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What the markets expect
Jayden Maiava 12%
Next is CJ Carr at 4.4%. Only Polymarket lists this market, so there is no second price to compare.
Odds by venue
Consensus blends each venue’s last price, weighted by how much has traded there. Best Yes price is the cheapest ask across venues, and the payout is what a winning $100 stake returns before fees. Open a row for each venue’s contract name, bid and ask, and how closely their rules match.
Prices come from our regular polls of each venue. Ages are as of when this page was built.
- Polymarket
Outcome
Consensus
Venue prices on a 0–100% scale
Polymarket
Best Yes price
Jayden Maiava12%12%10.1¢ bid, 13.9¢ askpolled, 26s ago13.9¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $719 (7.19x)Jayden Maiava12%Polymarket 12%polled, 26s agoBest Yes 13.9¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $719 (7.19x)
Jayden Maiava
12%
12%
10.1¢ bid, 13.9¢ ask
polled, 26s ago
13.9¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $719 (7.19x)
Jayden Maiava
12%
Polymarket 12%polled, 26s agoBest Yes 13.9¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $719 (7.19x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Jayden Maiava
- Last price
- 12%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 13.9¢
- Sell Yes
- 10.1¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $719 (7.19x)
- Volume
- $3K
CJ Carr4.4%4.4%0.2¢ bid, 8.5¢ askpolled, 26s ago8.5¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $1,176 (11.8x)CJ Carr4.4%Polymarket 4.4%polled, 26s agoBest Yes 8.5¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,176 (11.8x)
CJ Carr
4.4%
4.4%
0.2¢ bid, 8.5¢ ask
polled, 26s ago
8.5¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $1,176 (11.8x)
CJ Carr
4.4%
Polymarket 4.4%polled, 26s agoBest Yes 8.5¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,176 (11.8x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- CJ Carr
- Last price
- 4.4%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 8.5¢
- Sell Yes
- 0.2¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,176 (11.8x)
- Volume
- $257
Gunner Stockton4.2%4.2%0.8¢ bid, 7.6¢ askpolled, 26s ago7.6¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $1,316 (13.2x)Gunner Stockton4.2%Polymarket 4.2%polled, 26s agoBest Yes 7.6¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,316 (13.2x)
Gunner Stockton
4.2%
4.2%
0.8¢ bid, 7.6¢ ask
polled, 26s ago
7.6¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $1,316 (13.2x)
Gunner Stockton
4.2%
Polymarket 4.2%polled, 26s agoBest Yes 7.6¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,316 (13.2x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Gunner Stockton
- Last price
- 4.2%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 7.6¢
- Sell Yes
- 0.8¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,316 (13.2x)
- Volume
- $256
Darian Mensah4%4%1¢ bid, 7¢ askpolled, 26s ago7¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $1,429 (14.3x)Darian Mensah4%Polymarket 4%polled, 26s agoBest Yes 7¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,429 (14.3x)
Darian Mensah
4%
4%
1¢ bid, 7¢ ask
polled, 26s ago
7¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $1,429 (14.3x)
Darian Mensah
4%
Polymarket 4%polled, 26s agoBest Yes 7¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,429 (14.3x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Darian Mensah
- Last price
- 4%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 7¢
- Sell Yes
- 1¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,429 (14.3x)
- Volume
- $310
Devon Dampier3.3%3.3%1¢ bid, 5.5¢ askpolled, 26s ago5.5¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $1,818 (18.2x)Devon Dampier3.3%Polymarket 3.3%polled, 26s agoBest Yes 5.5¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,818 (18.2x)
Devon Dampier
3.3%
3.3%
1¢ bid, 5.5¢ ask
polled, 26s ago
5.5¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $1,818 (18.2x)
Devon Dampier
3.3%
Polymarket 3.3%polled, 26s agoBest Yes 5.5¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,818 (18.2x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Devon Dampier
- Last price
- 3.3%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 5.5¢
- Sell Yes
- 1¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,818 (18.2x)
- Volume
- $1K
Julian Sayin2.7%2.7%1¢ bid, 4.4¢ askpolled, 26s ago4.4¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $2,273 (22.7x)Julian Sayin2.7%Polymarket 2.7%polled, 26s agoBest Yes 4.4¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $2,273 (22.7x)
Julian Sayin
2.7%
2.7%
1¢ bid, 4.4¢ ask
polled, 26s ago
4.4¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $2,273 (22.7x)
Julian Sayin
2.7%
Polymarket 2.7%polled, 26s agoBest Yes 4.4¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $2,273 (22.7x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Julian Sayin
- Last price
- 2.7%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 4.4¢
- Sell Yes
- 1¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $2,273 (22.7x)
- Volume
- $235
Demond Williams2.6%2.6%0.2¢ bid, 5¢ askpolled, 26s ago5¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)Demond Williams2.6%Polymarket 2.6%polled, 26s agoBest Yes 5¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)
Demond Williams
2.6%
2.6%
0.2¢ bid, 5¢ ask
polled, 26s ago
5¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)
Demond Williams
2.6%
Polymarket 2.6%polled, 26s agoBest Yes 5¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Demond Williams
- Last price
- 2.6%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 5¢
- Sell Yes
- 0.2¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $2,000 (20.0x)
- Volume
- $488
Drew Mestemaker2.4%2.4%0.2¢ bid, 4.5¢ askpolled, 26s ago4.5¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $2,222 (22.2x)Drew Mestemaker2.4%Polymarket 2.4%polled, 26s agoBest Yes 4.5¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $2,222 (22.2x)
Drew Mestemaker
2.4%
2.4%
0.2¢ bid, 4.5¢ ask
polled, 26s ago
4.5¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $2,222 (22.2x)
Drew Mestemaker
2.4%
Polymarket 2.4%polled, 26s agoBest Yes 4.5¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $2,222 (22.2x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Drew Mestemaker
- Last price
- 2.4%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 4.5¢
- Sell Yes
- 0.2¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $2,222 (22.2x)
- Volume
- $940
Sam Leavitt2.1%2.1%1¢ bid, 3.1¢ askpolled, 26s ago3.1¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $3,226 (32.3x)Sam Leavitt2.1%Polymarket 2.1%polled, 26s agoBest Yes 3.1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $3,226 (32.3x)
Sam Leavitt
2.1%
2.1%
1¢ bid, 3.1¢ ask
polled, 26s ago
3.1¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $3,226 (32.3x)
Sam Leavitt
2.1%
Polymarket 2.1%polled, 26s agoBest Yes 3.1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $3,226 (32.3x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Sam Leavitt
- Last price
- 2.1%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 3.1¢
- Sell Yes
- 1¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $3,226 (32.3x)
- Volume
- $397
Bear Bachmeier1.6%1.6%1.1¢ bid, 2.1¢ askpolled, 26s ago2.1¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $4,762 (47.6x)Bear Bachmeier1.6%Polymarket 1.6%polled, 26s agoBest Yes 2.1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $4,762 (47.6x)
Bear Bachmeier
1.6%
1.6%
1.1¢ bid, 2.1¢ ask
polled, 26s ago
2.1¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $4,762 (47.6x)
Bear Bachmeier
1.6%
Polymarket 1.6%polled, 26s agoBest Yes 2.1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $4,762 (47.6x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Bear Bachmeier
- Last price
- 1.6%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 2.1¢
- Sell Yes
- 1.1¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $4,762 (47.6x)
- Volume
- $441
Show 8 more outcomesHide 8 outcomes
Dante Moore1.3%1.3%1¢ bid, 1.5¢ askpolled, 26s ago1.5¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $6,667 (66.7x)Dante Moore1.3%Polymarket 1.3%polled, 26s agoBest Yes 1.5¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $6,667 (66.7x)
Dante Moore
1.3%
1.3%
1¢ bid, 1.5¢ ask
polled, 26s ago
1.5¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $6,667 (66.7x)
Dante Moore
1.3%
Polymarket 1.3%polled, 26s agoBest Yes 1.5¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $6,667 (66.7x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Dante Moore
- Last price
- 1.3%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 1.5¢
- Sell Yes
- 1¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $6,667 (66.7x)
- Volume
- $993
Arch Manning1.2%1.2%0.5¢ bid, 1.8¢ askpolled, 26s ago1.8¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $5,556 (55.6x)Arch Manning1.2%Polymarket 1.2%polled, 26s agoBest Yes 1.8¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $5,556 (55.6x)
Arch Manning
1.2%
1.2%
0.5¢ bid, 1.8¢ ask
polled, 26s ago
1.8¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $5,556 (55.6x)
Arch Manning
1.2%
Polymarket 1.2%polled, 26s agoBest Yes 1.8¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $5,556 (55.6x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Arch Manning
- Last price
- 1.2%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 1.8¢
- Sell Yes
- 0.5¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $5,556 (55.6x)
- Volume
- $759
Noah Fifita1.1%1.1%1¢ bid, 1.2¢ askpolled, 26s ago1.2¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $8,333 (83.3x)Noah Fifita1.1%Polymarket 1.1%polled, 26s agoBest Yes 1.2¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $8,333 (83.3x)
Noah Fifita
1.1%
1.1%
1¢ bid, 1.2¢ ask
polled, 26s ago
1.2¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $8,333 (83.3x)
Noah Fifita
1.1%
Polymarket 1.1%polled, 26s agoBest Yes 1.2¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $8,333 (83.3x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Noah Fifita
- Last price
- 1.1%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 1.2¢
- Sell Yes
- 1¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $8,333 (83.3x)
- Volume
- $2K
Josh Hoover1%1%0.6¢ bid, 1.3¢ askpolled, 26s ago1.3¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $7,692 (76.9x)Josh Hoover1%Polymarket 1%polled, 26s agoBest Yes 1.3¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $7,692 (76.9x)
Josh Hoover
1%
1%
0.6¢ bid, 1.3¢ ask
polled, 26s ago
1.3¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $7,692 (76.9x)
Josh Hoover
1%
Polymarket 1%polled, 26s agoBest Yes 1.3¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $7,692 (76.9x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Josh Hoover
- Last price
- 1%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 1.3¢
- Sell Yes
- 0.6¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $7,692 (76.9x)
- Volume
- $440
Brendan Sorsby0.8%0.8%0.3¢ bid, 1.2¢ askpolled, 26s ago1.2¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $8,333 (83.3x)Brendan Sorsby0.8%Polymarket 0.8%polled, 26s agoBest Yes 1.2¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $8,333 (83.3x)
Brendan Sorsby
0.8%
0.8%
0.3¢ bid, 1.2¢ ask
polled, 26s ago
1.2¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $8,333 (83.3x)
Brendan Sorsby
0.8%
Polymarket 0.8%polled, 26s agoBest Yes 1.2¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $8,333 (83.3x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Brendan Sorsby
- Last price
- 0.8%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 1.2¢
- Sell Yes
- 0.3¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $8,333 (83.3x)
- Volume
- $1K
Bryce Underwood0.4%0.4%0.2¢ bid, 0.6¢ askpolled, 26s ago0.6¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $16,667 (167x)Bryce Underwood0.4%Polymarket 0.4%polled, 26s agoBest Yes 0.6¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $16,667 (167x)
Bryce Underwood
0.4%
0.4%
0.2¢ bid, 0.6¢ ask
polled, 26s ago
0.6¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $16,667 (167x)
Bryce Underwood
0.4%
Polymarket 0.4%polled, 26s agoBest Yes 0.6¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $16,667 (167x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Bryce Underwood
- Last price
- 0.4%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 0.6¢
- Sell Yes
- 0.2¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $16,667 (167x)
- Volume
- $351
Trinidad Chambliss0.3%0.3%0.1¢ bid, 0.5¢ askpolled, 26s ago0.5¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $20,000 (200x)Trinidad Chambliss0.3%Polymarket 0.3%polled, 26s agoBest Yes 0.5¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $20,000 (200x)
Trinidad Chambliss
0.3%
0.3%
0.1¢ bid, 0.5¢ ask
polled, 26s ago
0.5¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $20,000 (200x)
Trinidad Chambliss
0.3%
Polymarket 0.3%polled, 26s agoBest Yes 0.5¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $20,000 (200x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Trinidad Chambliss
- Last price
- 0.3%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 0.5¢
- Sell Yes
- 0.1¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $20,000 (200x)
- Volume
- $5K
LaNorris Sellers0.2%0.2%— bid, 0.4¢ askpolled, 26s ago0.4¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $25,000 (250x)LaNorris Sellers0.2%Polymarket 0.2%polled, 26s agoBest Yes 0.4¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $25,000 (250x)
LaNorris Sellers
0.2%
0.2%
— bid, 0.4¢ ask
polled, 26s ago
0.4¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $25,000 (250x)
LaNorris Sellers
0.2%
Polymarket 0.2%polled, 26s agoBest Yes 0.4¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $25,000 (250x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- LaNorris Sellers
- Last price
- 0.2%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 0.4¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $25,000 (250x)
- Volume
- $1K
Who resolves this market
- Polymarket resolves via:
- UMA optimistic oracle, source: ncaa.com
How the odds have moved
The top 3 outcomes on both venues, with the consensus between them. Hover for exact values.
- Jayden Maiava
- CJ Carr
- Gunner Stockton
Order books
Each venue’s resting orders for the selected outcome’s Yes contract, side by side. Top of book streams live; depth refreshes every 15 seconds.
What your stake buys
Enter a stake to see where it buys the most after fees, using each venue’s live order book.
$
Buy
Loading both order books…
Buys at the asks resting now (taker orders), cheapest after fees first, from order-book snapshots up to 15 seconds old. Fees: Kalshi 0.07 × price × (1 − price) per share, rounded up to the cent; Polymarket 0.05 × price × (1 − price) per share (sports rate). Fee calculator. Estimates only, not advice.
About this market
Live prediction market odds for "NCAA Football: 2026 D1 Passing Yards Leader". Jayden Maiava leads at 12%. Next is CJ Carr at 4.4%. $19K has traded across 18 outcomes on Polymarket. The market is expected to resolve by Jan 4, 2027.
This market will resolve in favor of the player that finishes the 2026 NCAA FBS regular season with the most passing yards. In the event of a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the player with more passing touchdowns during the 2026 NCAA FBS regular season. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player with a higher passing yards per attempt. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve to "Other". If the 2026 NCAA FBS season concludes early, is shortened, or is truncated for any reason, the outcome shall be determined using available NCAA FBS statistics for completed games. If the 2026 NCAA FBS regular season is cancelled, postponed after January 3, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or it is unclear which player led NCAA FBS in passing yards within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be official information from the NCAA (https://www.ncaa.com/stats/football/fbs); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Questions
What does the consensus price mean?
It is the price of a Yes contract that pays $1 if the outcome happens. A 14¢ price means traders put the chance near 14%. Where two venues list the same outcome, we blend their last prices, weighting the venue with more trading volume more heavily (neither counts for less than a quarter). When only one outcome can win, each venue’s prices add up to a little over 100% (its margin); the fair chance removes that margin so the outcomes add up to exactly 100%.
How is the payout worked out?
A Yes contract pays $1 if it wins, so at the best ask a $100 stake buys 100 ÷ ask contracts. At 18¢ that is about 555 contracts, paying $556 (5.56x) if Yes happens. Venue fees and price slippage on larger orders are not included.
Why do the venues show different prices?
Each venue has its own traders, fees and order book. Contracts can also settle on slightly different terms, which is why each row lists how closely the rules match.
Is a price gap an arbitrage?
Only when you can buy Yes on one venue below what someone pays for Yes on the other, after fees, and both contracts settle the same way. We show the executable bid and ask so you can check.
How fresh are these prices?
Venue prices refresh every few minutes, and the order book and live quotes stream continuously. Each venue’s card shows when we last observed it.
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