The Prediction Markets

NCAA Football 2026 Big 12 Conference: Winner

Closes
Dec 19, 2026, in 57 days
Traded
$18K
Venues
Polymarket
Prices updated
1 min ago
Share

What the markets expect

Texas Tech Red Raiders 27.9%

Next is BYU Cougars at 24.2%. Only Polymarket lists this market, so there is no second price to compare.

Texas Tech Red Raiders 27.9%BYU Cougars 24.2%Utah Utes 21%Houston Cougars 5.6%Oklahoma State Cowboys 3.7%11 others 17.6%

Odds by venue

Fair chance strips out each venue’s built-in margin (its prices add up to more than 100%), then blends the venues by how much has traded there, so the outcomes add up to 100%. Best Yes price is the cheapest ask across venues, and the payout is what a winning $100 stake returns before fees. Open a row for each venue’s contract name, bid and ask, and how closely their rules match.

Prices come from our regular polls of each venue, the oldest 1 min ago. Ages are as of when this page was built.

  • Polymarket
Texas Tech Red Raiders
27.9%
Polymarket 30%(27.9% fair)polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 31¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $323 (3.23x)
Polymarket
Contract
Texas Tech Red Raiders
Last price
30%
Fair, margin removed
27.9%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
31¢
Sell Yes
29¢
$100 on Yes pays
$323 (3.23x)
Volume
$14K
Trade this on Polymarket
BYU Cougars
24.2%
Polymarket 26%(24.2% fair)polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 27¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $370 (3.70x)
Polymarket
Contract
BYU Cougars
Last price
26%
Fair, margin removed
24.2%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
27¢
Sell Yes
25¢
$100 on Yes pays
$370 (3.70x)
Volume
$766
Trade this on Polymarket
Utah Utes
21%
Polymarket 22.5%(20.9% fair)polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 24¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $417 (4.17x)
Polymarket
Contract
Utah Utes
Last price
22.5%
Fair, margin removed
20.9%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
24¢
Sell Yes
21¢
$100 on Yes pays
$417 (4.17x)
Volume
$2K
Trade this on Polymarket
Houston Cougars
5.6%
Polymarket 6%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 9.9¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,010 (10.1x)
Polymarket
Contract
Houston Cougars
Last price
6%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
9.9¢
Sell Yes
2.1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,010 (10.1x)
Volume
$122
Trade this on Polymarket
Oklahoma State Cowboys
3.7%
Polymarket 4%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 7.7¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,299 (13.0x)
Polymarket
Contract
Oklahoma State Cowboys
Last price
4%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
7.7¢
Sell Yes
0.2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,299 (13.0x)
Volume
$35
Trade this on Polymarket
Baylor Bears
2.9%
Polymarket 3.1%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 6.1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,639 (16.4x)
Polymarket
Contract
Baylor Bears
Last price
3.1%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
6.1¢
Sell Yes
0.1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,639 (16.4x)
Volume
$90
Trade this on Polymarket
Arizona State Sun Devils
2.7%
Polymarket 3%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 5.8¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,724 (17.2x)
Polymarket
Contract
Arizona State Sun Devils
Last price
3%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
5.8¢
Sell Yes
0.1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,724 (17.2x)
Volume
$296
Trade this on Polymarket
Arizona Wildcats
2.6%
Polymarket 2.8%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 5.4¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,852 (18.5x)
Polymarket
Contract
Arizona Wildcats
Last price
2.8%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
5.4¢
Sell Yes
0.2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,852 (18.5x)
Volume
$28
Trade this on Polymarket
Kansas State Wildcats
2.5%
Polymarket 2.7%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 5.1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,961 (19.6x)
Polymarket
Contract
Kansas State Wildcats
Last price
2.7%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
5.1¢
Sell Yes
0.2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,961 (19.6x)
Volume
$762
Trade this on Polymarket
TCU Horned Frogs
1.4%
Polymarket 1.5%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 2.7¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $3,704 (37.0x)
Polymarket
Contract
TCU Horned Frogs
Last price
1.5%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
2.7¢
Sell Yes
0.2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$3,704 (37.0x)
Volume
$40
Trade this on Polymarket
Show 6 more outcomes
Cincinnati Bearcats
1.1%
Polymarket 1.2%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 2.2¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $4,545 (45.5x)
Polymarket
Contract
Cincinnati Bearcats
Last price
1.2%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
2.2¢
Sell Yes
0.2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$4,545 (45.5x)
Volume
$20
Trade this on Polymarket
Colorado Buffaloes
0.9%
Polymarket 1%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 1.8¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $5,556 (55.6x)
Polymarket
Contract
Colorado Buffaloes
Last price
1%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
1.8¢
Sell Yes
0.2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$5,556 (55.6x)
Volume
$40
Trade this on Polymarket
Iowa State Cyclones
0.9%
Polymarket 1%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 1.8¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $5,556 (55.6x)
Polymarket
Contract
Iowa State Cyclones
Last price
1%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
1.8¢
Sell Yes
0.2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$5,556 (55.6x)
Volume
$40
Trade this on Polymarket
Kansas Jayhawks
0.9%
Polymarket 1%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 1.8¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $5,556 (55.6x)
Polymarket
Contract
Kansas Jayhawks
Last price
1%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
1.8¢
Sell Yes
0.2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$5,556 (55.6x)
Volume
$40
Trade this on Polymarket
UCF Knights
0.9%
Polymarket 1%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 1.7¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $5,882 (58.8x)
Polymarket
Contract
UCF Knights
Last price
1%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
1.7¢
Sell Yes
0.2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$5,882 (58.8x)
Volume
$122
Trade this on Polymarket
West Virginia Mountaineers
0.8%
Polymarket 0.9%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 1.6¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $6,250 (62.5x)
Polymarket
Contract
West Virginia Mountaineers
Last price
0.9%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
1.6¢
Sell Yes
0.1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$6,250 (62.5x)
Volume
$200
Trade this on Polymarket

Who resolves this market

Polymarket
Polymarket resolves via:
UMA optimistic oracle, source: big12sports.com

How the odds have moved

The top 3 outcomes on both venues, with the consensus between them. Hover for exact values.

  • Texas Tech Red Raiders
  • BYU Cougars
  • Utah Utes

Order books

Each venue’s resting orders for the selected outcome’s Yes contract, side by side. Top of book streams live; depth refreshes every 15 seconds.

Polymarket

Open on Polymarket ↗

Top of book

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Best bid
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Best ask
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Depth · top 8 levels

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Recent trades

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What your stake buys

Enter a stake to see where it buys the most after fees, using each venue’s live order book.

$
Buy

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Buys at the asks resting now (taker orders), cheapest after fees first, from order-book snapshots up to 15 seconds old. Fees: Kalshi 0.07 × price × (1 − price) per share, rounded up to the cent; Polymarket 0.05 × price × (1 − price) per share (sports rate). Fee calculator. Estimates only, not advice.

About this market

Live prediction market odds for "NCAA Football 2026 Big 12 Conference: Winner". Texas Tech Red Raiders leads at 27.9%. Next is BYU Cougars at 24.2%. $18K has traded across 16 outcomes on Polymarket. The market is expected to resolve by Dec 19, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Big 12 Championship Game, determining the champion of the Big 12 Conference for the 2026 college football season, currently scheduled for December 4, 2026. If this championship is postponed after December 18, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, canceled, or a champion has not been declared within this timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other." If multiple teams are declared co-champions, this market will resolve in favor of the team whose listed name comes first alphabetically. The resolution source for this market will be official information from the Big 12 Conference (https://big12sports.com); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Questions

What does the consensus price mean?

It is the price of a Yes contract that pays $1 if the outcome happens. A 14¢ price means traders put the chance near 14%. Where two venues list the same outcome, we blend their last prices, weighting the venue with more trading volume more heavily (neither counts for less than a quarter). When only one outcome can win, each venue’s prices add up to a little over 100% (its margin); the fair chance removes that margin so the outcomes add up to exactly 100%.

How is the payout worked out?

A Yes contract pays $1 if it wins, so at the best ask a $100 stake buys 100 ÷ ask contracts. At 18¢ that is about 555 contracts, paying $556 (5.56x) if Yes happens. Venue fees and price slippage on larger orders are not included.

Why do the venues show different prices?

Each venue has its own traders, fees and order book. Contracts can also settle on slightly different terms, which is why each row lists how closely the rules match.

Is a price gap an arbitrage?

Only when you can buy Yes on one venue below what someone pays for Yes on the other, after fees, and both contracts settle the same way. We show the executable bid and ask so you can check.

How fresh are these prices?

Venue prices refresh every few minutes, and the order book and live quotes stream continuously. Each venue’s card shows when we last observed it.

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