The Prediction Markets

NBA: 2026 NBA Cup Winner

Closes
Jan 1, 2027, in 2 months
Traded
$2K
Venues
Polymarket
Prices updated
8 min ago
Share

What the markets expect

Oklahoma City Thunder 19.5%

Next is San Antonio Spurs at 19.5%. Only Polymarket lists this market, so there is no second price to compare.

Odds by venue

Consensus blends each venue’s last price, weighted by how much has traded there. Best Yes price is the cheapest ask across venues, and the payout is what a winning $100 stake returns before fees. Open a row for each venue’s contract name, bid and ask, and how closely their rules match.

Prices come from our regular polls of each venue, the oldest 8 min ago. Ages are as of when this page was built.

  • Polymarket
Oklahoma City Thunder
19.5%
Polymarket 19.5%polled, 8 min agoBest Yes 23¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $435 (4.35x)
Polymarket
Contract
Oklahoma City Thunder
Last price
19.5%
As of
Polled 8 min ago
Buy Yes
23¢
Sell Yes
16¢
$100 on Yes pays
$435 (4.35x)
Volume
$126
Trade this on Polymarket
San Antonio Spurs
19.5%
Polymarket 19.5%polled, 8 min agoBest Yes 28¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $357 (3.57x)
Polymarket
Contract
San Antonio Spurs
Last price
19.5%
As of
Polled 8 min ago
Buy Yes
28¢
Sell Yes
11¢
$100 on Yes pays
$357 (3.57x)
Volume
$99
Trade this on Polymarket
New York Knicks
11%
Polymarket 11%polled, 8 min agoBest Yes 15¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $667 (6.67x)
Polymarket
Contract
New York Knicks
Last price
11%
As of
Polled 8 min ago
Buy Yes
15¢
Sell Yes
7¢
$100 on Yes pays
$667 (6.67x)
Volume
$405
Trade this on Polymarket
Philadelphia 76ers
10.5%
Polymarket 10.5%polled, 8 min agoBest Yes 15¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $667 (6.67x)
Polymarket
Contract
Philadelphia 76ers
Last price
10.5%
As of
Polled 8 min ago
Buy Yes
15¢
Sell Yes
6¢
$100 on Yes pays
$667 (6.67x)
Volume
$664
Trade this on Polymarket
Boston Celtics
9.5%
Polymarket 9.5%polled, 8 min agoBest Yes 15¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $667 (6.67x)
Polymarket
Contract
Boston Celtics
Last price
9.5%
As of
Polled 8 min ago
Buy Yes
15¢
Sell Yes
4¢
$100 on Yes pays
$667 (6.67x)
Volume
$140
Trade this on Polymarket
Miami Heat
7%
Polymarket 7%polled, 8 min agoBest Yes 9¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,111 (11.1x)
Polymarket
Contract
Miami Heat
Last price
7%
As of
Polled 8 min ago
Buy Yes
9¢
Sell Yes
5¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,111 (11.1x)
Volume
$152
Trade this on Polymarket
Minnesota Timberwolves
7%
Polymarket 7%polled, 8 min agoBest Yes 9¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,111 (11.1x)
Polymarket
Contract
Minnesota Timberwolves
Last price
7%
As of
Polled 8 min ago
Buy Yes
9¢
Sell Yes
5¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,111 (11.1x)
Volume
$172
Trade this on Polymarket
Detroit Pistons
6%
Polymarket 6%polled, 8 min agoBest Yes 9¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,111 (11.1x)
Polymarket
Contract
Detroit Pistons
Last price
6%
As of
Polled 8 min ago
Buy Yes
9¢
Sell Yes
3¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,111 (11.1x)
Volume
$25
Trade this on Polymarket
Cleveland Cavaliers
5.6%
Polymarket 5.6%polled, 8 min agoBest Yes 9¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,111 (11.1x)
Polymarket
Contract
Cleveland Cavaliers
Last price
5.6%
As of
Polled 8 min ago
Buy Yes
9¢
Sell Yes
2.1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,111 (11.1x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Atlanta Hawks
5.2%
Polymarket 5.2%polled, 8 min agoBest Yes 9¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,111 (11.1x)
Polymarket
Contract
Atlanta Hawks
Last price
5.2%
As of
Polled 8 min ago
Buy Yes
9¢
Sell Yes
1.3¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,111 (11.1x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Show 20 more outcomes
Los Angeles Lakers
5.2%
Polymarket 5.2%polled, 8 min agoBest Yes 9¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,111 (11.1x)
Polymarket
Contract
Los Angeles Lakers
Last price
5.2%
As of
Polled 8 min ago
Buy Yes
9¢
Sell Yes
1.3¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,111 (11.1x)
Volume
$200
Trade this on Polymarket
Portland Trail Blazers
5%
Polymarket 5%polled, 8 min agoBest Yes 9¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,111 (11.1x)
Polymarket
Contract
Portland Trail Blazers
Last price
5%
As of
Polled 8 min ago
Buy Yes
9¢
Sell Yes
1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,111 (11.1x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Golden State Warriors
4.6%
Polymarket 4.6%polled, 8 min agoBest Yes 9¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,111 (11.1x)
Polymarket
Contract
Golden State Warriors
Last price
4.6%
As of
Polled 8 min ago
Buy Yes
9¢
Sell Yes
0.2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,111 (11.1x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Houston Rockets
4.6%
Polymarket 4.6%polled, 8 min agoBest Yes 9¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,111 (11.1x)
Polymarket
Contract
Houston Rockets
Last price
4.6%
As of
Polled 8 min ago
Buy Yes
9¢
Sell Yes
0.2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,111 (11.1x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Indiana Pacers
4.6%
Polymarket 4.6%polled, 8 min agoBest Yes 9¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,111 (11.1x)
Polymarket
Contract
Indiana Pacers
Last price
4.6%
As of
Polled 8 min ago
Buy Yes
9¢
Sell Yes
0.2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,111 (11.1x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Toronto Raptors
4.6%
Polymarket 4.6%polled, 8 min agoBest Yes 9¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,111 (11.1x)
Polymarket
Contract
Toronto Raptors
Last price
4.6%
As of
Polled 8 min ago
Buy Yes
9¢
Sell Yes
0.2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,111 (11.1x)
Volume
$100
Trade this on Polymarket
Brooklyn Nets
4.6%
Polymarket 4.6%polled, 8 min agoBest Yes 9¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,111 (11.1x)
Polymarket
Contract
Brooklyn Nets
Last price
4.6%
As of
Polled 8 min ago
Buy Yes
9¢
Sell Yes
0.1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,111 (11.1x)
Volume
$10
Trade this on Polymarket
Chicago Bulls
4.6%
Polymarket 4.6%polled, 8 min agoBest Yes 9¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,111 (11.1x)
Polymarket
Contract
Chicago Bulls
Last price
4.6%
As of
Polled 8 min ago
Buy Yes
9¢
Sell Yes
0.1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,111 (11.1x)
Volume
$10
Trade this on Polymarket
Dallas Mavericks
4.6%
Polymarket 4.6%polled, 8 min agoBest Yes 9¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,111 (11.1x)
Polymarket
Contract
Dallas Mavericks
Last price
4.6%
As of
Polled 8 min ago
Buy Yes
9¢
Sell Yes
0.1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,111 (11.1x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Los Angeles Clippers
4.6%
Polymarket 4.6%polled, 8 min agoBest Yes 9¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,111 (11.1x)
Polymarket
Contract
Los Angeles Clippers
Last price
4.6%
As of
Polled 8 min ago
Buy Yes
9¢
Sell Yes
0.1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,111 (11.1x)
Volume
$10
Trade this on Polymarket
Milwaukee Bucks
4.6%
Polymarket 4.6%polled, 8 min agoBest Yes 9¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,111 (11.1x)
Polymarket
Contract
Milwaukee Bucks
Last price
4.6%
As of
Polled 8 min ago
Buy Yes
9¢
Sell Yes
0.1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,111 (11.1x)
Volume
$10
Trade this on Polymarket
New Orleans Pelicans
4.6%
Polymarket 4.6%polled, 8 min agoBest Yes 9¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,111 (11.1x)
Polymarket
Contract
New Orleans Pelicans
Last price
4.6%
As of
Polled 8 min ago
Buy Yes
9¢
Sell Yes
0.1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,111 (11.1x)
Volume
$10
Trade this on Polymarket
Phoenix Suns
4.6%
Polymarket 4.6%polled, 8 min agoBest Yes 9¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,111 (11.1x)
Polymarket
Contract
Phoenix Suns
Last price
4.6%
As of
Polled 8 min ago
Buy Yes
9¢
Sell Yes
0.1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,111 (11.1x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Sacramento Kings
4.6%
Polymarket 4.6%polled, 8 min agoBest Yes 9¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,111 (11.1x)
Polymarket
Contract
Sacramento Kings
Last price
4.6%
As of
Polled 8 min ago
Buy Yes
9¢
Sell Yes
0.1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,111 (11.1x)
Volume
$10
Trade this on Polymarket
Utah Jazz
4.6%
Polymarket 4.6%polled, 8 min agoBest Yes 9¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,111 (11.1x)
Polymarket
Contract
Utah Jazz
Last price
4.6%
As of
Polled 8 min ago
Buy Yes
9¢
Sell Yes
0.1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,111 (11.1x)
Volume
$10
Trade this on Polymarket
Washington Wizards
4.6%
Polymarket 4.6%polled, 8 min agoBest Yes 9¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,111 (11.1x)
Polymarket
Contract
Washington Wizards
Last price
4.6%
As of
Polled 8 min ago
Buy Yes
9¢
Sell Yes
0.1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,111 (11.1x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Charlotte Hornets
4.1%
Polymarket 4.1%polled, 8 min agoBest Yes 8¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,250 (12.5x)
Polymarket
Contract
Charlotte Hornets
Last price
4.1%
As of
Polled 8 min ago
Buy Yes
8¢
Sell Yes
0.2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,250 (12.5x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Memphis Grizzlies
4.1%
Polymarket 4.1%polled, 8 min agoBest Yes 8¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,250 (12.5x)
Polymarket
Contract
Memphis Grizzlies
Last price
4.1%
As of
Polled 8 min ago
Buy Yes
8¢
Sell Yes
0.1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,250 (12.5x)
Volume
$10
Trade this on Polymarket
Orlando Magic
4.1%
Polymarket 4.1%polled, 8 min agoBest Yes 8¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,250 (12.5x)
Polymarket
Contract
Orlando Magic
Last price
4.1%
As of
Polled 8 min ago
Buy Yes
8¢
Sell Yes
0.1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,250 (12.5x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Denver Nuggets
2.6%
Polymarket 2.6%polled, 8 min agoBest Yes 5¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)
Polymarket
Contract
Denver Nuggets
Last price
2.6%
As of
Polled 8 min ago
Buy Yes
5¢
Sell Yes
0.2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$2,000 (20.0x)
Volume
$150
Trade this on Polymarket

Who resolves this market

Polymarket
Polymarket resolves via:
UMA optimistic oracle

How the odds have moved

The top 3 outcomes on both venues, with the consensus between them. Hover for exact values.

  • Oklahoma City Thunder
  • San Antonio Spurs
  • New York Knicks

Order books

Each venue’s resting orders for the selected outcome’s Yes contract, side by side. Top of book streams live; depth refreshes every 15 seconds.

Top of book

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Best bid
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Best ask
—

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Depth · top 8 levels

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Recent trades

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What your stake buys

Enter a stake to see where it buys the most after fees, using each venue’s live order book.

$
Buy

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Buys at the asks resting now (taker orders), cheapest after fees first, from order-book snapshots up to 15 seconds old. Fees: Kalshi 0.07 × price × (1 − price) per share, rounded up to the cent; Polymarket 0.05 × price × (1 − price) per share (sports rate). Fee calculator. Estimates only, not advice.

About this market

Live prediction market odds for "NBA: 2026 NBA Cup Winner". Oklahoma City Thunder leads at 19.5%. Next is San Antonio Spurs at 19.5%. $2K has traded across 30 outcomes on Polymarket. The market is expected to resolve by Jan 1, 2027.

This market will resolve according to the team that wins the 2026 NBA Cup. If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed team to win the 2026 NBA Cup per the rules of the NBA (e.g., elimination), the corresponding market will resolve to "No". If multiple teams are declared winners, this market will resolve in favor of the team whose listed name comes first alphabetically. If this event is cancelled, or a champion has not been declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve according to official NBA declarations.

Questions

What does the consensus price mean?

It is the price of a Yes contract that pays $1 if the outcome happens. A 14¢ price means traders put the chance near 14%. Where two venues list the same outcome, we blend their last prices, weighting the venue with more trading volume more heavily (neither counts for less than a quarter). When only one outcome can win, each venue’s prices add up to a little over 100% (its margin); the fair chance removes that margin so the outcomes add up to exactly 100%.

How is the payout worked out?

A Yes contract pays $1 if it wins, so at the best ask a $100 stake buys 100 ÷ ask contracts. At 18¢ that is about 555 contracts, paying $556 (5.56x) if Yes happens. Venue fees and price slippage on larger orders are not included.

Why do the venues show different prices?

Each venue has its own traders, fees and order book. Contracts can also settle on slightly different terms, which is why each row lists how closely the rules match.

Is a price gap an arbitrage?

Only when you can buy Yes on one venue below what someone pays for Yes on the other, after fees, and both contracts settle the same way. We show the executable bid and ask so you can check.

How fresh are these prices?

Venue prices refresh every few minutes, and the order book and live quotes stream continuously. Each venue’s card shows when we last observed it.

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