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What the markets expect
Oklahoma City Thunder 74.5%
Next is Minnesota Timberwolves at 70%. Only Polymarket lists this market, so there is no second price to compare.
Odds by venue
Consensus blends each venue’s last price, weighted by how much has traded there. Best Yes price is the cheapest ask across venues, and the payout is what a winning $100 stake returns before fees. Open a row for each venue’s contract name, bid and ask, and how closely their rules match.
Prices come from our regular polls of each venue, the oldest 1 min ago. Ages are as of when this page was built.
- Polymarket
Outcome
Consensus
Venue prices on a 0–100% scale
Polymarket
Best Yes price
Oklahoma City Thunder74.5%74.5%60¢ bid, 89¢ askpolled, 1 min ago89¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $112 (1.12x)Oklahoma City Thunder74.5%Polymarket 74.5%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 89¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $112 (1.12x)
Oklahoma City Thunder
74.5%
74.5%
60¢ bid, 89¢ ask
polled, 1 min ago
89¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $112 (1.12x)
Oklahoma City Thunder
74.5%
Polymarket 74.5%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 89¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $112 (1.12x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Oklahoma City Thunder
- Last price
- 74.5%
- As of
- Polled 1 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 89¢
- Sell Yes
- 60¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $112 (1.12x)
- Volume
- $251
Minnesota Timberwolves70%70%42¢ bid, 98¢ askpolled, 1 min ago98¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $102 (1.02x)Minnesota Timberwolves70%Polymarket 70%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 98¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $102 (1.02x)
Minnesota Timberwolves
70%
70%
42¢ bid, 98¢ ask
polled, 1 min ago
98¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $102 (1.02x)
Minnesota Timberwolves
70%
Polymarket 70%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 98¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $102 (1.02x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Minnesota Timberwolves
- Last price
- 70%
- As of
- Polled 1 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 98¢
- Sell Yes
- 42¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $102 (1.02x)
- Volume
- $20
Houston Rockets59%59%40¢ bid, 78¢ askpolled, 1 min ago78¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $128 (1.28x)Houston Rockets59%Polymarket 59%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 78¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $128 (1.28x)
Houston Rockets
59%
59%
40¢ bid, 78¢ ask
polled, 1 min ago
78¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $128 (1.28x)
Houston Rockets
59%
Polymarket 59%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 78¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $128 (1.28x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Houston Rockets
- Last price
- 59%
- As of
- Polled 1 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 78¢
- Sell Yes
- 40¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $128 (1.28x)
- Volume
- $3K
San Antonio Spurs57.5%57.5%35¢ bid, 80¢ askpolled, 1 min ago80¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $125 (1.25x)San Antonio Spurs57.5%Polymarket 57.5%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 80¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $125 (1.25x)
San Antonio Spurs
57.5%
57.5%
35¢ bid, 80¢ ask
polled, 1 min ago
80¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $125 (1.25x)
San Antonio Spurs
57.5%
Polymarket 57.5%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 80¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $125 (1.25x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- San Antonio Spurs
- Last price
- 57.5%
- As of
- Polled 1 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 80¢
- Sell Yes
- 35¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $125 (1.25x)
- Volume
- $480
LA Clippers50%50%2¢ bid, 98¢ askpolled, 1 min ago98¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $102 (1.02x)LA Clippers50%Polymarket 50%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 98¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $102 (1.02x)
LA Clippers
50%
50%
2¢ bid, 98¢ ask
polled, 1 min ago
98¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $102 (1.02x)
LA Clippers
50%
Polymarket 50%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 98¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $102 (1.02x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- LA Clippers
- Last price
- 50%
- As of
- Polled 1 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 98¢
- Sell Yes
- 2¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $102 (1.02x)
- Volume
- $40
Los Angeles Lakers50%50%2¢ bid, 98¢ askpolled, 1 min ago98¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $102 (1.02x)Los Angeles Lakers50%Polymarket 50%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 98¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $102 (1.02x)
Los Angeles Lakers
50%
50%
2¢ bid, 98¢ ask
polled, 1 min ago
98¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $102 (1.02x)
Los Angeles Lakers
50%
Polymarket 50%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 98¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $102 (1.02x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Los Angeles Lakers
- Last price
- 50%
- As of
- Polled 1 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 98¢
- Sell Yes
- 2¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $102 (1.02x)
- Volume
- $180
Portland Trail Blazers50%50%2¢ bid, 98¢ askpolled, 1 min ago98¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $102 (1.02x)Portland Trail Blazers50%Polymarket 50%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 98¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $102 (1.02x)
Portland Trail Blazers
50%
50%
2¢ bid, 98¢ ask
polled, 1 min ago
98¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $102 (1.02x)
Portland Trail Blazers
50%
Polymarket 50%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 98¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $102 (1.02x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Portland Trail Blazers
- Last price
- 50%
- As of
- Polled 1 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 98¢
- Sell Yes
- 2¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $102 (1.02x)
Denver Nuggets41.5%41.5%39¢ bid, 44¢ askpolled, 1 min ago44¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $227 (2.27x)Denver Nuggets41.5%Polymarket 41.5%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 44¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $227 (2.27x)
Denver Nuggets
41.5%
41.5%
39¢ bid, 44¢ ask
polled, 1 min ago
44¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $227 (2.27x)
Denver Nuggets
41.5%
Polymarket 41.5%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 44¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $227 (2.27x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Denver Nuggets
- Last price
- 41.5%
- As of
- Polled 1 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 44¢
- Sell Yes
- 39¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $227 (2.27x)
- Volume
- $2K
Golden State Warriors28%28%2¢ bid, 54¢ askpolled, 1 min ago54¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $185 (1.85x)Golden State Warriors28%Polymarket 28%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 54¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $185 (1.85x)
Golden State Warriors
28%
28%
2¢ bid, 54¢ ask
polled, 1 min ago
54¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $185 (1.85x)
Golden State Warriors
28%
Polymarket 28%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 54¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $185 (1.85x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Golden State Warriors
- Last price
- 28%
- As of
- Polled 1 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 54¢
- Sell Yes
- 2¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $185 (1.85x)
- Volume
- $355
Memphis Grizzlies25.9%25.9%1¢ bid, 50.8¢ askpolled, 1 min ago50.8¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $197 (1.97x)Memphis Grizzlies25.9%Polymarket 25.9%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 50.8¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $197 (1.97x)
Memphis Grizzlies
25.9%
25.9%
1¢ bid, 50.8¢ ask
polled, 1 min ago
50.8¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $197 (1.97x)
Memphis Grizzlies
25.9%
Polymarket 25.9%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 50.8¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $197 (1.97x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Memphis Grizzlies
- Last price
- 25.9%
- As of
- Polled 1 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 50.8¢
- Sell Yes
- 1¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $197 (1.97x)
- Volume
- $3K
Show 5 more outcomesHide 5 outcomes
Phoenix Suns8%8%2¢ bid, 14¢ askpolled, 1 min ago14¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $714 (7.14x)Phoenix Suns8%Polymarket 8%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 14¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $714 (7.14x)
Phoenix Suns
8%
8%
2¢ bid, 14¢ ask
polled, 1 min ago
14¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $714 (7.14x)
Phoenix Suns
8%
Polymarket 8%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 14¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $714 (7.14x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Phoenix Suns
- Last price
- 8%
- As of
- Polled 1 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 14¢
- Sell Yes
- 2¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $714 (7.14x)
- Volume
- $540
Dallas Mavericks7.5%7.5%2¢ bid, 13¢ askpolled, 1 min ago13¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $769 (7.69x)Dallas Mavericks7.5%Polymarket 7.5%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 13¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $769 (7.69x)
Dallas Mavericks
7.5%
7.5%
2¢ bid, 13¢ ask
polled, 1 min ago
13¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $769 (7.69x)
Dallas Mavericks
7.5%
Polymarket 7.5%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 13¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $769 (7.69x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Dallas Mavericks
- Last price
- 7.5%
- As of
- Polled 1 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 13¢
- Sell Yes
- 2¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $769 (7.69x)
- Volume
- $60
Sacramento Kings5.6%5.6%1.1¢ bid, 10¢ askpolled, 1 min ago10¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $1,000 (10.0x)Sacramento Kings5.6%Polymarket 5.6%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 10¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,000 (10.0x)
Sacramento Kings
5.6%
5.6%
1.1¢ bid, 10¢ ask
polled, 1 min ago
10¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $1,000 (10.0x)
Sacramento Kings
5.6%
Polymarket 5.6%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 10¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,000 (10.0x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Sacramento Kings
- Last price
- 5.6%
- As of
- Polled 1 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 10¢
- Sell Yes
- 1.1¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,000 (10.0x)
- Volume
- $227
Utah Jazz5.5%5.5%2¢ bid, 9¢ askpolled, 1 min ago9¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $1,111 (11.1x)Utah Jazz5.5%Polymarket 5.5%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 9¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,111 (11.1x)
Utah Jazz
5.5%
5.5%
2¢ bid, 9¢ ask
polled, 1 min ago
9¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $1,111 (11.1x)
Utah Jazz
5.5%
Polymarket 5.5%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 9¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,111 (11.1x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Utah Jazz
- Last price
- 5.5%
- As of
- Polled 1 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 9¢
- Sell Yes
- 2¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,111 (11.1x)
- Volume
- $157
New Orleans Pelicans3.3%3.3%0.7¢ bid, 5.9¢ askpolled, 1 min ago5.9¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $1,695 (16.9x)New Orleans Pelicans3.3%Polymarket 3.3%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 5.9¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,695 (16.9x)
New Orleans Pelicans
3.3%
3.3%
0.7¢ bid, 5.9¢ ask
polled, 1 min ago
5.9¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $1,695 (16.9x)
New Orleans Pelicans
3.3%
Polymarket 3.3%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 5.9¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,695 (16.9x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- New Orleans Pelicans
- Last price
- 3.3%
- As of
- Polled 1 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 5.9¢
- Sell Yes
- 0.7¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,695 (16.9x)
- Volume
- $3K
Who resolves this market
- Polymarket resolves via:
- UMA optimistic oracle, source: nba.com
How the odds have moved
The top 3 outcomes on both venues, with the consensus between them. Hover for exact values.
- Oklahoma City Thunder
- Minnesota Timberwolves
- Houston Rockets
Order books
Each venue’s resting orders for the selected outcome’s Yes contract, side by side. Top of book streams live; depth refreshes every 15 seconds.
What your stake buys
Enter a stake to see where it buys the most after fees, using each venue’s live order book.
$
Buy
Loading both order books…
Buys at the asks resting now (taker orders), cheapest after fees first, from order-book snapshots up to 15 seconds old. Fees: Kalshi 0.07 × price × (1 − price) per share, rounded up to the cent; Polymarket 0.05 × price × (1 − price) per share (sports rate). Fee calculator. Estimates only, not advice.
About this market
Live prediction market odds for "NBA Playoffs: Team to advance to Western Conference Semifinals". Oklahoma City Thunder leads at 74.5%. Next is Minnesota Timberwolves at 70%. $13K has traded across 15 outcomes on Polymarket. The market is expected to resolve by May 5, 2027.
This market will resolve “Yes” if the listed team reaches the Western Conference Semifinals of the 2027 NBA Playoffs. If at any point it becomes impossible for the listed team to advance to the Western Conference Semifinals of the 2027 NBA Playoffs (e.g. they are mathematically eliminated), the associated market will resolve to "No". If the 2027 NBA Playoffs are cancelled, postponed after June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET or the Western Conference Semifinals matchups have not been declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from the NBA (https://www.nba.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Questions
What does the consensus price mean?
It is the price of a Yes contract that pays $1 if the outcome happens. A 14¢ price means traders put the chance near 14%. Where two venues list the same outcome, we blend their last prices, weighting the venue with more trading volume more heavily (neither counts for less than a quarter). When only one outcome can win, each venue’s prices add up to a little over 100% (its margin); the fair chance removes that margin so the outcomes add up to exactly 100%.
How is the payout worked out?
A Yes contract pays $1 if it wins, so at the best ask a $100 stake buys 100 ÷ ask contracts. At 18¢ that is about 555 contracts, paying $556 (5.56x) if Yes happens. Venue fees and price slippage on larger orders are not included.
Why do the venues show different prices?
Each venue has its own traders, fees and order book. Contracts can also settle on slightly different terms, which is why each row lists how closely the rules match.
Is a price gap an arbitrage?
Only when you can buy Yes on one venue below what someone pays for Yes on the other, after fees, and both contracts settle the same way. We show the executable bid and ask so you can check.
How fresh are these prices?
Venue prices refresh every few minutes, and the order book and live quotes stream continuously. Each venue’s card shows when we last observed it.
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