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Best ask
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What the markets expect
Nate Sheppard 14.8%
Next is Justice Haynes at 11.4%. Only Polymarket lists this market, so there is no second price to compare.
Odds by venue
Fair chance strips out each venue’s built-in margin (its prices add up to more than 100%), then blends the venues by how much has traded there, so the outcomes add up to 100%. Best Yes price is the cheapest ask across venues, and the payout is what a winning $100 stake returns before fees. Open a row for each venue’s contract name, bid and ask, and how closely their rules match.
Prices come from our regular polls of each venue, the oldest 1 min ago. Ages are as of when this page was built.
- Polymarket
Outcome
Fair chance
Venue prices on a 0–100% scale
Polymarket
Best Yes price
Nate Sheppard14.8%16.6%14.8% fair14.2¢ bid, 18.9¢ askpolled, 1 min ago18.9¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $529 (5.29x)Nate Sheppard14.8%Polymarket 16.6%(14.8% fair)polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 18.9¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $529 (5.29x)
Nate Sheppard
14.8%
16.6%
14.8% fair
14.2¢ bid, 18.9¢ ask
polled, 1 min ago
18.9¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $529 (5.29x)
Nate Sheppard
14.8%
Polymarket 16.6%(14.8% fair)polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 18.9¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $529 (5.29x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Nate Sheppard
- Last price
- 16.6%
- Fair, margin removed
- 14.8%
- As of
- Polled 1 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 18.9¢
- Sell Yes
- 14.2¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $529 (5.29x)
- Volume
- $7K
Justice Haynes11.4%12.7%11.4% fair0.4¢ bid, 25¢ askpolled, 1 min ago25¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $400 (4.00x)Justice Haynes11.4%Polymarket 12.7%(11.4% fair)polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 25¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $400 (4.00x)
Justice Haynes
11.4%
12.7%
11.4% fair
0.4¢ bid, 25¢ ask
polled, 1 min ago
25¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $400 (4.00x)
Justice Haynes
11.4%
Polymarket 12.7%(11.4% fair)polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 25¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $400 (4.00x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Justice Haynes
- Last price
- 12.7%
- Fair, margin removed
- 11.4%
- As of
- Polled 1 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 25¢
- Sell Yes
- 0.4¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $400 (4.00x)
- Volume
- $455
Cam Cook7.8%8.8%7.8% fair8.7¢ bid, 8.8¢ askpolled, 1 min ago8.8¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $1,136 (11.4x)Cam Cook7.8%Polymarket 8.8%(7.8% fair)polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 8.8¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,136 (11.4x)
Cam Cook
7.8%
8.8%
7.8% fair
8.7¢ bid, 8.8¢ ask
polled, 1 min ago
8.8¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $1,136 (11.4x)
Cam Cook
7.8%
Polymarket 8.8%(7.8% fair)polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 8.8¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,136 (11.4x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Cam Cook
- Last price
- 8.8%
- Fair, margin removed
- 7.8%
- As of
- Polled 1 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 8.8¢
- Sell Yes
- 8.7¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,136 (11.4x)
- Volume
- $815
LJ Martin7.7%8.6%7.7% fair0.8¢ bid, 16.4¢ askpolled, 1 min ago16.4¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $610 (6.10x)LJ Martin7.7%Polymarket 8.6%(7.7% fair)polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 16.4¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $610 (6.10x)
LJ Martin
7.7%
8.6%
7.7% fair
0.8¢ bid, 16.4¢ ask
polled, 1 min ago
16.4¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $610 (6.10x)
LJ Martin
7.7%
Polymarket 8.6%(7.7% fair)polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 16.4¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $610 (6.10x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- LJ Martin
- Last price
- 8.6%
- Fair, margin removed
- 7.7%
- As of
- Polled 1 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 16.4¢
- Sell Yes
- 0.8¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $610 (6.10x)
- Volume
- $418
Evan Dickens6.4%7.2%6.4% fair5.1¢ bid, 9.2¢ askpolled, 1 min ago9.2¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $1,087 (10.9x)Evan Dickens6.4%Polymarket 7.2%(6.4% fair)polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 9.2¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,087 (10.9x)
Evan Dickens
6.4%
7.2%
6.4% fair
5.1¢ bid, 9.2¢ ask
polled, 1 min ago
9.2¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $1,087 (10.9x)
Evan Dickens
6.4%
Polymarket 7.2%(6.4% fair)polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 9.2¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,087 (10.9x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Evan Dickens
- Last price
- 7.2%
- Fair, margin removed
- 6.4%
- As of
- Polled 1 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 9.2¢
- Sell Yes
- 5.1¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,087 (10.9x)
- Volume
- $2K
Wayne Knight4.5%5.1%4.5% fair0.4¢ bid, 9.7¢ askpolled, 1 min ago9.7¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $1,031 (10.3x)Wayne Knight4.5%Polymarket 5.1%(4.5% fair)polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 9.7¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,031 (10.3x)
Wayne Knight
4.5%
5.1%
4.5% fair
0.4¢ bid, 9.7¢ ask
polled, 1 min ago
9.7¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $1,031 (10.3x)
Wayne Knight
4.5%
Polymarket 5.1%(4.5% fair)polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 9.7¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,031 (10.3x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Wayne Knight
- Last price
- 5.1%
- Fair, margin removed
- 4.5%
- As of
- Polled 1 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 9.7¢
- Sell Yes
- 0.4¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,031 (10.3x)
- Volume
- $6K
Jadan Baugh4.4%4.9%4.3% fair0.2¢ bid, 9.5¢ askpolled, 1 min ago9.5¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $1,053 (10.5x)Jadan Baugh4.4%Polymarket 4.9%(4.3% fair)polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 9.5¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,053 (10.5x)
Jadan Baugh
4.4%
4.9%
4.3% fair
0.2¢ bid, 9.5¢ ask
polled, 1 min ago
9.5¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $1,053 (10.5x)
Jadan Baugh
4.4%
Polymarket 4.9%(4.3% fair)polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 9.5¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,053 (10.5x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Jadan Baugh
- Last price
- 4.9%
- Fair, margin removed
- 4.3%
- As of
- Polled 1 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 9.5¢
- Sell Yes
- 0.2¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,053 (10.5x)
- Volume
- $453
Kewan Lacy4.2%4.7%0.3¢ bid, 9.1¢ askpolled, 1 min ago9.1¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $1,099 (11.0x)Kewan Lacy4.2%Polymarket 4.7%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 9.1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,099 (11.0x)
Kewan Lacy
4.2%
4.7%
0.3¢ bid, 9.1¢ ask
polled, 1 min ago
9.1¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $1,099 (11.0x)
Kewan Lacy
4.2%
Polymarket 4.7%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 9.1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,099 (11.0x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Kewan Lacy
- Last price
- 4.7%
- As of
- Polled 1 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 9.1¢
- Sell Yes
- 0.3¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,099 (11.0x)
- Volume
- $82
Isaac Brown3.9%4.4%1.1¢ bid, 7.6¢ askpolled, 1 min ago7.6¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $1,316 (13.2x)Isaac Brown3.9%Polymarket 4.4%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 7.6¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,316 (13.2x)
Isaac Brown
3.9%
4.4%
1.1¢ bid, 7.6¢ ask
polled, 1 min ago
7.6¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $1,316 (13.2x)
Isaac Brown
3.9%
Polymarket 4.4%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 7.6¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,316 (13.2x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Isaac Brown
- Last price
- 4.4%
- As of
- Polled 1 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 7.6¢
- Sell Yes
- 1.1¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,316 (13.2x)
- Volume
- $1K
Malachi Hosley3.9%4.3%1.3¢ bid, 7.3¢ askpolled, 1 min ago7.3¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $1,370 (13.7x)Malachi Hosley3.9%Polymarket 4.3%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 7.3¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,370 (13.7x)
Malachi Hosley
3.9%
4.3%
1.3¢ bid, 7.3¢ ask
polled, 1 min ago
7.3¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $1,370 (13.7x)
Malachi Hosley
3.9%
Polymarket 4.3%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 7.3¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,370 (13.7x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Malachi Hosley
- Last price
- 4.3%
- As of
- Polled 1 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 7.3¢
- Sell Yes
- 1.3¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,370 (13.7x)
- Volume
- $3K
Show 13 more outcomesHide 13 outcomes
Nate Frazier3.7%4.2%0.6¢ bid, 7.7¢ askpolled, 1 min ago7.7¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $1,299 (13.0x)Nate Frazier3.7%Polymarket 4.2%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 7.7¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,299 (13.0x)
Nate Frazier
3.7%
4.2%
0.6¢ bid, 7.7¢ ask
polled, 1 min ago
7.7¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $1,299 (13.0x)
Nate Frazier
3.7%
Polymarket 4.2%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 7.7¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,299 (13.0x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Nate Frazier
- Last price
- 4.2%
- As of
- Polled 1 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 7.7¢
- Sell Yes
- 0.6¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,299 (13.0x)
- Volume
- $271
Mark Fletcher3.1%3.5%1¢ bid, 5.9¢ askpolled, 1 min ago5.9¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $1,695 (16.9x)Mark Fletcher3.1%Polymarket 3.5%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 5.9¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,695 (16.9x)
Mark Fletcher
3.1%
3.5%
1¢ bid, 5.9¢ ask
polled, 1 min ago
5.9¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $1,695 (16.9x)
Mark Fletcher
3.1%
Polymarket 3.5%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 5.9¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,695 (16.9x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Mark Fletcher
- Last price
- 3.5%
- As of
- Polled 1 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 5.9¢
- Sell Yes
- 1¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,695 (16.9x)
- Volume
- $694
Ahmad Hardy3%3.3%0.5¢ bid, 6.1¢ askpolled, 1 min ago6.1¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $1,639 (16.4x)Ahmad Hardy3%Polymarket 3.3%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 6.1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,639 (16.4x)
Ahmad Hardy
3%
3.3%
0.5¢ bid, 6.1¢ ask
polled, 1 min ago
6.1¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $1,639 (16.4x)
Ahmad Hardy
3%
Polymarket 3.3%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 6.1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,639 (16.4x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Ahmad Hardy
- Last price
- 3.3%
- As of
- Polled 1 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 6.1¢
- Sell Yes
- 0.5¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,639 (16.4x)
- Volume
- $773
Jordan Marshall3%3.4%0.2¢ bid, 6.5¢ askpolled, 1 min ago6.5¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $1,538 (15.4x)Jordan Marshall3%Polymarket 3.4%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 6.5¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,538 (15.4x)
Jordan Marshall
3%
3.4%
0.2¢ bid, 6.5¢ ask
polled, 1 min ago
6.5¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $1,538 (15.4x)
Jordan Marshall
3%
Polymarket 3.4%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 6.5¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,538 (15.4x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Jordan Marshall
- Last price
- 3.4%
- As of
- Polled 1 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 6.5¢
- Sell Yes
- 0.2¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,538 (15.4x)
- Volume
- $940
Darius Taylor2.9%3.3%0.2¢ bid, 6.3¢ askpolled, 1 min ago6.3¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $1,587 (15.9x)Darius Taylor2.9%Polymarket 3.3%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 6.3¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,587 (15.9x)
Darius Taylor
2.9%
3.3%
0.2¢ bid, 6.3¢ ask
polled, 1 min ago
6.3¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $1,587 (15.9x)
Darius Taylor
2.9%
Polymarket 3.3%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 6.3¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,587 (15.9x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Darius Taylor
- Last price
- 3.3%
- As of
- Polled 1 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 6.3¢
- Sell Yes
- 0.2¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,587 (15.9x)
- Volume
- $3K
Raleek Brown2.9%3.2%0.5¢ bid, 5.9¢ askpolled, 1 min ago5.9¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $1,695 (16.9x)Raleek Brown2.9%Polymarket 3.2%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 5.9¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,695 (16.9x)
Raleek Brown
2.9%
3.2%
0.5¢ bid, 5.9¢ ask
polled, 1 min ago
5.9¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $1,695 (16.9x)
Raleek Brown
2.9%
Polymarket 3.2%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 5.9¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,695 (16.9x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Raleek Brown
- Last price
- 3.2%
- As of
- Polled 1 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 5.9¢
- Sell Yes
- 0.5¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,695 (16.9x)
- Volume
- $565
DeSean Bishop2.7%3%2¢ bid, 4¢ askpolled, 1 min ago4¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)DeSean Bishop2.7%Polymarket 3%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 4¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)
DeSean Bishop
2.7%
3%
2¢ bid, 4¢ ask
polled, 1 min ago
4¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)
DeSean Bishop
2.7%
Polymarket 3%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 4¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- DeSean Bishop
- Last price
- 3%
- As of
- Polled 1 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 4¢
- Sell Yes
- 2¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $2,500 (25.0x)
- Volume
- $337
Bo Jackson2.3%2.6%1¢ bid, 4.1¢ askpolled, 1 min ago4.1¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $2,439 (24.4x)Bo Jackson2.3%Polymarket 2.6%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 4.1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $2,439 (24.4x)
Bo Jackson
2.3%
2.6%
1¢ bid, 4.1¢ ask
polled, 1 min ago
4.1¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $2,439 (24.4x)
Bo Jackson
2.3%
Polymarket 2.6%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 4.1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $2,439 (24.4x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Bo Jackson
- Last price
- 2.6%
- As of
- Polled 1 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 4.1¢
- Sell Yes
- 1¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $2,439 (24.4x)
- Volume
- $2K
Aneyas Williams2.2%2.5%1¢ bid, 4¢ askpolled, 1 min ago4¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)Aneyas Williams2.2%Polymarket 2.5%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 4¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)
Aneyas Williams
2.2%
2.5%
1¢ bid, 4¢ ask
polled, 1 min ago
4¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)
Aneyas Williams
2.2%
Polymarket 2.5%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 4¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Aneyas Williams
- Last price
- 2.5%
- As of
- Polled 1 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 4¢
- Sell Yes
- 1¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $2,500 (25.0x)
- Volume
- $1K
Hollywood Smothers1.8%2.1%— bid, 4.1¢ askpolled, 1 min ago4.1¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $2,439 (24.4x)Hollywood Smothers1.8%Polymarket 2.1%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 4.1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $2,439 (24.4x)
Hollywood Smothers
1.8%
2.1%
— bid, 4.1¢ ask
polled, 1 min ago
4.1¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $2,439 (24.4x)
Hollywood Smothers
1.8%
Polymarket 2.1%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 4.1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $2,439 (24.4x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Hollywood Smothers
- Last price
- 2.1%
- As of
- Polled 1 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 4.1¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $2,439 (24.4x)
- Volume
- $3K
Caleb Hawkins1.4%1.6%0.2¢ bid, 3¢ askpolled, 1 min ago3¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $3,333 (33.3x)Caleb Hawkins1.4%Polymarket 1.6%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 3¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $3,333 (33.3x)
Caleb Hawkins
1.4%
1.6%
0.2¢ bid, 3¢ ask
polled, 1 min ago
3¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $3,333 (33.3x)
Caleb Hawkins
1.4%
Polymarket 1.6%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 3¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $3,333 (33.3x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Caleb Hawkins
- Last price
- 1.6%
- As of
- Polled 1 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 3¢
- Sell Yes
- 0.2¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $3,333 (33.3x)
- Volume
- $432
Antwan Raymond1%1.1%1¢ bid, 1.2¢ askpolled, 1 min ago1.2¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $8,333 (83.3x)Antwan Raymond1%Polymarket 1.1%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 1.2¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $8,333 (83.3x)
Antwan Raymond
1%
1.1%
1¢ bid, 1.2¢ ask
polled, 1 min ago
1.2¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $8,333 (83.3x)
Antwan Raymond
1%
Polymarket 1.1%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 1.2¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $8,333 (83.3x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Antwan Raymond
- Last price
- 1.1%
- As of
- Polled 1 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 1.2¢
- Sell Yes
- 1¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $8,333 (83.3x)
- Volume
- $612
Cameron Dickey1%1.1%1¢ bid, 1.2¢ askpolled, 1 min ago1.2¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $8,333 (83.3x)Cameron Dickey1%Polymarket 1.1%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 1.2¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $8,333 (83.3x)
Cameron Dickey
1%
1.1%
1¢ bid, 1.2¢ ask
polled, 1 min ago
1.2¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $8,333 (83.3x)
Cameron Dickey
1%
Polymarket 1.1%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 1.2¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $8,333 (83.3x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Cameron Dickey
- Last price
- 1.1%
- As of
- Polled 1 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 1.2¢
- Sell Yes
- 1¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $8,333 (83.3x)
- Volume
- $2K
Who resolves this market
- Polymarket resolves via:
- UMA optimistic oracle, source: ncaa.com
How the odds have moved
The top 3 outcomes on both venues, with the consensus between them. Hover for exact values.
- Nate Sheppard
- Justice Haynes
- Cam Cook
Order books
Each venue’s resting orders for the selected outcome’s Yes contract, side by side. Top of book streams live; depth refreshes every 15 seconds.
What your stake buys
Enter a stake to see where it buys the most after fees, using each venue’s live order book.
$
Buy
Loading both order books…
Buys at the asks resting now (taker orders), cheapest after fees first, from order-book snapshots up to 15 seconds old. Fees: Kalshi 0.07 × price × (1 − price) per share, rounded up to the cent; Polymarket 0.05 × price × (1 − price) per share (sports rate). Fee calculator. Estimates only, not advice.
About this market
Live prediction market odds for "NCAA Football: 2026 D1 Rushing Yards Leader". Nate Sheppard leads at 14.8%. Next is Justice Haynes at 11.4%. $36K has traded across 23 outcomes on Polymarket. The market is expected to resolve by Jan 4, 2027.
This market will resolve in favor of the player that finishes the 2026 NCAA FBS regular season with the most rushing yards. In the event of a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the player with more rushing touchdowns during the 2026 NCAA FBS regular season. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player with a higher rushing yards per attempt. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve to "Other". If the 2026 NCAA FBS season concludes early, is shortened, or is truncated for any reason, the outcome shall be determined using available NCAA FBS statistics for completed games. If the 2026 NCAA FBS regular season is cancelled, postponed after January 3, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or it is unclear which player led NCAA FBS in rushing yards within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be official information from the NCAA (https://www.ncaa.com/stats/football/fbs); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Questions
What does the consensus price mean?
It is the price of a Yes contract that pays $1 if the outcome happens. A 14¢ price means traders put the chance near 14%. Where two venues list the same outcome, we blend their last prices, weighting the venue with more trading volume more heavily (neither counts for less than a quarter). When only one outcome can win, each venue’s prices add up to a little over 100% (its margin); the fair chance removes that margin so the outcomes add up to exactly 100%.
How is the payout worked out?
A Yes contract pays $1 if it wins, so at the best ask a $100 stake buys 100 ÷ ask contracts. At 18¢ that is about 555 contracts, paying $556 (5.56x) if Yes happens. Venue fees and price slippage on larger orders are not included.
Why do the venues show different prices?
Each venue has its own traders, fees and order book. Contracts can also settle on slightly different terms, which is why each row lists how closely the rules match.
Is a price gap an arbitrage?
Only when you can buy Yes on one venue below what someone pays for Yes on the other, after fees, and both contracts settle the same way. We show the executable bid and ask so you can check.
How fresh are these prices?
Venue prices refresh every few minutes, and the order book and live quotes stream continuously. Each venue’s card shows when we last observed it.
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