The Prediction Markets

NBA: 2026-27 Most Improved Player

Closes
Jul 1, 2027, in 8 months
Traded
$23K
Venues
Polymarket, Kalshi
Prices updated
just now
Share

What the markets expect

Ty Jerome 25.2%

Next is Paul Reed at 20.8%. The venues differ most on Paul Reed (Polymarket 49.4%, Kalshi 1%), a 48-point gap.

Odds by venue

Consensus blends each venue’s last price, weighted by how much has traded there. Best Yes price is the cheapest ask across venues, and the payout is what a winning $100 stake returns before fees. Open a row for each venue’s contract name, bid and ask, and how closely their rules match.

Prices come from our regular polls of each venue, the oldest 1 min ago. Ages are as of when this page was built.

  • Polymarket
  • Kalshi
Ty Jerome
25.2%
Polymarket 25.7%polled, 1 min agoKalshi 25%polled, 16s agoBest Yes 28¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $357 (3.57x)
Polymarket
Contract
Ty Jerome
Last price
25.7%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
38.8¢
Sell Yes
12.6¢
$100 on Yes pays
$258 (2.58x)
Volume
$58
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Ty Jerome
Last price
25%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
28¢
Sell Yes
24¢
$100 on Yes pays
$357 (3.57x)
Volume
$2K
Trade this on Kalshi
Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

No arbitrage: the best bid elsewhere is 24¢, at or below the cheapest ask of 38.8¢.

Paul Reed
20.8%
Polymarket 49.4%polled, 1 min agoKalshi 1%polled, 16s agoBest Yes 2¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Polymarket
Contract
Paul Reed
Last price
49.4%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
98.7¢
Sell Yes
0.1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$101 (1.01x)
Volume
$135
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Paul Reed
Last price
1%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
2¢
Sell Yes
1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$5,000 (50.0x)
Volume
$195
Trade this on Kalshi
Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

No arbitrage: the best bid elsewhere is 0.1¢, at or below the cheapest ask of 2¢.

Naz Reid
20.5%
Polymarket 28.2%polled, 1 min agoKalshi 18%polled, 16s agoBest Yes 18¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $556 (5.56x)
Polymarket
Contract
Naz Reid
Last price
28.2%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
50.6¢
Sell Yes
5.7¢
$100 on Yes pays
$198 (1.98x)
Volume
$18
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Naz Reid
Last price
18%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
18¢
Sell Yes
10¢
$100 on Yes pays
$556 (5.56x)
Volume
$304
Trade this on Kalshi
Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

No arbitrage: the best bid elsewhere is 5.7¢, at or below the cheapest ask of 18¢.

Dylan Harper
15.9%
Polymarket 12.8%polled, 1 min agoKalshi 17%polled, 16s agoBest Yes 14.5¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $690 (6.90x)
Polymarket
Contract
Dylan Harper
Last price
12.8%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
14.5¢
Sell Yes
11¢
$100 on Yes pays
$690 (6.90x)
Volume
$551
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Dylan Harper
Last price
17%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
17¢
Sell Yes
14¢
$100 on Yes pays
$588 (5.88x)
Volume
$2K
Trade this on Kalshi
Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

No arbitrage: the best bid elsewhere is 14¢, at or below the cheapest ask of 14.5¢.

Aaron Wiggins
13.4%
Polymarket 2.6%polled, 1 min agoKalshi 17%polled, 16s agoBest Yes 4¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)
Polymarket
Contract
Aaron Wiggins
Last price
2.6%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
4¢
Sell Yes
1.1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$2,500 (25.0x)
Volume
$18
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Aaron Wiggins
Last price
17%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
82¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$122 (1.22x)
Volume
$258
Trade this on Kalshi
Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

No arbitrage: the best bid elsewhere is 1.1¢, at or below the cheapest ask of 82¢.

Davion Mitchell
12.9%
Polymarket 48.6%polled, 1 min agoKalshi 1%polled, 16s agoBest Yes 3¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $3,333 (33.3x)
Polymarket
Contract
Davion Mitchell
Last price
48.6%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
97.1¢
Sell Yes
0.1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$103 (1.03x)
Volume
$58
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Davion Mitchell
Last price
1%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
3¢
Sell Yes
1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$3,333 (33.3x)
Volume
$211
Trade this on Kalshi
Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

No arbitrage: the best bid elsewhere is 0.1¢, at or below the cheapest ask of 3¢.

Stephon Castle
12.9%
Polymarket 48.4%polled, 1 min agoKalshi 1%polled, 16s agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Polymarket
Contract
Stephon Castle
Last price
48.4%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
96.7¢
Sell Yes
0.1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$103 (1.03x)
Volume
$18
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Stephon Castle
Last price
1%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
1¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$10,000 (100x)
Volume
$150
Trade this on Kalshi
Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

No arbitrage: the best bid elsewhere is 0.1¢, at or below the cheapest ask of 1¢.

Joan Beringer
12.6%
Polymarket 47.5%polled, 1 min agoKalshi 1%polled, 16s agoBest Yes 2¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Polymarket
Contract
Joan Beringer
Last price
47.5%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
94.8¢
Sell Yes
0.2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$105 (1.05x)
Volume
$18
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Joan Beringer
Last price
1%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
2¢
Sell Yes
1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$5,000 (50.0x)
Volume
$351
Trade this on Kalshi
Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

No arbitrage: the best bid elsewhere is 0.2¢, at or below the cheapest ask of 2¢.

Pelle Larsson
12.1%
Polymarket 45.4%polled, 1 min agoKalshi 1%polled, 16s agoBest Yes 5¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)
Polymarket
Contract
Pelle Larsson
Last price
45.4%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
89.5¢
Sell Yes
1.2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$112 (1.12x)
Volume
$18
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Pelle Larsson
Last price
1%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
5¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$2,000 (20.0x)
Volume
$291
Trade this on Kalshi
Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

No arbitrage: the best bid elsewhere is 1.2¢, at or below the cheapest ask of 5¢.

Jaden McDaniels
11.3%
Polymarket 24.1%polled, 1 min agoKalshi 7%polled, 16s agoBest Yes 7¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,429 (14.3x)
Polymarket
Contract
Jaden McDaniels
Last price
24.1%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
48¢
Sell Yes
0.2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$208 (2.08x)
Volume
$36
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Jaden McDaniels
Last price
7%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
7¢
Sell Yes
4¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,429 (14.3x)
Volume
$6K
Trade this on Kalshi
Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

No arbitrage: the best bid elsewhere is 0.2¢, at or below the cheapest ask of 7¢.

Show 38 more outcomes
Walker Kessler
10.3%
Polymarket 20.3%polled, 1 min agoKalshi 7%polled, 16s agoBest Yes 7¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,429 (14.3x)
Polymarket
Contract
Walker Kessler
Last price
20.3%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
40.2¢
Sell Yes
0.3¢
$100 on Yes pays
$249 (2.49x)
Volume
$18
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Walker Kessler
Last price
7%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
7¢
Sell Yes
2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,429 (14.3x)
Volume
$569
Trade this on Kalshi
Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

No arbitrage: the best bid elsewhere is 0.3¢, at or below the cheapest ask of 7¢.

Egor Demin
9.8%
Polymarket 9.8%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 13.2¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $758 (7.58x)
Polymarket
Contract
Egor Demin
Last price
9.8%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
13.2¢
Sell Yes
6.3¢
$100 on Yes pays
$758 (7.58x)
Volume
$96
Trade this on Polymarket
Ausar Thompson
9.5%
Polymarket 23.1%polled, 1 min agoKalshi 5%polled, 16s agoBest Yes 5¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)
Polymarket
Contract
Ausar Thompson
Last price
23.1%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
45.4¢
Sell Yes
0.7¢
$100 on Yes pays
$220 (2.20x)
Volume
$18
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Ausar Thompson
Last price
5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
5¢
Sell Yes
4¢
$100 on Yes pays
$2,000 (20.0x)
Volume
$278
Trade this on Kalshi
Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

No arbitrage: the best bid elsewhere is 0.7¢, at or below the cheapest ask of 5¢.

Cedric Coward
9.4%
Polymarket 22.7%polled, 1 min agoKalshi 5%polled, 16s agoBest Yes 6¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,667 (16.7x)
Polymarket
Contract
Cedric Coward
Last price
22.7%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
45.1¢
Sell Yes
0.2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$222 (2.22x)
Volume
$18
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Cedric Coward
Last price
5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
6¢
Sell Yes
2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,667 (16.7x)
Volume
$345
Trade this on Kalshi
Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

No arbitrage: the best bid elsewhere is 0.2¢, at or below the cheapest ask of 6¢.

Ajay Mitchell
9.2%
Polymarket 24.9%polled, 1 min agoKalshi 4%polled, 16s agoBest Yes 4¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)
Polymarket
Contract
Ajay Mitchell
Last price
24.9%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
49.5¢
Sell Yes
0.2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$202 (2.02x)
Volume
$18
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Ajay Mitchell
Last price
4%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
4¢
Sell Yes
3¢
$100 on Yes pays
$2,500 (25.0x)
Volume
$333
Trade this on Kalshi
Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

No arbitrage: the best bid elsewhere is 0.2¢, at or below the cheapest ask of 4¢.

Matas Buzelis
8.5%
Polymarket 25.1%polled, 1 min agoKalshi 3%polled, 16s agoBest Yes 3¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $3,333 (33.3x)
Polymarket
Contract
Matas Buzelis
Last price
25.1%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
49.7¢
Sell Yes
0.5¢
$100 on Yes pays
$201 (2.01x)
Volume
$18
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Matas Buzelis
Last price
3%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
3¢
Sell Yes
2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$3,333 (33.3x)
Volume
$508
Trade this on Kalshi
Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

No arbitrage: the best bid elsewhere is 0.5¢, at or below the cheapest ask of 3¢.

Jonathan Kuminga
8%
Polymarket 11.2%polled, 1 min agoKalshi 7%polled, 16s agoBest Yes 7¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,429 (14.3x)
Polymarket
Contract
Jonathan Kuminga
Last price
11.2%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
22.1¢
Sell Yes
0.2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$452 (4.52x)
Volume
$18
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Jonathan Kuminga
Last price
7%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
7¢
Sell Yes
2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,429 (14.3x)
Volume
$311
Trade this on Kalshi
Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

No arbitrage: the best bid elsewhere is 0.2¢, at or below the cheapest ask of 7¢.

Scoot Henderson
7.9%
Polymarket 22.6%polled, 1 min agoKalshi 3%polled, 16s agoBest Yes 3¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $3,333 (33.3x)
Polymarket
Contract
Scoot Henderson
Last price
22.6%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
45¢
Sell Yes
0.2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$222 (2.22x)
Volume
$18
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Scoot Henderson
Last price
3%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
3¢
Sell Yes
1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$3,333 (33.3x)
Volume
$332
Trade this on Kalshi
Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

No arbitrage: the best bid elsewhere is 0.2¢, at or below the cheapest ask of 3¢.

Khaman Maluach
7.6%
Polymarket 24.4%polled, 1 min agoKalshi 2%polled, 16s agoBest Yes 3¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $3,333 (33.3x)
Polymarket
Contract
Khaman Maluach
Last price
24.4%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
48.6¢
Sell Yes
0.1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$206 (2.06x)
Volume
$18
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Khaman Maluach
Last price
2%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
3¢
Sell Yes
2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$3,333 (33.3x)
Volume
$257
Trade this on Kalshi
Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

No arbitrage: the best bid elsewhere is 0.1¢, at or below the cheapest ask of 3¢.

Collin Murray-Boyles
7.3%
Polymarket 20.1%polled, 1 min agoKalshi 3%polled, 16s agoBest Yes 6¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,667 (16.7x)
Polymarket
Contract
Collin Murray-Boyles
Last price
20.1%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
40.1¢
Sell Yes
0.1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$249 (2.49x)
Volume
$18
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Collin Murray-Boyles
Last price
3%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
6¢
Sell Yes
3¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,667 (16.7x)
Volume
$306
Trade this on Kalshi
Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

No arbitrage: the best bid elsewhere is 0.1¢, at or below the cheapest ask of 6¢.

Kel'el Ware
7.2%
Polymarket 22.6%polled, 1 min agoKalshi 2%polled, 16s agoBest Yes 2¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Polymarket
Contract
Kel'el Ware
Last price
22.6%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
45.1¢
Sell Yes
0.1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$222 (2.22x)
Volume
$18
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Kel'el Ware
Last price
2%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
2¢
Sell Yes
1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$5,000 (50.0x)
Volume
$407
Trade this on Kalshi
Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

No arbitrage: the best bid elsewhere is 0.1¢, at or below the cheapest ask of 2¢.

Zach Edey
7.2%
Polymarket 22.6%polled, 1 min agoKalshi 2%polled, 16s agoBest Yes 3¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $3,333 (33.3x)
Polymarket
Contract
Zach Edey
Last price
22.6%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
45¢
Sell Yes
0.2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$222 (2.22x)
Volume
$18
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Zach Edey
Last price
2%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
3¢
Sell Yes
2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$3,333 (33.3x)
Volume
$248
Trade this on Kalshi
Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

No arbitrage: the best bid elsewhere is 0.2¢, at or below the cheapest ask of 3¢.

Sandro Mamukelashvili
7%
Polymarket 25%polled, 1 min agoKalshi 1%polled, 16s agoBest Yes 4¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)
Polymarket
Contract
Sandro Mamukelashvili
Last price
25%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
49.7¢
Sell Yes
0.2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$201 (2.01x)
Volume
$18
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Sandro Mamukelashvili
Last price
1%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
4¢
Sell Yes
1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$2,500 (25.0x)
Volume
$139
Trade this on Kalshi
Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

No arbitrage: the best bid elsewhere is 0.2¢, at or below the cheapest ask of 4¢.

Alex Sarr
7%
Polymarket 24.9%polled, 1 min agoKalshi 1%polled, 16s agoBest Yes 3¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $3,333 (33.3x)
Polymarket
Contract
Alex Sarr
Last price
24.9%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
49.7¢
Sell Yes
0.1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$201 (2.01x)
Volume
$18
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Alex Sarr
Last price
1%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
3¢
Sell Yes
1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$3,333 (33.3x)
Volume
$133
Trade this on Kalshi
Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

No arbitrage: the best bid elsewhere is 0.1¢, at or below the cheapest ask of 3¢.

Coby WhiteArb
7%
Polymarket 24.9%polled, 1 min agoKalshi 1%polled, 16s agoBest Yes 3¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $3,333 (33.3x)
Polymarket
Contract
Coby White
Last price
24.9%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
46.6¢
Sell Yes
3.1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$215 (2.15x)
Volume
$18
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Coby White
Last price
1%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
3¢
Sell Yes
1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$3,333 (33.3x)
Volume
$254
Trade this on Kalshi
Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Buying on Kalshi at 3¢ and selling on Polymarket at 3.1¢ nets 10 bps before fees.

Derik Queen
7%
Polymarket 24.9%polled, 1 min agoKalshi 1%polled, 16s agoBest Yes 4¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)
Polymarket
Contract
Derik Queen
Last price
24.9%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
49.5¢
Sell Yes
0.2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$202 (2.02x)
Volume
$18
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Derik Queen
Last price
1%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
4¢
Sell Yes
1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$2,500 (25.0x)
Volume
$196
Trade this on Kalshi
Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

No arbitrage: the best bid elsewhere is 0.2¢, at or below the cheapest ask of 4¢.

Payton Pritchard
6.2%
Polymarket 11.5%polled, 1 min agoKalshi 3%polled, 16s agoBest Yes 3¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $3,333 (33.3x)
Polymarket
Contract
Payton Pritchard
Last price
11.5%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
22.6¢
Sell Yes
0.3¢
$100 on Yes pays
$442 (4.42x)
Volume
$180
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Payton Pritchard
Last price
3%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
3¢
Sell Yes
1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$3,333 (33.3x)
Volume
$291
Trade this on Kalshi
Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

No arbitrage: the best bid elsewhere is 0.3¢, at or below the cheapest ask of 3¢.

Ausar Thompson
6%
Polymarket 12.1%polled, 1 min agoKalshi 4%polled, 16s agoBest Yes 4¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)
Polymarket
Contract
Amen Thompson
Last price
12.1%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
24.1¢
Sell Yes
0.1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$415 (4.15x)
Volume
$18
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Amen Thompson
Last price
4%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
4¢
Sell Yes
3¢
$100 on Yes pays
$2,500 (25.0x)
Volume
$254
Trade this on Kalshi
Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

No arbitrage: the best bid elsewhere is 0.1¢, at or below the cheapest ask of 4¢.

Brandon Miller
5.1%
Polymarket 10.1%polled, 1 min agoKalshi 3%polled, 16s agoBest Yes 3¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $3,333 (33.3x)
Polymarket
Contract
Brandon Miller
Last price
10.1%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
19.9¢
Sell Yes
0.2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$503 (5.03x)
Volume
$243
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Brandon Miller
Last price
3%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
3¢
Sell Yes
2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$3,333 (33.3x)
Volume
$577
Trade this on Kalshi
Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

No arbitrage: the best bid elsewhere is 0.2¢, at or below the cheapest ask of 3¢.

Leonard Miller
5%
Kalshi 5%polled, 16s agoBest Yes 13¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $769 (7.69x)
Kalshi
Contract
Leonard Miller
Last price
5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
13¢
Sell Yes
1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$769 (7.69x)
Volume
$164
Trade this on Kalshi
Cason Wallace
4.7%
Polymarket 12.6%polled, 1 min agoKalshi 2%polled, 16s agoBest Yes 2¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Polymarket
Contract
Cason Wallace
Last price
12.6%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
25¢
Sell Yes
0.2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$400 (4.00x)
Volume
$18
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Cason Wallace
Last price
2%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
2¢
Sell Yes
1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$5,000 (50.0x)
Volume
$233
Trade this on Kalshi
Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

No arbitrage: the best bid elsewhere is 0.2¢, at or below the cheapest ask of 2¢.

Peyton Watson
4.5%
Polymarket 12.2%polled, 1 min agoKalshi 2%polled, 16s agoBest Yes 8¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,250 (12.5x)
Polymarket
Contract
Peyton Watson
Last price
12.2%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
24.1¢
Sell Yes
0.2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$415 (4.15x)
Volume
$18
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Peyton Watson
Last price
2%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
8¢
Sell Yes
1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,250 (12.5x)
Volume
$254
Trade this on Kalshi
Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

No arbitrage: the best bid elsewhere is 0.2¢, at or below the cheapest ask of 8¢.

Kon Knueppel
3.9%
Polymarket 12.5%polled, 1 min agoKalshi 1%polled, 16s agoBest Yes 3¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $3,333 (33.3x)
Polymarket
Contract
Kon Knueppel
Last price
12.5%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
24.7¢
Sell Yes
0.3¢
$100 on Yes pays
$405 (4.05x)
Volume
$18
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Kon Knueppel
Last price
1%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
3¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$3,333 (33.3x)
Volume
$268
Trade this on Kalshi
Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

No arbitrage: the best bid elsewhere is 0.3¢, at or below the cheapest ask of 3¢.

Donovan Clingan
3.8%
Polymarket 12.2%polled, 1 min agoKalshi 1%polled, 16s agoBest Yes 14¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $714 (7.14x)
Polymarket
Contract
Donovan Clingan
Last price
12.2%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
24.1¢
Sell Yes
0.2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$415 (4.15x)
Volume
$18
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Donovan Clingan
Last price
1%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
14¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$714 (7.14x)
Volume
$224
Trade this on Kalshi
Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

No arbitrage: the best bid elsewhere is 0.2¢, at or below the cheapest ask of 14¢.

Jabari Smith Jr.
3.5%
Polymarket 11.2%polled, 1 min agoKalshi 1%polled, 16s agoBest Yes 6¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,667 (16.7x)
Polymarket
Contract
Jabari Smith Jr.
Last price
11.2%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
22.1¢
Sell Yes
0.2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$452 (4.52x)
Volume
$18
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Jabari Smith Jr.
Last price
1%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
6¢
Sell Yes
1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,667 (16.7x)
Volume
$238
Trade this on Kalshi
Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

No arbitrage: the best bid elsewhere is 0.2¢, at or below the cheapest ask of 6¢.

Reed Sheppard
3.3%
Polymarket 6.5%polled, 1 min agoKalshi 2%polled, 16s agoBest Yes 5¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)
Polymarket
Contract
Reed Sheppard
Last price
6.5%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
12.9¢
Sell Yes
0.1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$775 (7.75x)
Volume
$102
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Reed Sheppard
Last price
2%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
5¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$2,000 (20.0x)
Volume
$241
Trade this on Kalshi
Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

No arbitrage: the best bid elsewhere is 0.1¢, at or below the cheapest ask of 5¢.

Ayo Dosunmu
2.2%
Polymarket 3.9%polled, 1 min agoKalshi 1%polled, 16s agoBest Yes 5.7¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,754 (17.5x)
Polymarket
Contract
Ayo Dosunmu
Last price
3.9%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
5.7¢
Sell Yes
2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,754 (17.5x)
Volume
$159
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Ayo Dosunmu
Last price
1%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
9¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$1,111 (11.1x)
Volume
$223
Trade this on Kalshi
Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

No arbitrage: the best bid elsewhere is 2¢, at or below the cheapest ask of 9¢.

Toumani Camara
2.1%
Polymarket 3.5%polled, 1 min agoKalshi 1%polled, 16s agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Polymarket
Contract
Toumani Camara
Last price
3.5%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
6.8¢
Sell Yes
0.2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,471 (14.7x)
Volume
$36
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Toumani Camara
Last price
1%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
1¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$10,000 (100x)
Volume
$48
Trade this on Kalshi
Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

No arbitrage: the best bid elsewhere is 0.2¢, at or below the cheapest ask of 1¢.

Egor Dëmin
2%
Kalshi 2%polled, 16s agoBest Yes 3¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $3,333 (33.3x)
Kalshi
Contract
Egor Dëmin
Last price
2%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
3¢
Sell Yes
1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$3,333 (33.3x)
Volume
$382
Trade this on Kalshi
Jalen Johnson
1.7%
Polymarket 3%polled, 1 min agoKalshi 0.5%polled, 16s agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Polymarket
Contract
Jalen Johnson
Last price
3%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
5¢
Sell Yes
1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$2,000 (20.0x)
Volume
$18
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Jalen Johnson
Last price
0.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
1¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$10,000 (100x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

No arbitrage: the best bid elsewhere is 1¢, at or below the cheapest ask of 1¢.

Keegan Murray
1.7%
Polymarket 3.7%polled, 1 min agoKalshi 1%polled, 16s agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Polymarket
Contract
Keegan Murray
Last price
3.7%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
7.3¢
Sell Yes
0.1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,370 (13.7x)
Volume
$18
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Keegan Murray
Last price
1%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
1¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$10,000 (100x)
Volume
$47
Trade this on Kalshi
Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

No arbitrage: the best bid elsewhere is 0.1¢, at or below the cheapest ask of 1¢.

Deni Avdija
1.7%
Polymarket 3.6%polled, 1 min agoKalshi 1%polled, 16s agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Polymarket
Contract
Deni Avdija
Last price
3.6%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
6.8¢
Sell Yes
0.3¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,471 (14.7x)
Volume
$18
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Deni Avdija
Last price
1%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
1¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$10,000 (100x)
Volume
$47
Trade this on Kalshi
Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

No arbitrage: the best bid elsewhere is 0.3¢, at or below the cheapest ask of 1¢.

Terrence Shannon Jr.
1.5%
Polymarket 3%polled, 1 min agoKalshi 1%polled, 16s agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Polymarket
Contract
Terrence Shannon Jr.
Last price
3%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
5¢
Sell Yes
1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$2,000 (20.0x)
Volume
$18
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Terrence Shannon Jr.
Last price
1%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
1¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$10,000 (100x)
Volume
$53
Trade this on Kalshi
Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

No arbitrage: the best bid elsewhere is 1¢, at or below the cheapest ask of 1¢.

Jalen Duren
1.5%
Polymarket 2.5%polled, 1 min agoKalshi 0.5%polled, 16s agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Polymarket
Contract
Jalen Duren
Last price
2.5%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
4¢
Sell Yes
1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$2,500 (25.0x)
Volume
$18
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Jalen Duren
Last price
0.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
1¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$10,000 (100x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

No arbitrage: the best bid elsewhere is 1¢, at or below the cheapest ask of 1¢.

Ryan RollinsArb
1.5%
Polymarket 3%polled, 1 min agoKalshi 1%polled, 16s agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Polymarket
Contract
Ryan Rollins
Last price
3%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
4.9¢
Sell Yes
1.1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$2,041 (20.4x)
Volume
$18
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Ryan Rollins
Last price
1%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
1¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$10,000 (100x)
Volume
$131
Trade this on Kalshi
Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Buying on Kalshi at 1¢ and selling on Polymarket at 1.1¢ nets 10 bps before fees.

VJ EdgecombeArb
1.4%
Polymarket 2.6%polled, 1 min agoKalshi 1%polled, 16s agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Polymarket
Contract
VJ Edgecombe
Last price
2.6%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
4¢
Sell Yes
1.1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$2,500 (25.0x)
Volume
$18
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
VJ Edgecombe
Last price
1%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
1¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$10,000 (100x)
Volume
$47
Trade this on Kalshi
Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Buying on Kalshi at 1¢ and selling on Polymarket at 1.1¢ nets 10 bps before fees.

Ousmane DiengArb
1.4%
Polymarket 2.6%polled, 1 min agoKalshi 1%polled, 16s agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Polymarket
Contract
Ousmane Dieng
Last price
2.6%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
4¢
Sell Yes
1.1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$2,500 (25.0x)
Volume
$36
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Ousmane Dieng
Last price
1%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
1¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$10,000 (100x)
Volume
$240
Trade this on Kalshi
Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Buying on Kalshi at 1¢ and selling on Polymarket at 1.1¢ nets 10 bps before fees.

Keon Ellis
1%
Kalshi 1%polled, 16s agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
Contract
Keon Ellis
Last price
1%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
1¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$10,000 (100x)
Volume
$33
Trade this on Kalshi

Possible arbitrage before fees: buy Coby White on Kalshi at 3¢, sell on Polymarket at 3.1¢ (10 bps). Check the rules below before trading. See all live spreads

Likely the same bet: we have not reviewed these rules side by side yet

Polymarket
Polymarket resolves via:
UMA optimistic oracle
Kalshi
Kalshi resolves via:
Kalshi (CFTC-regulated exchange), source: the Governing League, ESPN
Show full rule comparison
  • Trading closes Jul 1, 2027, 3:59 AM UTC on Polymarket and Jul 8, 2027, 2:00 PM UTC on Kalshi.

Summarized from each venue’s published rules; the venue’s own rules page is the final word.

How the odds have moved

The top 3 outcomes on both venues, with the consensus between them. Hover for exact values.

  • Ty Jerome
  • Paul Reed
  • Naz Reid

Live prices for Ty Jerome

What it costs to buy Yes, what you would get selling it, and the last trade on each exchange, updating as orders change. Hover a status for timing details.

Order books

Each venue’s resting orders for the selected outcome’s Yes contract, side by side. Top of book streams live; depth refreshes every 15 seconds.

Combined depth · both venues

Loading both order books…

Polymarket

Open on Polymarket ↗

Top of book

Connecting
Best bid
—
Spread
—
Best ask
—

Waiting for the first live quote…

Depth · top 8 levels

Loading snapshot…

Recent trades

Loading…

Kalshi

Open on Kalshi ↗

Top of book

Connecting
Best bid
—
Spread
—
Best ask
—

Waiting for the first live quote…

Depth · top 8 levels

Loading snapshot…

Recent trades

Loading…

What your stake buys

Enter a stake to see where it buys the most after fees, using each venue’s live order book.

$
Buy

Loading both order books…

Buys at the asks resting now (taker orders), cheapest after fees first, from order-book snapshots up to 15 seconds old. Fees: Kalshi 0.07 × price × (1 − price) per share, rounded up to the cent; Polymarket 0.05 × price × (1 − price) per share (sports rate). Fee calculator. Estimates only, not advice.

About this market

Live prediction market odds for "NBA: 2026-27 Most Improved Player". Ty Jerome leads at 25.2%. Next is Paul Reed at 20.8%. $23K has traded across 48 outcomes on Kalshi and Polymarket. The market is expected to resolve by Jul 1, 2027.

This market will resolve to the player who wins the Most Improved Player award for the 2026-27 NBA regular season. If the winner is not a listed player, the "Other" market will resolve to "Yes". If the NBA names more than one winner of the award, each listed player's market, including those of the co-winners, will resolve to "No" and the "Other" market will resolve to "Yes". If no winner of the award is announced by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, for any reason, including cancellation of the 2026-27 NBA season, each listed player's market will resolve to "No" and the "Other" market will resolve to "Yes". The resolution source for this market will be official information from the NBA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Questions

What does the consensus price mean?

It is the price of a Yes contract that pays $1 if the outcome happens. A 14¢ price means traders put the chance near 14%. Where two venues list the same outcome, we blend their last prices, weighting the venue with more trading volume more heavily (neither counts for less than a quarter). When only one outcome can win, each venue’s prices add up to a little over 100% (its margin); the fair chance removes that margin so the outcomes add up to exactly 100%.

How is the payout worked out?

A Yes contract pays $1 if it wins, so at the best ask a $100 stake buys 100 ÷ ask contracts. At 18¢ that is about 555 contracts, paying $556 (5.56x) if Yes happens. Venue fees and price slippage on larger orders are not included.

Why do the venues show different prices?

Each venue has its own traders, fees and order book. Contracts can also settle on slightly different terms, which is why each row lists how closely the rules match.

Is a price gap an arbitrage?

Only when you can buy Yes on one venue below what someone pays for Yes on the other, after fees, and both contracts settle the same way. We show the executable bid and ask so you can check.

How fresh are these prices?

Venue prices refresh every few minutes, and the order book and live quotes stream continuously. Each venue’s card shows when we last observed it.

More sports markets

See all sports markets