The Prediction Markets

NCAA Football 2026 Big Ten Conference: Winner

Closes
Dec 20, 2026, in 57 days
Traded
$12K
Venues
Polymarket
Prices updated
1 min ago
Share

What the markets expect

Ohio State Buckeyes 33.1%

Next is Indiana Hoosiers at 19.4%. Only Polymarket lists this market, so there is no second price to compare.

Ohio State Buckeyes 33.1%Indiana Hoosiers 19.4%UCLA Bruins 10.1%Oregon Ducks 4.7%Iowa Hawkeyes 3.7%13 others 29%

Odds by venue

Fair chance strips out each venue’s built-in margin (its prices add up to more than 100%), then blends the venues by how much has traded there, so the outcomes add up to 100%. Best Yes price is the cheapest ask across venues, and the payout is what a winning $100 stake returns before fees. Open a row for each venue’s contract name, bid and ask, and how closely their rules match.

Prices come from our regular polls of each venue, the oldest 1 min ago. Ages are as of when this page was built.

  • Polymarket
Ohio State Buckeyes
33.1%
Polymarket 43.5%(33.1% fair)polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 45¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $222 (2.22x)
Polymarket
Contract
Ohio State Buckeyes
Last price
43.5%
Fair, margin removed
33.1%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
45¢
Sell Yes
42¢
$100 on Yes pays
$222 (2.22x)
Volume
$2K
Trade this on Polymarket
Indiana Hoosiers
19.4%
Polymarket 25.5%(19.4% fair)polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 27¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $370 (3.70x)
Polymarket
Contract
Indiana Hoosiers
Last price
25.5%
Fair, margin removed
19.4%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
27¢
Sell Yes
24¢
$100 on Yes pays
$370 (3.70x)
Volume
$5K
Trade this on Polymarket
UCLA Bruins
10.1%
Polymarket 13.3%(10.1% fair)polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 14.9¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $671 (6.71x)
Polymarket
Contract
UCLA Bruins
Last price
13.3%
Fair, margin removed
10.1%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
14.9¢
Sell Yes
11.6¢
$100 on Yes pays
$671 (6.71x)
Volume
$335
Trade this on Polymarket
Oregon Ducks
4.7%
Polymarket 6.2%(4.7% fair)polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 8.4¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,190 (11.9x)
Polymarket
Contract
Oregon Ducks
Last price
6.2%
Fair, margin removed
4.7%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
8.4¢
Sell Yes
3.9¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,190 (11.9x)
Volume
$3K
Trade this on Polymarket
Iowa Hawkeyes
3.7%
Polymarket 4.9%(3.7% fair)polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 7.1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,408 (14.1x)
Polymarket
Contract
Iowa Hawkeyes
Last price
4.9%
Fair, margin removed
3.7%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
7.1¢
Sell Yes
2.7¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,408 (14.1x)
Volume
$413
Trade this on Polymarket
Northwestern Wildcats
2.9%
Polymarket 3.8%(2.9% fair)polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 7.4¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,351 (13.5x)
Polymarket
Contract
Northwestern Wildcats
Last price
3.8%
Fair, margin removed
2.9%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
7.4¢
Sell Yes
0.2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,351 (13.5x)
Volume
$102
Trade this on Polymarket
Illinois Fighting Illini
2.7%
Polymarket 3.5%(2.7% fair)polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 6.8¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,471 (14.7x)
Polymarket
Contract
Illinois Fighting Illini
Last price
3.5%
Fair, margin removed
2.7%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
6.8¢
Sell Yes
0.2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,471 (14.7x)
Volume
$202
Trade this on Polymarket
Maryland Terrapins
2.7%
Polymarket 3.6%(2.7% fair)polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 6.9¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,449 (14.5x)
Polymarket
Contract
Maryland Terrapins
Last price
3.6%
Fair, margin removed
2.7%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
6.9¢
Sell Yes
0.2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,449 (14.5x)
Volume
$122
Trade this on Polymarket
Penn State Nittany Lions
2.7%
Polymarket 3.6%(2.7% fair)polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 7¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,429 (14.3x)
Polymarket
Contract
Penn State Nittany Lions
Last price
3.6%
Fair, margin removed
2.7%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
7¢
Sell Yes
0.2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,429 (14.3x)
Volume
$180
Trade this on Polymarket
Washington Huskies
2.6%
Polymarket 3.5%(2.6% fair)polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 6.7¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,493 (14.9x)
Polymarket
Contract
Washington Huskies
Last price
3.5%
Fair, margin removed
2.6%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
6.7¢
Sell Yes
0.2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,493 (14.9x)
Volume
$182
Trade this on Polymarket
Show 8 more outcomes
Purdue Boilermakers
2.5%
Polymarket 3.3%(2.5% fair)polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 6.4¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,563 (15.6x)
Polymarket
Contract
Purdue Boilermakers
Last price
3.3%
Fair, margin removed
2.5%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
6.4¢
Sell Yes
0.2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,563 (15.6x)
Volume
$171
Trade this on Polymarket
Rutgers Scarlet Knights
2.5%
Polymarket 3.4%(2.5% fair)polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 6.5¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,538 (15.4x)
Polymarket
Contract
Rutgers Scarlet Knights
Last price
3.4%
Fair, margin removed
2.5%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
6.5¢
Sell Yes
0.2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,538 (15.4x)
Volume
$82
Trade this on Polymarket
USC Trojans
2.5%
Polymarket 3.3%(2.5% fair)polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 6.4¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,563 (15.6x)
Polymarket
Contract
USC Trojans
Last price
3.3%
Fair, margin removed
2.5%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
6.4¢
Sell Yes
0.1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,563 (15.6x)
Volume
$42
Trade this on Polymarket
Michigan State Spartans
2.4%
Polymarket 3.2%(2.4% fair)polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 6.2¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,613 (16.1x)
Polymarket
Contract
Michigan State Spartans
Last price
3.2%
Fair, margin removed
2.4%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
6.2¢
Sell Yes
0.2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,613 (16.1x)
Volume
$179
Trade this on Polymarket
Nebraska Cornhuskers
2.2%
Polymarket 2.9%(2.2% fair)polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 5.5¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,818 (18.2x)
Polymarket
Contract
Nebraska Cornhuskers
Last price
2.9%
Fair, margin removed
2.2%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
5.5¢
Sell Yes
0.2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,818 (18.2x)
Volume
$125
Trade this on Polymarket
Michigan Wolverines
2%
Polymarket 2.7%(2% fair)polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 5.1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,961 (19.6x)
Polymarket
Contract
Michigan Wolverines
Last price
2.7%
Fair, margin removed
2%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
5.1¢
Sell Yes
0.2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,961 (19.6x)
Volume
$104
Trade this on Polymarket
Minnesota Golden Gophers
0.7%
Polymarket 1%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 1.7¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $5,882 (58.8x)
Polymarket
Contract
Minnesota Golden Gophers
Last price
1%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
1.7¢
Sell Yes
0.2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$5,882 (58.8x)
Volume
$192
Trade this on Polymarket
Wisconsin Badgers
0.6%
Polymarket 0.8%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 1.3¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $7,692 (76.9x)
Polymarket
Contract
Wisconsin Badgers
Last price
0.8%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
1.3¢
Sell Yes
0.2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$7,692 (76.9x)
Volume
$42
Trade this on Polymarket

Who resolves this market

Polymarket
Polymarket resolves via:
UMA optimistic oracle, source: bigten.org

How the odds have moved

The top 3 outcomes on both venues, with the consensus between them. Hover for exact values.

  • Ohio State Buckeyes
  • Indiana Hoosiers
  • UCLA Bruins

Order books

Each venue’s resting orders for the selected outcome’s Yes contract, side by side. Top of book streams live; depth refreshes every 15 seconds.

Polymarket

Open on Polymarket ↗

Top of book

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Best bid
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Spread
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Best ask
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Depth · top 8 levels

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Recent trades

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What your stake buys

Enter a stake to see where it buys the most after fees, using each venue’s live order book.

$
Buy

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Buys at the asks resting now (taker orders), cheapest after fees first, from order-book snapshots up to 15 seconds old. Fees: Kalshi 0.07 × price × (1 − price) per share, rounded up to the cent; Polymarket 0.05 × price × (1 − price) per share (sports rate). Fee calculator. Estimates only, not advice.

About this market

Live prediction market odds for "NCAA Football 2026 Big Ten Conference: Winner". Ohio State Buckeyes leads at 33.1%. Next is Indiana Hoosiers at 19.4%. $12K has traded across 18 outcomes on Polymarket. The market is expected to resolve by Dec 20, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Big Ten Championship Game, determining the champion of the Big Ten Conference for the 2026 college football season, currently scheduled for December 5, 2026. If this championship is postponed after December 19, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, canceled, or a champion has not been declared within this timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other." If multiple teams are declared co-champions, this market will resolve in favor of the team whose listed name comes first alphabetically. The resolution source for this market will be official information from the Big Ten Conference (https://bigten.org); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Questions

What does the consensus price mean?

It is the price of a Yes contract that pays $1 if the outcome happens. A 14¢ price means traders put the chance near 14%. Where two venues list the same outcome, we blend their last prices, weighting the venue with more trading volume more heavily (neither counts for less than a quarter). When only one outcome can win, each venue’s prices add up to a little over 100% (its margin); the fair chance removes that margin so the outcomes add up to exactly 100%.

How is the payout worked out?

A Yes contract pays $1 if it wins, so at the best ask a $100 stake buys 100 ÷ ask contracts. At 18¢ that is about 555 contracts, paying $556 (5.56x) if Yes happens. Venue fees and price slippage on larger orders are not included.

Why do the venues show different prices?

Each venue has its own traders, fees and order book. Contracts can also settle on slightly different terms, which is why each row lists how closely the rules match.

Is a price gap an arbitrage?

Only when you can buy Yes on one venue below what someone pays for Yes on the other, after fees, and both contracts settle the same way. We show the executable bid and ask so you can check.

How fresh are these prices?

Venue prices refresh every few minutes, and the order book and live quotes stream continuously. Each venue’s card shows when we last observed it.

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