The Prediction Markets

NCAA Football: 2026 D1 Receiving Yards Leader

Closes
Jan 4, 2027, in 2 months
Traded
$13K
Venues
Polymarket
Prices updated
just now
Share

What the markets expect

Jeremiah Smith 60.8%

Next is Reed Harris at 21%. Only Polymarket lists this market, so there is no second price to compare.

Odds by venue

Consensus blends each venue’s last price, weighted by how much has traded there. Best Yes price is the cheapest ask across venues, and the payout is what a winning $100 stake returns before fees. Open a row for each venue’s contract name, bid and ask, and how closely their rules match.

Prices come from our regular polls of each venue. Ages are as of when this page was built.

  • Polymarket
Jeremiah Smith
60.8%
Polymarket 60.8%polled, 42s agoBest Yes 80.7¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $124 (1.24x)
Polymarket
Contract
Jeremiah Smith
Last price
60.8%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
80.7¢
Sell Yes
40.9¢
$100 on Yes pays
$124 (1.24x)
Volume
$1K
Trade this on Polymarket
Reed Harris
21%
Polymarket 21%polled, 42s agoBest Yes 42¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $238 (2.38x)
Polymarket
Contract
Reed Harris
Last price
21%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
42¢
Sell Yes
0.5¢
$100 on Yes pays
$238 (2.38x)
Volume
$25
Trade this on Polymarket
Duce Robinson
10.7%
Polymarket 10.7%polled, 42s agoBest Yes 21¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $476 (4.76x)
Polymarket
Contract
Duce Robinson
Last price
10.7%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
21¢
Sell Yes
0.4¢
$100 on Yes pays
$476 (4.76x)
Volume
$189
Trade this on Polymarket
Isaiah Sategna III
6.3%
Polymarket 6.3%polled, 42s agoBest Yes 12.4¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $806 (8.06x)
Polymarket
Contract
Isaiah Sategna III
Last price
6.3%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
12.4¢
Sell Yes
0.1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$806 (8.06x)
Volume
$205
Trade this on Polymarket
Nick Marsh
5%
Polymarket 5%polled, 42s agoBest Yes 6.9¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,449 (14.5x)
Polymarket
Contract
Nick Marsh
Last price
5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
6.9¢
Sell Yes
3¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,449 (14.5x)
Volume
$629
Trade this on Polymarket
Andrew Marsh
4.8%
Polymarket 4.8%polled, 42s agoBest Yes 9.3¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,075 (10.8x)
Polymarket
Contract
Andrew Marsh
Last price
4.8%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
9.3¢
Sell Yes
0.2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,075 (10.8x)
Volume
$670
Trade this on Polymarket
Lotzeir Brooks
4.7%
Polymarket 4.7%polled, 42s agoBest Yes 8.4¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,190 (11.9x)
Polymarket
Contract
Lotzeir Brooks
Last price
4.7%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
8.4¢
Sell Yes
1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,190 (11.9x)
Volume
$370
Trade this on Polymarket
T.J. Moore
4.5%
Polymarket 4.5%polled, 42s agoBest Yes 8¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,250 (12.5x)
Polymarket
Contract
T.J. Moore
Last price
4.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
8¢
Sell Yes
1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,250 (12.5x)
Volume
$410
Trade this on Polymarket
Wyatt Young
4.5%
Polymarket 4.5%polled, 42s agoBest Yes 8.7¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,149 (11.5x)
Polymarket
Contract
Wyatt Young
Last price
4.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
8.7¢
Sell Yes
0.3¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,149 (11.5x)
Volume
$470
Trade this on Polymarket
Ryan Wingo
4.2%
Polymarket 4.2%polled, 42s agoBest Yes 8.2¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,220 (12.2x)
Polymarket
Contract
Ryan Wingo
Last price
4.2%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
8.2¢
Sell Yes
0.2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,220 (12.2x)
Volume
$255
Trade this on Polymarket
Show 15 more outcomes
Mike Matthews
4.1%
Polymarket 4.1%polled, 42s agoBest Yes 8.1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,235 (12.3x)
Polymarket
Contract
Mike Matthews
Last price
4.1%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
8.1¢
Sell Yes
0.1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,235 (12.3x)
Volume
$370
Trade this on Polymarket
Dakorien Moore
3.8%
Polymarket 3.8%polled, 42s agoBest Yes 7.5¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,333 (13.3x)
Polymarket
Contract
Dakorien Moore
Last price
3.8%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
7.5¢
Sell Yes
0.1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,333 (13.3x)
Volume
$329
Trade this on Polymarket
Ian Strong
3.3%
Polymarket 3.3%polled, 42s agoBest Yes 5.5¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,818 (18.2x)
Polymarket
Contract
Ian Strong
Last price
3.3%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
5.5¢
Sell Yes
1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,818 (18.2x)
Volume
$1K
Trade this on Polymarket
Eric Singleton Jr.
3.2%
Polymarket 3.2%polled, 42s agoBest Yes 5.4¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,852 (18.5x)
Polymarket
Contract
Eric Singleton Jr.
Last price
3.2%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
5.4¢
Sell Yes
1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,852 (18.5x)
Volume
$365
Trade this on Polymarket
Mario Craver
3.1%
Polymarket 3.1%polled, 42s agoBest Yes 5.8¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,724 (17.2x)
Polymarket
Contract
Mario Craver
Last price
3.1%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
5.8¢
Sell Yes
0.3¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,724 (17.2x)
Volume
$345
Trade this on Polymarket
Dallas Wilson
3%
Polymarket 3%polled, 42s agoBest Yes 5¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)
Polymarket
Contract
Dallas Wilson
Last price
3%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
5¢
Sell Yes
1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$2,000 (20.0x)
Volume
$704
Trade this on Polymarket
Malachi Toney
2.8%
Polymarket 2.8%polled, 42s agoBest Yes 4.9¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $2,041 (20.4x)
Polymarket
Contract
Malachi Toney
Last price
2.8%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
4.9¢
Sell Yes
0.7¢
$100 on Yes pays
$2,041 (20.4x)
Volume
$45
Trade this on Polymarket
Cam Coleman
2.5%
Polymarket 2.5%polled, 42s agoBest Yes 4.8¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $2,083 (20.8x)
Polymarket
Contract
Cam Coleman
Last price
2.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
4.8¢
Sell Yes
0.1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$2,083 (20.8x)
Volume
$308
Trade this on Polymarket
Ryan Coleman-Williams
2.5%
Polymarket 2.5%polled, 42s agoBest Yes 4.7¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $2,128 (21.3x)
Polymarket
Contract
Ryan Coleman-Williams
Last price
2.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
4.7¢
Sell Yes
0.2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$2,128 (21.3x)
Volume
$90
Trade this on Polymarket
Cooper Barkate
2.4%
Polymarket 2.4%polled, 42s agoBest Yes 4.2¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $2,381 (23.8x)
Polymarket
Contract
Cooper Barkate
Last price
2.4%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
4.2¢
Sell Yes
0.6¢
$100 on Yes pays
$2,381 (23.8x)
Volume
$465
Trade this on Polymarket
Charlie Becker
2.1%
Polymarket 2.1%polled, 42s agoBest Yes 2.2¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $4,545 (45.5x)
Polymarket
Contract
Charlie Becker
Last price
2.1%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
2.2¢
Sell Yes
2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$4,545 (45.5x)
Volume
$2K
Trade this on Polymarket
Bryant Wesco Jr.
1.3%
Polymarket 1.3%polled, 42s agoBest Yes 1.6¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $6,250 (62.5x)
Polymarket
Contract
Bryant Wesco Jr.
Last price
1.3%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
1.6¢
Sell Yes
1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$6,250 (62.5x)
Volume
$285
Trade this on Polymarket
Evan Stewart
1.3%
Polymarket 1.3%polled, 42s agoBest Yes 2.6¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $3,846 (38.5x)
Polymarket
Contract
Evan Stewart
Last price
1.3%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
2.6¢
Sell Yes
0.1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$3,846 (38.5x)
Volume
$1K
Trade this on Polymarket
KJ Duff
1.1%
Polymarket 1.1%polled, 42s agoBest Yes 1.1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $9,091 (90.9x)
Polymarket
Contract
KJ Duff
Last price
1.1%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
1.1¢
Sell Yes
1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$9,091 (90.9x)
Volume
$385
Trade this on Polymarket
Griffin Wilde
0.3%
Polymarket 0.3%polled, 42s agoBest Yes 0.5¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $20,000 (200x)
Polymarket
Contract
Griffin Wilde
Last price
0.3%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
0.5¢
Sell Yes
0.1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$20,000 (200x)
Volume
$25
Trade this on Polymarket

Who resolves this market

Polymarket
Polymarket resolves via:
UMA optimistic oracle, source: ncaa.com

How the odds have moved

The top 3 outcomes on both venues, with the consensus between them. Hover for exact values.

  • Jeremiah Smith
  • Reed Harris
  • Duce Robinson

Order books

Each venue’s resting orders for the selected outcome’s Yes contract, side by side. Top of book streams live; depth refreshes every 15 seconds.

Top of book

Connecting
Best bid
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Spread
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Best ask
—

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Depth · top 8 levels

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Recent trades

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What your stake buys

Enter a stake to see where it buys the most after fees, using each venue’s live order book.

$
Buy

Loading both order books…

Buys at the asks resting now (taker orders), cheapest after fees first, from order-book snapshots up to 15 seconds old. Fees: Kalshi 0.07 × price × (1 − price) per share, rounded up to the cent; Polymarket 0.05 × price × (1 − price) per share (sports rate). Fee calculator. Estimates only, not advice.

About this market

Live prediction market odds for "NCAA Football: 2026 D1 Receiving Yards Leader". Jeremiah Smith leads at 60.8%. Next is Reed Harris at 21%. $13K has traded across 25 outcomes on Polymarket. The market is expected to resolve by Jan 4, 2027.

This market will resolve in favor of the player that finishes the 2026 NCAA FBS regular season with the most receiving yards. In the event of a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the player with more receiving touchdowns during the 2026 NCAA FBS regular season. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player with a higher receiving yards per reception. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve to "Other". If the 2026 NCAA FBS season concludes early, is shortened, or is truncated for any reason, the outcome shall be determined using available NCAA FBS statistics for completed games. If the 2026 NCAA FBS regular season is cancelled, postponed after January 3, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or it is unclear which player led NCAA FBS in receiving yards within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be official information from the NCAA (https://www.ncaa.com/stats/football/fbs); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Questions

What does the consensus price mean?

It is the price of a Yes contract that pays $1 if the outcome happens. A 14¢ price means traders put the chance near 14%. Where two venues list the same outcome, we blend their last prices, weighting the venue with more trading volume more heavily (neither counts for less than a quarter). When only one outcome can win, each venue’s prices add up to a little over 100% (its margin); the fair chance removes that margin so the outcomes add up to exactly 100%.

How is the payout worked out?

A Yes contract pays $1 if it wins, so at the best ask a $100 stake buys 100 ÷ ask contracts. At 18¢ that is about 555 contracts, paying $556 (5.56x) if Yes happens. Venue fees and price slippage on larger orders are not included.

Why do the venues show different prices?

Each venue has its own traders, fees and order book. Contracts can also settle on slightly different terms, which is why each row lists how closely the rules match.

Is a price gap an arbitrage?

Only when you can buy Yes on one venue below what someone pays for Yes on the other, after fees, and both contracts settle the same way. We show the executable bid and ask so you can check.

How fresh are these prices?

Venue prices refresh every few minutes, and the order book and live quotes stream continuously. Each venue’s card shows when we last observed it.

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