The Prediction Markets

NCAA Football 2026 American CUSA Conference: Winner

Closes
Dec 19, 2026, in 57 days
Traded
$13K
Venues
Polymarket
Prices updated
1 min ago
Share

What the markets expect

Liberty Flames 57.6%

Next is Jacksonville State Gamecocks at 21.8%. Only Polymarket lists this market, so there is no second price to compare.

Liberty Flames 57.6%Jacksonville State Gamecocks 21.8%Florida International Panthers 6.3%Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders 3.8%Western Kentucky Hilltoppers 3.4%5 others 7.1%

Odds by venue

Fair chance strips out each venue’s built-in margin (its prices add up to more than 100%), then blends the venues by how much has traded there, so the outcomes add up to 100%. Best Yes price is the cheapest ask across venues, and the payout is what a winning $100 stake returns before fees. Open a row for each venue’s contract name, bid and ask, and how closely their rules match.

Prices come from our regular polls of each venue, the oldest 1 min ago. Ages are as of when this page was built.

  • Polymarket
Liberty Flames
57.6%
Polymarket 63.5%(57.6% fair)polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 64¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $156 (1.56x)
Polymarket
Contract
Liberty Flames
Last price
63.5%
Fair, margin removed
57.6%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
64¢
Sell Yes
63¢
$100 on Yes pays
$156 (1.56x)
Volume
$8K
Trade this on Polymarket
Jacksonville State Gamecocks
21.8%
Polymarket 24%(21.8% fair)polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 26¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $385 (3.85x)
Polymarket
Contract
Jacksonville State Gamecocks
Last price
24%
Fair, margin removed
21.8%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
26¢
Sell Yes
22¢
$100 on Yes pays
$385 (3.85x)
Volume
$538
Trade this on Polymarket
Florida International Panthers
6.3%
Polymarket 7%(6.3% fair)polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 13¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $769 (7.69x)
Polymarket
Contract
Florida International Panthers
Last price
7%
Fair, margin removed
6.3%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
13¢
Sell Yes
1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$769 (7.69x)
Volume
$101
Trade this on Polymarket
Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders
3.8%
Polymarket 4.2%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 7.6¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,316 (13.2x)
Polymarket
Contract
Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders
Last price
4.2%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
7.6¢
Sell Yes
0.8¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,316 (13.2x)
Volume
$351
Trade this on Polymarket
Western Kentucky Hilltoppers
3.4%
Polymarket 3.8%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 5.6¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,786 (17.9x)
Polymarket
Contract
Western Kentucky Hilltoppers
Last price
3.8%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
5.6¢
Sell Yes
1.9¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,786 (17.9x)
Volume
$227
Trade this on Polymarket
Kennesaw State Owls
1.9%
Polymarket 2.1%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 4¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)
Polymarket
Contract
Kennesaw State Owls
Last price
2.1%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
4¢
Sell Yes
0.1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$2,500 (25.0x)
Volume
$245
Trade this on Polymarket
Sam Houston Bearkats
1.8%
Polymarket 2.1%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 3.4¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $2,941 (29.4x)
Polymarket
Contract
Sam Houston Bearkats
Last price
2.1%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
3.4¢
Sell Yes
0.7¢
$100 on Yes pays
$2,941 (29.4x)
Volume
$125
Trade this on Polymarket
Missouri State Bears
1.5%
Polymarket 1.7%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 2.8¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $3,571 (35.7x)
Polymarket
Contract
Missouri State Bears
Last price
1.7%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
2.8¢
Sell Yes
0.5¢
$100 on Yes pays
$3,571 (35.7x)
Volume
$71
Trade this on Polymarket
New Mexico State Aggies
1.4%
Polymarket 1.5%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 2.8¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $3,571 (35.7x)
Polymarket
Contract
New Mexico State Aggies
Last price
1.5%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
2.8¢
Sell Yes
0.2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$3,571 (35.7x)
Volume
$175
Trade this on Polymarket
Delaware Blue Hens
0.5%
Polymarket 0.6%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 0.9¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $11,111 (111x)
Polymarket
Contract
Delaware Blue Hens
Last price
0.6%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
0.9¢
Sell Yes
0.2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$11,111 (111x)
Volume
$3K
Trade this on Polymarket

Who resolves this market

Polymarket
Polymarket resolves via:
UMA optimistic oracle, source: conferenceusa.com

How the odds have moved

The top 3 outcomes on both venues, with the consensus between them. Hover for exact values.

  • Liberty Flames
  • Jacksonville State Gamecocks
  • Florida International Panthers

Order books

Each venue’s resting orders for the selected outcome’s Yes contract, side by side. Top of book streams live; depth refreshes every 15 seconds.

Polymarket

Open on Polymarket ↗

Top of book

Connecting
Best bid
—
Spread
—
Best ask
—

Waiting for the first live quote…

Depth · top 8 levels

Loading snapshot…

Recent trades

Loading…

What your stake buys

Enter a stake to see where it buys the most after fees, using each venue’s live order book.

$
Buy

Loading both order books…

Buys at the asks resting now (taker orders), cheapest after fees first, from order-book snapshots up to 15 seconds old. Fees: Kalshi 0.07 × price × (1 − price) per share, rounded up to the cent; Polymarket 0.05 × price × (1 − price) per share (sports rate). Fee calculator. Estimates only, not advice.

About this market

Live prediction market odds for "NCAA Football 2026 American CUSA Conference: Winner". Liberty Flames leads at 57.6%. Next is Jacksonville State Gamecocks at 21.8%. $13K has traded across 10 outcomes on Polymarket. The market is expected to resolve by Dec 19, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Conference USA Football Championship Game, determining the champion of Conference USA for the 2026 college football season, currently scheduled for December 4, 2026. If this championship is postponed after December 18, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, canceled, or a champion has not been declared within this timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other." If multiple teams are declared co-champions, this market will resolve in favor of the team whose listed name comes first alphabetically. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Conference USA (https://conferenceusa.com); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Questions

What does the consensus price mean?

It is the price of a Yes contract that pays $1 if the outcome happens. A 14¢ price means traders put the chance near 14%. Where two venues list the same outcome, we blend their last prices, weighting the venue with more trading volume more heavily (neither counts for less than a quarter). When only one outcome can win, each venue’s prices add up to a little over 100% (its margin); the fair chance removes that margin so the outcomes add up to exactly 100%.

How is the payout worked out?

A Yes contract pays $1 if it wins, so at the best ask a $100 stake buys 100 ÷ ask contracts. At 18¢ that is about 555 contracts, paying $556 (5.56x) if Yes happens. Venue fees and price slippage on larger orders are not included.

Why do the venues show different prices?

Each venue has its own traders, fees and order book. Contracts can also settle on slightly different terms, which is why each row lists how closely the rules match.

Is a price gap an arbitrage?

Only when you can buy Yes on one venue below what someone pays for Yes on the other, after fees, and both contracts settle the same way. We show the executable bid and ask so you can check.

How fresh are these prices?

Venue prices refresh every few minutes, and the order book and live quotes stream continuously. Each venue’s card shows when we last observed it.

More sports markets

See all sports markets