The Prediction Markets

NBA Playoffs: Team to advance to Western Conference Finals

Closes
May 25, 2027, in 7 months
Traded
$15K
Venues
Polymarket
Prices updated
just now
Share

What the markets expect

Oklahoma City Thunder 72%

Next is San Antonio Spurs at 68%. Only Polymarket lists this market, so there is no second price to compare.

Odds by venue

Consensus blends each venue’s last price, weighted by how much has traded there. Best Yes price is the cheapest ask across venues, and the payout is what a winning $100 stake returns before fees. Open a row for each venue’s contract name, bid and ask, and how closely their rules match.

Prices come from our regular polls of each venue. Ages are as of when this page was built.

  • Polymarket
Oklahoma City Thunder
72%
Polymarket 72%polled, 37s agoBest Yes 90¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $111 (1.11x)
Polymarket
Contract
Oklahoma City Thunder
Last price
72%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
90¢
Sell Yes
54¢
$100 on Yes pays
$111 (1.11x)
Volume
$752
Trade this on Polymarket
San Antonio Spurs
68%
Polymarket 68%polled, 37s agoBest Yes 72¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $139 (1.39x)
Polymarket
Contract
San Antonio Spurs
Last price
68%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
72¢
Sell Yes
64¢
$100 on Yes pays
$139 (1.39x)
Volume
$447
Trade this on Polymarket
Minnesota Timberwolves
33%
Polymarket 33%polled, 37s agoBest Yes 45¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $222 (2.22x)
Polymarket
Contract
Minnesota Timberwolves
Last price
33%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
45¢
Sell Yes
21¢
$100 on Yes pays
$222 (2.22x)
Volume
$1K
Trade this on Polymarket
Houston Rockets
24.5%
Polymarket 24.5%polled, 37s agoBest Yes 37¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $270 (2.70x)
Polymarket
Contract
Houston Rockets
Last price
24.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
37¢
Sell Yes
12¢
$100 on Yes pays
$270 (2.70x)
Volume
$463
Trade this on Polymarket
Los Angeles Lakers
21%
Polymarket 21%polled, 37s agoBest Yes 37¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $270 (2.70x)
Polymarket
Contract
Los Angeles Lakers
Last price
21%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
37¢
Sell Yes
5¢
$100 on Yes pays
$270 (2.70x)
Volume
$40
Trade this on Polymarket
Denver Nuggets
15%
Polymarket 15%polled, 37s agoBest Yes 18¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $556 (5.56x)
Polymarket
Contract
Denver Nuggets
Last price
15%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
18¢
Sell Yes
12¢
$100 on Yes pays
$556 (5.56x)
Volume
$58
Trade this on Polymarket
Portland Trail Blazers
15%
Polymarket 15%polled, 37s agoBest Yes 27.7¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $361 (3.61x)
Polymarket
Contract
Portland Trail Blazers
Last price
15%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
27.7¢
Sell Yes
2.2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$361 (3.61x)
Volume
$2K
Trade this on Polymarket
Phoenix Suns
6.9%
Polymarket 6.9%polled, 37s agoBest Yes 13¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $769 (7.69x)
Polymarket
Contract
Phoenix Suns
Last price
6.9%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
13¢
Sell Yes
0.8¢
$100 on Yes pays
$769 (7.69x)
Volume
$425
Trade this on Polymarket
LA Clippers
6%
Polymarket 6%polled, 37s agoBest Yes 11.3¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $885 (8.85x)
Polymarket
Contract
LA Clippers
Last price
6%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
11.3¢
Sell Yes
0.6¢
$100 on Yes pays
$885 (8.85x)
Volume
$2K
Trade this on Polymarket
Golden State Warriors
5%
Polymarket 5%polled, 37s agoBest Yes 8¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,250 (12.5x)
Polymarket
Contract
Golden State Warriors
Last price
5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
8¢
Sell Yes
2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,250 (12.5x)
Volume
$51
Trade this on Polymarket
Show 5 more outcomes
Dallas Mavericks
4%
Polymarket 4%polled, 37s agoBest Yes 5.5¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,818 (18.2x)
Polymarket
Contract
Dallas Mavericks
Last price
4%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
5.5¢
Sell Yes
2.4¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,818 (18.2x)
Volume
$2K
Trade this on Polymarket
Utah Jazz
3.1%
Polymarket 3.1%polled, 37s agoBest Yes 5.7¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,754 (17.5x)
Polymarket
Contract
Utah Jazz
Last price
3.1%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
5.7¢
Sell Yes
0.4¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,754 (17.5x)
Volume
$189
Trade this on Polymarket
New Orleans Pelicans
2.9%
Polymarket 2.9%polled, 37s agoBest Yes 4.6¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $2,174 (21.7x)
Polymarket
Contract
New Orleans Pelicans
Last price
2.9%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
4.6¢
Sell Yes
1.1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$2,174 (21.7x)
Volume
$647
Trade this on Polymarket
Sacramento Kings
2.4%
Polymarket 2.4%polled, 37s agoBest Yes 4.1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $2,439 (24.4x)
Polymarket
Contract
Sacramento Kings
Last price
2.4%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
4.1¢
Sell Yes
0.7¢
$100 on Yes pays
$2,439 (24.4x)
Volume
$2K
Trade this on Polymarket
Memphis Grizzlies
2.4%
Polymarket 2.4%polled, 37s agoBest Yes 4¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)
Polymarket
Contract
Memphis Grizzlies
Last price
2.4%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
4¢
Sell Yes
0.7¢
$100 on Yes pays
$2,500 (25.0x)
Volume
$3K
Trade this on Polymarket

Who resolves this market

Polymarket
Polymarket resolves via:
UMA optimistic oracle, source: nba.com

How the odds have moved

The top 3 outcomes on both venues, with the consensus between them. Hover for exact values.

  • Oklahoma City Thunder
  • San Antonio Spurs
  • Minnesota Timberwolves

Order books

Each venue’s resting orders for the selected outcome’s Yes contract, side by side. Top of book streams live; depth refreshes every 15 seconds.

Polymarket

Open on Polymarket ↗

Top of book

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Best bid
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Best ask
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Depth · top 8 levels

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Recent trades

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What your stake buys

Enter a stake to see where it buys the most after fees, using each venue’s live order book.

$
Buy

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Buys at the asks resting now (taker orders), cheapest after fees first, from order-book snapshots up to 15 seconds old. Fees: Kalshi 0.07 × price × (1 − price) per share, rounded up to the cent; Polymarket 0.05 × price × (1 − price) per share (sports rate). Fee calculator. Estimates only, not advice.

About this market

Live prediction market odds for "NBA Playoffs: Team to advance to Western Conference Finals". Oklahoma City Thunder leads at 72%. Next is San Antonio Spurs at 68%. $15K has traded across 15 outcomes on Polymarket. The market is expected to resolve by May 25, 2027.

This market will resolve “Yes” if the listed team reaches the Western Conference Finals of the 2027 NBA Playoffs. If at any point it becomes impossible for the listed team to advance to the Western Conference Finals of the 2027 NBA Playoffs (e.g. they are mathematically eliminated), the associated market will resolve to "No". If the 2027 NBA Playoffs are cancelled, postponed after June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET or the Western Conference Finals matchups have not been declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from the NBA (https://www.nba.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Questions

What does the consensus price mean?

It is the price of a Yes contract that pays $1 if the outcome happens. A 14¢ price means traders put the chance near 14%. Where two venues list the same outcome, we blend their last prices, weighting the venue with more trading volume more heavily (neither counts for less than a quarter). When only one outcome can win, each venue’s prices add up to a little over 100% (its margin); the fair chance removes that margin so the outcomes add up to exactly 100%.

How is the payout worked out?

A Yes contract pays $1 if it wins, so at the best ask a $100 stake buys 100 ÷ ask contracts. At 18¢ that is about 555 contracts, paying $556 (5.56x) if Yes happens. Venue fees and price slippage on larger orders are not included.

Why do the venues show different prices?

Each venue has its own traders, fees and order book. Contracts can also settle on slightly different terms, which is why each row lists how closely the rules match.

Is a price gap an arbitrage?

Only when you can buy Yes on one venue below what someone pays for Yes on the other, after fees, and both contracts settle the same way. We show the executable bid and ask so you can check.

How fresh are these prices?

Venue prices refresh every few minutes, and the order book and live quotes stream continuously. Each venue’s card shows when we last observed it.

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