Fernández
Last price
2%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
2¢
Sell Yes
1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$5,000 (50.0x)
Volume
$5K
Trade this on Kalshi
Partial parity

Payoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences below the table.

No arbitrage: the best bid elsewhere is 0.1¢, at or below the cheapest ask of 2¢.

Tiago Splitter
2.1%
Polymarket 4.8%(2.6% fair)polled, 44s agoKalshi 2%polled, 44s agoBest Yes 2¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Polymarket
Contract
Tiago Splitter
Last price
4.8%
Fair, margin removed
2.6%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
9.4¢
Sell Yes
0.1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,064 (10.6x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Tiago Splitter
Last price
2%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
2¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$5,000 (50.0x)
Volume
$1K
Trade this on Kalshi
Partial parity

Payoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences below the table.

No arbitrage: the best bid elsewhere is 0.1¢, at or below the cheapest ask of 2¢.

Jamahl Mosley
2%
Polymarket 4.3%(2.4% fair)polled, 44s agoKalshi 2%polled, 44s agoBest Yes 2¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Polymarket
Contract
Jamahl Mosley
Last price
4.3%
Fair, margin removed
2.4%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
8.4¢
Sell Yes
0.1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,190 (11.9x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Jamahl Mosley
Last price
2%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
2¢
Sell Yes
1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$5,000 (50.0x)
Volume
$468
Trade this on Kalshi
Partial parity

Payoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences below the table.

No arbitrage: the best bid elsewhere is 0.1¢, at or below the cheapest ask of 2¢.

Jordan Ott
1.9%
Polymarket 4%(2.2% fair)polled, 44s agoKalshi 2%polled, 44s agoBest Yes 2¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Polymarket
Contract
Jordan Ott
Last price
4%
Fair, margin removed
2.2%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
7.9¢
Sell Yes
0.1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,266 (12.7x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Jordan Ott
Last price
2%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
2¢
Sell Yes
1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$5,000 (50.0x)
Volume
$184
Trade this on Kalshi
Partial parity

Payoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences below the table.

No arbitrage: the best bid elsewhere is 0.1¢, at or below the cheapest ask of 2¢.

Steve Kerr
1.9%
Polymarket 4%(2.2% fair)polled, 44s agoKalshi 2%polled, 44s agoBest Yes 2¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Polymarket
Contract
Steve Kerr
Last price
4%
Fair, margin removed
2.2%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
7.9¢
Sell Yes
0.1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,266 (12.7x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Steve Kerr
Last price
2%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
2¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$5,000 (50.0x)
Volume
$113
Trade this on Kalshi
Partial parity

Payoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences below the table.

No arbitrage: the best bid elsewhere is 0.1¢, at or below the cheapest ask of 2¢.

Taylor Jenkins
1.9%
Polymarket 4%(2.2% fair)polled, 44s agoKalshi 2%polled, 44s agoBest Yes 2¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Polymarket
Contract
Taylor Jenkins
Last price
4%
Fair, margin removed
2.2%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
7.9¢
Sell Yes
0.1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,266 (12.7x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Taylor Jenkins
Last price
2%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
2¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$5,000 (50.0x)
Volume
$390
Trade this on Kalshi
Partial parity

Payoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences below the table.

No arbitrage: the best bid elsewhere is 0.1¢, at or below the cheapest ask of 2¢.

David Adelman
1.7%
Polymarket 4.8%(2.7% fair)polled, 44s agoKalshi 1%polled, 44s agoBest Yes 2¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Polymarket
Contract
David Adelman
Last price
4.8%
Fair, margin removed
2.7%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
9.5¢
Sell Yes
0.1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,053 (10.5x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
David Adelman
Last price
1%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
2¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$5,000 (50.0x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Partial parity

Payoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences below the table.

No arbitrage: the best bid elsewhere is 0.1¢, at or below the cheapest ask of 2¢.

Kenny Atkinson
1.5%
Polymarket 4%(2.2% fair)polled, 44s agoKalshi 1%polled, 44s agoBest Yes 2¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Polymarket
Contract
Kenny Atkinson
Last price
4%
Fair, margin removed
2.2%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
7.9¢
Sell Yes
0.1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,266 (12.7x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Kenny Atkinson
Last price
1%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
2¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$5,000 (50.0x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Partial parity

Payoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences below the table.

No arbitrage: the best bid elsewhere is 0.1¢, at or below the cheapest ask of 2¢.

Dusty May
1.4%
Polymarket 5.7%(3.1% fair)polled, 44s agoKalshi 1%polled, 44s agoBest Yes 3¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $3,333 (33.3x)
Polymarket
Contract
Dusty May
Last price
5.7%
Fair, margin removed
3.1%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
11¢
Sell Yes
0.3¢
$100 on Yes pays
$909 (9.09x)
Volume
$55
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Dusty May
Last price
1%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
3¢
Sell Yes
1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$3,333 (33.3x)
Volume
$767
Trade this on Kalshi
Partial parity

Payoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences below the table.

No arbitrage: the best bid elsewhere is 0.3¢, at or below the cheapest ask of 3¢.

Doug Christie
1.2%
Polymarket 3.7%(2.1% fair)polled, 44s agoKalshi 0.5%polled, 44s agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Polymarket
Contract
Doug Christie
Last price
3.7%
Fair, margin removed
2.1%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
7.3¢
Sell Yes
0.1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,370 (13.7x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Doug Christie
Last price
0.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
1¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$10,000 (100x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Partial parity

Payoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences below the table.

No arbitrage: the best bid elsewhere is 0.1¢, at or below the cheapest ask of 1¢.

Possible arbitrage before fees: buy Tyronn Lue on Kalshi at 2¢, sell on Polymarket at 5¢ (300 bps). Check the rules below before trading. See all live spreads

Mostly the same bet: 4 differences

Where they differ

  • Both settle on the official league/organizer result for the named season; Kalshi's season is the ticker edition (KXNBA-27 = 2026-27) and Polymarket's is stated in the title or slug.
  • Season cancelled or not completed: Kalshi resolves per its rules (typically a fair price); Polymarket resolves to 'Other' or 50-50 depending on the event.
  • Polymarket lists placeholders ('Other', 'Team A') and closes eliminated outcomes early; only live named outcomes are linked.
  • Awards: Kalshi and Polymarket both settle on the official award announcement; ties or shared awards are handled differently (Kalshi per contract rules, Polymarket split).
Polymarket
Polymarket resolves via:
UMA optimistic oracle
Kalshi
Kalshi resolves via:
Kalshi (CFTC-regulated exchange), source: the Governing League, ESPN
Show full rule comparison
  • Both settle on the official league/organizer result for the named season; Kalshi's season is the ticker edition (KXNBA-27 = 2026-27) and Polymarket's is stated in the title or slug.
  • Season cancelled or not completed: Kalshi resolves per its rules (typically a fair price); Polymarket resolves to 'Other' or 50-50 depending on the event.
  • Polymarket lists placeholders ('Other', 'Team A') and closes eliminated outcomes early; only live named outcomes are linked.
  • Awards: Kalshi and Polymarket both settle on the official award announcement; ties or shared awards are handled differently (Kalshi per contract rules, Polymarket split).
  • Trading closes Jul 1, 2027, 3:59 AM UTC on Polymarket and Aug 2, 2027, 2:00 PM UTC on Kalshi.

Summarized from each venue’s published rules; the venue’s own rules page is the final word.

How the odds have moved

The top 3 outcomes on both venues, with the consensus between them. Hover for exact values.

  • Pro Basketball Coach of the Year: Will Hardy
  • Chris Finch
  • Sean Sweeney

Live prices for Pro Basketball Coach of the Year: Will Hardy

What it costs to buy Yes, what you would get selling it, and the last trade on each exchange, updating as orders change. Hover a status for timing details.

Order books

Each venue’s resting orders for the selected outcome’s Yes contract, side by side. Top of book streams live; depth refreshes every 15 seconds.

Combined depth · both venues

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Polymarket

Open on Polymarket ↗

Top of book

Connecting
Best bid
—
Spread
—
Best ask
—

Waiting for the first live quote…

Depth · top 8 levels

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Recent trades

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Kalshi

Open on Kalshi ↗

Top of book

Connecting
Best bid
—
Spread
—
Best ask
—

Waiting for the first live quote…

Depth · top 8 levels

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Recent trades

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What your stake buys

Enter a stake to see where it buys the most after fees, using each venue’s live order book.

$
Buy

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Buys at the asks resting now (taker orders), cheapest after fees first, from order-book snapshots up to 15 seconds old. Fees: Kalshi 0.07 × price × (1 − price) per share, rounded up to the cent; Polymarket 0.05 × price × (1 − price) per share (sports rate). Fee calculator. Estimates only, not advice.

About this market

Live prediction market odds for "NBA: 2026-27 Coach of the Year". Pro Basketball Coach of the Year: Will Hardy leads at 8.2%. Next is Chris Finch at 6.8%. $109K has traded across 30 outcomes on Kalshi and Polymarket. The market is expected to resolve by Jul 1, 2027.

This market will resolve to the coach who wins the Coach of the Year award for the 2026-27 NBA regular season. If the winner is not a listed coach, the "Other" market will resolve to "Yes". If the NBA names more than one winner of the award, each listed coach's market, including those of the co-winners, will resolve to "No" and the "Other" market will resolve to "Yes". If no winner of the award is announced by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, for any reason, including cancellation of the 2026-27 NBA season, each listed coach's market will resolve to "No" and the "Other" market will resolve to "Yes". The resolution source for this market will be official information from the NBA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Questions

What does the consensus price mean?

It is the price of a Yes contract that pays $1 if the outcome happens. A 14¢ price means traders put the chance near 14%. Where two venues list the same outcome, we blend their last prices, weighting the venue with more trading volume more heavily (neither counts for less than a quarter). When only one outcome can win, each venue’s prices add up to a little over 100% (its margin); the fair chance removes that margin so the outcomes add up to exactly 100%.

How is the payout worked out?

A Yes contract pays $1 if it wins, so at the best ask a $100 stake buys 100 ÷ ask contracts. At 18¢ that is about 555 contracts, paying $556 (5.56x) if Yes happens. Venue fees and price slippage on larger orders are not included.

Why do the venues show different prices?

Each venue has its own traders, fees and order book. Contracts can also settle on slightly different terms, which is why each row lists how closely the rules match.

Is a price gap an arbitrage?

Only when you can buy Yes on one venue below what someone pays for Yes on the other, after fees, and both contracts settle the same way. We show the executable bid and ask so you can check.

How fresh are these prices?

Venue prices refresh every few minutes, and the order book and live quotes stream continuously. Each venue’s card shows when we last observed it.

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