The Prediction Markets

NBA: 2026-27 Defensive Player of the Year

Closes
Jul 1, 2027, in 8 months
Traded
$67K
Venues
Polymarket, Kalshi
Prices updated
1 min ago
Share

What the markets expect

Victor Wembanyama 72.8%

Next is Dyson Daniels at 6.7%. The venues differ most on Dyson Daniels (Polymarket 2.9%, Kalshi 8%), a 5.1-point gap.

Odds by venue

Consensus blends each venue’s last price, weighted by how much has traded there. Best Yes price is the cheapest ask across venues, and the payout is what a winning $100 stake returns before fees. Open a row for each venue’s contract name, bid and ask, and how closely their rules match.

Prices come from our regular polls of each venue, the oldest 1 min ago. Ages are as of when this page was built.

  • Polymarket
  • Kalshi
Victor Wembanyama
72.8%
Polymarket 72.2%polled, 1 min agoKalshi 73%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 74¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $135 (1.35x)
Polymarket
Contract
Victor Wembanyama
Last price
72.2%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
74.3¢
Sell Yes
70¢
$100 on Yes pays
$135 (1.35x)
Volume
$361
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Victor Wembanyama
Last price
73%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
74¢
Sell Yes
73¢
$100 on Yes pays
$135 (1.35x)
Volume
$13K
Trade this on Kalshi
Partial parity

Payoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences below the table.

No arbitrage: the best bid elsewhere is 73¢, at or below the cheapest ask of 74.3¢.

Dyson Daniels
6.7%
Polymarket 2.9%polled, 1 min agoKalshi 8%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 5.7¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,754 (17.5x)
Polymarket
Contract
Dyson Daniels
Last price
2.9%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
5.7¢
Sell Yes
0.1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,754 (17.5x)
Volume
$11
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Dyson Daniels
Last price
8%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
12¢
Sell Yes
1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$833 (8.33x)
Volume
$1K
Trade this on Kalshi
Partial parity

Payoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences below the table.

No arbitrage: the best bid elsewhere is 1¢, at or below the cheapest ask of 5.7¢.

Ausar Thompson
6.1%
Polymarket 6.3%polled, 1 min agoKalshi 6%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 7.5¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,333 (13.3x)
Polymarket
Contract
Ausar Thompson
Last price
6.3%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
7.5¢
Sell Yes
5¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,333 (13.3x)
Volume
$26
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Ausar Thompson
Last price
6%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
9¢
Sell Yes
5¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,111 (11.1x)
Volume
$7K
Trade this on Kalshi
Partial parity

Payoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences below the table.

No arbitrage: the best bid elsewhere is 5¢, at or below the cheapest ask of 7.5¢.

Chet Holmgren
5.5%
Polymarket 6.8%polled, 1 min agoKalshi 5%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 9¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,111 (11.1x)
Polymarket
Contract
Chet Holmgren
Last price
6.8%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
13.1¢
Sell Yes
0.5¢
$100 on Yes pays
$763 (7.63x)
Volume
$327
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Chet Holmgren
Last price
5%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
9¢
Sell Yes
5¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,111 (11.1x)
Volume
$4K
Trade this on Kalshi
Partial parity

Payoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences below the table.

No arbitrage: the best bid elsewhere is 5¢, at or below the cheapest ask of 13.1¢.

Walker Kessler
3.7%
Polymarket 2.6%polled, 1 min agoKalshi 4%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 4¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)
Polymarket
Contract
Walker Kessler
Last price
2.6%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
5¢
Sell Yes
0.2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$2,000 (20.0x)
Volume
$11
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Walker Kessler
Last price
4%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
4¢
Sell Yes
1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$2,500 (25.0x)
Volume
$2K
Trade this on Kalshi
Partial parity

Payoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences below the table.

No arbitrage: the best bid elsewhere is 0.2¢, at or below the cheapest ask of 4¢.

Rudy Gobert
2.9%
Polymarket 2.6%polled, 1 min agoKalshi 3%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 3¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $3,333 (33.3x)
Polymarket
Contract
Rudy Gobert
Last price
2.6%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
4.8¢
Sell Yes
0.3¢
$100 on Yes pays
$2,083 (20.8x)
Volume
$11
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Rudy Gobert
Last price
3%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
3¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$3,333 (33.3x)
Volume
$5K
Trade this on Kalshi
Partial parity

Payoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences below the table.

No arbitrage: the best bid elsewhere is 0.3¢, at or below the cheapest ask of 3¢.

Zach Edey
2.9%
Polymarket 2.5%polled, 1 min agoKalshi 3%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 3¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $3,333 (33.3x)
Polymarket
Contract
Zach Edey
Last price
2.5%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
4.7¢
Sell Yes
0.2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$2,128 (21.3x)
Volume
$11
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Zach Edey
Last price
3%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
3¢
Sell Yes
2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$3,333 (33.3x)
Volume
$4K
Trade this on Kalshi
Partial parity

Payoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences below the table.

No arbitrage: the best bid elsewhere is 2¢, at or below the cheapest ask of 4.7¢.

Jaylen Brown
2.9%
Polymarket 4.2%polled, 1 min agoKalshi 1%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Polymarket
Contract
Jaylen Brown
Last price
4.2%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
8.3¢
Sell Yes
0.1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,205 (12.0x)
Volume
$272
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Jaylen Brown
Last price
1%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
1¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$10,000 (100x)
Volume
$197
Trade this on Kalshi
Partial parity

Payoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences below the table.

No arbitrage: the best bid elsewhere is 0.1¢, at or below the cheapest ask of 1¢.

Jaren Jackson Jr.
2.7%
Polymarket 4%polled, 1 min agoKalshi 2%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 2¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Polymarket
Contract
Jaren Jackson Jr.
Last price
4%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
7.9¢
Sell Yes
0.1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,266 (12.7x)
Volume
$175
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Jaren Jackson Jr.
Last price
2%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
2¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$5,000 (50.0x)
Volume
$299
Trade this on Kalshi
Partial parity

Payoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences below the table.

No arbitrage: the best bid elsewhere is 0.1¢, at or below the cheapest ask of 2¢.

Dillon Brooks
2.5%
Polymarket 4.5%polled, 1 min agoKalshi 0.5%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Polymarket
Contract
Dillon Brooks
Last price
4.5%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
8.8¢
Sell Yes
0.1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,136 (11.4x)
Volume
$53
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Dillon Brooks
Last price
0.5%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
1¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$10,000 (100x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Partial parity

Payoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences below the table.

No arbitrage: the best bid elsewhere is 0.1¢, at or below the cheapest ask of 1¢.

Show 38 more outcomes
OG Anunoby
2.3%
Polymarket 3%polled, 1 min agoKalshi 2%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 2¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Polymarket
Contract
OG Anunoby
Last price
3%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
5.8¢
Sell Yes
0.2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,724 (17.2x)
Volume
$11
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
OG Anunoby
Last price
2%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
2¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$5,000 (50.0x)
Volume
$1K
Trade this on Kalshi
Partial parity

Payoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences below the table.

No arbitrage: the best bid elsewhere is 0.2¢, at or below the cheapest ask of 2¢.

Ivica Zubac
2.2%
Polymarket 3.9%polled, 1 min agoKalshi 0.5%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Polymarket
Contract
Ivica Zubac
Last price
3.9%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
7.7¢
Sell Yes
0.1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,299 (13.0x)
Volume
$31
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Ivica Zubac
Last price
0.5%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
1¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$10,000 (100x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Partial parity

Payoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences below the table.

No arbitrage: the best bid elsewhere is 0.1¢, at or below the cheapest ask of 1¢.

Amen Thompson
2.2%
Polymarket 2.7%polled, 1 min agoKalshi 2%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 2¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Polymarket
Contract
Amen Thompson
Last price
2.7%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
5.3¢
Sell Yes
0.1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,887 (18.9x)
Volume
$11
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Amen Thompson
Last price
2%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
2¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$5,000 (50.0x)
Volume
$3K
Trade this on Kalshi
Partial parity

Payoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences below the table.

No arbitrage: the best bid elsewhere is 0.1¢, at or below the cheapest ask of 2¢.

Bam Adebayo
2.1%
Polymarket 2.6%polled, 1 min agoKalshi 2%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 3¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $3,333 (33.3x)
Polymarket
Contract
Bam Adebayo
Last price
2.6%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
4.8¢
Sell Yes
0.3¢
$100 on Yes pays
$2,083 (20.8x)
Volume
$11
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Bam Adebayo
Last price
2%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
3¢
Sell Yes
2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$3,333 (33.3x)
Volume
$6K
Trade this on Kalshi
Partial parity

Payoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences below the table.

No arbitrage: the best bid elsewhere is 0.3¢, at or below the cheapest ask of 3¢.

Scottie Barnes
2.1%
Polymarket 2.6%polled, 1 min agoKalshi 2%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 3¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $3,333 (33.3x)
Polymarket
Contract
Scottie Barnes
Last price
2.6%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
4.8¢
Sell Yes
0.3¢
$100 on Yes pays
$2,083 (20.8x)
Volume
$11
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Scottie Barnes
Last price
2%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
3¢
Sell Yes
2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$3,333 (33.3x)
Volume
$3K
Trade this on Kalshi
Partial parity

Payoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences below the table.

No arbitrage: the best bid elsewhere is 0.3¢, at or below the cheapest ask of 3¢.

Isaiah Hartenstein
2.1%
Polymarket 3.7%polled, 1 min agoKalshi 0.5%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Polymarket
Contract
Isaiah Hartenstein
Last price
3.7%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
7.2¢
Sell Yes
0.1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,389 (13.9x)
Volume
$31
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Isaiah Hartenstein
Last price
0.5%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
1¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$10,000 (100x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Partial parity

Payoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences below the table.

No arbitrage: the best bid elsewhere is 0.1¢, at or below the cheapest ask of 1¢.

Giannis Antetokounmpo
2%
Polymarket 2.2%polled, 1 min agoKalshi 2%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 2¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Polymarket
Contract
Giannis Antetokounmpo
Last price
2.2%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
4.2¢
Sell Yes
0.1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$2,381 (23.8x)
Volume
$11
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Giannis Antetokounmpo
Last price
2%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
2¢
Sell Yes
1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$5,000 (50.0x)
Volume
$2K
Trade this on Kalshi
Partial parity

Payoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences below the table.

No arbitrage: the best bid elsewhere is 0.1¢, at or below the cheapest ask of 2¢.

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander
2%
Polymarket 3.6%polled, 1 min agoKalshi 0.5%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Polymarket
Contract
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander
Last price
3.6%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
7¢
Sell Yes
0.1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,429 (14.3x)
Volume
$31
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander
Last price
0.5%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
1¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$10,000 (100x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Partial parity

Payoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences below the table.

No arbitrage: the best bid elsewhere is 0.1¢, at or below the cheapest ask of 1¢.

Donovan Clingan
1.8%
Polymarket 4.2%polled, 1 min agoKalshi 1%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Polymarket
Contract
Donovan Clingan
Last price
4.2%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
8.3¢
Sell Yes
0.1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,205 (12.0x)
Volume
$55
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Donovan Clingan
Last price
1%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
1¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$10,000 (100x)
Volume
$3K
Trade this on Kalshi
Partial parity

Payoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences below the table.

No arbitrage: the best bid elsewhere is 0.1¢, at or below the cheapest ask of 1¢.

Alex Caruso
1.7%
Polymarket 2.9%polled, 1 min agoKalshi 0.5%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Polymarket
Contract
Alex Caruso
Last price
2.9%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
5.7¢
Sell Yes
0.1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,754 (17.5x)
Volume
$11
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Alex Caruso
Last price
0.5%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
1¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$10,000 (100x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Partial parity

Payoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences below the table.

No arbitrage: the best bid elsewhere is 0.1¢, at or below the cheapest ask of 1¢.

Draymond Green
1.7%
Polymarket 2.9%polled, 1 min agoKalshi 0.5%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Polymarket
Contract
Draymond Green
Last price
2.9%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
5.7¢
Sell Yes
0.1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,754 (17.5x)
Volume
$11
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Draymond Green
Last price
0.5%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
1¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$10,000 (100x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Partial parity

Payoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences below the table.

No arbitrage: the best bid elsewhere is 0.1¢, at or below the cheapest ask of 1¢.

Jimmy Butler
1.7%
Polymarket 2.9%polled, 1 min agoKalshi 0.5%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Polymarket
Contract
Jimmy Butler III
Last price
2.9%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
5.7¢
Sell Yes
0.1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,754 (17.5x)
Volume
$11
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Jimmy Butler
Last price
0.5%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
1¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$10,000 (100x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Partial parity

Payoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences below the table.

No arbitrage: the best bid elsewhere is 0.1¢, at or below the cheapest ask of 1¢.

Jrue Holiday
1.7%
Polymarket 2.9%polled, 1 min agoKalshi 0.5%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Polymarket
Contract
Jrue Holiday
Last price
2.9%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
5.7¢
Sell Yes
0.1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,754 (17.5x)
Volume
$11
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Jrue Holiday
Last price
0.5%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
1¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$10,000 (100x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Partial parity

Payoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences below the table.

No arbitrage: the best bid elsewhere is 0.1¢, at or below the cheapest ask of 1¢.

Tari Eason
1.7%
Polymarket 2.9%polled, 1 min agoKalshi 0.5%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Polymarket
Contract
Tari Eason
Last price
2.9%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
5.7¢
Sell Yes
0.1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,754 (17.5x)
Volume
$11
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Tari Eason
Last price
0.5%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
1¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$10,000 (100x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Partial parity

Payoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences below the table.

No arbitrage: the best bid elsewhere is 0.1¢, at or below the cheapest ask of 1¢.

LeBron James
1.6%
Polymarket 2.2%polled, 1 min agoKalshi 1%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Polymarket
Contract
LeBron James
Last price
2.2%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
4.2¢
Sell Yes
0.2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$2,381 (23.8x)
Volume
$32
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
LeBron James
Last price
1%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
1¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$10,000 (100x)
Volume
$29
Trade this on Kalshi
Partial parity

Payoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences below the table.

No arbitrage: the best bid elsewhere is 0.2¢, at or below the cheapest ask of 1¢.

Daniel Gafford
1.6%
Polymarket 2.8%polled, 1 min agoKalshi 0.5%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Polymarket
Contract
Daniel Gafford
Last price
2.8%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
5.4¢
Sell Yes
0.1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,852 (18.5x)
Volume
$11
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Daniel Gafford
Last price
0.5%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
1¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$10,000 (100x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Partial parity

Payoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences below the table.

No arbitrage: the best bid elsewhere is 0.1¢, at or below the cheapest ask of 1¢.

Kawhi Leonard
1.6%
Polymarket 2.8%polled, 1 min agoKalshi 0.5%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Polymarket
Contract
Kawhi Leonard
Last price
2.8%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
5.4¢
Sell Yes
0.1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,852 (18.5x)
Volume
$11
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Kawhi Leonard
Last price
0.5%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
1¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$10,000 (100x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Partial parity

Payoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences below the table.

No arbitrage: the best bid elsewhere is 0.1¢, at or below the cheapest ask of 1¢.

Jalen Suggs
1.6%
Polymarket 2.7%polled, 1 min agoKalshi 0.5%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Polymarket
Contract
Jalen Suggs
Last price
2.7%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
5.3¢
Sell Yes
0.1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,887 (18.9x)
Volume
$11
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Jalen Suggs
Last price
0.5%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
1¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$10,000 (100x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Partial parity

Payoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences below the table.

No arbitrage: the best bid elsewhere is 0.1¢, at or below the cheapest ask of 1¢.

Marcus Smart
1.6%
Polymarket 2.7%polled, 1 min agoKalshi 0.5%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Polymarket
Contract
Marcus Smart
Last price
2.7%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
5.3¢
Sell Yes
0.1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,887 (18.9x)
Volume
$11
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Marcus Smart
Last price
0.5%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
1¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$10,000 (100x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Partial parity

Payoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences below the table.

No arbitrage: the best bid elsewhere is 0.1¢, at or below the cheapest ask of 1¢.

Ryan Kalkbrenner
1.6%
Polymarket 2.7%polled, 1 min agoKalshi 0.5%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Polymarket
Contract
Ryan Kalkbrenner
Last price
2.7%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
5.3¢
Sell Yes
0.1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,887 (18.9x)
Volume
$11
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Ryan Kalkbrenner
Last price
0.5%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
1¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$10,000 (100x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Partial parity

Payoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences below the table.

No arbitrage: the best bid elsewhere is 0.1¢, at or below the cheapest ask of 1¢.

Wendell Carter Jr.
1.5%
Polymarket 2.6%polled, 1 min agoKalshi 0.5%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Polymarket
Contract
Wendell Carter Jr.
Last price
2.6%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
5¢
Sell Yes
0.1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$2,000 (20.0x)
Volume
$72
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Wendell Carter Jr.
Last price
0.5%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
1¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$10,000 (100x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Partial parity

Payoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences below the table.

No arbitrage: the best bid elsewhere is 0.1¢, at or below the cheapest ask of 1¢.

Luguentz Dort
1.5%
Polymarket 2.9%polled, 1 min agoKalshi 1%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Polymarket
Contract
Luguentz Dort
Last price
2.9%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
5.7¢
Sell Yes
0.1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,754 (17.5x)
Volume
$11
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Luguentz Dort
Last price
1%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
1¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$10,000 (100x)
Volume
$36
Trade this on Kalshi
Partial parity

Payoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences below the table.

No arbitrage: the best bid elsewhere is 0.1¢, at or below the cheapest ask of 1¢.

Evan Mobley
1.4%
Polymarket 2.8%polled, 1 min agoKalshi 1%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 2¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Polymarket
Contract
Evan Mobley
Last price
2.8%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
5.4¢
Sell Yes
0.2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,852 (18.5x)
Volume
$30
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Evan Mobley
Last price
1%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
2¢
Sell Yes
1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$5,000 (50.0x)
Volume
$1K
Trade this on Kalshi
Partial parity

Payoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences below the table.

No arbitrage: the best bid elsewhere is 0.2¢, at or below the cheapest ask of 2¢.

Anthony Davis
1.4%
Polymarket 2.8%polled, 1 min agoKalshi 1%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 5.4¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,852 (18.5x)
Polymarket
Contract
Anthony Davis
Last price
2.8%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
5.4¢
Sell Yes
0.1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,852 (18.5x)
Volume
$11
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Anthony Davis
Last price
1%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
6¢
Sell Yes
1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,667 (16.7x)
Volume
$681
Trade this on Kalshi
Partial parity

Payoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences below the table.

No arbitrage: the best bid elsewhere is 1¢, at or below the cheapest ask of 5.4¢.

Cooper Flagg
1.4%
Polymarket 2.8%polled, 1 min agoKalshi 1%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Polymarket
Contract
Cooper Flagg
Last price
2.8%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
5.4¢
Sell Yes
0.1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,852 (18.5x)
Volume
$11
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Cooper Flagg
Last price
1%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
1¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$10,000 (100x)
Volume
$433
Trade this on Kalshi
Partial parity

Payoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences below the table.

No arbitrage: the best bid elsewhere is 0.1¢, at or below the cheapest ask of 1¢.

Jaden McDaniels
1.4%
Polymarket 2.7%polled, 1 min agoKalshi 1%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Polymarket
Contract
Jaden McDaniels
Last price
2.7%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
5.3¢
Sell Yes
0.1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,887 (18.9x)
Volume
$11
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Jaden McDaniels
Last price
1%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
1¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$10,000 (100x)
Volume
$5K
Trade this on Kalshi
Partial parity

Payoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences below the table.

No arbitrage: the best bid elsewhere is 0.1¢, at or below the cheapest ask of 1¢.

Jalen Williams
1.4%
Polymarket 2.7%polled, 1 min agoKalshi 1%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Polymarket
Contract
Jalen Williams
Last price
2.7%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
5.3¢
Sell Yes
0.1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,887 (18.9x)
Volume
$11
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Jalen Williams
Last price
1%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
1¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$10,000 (100x)
Volume
$94
Trade this on Kalshi
Partial parity

Payoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences below the table.

No arbitrage: the best bid elsewhere is 0.1¢, at or below the cheapest ask of 1¢.

Derrick White
1.3%
Polymarket 2.2%polled, 1 min agoKalshi 0.5%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Polymarket
Contract
Derrick White
Last price
2.2%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
4.2¢
Sell Yes
0.1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$2,381 (23.8x)
Volume
$11
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Derrick White
Last price
0.5%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
1¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$10,000 (100x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Partial parity

Payoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences below the table.

No arbitrage: the best bid elsewhere is 0.1¢, at or below the cheapest ask of 1¢.

Herbert Jones
1.3%
Polymarket 2.2%polled, 1 min agoKalshi 0.5%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Polymarket
Contract
Herbert Jones
Last price
2.2%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
4.2¢
Sell Yes
0.1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$2,381 (23.8x)
Volume
$11
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Herbert Jones
Last price
0.5%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
1¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$10,000 (100x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Partial parity

Payoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences below the table.

No arbitrage: the best bid elsewhere is 0.1¢, at or below the cheapest ask of 1¢.

Jayson Tatum
1.3%
Polymarket 2.1%polled, 1 min agoKalshi 0.5%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Polymarket
Contract
Jayson Tatum
Last price
2.1%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
4.1¢
Sell Yes
0.1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$2,439 (24.4x)
Volume
$11
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Jayson Tatum
Last price
0.5%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
1¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$10,000 (100x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Partial parity

Payoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences below the table.

No arbitrage: the best bid elsewhere is 0.1¢, at or below the cheapest ask of 1¢.

Kristaps Porzingis
1.3%
Polymarket 2.1%polled, 1 min agoKalshi 0.5%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Polymarket
Contract
Kristaps Porzingis
Last price
2.1%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
4.1¢
Sell Yes
0.1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$2,439 (24.4x)
Volume
$11
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Kristaps Porzingis
Last price
0.5%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
1¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$10,000 (100x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Partial parity

Payoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences below the table.

No arbitrage: the best bid elsewhere is 0.1¢, at or below the cheapest ask of 1¢.

Mikal Bridges
1.3%
Polymarket 2.1%polled, 1 min agoKalshi 0.5%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Polymarket
Contract
Mikal Bridges
Last price
2.1%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
4.1¢
Sell Yes
0.1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$2,439 (24.4x)
Volume
$11
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Mikal Bridges
Last price
0.5%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
1¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$10,000 (100x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Partial parity

Payoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences below the table.

No arbitrage: the best bid elsewhere is 0.1¢, at or below the cheapest ask of 1¢.

Mitchell Robinson
1.3%
Polymarket 2.1%polled, 1 min agoKalshi 0.5%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Polymarket
Contract
Mitchell Robinson
Last price
2.1%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
4.1¢
Sell Yes
0.1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$2,439 (24.4x)
Volume
$11
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Mitchell Robinson
Last price
0.5%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
1¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$10,000 (100x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Partial parity

Payoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences below the table.

No arbitrage: the best bid elsewhere is 0.1¢, at or below the cheapest ask of 1¢.

Paolo Banchero
1.3%
Polymarket 2.1%polled, 1 min agoKalshi 0.5%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Polymarket
Contract
Paolo Banchero
Last price
2.1%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
4.1¢
Sell Yes
0.1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$2,439 (24.4x)
Volume
$11
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Paolo Banchero
Last price
0.5%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
1¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$10,000 (100x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Partial parity

Payoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences below the table.

No arbitrage: the best bid elsewhere is 0.1¢, at or below the cheapest ask of 1¢.

Alex Sarr
1.3%
Polymarket 2.2%polled, 1 min agoKalshi 1%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Polymarket
Contract
Alex Sarr
Last price
2.2%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
4.2¢
Sell Yes
0.1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$2,381 (23.8x)
Volume
$11
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Alex Sarr
Last price
1%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
1¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$10,000 (100x)
Volume
$124
Trade this on Kalshi
Partial parity

Payoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences below the table.

No arbitrage: the best bid elsewhere is 0.1¢, at or below the cheapest ask of 1¢.

Toumani Camara
1.3%
Polymarket 2.1%polled, 1 min agoKalshi 0.5%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Polymarket
Contract
Toumani Camara
Last price
2.1%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
4¢
Sell Yes
0.1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$2,500 (25.0x)
Volume
$11
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Toumani Camara
Last price
0.5%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
1¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$10,000 (100x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Partial parity

Payoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences below the table.

No arbitrage: the best bid elsewhere is 0.1¢, at or below the cheapest ask of 1¢.

Myles Turner
1.3%
Polymarket 2%polled, 1 min agoKalshi 0.5%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Polymarket
Contract
Myles Turner
Last price
2%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
3.9¢
Sell Yes
0.1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$2,564 (25.6x)
Volume
$11
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Myles Turner
Last price
0.5%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
1¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$10,000 (100x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Partial parity

Payoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences below the table.

No arbitrage: the best bid elsewhere is 0.1¢, at or below the cheapest ask of 1¢.

Tie/Co-Winners
0.5%
Kalshi 0.5%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
Contract
Tie/Co-Winners
Last price
0.5%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
1¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$10,000 (100x)
Trade this on Kalshi

No cross-venue arbitrage right now: on every matched outcome, the best bid on one venue is at or below the cheapest ask on the other. Find markets with open spreads

Mostly the same bet: 4 differences

Where they differ

  • Both settle on the official league/organizer result for the named season; Kalshi's season is the ticker edition (KXNBA-27 = 2026-27) and Polymarket's is stated in the title or slug.
  • Season cancelled or not completed: Kalshi resolves per its rules (typically a fair price); Polymarket resolves to 'Other' or 50-50 depending on the event.
  • Polymarket lists placeholders ('Other', 'Team A') and closes eliminated outcomes early; only live named outcomes are linked.
  • Awards: Kalshi and Polymarket both settle on the official award announcement; ties or shared awards are handled differently (Kalshi per contract rules, Polymarket split).
Polymarket
Polymarket resolves via:
UMA optimistic oracle
Kalshi
Kalshi resolves via:
Kalshi (CFTC-regulated exchange), source: the Governing League, ESPN
Show full rule comparison
  • Both settle on the official league/organizer result for the named season; Kalshi's season is the ticker edition (KXNBA-27 = 2026-27) and Polymarket's is stated in the title or slug.
  • Season cancelled or not completed: Kalshi resolves per its rules (typically a fair price); Polymarket resolves to 'Other' or 50-50 depending on the event.
  • Polymarket lists placeholders ('Other', 'Team A') and closes eliminated outcomes early; only live named outcomes are linked.
  • Awards: Kalshi and Polymarket both settle on the official award announcement; ties or shared awards are handled differently (Kalshi per contract rules, Polymarket split).
  • Trading closes Jul 1, 2027, 3:59 AM UTC on Polymarket and Jun 30, 2028, 10:23 PM UTC on Kalshi.

Summarized from each venue’s published rules; the venue’s own rules page is the final word.

How the odds have moved

The top 3 outcomes on both venues, with the consensus between them. Hover for exact values.

  • Victor Wembanyama
  • Dyson Daniels
  • Ausar Thompson

Live prices for Victor Wembanyama

What it costs to buy Yes, what you would get selling it, and the last trade on each exchange, updating as orders change. Hover a status for timing details.

Order books

Each venue’s resting orders for the selected outcome’s Yes contract, side by side. Top of book streams live; depth refreshes every 15 seconds.

Combined depth · both venues

Loading both order books…

Polymarket

Open on Polymarket ↗

Top of book

Connecting
Best bid
—
Spread
—
Best ask
—

Waiting for the first live quote…

Depth · top 8 levels

Loading snapshot…

Recent trades

Loading…

Kalshi

Open on Kalshi ↗

Top of book

Connecting
Best bid
—
Spread
—
Best ask
—

Waiting for the first live quote…

Depth · top 8 levels

Loading snapshot…

Recent trades

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What your stake buys

Enter a stake to see where it buys the most after fees, using each venue’s live order book.

$
Buy

Loading both order books…

Buys at the asks resting now (taker orders), cheapest after fees first, from order-book snapshots up to 15 seconds old. Fees: Kalshi 0.07 × price × (1 − price) per share, rounded up to the cent; Polymarket 0.05 × price × (1 − price) per share (sports rate). Fee calculator. Estimates only, not advice.

About this market

Live prediction market odds for "NBA: 2026-27 Defensive Player of the Year". Victor Wembanyama leads at 72.8%. Next is Dyson Daniels at 6.7%. $67K has traded across 48 outcomes on Kalshi and Polymarket. The market is expected to resolve by Jul 1, 2027.

This market will resolve to the player who wins the Defensive Player of the Year award for the 2026-27 NBA regular season. If the winner is not a listed player, the "Other" market will resolve to "Yes". If the NBA names more than one winner of the award, each listed player's market, including those of the co-winners, will resolve to "No" and the "Other" market will resolve to "Yes". If no winner of the award is announced by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, for any reason, including cancellation of the 2026-27 NBA season, each listed player's market will resolve to "No" and the "Other" market will resolve to "Yes". The resolution source for this market will be official information from the NBA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Questions

What does the consensus price mean?

It is the price of a Yes contract that pays $1 if the outcome happens. A 14¢ price means traders put the chance near 14%. Where two venues list the same outcome, we blend their last prices, weighting the venue with more trading volume more heavily (neither counts for less than a quarter). When only one outcome can win, each venue’s prices add up to a little over 100% (its margin); the fair chance removes that margin so the outcomes add up to exactly 100%.

How is the payout worked out?

A Yes contract pays $1 if it wins, so at the best ask a $100 stake buys 100 ÷ ask contracts. At 18¢ that is about 555 contracts, paying $556 (5.56x) if Yes happens. Venue fees and price slippage on larger orders are not included.

Why do the venues show different prices?

Each venue has its own traders, fees and order book. Contracts can also settle on slightly different terms, which is why each row lists how closely the rules match.

Is a price gap an arbitrage?

Only when you can buy Yes on one venue below what someone pays for Yes on the other, after fees, and both contracts settle the same way. We show the executable bid and ask so you can check.

How fresh are these prices?

Venue prices refresh every few minutes, and the order book and live quotes stream continuously. Each venue’s card shows when we last observed it.

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