The Prediction Markets

NBA: 2026-27 Western Conference #1 Seed

Closes
Apr 26, 2027, in 6 months
Traded
$66K
Venues
Polymarket, Kalshi
Prices updated
just now
Share

What the markets expect

Oklahoma City 45%

Next is Oklahoma City Thunder at 42.5%. The venues list this event, but none of their outcomes are matched yet, so prices are shown separately.

Odds by venue

Consensus blends each venue’s last price, weighted by how much has traded there. Best Yes price is the cheapest ask across venues, and the payout is what a winning $100 stake returns before fees. Open a row for each venue’s contract name, bid and ask, and how closely their rules match.

Prices come from our regular polls of each venue, the oldest 1 min ago. Ages are as of when this page was built.

  • Polymarket
  • Kalshi
Oklahoma City
45%
Kalshi 45%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 48¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $208 (2.08x)
Kalshi
Contract
Oklahoma City
Last price
45%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
48¢
Sell Yes
45¢
$100 on Yes pays
$208 (2.08x)
Volume
$16K
Trade this on Kalshi
Oklahoma City Thunder
42.5%
Polymarket 42.5%polled, 59s agoBest Yes 43¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $233 (2.33x)
Polymarket
Contract
Oklahoma City Thunder
Last price
42.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
43¢
Sell Yes
42¢
$100 on Yes pays
$233 (2.33x)
Volume
$1K
Trade this on Polymarket
San Antonio Spurs
32%
Polymarket 32%polled, 59s agoBest Yes 33¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $303 (3.03x)
Polymarket
Contract
San Antonio Spurs
Last price
32%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
33¢
Sell Yes
31¢
$100 on Yes pays
$303 (3.03x)
Volume
$468
Trade this on Polymarket
San Antonio
26%
Kalshi 26%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 31¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $323 (3.23x)
Kalshi
Contract
San Antonio
Last price
26%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
31¢
Sell Yes
26¢
$100 on Yes pays
$323 (3.23x)
Volume
$4K
Trade this on Kalshi
Minnesota
6%
Kalshi 6%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 9¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,111 (11.1x)
Kalshi
Contract
Minnesota
Last price
6%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
9¢
Sell Yes
6¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,111 (11.1x)
Volume
$14K
Trade this on Kalshi
Portland Trail Blazers
6%
Polymarket 6%polled, 59s agoBest Yes 11.9¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $840 (8.40x)
Polymarket
Contract
Portland Trail Blazers
Last price
6%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
11.9¢
Sell Yes
0.1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$840 (8.40x)
Volume
$56
Trade this on Polymarket
Minnesota Timberwolves
5.2%
Polymarket 5.2%polled, 59s agoBest Yes 7.5¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,333 (13.3x)
Polymarket
Contract
Minnesota Timberwolves
Last price
5.2%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
7.5¢
Sell Yes
2.9¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,333 (13.3x)
Volume
$112
Trade this on Polymarket
Los Angeles L
5%
Kalshi 5%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 5¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)
Kalshi
Contract
Los Angeles L
Last price
5%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
5¢
Sell Yes
2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$2,000 (20.0x)
Volume
$6K
Trade this on Kalshi
Denver Nuggets
4.6%
Polymarket 4.6%polled, 59s agoBest Yes 6¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,667 (16.7x)
Polymarket
Contract
Denver Nuggets
Last price
4.6%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
6¢
Sell Yes
3.1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,667 (16.7x)
Volume
$61
Trade this on Polymarket
Houston Rockets
4%
Polymarket 4%polled, 59s agoBest Yes 7.9¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,266 (12.7x)
Polymarket
Contract
Houston Rockets
Last price
4%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
7.9¢
Sell Yes
0.1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,266 (12.7x)
Volume
$61
Trade this on Polymarket
Show 20 more outcomes
Los Angeles Lakers
4%
Polymarket 4%polled, 59s agoBest Yes 6.2¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,613 (16.1x)
Polymarket
Contract
Los Angeles Lakers
Last price
4%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
6.2¢
Sell Yes
1.8¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,613 (16.1x)
Volume
$185
Trade this on Polymarket
Utah Jazz
3.9%
Polymarket 3.9%polled, 59s agoBest Yes 7.8¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,282 (12.8x)
Polymarket
Contract
Utah Jazz
Last price
3.9%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
7.8¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$1,282 (12.8x)
Volume
$68
Trade this on Polymarket
Golden State Warriors
3.3%
Polymarket 3.3%polled, 59s agoBest Yes 6.5¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,538 (15.4x)
Polymarket
Contract
Golden State Warriors
Last price
3.3%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
6.5¢
Sell Yes
0.1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,538 (15.4x)
Volume
$56
Trade this on Polymarket
New Orleans Pelicans
3.2%
Polymarket 3.2%polled, 59s agoBest Yes 6.3¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,587 (15.9x)
Polymarket
Contract
New Orleans Pelicans
Last price
3.2%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
6.3¢
Sell Yes
0.1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,587 (15.9x)
Volume
$56
Trade this on Polymarket
Phoenix Suns
3.2%
Polymarket 3.2%polled, 59s agoBest Yes 6.3¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,587 (15.9x)
Polymarket
Contract
Phoenix Suns
Last price
3.2%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
6.3¢
Sell Yes
0.1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,587 (15.9x)
Volume
$56
Trade this on Polymarket
Los Angeles Clippers
3.1%
Polymarket 3.1%polled, 59s agoBest Yes 6.1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,639 (16.4x)
Polymarket
Contract
Los Angeles Clippers
Last price
3.1%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
6.1¢
Sell Yes
0.1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,639 (16.4x)
Volume
$56
Trade this on Polymarket
Memphis Grizzlies
3.1%
Polymarket 3.1%polled, 59s agoBest Yes 6.1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,639 (16.4x)
Polymarket
Contract
Memphis Grizzlies
Last price
3.1%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
6.1¢
Sell Yes
0.1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,639 (16.4x)
Volume
$56
Trade this on Polymarket
Denver
3%
Kalshi 3%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 4¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)
Kalshi
Contract
Denver
Last price
3%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
4¢
Sell Yes
3¢
$100 on Yes pays
$2,500 (25.0x)
Volume
$1K
Trade this on Kalshi
Houston
3%
Kalshi 3%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 7¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,429 (14.3x)
Kalshi
Contract
Houston
Last price
3%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
7¢
Sell Yes
3¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,429 (14.3x)
Volume
$4K
Trade this on Kalshi
Dallas Mavericks
2.9%
Polymarket 2.9%polled, 59s agoBest Yes 5.7¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,754 (17.5x)
Polymarket
Contract
Dallas Mavericks
Last price
2.9%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
5.7¢
Sell Yes
0.1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,754 (17.5x)
Volume
$56
Trade this on Polymarket
Dallas
1%
Kalshi 1%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
Contract
Dallas
Last price
1%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
1¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$10,000 (100x)
Volume
$2K
Trade this on Kalshi
Golden State
1%
Kalshi 1%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 2¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Kalshi
Contract
Golden State
Last price
1%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
2¢
Sell Yes
1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$5,000 (50.0x)
Volume
$4K
Trade this on Kalshi
Los Angeles C
1%
Kalshi 1%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
Contract
Los Angeles C
Last price
1%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
1¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$10,000 (100x)
Volume
$31
Trade this on Kalshi
Memphis
1%
Kalshi 1%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
Contract
Memphis
Last price
1%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
1¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$10,000 (100x)
Volume
$33
Trade this on Kalshi
New Orleans
1%
Kalshi 1%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
Contract
New Orleans
Last price
1%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
1¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$10,000 (100x)
Volume
$36
Trade this on Kalshi
Phoenix
1%
Kalshi 1%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
Contract
Phoenix
Last price
1%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
1¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$10,000 (100x)
Volume
$131
Trade this on Kalshi
Portland
1%
Kalshi 1%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 4¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)
Kalshi
Contract
Portland
Last price
1%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
4¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$2,500 (25.0x)
Volume
$3K
Trade this on Kalshi
Sacramento
1%
Kalshi 1%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
Contract
Sacramento
Last price
1%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
1¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$10,000 (100x)
Volume
$37
Trade this on Kalshi
Utah
1%
Kalshi 1%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
Contract
Utah
Last price
1%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
1¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$10,000 (100x)
Volume
$9K
Trade this on Kalshi
Sacramento Kings
0.6%
Polymarket 0.6%polled, 59s agoBest Yes 1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Polymarket
Contract
Sacramento Kings
Last price
0.6%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
1¢
Sell Yes
0.1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$10,000 (100x)
Volume
$117
Trade this on Polymarket

Who resolves this market

Polymarket
Polymarket resolves via:
UMA optimistic oracle
Kalshi
Kalshi resolves via:
Kalshi (CFTC-regulated exchange), source: ESPN, the Governing League

How the odds have moved

The top 3 outcomes on both venues, with the consensus between them. Hover for exact values.

  • Oklahoma City
  • Oklahoma City Thunder
  • San Antonio Spurs

Order books

Each venue’s resting orders for the selected outcome’s Yes contract, side by side. Top of book streams live; depth refreshes every 15 seconds.

Polymarket

Polymarket doesn’t list Oklahoma City for this event.

Kalshi

Open on Kalshi ↗

Top of book

Connecting
Best bid
—
Spread
—
Best ask
—

Waiting for the first live quote…

Depth · top 8 levels

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Recent trades

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What your stake buys

Enter a stake to see where it buys the most after fees, using each venue’s live order book.

$
Buy

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Buys at the asks resting now (taker orders), cheapest after fees first, from order-book snapshots up to 15 seconds old. Fees: Kalshi 0.07 × price × (1 − price) per share, rounded up to the cent; Polymarket 0.05 × price × (1 − price) per share (sports rate). Fee calculator. Estimates only, not advice.

About this market

Live prediction market odds for "NBA: 2026-27 Western Conference #1 Seed". Oklahoma City leads at 45%. Next is Oklahoma City Thunder at 42.5%. $66K has traded across 30 outcomes on Kalshi and Polymarket. The market is expected to resolve by Apr 26, 2027.

This market will resolve to "Yes" for the team that holds the #1 seed in the Western Conference at the conclusion of the 2026-27 NBA regular season, as shown in the final official NBA Western Conference standings with the NBA's tiebreaker procedures applied. Each other listed team's market will resolve to "No". The 2026-27 NBA regular season is scheduled to run from October 20, 2026 to April 11, 2027. If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed team to finish as the #1 seed in the Western Conference, the corresponding market will resolve to "No". If the 2026-27 NBA regular season is shortened, this market will resolve according to the final official standings of the shortened season. If the 2026-27 NBA regular season is cancelled, or the #1 seed has not been determined by April 25, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, each listed team's market will resolve to "No" and the "Other" market will resolve to "Yes". The resolution source for this market will be official information from the NBA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Questions

What does the consensus price mean?

It is the price of a Yes contract that pays $1 if the outcome happens. A 14¢ price means traders put the chance near 14%. Where two venues list the same outcome, we blend their last prices, weighting the venue with more trading volume more heavily (neither counts for less than a quarter). When only one outcome can win, each venue’s prices add up to a little over 100% (its margin); the fair chance removes that margin so the outcomes add up to exactly 100%.

How is the payout worked out?

A Yes contract pays $1 if it wins, so at the best ask a $100 stake buys 100 ÷ ask contracts. At 18¢ that is about 555 contracts, paying $556 (5.56x) if Yes happens. Venue fees and price slippage on larger orders are not included.

Why do the venues show different prices?

Each venue has its own traders, fees and order book. Contracts can also settle on slightly different terms, which is why each row lists how closely the rules match.

Is a price gap an arbitrage?

Only when you can buy Yes on one venue below what someone pays for Yes on the other, after fees, and both contracts settle the same way. We show the executable bid and ask so you can check.

How fresh are these prices?

Venue prices refresh every few minutes, and the order book and live quotes stream continuously. Each venue’s card shows when we last observed it.

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