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Trading ended on Apr 12, 2026. The prices below are the last ones before it closed and no longer update. Browse open markets
Odds by venue
Fair chance strips out each venue’s built-in margin (its prices add up to more than 100%), then blends the venues by how much has traded there, so the outcomes add up to 100%. Best Yes price is the cheapest ask across venues, and the payout is what a winning $100 stake returns before fees. Open a row for each venue’s contract name, bid and ask, and how closely their rules match.
Prices come from our regular polls of each venue, the oldest 196 days ago. Ages are as of when this page was built.
- Polymarket
Ausar Thompson80.3%79.5%80.3% fair77.9¢ bid, 81.1¢ askpolled, 4711 h ago81.1¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $123 (1.23x)Ausar Thompson80.3%Polymarket 79.5%(80.3% fair)polled, 4711 h agoBest Yes 81.1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $123 (1.23x)
- Contract
- Ausar Thompson
- Last price
- 79.5%
- Fair, margin removed
- 80.3%
- As of
- Polled 196 d ago
- Buy Yes
- 81.1¢
- Sell Yes
- 77.9¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $123 (1.23x)
- Volume
- $16K
Dyson Daniels10.7%10.6%10¢ bid, 11.2¢ askpolled, 4711 h ago11.2¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $893 (8.93x)Dyson Daniels10.7%Polymarket 10.6%polled, 4711 h agoBest Yes 11.2¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $893 (8.93x)
- Contract
- Dyson Daniels
- Last price
- 10.6%
- As of
- Polled 196 d ago
- Buy Yes
- 11.2¢
- Sell Yes
- 10¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $893 (8.93x)
- Volume
- $227K
Cason Wallace2.6%2.6%1¢ bid, 4.1¢ askpolled, 4711 h ago4.1¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $2,439 (24.4x)Cason Wallace2.6%Polymarket 2.6%polled, 4711 h agoBest Yes 4.1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $2,439 (24.4x)
- Contract
- Cason Wallace
- Last price
- 2.6%
- As of
- Polled 196 d ago
- Buy Yes
- 4.1¢
- Sell Yes
- 1¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $2,439 (24.4x)
- Volume
- $34K
Kawhi Leonard0.8%0.8%0.6¢ bid, 1¢ askpolled, 4711 h ago1¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $10,000 (100x)Kawhi Leonard0.8%Polymarket 0.8%polled, 4711 h agoBest Yes 1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
- Contract
- Kawhi Leonard
- Last price
- 0.8%
- As of
- Polled 196 d ago
- Buy Yes
- 1¢
- Sell Yes
- 0.6¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $10,000 (100x)
- Volume
- $8K
Tyrese Maxey0.6%0.6%0.5¢ bid, 0.6¢ askpolled, 4711 h ago0.6¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $16,667 (167x)Tyrese Maxey0.6%Polymarket 0.6%polled, 4711 h agoBest Yes 0.6¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $16,667 (167x)
- Contract
- Tyrese Maxey
- Last price
- 0.6%
- As of
- Polled 196 d ago
- Buy Yes
- 0.6¢
- Sell Yes
- 0.5¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $16,667 (167x)
- Volume
- $7K
Lonzo Ball0.4%0.4%0.2¢ bid, 0.5¢ askpolled, 4711 h ago0.5¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $20,000 (200x)Lonzo Ball0.4%Polymarket 0.4%polled, 4711 h agoBest Yes 0.5¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $20,000 (200x)
- Contract
- Lonzo Ball
- Last price
- 0.4%
- As of
- Polled 196 d ago
- Buy Yes
- 0.5¢
- Sell Yes
- 0.2¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $20,000 (200x)
- Volume
- $15K
Anthony Davis0.3%0.3%0.2¢ bid, 0.4¢ askpolled, 4711 h ago0.4¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $25,000 (250x)Anthony Davis0.3%Polymarket 0.3%polled, 4711 h agoBest Yes 0.4¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $25,000 (250x)
- Contract
- Anthony Davis
- Last price
- 0.3%
- As of
- Polled 196 d ago
- Buy Yes
- 0.4¢
- Sell Yes
- 0.2¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $25,000 (250x)
- Volume
- $6K
Herbert Jones0.3%0.3%0.2¢ bid, 0.3¢ askpolled, 4711 h ago0.3¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $33,333 (333x)Herbert Jones0.3%Polymarket 0.3%polled, 4711 h agoBest Yes 0.3¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $33,333 (333x)
- Contract
- Herbert Jones
- Last price
- 0.3%
- As of
- Polled 196 d ago
- Buy Yes
- 0.3¢
- Sell Yes
- 0.2¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $33,333 (333x)
- Volume
- $5K
Jalen Williams0.3%0.3%0.2¢ bid, 0.4¢ askpolled, 4711 h ago0.4¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $25,000 (250x)Jalen Williams0.3%Polymarket 0.3%polled, 4711 h agoBest Yes 0.4¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $25,000 (250x)
- Contract
- Jalen Williams
- Last price
- 0.3%
- As of
- Polled 196 d ago
- Buy Yes
- 0.4¢
- Sell Yes
- 0.2¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $25,000 (250x)
- Volume
- $15K
Kris Dunn0.3%0.3%0.2¢ bid, 0.3¢ askpolled, 4711 h ago0.3¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $33,333 (333x)Kris Dunn0.3%Polymarket 0.3%polled, 4711 h agoBest Yes 0.3¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $33,333 (333x)
- Contract
- Kris Dunn
- Last price
- 0.3%
- As of
- Polled 196 d ago
- Buy Yes
- 0.3¢
- Sell Yes
- 0.2¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $33,333 (333x)
- Volume
- $3K
Show 33 more outcomesHide 33 outcomes
Luka Doncic0.3%0.3%0.2¢ bid, 0.4¢ askpolled, 4711 h ago0.4¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $25,000 (250x)Luka Doncic0.3%Polymarket 0.3%polled, 4711 h agoBest Yes 0.4¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $25,000 (250x)
- Contract
- Luka Doncic
- Last price
- 0.3%
- As of
- Polled 196 d ago
- Buy Yes
- 0.4¢
- Sell Yes
- 0.2¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $25,000 (250x)
- Volume
- $4K
Matisse Thybulle0.3%0.3%0.2¢ bid, 0.3¢ askpolled, 4711 h ago0.3¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $33,333 (333x)Matisse Thybulle0.3%Polymarket 0.3%polled, 4711 h agoBest Yes 0.3¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $33,333 (333x)
- Contract
- Matisse Thybulle
- Last price
- 0.3%
- As of
- Polled 196 d ago
- Buy Yes
- 0.3¢
- Sell Yes
- 0.2¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $33,333 (333x)
- Volume
- $5K
OG Anunoby0.3%0.3%0.1¢ bid, 0.4¢ askpolled, 4711 h ago0.4¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $25,000 (250x)OG Anunoby0.3%Polymarket 0.3%polled, 4711 h agoBest Yes 0.4¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $25,000 (250x)
- Contract
- OG Anunoby
- Last price
- 0.3%
- As of
- Polled 196 d ago
- Buy Yes
- 0.4¢
- Sell Yes
- 0.1¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $25,000 (250x)
- Volume
- $3K
Paolo Banchero0.3%0.3%0.2¢ bid, 0.4¢ askpolled, 4711 h ago0.4¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $25,000 (250x)Paolo Banchero0.3%Polymarket 0.3%polled, 4711 h agoBest Yes 0.4¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $25,000 (250x)
- Contract
- Paolo Banchero
- Last price
- 0.3%
- As of
- Polled 196 d ago
- Buy Yes
- 0.4¢
- Sell Yes
- 0.2¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $25,000 (250x)
- Volume
- $7K
Alex Caruso0.2%0.2%0.1¢ bid, 0.3¢ askpolled, 4711 h ago0.3¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $33,333 (333x)Alex Caruso0.2%Polymarket 0.2%polled, 4711 h agoBest Yes 0.3¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $33,333 (333x)
- Contract
- Alex Caruso
- Last price
- 0.2%
- As of
- Polled 196 d ago
- Buy Yes
- 0.3¢
- Sell Yes
- 0.1¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $33,333 (333x)
- Volume
- $5K
De'Aaron Fox0.2%0.2%0.1¢ bid, 0.2¢ askpolled, 4711 h ago0.2¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $50,000 (500x)De'Aaron Fox0.2%Polymarket 0.2%polled, 4711 h agoBest Yes 0.2¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $50,000 (500x)
- Contract
- De'Aaron Fox
- Last price
- 0.2%
- As of
- Polled 196 d ago
- Buy Yes
- 0.2¢
- Sell Yes
- 0.1¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $50,000 (500x)
- Volume
- $43K
Jalen Suggs0.2%0.2%0.1¢ bid, 0.2¢ askpolled, 4711 h ago0.2¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $50,000 (500x)Jalen Suggs0.2%Polymarket 0.2%polled, 4711 h agoBest Yes 0.2¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $50,000 (500x)
- Contract
- Jalen Suggs
- Last price
- 0.2%
- As of
- Polled 196 d ago
- Buy Yes
- 0.2¢
- Sell Yes
- 0.1¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $50,000 (500x)
- Volume
- $6K
Kelly Oubre Jr.0.2%0.2%0.1¢ bid, 0.3¢ askpolled, 4711 h ago0.3¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $33,333 (333x)Kelly Oubre Jr.0.2%Polymarket 0.2%polled, 4711 h agoBest Yes 0.3¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $33,333 (333x)
- Contract
- Kelly Oubre Jr.
- Last price
- 0.2%
- As of
- Polled 196 d ago
- Buy Yes
- 0.3¢
- Sell Yes
- 0.1¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $33,333 (333x)
- Volume
- $25K
Lonzo BallPolymarket: “LaMelo Ball”0.2%0.2%0.1¢ bid, 0.2¢ askpolled, 4711 h ago0.2¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $50,000 (500x)Lonzo Ball0.2%Polymarket 0.2%polled, 4711 h agoBest Yes 0.2¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $50,000 (500x)
- Contract
- LaMelo Ball
- Last price
- 0.2%
- As of
- Polled 196 d ago
- Buy Yes
- 0.2¢
- Sell Yes
- 0.1¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $50,000 (500x)
- Volume
- $4K
Mikal Bridges0.2%0.2%0.1¢ bid, 0.2¢ askpolled, 4711 h ago0.2¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $50,000 (500x)Mikal Bridges0.2%Polymarket 0.2%polled, 4711 h agoBest Yes 0.2¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $50,000 (500x)
- Contract
- Mikal Bridges
- Last price
- 0.2%
- As of
- Polled 196 d ago
- Buy Yes
- 0.2¢
- Sell Yes
- 0.1¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $50,000 (500x)
- Volume
- $17K
Nikola Jokic0.2%0.2%0.1¢ bid, 0.2¢ askpolled, 4711 h ago0.2¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $50,000 (500x)Nikola Jokic0.2%Polymarket 0.2%polled, 4711 h agoBest Yes 0.2¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $50,000 (500x)
- Contract
- Nikola Jokic
- Last price
- 0.2%
- As of
- Polled 196 d ago
- Buy Yes
- 0.2¢
- Sell Yes
- 0.1¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $50,000 (500x)
- Volume
- $39K
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander0.2%0.2%0.1¢ bid, 0.2¢ askpolled, 4711 h ago0.2¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $50,000 (500x)Shai Gilgeous-Alexander0.2%Polymarket 0.2%polled, 4711 h agoBest Yes 0.2¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $50,000 (500x)
- Contract
- Shai Gilgeous-Alexander
- Last price
- 0.2%
- As of
- Polled 196 d ago
- Buy Yes
- 0.2¢
- Sell Yes
- 0.1¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $50,000 (500x)
- Volume
- $36K
Toumani Camara0.2%0.2%0.1¢ bid, 0.2¢ askpolled, 4711 h ago0.2¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $50,000 (500x)Toumani Camara0.2%Polymarket 0.2%polled, 4711 h agoBest Yes 0.2¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $50,000 (500x)
- Contract
- Toumani Camara
- Last price
- 0.2%
- As of
- Polled 196 d ago
- Buy Yes
- 0.2¢
- Sell Yes
- 0.1¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $50,000 (500x)
- Volume
- $16K
Andrew Nembhard0.1%0.1%— bid, 0.1¢ askpolled, 4711 h ago0.1¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $100,000 (1000x)Andrew Nembhard0.1%Polymarket 0.1%polled, 4711 h agoBest Yes 0.1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $100,000 (1000x)
- Contract
- Andrew Nembhard
- Last price
- 0.1%
- As of
- Polled 196 d ago
- Buy Yes
- 0.1¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $100,000 (1000x)
- Volume
- $4K
Anthony Edwards0.1%0.1%— bid, 0.1¢ askpolled, 4711 h ago0.1¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $100,000 (1000x)Anthony Edwards0.1%Polymarket 0.1%polled, 4711 h agoBest Yes 0.1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $100,000 (1000x)
- Contract
- Anthony Edwards
- Last price
- 0.1%
- As of
- Polled 196 d ago
- Buy Yes
- 0.1¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $100,000 (1000x)
- Volume
- $2K
Ausar ThompsonPolymarket: “Amen Thompson”0.1%0.1%— bid, 0.1¢ askpolled, 4711 h ago0.1¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $100,000 (1000x)Ausar Thompson0.1%Polymarket 0.1%polled, 4711 h agoBest Yes 0.1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $100,000 (1000x)
- Contract
- Amen Thompson
- Last price
- 0.1%
- As of
- Polled 196 d ago
- Buy Yes
- 0.1¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $100,000 (1000x)
- Volume
- $5K
Reed Sheppard0.1%0.1%— bid, 0.2¢ askpolled, 4711 h ago0.2¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $50,000 (500x)Reed Sheppard0.1%Polymarket 0.1%polled, 4711 h agoBest Yes 0.2¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $50,000 (500x)
- Contract
- Reed Sheppard
- Last price
- 0.1%
- As of
- Polled 196 d ago
- Buy Yes
- 0.2¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $50,000 (500x)
- Volume
- $7K
Bam Adebayo0%0.1%— bid, 0.1¢ askpolled, 4711 h ago0.1¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $100,000 (1000x)Bam Adebayo0%Polymarket 0.1%polled, 4711 h agoBest Yes 0.1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $100,000 (1000x)
- Contract
- Bam Adebayo
- Last price
- 0.1%
- As of
- Polled 196 d ago
- Buy Yes
- 0.1¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $100,000 (1000x)
- Volume
- $3K
Draymond Green0%0.1%— bid, 0.1¢ askpolled, 4711 h ago0.1¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $100,000 (1000x)Draymond Green0%Polymarket 0.1%polled, 4711 h agoBest Yes 0.1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $100,000 (1000x)
- Contract
- Draymond Green
- Last price
- 0.1%
- As of
- Polled 196 d ago
- Buy Yes
- 0.1¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $100,000 (1000x)
- Volume
- $5K
Franz Wagner0%0.1%— bid, 0.1¢ askpolled, 4711 h ago0.1¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $100,000 (1000x)Franz Wagner0%Polymarket 0.1%polled, 4711 h agoBest Yes 0.1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $100,000 (1000x)
- Contract
- Franz Wagner
- Last price
- 0.1%
- As of
- Polled 196 d ago
- Buy Yes
- 0.1¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $100,000 (1000x)
- Volume
- $2K
Jaden McDaniels0%0.1%— bid, 0.1¢ askpolled, 4711 h ago0.1¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $100,000 (1000x)Jaden McDaniels0%Polymarket 0.1%polled, 4711 h agoBest Yes 0.1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $100,000 (1000x)
- Contract
- Jaden McDaniels
- Last price
- 0.1%
- As of
- Polled 196 d ago
- Buy Yes
- 0.1¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $100,000 (1000x)
- Volume
- $3K
Jaren Jackson Jr.0%0.1%— bid, 0.1¢ askpolled, 4711 h ago0.1¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $100,000 (1000x)Jaren Jackson Jr.0%Polymarket 0.1%polled, 4711 h agoBest Yes 0.1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $100,000 (1000x)
- Contract
- Jaren Jackson Jr.
- Last price
- 0.1%
- As of
- Polled 196 d ago
- Buy Yes
- 0.1¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $100,000 (1000x)
- Volume
- $6K
Jimmy Butler0%0.1%— bid, 0.1¢ askpolled, 4711 h ago0.1¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $100,000 (1000x)Jimmy Butler0%Polymarket 0.1%polled, 4711 h agoBest Yes 0.1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $100,000 (1000x)
- Contract
- Jimmy Butler
- Last price
- 0.1%
- As of
- Polled 196 d ago
- Buy Yes
- 0.1¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $100,000 (1000x)
Jordan Poole0%0.1%— bid, 0.1¢ askpolled, 4711 h ago0.1¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $100,000 (1000x)Jordan Poole0%Polymarket 0.1%polled, 4711 h agoBest Yes 0.1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $100,000 (1000x)
- Contract
- Jordan Poole
- Last price
- 0.1%
- As of
- Polled 196 d ago
- Buy Yes
- 0.1¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $100,000 (1000x)
- Volume
- $3K
Josh Hart0%0.1%— bid, 0.1¢ askpolled, 4711 h ago0.1¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $100,000 (1000x)Josh Hart0%Polymarket 0.1%polled, 4711 h agoBest Yes 0.1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $100,000 (1000x)
- Contract
- Josh Hart
- Last price
- 0.1%
- As of
- Polled 196 d ago
- Buy Yes
- 0.1¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $100,000 (1000x)
- Volume
- $4K
Josh HartPolymarket: “James Harden”0%0.1%— bid, 0.1¢ askpolled, 4711 h ago0.1¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $100,000 (1000x)Josh Hart0%Polymarket 0.1%polled, 4711 h agoBest Yes 0.1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $100,000 (1000x)
- Contract
- James Harden
- Last price
- 0.1%
- As of
- Polled 196 d ago
- Buy Yes
- 0.1¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $100,000 (1000x)
- Volume
- $3K
Keon Ellis0%0.1%— bid, 0.1¢ askpolled, 4711 h ago0.1¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $100,000 (1000x)Keon Ellis0%Polymarket 0.1%polled, 4711 h agoBest Yes 0.1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $100,000 (1000x)
- Contract
- Keon Ellis
- Last price
- 0.1%
- As of
- Polled 196 d ago
- Buy Yes
- 0.1¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $100,000 (1000x)
- Volume
- $3K
Luguentz Dort0%0.1%— bid, 0.1¢ askpolled, 4711 h ago0.1¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $100,000 (1000x)Luguentz Dort0%Polymarket 0.1%polled, 4711 h agoBest Yes 0.1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $100,000 (1000x)
- Contract
- Luguentz Dort
- Last price
- 0.1%
- As of
- Polled 196 d ago
- Buy Yes
- 0.1¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $100,000 (1000x)
- Volume
- $5K
Paul George0%0.1%— bid, 0.1¢ askpolled, 4711 h ago0.1¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $100,000 (1000x)Paul George0%Polymarket 0.1%polled, 4711 h agoBest Yes 0.1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $100,000 (1000x)
- Contract
- Paul George
- Last price
- 0.1%
- As of
- Polled 196 d ago
- Buy Yes
- 0.1¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $100,000 (1000x)
- Volume
- $5K
Scottie Barnes0%0.1%— bid, 0.1¢ askpolled, 4711 h ago0.1¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $100,000 (1000x)Scottie Barnes0%Polymarket 0.1%polled, 4711 h agoBest Yes 0.1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $100,000 (1000x)
- Contract
- Scottie Barnes
- Last price
- 0.1%
- As of
- Polled 196 d ago
- Buy Yes
- 0.1¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $100,000 (1000x)
- Volume
- $4K
T.J. McConnell0%0.1%— bid, 0.1¢ askpolled, 4711 h ago0.1¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $100,000 (1000x)T.J. McConnell0%Polymarket 0.1%polled, 4711 h agoBest Yes 0.1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $100,000 (1000x)
- Contract
- T.J. McConnell
- Last price
- 0.1%
- As of
- Polled 196 d ago
- Buy Yes
- 0.1¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $100,000 (1000x)
- Volume
- $4K
Tari Eason0%0.1%— bid, 0.1¢ askpolled, 4711 h ago0.1¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $100,000 (1000x)Tari Eason0%Polymarket 0.1%polled, 4711 h agoBest Yes 0.1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $100,000 (1000x)
- Contract
- Tari Eason
- Last price
- 0.1%
- As of
- Polled 196 d ago
- Buy Yes
- 0.1¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $100,000 (1000x)
Victor Wembanyama0%0.1%— bid, 0.1¢ askpolled, 4711 h ago0.1¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $100,000 (1000x)Victor Wembanyama0%Polymarket 0.1%polled, 4711 h agoBest Yes 0.1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $100,000 (1000x)
- Contract
- Victor Wembanyama
- Last price
- 0.1%
- As of
- Polled 196 d ago
- Buy Yes
- 0.1¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $100,000 (1000x)
- Volume
- $4K
Who resolves this market
- Polymarket resolves via:

- UMA optimistic oracle, source: nba.com
How the odds have moved
The top 3 outcomes on both venues, with the consensus between them. Hover for exact values.
- Ausar Thompson
- Dyson Daniels
- Cason Wallace
About this market
Final prediction market prices for "NBA Steals Per Game Leader". Ausar Thompson last traded at 80.3%. Next is Dyson Daniels at 10.7%. $619K has traded across 43 outcomes on Polymarket. The market closed on Apr 12, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the player that finishes the 2025–26 NBA regular season with the highest steals per-game average of any qualified player. In the event of a tie for the highest steals per-game average, this market will resolve in favor of the player who appeared in the greater number of games. If the tied players also played the same number of games, the market will resolve in favor of the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically. Qualification for inclusion in official NBA leaderboards (such as minimum games or statistical thresholds) will be determined according to NBA rules and applied exactly as reflected in the official leaderboard. The resolution source will be the NBA (NBA.com/stats).
Questions
What does the consensus price mean?
It is the price of a Yes contract that pays $1 if the outcome happens. A 14¢ price means traders put the chance near 14%. Where two venues list the same outcome, we blend their last prices, weighting the venue with more trading volume more heavily (neither counts for less than a quarter). When only one outcome can win, each venue’s prices add up to a little over 100% (its margin); the fair chance removes that margin so the outcomes add up to exactly 100%.
How is the payout worked out?
A Yes contract pays $1 if it wins, so at the best ask a $100 stake buys 100 ÷ ask contracts. At 18¢ that is about 555 contracts, paying $556 (5.56x) if Yes happens. Venue fees and price slippage on larger orders are not included.
Why do the venues show different prices?
Each venue has its own traders, fees and order book. Contracts can also settle on slightly different terms, which is why each row lists how closely the rules match.
Is a price gap an arbitrage?
Only when you can buy Yes on one venue below what someone pays for Yes on the other, after fees, and both contracts settle the same way. We show the executable bid and ask so you can check.
How fresh are these prices?
Venue prices refresh every few minutes, and the order book and live quotes stream continuously. Each venue’s card shows when we last observed it.
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