The Prediction Markets

NBA: 2027 Champion

Closes
Jul 1, 2027, in 8 months
Traded
$73.4M
Venues
Polymarket, Kalshi
Prices updated
1 h ago
Share

What the markets expect

Oklahoma City 21.1%

Next is San Antonio at 18.1%. The venues differ most on Oklahoma City (Polymarket 22.5%, Kalshi 25%), a 2.5-point gap.

Oklahoma City 21.1%San Antonio 18.1%Philadelphia 8.5%New York 7.4%Minnesota 5.8%25 others 39.1%

Odds by venue

Fair chance strips out each venue’s built-in margin (its prices add up to more than 100%), then blends the venues by how much has traded there, so the outcomes add up to 100%. Best Yes price is the cheapest ask across venues, and the payout is what a winning $100 stake returns before fees. Open a row for each venue’s contract name, bid and ask, and how closely their rules match.

2 of 60 prices are live from the exchange feeds; the rest come from our regular price polls, the oldest 1 h ago. Ages are as of when this page was built.

  • Polymarket
  • Kalshi
Oklahoma City
21.1%
Polymarket 22.5%(21.8% fair)live, 1 h agoKalshi 25%(20.2% fair)live, 1 h agoBest Yes 23¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $435 (4.35x)
Polymarket
Contract
Oklahoma City Thunder
Price
22.5%
Fair, margin removed
21.8%
As of
Live feed, 1 h ago
Buy Yes
23¢
Sell Yes
22¢
$100 on Yes pays
$435 (4.35x)
Volume
$925K
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Oklahoma City
Price
25%
Fair, margin removed
20.2%
As of
Live feed, 1 h ago
Buy Yes
25¢
Sell Yes
24¢
$100 on Yes pays
$400 (4.00x)
Volume
$1.3M
Trade this on Kalshi
Partial parity

Payoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences below the table.

Indicative only, prices are 1 h old: Buying on Polymarket at 23¢ and selling on Kalshi at 24¢ nets 100 bps before fees.

San Antonio
18.1%
Polymarket 19.5%(18.9% fair)polled, 1 h agoKalshi 21%(16.9% fair)polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 20¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $500 (5.00x)
Polymarket
Contract
San Antonio Spurs
Last price
19.5%
Fair, margin removed
18.9%
As of
Polled 1 h ago
Buy Yes
20¢
Sell Yes
19¢
$100 on Yes pays
$500 (5.00x)
Volume
$866K
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
San Antonio
Last price
21%
Fair, margin removed
16.9%
As of
Polled 1 h ago
Buy Yes
21¢
Sell Yes
20¢
$100 on Yes pays
$476 (4.76x)
Volume
$999K
Trade this on Kalshi
Partial parity

Payoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences below the table.

Indicative only, prices are 1 h old: No arbitrage: the best bid elsewhere is 20¢, at or below the cheapest ask of 20¢.

Philadelphia
8.5%
Polymarket 9.8%polled, 1 h agoKalshi 10%(8.1% fair)polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 9.8¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,020 (10.2x)
Polymarket
Contract
Philadelphia 76ers
Last price
9.8%
As of
Polled 1 h ago
Buy Yes
9.8¢
Sell Yes
9.7¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,020 (10.2x)
Volume
$1.4M
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Philadelphia
Last price
10%
Fair, margin removed
8.1%
As of
Polled 1 h ago
Buy Yes
11¢
Sell Yes
10¢
$100 on Yes pays
$909 (9.09x)
Volume
$9.6M
Trade this on Kalshi
Partial parity

Payoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences below the table.

Indicative only, prices are 1 h old: Buying on Polymarket at 9.8¢ and selling on Kalshi at 10¢ nets 20 bps before fees.

New York
7.4%
Polymarket 7.5%polled, 1 h agoKalshi 9%(7.3% fair)polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 8¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,250 (12.5x)
Polymarket
Contract
New York Knicks
Last price
7.5%
As of
Polled 1 h ago
Buy Yes
8¢
Sell Yes
7¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,250 (12.5x)
Volume
$960K
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
New York
Last price
9%
Fair, margin removed
7.3%
As of
Polled 1 h ago
Buy Yes
9¢
Sell Yes
8¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,111 (11.1x)
Volume
$1.4M
Trade this on Kalshi
Partial parity

Payoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences below the table.

Indicative only, prices are 1 h old: No arbitrage: the best bid elsewhere is 8¢, at or below the cheapest ask of 8¢.

Minnesota
5.8%
Polymarket 6.2%polled, 1 h agoKalshi 7%(5.6% fair)polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 6.2¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,613 (16.1x)
Polymarket
Contract
Minnesota Timberwolves
Last price
6.2%
As of
Polled 1 h ago
Buy Yes
6.2¢
Sell Yes
6.1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,613 (16.1x)
Volume
$920K
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Minnesota
Last price
7%
Fair, margin removed
5.6%
As of
Polled 1 h ago
Buy Yes
7¢
Sell Yes
6¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,429 (14.3x)
Volume
$3.4M
Trade this on Kalshi
Partial parity

Payoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences below the table.

Indicative only, prices are 1 h old: No arbitrage: the best bid elsewhere is 6¢, at or below the cheapest ask of 6.2¢.

Boston
5.1%
Polymarket 5.5%polled, 1 h agoKalshi 6%(4.8% fair)polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 6¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,667 (16.7x)
Polymarket
Contract
Boston Celtics
Last price
5.5%
As of
Polled 1 h ago
Buy Yes
6¢
Sell Yes
5¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,667 (16.7x)
Volume
$913K
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Boston
Last price
6%
Fair, margin removed
4.8%
As of
Polled 1 h ago
Buy Yes
6¢
Sell Yes
5¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,667 (16.7x)
Volume
$1.4M
Trade this on Kalshi
Partial parity

Payoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences below the table.

Indicative only, prices are 1 h old: No arbitrage: the best bid elsewhere is 5¢, at or below the cheapest ask of 6¢.

Miami
3.8%
Polymarket 3.2%polled, 1 h agoKalshi 5%(4% fair)polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 3.2¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $3,125 (31.3x)
Polymarket
Contract
Miami Heat
Last price
3.2%
As of
Polled 1 h ago
Buy Yes
3.2¢
Sell Yes
3.1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$3,125 (31.3x)
Volume
$1.0M
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Miami
Last price
5%
Fair, margin removed
4%
As of
Polled 1 h ago
Buy Yes
5¢
Sell Yes
4¢
$100 on Yes pays
$2,000 (20.0x)
Volume
$3.6M
Trade this on Kalshi
Partial parity

Payoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences below the table.

Indicative only, prices are 1 h old: Buying on Polymarket at 3.2¢ and selling on Kalshi at 4¢ nets 80 bps before fees.

Toronto
3.5%
Polymarket 4.1%polled, 1 h agoKalshi 4%(3.2% fair)polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 4¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)
Polymarket
Contract
Toronto Raptors
Last price
4.1%
As of
Polled 1 h ago
Buy Yes
4.1¢
Sell Yes
4¢
$100 on Yes pays
$2,439 (24.4x)
Volume
$1.0M
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Toronto
Last price
4%
Fair, margin removed
3.2%
As of
Polled 1 h ago
Buy Yes
4¢
Sell Yes
3¢
$100 on Yes pays
$2,500 (25.0x)
Volume
$1.7M
Trade this on Kalshi
Partial parity

Payoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences below the table.

Indicative only, prices are 1 h old: No arbitrage: the best bid elsewhere is 4¢, at or below the cheapest ask of 4¢.

Los Angeles L
3.3%
Polymarket 3.3%polled, 1 h agoKalshi 4%(3.2% fair)polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 3.3¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $3,030 (30.3x)
Polymarket
Contract
Los Angeles Lakers
Last price
3.3%
As of
Polled 1 h ago
Buy Yes
3.3¢
Sell Yes
3.2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$3,030 (30.3x)
Volume
$973K
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Los Angeles L
Last price
4%
Fair, margin removed
3.2%
As of
Polled 1 h ago
Buy Yes
4¢
Sell Yes
3¢
$100 on Yes pays
$2,500 (25.0x)
Volume
$2.6M
Trade this on Kalshi
Partial parity

Payoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences below the table.

Indicative only, prices are 1 h old: No arbitrage: the best bid elsewhere is 3¢, at or below the cheapest ask of 3.3¢.

Detroit
2.9%
Polymarket 3.3%polled, 1 h agoKalshi 3%(2.4% fair)polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 3¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $3,333 (33.3x)
Polymarket
Contract
Detroit Pistons
Last price
3.3%
As of
Polled 1 h ago
Buy Yes
3.3¢
Sell Yes
3.2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$3,030 (30.3x)
Volume
$989K
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Detroit
Last price
3%
Fair, margin removed
2.4%
As of
Polled 1 h ago
Buy Yes
3¢
Sell Yes
2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$3,333 (33.3x)
Volume
$852K
Trade this on Kalshi
Partial parity

Payoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences below the table.

Indicative only, prices are 1 h old: Buying on Kalshi at 3¢ and selling on Polymarket at 3.2¢ nets 20 bps before fees.

Show 20 more outcomes
Denver
2.8%
Polymarket 3.2%polled, 1 h agoKalshi 3%(2.4% fair)polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 3¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $3,333 (33.3x)
Polymarket
Contract
Denver Nuggets
Last price
3.2%
As of
Polled 1 h ago
Buy Yes
3.2¢
Sell Yes
3.1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$3,125 (31.3x)
Volume
$994K
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Denver
Last price
3%
Fair, margin removed
2.4%
As of
Polled 1 h ago
Buy Yes
3¢
Sell Yes
2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$3,333 (33.3x)
Volume
$1.2M
Trade this on Kalshi
Partial parity

Payoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences below the table.

Indicative only, prices are 1 h old: Buying on Kalshi at 3¢ and selling on Polymarket at 3.1¢ nets 10 bps before fees.

Houston
2.5%
Polymarket 2.7%polled, 1 h agoKalshi 3%(2.4% fair)polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 2.7¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $3,704 (37.0x)
Polymarket
Contract
Houston Rockets
Last price
2.7%
As of
Polled 1 h ago
Buy Yes
2.7¢
Sell Yes
2.6¢
$100 on Yes pays
$3,704 (37.0x)
Volume
$1.2M
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Houston
Last price
3%
Fair, margin removed
2.4%
As of
Polled 1 h ago
Buy Yes
3¢
Sell Yes
2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$3,333 (33.3x)
Volume
$1.4M
Trade this on Kalshi
Partial parity

Payoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences below the table.

Indicative only, prices are 1 h old: No arbitrage: the best bid elsewhere is 2.6¢, at or below the cheapest ask of 3¢.

Indiana
2.3%
Polymarket 2.2%polled, 1 h agoKalshi 3%(2.4% fair)polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 2.2¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $4,545 (45.5x)
Polymarket
Contract
Indiana Pacers
Last price
2.2%
As of
Polled 1 h ago
Buy Yes
2.2¢
Sell Yes
2.1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$4,545 (45.5x)
Volume
$981K
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Indiana
Last price
3%
Fair, margin removed
2.4%
As of
Polled 1 h ago
Buy Yes
3¢
Sell Yes
2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$3,333 (33.3x)
Volume
$1.8M
Trade this on Kalshi
Partial parity

Payoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences below the table.

Indicative only, prices are 1 h old: No arbitrage: the best bid elsewhere is 2¢, at or below the cheapest ask of 2.2¢.

Cleveland
2.1%
Polymarket 2.7%polled, 1 h agoKalshi 2%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 2¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Polymarket
Contract
Cleveland Cavaliers
Last price
2.7%
As of
Polled 1 h ago
Buy Yes
2.7¢
Sell Yes
2.6¢
$100 on Yes pays
$3,704 (37.0x)
Volume
$1.0M
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Cleveland
Last price
2%
As of
Polled 1 h ago
Buy Yes
2¢
Sell Yes
1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$5,000 (50.0x)
Volume
$1.1M
Trade this on Kalshi
Partial parity

Payoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences below the table.

Indicative only, prices are 1 h old: Buying on Kalshi at 2¢ and selling on Polymarket at 2.6¢ nets 60 bps before fees.

Portland
1.6%
Polymarket 1.7%polled, 1 h agoKalshi 2%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 1.8¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $5,556 (55.6x)
Polymarket
Contract
Portland Trail Blazers
Last price
1.7%
As of
Polled 1 h ago
Buy Yes
1.8¢
Sell Yes
1.5¢
$100 on Yes pays
$5,556 (55.6x)
Volume
$1.1M
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Portland
Last price
2%
As of
Polled 1 h ago
Buy Yes
2¢
Sell Yes
1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$5,000 (50.0x)
Volume
$1.9M
Trade this on Kalshi
Partial parity

Payoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences below the table.

Indicative only, prices are 1 h old: No arbitrage: the best bid elsewhere is 1.5¢, at or below the cheapest ask of 2¢.

Golden State
1.4%
Polymarket 1%polled, 1 h agoKalshi 2%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Polymarket
Contract
Golden State Warriors
Last price
1%
As of
Polled 1 h ago
Buy Yes
1¢
Sell Yes
0.9¢
$100 on Yes pays
$10,000 (100x)
Volume
$1.2M
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Golden State
Last price
2%
As of
Polled 1 h ago
Buy Yes
2¢
Sell Yes
1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$5,000 (50.0x)
Volume
$2.6M
Trade this on Kalshi
Partial parity

Payoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences below the table.

Indicative only, prices are 1 h old: No arbitrage: the best bid elsewhere is 1¢, at or below the cheapest ask of 1¢.

Orlando
1.3%
Polymarket 0.8%polled, 1 h agoKalshi 2%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 0.8¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $12,500 (125x)
Polymarket
Contract
Orlando Magic
Last price
0.8%
As of
Polled 1 h ago
Buy Yes
0.8¢
Sell Yes
0.7¢
$100 on Yes pays
$12,500 (125x)
Volume
$991K
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Orlando
Last price
2%
As of
Polled 1 h ago
Buy Yes
2¢
Sell Yes
1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$5,000 (50.0x)
Volume
$1.5M
Trade this on Kalshi
Partial parity

Payoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences below the table.

Indicative only, prices are 1 h old: Buying on Polymarket at 0.8¢ and selling on Kalshi at 1¢ nets 20 bps before fees.

Atlanta
1%
Polymarket 1.1%polled, 1 h agoKalshi 1%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Polymarket
Contract
Atlanta Hawks
Last price
1.1%
As of
Polled 1 h ago
Buy Yes
1.1¢
Sell Yes
1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$9,091 (90.9x)
Volume
$955K
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Atlanta
Last price
1%
As of
Polled 1 h ago
Buy Yes
1¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$10,000 (100x)
Volume
$549K
Trade this on Kalshi
Partial parity

Payoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences below the table.

Indicative only, prices are 1 h old: No arbitrage: the best bid elsewhere is 1¢, at or below the cheapest ask of 1¢.

Washington
0.8%
Polymarket 0.8%polled, 1 h agoKalshi 1%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 0.9¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $11,111 (111x)
Polymarket
Contract
Washington Wizards
Last price
0.8%
As of
Polled 1 h ago
Buy Yes
0.9¢
Sell Yes
0.7¢
$100 on Yes pays
$11,111 (111x)
Volume
$809K
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Washington
Last price
1%
As of
Polled 1 h ago
Buy Yes
1¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$10,000 (100x)
Volume
$1.2M
Trade this on Kalshi
Partial parity

Payoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences below the table.

Indicative only, prices are 1 h old: No arbitrage: the best bid elsewhere is 0.7¢, at or below the cheapest ask of 1¢.

Dallas
0.7%
Polymarket 0.5%polled, 1 h agoKalshi 1%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 0.5¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $20,000 (200x)
Polymarket
Contract
Dallas Mavericks
Last price
0.5%
As of
Polled 1 h ago
Buy Yes
0.5¢
Sell Yes
0.4¢
$100 on Yes pays
$20,000 (200x)
Volume
$902K
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Dallas
Last price
1%
As of
Polled 1 h ago
Buy Yes
1¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$10,000 (100x)
Volume
$1.7M
Trade this on Kalshi
Partial parity

Payoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences below the table.

Indicative only, prices are 1 h old: No arbitrage: the best bid elsewhere is 0.4¢, at or below the cheapest ask of 1¢.

Utah
0.7%
Polymarket 0.7%polled, 1 h agoKalshi 1%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 0.7¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $14,286 (143x)
Polymarket
Contract
Utah Jazz
Last price
0.7%
As of
Polled 1 h ago
Buy Yes
0.7¢
Sell Yes
0.6¢
$100 on Yes pays
$14,286 (143x)
Volume
$1.1M
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Utah
Last price
1%
As of
Polled 1 h ago
Buy Yes
1¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$10,000 (100x)
Volume
$807K
Trade this on Kalshi
Partial parity

Payoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences below the table.

Indicative only, prices are 1 h old: No arbitrage: the best bid elsewhere is 0.6¢, at or below the cheapest ask of 1¢.

Memphis
0.6%
Polymarket 0.3%polled, 1 h agoKalshi 1%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 0.3¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $33,333 (333x)
Polymarket
Contract
Memphis Grizzlies
Last price
0.3%
As of
Polled 1 h ago
Buy Yes
0.3¢
Sell Yes
0.2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$33,333 (333x)
Volume
$902K
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Memphis
Last price
1%
As of
Polled 1 h ago
Buy Yes
1¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$10,000 (100x)
Volume
$1.1M
Trade this on Kalshi
Partial parity

Payoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences below the table.

Indicative only, prices are 1 h old: No arbitrage: the best bid elsewhere is 0.2¢, at or below the cheapest ask of 1¢.

Charlotte
0.5%
Polymarket 0.5%polled, 1 h agoKalshi 1%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 0.5¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $20,000 (200x)
Polymarket
Contract
Charlotte Hornets
Last price
0.5%
As of
Polled 1 h ago
Buy Yes
0.5¢
Sell Yes
0.4¢
$100 on Yes pays
$20,000 (200x)
Volume
$737K
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Charlotte
Last price
1%
As of
Polled 1 h ago
Buy Yes
1¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$10,000 (100x)
Volume
$229K
Trade this on Kalshi
Partial parity

Payoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences below the table.

Indicative only, prices are 1 h old: No arbitrage: the best bid elsewhere is 0.4¢, at or below the cheapest ask of 1¢.

Phoenix
0.5%
Polymarket 0.4%polled, 1 h agoKalshi 1%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 0.4¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $25,000 (250x)
Polymarket
Contract
Phoenix Suns
Last price
0.4%
As of
Polled 1 h ago
Buy Yes
0.4¢
Sell Yes
0.3¢
$100 on Yes pays
$25,000 (250x)
Volume
$914K
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Phoenix
Last price
1%
As of
Polled 1 h ago
Buy Yes
1¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$10,000 (100x)
Volume
$93K
Trade this on Kalshi
Partial parity

Payoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences below the table.

Indicative only, prices are 1 h old: No arbitrage: the best bid elsewhere is 0.3¢, at or below the cheapest ask of 1¢.

Brooklyn
0.3%
Polymarket 0.1%polled, 1 h agoKalshi 1%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 0.1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $100,000 (1000x)
Polymarket
Contract
Brooklyn Nets
Last price
0.1%
As of
Polled 1 h ago
Buy Yes
0.1¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$100,000 (1000x)
Volume
$1.1M
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Brooklyn
Last price
1%
As of
Polled 1 h ago
Buy Yes
1¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$10,000 (100x)
Volume
$16K
Trade this on Kalshi
Partial parity

Payoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences below the table.

Chicago
0.3%
Polymarket 0.2%polled, 1 h agoKalshi 1%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 0.2¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $50,000 (500x)
Polymarket
Contract
Chicago Bulls
Last price
0.2%
As of
Polled 1 h ago
Buy Yes
0.2¢
Sell Yes
0.1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$50,000 (500x)
Volume
$774K
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Chicago
Last price
1%
As of
Polled 1 h ago
Buy Yes
1¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$10,000 (100x)
Volume
$137K
Trade this on Kalshi
Partial parity

Payoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences below the table.

Indicative only, prices are 1 h old: No arbitrage: the best bid elsewhere is 0.1¢, at or below the cheapest ask of 1¢.

Los Angeles C
0.3%
Polymarket 0.2%polled, 1 h agoKalshi 1%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 0.2¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $50,000 (500x)
Polymarket
Contract
Los Angeles Clippers
Last price
0.2%
As of
Polled 1 h ago
Buy Yes
0.2¢
Sell Yes
0.1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$50,000 (500x)
Volume
$848K
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Los Angeles C
Last price
1%
As of
Polled 1 h ago
Buy Yes
1¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$10,000 (100x)
Volume
$113K
Trade this on Kalshi
Partial parity

Payoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences below the table.

Indicative only, prices are 1 h old: No arbitrage: the best bid elsewhere is 0.1¢, at or below the cheapest ask of 1¢.

Milwaukee
0.3%
Polymarket 0.2%polled, 1 h agoKalshi 1%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 0.2¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $50,000 (500x)
Polymarket
Contract
Milwaukee Bucks
Last price
0.2%
As of
Polled 1 h ago
Buy Yes
0.2¢
Sell Yes
0.1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$50,000 (500x)
Volume
$765K
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Milwaukee
Last price
1%
As of
Polled 1 h ago
Buy Yes
1¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$10,000 (100x)
Volume
$48K
Trade this on Kalshi
Partial parity

Payoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences below the table.

Indicative only, prices are 1 h old: No arbitrage: the best bid elsewhere is 0.1¢, at or below the cheapest ask of 1¢.

New Orleans
0.3%
Polymarket 0.2%polled, 1 h agoKalshi 1%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 0.2¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $50,000 (500x)
Polymarket
Contract
New Orleans Pelicans
Last price
0.2%
As of
Polled 1 h ago
Buy Yes
0.2¢
Sell Yes
0.1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$50,000 (500x)
Volume
$990K
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
New Orleans
Last price
1%
As of
Polled 1 h ago
Buy Yes
1¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$10,000 (100x)
Volume
$14K
Trade this on Kalshi
Partial parity

Payoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences below the table.

Indicative only, prices are 1 h old: No arbitrage: the best bid elsewhere is 0.1¢, at or below the cheapest ask of 1¢.

Sacramento
0.2%
Polymarket 0.1%polled, 1 h agoKalshi 1%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 0.1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $100,000 (1000x)
Polymarket
Contract
Sacramento Kings
Last price
0.1%
As of
Polled 1 h ago
Buy Yes
0.1¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$100,000 (1000x)
Volume
$791K
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Sacramento
Last price
1%
As of
Polled 1 h ago
Buy Yes
1¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$10,000 (100x)
Volume
$120K
Trade this on Kalshi
Partial parity

Payoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences below the table.

Indicative gap, prices are 1 h old: Oklahoma City asks 23¢ on Polymarket and bids 24¢ on Kalshi (100 bps). Recheck both venues before trading. See all spreads

Mostly the same bet: 3 differences

Where they differ

  • Both settle on the official league/organizer result for the named season; Kalshi's season is the ticker edition (KXNBA-27 = 2026-27) and Polymarket's is stated in the title or slug.
  • Season cancelled or not completed: Kalshi resolves per its rules (typically a fair price); Polymarket resolves to 'Other' or 50-50 depending on the event.
  • Polymarket lists placeholders ('Other', 'Team A') and closes eliminated outcomes early; only live named outcomes are linked.
Polymarket
Polymarket resolves via:
UMA optimistic oracle
Kalshi
Kalshi resolves via:
Kalshi (CFTC-regulated exchange), source: the Governing League
Show full rule comparison
  • Both settle on the official league/organizer result for the named season; Kalshi's season is the ticker edition (KXNBA-27 = 2026-27) and Polymarket's is stated in the title or slug.
  • Season cancelled or not completed: Kalshi resolves per its rules (typically a fair price); Polymarket resolves to 'Other' or 50-50 depending on the event.
  • Polymarket lists placeholders ('Other', 'Team A') and closes eliminated outcomes early; only live named outcomes are linked.
  • Trading closes Jul 1, 2027, 12:00 AM UTC on Polymarket and Jul 30, 2029, 2:00 PM UTC on Kalshi.

Summarized from each venue’s published rules; the venue’s own rules page is the final word.

How the odds have moved

The top 3 outcomes on both venues, with the consensus between them. Hover for exact values.

  • Oklahoma City
  • San Antonio
  • Philadelphia

Live prices for Oklahoma City

What it costs to buy Yes, what you would get selling it, and the last trade on each exchange, updating as orders change. Hover a status for timing details.

Order books

Each venue’s resting orders for the selected outcome’s Yes contract, side by side. Top of book streams live; depth refreshes every 15 seconds.

Combined depth · both venues

Loading both order books…

Polymarket

Open on Polymarket ↗

Top of book

Connecting
Best bid
—
Spread
—
Best ask
—

Waiting for the first live quote…

Depth · top 8 levels

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Recent trades

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Kalshi

Open on Kalshi ↗

Top of book

Connecting
Best bid
—
Spread
—
Best ask
—

Waiting for the first live quote…

Depth · top 8 levels

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Recent trades

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What your stake buys

Enter a stake to see where it buys the most after fees, using each venue’s live order book.

$
Buy

Loading both order books…

Buys at the asks resting now (taker orders), cheapest after fees first, from order-book snapshots up to 15 seconds old. Fees: Kalshi 0.07 × price × (1 − price) per share, rounded up to the cent; Polymarket 0.05 × price × (1 − price) per share (sports rate). Fee calculator. Estimates only, not advice.

About this market

Live prediction market odds for "NBA: 2027 Champion". Oklahoma City leads at 21.1%. Next is San Antonio at 18.1%. $73.4M has traded across 30 outcomes on Kalshi and Polymarket. The market is expected to resolve by Jul 1, 2027.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed team is determined as the champion of the NBA for the 2026-27 season. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No". If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed team to be named as the champion of NBA for the 2026-27 season per the rules of NBA (e.g., participant is eliminated), the corresponding market will resolve to "No". If multiple teams are declared winners, this market will resolve in favor of the team whose listed name comes first alphabetically. If this event is cancelled, postponed after June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or a champion has not been declared within this timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source will be official information from the NBA: however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Questions

What does the consensus price mean?

It is the price of a Yes contract that pays $1 if the outcome happens. A 14¢ price means traders put the chance near 14%. Where two venues list the same outcome, we blend their last prices, weighting the venue with more trading volume more heavily (neither counts for less than a quarter). When only one outcome can win, each venue’s prices add up to a little over 100% (its margin); the fair chance removes that margin so the outcomes add up to exactly 100%.

How is the payout worked out?

A Yes contract pays $1 if it wins, so at the best ask a $100 stake buys 100 ÷ ask contracts. At 18¢ that is about 555 contracts, paying $556 (5.56x) if Yes happens. Venue fees and price slippage on larger orders are not included.

Why do the venues show different prices?

Each venue has its own traders, fees and order book. Contracts can also settle on slightly different terms, which is why each row lists how closely the rules match.

Is a price gap an arbitrage?

Only when you can buy Yes on one venue below what someone pays for Yes on the other, after fees, and both contracts settle the same way. We show the executable bid and ask so you can check.

How fresh are these prices?

Venue prices refresh every few minutes, and the order book and live quotes stream continuously. Each venue’s card shows when we last observed it.

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