The Prediction Markets

NC St. vs Stanford: 1st Half Spread

Closes
Oct 26, 2026, in 2 days
Traded
$1K
Venues
Kalshi
Prices updated
4 min ago
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What the markets expect

NC St. wins by over 2.5 points 60%

Next is NC St. wins by over 3.5 points at 53%. Only Kalshi lists this market, so there is no second price to compare.

Odds by venue

Consensus blends each venue’s last price, weighted by how much has traded there. Best Yes price is the cheapest ask across venues, and the payout is what a winning $100 stake returns before fees. Open a row for each venue’s contract name, bid and ask, and how closely their rules match.

Prices come from our regular polls of each venue, the oldest 4 min ago. Ages are as of when this page was built.

  • Kalshi
NC St. wins by over 2.5 points
60%
Kalshi 60%polled, 4 min agoBest Yes 60¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $167 (1.67x)
Kalshi
Contract
NC St. wins by over 2.5 points
Last price
60%
As of
Polled 4 min ago
Buy Yes
60¢
Sell Yes
58¢
$100 on Yes pays
$167 (1.67x)
Volume
$41
Trade this on Kalshi
NC St. wins by over 3.5 points
53%
Kalshi 53%polled, 4 min agoBest Yes 53¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $189 (1.89x)
Kalshi
Contract
NC St. wins by over 3.5 points
Last price
53%
As of
Polled 4 min ago
Buy Yes
53¢
Sell Yes
52¢
$100 on Yes pays
$189 (1.89x)
Volume
$838
Trade this on Kalshi
NC St. wins by over 4.5 points
46%
Kalshi 46%polled, 4 min agoBest Yes 47¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $213 (2.13x)
Kalshi
Contract
NC St. wins by over 4.5 points
Last price
46%
As of
Polled 4 min ago
Buy Yes
47¢
Sell Yes
46¢
$100 on Yes pays
$213 (2.13x)
Volume
$143
Trade this on Kalshi
NC St. wins by over 6.5 points
44%
Kalshi 44%polled, 4 min agoBest Yes 44¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $227 (2.27x)
Kalshi
Contract
NC St. wins by over 6.5 points
Last price
44%
As of
Polled 4 min ago
Buy Yes
44¢
Sell Yes
43¢
$100 on Yes pays
$227 (2.27x)
Volume
$26
Trade this on Kalshi
NC St. wins by over 7.5 points
36%
Kalshi 36%polled, 4 min agoBest Yes 38¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $263 (2.63x)
Kalshi
Contract
NC St. wins by over 7.5 points
Last price
36%
As of
Polled 4 min ago
Buy Yes
38¢
Sell Yes
34¢
$100 on Yes pays
$263 (2.63x)
Trade this on Kalshi
NC St. wins by over 9.5 points
33%
Kalshi 33%polled, 4 min agoBest Yes 34¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $294 (2.94x)
Kalshi
Contract
NC St. wins by over 9.5 points
Last price
33%
As of
Polled 4 min ago
Buy Yes
34¢
Sell Yes
32¢
$100 on Yes pays
$294 (2.94x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Stanford wins by over 2.5 points
29%
Kalshi 29%polled, 4 min agoBest Yes 31¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $323 (3.23x)
Kalshi
Contract
Stanford wins by over 2.5 points
Last price
29%
As of
Polled 4 min ago
Buy Yes
31¢
Sell Yes
27¢
$100 on Yes pays
$323 (3.23x)
Trade this on Kalshi
NC St. wins by over 10.5 points
26.5%
Kalshi 26.5%polled, 4 min agoBest Yes 29¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $345 (3.45x)
Kalshi
Contract
NC St. wins by over 10.5 points
Last price
26.5%
As of
Polled 4 min ago
Buy Yes
29¢
Sell Yes
24¢
$100 on Yes pays
$345 (3.45x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Stanford wins by over 3.5 points
24.5%
Kalshi 24.5%polled, 4 min agoBest Yes 27¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $370 (3.70x)
Kalshi
Contract
Stanford wins by over 3.5 points
Last price
24.5%
As of
Polled 4 min ago
Buy Yes
27¢
Sell Yes
22¢
$100 on Yes pays
$370 (3.70x)
Trade this on Kalshi
NC St. wins by over 13.5 points
21%
Kalshi 21%polled, 4 min agoBest Yes 23¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $435 (4.35x)
Kalshi
Contract
NC St. wins by over 13.5 points
Last price
21%
As of
Polled 4 min ago
Buy Yes
23¢
Sell Yes
19¢
$100 on Yes pays
$435 (4.35x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Show 11 more outcomes
Stanford wins by over 4.5 points
21%
Kalshi 21%polled, 4 min agoBest Yes 23¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $435 (4.35x)
Kalshi
Contract
Stanford wins by over 4.5 points
Last price
21%
As of
Polled 4 min ago
Buy Yes
23¢
Sell Yes
19¢
$100 on Yes pays
$435 (4.35x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Stanford wins by over 6.5 points
19%
Kalshi 19%polled, 4 min agoBest Yes 21¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $476 (4.76x)
Kalshi
Contract
Stanford wins by over 6.5 points
Last price
19%
As of
Polled 4 min ago
Buy Yes
21¢
Sell Yes
17¢
$100 on Yes pays
$476 (4.76x)
Trade this on Kalshi
NC St. wins by over 14.5 points
16.5%
Kalshi 16.5%polled, 4 min agoBest Yes 19¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $526 (5.26x)
Kalshi
Contract
NC St. wins by over 14.5 points
Last price
16.5%
As of
Polled 4 min ago
Buy Yes
19¢
Sell Yes
14¢
$100 on Yes pays
$526 (5.26x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Stanford wins by over 7.5 points
14%
Kalshi 14%polled, 4 min agoBest Yes 16¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $625 (6.25x)
Kalshi
Contract
Stanford wins by over 7.5 points
Last price
14%
As of
Polled 4 min ago
Buy Yes
16¢
Sell Yes
12¢
$100 on Yes pays
$625 (6.25x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Stanford wins by over 9.5 points
12.5%
Kalshi 12.5%polled, 4 min agoBest Yes 15¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $667 (6.67x)
Kalshi
Contract
Stanford wins by over 9.5 points
Last price
12.5%
As of
Polled 4 min ago
Buy Yes
15¢
Sell Yes
10¢
$100 on Yes pays
$667 (6.67x)
Trade this on Kalshi
NC St. wins by over 17.5 points
12%
Kalshi 12%polled, 4 min agoBest Yes 13¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $769 (7.69x)
Kalshi
Contract
NC St. wins by over 17.5 points
Last price
12%
As of
Polled 4 min ago
Buy Yes
13¢
Sell Yes
12¢
$100 on Yes pays
$769 (7.69x)
Volume
$7
Trade this on Kalshi
NC St. wins by over 20.5 points
11%
Kalshi 11%polled, 4 min agoBest Yes 11¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $909 (9.09x)
Kalshi
Contract
NC St. wins by over 20.5 points
Last price
11%
As of
Polled 4 min ago
Buy Yes
11¢
Sell Yes
7¢
$100 on Yes pays
$909 (9.09x)
Volume
$7
Trade this on Kalshi
Stanford wins by over 10.5 points
10%
Kalshi 10%polled, 4 min agoBest Yes 12¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $833 (8.33x)
Kalshi
Contract
Stanford wins by over 10.5 points
Last price
10%
As of
Polled 4 min ago
Buy Yes
12¢
Sell Yes
8¢
$100 on Yes pays
$833 (8.33x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Stanford wins by over 13.5 points
7%
Kalshi 7%polled, 4 min agoBest Yes 9¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,111 (11.1x)
Kalshi
Contract
Stanford wins by over 13.5 points
Last price
7%
As of
Polled 4 min ago
Buy Yes
9¢
Sell Yes
5¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,111 (11.1x)
Trade this on Kalshi
NC St. wins by over 23.5 points
5%
Kalshi 5%polled, 4 min agoBest Yes 8¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,250 (12.5x)
Kalshi
Contract
NC St. wins by over 23.5 points
Last price
5%
As of
Polled 4 min ago
Buy Yes
8¢
Sell Yes
2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,250 (12.5x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Stanford wins by over 14.5 points
5%
Kalshi 5%polled, 4 min agoBest Yes 7¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,429 (14.3x)
Kalshi
Contract
Stanford wins by over 14.5 points
Last price
5%
As of
Polled 4 min ago
Buy Yes
7¢
Sell Yes
3¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,429 (14.3x)
Trade this on Kalshi

Who resolves this market

Kalshi
Kalshi resolves via:
Kalshi (CFTC-regulated exchange), source: Kalshi using information originating from the NCAA, ESPN

How the odds have moved

The top 3 outcomes on both venues, with the consensus between them. Hover for exact values.

  • NC St. wins by over 2.5 points
  • NC St. wins by over 3.5 points
  • NC St. wins by over 4.5 points

Order books

Each venue’s resting orders for the selected outcome’s Yes contract, side by side. Top of book streams live; depth refreshes every 15 seconds.

Kalshi

Open on Kalshi ↗

Top of book

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Best ask
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Depth · top 8 levels

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Recent trades

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What your stake buys

Enter a stake to see where it buys the most after fees, using each venue’s live order book.

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Buy

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Buys at the asks resting now (taker orders), cheapest after fees first, from order-book snapshots up to 15 seconds old. Fees: Kalshi 0.07 × price × (1 − price) per share, rounded up to the cent; Polymarket 0.05 × price × (1 − price) per share (sports rate). Fee calculator. Estimates only, not advice.

About this market

Live prediction market odds for "NC St. vs Stanford: 1st Half Spread". NC St. wins by over 2.5 points leads at 60%. Next is NC St. wins by over 3.5 points at 53%. $1K has traded across 21 outcomes on Kalshi. The market is expected to resolve by Oct 26, 2026.

Questions

What does the consensus price mean?

It is the price of a Yes contract that pays $1 if the outcome happens. A 14¢ price means traders put the chance near 14%. Where two venues list the same outcome, we blend their last prices, weighting the venue with more trading volume more heavily (neither counts for less than a quarter). When only one outcome can win, each venue’s prices add up to a little over 100% (its margin); the fair chance removes that margin so the outcomes add up to exactly 100%.

How is the payout worked out?

A Yes contract pays $1 if it wins, so at the best ask a $100 stake buys 100 ÷ ask contracts. At 18¢ that is about 555 contracts, paying $556 (5.56x) if Yes happens. Venue fees and price slippage on larger orders are not included.

Why do the venues show different prices?

Each venue has its own traders, fees and order book. Contracts can also settle on slightly different terms, which is why each row lists how closely the rules match.

Is a price gap an arbitrage?

Only when you can buy Yes on one venue below what someone pays for Yes on the other, after fees, and both contracts settle the same way. We show the executable bid and ask so you can check.

How fresh are these prices?

Venue prices refresh every few minutes, and the order book and live quotes stream continuously. Each venue’s card shows when we last observed it.

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