The Prediction Markets

NBA: Team to Make Playoffs

Closes
May 16, 2027, in 7 months
Traded
$144K
Venues
Polymarket
Prices updated
1 min ago
Share

What the markets expect

Oklahoma City Thunder 96.6%

Next is San Antonio Spurs at 95.3%. Only Polymarket lists this market, so there is no second price to compare.

Odds by venue

Consensus blends each venue’s last price, weighted by how much has traded there. Best Yes price is the cheapest ask across venues, and the payout is what a winning $100 stake returns before fees. Open a row for each venue’s contract name, bid and ask, and how closely their rules match.

Prices come from our regular polls of each venue, the oldest 1 min ago. Ages are as of when this page was built.

  • Polymarket
Oklahoma City Thunder
96.6%
Polymarket 96.6%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 98.1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $102 (1.02x)
Polymarket
Contract
Oklahoma City Thunder
Last price
96.6%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
98.1¢
Sell Yes
95¢
$100 on Yes pays
$102 (1.02x)
Volume
$47
Trade this on Polymarket
San Antonio Spurs
95.3%
Polymarket 95.3%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 96.8¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $103 (1.03x)
Polymarket
Contract
San Antonio Spurs
Last price
95.3%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
96.8¢
Sell Yes
93.7¢
$100 on Yes pays
$103 (1.03x)
Volume
$309
Trade this on Polymarket
Denver Nuggets
85.5%
Polymarket 85.5%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 86¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $116 (1.16x)
Polymarket
Contract
Denver Nuggets
Last price
85.5%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
86¢
Sell Yes
85¢
$100 on Yes pays
$116 (1.16x)
Volume
$2K
Trade this on Polymarket
New York Knicks
85.5%
Polymarket 85.5%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 87¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $115 (1.15x)
Polymarket
Contract
New York Knicks
Last price
85.5%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
87¢
Sell Yes
84¢
$100 on Yes pays
$115 (1.15x)
Volume
$700
Trade this on Polymarket
Detroit Pistons
85%
Polymarket 85%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 86¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $116 (1.16x)
Polymarket
Contract
Detroit Pistons
Last price
85%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
86¢
Sell Yes
84¢
$100 on Yes pays
$116 (1.16x)
Volume
$8K
Trade this on Polymarket
Minnesota Timberwolves
85%
Polymarket 85%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 86¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $116 (1.16x)
Polymarket
Contract
Minnesota Timberwolves
Last price
85%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
86¢
Sell Yes
84¢
$100 on Yes pays
$116 (1.16x)
Volume
$3K
Trade this on Polymarket
Boston Celtics
82.5%
Polymarket 82.5%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 84¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $119 (1.19x)
Polymarket
Contract
Boston Celtics
Last price
82.5%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
84¢
Sell Yes
81¢
$100 on Yes pays
$119 (1.19x)
Volume
$4K
Trade this on Polymarket
Philadelphia 76ers
82%
Polymarket 82%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 83¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $120 (1.20x)
Polymarket
Contract
Philadelphia 76ers
Last price
82%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
83¢
Sell Yes
81¢
$100 on Yes pays
$120 (1.20x)
Volume
$3K
Trade this on Polymarket
Houston Rockets
80.5%
Polymarket 80.5%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 81¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $123 (1.23x)
Polymarket
Contract
Houston Rockets
Last price
80.5%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
81¢
Sell Yes
80¢
$100 on Yes pays
$123 (1.23x)
Volume
$2K
Trade this on Polymarket
Toronto Raptors
78%
Polymarket 78%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 80¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $125 (1.25x)
Polymarket
Contract
Toronto Raptors
Last price
78%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
80¢
Sell Yes
76¢
$100 on Yes pays
$125 (1.25x)
Volume
$4K
Trade this on Polymarket
Show 20 more outcomes
Los Angeles Lakers
76.5%
Polymarket 76.5%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 79¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $127 (1.27x)
Polymarket
Contract
Los Angeles Lakers
Last price
76.5%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
79¢
Sell Yes
74¢
$100 on Yes pays
$127 (1.27x)
Volume
$3K
Trade this on Polymarket
Cleveland Cavaliers
75%
Polymarket 75%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 76¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $132 (1.32x)
Polymarket
Contract
Cleveland Cavaliers
Last price
75%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
76¢
Sell Yes
74¢
$100 on Yes pays
$132 (1.32x)
Volume
$940
Trade this on Polymarket
Miami Heat
69%
Polymarket 69%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 70¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $143 (1.43x)
Polymarket
Contract
Miami Heat
Last price
69%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
70¢
Sell Yes
68¢
$100 on Yes pays
$143 (1.43x)
Volume
$4K
Trade this on Polymarket
Portland Trail Blazers
67%
Polymarket 67%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 68¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $147 (1.47x)
Polymarket
Contract
Portland Trail Blazers
Last price
67%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
68¢
Sell Yes
66¢
$100 on Yes pays
$147 (1.47x)
Volume
$878
Trade this on Polymarket
Indiana Pacers
65%
Polymarket 65%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 66¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $152 (1.52x)
Polymarket
Contract
Indiana Pacers
Last price
65%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
66¢
Sell Yes
64¢
$100 on Yes pays
$152 (1.52x)
Volume
$5K
Trade this on Polymarket
Atlanta Hawks
62.5%
Polymarket 62.5%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 64¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $156 (1.56x)
Polymarket
Contract
Atlanta Hawks
Last price
62.5%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
64¢
Sell Yes
61¢
$100 on Yes pays
$156 (1.56x)
Volume
$3K
Trade this on Polymarket
Orlando Magic
59%
Polymarket 59%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 63¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $159 (1.59x)
Polymarket
Contract
Orlando Magic
Last price
59%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
63¢
Sell Yes
55¢
$100 on Yes pays
$159 (1.59x)
Volume
$1K
Trade this on Polymarket
Utah Jazz
42.5%
Polymarket 42.5%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 44¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $227 (2.27x)
Polymarket
Contract
Utah Jazz
Last price
42.5%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
44¢
Sell Yes
41¢
$100 on Yes pays
$227 (2.27x)
Volume
$11K
Trade this on Polymarket
Phoenix Suns
41%
Polymarket 41%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 42¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $238 (2.38x)
Polymarket
Contract
Phoenix Suns
Last price
41%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
42¢
Sell Yes
40¢
$100 on Yes pays
$238 (2.38x)
Volume
$8K
Trade this on Polymarket
Charlotte Hornets
35.5%
Polymarket 35.5%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 37¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $270 (2.70x)
Polymarket
Contract
Charlotte Hornets
Last price
35.5%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
37¢
Sell Yes
34¢
$100 on Yes pays
$270 (2.70x)
Volume
$3K
Trade this on Polymarket
Golden State Warriors
33%
Polymarket 33%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 34¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $294 (2.94x)
Polymarket
Contract
Golden State Warriors
Last price
33%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
34¢
Sell Yes
32¢
$100 on Yes pays
$294 (2.94x)
Volume
$13K
Trade this on Polymarket
Dallas Mavericks
32%
Polymarket 32%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 33¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $303 (3.03x)
Polymarket
Contract
Dallas Mavericks
Last price
32%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
33¢
Sell Yes
31¢
$100 on Yes pays
$303 (3.03x)
Volume
$3K
Trade this on Polymarket
Washington Wizards
29%
Polymarket 29%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 30¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $333 (3.33x)
Polymarket
Contract
Washington Wizards
Last price
29%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
30¢
Sell Yes
28¢
$100 on Yes pays
$333 (3.33x)
Volume
$26K
Trade this on Polymarket
Memphis Grizzlies
20.5%
Polymarket 20.5%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 22¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $455 (4.55x)
Polymarket
Contract
Memphis Grizzlies
Last price
20.5%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
22¢
Sell Yes
19¢
$100 on Yes pays
$455 (4.55x)
Volume
$7K
Trade this on Polymarket
LA Clippers
18.5%
Polymarket 18.5%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 19¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $526 (5.26x)
Polymarket
Contract
LA Clippers
Last price
18.5%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
19¢
Sell Yes
18¢
$100 on Yes pays
$526 (5.26x)
Volume
$5K
Trade this on Polymarket
New Orleans Pelicans
16%
Polymarket 16%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 18¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $556 (5.56x)
Polymarket
Contract
New Orleans Pelicans
Last price
16%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
18¢
Sell Yes
14¢
$100 on Yes pays
$556 (5.56x)
Volume
$2K
Trade this on Polymarket
Milwaukee Bucks
9%
Polymarket 9%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 10¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,000 (10.0x)
Polymarket
Contract
Milwaukee Bucks
Last price
9%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
10¢
Sell Yes
8¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,000 (10.0x)
Volume
$7K
Trade this on Polymarket
Chicago Bulls
8.5%
Polymarket 8.5%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 10¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,000 (10.0x)
Polymarket
Contract
Chicago Bulls
Last price
8.5%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
10¢
Sell Yes
7¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,000 (10.0x)
Volume
$4K
Trade this on Polymarket
Brooklyn Nets
4.6%
Polymarket 4.6%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 6.9¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,449 (14.5x)
Polymarket
Contract
Brooklyn Nets
Last price
4.6%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
6.9¢
Sell Yes
2.3¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,449 (14.5x)
Volume
$3K
Trade this on Polymarket
Sacramento Kings
4.6%
Polymarket 4.6%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 5¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)
Polymarket
Contract
Sacramento Kings
Last price
4.6%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
5¢
Sell Yes
4.1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$2,000 (20.0x)
Volume
$5K
Trade this on Polymarket

Who resolves this market

Polymarket
Polymarket resolves via:
UMA optimistic oracle

How the odds have moved

The top 3 outcomes on both venues, with the consensus between them. Hover for exact values.

  • Oklahoma City Thunder
  • San Antonio Spurs
  • Denver Nuggets

Order books

Each venue’s resting orders for the selected outcome’s Yes contract, side by side. Top of book streams live; depth refreshes every 15 seconds.

Top of book

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Best ask
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Depth · top 8 levels

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Recent trades

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What your stake buys

Enter a stake to see where it buys the most after fees, using each venue’s live order book.

$
Buy

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Buys at the asks resting now (taker orders), cheapest after fees first, from order-book snapshots up to 15 seconds old. Fees: Kalshi 0.07 × price × (1 − price) per share, rounded up to the cent; Polymarket 0.05 × price × (1 − price) per share (sports rate). Fee calculator. Estimates only, not advice.

About this market

Live prediction market odds for "NBA: Team to Make Playoffs". Oklahoma City Thunder leads at 96.6%. Next is San Antonio Spurs at 95.3%. $144K has traded across 30 outcomes on Polymarket. The market is expected to resolve by May 16, 2027.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed team clinches a spot in the 2027 NBA Playoffs per the rules of the NBA. Otherwise, the associated market will resolve to "No". If at any point it becomes impossible for the listed team to advance to the 2027 NBA Playoffs (e.g. they are mathematically eliminated), the associated market will resolve to "No". Reaching the Play-In Tournament does not, by itself, qualify a team for the Playoffs and will not resolve this market to "Yes." A team must win its way through the Play-In into the 7-seed or 8-seed to qualify. Losing in the Play-In Tournament (or any associated tiebreaker) resolves this market to "No." If the 2027 NBA Playoffs are cancelled, postponed to begin after May 15, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or the full 16-team playoff field has not been officially confirmed by the NBA within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be official information from the NBA and/or the clinching team; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Questions

What does the consensus price mean?

It is the price of a Yes contract that pays $1 if the outcome happens. A 14¢ price means traders put the chance near 14%. Where two venues list the same outcome, we blend their last prices, weighting the venue with more trading volume more heavily (neither counts for less than a quarter). When only one outcome can win, each venue’s prices add up to a little over 100% (its margin); the fair chance removes that margin so the outcomes add up to exactly 100%.

How is the payout worked out?

A Yes contract pays $1 if it wins, so at the best ask a $100 stake buys 100 ÷ ask contracts. At 18¢ that is about 555 contracts, paying $556 (5.56x) if Yes happens. Venue fees and price slippage on larger orders are not included.

Why do the venues show different prices?

Each venue has its own traders, fees and order book. Contracts can also settle on slightly different terms, which is why each row lists how closely the rules match.

Is a price gap an arbitrage?

Only when you can buy Yes on one venue below what someone pays for Yes on the other, after fees, and both contracts settle the same way. We show the executable bid and ask so you can check.

How fresh are these prices?

Venue prices refresh every few minutes, and the order book and live quotes stream continuously. Each venue’s card shows when we last observed it.

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