The Prediction Markets

NBA Free Agency: Fred VanVleet Next Team

Closes
Nov 1, 2026, in 9 days
Traded
$9K
Venues
Polymarket
Prices updated
just now
Share

What the markets expect

Houston Rockets 90.2%

Next is Sacramento Kings at 1.9%. Only Polymarket lists this market, so there is no second price to compare.

Houston Rockets 90.2%Sacramento Kings 1.9%Toronto Raptors 1.7%LA Clippers 1.4%Dallas Mavericks 1%19 others 3.8%

Odds by venue

Fair chance strips out each venue’s built-in margin (its prices add up to more than 100%), then blends the venues by how much has traded there, so the outcomes add up to 100%. Best Yes price is the cheapest ask across venues, and the payout is what a winning $100 stake returns before fees. Open a row for each venue’s contract name, bid and ask, and how closely their rules match.

Prices come from our regular polls of each venue. Ages are as of when this page was built.

  • Polymarket
Houston Rockets
90.2%
Polymarket 96.6%(90.2% fair)polled, 23s agoBest Yes 99.8¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $100 (1.00x)
Polymarket
Contract
Houston Rockets
Last price
96.6%
Fair, margin removed
90.2%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
99.8¢
Sell Yes
93.4¢
$100 on Yes pays
$100 (1.00x)
Volume
$2K
Trade this on Polymarket
Sacramento Kings
1.9%
Polymarket 2%polled, 23s agoBest Yes 4¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)
Polymarket
Contract
Sacramento Kings
Last price
2%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
4¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$2,500 (25.0x)
Volume
$477
Trade this on Polymarket
Toronto Raptors
1.7%
Polymarket 1.9%polled, 23s agoBest Yes 3.7¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $2,703 (27.0x)
Polymarket
Contract
Toronto Raptors
Last price
1.9%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
3.7¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$2,703 (27.0x)
Volume
$297
Trade this on Polymarket
LA Clippers
1.4%
Polymarket 1.5%polled, 23s agoBest Yes 3¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $3,333 (33.3x)
Polymarket
Contract
LA Clippers
Last price
1.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
3¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$3,333 (33.3x)
Volume
$234
Trade this on Polymarket
Dallas Mavericks
1%
Polymarket 1.1%polled, 23s agoBest Yes 2.1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $4,762 (47.6x)
Polymarket
Contract
Dallas Mavericks
Last price
1.1%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
2.1¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$4,762 (47.6x)
Volume
$263
Trade this on Polymarket
New York Knicks
0.8%
Polymarket 0.9%polled, 23s agoBest Yes 1.8¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $5,556 (55.6x)
Polymarket
Contract
New York Knicks
Last price
0.9%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
1.8¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$5,556 (55.6x)
Volume
$267
Trade this on Polymarket
Chicago Bulls
0.6%
Polymarket 0.6%polled, 23s agoBest Yes 1.2¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $8,333 (83.3x)
Polymarket
Contract
Chicago Bulls
Last price
0.6%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
1.2¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$8,333 (83.3x)
Volume
$273
Trade this on Polymarket
Miami Heat
0.6%
Polymarket 0.6%polled, 23s agoBest Yes 1.2¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $8,333 (83.3x)
Polymarket
Contract
Miami Heat
Last price
0.6%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
1.2¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$8,333 (83.3x)
Volume
$395
Trade this on Polymarket
Atlanta Hawks
0.2%
Polymarket 0.2%polled, 23s agoBest Yes 0.4¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $25,000 (250x)
Polymarket
Contract
Atlanta Hawks
Last price
0.2%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
0.4¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$25,000 (250x)
Volume
$493
Trade this on Polymarket
Washington Wizards
0.2%
Polymarket 0.2%polled, 23s agoBest Yes 0.4¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $25,000 (250x)
Polymarket
Contract
Washington Wizards
Last price
0.2%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
0.4¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$25,000 (250x)
Volume
$481
Trade this on Polymarket
Show 20 more outcomes
Boston Celtics
0.1%
Polymarket 0.1%polled, 23s agoBest Yes 0.2¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $50,000 (500x)
Polymarket
Contract
Boston Celtics
Last price
0.1%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
0.2¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$50,000 (500x)
Volume
$83
Trade this on Polymarket
Brooklyn Nets
0.1%
Polymarket 0.1%polled, 23s agoBest Yes 0.1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $100,000 (1000x)
Polymarket
Contract
Brooklyn Nets
Last price
0.1%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
0.1¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$100,000 (1000x)
Volume
$227
Trade this on Polymarket
Charlotte Hornets
0.1%
Polymarket 0.1%polled, 23s agoBest Yes 0.2¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $50,000 (500x)
Polymarket
Contract
Charlotte Hornets
Last price
0.1%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
0.2¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$50,000 (500x)
Volume
$245
Trade this on Polymarket
Cleveland Cavaliers
0.1%
Polymarket 0.1%polled, 23s agoBest Yes 0.2¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $50,000 (500x)
Polymarket
Contract
Cleveland Cavaliers
Last price
0.1%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
0.2¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$50,000 (500x)
Volume
$334
Trade this on Polymarket
Denver Nuggets
0.1%
Polymarket 0.1%polled, 23s agoBest Yes 0.1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $100,000 (1000x)
Polymarket
Contract
Denver Nuggets
Last price
0.1%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
0.1¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$100,000 (1000x)
Volume
$186
Trade this on Polymarket
Detroit Pistons
0.1%
Polymarket 0.1%polled, 23s agoBest Yes 0.2¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $50,000 (500x)
Polymarket
Contract
Detroit Pistons
Last price
0.1%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
0.2¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$50,000 (500x)
Volume
$188
Trade this on Polymarket
Golden State Warriors
0.1%
Polymarket 0.1%polled, 23s agoBest Yes 0.2¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $50,000 (500x)
Polymarket
Contract
Golden State Warriors
Last price
0.1%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
0.2¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$50,000 (500x)
Volume
$283
Trade this on Polymarket
Minnesota Timberwolves
0.1%
Polymarket 0.1%polled, 23s agoBest Yes 0.2¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $50,000 (500x)
Polymarket
Contract
Minnesota Timberwolves
Last price
0.1%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
0.2¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$50,000 (500x)
Volume
$244
Trade this on Polymarket
New Orleans Pelicans
0.1%
Polymarket 0.1%polled, 23s agoBest Yes 0.2¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $50,000 (500x)
Polymarket
Contract
New Orleans Pelicans
Last price
0.1%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
0.2¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$50,000 (500x)
Volume
$83
Trade this on Polymarket
Oklahoma City Thunder
0.1%
Polymarket 0.1%polled, 23s agoBest Yes 0.2¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $50,000 (500x)
Polymarket
Contract
Oklahoma City Thunder
Last price
0.1%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
0.2¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$50,000 (500x)
Volume
$55
Trade this on Polymarket
Philadelphia 76ers
0.1%
Polymarket 0.1%polled, 23s agoBest Yes 0.2¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $50,000 (500x)
Polymarket
Contract
Philadelphia 76ers
Last price
0.1%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
0.2¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$50,000 (500x)
Volume
$296
Trade this on Polymarket
Phoenix Suns
0.1%
Polymarket 0.1%polled, 23s agoBest Yes 0.2¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $50,000 (500x)
Polymarket
Contract
Phoenix Suns
Last price
0.1%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
0.2¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$50,000 (500x)
Volume
$55
Trade this on Polymarket
Portland Trail Blazers
0.1%
Polymarket 0.1%polled, 23s agoBest Yes 0.2¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $50,000 (500x)
Polymarket
Contract
Portland Trail Blazers
Last price
0.1%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
0.2¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$50,000 (500x)
Volume
$245
Trade this on Polymarket
San Antonio Spurs
0.1%
Polymarket 0.1%polled, 23s agoBest Yes 0.2¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $50,000 (500x)
Polymarket
Contract
San Antonio Spurs
Last price
0.1%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
0.2¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$50,000 (500x)
Volume
$230
Trade this on Polymarket
Indiana Pacers
0%
Polymarket 0.1%polled, 23s agoBest Yes 0.1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $100,000 (1000x)
Polymarket
Contract
Indiana Pacers
Last price
0.1%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
0.1¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$100,000 (1000x)
Volume
$186
Trade this on Polymarket
Los Angeles Lakers
0%
Polymarket 0.1%polled, 23s agoBest Yes 0.1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $100,000 (1000x)
Polymarket
Contract
Los Angeles Lakers
Last price
0.1%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
0.1¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$100,000 (1000x)
Volume
$200
Trade this on Polymarket
Memphis Grizzlies
0%
Polymarket 0.1%polled, 23s agoBest Yes 0.1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $100,000 (1000x)
Polymarket
Contract
Memphis Grizzlies
Last price
0.1%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
0.1¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$100,000 (1000x)
Volume
$254
Trade this on Polymarket
Milwaukee Bucks
0%
Polymarket 0.1%polled, 23s agoBest Yes 0.1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $100,000 (1000x)
Polymarket
Contract
Milwaukee Bucks
Last price
0.1%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
0.1¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$100,000 (1000x)
Volume
$236
Trade this on Polymarket
Orlando Magic
0%
Polymarket 0.1%polled, 23s agoBest Yes 0.1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $100,000 (1000x)
Polymarket
Contract
Orlando Magic
Last price
0.1%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
0.1¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$100,000 (1000x)
Volume
$225
Trade this on Polymarket
Utah Jazz
0%
Polymarket 0.1%polled, 23s agoBest Yes 0.1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $100,000 (1000x)
Polymarket
Contract
Utah Jazz
Last price
0.1%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
0.1¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$100,000 (1000x)
Volume
$75
Trade this on Polymarket

Who resolves this market

Polymarket
Polymarket resolves via:
UMA optimistic oracle

How the odds have moved

The top 3 outcomes on both venues, with the consensus between them. Hover for exact values.

  • Houston Rockets
  • Sacramento Kings
  • Toronto Raptors

Order books

Each venue’s resting orders for the selected outcome’s Yes contract, side by side. Top of book streams live; depth refreshes every 15 seconds.

Polymarket

Open on Polymarket ↗

Top of book

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—
Best ask
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Depth · top 8 levels

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Recent trades

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What your stake buys

Enter a stake to see where it buys the most after fees, using each venue’s live order book.

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Buy

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Buys at the asks resting now (taker orders), cheapest after fees first, from order-book snapshots up to 15 seconds old. Fees: Kalshi 0.07 × price × (1 − price) per share, rounded up to the cent; Polymarket 0.05 × price × (1 − price) per share (sports rate). Fee calculator. Estimates only, not advice.

About this market

Live prediction market odds for "NBA Free Agency: Fred VanVleet Next Team". Houston Rockets leads at 90.2%. Next is Sacramento Kings at 1.9%. $9K has traded across 30 outcomes on Polymarket. The market is expected to resolve by Nov 1, 2026.

This market will resolve to the next team Fred VanVleet officially joins by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. If Fred VanVleet does not officially join a new team by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". If Fred VanVleet joins a team that is not listed, this market will resolve to "Other". If Fred VanVleet is released, retires, or is not under contract with any professional team by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". An official signing announcement prior to the market's close date will immediately resolve this market to the corresponding option. The primary resolution sources for this market will be official announcements from the NBA and/or the acquiring team. A consensus of credible media reporting may also be used to resolve the market.

Questions

What does the consensus price mean?

It is the price of a Yes contract that pays $1 if the outcome happens. A 14¢ price means traders put the chance near 14%. Where two venues list the same outcome, we blend their last prices, weighting the venue with more trading volume more heavily (neither counts for less than a quarter). When only one outcome can win, each venue’s prices add up to a little over 100% (its margin); the fair chance removes that margin so the outcomes add up to exactly 100%.

How is the payout worked out?

A Yes contract pays $1 if it wins, so at the best ask a $100 stake buys 100 ÷ ask contracts. At 18¢ that is about 555 contracts, paying $556 (5.56x) if Yes happens. Venue fees and price slippage on larger orders are not included.

Why do the venues show different prices?

Each venue has its own traders, fees and order book. Contracts can also settle on slightly different terms, which is why each row lists how closely the rules match.

Is a price gap an arbitrage?

Only when you can buy Yes on one venue below what someone pays for Yes on the other, after fees, and both contracts settle the same way. We show the executable bid and ask so you can check.

How fresh are these prices?

Venue prices refresh every few minutes, and the order book and live quotes stream continuously. Each venue’s card shows when we last observed it.

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