The Prediction Markets

NCAA Football 2026 American Conference: Winner

Closes
Dec 20, 2026, in 58 days
Traded
$19K
Venues
Polymarket
Prices updated
1 min ago
Share

What the markets expect

UTSA Roadrunners 27.7%

Next is Memphis Tigers at 19%. Only Polymarket lists this market, so there is no second price to compare.

UTSA Roadrunners 27.7%Memphis Tigers 19%North Texas Mean Green 18.4%Army Black Knights 9.7%Florida Atlantic Owls 4.5%9 others 20.7%

Odds by venue

Fair chance strips out each venue’s built-in margin (its prices add up to more than 100%), then blends the venues by how much has traded there, so the outcomes add up to 100%. Best Yes price is the cheapest ask across venues, and the payout is what a winning $100 stake returns before fees. Open a row for each venue’s contract name, bid and ask, and how closely their rules match.

Prices come from our regular polls of each venue, the oldest 1 min ago. Ages are as of when this page was built.

  • Polymarket
UTSA Roadrunners
27.7%
Polymarket 28.5%(27.8% fair)polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 30¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $333 (3.33x)
Polymarket
Contract
UTSA Roadrunners
Last price
28.5%
Fair, margin removed
27.8%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
30¢
Sell Yes
27¢
$100 on Yes pays
$333 (3.33x)
Volume
$925
Trade this on Polymarket
Memphis Tigers
19%
Polymarket 19.5%(19% fair)polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 20¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $500 (5.00x)
Polymarket
Contract
Memphis Tigers
Last price
19.5%
Fair, margin removed
19%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
20¢
Sell Yes
19¢
$100 on Yes pays
$500 (5.00x)
Volume
$4K
Trade this on Polymarket
North Texas Mean Green
18.4%
Polymarket 18.9%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 22.7¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $441 (4.41x)
Polymarket
Contract
North Texas Mean Green
Last price
18.9%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
22.7¢
Sell Yes
15¢
$100 on Yes pays
$441 (4.41x)
Volume
$303
Trade this on Polymarket
Army Black Knights
9.7%
Polymarket 10%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 11.2¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $893 (8.93x)
Polymarket
Contract
Army Black Knights
Last price
10%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
11.2¢
Sell Yes
8.7¢
$100 on Yes pays
$893 (8.93x)
Volume
$9K
Trade this on Polymarket
Florida Atlantic Owls
4.5%
Polymarket 4.7%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 9.1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,099 (11.0x)
Polymarket
Contract
Florida Atlantic Owls
Last price
4.7%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
9.1¢
Sell Yes
0.2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,099 (11.0x)
Volume
$184
Trade this on Polymarket
Tulsa Golden Hurricane
4.1%
Polymarket 4.2%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 8.2¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,220 (12.2x)
Polymarket
Contract
Tulsa Golden Hurricane
Last price
4.2%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
8.2¢
Sell Yes
0.2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,220 (12.2x)
Volume
$10
Trade this on Polymarket
Tulane Green Wave
3.9%
Polymarket 4%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 7¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,429 (14.3x)
Polymarket
Contract
Tulane Green Wave
Last price
4%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
7¢
Sell Yes
1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,429 (14.3x)
Volume
$48
Trade this on Polymarket
UAB Blazers
3.2%
Polymarket 3.3%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 6.3¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,587 (15.9x)
Polymarket
Contract
UAB Blazers
Last price
3.3%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
6.3¢
Sell Yes
0.2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,587 (15.9x)
Volume
$60
Trade this on Polymarket
Charlotte 49ers
3%
Polymarket 3.1%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 5.6¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,786 (17.9x)
Polymarket
Contract
Charlotte 49ers
Last price
3.1%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
5.6¢
Sell Yes
0.6¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,786 (17.9x)
Volume
$200
Trade this on Polymarket
Navy Midshipmen
1.9%
Polymarket 2%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 3.7¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $2,703 (27.0x)
Polymarket
Contract
Navy Midshipmen
Last price
2%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
3.7¢
Sell Yes
0.3¢
$100 on Yes pays
$2,703 (27.0x)
Volume
$364
Trade this on Polymarket
Show 4 more outcomes
East Carolina Pirates
1.5%
Polymarket 1.5%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 2.8¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $3,571 (35.7x)
Polymarket
Contract
East Carolina Pirates
Last price
1.5%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
2.8¢
Sell Yes
0.2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$3,571 (35.7x)
Volume
$246
Trade this on Polymarket
Temple Owls
1.5%
Polymarket 1.5%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 2.9¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $3,448 (34.5x)
Polymarket
Contract
Temple Owls
Last price
1.5%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
2.9¢
Sell Yes
0.1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$3,448 (34.5x)
Volume
$139
Trade this on Polymarket
Rice Owls
1%
Polymarket 1.1%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 1.9¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $5,263 (52.6x)
Polymarket
Contract
Rice Owls
Last price
1.1%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
1.9¢
Sell Yes
0.2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$5,263 (52.6x)
Volume
$80
Trade this on Polymarket
South Florida Bulls
0.6%
Polymarket 0.7%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 1.1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $9,091 (90.9x)
Polymarket
Contract
South Florida Bulls
Last price
0.7%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
1.1¢
Sell Yes
0.2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$9,091 (90.9x)
Volume
$3K
Trade this on Polymarket

Who resolves this market

Polymarket
Polymarket resolves via:
UMA optimistic oracle, source: theamerican.org

How the odds have moved

The top 3 outcomes on both venues, with the consensus between them. Hover for exact values.

  • UTSA Roadrunners
  • Memphis Tigers
  • North Texas Mean Green

Order books

Each venue’s resting orders for the selected outcome’s Yes contract, side by side. Top of book streams live; depth refreshes every 15 seconds.

Polymarket

Open on Polymarket ↗

Top of book

Connecting
Best bid
—
Spread
—
Best ask
—

Waiting for the first live quote…

Depth · top 8 levels

Loading snapshot…

Recent trades

Loading…

What your stake buys

Enter a stake to see where it buys the most after fees, using each venue’s live order book.

$
Buy

Loading both order books…

Buys at the asks resting now (taker orders), cheapest after fees first, from order-book snapshots up to 15 seconds old. Fees: Kalshi 0.07 × price × (1 − price) per share, rounded up to the cent; Polymarket 0.05 × price × (1 − price) per share (sports rate). Fee calculator. Estimates only, not advice.

About this market

Live prediction market odds for "NCAA Football 2026 American Conference: Winner". UTSA Roadrunners leads at 27.7%. Next is Memphis Tigers at 19%. $19K has traded across 14 outcomes on Polymarket. The market is expected to resolve by Dec 20, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 American Conference Football Championship, determining the champion of the American Conference for the 2026 college football season, currently scheduled for December 5, 2026. If this championship is postponed after December 19, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, canceled, or a champion has not been declared within this timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other." If multiple teams are declared co-champions, this market will resolve in favor of the team whose listed name comes first alphabetically. The resolution source for this market will be official information from the American Conference (https://theamerican.org); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Questions

What does the consensus price mean?

It is the price of a Yes contract that pays $1 if the outcome happens. A 14¢ price means traders put the chance near 14%. Where two venues list the same outcome, we blend their last prices, weighting the venue with more trading volume more heavily (neither counts for less than a quarter). When only one outcome can win, each venue’s prices add up to a little over 100% (its margin); the fair chance removes that margin so the outcomes add up to exactly 100%.

How is the payout worked out?

A Yes contract pays $1 if it wins, so at the best ask a $100 stake buys 100 ÷ ask contracts. At 18¢ that is about 555 contracts, paying $556 (5.56x) if Yes happens. Venue fees and price slippage on larger orders are not included.

Why do the venues show different prices?

Each venue has its own traders, fees and order book. Contracts can also settle on slightly different terms, which is why each row lists how closely the rules match.

Is a price gap an arbitrage?

Only when you can buy Yes on one venue below what someone pays for Yes on the other, after fees, and both contracts settle the same way. We show the executable bid and ask so you can check.

How fresh are these prices?

Venue prices refresh every few minutes, and the order book and live quotes stream continuously. Each venue’s card shows when we last observed it.

More sports markets

See all sports markets